Photo of Robert J. Tetlow

Robert J. Tetlow

Education

  • Ph.D., Economics, Carleton University (Ottawa)
  • M.A., Economics, Simon Fraser University
  • B.A., Economics/Commerce, Simon Fraser University
Current Research Topics
  • Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Dynamics
  • Learning, Expectations, and Bubbles
  • Senior Adviser

    Division of Monetary Affairs

    2016 - present
  • Adviser

    Division of Monetary Affairs

    2013 - 2016
  • Senior Economist

    Division of Research and Statistics

    2000 - 2013
  • Visiting Adviser

    Research Department, International Monetary Fund

    2010 - 2011
  • Economist

    Division of Research and Statistics, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    1995 - 2000
  • Research Officer

    Research Department, Bank of Canada

    1993 - 1995
  • Senior Analyst

    Research Department, Bank of Canada

    1991 - 1993
  • Economist

    Department of Monetary and Financial Analysis, Bank of Canada

    1988 - 1991
  • The Monetary Policy Response to Uncertain Inflation Persistence
    Robert Tetlow
    Economics Letters (2019)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2018.10.034
  • The Monetary Policy Response to Uncertain Inflation Persistence
    Robert Tetlow
    FEDS Notes (2018)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2247
  • Some Implications of Uncertainty and Misperception for Monetary Policy
    Christopher Erceg, James Hebden, Michael Kiley, David López-Salido, and Robert Tetlow
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2018)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.059
  • The Federal Reserve's Framework for Monetary Policy: Recent Changes and New Questions
    William B. English, J. David López-Salido, and Robert J. Tetlow
    IMF Economic Review (2015)
    https://doi.org/10.1057/imfer.2014.27
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2013)
  • Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: The Transmission of Crises
    Kirstin Hubrich and Robert Tetlow
    Journal of Monetary Economics (2015)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2014.09.005
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2013)
  • Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' Policies Put to the Test
    Robert J. Tetlow
    International Journal of Central Banking (2015)
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2010)
  • The Challenges of Estimating Potential Output in Real Time: Commentary
    Robert J. Tetlow
    Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review (2009)
  • Robustifying Learnability
    Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
    Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (2009)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2008.06.005
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2005)
  • Inflation Targeting and Target Instability
    Robert J. Tetlow
    International Journal of Central Banking (2008)
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2000)
  • Real-Time Model Uncertainty in the United States - the Fed from 1996-2003
    Robert J. Tetlow and Brian Ironside
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (2007)
    https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2007.00078.x
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2006)
  • On the Robustness of Simple and Optimal Monetary Policy Rules: Discussion
    Robert J. Tetlow
    Journal of Monetary Economics (2007)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2007.06.014
  • Monetary Policy, Asset Prices and Misspecification
    Robert Tetlow
    Issues in Inflation Targeting, proceedings of a conference of the Bank of Canada (2005)
  • Optimal Policy Projections
    Lars E. O. Svensson and Robert J. Tetlow
    International Journal of Central Banking (2005)
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2005)
  • Optimal Policy Projections
    Lars O. Svensson and Robert J. Tetlow
    NBER Working Paper Series (2005)
    https://doi.org/10.3386/w11392
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2005)
  • Avoiding Nash Inflation: Bayesian and Robust Responses to Model Uncertainty
    Robert Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
    Review of Economic Dynamics (2004)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2004.06.001
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2003)
  • Robust Monetary Policy with Misspecified Models: Does Model Uncertainty Always Call for Attenuated Policy?
    Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
    Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (2001)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1889(00)00061-0
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2000)
  • Simplicity versus Optimality: The Choice of Monetary Policy Rules When Agents Must Learn
    Robert J. Tetlow and Peter von zur Muehlen
    Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control (2001)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-1889(99)00075-5
    See also » FRB Working Paper (1999)
  • Errors in the Measurement of the Output Gap and the Design of Monetary Policy
    Athanasios Orphanides, Richard D. Porter, David Reifschneider, Robert Tetlow, and Frederico Finan
    Journal of Economics & Business (2000)
    https://doi.org/10.1016/S0148-6195(99)00031-4
    See also » FRB Working Paper (1999)
  • Optimal Control of Large, Forward-Looking Models: Efficient Solutions and Two Examples
    Frederico S. Finan and Robert Tetlow
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (1999)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.1999.51
  • Aggregate Disturbances, Monetary Policy, and the Macroeconomy: The FRB/US Perspective
    David Reifschneider, Robert Tetlow, and John Williams
    Federal Reserve Bulletin (1999)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/bulletin.1999.85-1-1
  • Expectations, Learning, and the Costs of Disinflation: Experiments using the FRB/US Model
    Antulio N. Bomfim, Robert Tetlow, Peter von zur Muehlen, and John Williams
    Monetary Policy and the Inflation Process, BIS Conference Papers (1997)
    See also » FRB Working Paper (1997)
  • The Dynamic Model: QPM
    Robert Tetlow, Donald Coletti, Ben Hunt, and David Rose
    Part 3 of The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model (1996)
  • Government Debt and Deficits in Canada: A Macro Simulation Analysis
    Tiff Macklem, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow
    Staff Working Paper (Bank of Canada) (1995)
  • The Steady-State Model: SSQPM
    Robert Tetlow, Richard Black, Douglas Laxton, and David Rose
    Part 1 of The Bank of Canada's New Quarterly Projection Model (1994)
  • Zero-Inflation or Price-Level Targeting? Some Answers from Stochastic Simulations on a Small Open-Economy Macro Model
    Jean-Francois Fillion and Robert Tetlow
    Economic behaviour and policy choice under price stability (1994)
  • Government Debt and Deficits in Canada: A Macro Simulation Analysis
    Tiff Macklem, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow
    Deficit reduction: What pain, what gain? (1994)
  • Monetary Policy, Uncertainty and the Presumption of Linearity
    Douglas Laxton, David Rose, and Robert Tetlow
    Technical Reports (Bank of Canada) (1993)
  • Government Debt in an Open Economy
    Douglas Laxton and Robert Tetlow
    Technical Reports (Bank of Canada) (1992)
  • A Simple Multivariate Filter for the Measurement of Potential Output
    Douglas Laxton and Robert Tetlow
    Technical Reports (Bank of Canada) (1992)
  • conference

    September 2014

    Advances in Applied Macro-Finance and Forecasting

    Melting Down: Systemic Financial Instability and the Macroeconomy

  • seminar

    September 2014

    Istanbul School of Central Banking, Istanbul, Turkey

    An Introduction to the FRB/US Model of the U.S. Economy

  • conference

    January 2013

    American Economics Association meetings, San Diego

    Real-time Model Uncertainty in the United States: 'Robust' policies put to the test

  • conference

    July 2011

    NBER Summer Institute

    Financial Stress and Macroeconomic Dynamics: the transmission of crises

  • conference

    October 2009

    FRB-Cleveland conference on "Models and Policies for Economies with Credit and Financial Instability

    Discussion of "Banks, Market Organization and Macroeconomic Performance: an agent-based computational analysis" by Ashraf, Gershman and Howitt

  • conference

    October 2009

    FRB Conference on Key Developments in Monetary Economics

    Discussion of "Wanting Robustness to Misspecification" by Lars P. Hansen and Thomas Sargent

  • conference

    October 2008

    33rd Annual Policy Conference of the FRB-St.Louis

    Discussion of "The Pitfalls of Measuring Potential Output in Real Time" by Robert Arnold

  • conference

    May 2008

    2008 World Congress on National Accounts and Economic Performance Measures

    Some Implications of Mismeasurement for Model Uncertainty and Monetary Policy

  • conference

    July 2015

    NBER Summer Institute

    Melting Down: Systemic Financial Instability and the Macroeconomy

Conference Organization
  • June 2005 | Washington, D.C.

    Computing in Economics and Finance 2005

    Co-organizer

  • April 2003 | Washington, D.C.

    Central Bankers' Workshop on Macromodeling

    Co-organizer

Referee
  • American Economic Review
  • American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
  • European Economic Review
  • Journal of the European Economic Association
  • Journal of Monetary Economics
  • Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
  • International Journal of Central Banking
  • Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
  • Review of Economic Dynamics
  • Theoretical Economics
  • Handbook of Monetary Economics
  • Oxford Economic Papers
  • Journal of Economic Surveys
  • International Finance
  • Journal of Macroeconomics
  • Manchester School
  • Computational Economics
Professional Affiliation
  • President, Society for Computational Economics, 2010-2011
  • Member, Advisory Committee, Society for Computational Economics
  • Member, American Economic Association
  • Member, Society for Economic Dynamics
Last update: March 7, 2022