Research Staff and Resources

Contact Information
202-452-3360
hao.zhou@frb.gov

Fields of Interest
Asset Pricing
Risk Management
Financial Markets

Education
Ph.D., Finance and Econometrics, Duke University, 2000
M.A., Management Economics, Peking University, 1993
B.A., International Economics, Peking University, 1989

Professional Experience
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2000-present
Visiting Professor of Finance, Sloan School of Management, MIT, 2007-2007
Economist, Trading Risk Analysis Section, Federal Reserve Board, 2000-2006
Lecturer, Department of Economics, Duke University, 1999-2000
Consultant, Development Research Center of the State Council, China, 1993-1994
Administrator, Nandan County, Guangxi Province, China, 1989-1990

Selected Publications

• Variance Risk Premia, Asset Predictability Puzzles, and Macroeconomic Uncertainty , Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-forthcoming. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2009.
• Assessing the Systemic Risk of a Heterogeneous Portfolio of Banks during the Recent Financial Crisis (with Xin Huang and Haibin Zhu), Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2009-44. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2009.
• Specification Analysis of Structural Credit Risk Models (with Jing-zhi Huang), Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-55. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2008.
• “Effect of Liquidity on the Nondefault Component of Corporate Bond Spreads: Evidence from Intraday Transactions Data (with Song Han), Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2008-40. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 2008.
• ''Dynamic Estimation of Volatility Risk Premia and Investor Risk Aversion from Option-Implied and Realized Volatilities'' (with Tim Bollerslev and Mike Gibson), Journal of Econometrics forthcoming (2009).
• ''Realized Jumps on Financial Markets and Predicting Credit Spreads'' (with George Tauchen), Journal of Econometrics forthcoming (2009).
• ''Explaining Credit Default Swap Spreads with the Equity Volatility and Jump Risks of Individual Firms'' (with Benjamin Yibin Zhang and Haibin Zhu), Review of Financial Studies, vol. 22 (December 2009), pp. 5099-5131.
• ''Bond Risk Premia and Realized Jump Risk'' (with Jonathan Wright), Journal of Banking and Finance, vol. 33 (December 2009), pp. 2333-2345.
• ''A Framework for Assessing the Systemic Risk of Major Financial Institutions '' (with Xin Huang and Haibin Zhu), Journal of Banking and Finance , vol. 33 (November 2009), pp. 2036-2049 .
• ''Expected Stock Returns and Variance Risk Premia'' (with Tim Bollerslev and George Tauchen), Review of Financial Studies, vol. 22 (November 2009), pp. 4463-4492.
• ''Volatility Puzzles: A Simple Framework for Gauging Return-Volatility Regressions'' (with Tim Bollerslev), Journal of Econometrics, vol. 131 (2006), pp. 123-150.
• ''Regime-Shifts, Risk Premiums in the Term Structure, and the Business Cycle'' (with Ravi Bansal and George Tauchen), Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, vol. 22 (October 2004), pp. 396-409.
• ''Ito Conditional Moment Generator and the Estimation of Short Rate Processes,'' Journal of Financial Econometrics, vol. 1 (2003), pp. 250-271.
• ''Comment - Numerical Techniques for Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Continuous - Time Diffiusion Processes,'' Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, vol. 20 (2002), pp. 332-335.
• ''Estimating Stochastic Volatility Diffusion Using Conditional Moments of Integrated Volatility'' (with Tim Bollerslev), Journal of Econometrics, vol. 109 (2002), pp. 33-65.
• ''Term Structure of Interest Rates with Regime Shifts'' (with Ravi Bansal), Journal of Finance, vol. 57 (2002), pp. 1997-2043.
• ''Finite Sample Properties of EMM, GMM, QMLE, and MLE for a Square-Root Interest Rate Diffusion Model,'' Journal of Computational Finance, vol. 5 (2001), pp. 89-122.
• ''Rural-Urban Disparity and Sectoral Labour Allocation in China'' (with Dennis Tao Yang), Journal of Development Studies, vol. 35 (1999), pp. 105-133.