Keywords: Market discipline, bank, rating, subordinated debt
Abstract: The question of whether private investors can rationally discriminate between the
risk taken by banks is empirically investigated by testing the risk sensitivity of
European banks' subordinated notes and debentures (SND) spreads. A unique
dataset of issuance spreads, issues and issuers rating, accounting and market
measures of bank risk is used for a sample of European banks' SND issued during
the 1991-2000:Q1 period. Moody's Bank Financial Strength (MBFS) and FitchIBCA
Individual (FII) ratings are used as proxies of banks risk and found to perform better
than accounting variables in explaining the cross-sectional variability of spreads.
Empirical results support the hypothesis that SND investors are sensitive to bank
risk. An exception to this conclusion is represented by SND issued by public banks,
i.e. government owned or guaranteed institutions such as the German Landesbank.
Results also show that market discipline on European banks has been improving
during the nineties, with the risk sensitivity of SND spreads increasing from the first
to the second half of the decade.
Full paper (260 KB PDF)
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Last update: October 26, 2000