Accessible Material
June 2010 Tealbook Book A Tables and Charts†
International Economic Developments and Outlook
Summary of Staff Projections
Indicator | 2009 | 2010 | Projection | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q1 | 2010 | 2011 | |||
Q2 | H2 | ||||
Foreign output | 0.4 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
April TB | 0.3 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
Foreign CPI | 1.2 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 |
April TB | 1.2 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
The Foreign Outlook
Total Foreign
Figure: Real GDP
Line chart, 2006 to 2011. Unit is four-quarter percent change. There is a vertical blue shaded bar marking the period 2010 to 2011. There are two series, "Current" and "Last Tealbook." Both series begin at about 4.5 and generally decrease together to about -4 in early 2009. Current generally increases to about 4.25 in early 2010 then generally decreases to about 3.75. Last Tealbook generally increases to about 4 and remains about constant to the end of the timeline.
Figure: CPI
Line chart, 2006 to 2011. Unit is four-quarter percent change. There is a vertical blue shaded bar marking the period 2010 to 2011. There are two series, "Current" and "Last Tealbook." Both series begin at about 2.5 and generally increase together to about 4.75 in late 2008. They generally decrease together to about 0.5 in mid-2009 then Current generally increases to about 2.5 in late 2010. It generally decreases ending at about 2.25. Last Tealbook generally increases to about 2.75 in late 2010 and generally decreases ending at about 2.25.
Advanced Foreign Economies
Figure: Real GDP
Line chart, 2006 to 2011. Unit is four-quarter percent change. There is a vertical blue shaded bar marking the period 2010 to 2011. There are two series, "Current" and "Last Tealbook." Both series begin at about 3 and generally decrease to about -4 in early 2009. Current generally increases to about 3 then generally decreases ending at about 2.25. Last Tealbook generally increases to about 3 and remains about constant to the end of the timeline.
Figure: CPI
Line chart, 2006 to 2011. Unit is four-quarter percent change. There is a vertical blue shaded bar marking the period 2010 to 2011. There are two series, "Current" and "Last Tealbook." Both series begin at about 2 and generally decrease together to about 1.5 in late 2006. The generally increase together to about 3 in mid-2008. The generally decrease together to about -1 in mid-2009. Current generally increases to about 1.25 in late 2010 then decreases to about 1 in early 2011. It generally increases ending at about 1.25. Last Tealbook generally increases to about 1.5 then generally decreases ending at about 1.25.
Emerging Market Economies
Figure: Real GDP
Line chart, 2006 to 2011. Unit is four-quarter percent change. There is a vertical blue shaded bar marking the period 2010 to 2011. There are two series, "Current" and "Last Tealbook." Both series begin at about 7 and generally decrease together to about -4 in early 2009. The generally increase together to about 7 in early 2010 then generally decrease together ending at about 5.
Figure: CPI
Line chart, 2006 to 2011. Unit is four-quarter percent change. There is a vertical blue shaded bar marking the period 2010 to 2011. There are two series, "Current" and "Last Tealbook." Both series begin at about 3 and generally increase together to about 6.75 in mid-2008. They generally decrease together to about 1 in late 2009. Current increases to about 3.5 in mind-2010 then generally decreases to about 3 in late 2010 and remains about constant to the end of the timeline. Last Tealbook generally increases to about 4 in mid-2010 then generally decreases ending at about 3.
Recent Foreign Indicators
Figure: Nominal Exports
Line chart, 2006 to 2010. Unit is an index, January 2006 equals 100. 100 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "Foreign," "AFE," and "EME" (excludes Venezuela). Foreign begins at about 100 and generally increases to about 150 mid-2008. It generally decreases to about 100 in early 2009. It generally increases ending at about 150. AFE begins at about 100 and generally increases to about 140 in early 2008. It generally decreases to about 90 in early 2009 then generally increases ending at about 120. EME begins at about 100 and generally increases to about 160 in mid-2008. It generally decreases to about 110 in early 2009 then generally increases ending at about 150.
Figure: Industrial Production
Line chart, 2006 to 2010. Unit is an index, January 2006 equals 100. 100 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "Foreign," "AFE" (excludes Australia and Switzerland), and "EME" (excludes Chile). Foreign begins at 100 and generally increases to about 105 in mid-2008. It generally decreases to about 90 in early 2009 then generally increases ending at about 105. AFE begins at 100 and remains about constant until late 2006. It generally increases to about 102 and remains about constant until early 2008. It generally decreases to about 85 in mid-2009 then generally increases ending at about 90. EME begins at 100 and generally increases to about 115 in early 2008. It generally decreases to about 105 in early 2009 then generally increases ending at about 120.
Figure: Retail Sales
Line chart, 2006 to 2010. Unit is 12-month percent change. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "Foreign," "AFE" (excludes Australia and Switzerland), and "EME" (includes Brazil, China, Israel, Korea, Singapore, Taiwan, and Venezuela). Foreign begins at 4 and fluctuates but remains about constant until mid-2008. It generally decreases to about -2 in early 2009 then generally increases ending at about 4. AFE begins at about 3 and fluctuates but remains about constant until late 2008. It generally decreases to about -4 in early 2009 then generally increases ending at about 4. EME begins at about 7 and decreases to about 4 in early 2006. It generally increases to about 10 in early 2007 then decreases to about 6 in mid-2007. It generally increases to about 8 in late 2007 then generally decreases to about 3 in 2009. It generally increases to about 10 in early 2010 then generally decreases ending at about 6.
Figure: Employment
Line chart, 2006 to 2010. Unit is four-quarter percent change. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "Foreign," "AFE," and "EME" (excludes China). Foreign begins at about 2 and remains about constant until late 2007. It generally decreases to about -1 in early 2009 then generally increase ending at about -0.5. AFE begins at about 1.5 and remains about constant until late 2007. It generally decreases to about -2 in mid-2009 then generally increases ending at about -0.5. EME begins at about 2.75 and generally decreases to about 2 in mid-2007. It generally increases to about 3 in late 2007 then generally decreases to about 0 in mid-2009. It generally increases ending at about 1.5.
Figure: Consumer Prices -- Advanced Foreign Economies
Line chart, 2006 to 2010. Unit is 12-month percent change. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are two series, "Headline" and "Core." Core excludes all food and energy; staff calculation. Headline begins at about 2 and fluctuates but generally decreases to about 1 in late 2006. It generally increases to about 3.5 in mid-2008 then generally decreases to about -1 in mid-2009. It generally increases ending at about 1.25.
Note: Excludes Australia, Sweden, and Switzerland.
Figure: Consumer Prices -- Emerging Market Economies
Line chart, 2006 to 2010. Unit is 12-month percent change. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "Headline," "Excluding Food -- East Asia," and "Excluding Food -- Latin America." Headline begins at about 4.5 and generally increases to about 7 in late 2007. It generally decreases to about 5 in early 2008 then generally increases to about 6 in late 2008. It generally decreases to about 1 in mid-2009 then generally increases ending at about 3.5. Excluding Food -- East Asia begins at about 2 and generally increases to about 4 in mid-2008. It generally decreases to about -2 in mid-2009 then generally increases ending at about 2. Excluding food -- Latin America begins at about 4 and fluctuates but remains about constant until early 2008. It generally increases to about 5 in late 2008 then generally decreases to about 4 in late 2009. It generally increases ending at about 5.
Staff Projections for Advanced Foreign Economies
Indicator | 2009 | 2010 | Projection | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q1 | 2010 | 2011 | |||
Q2 | H2 | ||||
Real GDP | -1.5 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
April TB | -1.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
CPI | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
April TB | 0.2 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Staff Projections for Emerging Market Economies
Indicator | 2009 | 2010 | Projection | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q1 | 2010 | 2011 | |||
Q2 | H2 | ||||
Real GDP | 2.7 | 6.5 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
April TB | 2.6 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 5.3 | 5.0 |
CPI | 2.2 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
April TB | 2.2 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 3.1 |
Evolution of Staff Forecast for Foreign Real GDP
Figure: Total Foreign
Line chart, Tealbook publication dates 1/23/2008 to 12/8/2010. Unit is percent change, Q4/Q4. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "2009," "2010," and "2011." 2009 begins at about 3.5 and generally decreases to about -2 on 3/12/2009. It generally increases to about 0 on 9/16/2009 and remains about constant to the end of the timeline on 6/16/2010. 2010 begins at about 3.5 on 9/10/2008 and generally decreases to about 2.5 on 3/12/2009. It generally increases ending at about 4 at the end of the timeline on 6/16/2010. 2011 begins at about 4 on 9/16/2009 and remains about constant until 4/21/2010. It generally decreases ending at about 3 on 6/16/2010.
Figure: Advanced Foreign Economies
Line chart, Tealbook publication dates 1/23/2008 to 12/8/2010. Unit is percent change, Q4/Q4. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "2009," "2010," and "2011." 2009 begins at about 2 and remains about constant until 9/10/2008. It generally decreases to about -3 on 3/12/2009 then generally increases to about -2 on 9/16/2009. It remains about constant to the end of the timeline on 6/16/2010. 2010 begins at about 2.5 on 9/10/2008 and generally increases ending at about 3 on 6/16/2010. 2011 begins at about 3 on 8/6/2009 and remains about constant until 12/9/2009. It generally decreases ending at about 2.
Figure: Emerging Market Economies
Line chart, Tealbook publication dates 1/23/2008 to 12/8/2010. Unit is percent change, Q4/Q4. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "2009," "2010," and "2011." 2009 begins at about 5 and generally decreases to about -2 on 3/12/2009. It generally increases ending at about 2 on 6/16/2010. 2010 begins at about 5 on 9/10/2008 and generally decreases to about 3 on 3/12/2009. It generally increases ending at about 5 on 6/16/2010. 2011 begins at about 5 on 8/6/2009 and generally decreases ending at about 4 on 6/16/2010.
Evolution of Staff Forecast for Foreign CPI Inflation
Figure: Total Foreign
Line chart, Tealbook publication dates 1/23/2008 to 12/8/2010. Unit is percent change, Q4/Q4. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "2009," "2010," and "2011." 2009 begins at about 2.5 and remains about constant until 7/30/2008. It generally decreases to about .5 on 3/12/2009 then generally increases to about 1 on 6/17/2009. It generally decreases to about .75 on 8/6/2009 and remains about constant until 12/9/2009. It generally increases to about 1 on 1/20/2010 and remains about constant to the ending on 6/16/2010. 2010 begins at about 2.5 on 4/23/2008 and generally decreases to about 1.5 on 3/12/2009. It remains about constant until 9/6/2009 then generally increases to about 2.5 on 4/21/2010.It generally decreases ending at about 2 on 6/16/2010. 2011 begins at about 1.75 on 9/16/2009 and generally increases to about 2 on 4/21/2010. It remains about constant ending on 6/16/2010.
Figure: Advanced Foreign Economies
Line chart, Tealbook publication dates 1/23/2008 to 12/8/2010. Unit is percent change, Q4/Q4. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "2009," "2010," and "2011." 2009 begins at about 1.5 and remains about constant until 4/23/2008. It generally increases to about 2 on 6/18/2008 and remains about constant until 9/10/2008. It generally decreases to about 0 on 3/12/2009 then generally increases to about .75 on 6/17/2009 then generally decreases to about 0on 12/9/2009. It generally increases to about .25 on 1/20/2010 and remains about constant ending on 6/16/2010. 2010 begins at about 1.5 on 3/13/2008 and remains about constant until 9/10/2008. It generally decreases to about 1.25 on 10/22/2008 and remains about constant until 1/22/2009. It generally decreases to about 1 on 3/12/2009 and remains about constant until 1/20/2010. It generally increases to about 1.25 on 4/21/2010 then generally decreases ending at about 1 on 6/16/2010. 2011 begins at about 2 on 9/16/2009 and fluctuates but remains about constant ending on 6/16/2010.
Figure: Emerging Market Economies
Line chart, Tealbook publication dates 1/23/2008 to 12/8/2010. Unit is percent change, Q4/Q4. 0 on the scale is marked by a horizontal line. There are three series, "2009," "2010," and "2011." 2009 begins at about 3 and generally increases to about 3.5 on 6/18/2008. It generally decreases to about 1 on 3/12/2009 then generally increases ending at about 2 on 6/16/2010. 2010 begins at about 3.25 on 3/13/2008 then generally decreases to about 2 on 3/12/2009. It generally increases to about 3.5 on 4/21/2010 then generally decreases ending at about 3 on 6/16/2010. 2011 begins at about 2.25 on 8/6/2009 and generally increases to about 3 on 4/21/2010. It remains about constant ending on 6/16/2010.
† Note: Data values for figures are rounded and may not sum to totals. Return to text