Figure 1: Total Lifetime Earnings by Current Earnings Decile, Box and
Whisker Plot, Ages 48–62, 2022
Source: Authors’ analysis of
SCF data.
| Lower Adjacent | p25 | Median | p75 | Upper Adjacent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1.043 | 1.83 | 2.748 | 5.306 |
| 2 | 0.359 | 1.659 | 2.225 | 3.042 | 5.116 |
| 3 | 0.831 | 1.986 | 2.59 | 3.235 | 5.109 |
| 4 | 0.599 | 2.217 | 2.59 | 3.534 | 5.509 |
| 5 | 0.651 | 2.497 | 3.137 | 4.014 | 6.289 |
| 6 | 1.631 | 2.657 | 3.466 | 4.227 | 6.44 |
| 7 | 1.375 | 2.914 | 3.655 | 4.262 | 6.284 |
| 8 | 1.602 | 3.241 | 4.039 | 4.723 | 6.947 |
| 9 | 2.287 | 4.085 | 4.809 | 5.284 | 7.082 |
| Next 8 | 2.744 | 5.118 | 6.058 | 6.793 | 9.305 |
| Top 2 | 4.766 | 6.594 | 7.238 | 8.988 | 12.578 |
Figure 2: Ratios of Median Wealth to Income, by Type of Wealth, Sorted
by SCF Income Deciles, Ages 48–62, 2022
Source: Authors’
analysis of SCF data.
| Net Worth/SCF Income | DB/SCF Income | SSW/SCF Income | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.978 | 0.35 | 9.707 |
| 2 | 1.913 | 0.128 | 6.376 |
| 3 | 1.903 | 0.721 | 4.469 |
| 4 | 2.218 | 1.488 | 3.133 |
| 5 | 2.761 | 0.87 | 3.649 |
| 6 | 2.579 | 1.826 | 3.643 |
| 7 | 3.379 | 3.278 | 2.369 |
| 8 | 4.39 | 2.336 | 2.155 |
| 9 | 5.158 | 2.214 | 1.422 |
| Next 8 | 6.762 | 1.445 | 0.881 |
| Top 2 | 5.625 | 0.516 | 0.28 |
Figure 3: Ratios of Median Wealth to Predicted Income, by Type of
Wealth, Sorted by Predicted Income Deciles, Ages 48–62, 2019–2022
Source: Authors’ analysis of SCF data.
| Net Worth/Pred Income | DB/Pred Income | SSW/Pred Income | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.037 | 0.519 | 2.55 |
| 2 | 1.909 | 1.305 | 2.819 |
| 3 | 2.069 | 1.163 | 2.85 |
| 4 | 2.109 | 1.462 | 2.209 |
| 5 | 2.437 | 1.53 | 2.268 |
| 6 | 2.77 | 1.205 | 1.438 |
| 7 | 2.425 | 1.706 | 1.143 |
| 8 | 2.231 | 1.401 | 1.031 |
| 9 | 2.476 | 1.452 | 1.037 |
| Next 8 | 2.463 | 1.236 | 1.429 |
| Top 2 | 2.482 | 2.267 | 1.294 |
Figure 4: Ratios of Total Wealth to Total Lifetime Earnings, by
Average LE Decile, Box and Whisker Plot, Ages 48–62, 2022
Source: Authors’ analysis of SCF data.
| Lower Adjacent | p25 | Median | p75 | Upper Adjacent | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0.125 | 0.256 | 0.457 | 0.956 |
| 2 | 0 | 0.162 | 0.207 | 0.425 | 0.82 |
| 3 | 0 | 0.126 | 0.197 | 0.455 | 0.949 |
| 4 | 0 | 0.152 | 0.251 | 0.452 | 0.903 |
| 5 | 0 | 0.119 | 0.233 | 0.443 | 0.929 |
| 6 | 0.015 | 0.185 | 0.28 | 0.564 | 1.132 |
| 7 | 0.032 | 0.2 | 0.36 | 0.576 | 1.139 |
| 8 | 0.043 | 0.221 | 0.381 | 0.601 | 1.172 |
| 9 | 0.077 | 0.271 | 0.445 | 0.641 | 1.195 |
| Next 8 | 0.079 | 0.471 | 0.748 | 1.134 | 2.129 |
| Top 2 | 0.14 | 0.706 | 1.095 | 1.805 | 3.454 |
Figure 5: Ratios of Median Wealth to Total Household Lifetime
Earnings, by Type of Wealth, Sorted by Average Lifetime Earnings
Deciles, Ages 48–62, 2022
Source: Authors’ analysis of SCF
data.
| Net Worth/Total Earnings | DB/Total Earnings | SSW/Total Earnings | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.069 | 0 | 0.187 |
| 2 | 0.062 | 0.019 | 0.117 |
| 3 | 0.052 | 0.028 | 0.117 |
| 4 | 0.078 | 0.061 | 0.112 |
| 5 | 0.098 | 0.02 | 0.118 |
| 6 | 0.111 | 0.062 | 0.1 |
| 7 | 0.16 | 0.099 | 0.102 |
| 8 | 0.195 | 0.082 | 0.112 |
| 9 | 0.231 | 0.147 | 0.069 |
| Next 8 | 0.563 | 0.114 | 0.071 |
| Top 2 | 0.929 | 0.035 | 0.042 |
Figure 6: Unrealized Capital Gains by Deciles of Average Household
Lifetime Earnings, Ages 48–62, 2022
(a) Prevalence by Type of
Asset
(b) Conditional Mean Value by Asset Type
Source: Authors’ analysis of SCF data.
(a) Prevalence by Type of Asset
| Total | House | Oth Real Estate | Business | STMF | Reteq | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.43 | 0.391 | 0.035 | 0.024 | 0.018 | 0.064 |
| 2 | 0.737 | 0.628 | 0.073 | 0.049 | 0.055 | 0.273 |
| 3 | 0.772 | 0.61 | 0.075 | 0.081 | 0.105 | 0.337 |
| 4 | 0.756 | 0.609 | 0.094 | 0.059 | 0.15 | 0.485 |
| 5 | 0.835 | 0.726 | 0.117 | 0.112 | 0.241 | 0.436 |
| 6 | 0.916 | 0.789 | 0.236 | 0.155 | 0.196 | 0.581 |
| 7 | 0.92 | 0.821 | 0.205 | 0.129 | 0.298 | 0.643 |
| 8 | 0.989 | 0.954 | 0.184 | 0.228 | 0.414 | 0.737 |
| 9 | 1 | 0.967 | 0.288 | 0.26 | 0.4 | 0.873 |
| Next 8 | 1 | 0.926 | 0.422 | 0.316 | 0.685 | 0.94 |
| Top 2 | 1 | 0.946 | 0.551 | 0.549 | 0.874 | 0.919 |
(b) Conditional Mean Value by Asset Type
| House | Oth Real Estate | Business | STMF | Reteq | Reteq | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75833.289 | 2601.486 | 209.994 | 314.16 | 443.895 | 443.895 |
| 2 | 74298.383 | 6555.923 | 2625.466 | -6.405 | 3914.083 | 3914.083 |
| 3 | 100535.289 | 15156.894 | 8470.532 | 1789.47 | 3935.989 | 3935.989 |
| 4 | 90387.352 | 15934.408 | 4307.15 | -3447.152 | 10888.146 | 10888.146 |
| 5 | 127019.273 | 25898.785 | 42951.97 | 25048.303 | 12976.388 | 12976.388 |
| 6 | 135948.594 | 28914.625 | 33791.024 | 8807.761 | 21291.219 | 21291.219 |
| 7 | 182101.594 | 24772.258 | 134917.237 | -1542.76 | 26207.014 | 26207.014 |
| 8 | 177076.984 | 58185.396 | 328133.698 | 22468.461 | 40139.035 | 40139.035 |
| 9 | 216639.766 | 143761.596 | 203248.886 | 37184.855 | 74179.195 | 74179.195 |
| Next 8 | 351082.375 | 131736.824 | 624086.347 | 143805.016 | 207748.031 | 207748.031 |
| Top 2 | 473326.031 | 482743.436 | 4421643.015 | 998891.125 | 309472.375 | 309472.375 |
Figure 7: Expanded Wealth, by Inclusion of Accrued Capital Gains, as
Share of Total Household Lifetime Earnings by Deciles of Average
Household Lifetime Earnings, Ages 48–62, 2022
Source:
Authors’ analysis of SCF data.
| Total Wealth/Total Earnings | Total Wealth - KG/Total Earnings | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.256 | 0.23 |
| 2 | 0.198 | 0.167 |
| 3 | 0.197 | 0.176 |
| 4 | 0.251 | 0.213 |
| 5 | 0.236 | 0.171 |
| 6 | 0.273 | 0.216 |
| 7 | 0.361 | 0.311 |
| 8 | 0.389 | 0.326 |
| 9 | 0.447 | 0.394 |
| Next 8 | 0.748 | 0.589 |
| Top 2 | 1.007 | 0.774 |
Figure 8: Combined Wealth Components, as Share of Total Household
Lifetime Earnings, by Deciles of Private Wealth, Ages 48–62, 2022
Source: Authors’ analysis of SCF data.
| Net Worth/Total Earnings | DB/Total Earnings | SSW/Total Earnings | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 |
| 2 | 0.014 | 0.001 | 0.122 |
| 3 | 0.051 | 0.002 | 0.105 |
| 4 | 0.094 | 0.008 | 0.105 |
| 5 | 0.151 | 0.012 | 0.12 |
| 6 | 0.146 | 0.057 | 0.078 |
| 7 | 0.229 | 0.09 | 0.094 |
| 8 | 0.331 | 0.118 | 0.111 |
| 9 | 0.419 | 0.165 | 0.081 |
| Next 8 | 0.791 | 0.223 | 0.076 |
| Top 2 | 2.276 | 0.08 | 0.043 |
Figure 9: Ratios of Net Worth to Lifetime Earnings by Inclusion of
Capital Gains and Ranking Variable, Ages 48–62, 2022
(a) Ranked by Average Lifetime Earnings
(b) Ranked by Net Worth
Source: Authors’ analysis of SCF data.
(a) Ranked by Average Lifetime Earnings
| Net Worth/Total Earnings | NW-KGsurv/Tot Earn | NW-ALL KG/Tot Earn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.069 | 0.043 | 0.043 |
| 2 | 0.062 | 0.031 | 0.031 |
| 3 | 0.052 | 0.03 | 0.029 |
| 4 | 0.078 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| 5 | 0.098 | 0.034 | 0.032 |
| 6 | 0.111 | 0.054 | 0.053 |
| 7 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.105 |
| 8 | 0.195 | 0.132 | 0.127 |
| 9 | 0.231 | 0.178 | 0.161 |
| Next 8 | 0.563 | 0.404 | 0.367 |
| Top 2 | 0.929 | 0.696 | 0.644 |
(b) Ranked by Net Worth
| Net Worth/Total Earnings | NW-KGsurv/Tot Earn | NW-ALL KG/Tot Earn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 0.014 | 0.014 | 0.014 |
| 3 | 0.051 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| 4 | 0.094 | 0.042 | 0.042 |
| 5 | 0.151 | 0.089 | 0.086 |
| 6 | 0.146 | 0.085 | 0.083 |
| 7 | 0.229 | 0.167 | 0.158 |
| 8 | 0.331 | 0.248 | 0.226 |
| 9 | 0.419 | 0.295 | 0.273 |
| Next 8 | 0.791 | 0.584 | 0.525 |
| Top 2 | 2.276 | 1.279 | 1.121 |
Figure 10: Expanded Wealth Components Less Capital Gains, as Share of
Total Household Lifetime Earnings by Deciles of Average Lifetime
Earnings, Ages 48–62, 2022
Source: Authors’ analysis of SCF
data.
| NW-ALL KG/Tot Earn | DB/Total Earnings | Other Wealth/Total Earnings | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.043 | 0 | 0.187 |
| 2 | 0.031 | 0.019 | 0.117 |
| 3 | 0.029 | 0.028 | 0.117 |
| 4 | 0.04 | 0.061 | 0.112 |
| 5 | 0.032 | 0.02 | 0.118 |
| 6 | 0.053 | 0.062 | 0.1 |
| 7 | 0.105 | 0.099 | 0.102 |
| 8 | 0.127 | 0.082 | 0.112 |
| 9 | 0.161 | 0.147 | 0.069 |
| Next 8 | 0.367 | 0.114 | 0.071 |
| Top 2 | 0.644 | 0.035 | 0.042 |
Figure A1:
(a) CPS Earnings Path and SCF Model
Estimates for 1961–1963 Birth Cohort
(b) CPS Earnings Path
and SCF Model Estimates for 1967–1969 Birth Cohort
Source:
Authors’ analysis of IPUMS CPS, University of Minnesota,
https://gcc02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ipums.org%2F&data=05%7C02%7CJeffrey.Thompson%40bos.frb.org%7C79f4293f29474a2cc69908de12511179%7Cb397c6535b19463fb9fcaf658ded9128%7C1%7C0%7C638968336547090889%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJFbXB0eU1hcGkiOnRydWUsIlYiOiIwLjAuMDAwMCIsIlAiOiJXaW4zMiIsIkFOIjoiTWFpbCIsIldUIjoyfQ%3D%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=sx7gLLnTLpdDCpF0ujovXJ2dOMyyaFYccX%2FxYukYJ4U%3D&reserved=0www.ipums.org,
U.S. Census Bureau, Bureau of Labor Statistics and SCF
data.
(a) CPS Earnings Path and SCF Model Estimates for 1961–1963 Birth Cohort
| 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCF Male Cohort 1961-1963 | 19220.269 | 21599.592 | 24116.974 | 26664.317 | 29180.861 | 31740.572 | 34112.432 | 36520.039 | 38897.573 | 41208.528 | 43394.3 | 45464.544 | 47404.279 | 49152.076 | 50880.543 | 52420.865 | 53918.11 | 55508.333 | 57064.729 | 58655.387 | 59536.509 | 61455.235 | 62668.71 | 62657.715 | 63089.174 | 63114.042 | 63776.992 | 64012.851 | 63723.904 | 62764.755 | 62671.501 | 61626.583 | 60539.907 | 60109.857 | 58490.235 | 58356.868 | 56489.699 | 55531.447 | 54714.131 | 53334.631 |
| SCF Female Cohort 1961-1963 | 18738.355 | 20582.906 | 22668.184 | 24279.959 | 25885.398 | 27392.34 | 29101.14 | 31094.37 | 32978.477 | 34119.097 | 36664.088 | 37312.354 | 38371.88 | 38412.073 | 39798.361 | 40984.44 | 41493.722 | 42416.973 | 42611.693 | 43471.002 | 45425.217 | 45209.38 | 46128.545 | 45206.623 | 45907.431 | 46659.727 | 47057.743 | 48164.41 | 49018.438 | 49989.074 | 49927.613 | 50408.837 | 51385.439 | 51156.381 | 51418.455 | 51825.927 | 51587.709 | 50929.268 | 49998.667 | 45344.114 |
| CPS Male Cohort 1961-1963 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41808.285 | 42735.484 | 47283.18 | 46296.773 | 49554.707 | 50934.258 | 50934.258 | 51649.121 | 52537.922 | 54089.238 | 57796.32 | 58696.574 | 61408.59 | 61848.738 | 62337.664 | 64000 | 64000 | 62339.863 | 62339.863 | 63907.379 | 65714.289 | 65327.543 | 62448.484 | 67491.977 | 64111.5 | 64111.5 | 64111.5 | 65703.008 | 63786.668 | 62459.406 | 63473.148 | 64861.688 | 62565.688 | 63324.207 | 65180.812 |
| CPS Female Cohort 1961-1963 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27374.473 | 31723.975 | 32661.057 | 34584.434 | 32422.908 | 33573.77 | 33573.77 | 36672.664 | 33373.281 | 31898.023 | 36122.699 | 36122.699 | 35761.473 | 38876.352 | 38233.766 | 39896.105 | 40520.91 | 40000 | 39193.035 | 42393.016 | 41021.828 | 41184.758 | 41021.828 | 40495.188 | 41823.387 | 40579.812 | 41392.613 | 43476.793 | 41706.668 | 42933.332 | 41712.07 | 46053.969 | 45502.32 | 46053.969 | 42932.43 |
(b) CPS Earnings Path and SCF Model Estimates for 1967–1969 Birth Cohort
| 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCF Male Cohort 1967-1969 | 18215.456 | 22102.128 | 26335.693 | 30614.229 | 34066.306 | 37503.499 | 40804.928 | 44217.978 | 47423.104 | 50303.458 | 52985.762 | 55786.054 | 57933.071 | 60229.546 | 61619.687 | 63118.566 | 64549.704 | 65361.41 | 66614.088 | 67726.845 | 68161.227 | 70238.238 | 69796.281 | 70984.622 | 70095.519 | 71234.743 | 69958.177 | 70600.737 | 70582.291 | 71358.731 | 69706.064 | 68639.936 | 68375.049 | 63703.938 | 61414.216 | 60623.655 | 59018.225 | 57782.395 | 57324.622 | 56722.797 |
| SCF Female Cohort 1967-1969 | 14871.388 | 18592.962 | 21420.066 | 23527.929 | 25595.089 | 27595.934 | 29600.586 | 32114.235 | 34403.091 | 36120.999 | 37713.044 | 39219.624 | 40986.858 | 41289.981 | 42584.361 | 43718.824 | 44698.143 | 45814.797 | 45503.011 | 47923.319 | 48957.047 | 47651.374 | 48744.379 | 50200.478 | 51110.505 | 50971.373 | 50877.476 | 51810.786 | 51140.033 | 50369.03 | 51227.253 | 52150.957 | 52645.287 | 52225.348 | 51431.204 | 51229.131 | 49820.36 | 48481.595 | 50646.317 | 51438.336 |
| CPS Male Cohort 1967-1969 | 22554.838 | 24009.254 | 24777.354 | 29377.049 | 32597.924 | 35757.086 | 38710.035 | 41716.598 | 45032.504 | 46908.859 | 52276.637 | 54708.477 | 56519.48 | 57276.266 | 58181.816 | 62339.863 | 62339.863 | 61333.332 | 61333.332 | 65714.289 | 65117.984 | 67491.977 | 60742.777 | 60215.207 | 61262.43 | 64114.062 | 63175.965 | 62188.426 | 64861.688 | 64861.688 | 66935.32 | 69080.953 | 69080.953 | 68000 | 66267.156 | 60000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CPS Female Cohort 1967-1969 | 11198.647 | 15432.258 | 15907.097 | 18885.246 | 24727.871 | 27147.574 | 30560.553 | 33774.379 | 31476.037 | 33016.824 | 35342.137 | 34966.773 | 35560.512 | 36002.223 | 37169.871 | 40000 | 38183.164 | 40700.461 | 37968.254 | 39428.57 | 40829.715 | 41021.828 | 39270.785 | 40495.188 | 41888.84 | 38556.824 | 43476.793 | 42234.598 | 44718.988 | 47893.375 | 46053.969 | 48356.668 | 47777.434 | 50000 | 48885.609 | 44785 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Figure A2: Mean Ratios of Expanded Wealth Components Less
Capital Gains, as Share of Total Household Lifetime Earnings by Deciles
of Average Lifetime Earnings, Ages 48–62, 2022
| Net Worth/Total Earnings | DB/Total Earnings | SSW/Total Earnings | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.505 | 0.015 | 0.006 |
| 2 | 0.149 | 0.038 | 0.119 |
| 3 | 0.19 | 0.047 | 0.111 |
| 4 | 0.175 | 0.063 | 0.11 |
| 5 | 0.222 | 0.056 | 0.102 |
| 6 | 0.225 | 0.111 | 0.099 |
| 7 | 0.295 | 0.081 | 0.096 |
| 8 | 0.386 | 0.107 | 0.091 |
| 9 | 0.414 | 0.137 | 0.079 |
| Next 8 | 0.748 | 0.126 | 0.07 |
| Top 2 | 1.452 | 0.057 | 0.042 |
Figure A3: Expanded Wealth Components Less Capital Gains, as
Share of Total Household Lifetime Earnings by Deciles of Average
Lifetime Earnings, Ages 55–62, 2022
| Net Worth/Total Earnings | DB/Total Earnings | SSW/Total Earnings | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.092 | 0.009 | 0.159 |
| 2 | 0.051 | 0.029 | 0.118 |
| 3 | 0.065 | 0.057 | 0.135 |
| 4 | 0.067 | 0.084 | 0.102 |
| 5 | 0.13 | 0.051 | 0.162 |
| 6 | 0.119 | 0.084 | 0.096 |
| 7 | 0.198 | 0.12 | 0.104 |
| 8 | 0.147 | 0.06 | 0.127 |
| 9 | 0.29 | 0.108 | 0.089 |
| Next 8 | 0.586 | 0.123 | 0.079 |
| Top 2 | 1.009 | 0.011 | 0.055 |