Professional Experience

• • Senior Economist

    Division of Research and Statistics

  • 2000 - present

• • Visiting Adviser

    Research Department, International Monetary Fund

  • 2010 - 2011

• • Economist

    Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

  • 1995 - 2000

• • Research Officer

    Research Department, Bank of Canada

  • 1995 - 1993

• • Senior Analyst

    Research Department, Bank of Canada

  • 1991 - 1993

• • Economist

    Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis, Bank of Canada

  • 1988 - 1991

Publications

• Tetlow, Robert J. (2010). "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' Policies Put to the Test," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2010-15. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Tetlow, Robert J. (2009). "The Challenges of Estimating Potential Output in Real Time: Commentary," Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, vol. 91, no. 4, pp. 291-296.
• Tetlow, Robert J., and Peter von zur Muehlen (2009). "Robustifying Learnability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 33, no. 2, pp. 296-316.
• Tetlow, Robert J. (2008). "Inflation Targeting and Target Instability," International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 151-192.
• Tetlow, Robert J. (2007). "On the Robustness of Simple and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules: Discussion," Journal of Monetary Economics, vol. 54, no. 5, pp. 1397-1405.
• Tetlow, Robert J., and Brian Ironside (2007). "Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: The Fed, 1996-2003," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, vol. 39, no. 7, pp. 1533-1849.
• Tetlow, Robert J. (2006). "Monetary Policy, Asset Prices and Misspecification," In Issues in Inflation Targeting: Proceedings of a Conference Held by the Bank of Canada, April 28-29, 2005. Bank of Canada, pp. 155-183.
• Svensson, Lars E. O., and Robert J. Tetlow (2005). "Optimal Policy Projections," International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 177-207.
• Svensson, Lars O., and Robert J. Tetlow (2005). "Optimal Policy Projections," NBER Working Papers 11392. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
• Tetlow, Robert, and Peter von zur Muehlen (2004). "Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robust Responses to Model Uncertainty," Review of Economic Dynamics, vol. 7, no. 4, pp. 869-899.
• Tetlow, Robert J., and Peter von zur Muehlen (2001). "Robust Monetary Policy with Misspecified Models: Does Model Uncertainty always Call for Attenuated Policy?" Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 25, no. 6-7, pp. 911-949.
• Tetlow, Robert J., and Peter von zur Muehlen (2001). "Simplicity Versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules when Agents must Learn," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 25, no. 1-2, pp. 245-279.
• Orphanides, Athanasios, Richard D. Porter, David Reifschneider, Robert Tetlow, and Frederico Finan (2000). "Errors in the Measurement of the Output Gap and the Design of Monetary Policy," Journal of Economics and Business, vol. 52, no. 1/2, pp. 117-141.
• Finan, Frederico S., and Robert Tetlow (1999). "Optimal Control of Large, Forward-Looking Models Efficient Solutions and Two Examples," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1999-51. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Reifschneider, David, Robert Tetlow, and John Williams (1999). "Aggregate Disturbances, Monetary Policy, and the Macroeconomy: The FRB/US Perspective," Federal Reserve Bulletin, vol. 85, no. 1, pp. 1-19.
• Bomfim, Antulio, Robert Tetlow, Peter Von Zur Muehlen, and John Williams (1997). "Expectations, Learning and the Costs of Disinflation: Experiments using the FRB/US Model," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1997-42. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
• Tetlow, Robert, Donald Coletti, Ben Hunt, and David Rose (1996). "The Dynamic Model: QPM," in Part 3 of the Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model, Technical Report, no. 75. Canada: Bank of Canada.
• Macklem, Tiff, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow (1995). "Government Debt and Deficits in Canada: A Macro Simulation Analysis," Working Papers 95-4. Bank of Canada.
• Tetlow, Robert, Richard Black, Douglas Laxton, and David Rose (1994). "The Steady-State Model: SSQPM," in Parrt 1 of the Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Mode, Bank of Canada Technical Report, no. 72. Ottawa: Bank of Canada.
• Macklem, Tiff, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow (1994). "Government Debt and Deficits in Canada: A Macro Simulation Analysis," in Robson, William B.,P., William Scarth M. eds., Deficit Reduction: What Pain, what Gain? Toronto: C.D. Howe Institute, pp. 231-272.
• Tetlow, Robert, Douglas Laxton, and David Rose (1993). "Monetary Policy, Uncertainty and the Presumption of Linearity," Bank of Canada Technical Report 63. Bank of Canada.
• Tetlow, Robert, and Douglas Laxton (1992). "A Simple Multivariate Filter for the Measurement of Potential Output," Bank of Canada Technical Report 59. Bank of Canada.
• Tetlow, Robert, and Douglas Laxton (1992). "Government Debt in an Open Economy," Bank of Canada Technical Report 58. Bank of Canada.

Presentations

• conference

  October 2009

  FRB Conference on Key Developments in Monetary Economics

  Discussion of "Wanting Robustness to Misspecification" by Lars P. Hansen and Thomas Sargent

• conference

  July 2011

  NBER Summer Institute

  Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Dynamics: the transmission of crises

• conference

  October 2009

  FRB-Cleveland conference on "Models and Policies for Economies with Credit and Financial Instability

  Discussion of "Banks, Market Organization and Macroeconomic Performance: an agent-based computational analysis" by Ashraf, Gershman and Howitt

• conference

  October 2008

  33rd Annual Policy Conference of the FRB-St.Louis

  Discussion of "The Pitfalls of Measuring Potential Output in Real Time" by Robert Arnold

• conference

  May 2008

  2008 World Congress on National Accounts and Economic Performance Measures

  Some Implications of Mismeasurement for Model Uncertainty and Monetary Policy

Other Activities