Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Accessible versions of figures for 2016-080

Understanding the New Normal: The Role of Demographics

Accessible version of figures


Figure 1: Expected real return on 10-year zero-coupon Treasury security

Date 10-year Treasury 10-year realized inflation MSC expected inflation
1954 2.37 NA NA
1954.25 2.38 NA NA
1954.5 2.38 NA NA
1954.75 2.51 NA NA
1955 2.68 NA NA
1955.25 2.78 NA NA
1955.5 2.97 NA NA
1955.75 2.96 NA NA
1956 2.96 NA NA
1956.25 3 NA NA
1956.5 3.38 NA NA
1956.75 3.59 NA NA
1957 3.41 NA NA
1957.25 3.8 NA NA
1957.5 3.92 NA NA
1957.75 3.21 NA NA
1958 2.98 NA NA
1958.25 2.97 NA NA
1958.5 3.76 NA NA
1958.75 3.86 NA NA
1959 3.99 NA NA
1959.25 4.34 NA NA
1959.5 4.68 NA NA
1959.75 4.69 NA NA
1960 4.25 1.86 NA
1960.25 4.15 1.79 NA
1960.5 3.8 1.67 NA
1960.75 3.84 1.45 NA
1961 3.74 1.25 NA
1961.25 3.88 1.29 NA
1961.5 3.98 1.3 NA
1961.75 4.06 1.29 NA
1962 3.93 1.31 NA
1962.25 3.91 1.54 NA
1962.5 3.98 1.29 NA
1962.75 3.86 1.26 NA
1963 3.93 1.24 NA
1963.25 3.99 1.23 NA
1963.5 4.08 1.25 NA
1963.75 4.13 1.61 NA
1964 4.22 1.74 NA
1964.25 4.17 1.57 NA
1964.5 4.2 1.51 NA
1964.75 4.18 1.31 NA
1965 4.21 1.21 NA
1965.25 4.21 1.2 NA
1965.5 4.29 1.34 NA
1965.75 4.62 1.45 NA
1966 4.87 1.6 NA
1966.25 4.81 2.03 NA
1966.5 5.18 2.54 NA
1966.75 4.84 2.94 NA
1967 4.54 3.06 NA
1967.25 5.02 3.2 NA
1967.5 5.3 3.05 NA
1967.75 5.7 3.26 NA
1968 5.74 3.83 NA
1968.25 5.72 4.28 NA
1968.5 5.46 4.5 NA
1968.75 6.03 4.86 NA
1969 6.3 4.72 NA
1969.25 6.57 4.92 NA
1969.5 7.16 5 NA
1969.75 7.65 5.05 NA
1970 7.07 4.4 NA
1970.25 7.84 4.73 NA
1970.5 7.39 4.53 NA
1970.75 6.39 4.34 NA
1971 5.7 4.68 NA
1971.25 6.52 5.27 NA
1971.5 6.14 4.46 NA
1971.75 5.93 4.04 NA
1972 6.07 3.74 NA
1972.25 6.11 3.17 NA
1972.5 6.55 3.26 NA
1972.75 6.36 3.09 NA
1973 6.71 2.91 NA
1973.25 6.9 3.59 NA
1973.5 7.09 3.98 NA
1973.75 6.74 4.89 NA
1974 7.21 6.06 NA
1974.25 7.54 7.1 NA
1974.5 8.04 8.78 NA
1974.75 7.43 9.56 NA
1975 7.73 10.29 NA
1975.25 7.86 8.91 NA
1975.5 8.43 7.83 NA
1975.75 8 6.74 NA
1976 7.73 6.28 NA
1976.25 7.86 6.09 NA
1976.5 7.59 5.86 NA
1976.75 6.87 5.68 NA
1977 7.46 6.21 NA
1977.25 7.28 6.41 NA
1977.5 7.34 6.58 NA
1977.75 7.69 6.59 NA
1978 8.04 6.43 NA
1978.25 8.46 6.74 NA
1978.5 8.42 6.63 NA
1978.75 9.01 7.19 NA
1979 9.12 6.81 7
1979.25 8.91 7.1 NA
1979.5 9.33 7.63 NA
1979.75 10.39 7.64 NA
1980 12.75 9.56 9.6
1980.25 9.78 8.2 NA
1980.5 11.51 9.86 8.7
1980.75 12.84 10.02 NA
1981 13.12 9.56 6.8
1981.25 13.47 8.72 NA
1981.5 15.32 9.07 6.6
1981.75 13.72 7.53 NA
1982 13.86 6.67 5.2
1982.25 14.3 6.87 NA
1982.5 12.34 5.52 5.3
1982.75 10.54 5.77 NA
1983 10.51 5.75 4.9
1983.25 10.85 5.51 NA
1983.5 11.65 5.22 5
1983.75 11.83 4.64 NA
1984 12.32 4.58 5
1984.25 13.56 4.96 NA
1984.5 12.52 3.65 5
1984.75 11.5 3.66 NA
1985 11.86 4.58 4.7
1985.25 10.16 3.35 NA
1985.5 10.37 4.13 4.7
1985.75 9.26 3.6 NA
1986 7.78 3.02 3.8
1986.25 7.8 3.7 3.9
1986.5 7.45 3.34 4
1986.75 7.11 3.15 3.8
1987 7.25 2.86 3.9
1987.25 8.4 3.16 4.3
1987.5 9.42 3.84 3.4
1987.75 8.99 3.37 4.1
1988 8.37 3.85 NA
1988.25 8.92 4.11 NA
1988.5 8.98 4.28 NA
1988.75 9.11 4.65 NA
1989 9.36 4.75 NA
1989.25 8.28 3.81 NA
1989.5 8.19 3.88 NA
1989.75 7.84 3.53 NA
1990 8.59 3.87 NA
1990.25 8.48 3.7 4.4
1990.5 8.89 4.39 4.5
1990.75 8.08 3.78 4.6
1991 8.11 3.89 4.6
1991.25 8.28 3.65 4.4
1991.5 7.65 3.11 4
1991.75 7.09 3.04 3.8
1992 7.54 3.44 3.5
1992.25 7.26 3.08 3.7
1992.5 6.42 2.7 3.8
1992.75 6.77 2.83 3.5
1993 5.98 2.5 3.6
1993.25 5.96 2.77 3.6
1993.5 5.36 2.54 3.4
1993.75 5.77 2.66 3.5
1994 6.48 2.71 3.3
1994.25 7.1 2.22 3.3
1994.5 7.46 2.33 3.3
1994.75 7.81 2.17 3.2
1995 7.2 2.02 3.2
1995.25 6.17 1.75 3.3
1995.5 6.2 1.98 3.1
1995.75 5.71 1.92 3.1
1996 6.27 2.36 3.2
1996.25 6.91 1.99 3.1
1996.5 6.83 1.85 3.2
1996.75 6.3 1.86 3
1997 6.69 2.03 3.1
1997.25 6.49 1.69 3
1997.5 6.21 1.67 3
1997.75 5.81 1.4 3
1998 5.65 1.36 2.8
1998.25 5.5 1 2.8
1998.5 4.81 0.81 2.8
1998.75 4.65 1.18 2.8
1999 5.23 1.55 2.8
1999.25 5.9 1.66 2.9
1999.5 5.92 1.34 2.9
1999.75 6.28 1.54 2.9
2000 6.26 1.48 3
2000.25 6.1 1.62 2.9
2000.5 5.8 1.71 2.9
2000.75 5.24 1.47 3
2001 4.89 1.64 3
2001.25 5.28 1.91 3
2001.5 4.73 1.45 2.9
2001.75 5.09 2.12 2.8
2002 5.28 1.7 2.7
2002.25 4.93 1.53 2.9
2002.5 3.87 1.51 2.8
2002.75 4.03 1.72 2.8
2003 3.81 1.59 2.7
2003.25 3.33 1.21 2.7
2003.5 4.27 1.44 2.7
2003.75 4.27 1.38 2.8
2004 3.83 1.51 2.9
2004.25 4.73 2.03 2.8
2004.5 4.13 1.83 2.8
2004.75 4.23 2.16 2.8
2005 4.5 2.4 2.8
2005.25 4 1.94 2.9
2005.5 4.2 2.09 2.9
2005.75 4.47 2.28 3.1
2006 4.72 2.25 2.9
2006.25 5.11 2.34 3.1
2006.5 4.72 2.22 3
2006.75 4.56 2.13 3
2007 4.56 2.28 2.9
2007.25 5.1 2.25 3
2007.5 4.52 1.79 3
2007.75 4.1 2.04 2.9
2008 3.51 1.95 2.9
2008.25 4.1 2.51 3.3
2008.5 3.69 2.03 3.2
2008.75 2.42 0.77 2.8
2009 2.82 1.28 2.9
2009.25 3.72 1.61 2.9
2009.5 3.4 0.88 2.9
2009.75 3.59 1.53 2.9
2010 3.73 1.61 2.8
2010.25 3.2 1.01 2.8
2010.5 2.65 1.16 2.8
2010.75 3.29 1.43 2.8
2011 3.41 1.05 3
2011.25 3 1.19 2.9
2011.5 1.98 1.25 2.9
2011.75 1.98 1.83 2.7
2012 2.17 2.23 2.9
2012.25 1.62 1.7 2.8
2012.5 1.72 1.78 2.8
2012.75 1.72 1.81 2.8
2013 1.96 1.71 2.9
2013.25 2.3 1.8 2.9
2013.5 2.81 1.6 2.9
2013.75 2.9 1.65 2.8
2014 2.72 1.36 2.9
2014.25 2.6 1.58 2.9
2014.5 2.53 1.63 2.8
2014.75 2.21 1.33 2.8
2015 2.04 1.37 2.8
2015.25 2.36 1.49 2.7
2015.5 2.17 1.25 2.7
2015.75 2.24 1.45 2.6
2016 NA NA 2.6
2016.25 NA NA 2.5

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Figure 2: Estimated/Projected survival function by year of birth

Age (in years) 1900 1960 1980 2000 2020
0.25 96.4662 99.3399 99.6770 99.8245 99.8867
0.5 93.0732 98.6853 99.3586 99.6506 99.7740
0.75 89.8955 98.0557 99.0539 99.4833 99.6653
1 87.3566 97.5610 98.8149 99.3511 99.5793
1.25 85.6413 97.2623 98.6698 99.2700 99.5266
1.5 84.6777 97.1530 98.6148 99.2385 99.5064
1.75 84.2029 97.1530 98.6148 99.2385 99.5064
2 83.9302 97.1530 98.6148 99.2385 99.5064
2.25 83.6823 97.1530 98.6148 99.2385 99.5064
2.5 83.3825 97.1473 98.6090 99.2355 99.5041
2.75 83.0469 97.1135 98.5906 99.2257 99.4971
3 82.7251 97.0728 98.5694 99.2141 99.4889
3.25 82.4457 97.0384 98.5517 99.2043 99.4818
3.5 82.2155 97.0156 98.5397 99.1974 99.4769
3.75 82.0212 97.0016 98.5321 99.1928 99.4736
4 81.8444 96.9907 98.5261 99.1892 99.4710
4.25 81.6738 96.9794 98.5200 99.1856 99.4685
4.5 81.5059 96.9661 98.5130 99.1817 99.4658
4.75 81.3439 96.9514 98.5055 99.1776 99.4629
5 81.1933 96.9368 98.4979 99.1735 99.4600
5.25 81.0571 96.9229 98.4907 99.1696 99.4572
5.5 80.9359 96.9103 98.4840 99.1660 99.4545
5.75 80.8280 96.8985 98.4778 99.1627 99.4519
6 80.7309 96.8873 98.4718 99.1594 99.4495
6.25 80.6425 96.8764 98.4660 99.1561 99.4470
6.5 80.5617 96.8656 98.4602 99.1529 99.4446
6.75 80.4887 96.8551 98.4545 99.1497 99.4422
7 80.4234 96.8450 98.4490 99.1466 99.4399
7.25 80.3648 96.8352 98.4437 99.1435 99.4375
7.5 80.3099 96.8259 98.4386 99.1406 99.4352
7.75 80.2538 96.8169 98.4338 99.1377 99.4329
8 80.1921 96.8082 98.4292 99.1349 99.4307
8.25 80.1229 96.7998 98.4248 99.1322 99.4287
8.5 80.0482 96.7918 98.4205 99.1296 99.4267
8.75 79.9734 96.7842 98.4164 99.1270 99.4249
9 79.9046 96.7772 98.4124 99.1246 99.4232
9.25 79.8451 96.7707 98.4086 99.1222 99.4215
9.5 79.7952 96.7647 98.4049 99.1199 99.4198
9.75 79.7522 96.7590 98.4013 99.1178 99.4183
10 79.7124 96.7535 98.3979 99.1157 99.4167
10.25 79.6733 96.7482 98.3947 99.1138 99.4153
10.5 79.6337 96.7430 98.3915 99.1119 99.4139
10.75 79.5937 96.7380 98.3885 99.1100 99.4125
11 79.5537 96.7331 98.3857 99.1082 99.4112
11.25 79.5145 96.7281 98.3829 99.1064 99.4099
11.5 79.4766 96.7231 98.3803 99.1044 99.4086
11.75 79.4405 96.7181 98.3776 99.1024 99.4072
12 79.4066 96.7129 98.3747 99.1003 99.4057
12.25 79.3746 96.7077 98.3714 99.0980 99.4041
12.5 79.3441 96.7024 98.3678 99.0954 99.4023
12.75 79.3137 96.6968 98.3638 99.0926 99.4002
13 79.2825 96.6909 98.3595 99.0894 99.3978
13.25 79.2497 96.6844 98.3549 99.0858 99.3950
13.5 79.2153 96.6774 98.3499 99.0817 99.3918
13.75 79.1797 96.6696 98.3444 99.0771 99.3882
14 79.1432 96.6610 98.3383 99.0721 99.3841
14.25 79.1061 96.6515 98.3315 99.0664 99.3796
14.5 79.0683 96.6412 98.3241 99.0602 99.3746
14.75 79.0295 96.6298 98.3160 99.0534 99.3691
15 78.9893 96.6173 98.3073 99.0461 99.3631
15.25 78.9479 96.6036 98.2979 99.0382 99.3565
15.5 78.9051 96.5888 98.2878 99.0297 99.3494
15.75 78.8611 96.5729 98.2771 99.0207 99.3417
16 78.8161 96.5561 98.2657 99.0111 99.3336
16.25 78.7699 96.5383 98.2538 99.0010 99.3250
16.5 78.7224 96.5198 98.2413 98.9903 99.3160
16.75 78.6734 96.5005 98.2284 98.9791 99.3066
17 78.6231 96.4806 98.2149 98.9675 99.2967
17.25 78.5718 96.4602 98.2010 98.9554 99.2864
17.5 78.5202 96.4394 98.1866 98.9429 99.2757
17.75 78.4692 96.4185 98.1718 98.9301 99.2646
18 78.4197 96.3977 98.1566 98.9170 99.2533
18.25 78.3719 96.3772 98.1411 98.9037 99.2417
18.5 78.3259 96.3569 98.1253 98.8901 99.2299
18.75 78.2813 96.3367 98.1092 98.8764 99.2179
19 78.2377 96.3166 98.0930 98.8624 99.2058
19.25 78.1948 96.2965 98.0765 98.8483 99.1936
19.5 78.1520 96.2764 98.0599 98.8341 99.1813
19.75 78.1094 96.2561 98.0431 98.8196 99.1688
20 78.0667 96.2357 98.0261 98.8050 99.1563
20.25 78.0240 96.2152 98.0090 98.7903 99.1436
20.5 77.9814 96.1944 97.9916 98.7754 99.1307
20.75 77.9389 96.1733 97.9740 98.7603 99.1177
21 77.8963 96.1519 97.9563 98.7451 99.1046
21.25 77.8533 96.1299 97.9383 98.7296 99.0913
21.5 77.8099 96.1076 97.9202 98.7140 99.0779
21.75 77.7666 96.0851 97.9020 98.6982 99.0644
22 77.7236 96.0628 97.8836 98.6825 99.0508
22.25 77.6809 96.0407 97.8652 98.6667 99.0371
22.5 77.6383 96.0191 97.8468 98.6511 99.0235
22.75 77.5953 95.9977 97.8284 98.6355 99.0099
23 77.5515 95.9764 97.8100 98.6200 98.9964
23.25 77.5070 95.9552 97.7918 98.6045 98.9830
23.5 77.4621 95.9340 97.7738 98.5890 98.9697
23.75 77.4177 95.9130 97.7559 98.5736 98.9565
24 77.3746 95.8921 97.7381 98.5584 98.9435
24.25 77.3333 95.8715 97.7205 98.5434 98.9306
24.5 77.2942 95.8511 97.7031 98.5285 98.9178
24.75 77.2572 95.8310 97.6859 98.5138 98.9052
25 77.2225 95.8112 97.6689 98.4992 98.8927
25.25 77.1900 95.7916 97.6522 98.4849 98.8804
25.5 77.1592 95.7722 97.6357 98.4706 98.8682
25.75 77.1299 95.7532 97.6194 98.4565 98.8562
26 77.1016 95.7343 97.6033 98.4426 98.8443
26.25 77.0737 95.7157 97.5873 98.4288 98.8326
26.5 77.0461 95.6973 97.5714 98.4152 98.8210
26.75 77.0186 95.6791 97.5556 98.4017 98.8095
27 76.9914 95.6610 97.5400 98.3882 98.7981
27.25 76.9644 95.6429 97.5245 98.3748 98.7867
27.5 76.9377 95.6249 97.5090 98.3615 98.7753
27.75 76.9113 95.6070 97.4937 98.3481 98.7639
28 76.8852 95.5891 97.4783 98.3348 98.7525
28.25 76.8595 95.5711 97.4630 98.3215 98.7410
28.5 76.8339 95.5532 97.4476 98.3081 98.7294
28.75 76.8082 95.5351 97.4322 98.2948 98.7179
29 76.7824 95.5169 97.4166 98.2814 98.7063
29.25 76.7561 95.4985 97.4009 98.2679 98.6947
29.5 76.7296 95.4798 97.3849 98.2544 98.6831
29.75 76.7027 95.4611 97.3688 98.2406 98.6713
30 76.6756 95.4422 97.3525 98.2268 98.6594
30.25 76.6482 95.4231 97.3361 98.2127 98.6474
30.5 76.6206 95.4040 97.3195 98.1984 98.6351
30.75 76.5927 95.3847 97.3028 98.1840 98.6228
31 76.5647 95.3653 97.2859 98.1694 98.6103
31.25 76.5365 95.3457 97.2688 98.1547 98.5977
31.5 76.5082 95.3259 97.2515 98.1397 98.5849
31.75 76.4797 95.3059 97.2341 98.1247 98.5719
32 76.4506 95.2856 97.2164 98.1095 98.5588
32.25 76.4210 95.2650 97.1986 98.0942 98.5456
32.5 76.3906 95.2441 97.1806 98.0788 98.5323
32.75 76.3594 95.2228 97.1624 98.0632 98.5188
33 76.3274 95.2013 97.1439 98.0473 98.5052
33.25 76.2946 95.1794 97.1251 98.0312 98.4913
33.5 76.2609 95.1571 97.1060 98.0148 98.4772
33.75 76.2262 95.1345 97.0866 97.9980 98.4628
34 76.1905 95.1114 97.0669 97.9810 98.4481
34.25 76.1539 95.0879 97.0468 97.9636 98.4331
34.5 76.1164 95.0641 97.0263 97.9459 98.4178
34.75 76.0782 95.0398 97.0055 97.9279 98.4022
35 76.0393 95.0151 96.9842 97.9096 98.3864
35.25 75.9999 94.9901 96.9625 97.8909 98.3704
35.5 75.9600 94.9646 96.9404 97.8720 98.3541
35.75 75.9197 94.9388 96.9179 97.8528 98.3375
36 75.8790 94.9124 96.8951 97.8333 98.3206
36.25 75.8381 94.8857 96.8719 97.8134 98.3035
36.5 75.7970 94.8584 96.8482 97.7931 98.2860
36.75 75.7557 94.8306 96.8242 97.7724 98.2683
37 75.7143 94.8024 96.7998 97.7514 98.2502
37.25 75.6727 94.7736 96.7748 97.7299 98.2318
37.5 75.6309 94.7443 96.7495 97.7081 98.2130
37.75 75.5889 94.7146 96.7238 97.6859 98.1939
38 75.5468 94.6843 96.6977 97.6634 98.1745
38.25 75.5047 94.6536 96.6712 97.6405 98.1547
38.5 75.4626 94.6225 96.6443 97.6171 98.1346
38.75 75.4205 94.5907 96.6170 97.5934 98.1141
39 75.3786 94.5585 96.5892 97.5692 98.0934
39.25 75.3368 94.5256 96.5609 97.5446 98.0723
39.5 75.2948 94.4921 96.5321 97.5196 98.0509
39.75 75.2526 94.4582 96.5027 97.4942 98.0292
40 75.2099 94.4237 96.4729 97.4684 98.0071
40.25 75.1668 94.3887 96.4426 97.4422 97.9845
40.5 75.1231 94.3532 96.4119 97.4156 97.9616
40.75 75.0790 94.3171 96.3806 97.3886 97.9383
41 75.0346 94.2804 96.3489 97.3612 97.9145
41.25 74.9898 94.2432 96.3166 97.3333 97.8904
41.5 74.9447 94.2053 96.2839 97.3050 97.8657
41.75 74.8996 94.1669 96.2506 97.2764 97.8408
42 74.8546 94.1280 96.2169 97.2472 97.8154
42.25 74.8096 94.0885 96.1828 97.2177 97.7898
42.5 74.7646 94.0486 96.1483 97.1878 97.7638
42.75 74.7192 94.0082 96.1133 97.1574 97.7375
43 74.6732 93.9672 96.0777 97.1267 97.7108
43.25 74.6263 93.9257 96.0417 97.0955 97.6838
43.5 74.5783 93.8836 96.0051 97.0639 97.6564
43.75 74.5291 93.8410 95.9681 97.0319 97.6287
44 74.4786 93.7979 95.9306 96.9995 97.6007
44.25 74.4269 93.7543 95.8928 96.9668 97.5723
44.5 74.3739 93.7102 95.8545 96.9336 97.5436
44.75 74.3196 93.6656 95.8157 96.9000 97.5146
45 74.2641 93.6205 95.7765 96.8660 97.4851
45.25 74.2072 93.5748 95.7367 96.8315 97.4552
45.5 74.1489 93.5286 95.6965 96.7966 97.4249
45.75 74.0894 93.4818 95.6557 96.7612 97.3941
46 74.0286 93.4343 95.6144 96.7253 97.3629
46.25 73.9668 93.3862 95.5725 96.6889 97.3312
46.5 73.9040 93.3375 95.5301 96.6521 97.2991
46.75 73.8404 93.2882 95.4871 96.6147 97.2666
47 73.7761 93.2383 95.4437 96.5769 97.2336
47.25 73.7111 93.1879 95.3998 96.5387 97.2003
47.5 73.6455 93.1370 95.3555 96.5001 97.1666
47.75 73.5794 93.0856 95.3107 96.4611 97.1325
48 73.5129 93.0338 95.2655 96.4217 97.0981
48.25 73.4458 92.9816 95.2199 96.3818 97.0634
48.5 73.3782 92.9289 95.1739 96.3415 97.0283
48.75 73.3099 92.8759 95.1275 96.3008 96.9929
49 73.2406 92.8223 95.0806 96.2597 96.9571
49.25 73.1700 92.7683 95.0333 96.2182 96.9209
49.5 73.0980 92.7139 94.9856 96.1764 96.8844
49.75 73.0243 92.6589 94.9375 96.1342 96.8475
50 72.9491 92.6034 94.8888 96.0916 96.8101
50.25 72.8726 92.5475 94.8397 96.0486 96.7724
50.5 72.7950 92.4910 94.7901 96.0051 96.7343
50.75 72.7157 92.4339 94.7400 95.9611 96.6957
51 72.6343 92.3762 94.6893 95.9165 96.6566
51.25 72.5504 92.3178 94.6379 95.8714 96.6170
51.5 72.4644 92.2588 94.5859 95.8257 96.5768
51.75 72.3773 92.1989 94.5333 95.7793 96.5360
52 72.2904 92.1383 94.4798 95.7323 96.4946
52.25 72.2045 92.0769 94.4257 95.6847 96.4526
52.5 72.1197 92.0147 94.3707 95.6363 96.4099
52.75 72.0352 91.9514 94.3148 95.5872 96.3664
53 71.9499 91.8872 94.2580 95.5371 96.3222
53.25 71.8631 91.8219 94.2003 95.4862 96.2771
53.5 71.7746 91.7553 94.1415 95.4342 96.2311
53.75 71.6844 91.6876 94.0815 95.3812 96.1842
54 71.5929 91.6186 94.0205 95.3272 96.1363
54.25 71.5000 91.5484 93.9582 95.2720 96.0875
54.5 71.4058 91.4768 93.8947 95.2157 96.0376
54.75 71.3101 91.4037 93.8298 95.1582 95.9866
55 71.2130 91.3292 93.7636 95.0994 95.9344
55.25 71.1142 91.2531 93.6960 95.0393 95.8810
55.5 71.0137 91.1754 93.6270 94.9779 95.8264
55.75 70.9114 91.0961 93.5564 94.9150 95.7705
56 70.8075 91.0152 93.4843 94.8508 95.7132
56.25 70.7017 90.9326 93.4106 94.7852 95.6547
56.5 70.5941 90.8484 93.3354 94.7181 95.5948
56.75 70.4847 90.7625 93.2586 94.6496 95.5336
57 70.3735 90.6749 93.1802 94.5797 95.4711
57.25 70.2604 90.5855 93.1003 94.5083 95.4072
57.5 70.1454 90.4945 93.0188 94.4355 95.3421
57.75 70.0285 90.4018 92.9357 94.3613 95.2758
58 69.9096 90.3073 92.8512 94.2857 95.2082
58.25 69.7886 90.2112 92.7650 94.2087 95.1393
58.5 69.6657 90.1134 92.6773 94.1304 95.0692
58.75 69.5407 90.0138 92.5881 94.0506 94.9978
59 69.4137 89.9125 92.4972 93.9694 94.9252
59.25 69.2846 89.8093 92.4048 93.8868 94.8512
59.5 69.1534 89.7042 92.3108 93.8027 94.7759
59.75 69.0200 89.5973 92.2150 93.7172 94.6993
60 68.8842 89.4885 92.1176 93.6301 94.6213
60.25 68.7460 89.3778 92.0184 93.5415 94.5420
60.5 68.6053 89.2651 91.9173 93.4513 94.4613
60.75 68.4622 89.1503 91.8144 93.3595 94.3791
61 68.3167 89.0334 91.7095 93.2659 94.2954
61.25 68.1688 88.9143 91.6025 93.1704 94.2099
61.5 68.0184 88.7928 91.4933 93.0729 94.1227
61.75 67.8654 88.6689 91.3818 92.9732 94.0335
62 67.7096 88.5425 91.2680 92.8713 93.9422
62.25 67.5510 88.4133 91.1516 92.7669 93.8487
62.5 67.3894 88.2812 91.0324 92.6599 93.7528
62.75 67.2248 88.1460 90.9104 92.5502 93.6542
63 67.0570 88.0077 90.7853 92.4375 93.5528
63.25 66.8861 87.8659 90.6568 92.3217 93.4486
63.5 66.7119 87.7206 90.5250 92.2027 93.3412
63.75 66.5344 87.5716 90.3895 92.0803 93.2305
64 66.3536 87.4188 90.2504 91.9544 93.1165
64.25 66.1693 87.2622 90.1076 91.8248 92.9989
64.5 65.9816 87.1016 89.9609 91.6915 92.8777
64.75 65.7902 86.9370 89.8103 91.5543 92.7528
65 65.5951 86.7681 89.6555 91.4131 92.6241
65.25 65.3963 86.5949 89.4965 91.2680 92.4915
65.5 65.1937 86.4175 89.3334 91.1187 92.3549
65.75 64.9873 86.2357 89.1660 90.9654 92.2145
66 64.7769 86.0496 88.9944 90.8080 92.0701
66.25 64.5627 85.8591 88.8185 90.6464 91.9218
66.5 64.3445 85.6643 88.6384 90.4808 91.7696
66.75 64.1225 85.4652 88.4542 90.3110 91.6134
67 63.8967 85.2619 88.2657 90.1372 91.4534
67.25 63.6671 85.0543 88.0731 89.9594 91.2896
67.5 63.4337 84.8426 87.8763 89.7777 91.1221
67.75 63.1966 84.6267 87.6756 89.5922 90.9508
68 62.9556 84.4066 87.4709 89.4029 90.7761
68.25 62.7110 84.1826 87.2623 89.2099 90.5978
68.5 62.4627 83.9546 87.0499 89.0133 90.4161
68.75 62.2109 83.7226 86.8338 88.8131 90.2311
69 61.9556 83.4868 86.6139 88.6094 90.0426
69.25 61.6967 83.2470 86.3903 88.4021 89.8508
69.5 61.4342 83.0034 86.1628 88.1911 89.6556
69.75 61.1677 82.7556 85.9314 87.9765 89.4568
70 60.8970 82.5036 85.6960 87.7580 89.2544
70.25 60.6219 82.2471 85.4563 87.5355 89.0482
70.5 60.3425 81.9862 85.2124 87.3090 88.8381
70.75 60.0587 81.7207 84.9640 87.0783 88.6241
71 59.7706 81.4506 84.7111 86.8433 88.4060
71.25 59.4783 81.1759 84.4537 86.6039 88.1839
71.5 59.1819 80.8965 84.1917 86.3602 87.9576
71.75 58.8812 80.6126 83.9252 86.1122 87.7273
72 58.5764 80.3240 83.6542 85.8599 87.4928
72.25 58.2674 80.0309 83.3787 85.6034 87.2543
72.5 57.9542 79.7332 83.0989 85.3428 87.0118
72.75 57.6371 79.4312 82.8148 85.0779 86.7653
73 57.3160 79.1248 82.5264 84.8089 86.5147
73.25 56.9912 78.8141 82.2338 84.5358 86.2602
73.5 56.6627 78.4993 81.9371 84.2587 86.0018
73.75 56.3305 78.1803 81.6364 83.9776 85.7396
74 55.9948 77.8572 81.3315 83.6925 85.4737
74.25 55.6553 77.5297 81.0225 83.4034 85.2038
74.5 55.3119 77.1977 80.7091 83.1100 84.9298
74.75 54.9645 76.8609 80.3909 82.8119 84.6513
75 54.6128 76.5189 80.0676 82.5089 84.3680
75.25 54.2565 76.1714 79.7387 82.2005 84.0795
75.5 53.8955 75.8180 79.4041 81.8865 83.7855
75.75 53.5295 75.4587 79.0635 81.5666 83.4857
76 53.1584 75.0931 78.7166 81.2406 83.1801
76.25 52.7821 74.7211 78.3635 80.9084 82.8685
76.5 52.4007 74.3429 78.0040 80.5701 82.5509
76.75 52.0143 73.9584 77.6384 80.2258 82.2275
77 51.6229 73.5679 77.2669 79.8756 81.8984
77.25 51.2268 73.1716 76.8896 79.5198 81.5639
77.5 50.8261 72.7697 76.5068 79.1585 81.2240
77.75 50.4211 72.3625 76.1187 78.7921 80.8791
78 50.0117 71.9502 75.7256 78.4208 80.5294
78.25 49.5982 71.5329 75.3276 78.0446 80.1750
78.5 49.1807 71.1106 74.9246 77.6636 79.8159
78.75 48.7591 70.6834 74.5166 77.2777 79.4521
79 48.3335 70.2511 74.1036 76.8868 79.0834
79.25 47.9039 69.8137 73.6853 76.4908 78.7097
79.5 47.4700 69.3711 73.2619 76.0898 78.3310
79.75 47.0318 68.9233 72.8334 75.6836 77.9474
80 46.5889 68.4702 72.3995 75.2723 77.5587
80.25 46.1413 68.0118 71.9603 74.8556 77.1643
80.5 45.6889 67.5475 71.5153 74.4332 76.7640
80.75 45.2316 67.0771 71.0641 74.0046 76.3571
81 44.7696 66.5999 70.6061 73.5693 75.9432
81.25 44.3024 66.1154 70.1406 73.1266 75.5215
81.5 43.8298 65.6228 69.6668 72.6756 75.0912
81.75 43.3511 65.1213 69.1839 72.2156 74.6513
82 42.8656 64.6100 68.6909 71.7454 74.2011
82.25 42.3726 64.0879 68.1869 71.2642 73.7393
82.5 41.8714 63.5541 67.6709 70.7708 73.2649
82.75 41.3617 63.0075 67.1417 70.2642 72.7768
83 40.8430 62.4472 66.5984 69.7433 72.2739
83.25 40.3149 61.8724 66.0400 69.2073 71.7552
83.5 39.7771 61.2823 65.4658 68.6553 71.2199
83.75 39.2294 60.6765 64.8753 68.0866 70.6672
84 38.6717 60.0545 64.2678 67.5007 70.0966
84.25 38.1039 59.4161 63.6432 66.8973 69.5076
84.5 37.5261 58.7611 63.0011 66.2761 68.9001
84.75 36.9385 58.0897 62.3417 65.6371 68.2738
85 36.3413 57.4018 61.6651 64.9804 67.6287
85.25 35.7349 56.6979 60.9713 64.3060 66.9651
85.5 35.1197 55.9783 60.2609 63.6143 66.2831
85.75 34.4964 55.2434 59.5342 62.9057 65.5831
86 33.8655 54.4939 58.7918 62.1806 64.8655
86.25 33.2277 53.7305 58.0342 61.4397 64.1309
86.5 32.5836 52.9537 57.2622 60.6835 63.3797
86.75 31.9339 52.1645 56.4764 59.9127 62.6127
87 31.2792 51.3635 55.6776 59.1280 61.8306
87.25 30.6204 50.5516 54.8665 58.3301 61.0339
87.5 29.9582 49.7297 54.0441 57.5199 60.2235
87.75 29.2931 48.8985 53.2110 56.6980 59.4000
88 28.6259 48.0588 52.3681 55.8653 58.5642
88.25 27.9573 47.2115 51.5162 55.0224 57.7169
88.5 27.2881 46.3574 50.6560 54.1701 56.8588
88.75 26.6190 45.4972 49.7883 53.3091 55.9904
89 25.9507 44.6317 48.9138 52.4401 55.1125
89.25 25.2836 43.7616 48.0331 51.5636 54.2257
89.5 24.6183 42.8877 47.1471 50.6804 53.3307
89.75 23.9548 42.0105 46.2562 49.7911 52.4280
90 23.2935 41.1307 45.3612 48.8963 51.5182
90.25 22.6349 40.2490 44.4626 47.9965 50.6020
90.5 21.9798 39.3659 43.5611 47.0924 49.6799
90.75 21.3291 38.4822 42.6571 46.1843 48.7524
91 20.6837 37.5984 41.7514 45.2730 47.8201
91.25 20.0444 36.7151 40.8444 44.3588 46.8834
91.5 19.4115 35.8328 39.9367 43.4423 45.9429
91.75 18.7851 34.9520 39.0287 42.5240 44.9991
92 18.1653 34.0733 38.1209 41.6042 44.0524
92.25 17.5523 33.1972 37.2140 40.6835 43.1034
92.5 16.9464 32.3242 36.3083 39.7624 42.1526
92.75 16.3482 31.4549 35.4046 38.8415 41.2005
93 15.7581 30.5898 34.5032 37.9212 40.2476
93.25 15.1766 29.7294 33.6046 37.0020 39.2944
93.5 14.6039 28.8741 32.7093 36.0842 38.3413
93.75 14.0403 28.0242 31.8175 35.1682 37.3886
94 13.4860 27.1801 30.9297 34.2543 36.4368
94.25 12.9416 26.3427 30.0467 33.3433 35.4865
94.5 12.4075 25.5126 29.1692 32.4360 34.5388
94.75 11.8844 24.6908 28.2984 31.5335 33.5949
95 11.3728 23.8785 27.4352 30.6371 32.6560
95.25 10.8732 23.0766 26.5809 29.7476 31.7231
95.5 10.3860 22.2859 25.7361 28.8662 30.7974
95.75 9.9117 21.5072 24.9020 27.9937 29.8799
96 9.4506 20.7412 24.0791 27.1310 28.9714
96.25 9.0030 19.9885 23.2683 26.2789 28.0730
96.5 8.5691 19.2500 22.4704 25.4383 27.1856
96.75 8.1490 18.5261 21.6862 24.6100 26.3100
97 7.7429 17.8175 20.9162 23.7946 25.4471
97.25 7.3510 17.1247 20.1611 22.9930 24.5978
97.5 6.9731 16.4481 19.4214 22.2057 23.7626
97.75 6.6093 15.7880 18.6977 21.4333 22.9423
98 6.2594 15.1448 17.9903 20.6764 22.1376
98.25 5.9235 14.5189 17.2998 19.9355 21.3490
98.5 5.6014 13.9105 16.6264 19.2111 20.5771
98.75 5.2930 13.3200 15.9708 18.5037 19.8227
99 4.9982 12.7475 15.3331 17.8139 19.0862
99.25 4.7167 12.1929 14.7134 17.1416 18.3677
99.5 4.4479 11.6562 14.1115 16.4869 17.6673
99.75 4.1914 11.1368 13.5273 15.8495 16.9849
100 3.9465 10.6345 12.9603 15.2291 16.3201
100.25 3.7129 10.1489 12.4104 14.6250 15.6727
100.5 3.4904 9.6797 11.8772 14.0371 15.0427
100.75 3.2786 9.2266 11.3605 13.4654 14.4300
101 3.0773 8.7893 10.8601 12.9096 13.8344
101.25 2.8863 8.3676 10.3757 12.3697 13.2558
101.5 2.7052 7.9610 9.9072 11.8453 12.6939
101.75 2.5334 7.5694 9.4542 11.3363 12.1483
102 2.3706 7.1924 9.0164 10.8421 11.6188
102.25 2.2163 6.8296 8.5936 10.3628 11.1051
102.5 2.0702 6.4808 8.1856 9.8979 10.6070
102.75 1.9320 6.1456 7.7920 9.4475 10.1243
103 1.8013 5.8237 7.4126 9.0114 9.6570
103.25 1.6780 5.5148 7.0472 8.5895 9.2048
103.5 1.5616 5.2186 6.6953 8.1815 8.7676
103.75 1.4519 4.9347 6.3567 7.7872 8.3451
104 1.3487 4.6628 6.0312 7.4065 7.9371
104.25 1.2515 4.4026 5.7183 7.0392 7.5435
104.5 1.1602 4.1537 5.4180 6.6850 7.1639
104.75 1.0745 3.9159 5.1297 6.3437 6.7982
105 0.9940 3.6888 4.8533 6.0151 6.4460
105.25 0.9187 3.4721 4.5884 5.6990 6.1072
105.5 0.8481 3.2655 4.3347 5.3951 5.7815
105.75 0.7821 3.0687 4.0920 5.1031 5.4687
106 0.7204 2.8813 3.8599 4.8229 5.1684
106.25 0.6629 2.7030 3.6381 4.5542 4.8804
106.5 0.6092 2.5336 3.4263 4.2966 4.6044
106.75 0.5593 2.3727 3.2243 4.0501 4.3402
107 0.5128 2.2201 3.0316 3.8142 4.0874
107.25 0.4696 2.0753 2.8481 3.5888 3.8458
107.5 0.4295 1.9383 2.6735 3.3735 3.6151
107.75 0.3924 1.8085 2.5073 3.1681 3.3950
108 0.3580 1.6859 2.3495 2.9723 3.1852
108.25 0.3262 1.5700 2.1995 2.7859 2.9854
108.5 0.2968 1.4606 2.0573 2.6085 2.7953
108.75 0.2698 1.3575 1.9225 2.4399 2.6147
109 0.2448 1.2604 1.7948 2.2798 2.4431
109.25 0.2219 1.1690 1.6739 2.1279 2.2804
109.5 0.2008 1.0831 1.5597 1.9841 2.1262
109.75 0.1814 1.0024 1.4518 1.8478 1.9802
110 0.1637 0.9268 1.3500 1.7191 1.8422
110.25 0.1475 0.8558 1.2539 1.5974 1.7118
110.5 0.1327 0.7894 1.1635 1.4826 1.5888
110.75 0.1192 0.7273 1.0784 1.3744 1.4729
111 0.1069 0.6694 0.9984 1.2726 1.3638
111.25 0.0957 0.6152 0.9234 1.1769 1.2612
111.5 0.0855 0.5648 0.8529 1.0870 1.1648
111.75 0.0763 0.5179 0.7868 1.0026 1.0744
112 0.0680 0.4742 0.7250 0.9236 0.9898
112.25 0.0604 0.4337 0.6671 0.8497 0.9105
112.5 0.0537 0.3961 0.6129 0.7806 0.8365
112.75 0.0475 0.3613 0.5624 0.7161 0.7674
113 0.0420 0.3292 0.5153 0.6560 0.7030
113.25 0.0371 0.2994 0.4715 0.6001 0.6431
113.5 0.0327 0.2720 0.4307 0.5482 0.5874
113.75 0.0287 0.2467 0.3929 0.4999 0.5358
114 0.0252 0.2235 0.3579 0.4553 0.4879
114.25 0.0221 0.2021 0.3254 0.4139 0.4436
114.5 0.0193 0.1825 0.2954 0.3757 0.4026
114.75 0.0168 0.1646 0.2678 0.3405 0.3649
115 0.0146 0.1482 0.2423 0.3080 0.3301
115.25 0.0127 0.1332 0.2189 0.2782 0.2981
115.5 0.0110 0.1195 0.1974 0.2508 0.2688
115.75 0.0095 0.1071 0.1776 0.2257 0.2419
116 0.0082 0.0958 0.1596 0.2028 0.2173
116.25 0.0070 0.0855 0.1431 0.1818 0.1949
116.5 0.0060 0.0762 0.1281 0.1628 0.1744
116.75 0.0052 0.0678 0.1145 0.1454 0.1558
117 0.0044 0.0602 0.1021 0.1297 0.1390
117.25 0.0038 0.0534 0.0909 0.1154 0.1237
117.5 0.0032 0.0473 0.0807 0.1026 0.1099
117.75 0.0027 0.0418 0.0716 0.0910 0.0975
118 0.0023 0.0369 0.0634 0.0806 0.0863
118.25 0.0019 0.0326 0.0561 0.0712 0.0763
118.5 0.0016 0.0286 0.0495 0.0628 0.0673
118.75 0.0014 0.0251 0.0435 0.0553 0.0592
119 0.0011 0.0220 0.0382 0.0485 0.0520
119.25 0.0009 0.0192 0.0334 0.0424 0.0455
119.5 0.0008 0.0168 0.0292 0.0371 0.0397
119.75 0.0007 0.0146 0.0255 0.0324 0.0347
120 0.0005 0.0128 0.0223 0.0283 0.0303

Return to text


Figure 3: Annual live birth estimates and projections: 1900 to 2100

Date Interpolated births Census-consistent NCHS United Nations
1900 1.9963 NA NA NA
1900.25 2.0036 NA NA NA
1900.5 2.0157 NA NA NA
1900.75 2.0295 NA NA NA
1901 2.0425 1.9866 NA NA
1901.25 2.0535 NA NA NA
1901.5 2.0631 NA NA NA
1901.75 2.0722 NA NA NA
1902 2.0812 2.0191 NA NA
1902.25 2.0907 NA NA NA
1902.5 2.1004 NA NA NA
1902.75 2.1104 NA NA NA
1903 2.1203 2.0594 NA NA
1903.25 2.1303 NA NA NA
1903.5 2.1403 NA NA NA
1903.75 2.1504 NA NA NA
1904 2.1606 2.0981 NA NA
1904.25 2.1709 NA NA NA
1904.5 2.1811 NA NA NA
1904.75 2.1912 NA NA NA
1905 2.2010 2.1383 NA NA
1905.25 2.2105 NA NA NA
1905.5 2.2199 NA NA NA
1905.75 2.2291 NA NA NA
1906 2.2383 2.1788 NA NA
1906.25 2.2475 NA NA NA
1906.5 2.2568 NA NA NA
1906.75 2.2659 NA NA NA
1907 2.2751 2.2165 NA NA
1907.25 2.2842 NA NA NA
1907.5 2.2934 NA NA NA
1907.75 2.3028 NA NA NA
1908 2.3122 2.2534 NA NA
1908.25 2.3218 NA NA NA
1908.5 2.3313 NA NA NA
1908.75 2.3406 NA NA NA
1909 2.3494 2.2904 NA NA
1909.25 2.3577 NA NA NA
1909.5 2.3653 NA NA NA
1909.75 2.3722 NA NA NA
1910 2.3782 2.3282 NA NA
1910.25 2.3835 NA NA NA
1910.5 2.3883 NA NA NA
1910.75 2.3931 NA NA NA
1911 2.3980 2.3586 NA NA
1911.25 2.4034 NA NA NA
1911.5 2.4091 NA NA NA
1911.75 2.4151 NA NA NA
1912 2.4213 2.3791 NA NA
1912.25 2.4276 NA NA NA
1912.5 2.4337 NA NA NA
1912.75 2.4395 NA NA NA
1913 2.4446 2.4021 NA NA
1913.25 2.4490 NA NA NA
1913.5 2.4527 NA NA NA
1913.75 2.4557 NA NA NA
1914 2.4580 2.4265 NA NA
1914.25 2.4597 NA NA NA
1914.5 2.4610 NA NA NA
1914.75 2.4618 NA NA NA
1915 2.4623 2.4417 NA NA
1915.25 2.4625 NA NA NA
1915.5 2.4627 NA NA NA
1915.75 2.4628 NA NA NA
1916 2.4631 2.4473 NA NA
1916.25 2.4633 NA NA NA
1916.5 2.4631 NA NA NA
1916.75 2.4621 NA NA NA
1917 2.4601 2.4488 NA NA
1917.25 2.4566 NA NA NA
1917.5 2.4515 NA NA NA
1917.75 2.4445 NA NA NA
1918 2.4354 2.4476 NA NA
1918.25 2.4250 NA NA NA
1918.5 2.4152 NA NA NA
1918.75 2.4082 NA NA NA
1919 2.4056 2.4272 NA NA
1919.25 2.4083 NA NA NA
1919.5 2.4158 NA NA NA
1919.75 2.4274 NA NA NA
1920 2.4425 2.3939 NA NA
1920.25 2.4599 NA NA NA
1920.5 2.4778 NA NA NA
1920.75 2.4943 NA NA NA
1921 2.5076 2.4225 NA NA
1921.25 2.5175 NA NA NA
1921.5 2.5250 NA NA NA
1921.75 2.5314 NA NA NA
1922 2.5379 2.4896 NA NA
1922.25 2.5450 NA NA NA
1922.5 2.5525 NA NA NA
1922.75 2.5601 NA NA NA
1923 2.5673 2.5229 NA NA
1923.25 2.5735 NA NA NA
1923.5 2.5771 NA NA NA
1923.75 2.5766 NA NA NA
1924 2.5708 2.5524 NA NA
1924.25 2.5594 NA NA NA
1924.5 2.5436 NA NA NA
1924.75 2.5245 NA NA NA
1925 2.5034 2.5634 NA NA
1925.25 2.4814 NA NA NA
1925.5 2.4598 NA NA NA
1925.75 2.4398 NA NA NA
1926 2.4225 2.5036 NA NA
1926.25 2.4077 NA NA NA
1926.5 2.3933 NA NA NA
1926.75 2.3776 NA NA NA
1927 2.3586 2.4208 NA NA
1927.25 2.3364 NA NA NA
1927.5 2.3133 NA NA NA
1927.75 2.2915 NA NA NA
1928 2.2732 2.3592 NA NA
1928.25 2.2594 NA NA NA
1928.5 2.2500 NA NA NA
1928.75 2.2449 NA NA NA
1929 2.2436 2.2730 NA NA
1929.25 2.2449 NA NA NA
1929.5 2.2458 NA NA NA
1929.75 2.2435 NA NA NA
1930 2.2355 2.2353 NA NA
1930.25 2.2209 NA NA NA
1930.5 2.2013 NA NA NA
1930.75 2.1783 NA NA NA
1931 2.1535 2.2320 NA NA
1931.25 2.1277 NA NA NA
1931.5 2.1012 NA NA NA
1931.75 2.0742 NA NA NA
1932 2.0471 2.1581 NA NA
1932.25 2.0209 NA NA NA
1932.5 1.9978 NA NA NA
1932.75 1.9797 NA NA NA
1933 1.9687 2.0533 NA NA
1933.25 1.9651 NA NA NA
1933.5 1.9675 NA NA NA
1933.75 1.9744 NA NA NA
1934 1.9842 1.9663 NA NA
1934.25 1.9953 NA NA NA
1934.5 2.0054 NA NA NA
1934.75 2.0124 NA NA NA
1935 2.0143 1.9722 NA NA
1935.25 2.0115 NA NA NA
1935.5 2.0069 NA NA NA
1935.75 2.0033 NA NA NA
1936 2.0037 2.0073 NA NA
1936.25 2.0092 NA NA NA
1936.5 2.0189 NA NA NA
1936.75 2.0320 NA NA NA
1937 2.0475 1.9962 NA NA
1937.25 2.0640 NA NA NA
1937.5 2.0791 NA NA NA
1937.75 2.0905 NA NA NA
1938 2.0959 2.0329 NA NA
1938.25 2.0961 NA NA NA
1938.5 2.0943 NA NA NA
1938.75 2.0941 NA NA NA
1939 2.0987 2.0874 NA NA
1939.25 2.1095 NA NA NA
1939.5 2.1258 NA NA NA
1939.75 2.1465 NA NA NA
1940 2.1709 2.0891 NA NA
1940.25 2.1999 NA NA NA
1940.5 2.2362 NA NA NA
1940.75 2.2824 NA NA NA
1941 2.3410 2.1518 NA NA
1941.25 2.4097 NA NA NA
1941.5 2.4812 NA NA NA
1941.75 2.5480 NA NA NA
1942 2.6028 2.3034 NA NA
1942.25 2.6420 NA NA NA
1942.5 2.6655 NA NA NA
1942.75 2.6738 NA NA NA
1943 2.6669 2.5702 NA NA
1943.25 2.6463 NA NA NA
1943.5 2.6145 NA NA NA
1943.75 2.5740 NA NA NA
1944 2.5276 2.6651 NA NA
1944.25 2.4842 NA NA NA
1944.5 2.4590 NA NA NA
1944.75 2.4676 NA NA NA
1945 2.5246 2.5448 NA NA
1945.25 2.6294 NA NA NA
1945.5 2.7655 NA NA NA
1945.75 2.9159 NA NA NA
1946 3.0638 2.4834 NA NA
1946.25 3.1951 NA NA NA
1946.5 3.2991 NA NA NA
1946.75 3.3650 NA NA NA
1947 3.3825 2.9845 NA NA
1947.25 3.3566 NA NA NA
1947.5 3.3069 NA NA NA
1947.75 3.2538 NA NA NA
1948 3.2171 3.3729 NA NA
1948.25 3.2034 NA NA NA
1948.5 3.2063 NA NA NA
1948.75 3.2185 NA NA NA
1949 3.2332 3.2258 NA NA
1949.25 3.2479 NA NA NA
1949.5 3.2644 NA NA NA
1949.75 3.2850 NA NA NA
1950 3.3115 3.2196 NA NA
1950.25 3.3436 NA NA NA
1950.5 3.3787 NA NA NA
1950.75 3.4141 NA NA NA
1951 3.4472 3.2913 NA NA
1951.25 3.4772 NA NA NA
1951.5 3.5054 NA NA NA
1951.75 3.5331 NA NA NA
1952 3.5616 3.4249 NA NA
1952.25 3.5913 NA NA NA
1952.5 3.6220 NA NA 4.0058
1952.75 3.6532 NA NA NA
1953 3.6845 3.5410 NA NA
1953.25 3.7153 NA NA NA
1953.5 3.7449 NA NA NA
1953.75 3.7727 NA NA NA
1954 3.7977 3.6626 NA NA
1954.25 3.8208 NA NA NA
1954.5 3.8435 NA NA NA
1954.75 3.8679 NA NA NA
1955 3.8958 3.7792 NA NA
1955.25 3.9272 NA NA NA
1955.5 3.9609 NA NA NA
1955.75 3.9952 NA NA NA
1956 4.0286 3.8749 NA NA
1956.25 4.0598 NA NA NA
1956.5 4.0876 NA NA NA
1956.75 4.1108 NA NA NA
1957 4.1281 4.0054 NA NA
1957.25 4.1397 NA NA NA
1957.5 4.1468 NA NA 4.3852
1957.75 4.1506 NA NA NA
1958 4.1525 4.1134 NA NA
1958.25 4.1537 NA NA NA
1958.5 4.1555 NA NA NA
1958.75 4.1591 NA NA NA
1959 4.1658 4.1449 NA NA
1959.25 4.1752 NA NA NA
1959.5 4.1858 NA NA NA
1959.75 4.1958 NA NA NA
1960 4.2034 4.1551 NA NA
1960.25 4.2074 NA NA NA
1960.5 4.2066 NA NA NA
1960.75 4.2000 NA NA NA
1961 4.1866 4.1931 NA NA
1961.25 4.1673 NA NA NA
1961.5 4.1449 NA NA NA
1961.75 4.1223 NA NA NA
1962 4.1021 4.1874 NA NA
1962.25 4.0848 NA NA NA
1962.5 4.0684 NA NA 4.2770
1962.75 4.0509 NA NA NA
1963 4.0301 4.1051 NA NA
1963.25 4.0048 NA NA NA
1963.5 3.9741 NA NA NA
1963.75 3.9374 NA NA NA
1964 3.8941 4.0347 NA NA
1964.25 3.8452 NA NA NA
1964.5 3.7934 NA NA NA
1964.75 3.7416 NA NA NA
1965 3.6924 3.9106 NA NA
1965.25 3.6474 NA NA NA
1965.5 3.6064 NA NA NA
1965.75 3.5695 NA NA NA
1966 3.5367 3.7109 NA NA
1966.25 3.5080 NA NA NA
1966.5 3.4836 NA NA NA
1966.75 3.4635 NA NA NA
1967 3.4481 3.5474 NA NA
1967.25 3.4375 NA NA NA
1967.5 3.4322 NA NA 3.6724
1967.75 3.4323 NA NA NA
1968 3.4384 3.4503 NA NA
1968.25 3.4504 NA NA NA
1968.5 3.4681 NA NA NA
1968.75 3.4912 NA NA NA
1969 3.5193 3.4299 NA NA
1969.25 3.5494 NA NA NA
1969.5 3.5763 NA NA NA
1969.75 3.5943 NA NA NA
1970 3.5982 3.5001 NA NA
1970.25 3.5860 NA NA NA
1970.5 3.5589 NA NA NA
1970.75 3.5187 NA NA NA
1971 3.4669 3.5938 NA NA
1971.25 3.4068 NA NA NA
1971.5 3.3440 NA NA NA
1971.75 3.2836 NA NA NA
1972 3.2310 3.4898 3.2560 NA
1972.25 3.1891 NA NA NA
1972.5 3.1589 NA NA 3.3420
1972.75 3.1411 NA NA NA
1973 3.1361 3.2494 3.1370 NA
1973.25 3.1416 NA NA NA
1973.5 3.1523 NA NA NA
1973.75 3.1627 NA NA NA
1974 3.1674 3.1267 3.1660 NA
1974.25 3.1649 NA NA NA
1974.5 3.1579 NA NA NA
1974.75 3.1487 NA NA NA
1975 3.1402 3.1375 3.1442 NA
1975.25 3.1356 NA NA NA
1975.5 3.1389 NA NA NA
1975.75 3.1543 NA NA NA
1976 3.1855 3.1613 3.1678 NA
1976.25 3.2293 NA NA NA
1976.5 3.2755 NA NA NA
1976.75 3.3138 NA NA NA
1977 3.3340 3.2238 3.3266 NA
1977.25 3.3364 NA NA NA
1977.5 3.3314 NA NA 3.3226
1977.75 3.3296 NA NA NA
1978 3.3415 3.3288 3.3333 NA
1978.25 3.3696 NA NA NA
1978.5 3.4082 NA NA NA
1978.75 3.4515 NA NA NA
1979 3.4935 3.4019 3.4730 NA
1979.25 3.5309 NA NA NA
1979.5 3.5625 NA NA NA
1979.75 3.5874 NA NA NA
1980 3.6047 3.5183 3.5970 NA
1980.25 3.6160 NA NA NA
1980.5 3.6254 NA NA NA
1980.75 3.6371 NA NA NA
1981 3.6548 3.6084 3.6450 NA
1981.25 3.6769 NA NA NA
1981.5 3.6962 NA NA NA
1981.75 3.7049 NA NA NA
1982 3.6960 3.6495 3.7030 NA
1982.25 3.6714 NA NA NA
1982.5 3.6418 NA NA 3.6226
1982.75 3.6187 NA NA NA
1983 3.6128 3.6696 3.6130 NA
1983.25 3.6261 NA NA NA
1983.5 3.6515 NA NA NA
1983.75 3.6815 NA NA NA
1984 3.7090 3.6328 3.6960 NA
1984.25 3.7298 NA NA NA
1984.5 3.7434 NA NA NA
1984.75 3.7492 NA NA NA
1985 3.7468 3.6469 3.7490 NA
1985.25 3.7389 NA NA NA
1985.5 3.7309 NA NA NA
1985.75 3.7284 NA NA NA
1986 3.7368 3.7104 3.7310 NA
1986.25 3.7566 NA NA NA
1986.5 3.7834 NA NA NA
1986.75 3.8128 NA NA NA
1987 3.8402 3.7222 3.8270 NA
1987.25 3.8640 NA NA NA
1987.5 3.8851 NA NA 3.8834
1987.75 3.9045 NA NA NA
1988 3.9235 3.7503 3.9140 NA
1988.25 3.9439 NA NA NA
1988.5 3.9686 NA NA NA
1988.75 4.0005 NA NA NA
1989 4.0421 3.8277 4.0200 NA
1989.25 4.0902 NA NA NA
1989.5 4.1355 NA NA NA
1989.75 4.1682 NA NA NA
1990 4.1795 3.9428 4.1770 NA
1990.25 4.1691 NA NA NA
1990.5 4.1463 NA NA NA
1990.75 4.1208 NA NA NA
1991 4.1018 4.0153 4.1100 NA
1991.25 4.0921 NA NA NA
1991.5 4.0879 NA NA NA
1991.75 4.0851 NA NA NA
1992 4.0798 4.0079 4.0830 NA
1992.25 4.0707 NA NA NA
1992.5 4.0591 NA NA 4.0362
1992.75 4.0463 NA NA NA
1993 4.0339 3.9523 4.0400 NA
1993.25 4.0215 NA NA NA
1993.5 4.0076 NA NA NA
1993.75 3.9904 NA NA NA
1994 3.9683 3.8836 3.9800 NA
1994.25 3.9428 NA NA NA
1994.5 3.9182 NA NA NA
1994.75 3.8991 NA NA NA
1995 3.8898 3.8315 3.8930 NA
1995.25 3.8900 NA NA NA
1995.5 3.8947 NA NA NA
1995.75 3.8988 NA NA NA
1996 3.8973 3.7847 3.8990 NA
1996.25 3.8903 NA NA NA
1996.5 3.8825 NA NA NA
1996.75 3.8793 NA NA NA
1997 3.8853 3.7640 3.8809 NA
1997.25 3.9005 NA NA NA
1997.5 3.9192 NA NA 3.9492
1997.75 3.9358 NA NA NA
1998 3.9448 3.7725 3.9416 NA
1998.25 3.9465 NA NA NA
1998.5 3.9470 NA NA NA
1998.75 3.9527 NA NA NA
1999 3.9695 3.7944 3.9594 NA
1999.25 3.9967 NA NA NA
1999.5 4.0266 NA NA NA
1999.75 4.0511 NA NA NA
2000 4.0625 3.8407 4.0588 NA
2000.25 4.0596 NA NA NA
2000.5 4.0478 NA NA NA
2000.75 4.0328 NA NA NA
2001 4.0202 3.9492 4.0259 NA
2001.25 4.0130 NA NA NA
2001.5 4.0117 NA NA NA
2001.75 4.0167 NA NA NA
2002 4.0284 3.9967 4.0217 NA
2002.25 4.0453 NA NA NA
2002.5 4.0643 NA NA 4.0876
2002.75 4.0823 NA NA NA
2003 4.0962 3.9778 4.0900 NA
2003.25 4.1050 NA NA NA
2003.5 4.1098 NA NA NA
2003.75 4.1118 NA NA NA
2004 4.1121 4.0090 4.1121 NA
2004.25 4.1130 NA NA NA
2004.5 4.1175 NA NA NA
2004.75 4.1290 NA NA NA
2005 4.1504 4.0229 4.1383 NA
2005.25 4.1810 NA NA NA
2005.5 4.2158 NA NA NA
2005.75 4.2501 NA NA NA
2006 4.2791 4.0364 4.2656 NA
2006.25 4.3001 NA NA NA
2006.5 4.3130 NA NA NA
2006.75 4.3173 NA NA NA
2007 4.3130 4.1081 4.3162 NA
2007.25 4.3009 NA NA NA
2007.5 4.2826 NA NA 4.2080
2007.75 4.2600 NA NA NA
2008 4.2349 4.1534 4.2477 NA
2008.25 4.2079 NA NA NA
2008.5 4.1789 NA NA NA
2008.75 4.1474 NA NA NA
2009 4.1133 4.0807 4.1307 NA
2009.25 4.0776 NA NA NA
2009.5 4.0431 NA NA NA
2009.75 4.0124 NA NA NA
2010 3.9882 3.9895 3.9994 NA
2010.25 3.9712 NA NA NA
2010.5 3.9605 NA NA NA
2010.75 3.9548 NA NA NA
2011 3.9532 3.9689 3.9536 NA
2011.25 3.9540 NA NA NA
2011.5 3.9552 NA NA NA
2011.75 3.9545 NA NA NA
2012 3.9501 3.9562 3.9528 NA
2012.25 3.9425 NA NA NA
2012.5 3.9352 NA NA 3.9796
2012.75 3.9315 NA NA NA
2013 3.9349 3.9400 3.9322 NA
2013.25 3.9457 NA NA NA
2013.5 3.9613 NA NA NA
2013.75 3.9792 NA NA NA
2014 3.9966 3.9625 3.9881 NA
2014.25 4.0123 NA NA NA
2014.5 4.0265 NA NA NA
2014.75 4.0392 NA NA NA
2015 4.0505 3.9972 NA NA
2015.25 4.0607 NA NA NA
2015.5 4.0699 NA NA NA
2015.75 4.0782 NA NA NA
2016 4.0857 4.0259 NA NA
2016.25 4.0927 NA NA NA
2016.5 4.0991 NA NA NA
2016.75 4.1053 NA NA NA
2017 4.1113 4.0539 NA NA
2017.25 4.1172 NA NA NA
2017.5 4.1232 NA NA 4.1202
2017.75 4.1294 NA NA NA
2018 4.1358 4.0808 NA NA
2018.25 4.1422 NA NA NA
2018.5 4.1488 NA NA NA
2018.75 4.1554 NA NA NA
2019 4.1620 4.1059 NA NA
2019.25 4.1686 NA NA NA
2019.5 4.1752 NA NA NA
2019.75 4.1817 NA NA NA
2020 4.1882 4.1285 NA NA
2020.25 4.1946 NA NA NA
2020.5 4.2008 NA NA NA
2020.75 4.2068 NA NA NA
2021 4.2127 4.1475 NA NA
2021.25 4.2184 NA NA NA
2021.5 4.2238 NA NA NA
2021.75 4.2289 NA NA NA
2022 4.2338 4.1625 NA NA
2022.25 4.2383 NA NA NA
2022.5 4.2424 NA NA 4.2404
2022.75 4.2462 NA NA NA
2023 4.2497 4.1744 NA NA
2023.25 4.2529 NA NA NA
2023.5 4.2557 NA NA NA
2023.75 4.2583 NA NA NA
2024 4.2606 4.1841 NA NA
2024.25 4.2627 NA NA NA
2024.5 4.2645 NA NA NA
2024.75 4.2661 NA NA NA
2025 4.2676 4.1923 NA NA
2025.25 4.2688 NA NA NA
2025.5 4.2700 NA NA NA
2025.75 4.2710 NA NA NA
2026 4.2718 4.1991 NA NA
2026.25 4.2726 NA NA NA
2026.5 4.2733 NA NA NA
2026.75 4.2739 NA NA NA
2027 4.2745 4.2045 NA NA
2027.25 4.2751 NA NA NA
2027.5 4.2757 NA NA 4.2754
2027.75 4.2763 NA NA NA
2028 4.2769 4.2082 NA NA
2028.25 4.2775 NA NA NA
2028.5 4.2781 NA NA NA
2028.75 4.2788 NA NA NA
2029 4.2795 4.2108 NA NA
2029.25 4.2803 NA NA NA
2029.5 4.2811 NA NA NA
2029.75 4.2819 NA NA NA
2030 4.2828 4.2130 NA NA
2030.25 4.2838 NA NA NA
2030.5 4.2848 NA NA NA
2030.75 4.2859 NA NA NA
2031 4.2871 4.2151 NA NA
2031.25 4.2883 NA NA NA
2031.5 4.2897 NA NA NA
2031.75 4.2911 NA NA NA
2032 4.2927 4.2177 NA NA

Return to text


Figure 4: Median age difference between men and women at time of first marriage

Date Census estimate Fitted polynomial
1890 4.1 NA
1900 4 3.8676
1900.25 NA 3.8597
1900.5 NA 3.8519
1900.75 NA 3.8441
1901 NA 3.8363
1901.25 NA 3.8285
1901.5 NA 3.8207
1901.75 NA 3.8130
1902 NA 3.8053
1902.25 NA 3.7975
1902.5 NA 3.7898
1902.75 NA 3.7821
1903 NA 3.7745
1903.25 NA 3.7668
1903.5 NA 3.7592
1903.75 NA 3.7515
1904 NA 3.7439
1904.25 NA 3.7363
1904.5 NA 3.7287
1904.75 NA 3.7212
1905 NA 3.7136
1905.25 NA 3.7061
1905.5 NA 3.6986
1905.75 NA 3.6910
1906 NA 3.6836
1906.25 NA 3.6761
1906.5 NA 3.6686
1906.75 NA 3.6612
1907 NA 3.6537
1907.25 NA 3.6463
1907.5 NA 3.6389
1907.75 NA 3.6316
1908 NA 3.6242
1908.25 NA 3.6168
1908.5 NA 3.6095
1908.75 NA 3.6022
1909 NA 3.5949
1909.25 NA 3.5876
1909.5 NA 3.5803
1909.75 NA 3.5731
1910 3.5 3.5658
1910.25 NA 3.5586
1910.5 NA 3.5514
1910.75 NA 3.5442
1911 NA 3.5371
1911.25 NA 3.5299
1911.5 NA 3.5228
1911.75 NA 3.5156
1912 NA 3.5085
1912.25 NA 3.5014
1912.5 NA 3.4944
1912.75 NA 3.4873
1913 NA 3.4803
1913.25 NA 3.4733
1913.5 NA 3.4662
1913.75 NA 3.4593
1914 NA 3.4523
1914.25 NA 3.4453
1914.5 NA 3.4384
1914.75 NA 3.4315
1915 NA 3.4245
1915.25 NA 3.4177
1915.5 NA 3.4108
1915.75 NA 3.4039
1916 NA 3.3971
1916.25 NA 3.3903
1916.5 NA 3.3834
1916.75 NA 3.3767
1917 NA 3.3699
1917.25 NA 3.3631
1917.5 NA 3.3564
1917.75 NA 3.3497
1918 NA 3.3430
1918.25 NA 3.3363
1918.5 NA 3.3296
1918.75 NA 3.3229
1919 NA 3.3163
1919.25 NA 3.3097
1919.5 NA 3.3031
1919.75 NA 3.2965
1920 3.4 3.2899
1920.25 NA 3.2834
1920.5 NA 3.2769
1920.75 NA 3.2703
1921 NA 3.2638
1921.25 NA 3.2574
1921.5 NA 3.2509
1921.75 NA 3.2444
1922 NA 3.2380
1922.25 NA 3.2316
1922.5 NA 3.2252
1922.75 NA 3.2188
1923 NA 3.2125
1923.25 NA 3.2061
1923.5 NA 3.1998
1923.75 NA 3.1935
1924 NA 3.1872
1924.25 NA 3.1809
1924.5 NA 3.1747
1924.75 NA 3.1685
1925 NA 3.1622
1925.25 NA 3.1560
1925.5 NA 3.1499
1925.75 NA 3.1437
1926 NA 3.1375
1926.25 NA 3.1314
1926.5 NA 3.1253
1926.75 NA 3.1192
1927 NA 3.1131
1927.25 NA 3.1071
1927.5 NA 3.1010
1927.75 NA 3.0950
1928 NA 3.0890
1928.25 NA 3.0830
1928.5 NA 3.0770
1928.75 NA 3.0711
1929 NA 3.0652
1929.25 NA 3.0593
1929.5 NA 3.0534
1929.75 NA 3.0475
1930 3 3.0416
1930.25 NA 3.0358
1930.5 NA 3.0299
1930.75 NA 3.0241
1931 NA 3.0184
1931.25 NA 3.0126
1931.5 NA 3.0068
1931.75 NA 3.0011
1932 NA 2.9954
1932.25 NA 2.9897
1932.5 NA 2.9840
1932.75 NA 2.9783
1933 NA 2.9727
1933.25 NA 2.9671
1933.5 NA 2.9615
1933.75 NA 2.9559
1934 NA 2.9503
1934.25 NA 2.9448
1934.5 NA 2.9392
1934.75 NA 2.9337
1935 NA 2.9282
1935.25 NA 2.9227
1935.5 NA 2.9173
1935.75 NA 2.9118
1936 NA 2.9064
1936.25 NA 2.9010
1936.5 NA 2.8956
1936.75 NA 2.8903
1937 NA 2.8849
1937.25 NA 2.8796
1937.5 NA 2.8743
1937.75 NA 2.8690
1938 NA 2.8637
1938.25 NA 2.8584
1938.5 NA 2.8532
1938.75 NA 2.8480
1939 NA 2.8428
1939.25 NA 2.8376
1939.5 NA 2.8324
1939.75 NA 2.8273
1940 2.8 2.8221
1940.25 NA 2.8170
1940.5 NA 2.8119
1940.75 NA 2.8069
1941 NA 2.8018
1941.25 NA 2.7968
1941.5 NA 2.7918
1941.75 NA 2.7868
1942 NA 2.7818
1942.25 NA 2.7768
1942.5 NA 2.7719
1942.75 NA 2.7670
1943 NA 2.7621
1943.25 NA 2.7572
1943.5 NA 2.7523
1943.75 NA 2.7475
1944 NA 2.7426
1944.25 NA 2.7378
1944.5 NA 2.7330
1944.75 NA 2.7282
1945 NA 2.7235
1945.25 NA 2.7187
1945.5 NA 2.7140
1945.75 NA 2.7093
1946 NA 2.7046
1946.25 NA 2.7000
1946.5 NA 2.6953
1946.75 NA 2.6907
1947 3.2 2.6861
1947.25 NA 2.6815
1947.5 NA 2.6769
1947.75 NA 2.6724
1948 2.9 2.6679
1948.25 NA 2.6633
1948.5 NA 2.6588
1948.75 NA 2.6544
1949 2.4 2.6499
1949.25 NA 2.6455
1949.5 NA 2.6411
1949.75 NA 2.6367
1950 2.5 2.6323
1950.25 NA 2.6279
1950.5 NA 2.6236
1950.75 NA 2.6192
1951 2.5 2.6149
1951.25 NA 2.6106
1951.5 NA 2.6064
1951.75 NA 2.6021
1952 2.8 2.5979
1952.25 NA 2.5937
1952.5 NA 2.5895
1952.75 NA 2.5853
1953 2.6 2.5811
1953.25 NA 2.5770
1953.5 NA 2.5729
1953.75 NA 2.5688
1954 2.7 2.5647
1954.25 NA 2.5606
1954.5 NA 2.5565
1954.75 NA 2.5525
1955 2.4 2.5485
1955.25 NA 2.5445
1955.5 NA 2.5405
1955.75 NA 2.5366
1956 2.4 2.5326
1956.25 NA 2.5287
1956.5 NA 2.5248
1956.75 NA 2.5209
1957 2.3 2.5171
1957.25 NA 2.5132
1957.5 NA 2.5094
1957.75 NA 2.5056
1958 2.4 2.5018
1958.25 NA 2.4981
1958.5 NA 2.4943
1958.75 NA 2.4906
1959 2.3 2.4869
1959.25 NA 2.4832
1959.5 NA 2.4795
1959.75 NA 2.4758
1960 2.5 2.4722
1960.25 NA 2.4686
1960.5 NA 2.4650
1960.75 NA 2.4614
1961 2.5 2.4578
1961.25 NA 2.4542
1961.5 NA 2.4507
1961.75 NA 2.4472
1962 2.4 2.4437
1962.25 NA 2.4402
1962.5 NA 2.4368
1962.75 NA 2.4333
1963 2.3 2.4299
1963.25 NA 2.4265
1963.5 NA 2.4231
1963.75 NA 2.4198
1964 2.6 2.4164
1964.25 NA 2.4131
1964.5 NA 2.4098
1964.75 NA 2.4065
1965 2.2 2.4032
1965.25 NA 2.4000
1965.5 NA 2.3967
1965.75 NA 2.3935
1966 2.3 2.3903
1966.25 NA 2.3871
1966.5 NA 2.3839
1966.75 NA 2.3808
1967 2.5 2.3777
1967.25 NA 2.3746
1967.5 NA 2.3715
1967.75 NA 2.3684
1968 2.3 2.3653
1968.25 NA 2.3623
1968.5 NA 2.3593
1968.75 NA 2.3563
1969 2.4 2.3533
1969.25 NA 2.3503
1969.5 NA 2.3474
1969.75 NA 2.3444
1970 2.4 2.3415
1970.25 NA 2.3386
1970.5 NA 2.3357
1970.75 NA 2.3329
1971 2.2 2.3300
1971.25 NA 2.3272
1971.5 NA 2.3244
1971.75 NA 2.3216
1972 2.4 2.3188
1972.25 NA 2.3161
1972.5 NA 2.3134
1972.75 NA 2.3106
1973 2.2 2.3079
1973.25 NA 2.3053
1973.5 NA 2.3026
1973.75 NA 2.2999
1974 2 2.2973
1974.25 NA 2.2947
1974.5 NA 2.2921
1974.75 NA 2.2895
1975 2.4 2.2870
1975.25 NA 2.2844
1975.5 NA 2.2819
1975.75 NA 2.2794
1976 2.5 2.2769
1976.25 NA 2.2744
1976.5 NA 2.2720
1976.75 NA 2.2695
1977 2.4 2.2671
1977.25 NA 2.2647
1977.5 NA 2.2623
1977.75 NA 2.2599
1978 2.4 2.2576
1978.25 NA 2.2553
1978.5 NA 2.2529
1978.75 NA 2.2506
1979 2.3 2.2483
1979.25 NA 2.2461
1979.5 NA 2.2438
1979.75 NA 2.2416
1980 2.7 2.2394
1980.25 NA 2.2372
1980.5 NA 2.2350
1980.75 NA 2.2328
1981 2.5 2.2307
1981.25 NA 2.2285
1981.5 NA 2.2264
1981.75 NA 2.2243
1982 2.7 2.2223
1982.25 NA 2.2202
1982.5 NA 2.2181
1982.75 NA 2.2161
1983 2.6 2.2141
1983.25 NA 2.2121
1983.5 NA 2.2101
1983.75 NA 2.2081
1984 2.4 2.2062
1984.25 NA 2.2043
1984.5 NA 2.2023
1984.75 NA 2.2004
1985 2.2 2.1986
1985.25 NA 2.1967
1985.5 NA 2.1948
1985.75 NA 2.1930
1986 2.6 2.1912
1986.25 NA 2.1894
1986.5 NA 2.1876
1986.75 NA 2.1858
1987 2.2 2.1841
1987.25 NA 2.1823
1987.5 NA 2.1806
1987.75 NA 2.1789
1988 2.3 2.1772
1988.25 NA 2.1755
1988.5 NA 2.1739
1988.75 NA 2.1722
1989 2.4 2.1706
1989.25 NA 2.1690
1989.5 NA 2.1674
1989.75 NA 2.1658
1990 2.2 2.1643
1990.25 NA 2.1627
1990.5 NA 2.1612
1990.75 NA 2.1597
1991 2.2 2.1582
1991.25 NA 2.1567
1991.5 NA 2.1552
1991.75 NA 2.1538
1992 2.1 2.1523
1992.25 NA 2.1509
1992.5 NA 2.1495
1992.75 NA 2.1481
1993 2 2.1467
1993.25 NA 2.1453
1993.5 NA 2.1440
1993.75 NA 2.1427
1994 2.2 2.1413
1994.25 NA 2.1400
1994.5 NA 2.1388
1994.75 NA 2.1375
1995 2.4 2.1362
1995.25 NA 2.1350
1995.5 NA 2.1338
1995.75 NA 2.1325
1996 2.3 2.1313
1996.25 NA 2.1302
1996.5 NA 2.1290
1996.75 NA 2.1278
1997 1.8 2.1267
1997.25 NA 2.1256
1997.5 NA 2.1244
1997.75 NA 2.1234
1998 1.7 2.1223
1998.25 NA 2.1212
1998.5 NA 2.1201
1998.75 NA 2.1191
1999 1.8 2.1181
1999.25 NA 2.1171
1999.5 NA 2.1161
1999.75 NA 2.1151
2000 1.7 2.1141
2000.25 NA 2.1132
2000.5 NA 2.1122
2000.75 NA 2.1113
2001 1.8 2.1104
2001.25 NA 2.1095
2001.5 NA 2.1086
2001.75 NA 2.1077
2002 1.6 2.1069
2002.25 NA 2.1060
2002.5 NA 2.1052
2002.75 NA 2.1044
2003 1.8 2.1036
2003.25 NA 2.1028
2003.5 NA 2.1020
2003.75 NA 2.1012
2004 2.1 2.1005
2004.25 NA 2.0997
2004.5 NA 2.0990
2004.75 NA 2.0983
2005 1.8 2.0976
2005.25 NA 2.0969
2005.5 NA 2.0962
2005.75 NA 2.0956
2006 2 2.0949
2006.25 NA 2.0943
2006.5 NA 2.0937
2006.75 NA 2.0931
2007 1.9 2.0925
2007.25 NA 2.0919
2007.5 NA 2.0913
2007.75 NA 2.0907
2008 1.7 2.0902
2008.25 NA 2.0897
2008.5 NA 2.0891
2008.75 NA 2.0886
2009 2.2 2.0881
2009.25 NA 2.0876
2009.5 NA 2.0872
2009.75 NA 2.0867
2010 2.1 2.0863
2010.25 NA 2.0858
2010.5 NA 2.0854
2010.75 NA 2.0850
2011 2.2 2.0846
2011.25 NA 2.0842
2011.5 NA 2.0838
2011.75 NA 2.0834
2012 2 2.0831
2012.25 NA 2.0827
2012.5 NA 2.0824
2012.75 NA 2.0821
2013 2.4 2.0818
2013.25 NA 2.0815
2013.5 NA 2.0812
2013.75 NA 2.0809
2014 2.3 2.0807
2014.25 NA 2.0804
2014.5 NA 2.0802
2014.75 NA 2.0799
2015 2.1 2.0799
2015.25 NA 2.0800
2015.5 NA 2.0800
2015.75 NA 2.0801
2016 NA 2.0801
2016.25 NA 2.0802
2016.5 NA 2.0803
2016.75 NA 2.0804
2017 NA 2.0805
2017.25 NA 2.0806
2017.5 NA 2.0807
2017.75 NA 2.0809
2018 NA 2.0810
2018.25 NA 2.0812
2018.5 NA 2.0813
2018.75 NA 2.0815
2019 NA 2.0817
2019.25 NA 2.0819
2019.5 NA 2.0821
2019.75 NA 2.0823
2020 NA 2.0825
2020.25 NA 2.0828
2020.5 NA 2.0830
2020.75 NA 2.0833
2021 NA 2.0835
2021.25 NA 2.0838
2021.5 NA 2.0841
2021.75 NA 2.0844
2022 NA 2.0847
2022.25 NA 2.0850
2022.5 NA 2.0853
2022.75 NA 2.0856
2023 NA 2.0859
2023.25 NA 2.0862
2023.5 NA 2.0866
2023.75 NA 2.0869
2024 NA 2.0873
2024.25 NA 2.0876
2024.5 NA 2.0880
2024.75 NA 2.0884
2025 NA 2.0888
2025.25 NA 2.0891
2025.5 NA 2.0895
2025.75 NA 2.0899
2026 NA 2.0903
2026.25 NA 2.0907
2026.5 NA 2.0911
2026.75 NA 2.0916
2027 NA 2.0920
2027.25 NA 2.0924
2027.5 NA 2.0929
2027.75 NA 2.0933
2028 NA 2.0937
2028.25 NA 2.0942
2028.5 NA 2.0946
2028.75 NA 2.0951
2029 NA 2.0956
2029.25 NA 2.0960
2029.5 NA 2.0965
2029.75 NA 2.0970
2030 NA 2.0974
2030.25 NA 2.0979
2030.5 NA 2.0984
2030.75 NA 2.0989
2031 NA 2.0994
2031.25 NA 2.0999
2031.5 NA 2.1004
2031.75 NA 2.1009
2032 NA 2.1014

Return to text


Figure 5: Share of births by age of mother

Year Less than 20 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40 and above
1920 9.7049 25.8266 25.6182 18.8214 13.8786 6.1502
1921 10.2038 25.7230 25.5276 18.8594 13.6943 5.9918
1922 9.9987 25.8249 25.5644 18.9972 13.6457 5.9690
1923 10.0542 25.9899 25.5740 18.9282 13.5302 5.9235
1924 10.3727 26.3883 25.3373 18.7362 13.3335 5.8320
1925 10.5226 26.3581 25.2922 18.7176 13.3218 5.7876
1926 10.6940 26.5798 25.2801 18.5610 13.2037 5.6814
1927 10.8522 26.5623 25.2735 18.5214 13.1891 5.6014
1928 10.9557 26.7501 25.3816 18.4375 12.9295 5.5455
1929 11.0900 26.9273 25.4779 18.4597 12.6264 5.4186
1930 11.3406 27.0010 25.3741 18.4245 12.4936 5.3662
1931 11.2212 27.0517 25.5694 18.4786 12.3829 5.2962
1932 11.2439 27.1198 25.4981 18.5629 12.3005 5.2747
1933 11.1050 27.2145 25.6077 18.5681 12.2007 5.3039
1934 11.3486 27.6299 25.6407 18.3961 11.9355 5.0493
1935 11.7604 28.1263 25.4900 18.0427 11.7284 4.8522
1936 11.8289 28.6493 25.6805 17.8132 11.4187 4.6094
1937 12.1980 29.0710 25.8271 17.5816 11.0155 4.3068
1938 12.3798 29.3180 26.2310 17.4527 10.7144 3.9040
1939 12.2116 29.1661 26.4447 17.6452 10.5263 4.0061
1940 12.1489 29.4123 26.8641 17.6626 10.1301 3.7820
1941 12.1853 30.0365 27.1370 17.4051 9.7191 3.5170
1942 11.9266 30.8948 27.5403 17.1951 9.2493 3.1940
1943 11.6052 29.6341 27.6987 18.0555 9.7455 3.2611
1944 10.9120 28.8234 27.2520 18.8855 10.5833 3.5438
1945 10.5789 27.2442 27.1079 19.9769 11.3180 3.7741
1946 10.3643 30.2110 27.8386 18.5101 9.9374 3.1387
1947 12.2972 31.4535 27.1973 17.1853 9.0375 2.8291
1948 13.2906 31.5743 26.7299 16.7405 8.9122 2.7526
1949 13.3983 31.6481 26.8691 16.6260 8.7642 2.6942
1950 13.3124 31.3639 27.1235 16.8032 8.7616 2.6354
1951 13.5319 31.8152 27.0107 16.5953 8.5149 2.5320
1952 13.1143 31.7937 27.1809 16.8508 8.5410 2.5194
1953 13.2860 32.1281 26.9302 16.6955 8.4612 2.4990
1954 13.1891 32.5639 26.7191 16.6098 8.4277 2.4905
1955 13.0806 33.0618 26.6529 16.3994 8.3526 2.4526
1956 13.3520 33.5423 26.4765 16.0568 8.1782 2.3941
1957 13.3717 33.6846 26.5805 15.9190 8.0844 2.3599
1958 13.2657 33.8725 26.7822 15.7734 7.9942 2.3120
1959 13.0971 33.9591 26.9584 15.7111 7.9407 2.3336
1960 13.0355 34.5257 26.9640 15.4824 7.6940 2.2985
1961 12.6783 34.2021 27.2429 15.7965 7.7504 2.3298
1962 12.6020 34.2033 27.3975 15.8052 7.6844 2.3076
1963 12.5955 33.8832 27.4892 15.9924 7.7326 2.3071
1964 12.4900 33.4115 27.6291 16.2216 7.9103 2.3376
1965 12.7950 33.0232 27.4508 16.3028 8.0444 2.3838
1966 13.3255 33.5116 27.1162 15.8089 7.8715 2.3662
1967 13.5852 33.6566 27.3644 15.4744 7.6267 2.2927
1968 13.8629 33.5806 27.9476 15.1210 7.3266 2.1613
1969 13.9255 33.5208 28.6079 15.0789 6.8798 1.9870
1970 14.3395 33.5484 28.8995 14.8886 6.4965 1.8275
1971 14.7599 33.1065 29.0763 14.9267 6.4097 1.7210
1972 15.9246 32.2459 28.9638 14.8587 6.3014 1.7055
1973 16.3783 31.9157 29.3394 14.7549 5.9722 1.6394
1974 16.2707 32.1327 29.8387 14.6524 5.6234 1.4821
1975 16.2004 31.9223 30.0197 14.8776 5.5559 1.4241
1976 15.6409 31.6139 30.4574 15.3890 5.5133 1.3855
1977 15.2364 31.6119 30.7465 15.7445 5.3933 1.2674
1978 15.0800 31.3963 30.7070 16.1853 5.4122 1.2192
1979 14.8750 31.3467 30.7091 16.4828 5.4388 1.1476
1980 14.6724 31.3555 30.6268 16.7653 5.4515 1.1286
1981 14.4776 30.9815 30.6595 17.2144 5.5457 1.1214
1982 14.4056 30.6444 30.4235 17.5750 5.8307 1.1209
1983 14.3579 30.1146 30.3112 18.0822 6.0330 1.1010
1984 14.1540 29.6658 30.2190 18.5349 6.2975 1.1287
1985 14.0955 29.4134 30.0955 18.7121 6.5266 1.1569
1986 14.0377 29.1291 29.8826 18.9844 6.7922 1.1739
1987 13.8229 28.7687 29.8431 19.2651 7.0861 1.2141
1988 13.8510 28.4836 29.6821 19.4007 7.3163 1.2663
1989 14.1797 28.3494 29.3572 19.3241 7.4709 1.3187
1990 14.3003 28.1111 29.0318 19.5096 7.6759 1.3714
1991 15.0005 28.0717 28.4566 19.2634 7.7658 1.4421
1992 14.9274 27.8492 28.2758 19.5027 7.9296 1.5153
1993 14.9434 27.5477 27.9648 19.8252 8.1248 1.5942
1994 14.9031 27.2773 27.6278 20.1562 8.3580 1.6776
1995 14.5800 27.0951 27.4089 20.5466 8.6235 1.7460
1996 13.9357 27.1172 27.4057 20.8352 8.8737 1.8324
1997 13.4190 27.0309 27.4421 21.1109 9.1034 1.8938
1998 12.8553 26.9916 27.4920 21.3571 9.3175 1.9866
1999 12.3610 26.7621 27.6700 21.6741 9.5326 2.0003
2000 11.8392 26.5676 27.5907 22.0950 9.8027 2.1048
2001 11.3703 26.0484 27.8450 22.4011 10.1644 2.1707
2002 10.9463 25.6587 27.9909 22.6468 10.4749 2.2825
2003 10.4829 24.9353 28.0748 23.2411 10.9126 2.3534
2004 10.3103 24.7048 28.0424 23.3190 11.1935 2.4300
2005 10.1878 24.7397 27.9751 23.3434 11.2727 2.4813
2006 10.3301 25.0214 27.7133 23.1856 11.2147 2.5350
2007 10.3018 24.8882 27.6284 23.3721 11.2529 2.5566
2008 10.1650 24.5755 27.5496 23.6256 11.4123 2.6720
2009 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2010 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2011 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2012 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2013 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2014 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2015 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2016 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2017 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2018 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2019 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2020 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2021 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2022 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2023 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2024 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2025 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2026 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2027 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2028 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2029 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2030 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2031 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933
2032 9.8364 23.8976 27.4741 24.1421 11.8565 2.7933

Return to text


Figure 6: Average number of dependent children by age and cohort of representative parent

Age 1900 1960 1980 2000 2020
14.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18.25 0.00881 0.03702 0.03334 0.03158 0.02300
18.5 0.01133 0.04752 0.03934 0.03768 0.02748
18.75 0.01437 0.06019 0.04579 0.04466 0.03241
19 0.01800 0.07497 0.05261 0.05240 0.03776
19.25 0.02225 0.09172 0.05979 0.06074 0.04354
19.5 0.02718 0.11023 0.06739 0.06948 0.04975
19.75 0.03281 0.13030 0.07556 0.07859 0.05644
20 0.03919 0.15180 0.08442 0.08830 0.06373
20.25 0.04632 0.17452 0.09400 0.09889 0.07173
20.5 0.05423 0.19824 0.10424 0.11067 0.08056
20.75 0.06295 0.22273 0.11500 0.12381 0.09024
21 0.07248 0.24772 0.12611 0.13828 0.10059
21.25 0.08282 0.27308 0.13746 0.15392 0.11129
21.5 0.09396 0.29869 0.14897 0.17048 0.12196
21.75 0.10587 0.32480 0.16062 0.18757 0.13235
22 0.11851 0.35201 0.17237 0.20463 0.14252
22.25 0.13185 0.38108 0.18417 0.22109 0.15266
22.5 0.14589 0.41272 0.19601 0.23646 0.16304
22.75 0.16061 0.44693 0.20801 0.25089 0.17379
23 0.17602 0.48281 0.22041 0.26529 0.18477
23.25 0.19208 0.51896 0.23354 0.28080 0.19575
23.5 0.20878 0.55390 0.24763 0.29848 0.20643
23.75 0.22609 0.58663 0.26266 0.31848 0.21669
24 0.24395 0.61677 0.27827 0.33962 0.22666
24.25 0.26229 0.64436 0.29392 0.36003 0.23651
24.5 0.28104 0.66986 0.30907 0.37769 0.24649
24.75 0.30013 0.69454 0.32346 0.39170 0.25661
25 0.31956 0.72039 0.33710 0.40281 0.26669
25.25 0.33934 0.74948 0.35031 0.41275 0.27651
25.5 0.35947 0.78316 0.36348 0.42331 0.28586
25.75 0.37995 0.82087 0.37707 0.43594 0.29480
26 0.40073 0.85988 0.39146 0.45128 0.30366
26.25 0.42178 0.89644 0.40672 0.46900 0.31276
26.5 0.44311 0.92718 0.42265 0.48809 0.32239
26.75 0.46472 0.95038 0.43867 0.50660 0.33256
27 0.48658 0.96629 0.45419 0.52229 0.34302
27.25 0.50866 0.97634 0.46916 0.53390 0.35346
27.5 0.53089 0.98218 0.48414 0.54128 0.36362
27.75 0.55323 0.98561 0.50033 0.54555 0.37342
28 0.57566 0.98839 0.51882 0.54828 0.38301
28.25 0.59820 0.99163 0.53966 0.55033 0.39267
28.5 0.62095 0.99609 0.56166 0.55209 0.40268
28.75 0.64397 1.00204 0.58229 0.55391 0.41308
29 0.66732 1.00940 0.59918 0.55638 0.42363
29.25 0.69101 1.01805 0.61175 0.56031 0.43402
29.5 0.71500 1.02776 0.62121 0.56627 0.44394
29.75 0.73925 1.03832 0.62997 0.57425 0.45374
30 0.76382 1.04960 0.63993 0.58396 0.46444
30.25 0.78880 1.06158 0.65145 0.59531 0.47716
30.5 0.81433 1.07397 0.66403 0.60886 0.49298
30.75 0.84049 1.08553 0.67719 0.62559 0.51198
31 0.86710 1.09425 0.69125 0.64617 0.53306
31.25 0.89383 1.09848 0.70734 0.67043 0.55466
31.5 0.92028 1.09799 0.72572 0.69687 0.57504
31.75 0.94609 1.09448 0.74400 0.72261 0.59326
32 0.97106 1.09059 0.75678 0.74448 0.60950
32.25 0.99511 1.08808 0.75803 0.76042 0.62439
32.5 1.01820 1.08741 0.74625 0.77033 0.63868
32.75 1.04035 1.08802 0.72824 0.77637 0.65296
33 1.06161 1.08913 0.71601 0.78140 0.66731
33.25 1.08204 1.09020 0.72117 0.78712 0.68157
33.5 1.10169 1.09114 0.75214 0.79394 0.69550
33.75 1.12060 1.09195 0.81311 0.80070 0.70852
34 1.13889 1.09217 0.90165 0.80546 0.71974
34.25 1.15665 1.09120 1.00494 0.80652 0.72850
34.5 1.17399 1.08857 1.09987 0.80312 0.73454
34.75 1.19113 1.08457 1.16132 0.79563 0.73873
35 1.20812 1.08020 1.17868 0.78530 0.74289
35.25 1.22497 1.07650 1.16247 0.77381 0.74884
35.5 1.24158 1.07422 1.12886 0.76283 0.75777
35.75 1.25783 1.07372 1.09206 0.75402 0.76964
36 1.27364 1.07499 1.05995 0.74858 0.78311
36.25 1.28894 1.07763 1.03211 0.74680 0.79619
36.5 1.30366 1.08059 1.00681 0.74810 0.80709
36.75 1.31777 1.08177 0.98316 0.75090 0.81432
37 1.33131 1.07862 0.96284 0.75322 0.81699
37.25 1.34435 1.06965 0.95089 0.75373 0.81527
37.5 1.35698 1.05535 0.95185 0.75207 0.80977
37.75 1.36927 1.03857 0.96815 0.74885 0.80239
38 1.38120 1.02289 0.99885 0.74495 0.79578
38.25 1.39267 1.01081 1.03886 0.74080 0.79162
38.5 1.40360 1.00318 1.08085 0.73620 0.79070
38.75 1.41384 0.99910 1.11556 0.73054 0.79182
39 1.42313 0.99696 1.13511 0.72328 0.79217
39.25 1.43124 0.99545 1.13751 0.71425 0.78931
39.5 1.43791 0.99368 1.12501 0.70364 0.78203
39.75 1.44304 0.99096 1.10337 0.69182 0.77147
40 1.44676 0.98654 1.07851 0.67932 0.76060
40.25 1.44929 0.97958 1.05327 0.66685 0.75234
40.5 1.45083 0.96948 1.02894 0.65538 0.74868
40.75 1.45150 0.95610 1.00594 0.64592 0.74988
41 1.45125 0.93971 0.98426 0.63900 0.75455
41.25 1.44995 0.92090 0.96387 0.63423 0.76043
41.5 1.44750 0.90037 0.94411 0.63021 0.76515
41.75 1.44388 0.87927 0.92405 0.62478 0.76663
42 1.43938 0.85892 0.90338 0.61608 0.76345
42.25 1.43433 0.84013 0.88264 0.60352 0.75527
42.5 1.42906 0.82320 0.86305 0.58798 0.74262
42.75 1.42374 0.80765 0.84566 0.57162 0.72760
43 1.41812 0.79263 0.83051 0.55667 0.71326
43.25 1.41193 0.77757 0.81665 0.54450 0.70202
43.5 1.40490 0.76219 0.80255 0.53540 0.69519
43.75 1.39693 0.74638 0.78651 0.52851 0.69169
44 1.38824 0.73001 0.76738 0.52222 0.68820
44.25 1.37903 0.71293 0.74509 0.51487 0.68114
44.5 1.36949 0.69511 0.72046 0.50525 0.66804
44.75 1.35968 0.67686 0.69538 0.49284 0.64924
45 1.34955 0.65875 0.67199 0.47794 0.62762
45.25 1.33906 0.64125 0.65168 0.46154 0.60643
45.5 1.32825 0.62461 0.63484 0.44493 0.58790
45.75 1.31718 0.60869 0.62046 0.42946 0.57275
46 1.30583 0.59309 0.60665 0.41609 0.56037
46.25 1.29404 0.57747 0.59160 0.40492 0.54928
46.5 1.28151 0.56160 0.57419 0.39530 0.53801
46.75 1.26787 0.54555 0.55422 0.38593 0.52517
47 1.25281 0.52954 0.53234 0.37547 0.50988
47.25 1.23616 0.51380 0.50974 0.36334 0.49219
47.5 1.21790 0.49851 0.48763 0.34979 0.47266
47.75 1.19814 0.48371 0.46727 0.33588 0.45214
48 1.17711 0.46931 0.44935 0.32267 0.43138
48.25 1.15495 0.45520 0.43353 0.31067 0.41057
48.5 1.13171 0.44125 0.41859 0.29969 0.38972
48.75 1.10744 0.42739 0.40269 0.28903 0.36898
49 1.08233 0.41358 0.38442 0.27785 0.34889
49.25 1.05675 0.39983 0.36389 0.26572 0.33014
49.5 1.03120 0.38624 0.34258 0.25263 0.31332
49.75 1.00615 0.37301 0.32278 0.23893 0.29878
50 0.98175 0.36037 0.30634 0.22508 0.28658
50.25 0.95785 0.34845 0.29398 0.21146 0.27657
50.5 0.93418 0.33729 0.28532 0.19845 0.26841
50.75 0.91043 0.32671 0.27880 0.18645 0.26150
51 0.88678 0.31650 0.27225 0.17580 0.25493
51.25 0.86363 0.30644 0.26390 0.16660 0.24790
51.5 0.84147 0.29638 0.25299 0.15848 0.23981
51.75 0.82068 0.28621 0.24014 0.15049 0.23048
52 0.80127 0.27587 0.22668 0.14142 0.22015
52.25 0.78296 0.26532 0.21372 0.13052 0.20916
52.5 0.76527 0.25459 0.20184 0.11820 0.19789
52.75 0.74792 0.24378 0.19109 0.10609 0.18663
53 0.73082 0.23306 0.18130 0.09599 0.17555
53.25 0.71407 0.22260 0.17224 0.08901 0.16473
53.5 0.69786 0.21251 0.16370 0.08546 0.15415
53.75 0.68239 0.20290 0.15552 0.08494 0.14376
54 0.66743 0.19375 0.14752 0.08642 0.13350
54.25 0.65258 0.18501 0.13961 0.08817 0.12338
54.5 0.63739 0.17657 0.13180 0.08818 0.11347
54.75 0.62145 0.16830 0.12420 0.08511 0.10393
55 0.60490 0.16012 0.11697 0.07912 0.09495
55.25 0.58804 0.15200 0.11021 0.07162 0.08665
55.5 0.57121 0.14401 0.10396 0.06387 0.07908
55.75 0.55471 0.13620 0.09816 0.05669 0.07225
56 0.53839 0.12866 0.09271 0.05036 0.06610
56.25 0.52195 0.12141 0.08750 0.04478 0.06056
56.5 0.50503 0.11445 0.08242 0.03982 0.05555
56.75 0.48733 0.10776 0.07737 0.03542 0.05096
57 0.46880 0.10133 0.07226 0.03161 0.04673
57.25 0.44958 0.09513 0.06710 0.02845 0.04280
57.5 0.42985 0.08909 0.06199 0.02592 0.03913
57.75 0.40987 0.08316 0.05709 0.02392 0.03568
58 0.38974 0.07727 0.05254 0.02230 0.03244
58.25 0.36947 0.07143 0.04838 0.02089 0.02935
58.5 0.34898 0.06571 0.04455 0.01955 0.02641
58.75 0.32821 0.06022 0.04094 0.01821 0.02363
59 0.30736 0.05508 0.03744 0.01684 0.02103
59.25 0.28680 0.05036 0.03403 0.01544 0.01864
59.5 0.26697 0.04609 0.03079 0.01404 0.01649
59.75 0.24832 0.04223 0.02781 0.01266 0.01458
60 0.23097 0.03876 0.02519 0.01132 0.01289
60.25 0.21482 0.03566 0.02292 0.01004 0.01140
60.5 0.19967 0.03290 0.02092 0.00884 0.01009
60.75 0.18521 0.02963 0.01906 0.00773 0.00892
61 0.17136 0.02675 0.01722 0.00674 0.00786
61.25 0.15814 0.02430 0.01534 0.00584 0.00690
61.5 0.14567 0.02211 0.01344 0.00504 0.00602
61.75 0.13410 0.02005 0.01162 0.00432 0.00521
62 0.12346 0.01805 0.00996 0.00367 0.00449
62.25 0.11367 0.01612 0.00850 0.00309 0.00383
62.5 0.10460 0.01431 0.00724 0.00259 0.00326
62.75 0.09606 0.01263 0.00616 0.00216 0.00276
63 0.08793 0.01108 0.00522 0.00180 0.00234
63.25 0.08017 0.00963 0.00441 0.00148 0.00198
63.5 0.07279 0.00825 0.00370 0.00120 0.00168
63.75 0.06585 0.00696 0.00309 0.00096 0.00142
64 0.05938 0.00578 0.00255 0.00074 0.00119
64.25 0.05339 0.00474 0.00208 0.00054 0.00100
64.5 0.04783 0.00387 0.00168 0.00037 0.00083
64.75 0.04268 0.00316 0.00133 0.00023 0.00069
65 0.03792 0.00259 0.00103 0.00013 0.00057
65.25 0.03355 0.00212 0.00079 0.00008 0.00046
65.5 0.02956 0.00172 0.00060 0.00006 0.00036
65.75 0.02592 0.00137 0.00045 0.00006 0.00028
66 0.02259 0.00107 0.00034 0.00007 0.00020
66.25 0.01955 0.00083 0.00025 0.00007 0.00014
66.5 0.01679 0.00063 0.00019 0.00005 0.00008
66.75 0.01430 0.00049 0.00015 0.00003 0.00004
67 0.01209 0.00039 0.00012 0.00001 0.00001
67.25 0.01016 0.00032 0.00010 0.00000 0.00000
67.5 0.00849 0.00027 0.00009 0.00000 0.00000
67.75 0.00704 0.00021 0.00008 0.00000 0.00000
68 0.00576 0.00016 0.00006 0.00000 0.00000
68.25 0.00463 0.00012 0.00005 0.00000 0.00000
68.5 0.00362 0.00008 0.00003 0.00000 0.00000
68.75 0.00271 0.00004 0.00001 0.00000 0.00000
69 0.00192 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
69.25 0.00124 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
69.5 0.00068 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
69.75 0.00025 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
70 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
70.25 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
70.5 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
70.75 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
71 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
71.25 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
71.5 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
71.75 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
72 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000

Return to text


Figure 7: Employment rates by age and calendar year

Age p1960 p1980 p2000 p2020
0.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
0.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
1.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
3.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
3.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
4.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
5.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
5.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
6.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14.25 0.0756 0.0839 0.0751 0.0367
14.5 0.6593 0.7324 0.6560 0.3230
14.75 1.7735 1.9706 1.7675 0.8782
15 3.3624 3.7371 3.3571 1.6838
15.25 5.3704 5.9706 5.3721 2.7214
15.5 7.7418 8.6097 7.7602 3.9726
15.75 10.4210 11.5931 10.4688 5.4191
16 13.3522 14.8595 13.4453 7.0425
16.25 16.4798 18.3475 16.6373 8.8243
16.5 19.7482 21.9957 19.9921 10.7464
16.75 23.1016 25.7428 23.4574 12.7902
17 26.4845 29.5274 26.9804 14.9373
17.25 29.8411 33.2883 30.5088 17.1695
17.5 33.1157 36.9640 33.9900 19.4683
17.75 36.2528 40.4932 37.3715 21.8153
18 39.1966 43.8146 40.6007 24.1922
18.25 41.8929 46.8683 43.6265 26.5809
18.5 44.3216 49.6322 46.4282 28.9690
18.75 46.4964 52.1210 49.0160 31.3503
19 48.4325 54.3514 51.4012 33.7185
19.25 50.1453 56.3400 53.5952 36.0676
19.5 51.6499 58.1033 55.6094 38.3913
19.75 52.9615 59.6579 57.4552 40.6836
20 54.0956 61.0205 59.1440 42.9382
20.25 55.0672 62.2076 60.6871 45.1492
20.5 55.8916 63.2357 62.0959 47.3103
20.75 56.5841 64.1215 63.3819 49.4154
21 57.1600 64.8815 64.5564 51.4584
21.25 57.6344 65.5323 65.6308 53.4331
21.5 58.0226 66.0905 66.6165 55.3334
21.75 58.3400 66.5727 67.5249 57.1532
22 58.6016 66.9955 68.3673 58.8863
22.25 58.8228 67.3754 69.1552 60.5265
22.5 59.0188 67.7291 69.8999 62.0679
22.75 59.2045 68.0726 70.6126 63.5043
23 59.3874 68.4140 71.2990 64.8351
23.25 59.5673 68.7526 71.9594 66.0647
23.5 59.7436 69.0875 72.5939 67.1976
23.75 59.9161 69.4179 73.2026 68.2384
24 60.0842 69.7427 73.7854 69.1918
24.25 60.2475 70.0612 74.3426 70.0624
24.5 60.4054 70.3724 74.8741 70.8548
24.75 60.5576 70.6753 75.3801 71.5735
25 60.7036 70.9692 75.8605 72.2232
25.25 60.8429 71.2530 76.3155 72.8084
25.5 60.9751 71.5259 76.7451 73.3339
25.75 61.0997 71.7869 77.1494 73.8041
26 61.2163 72.0352 77.5285 74.2237
26.25 61.3243 72.2699 77.8824 74.5974
26.5 61.4234 72.4900 78.2112 74.9296
26.75 61.5131 72.6946 78.5150 75.2250
27 61.5929 72.8829 78.7938 75.4883
27.25 61.6624 73.0538 79.0477 75.7239
27.5 61.7211 73.2066 79.2767 75.9366
27.75 61.7685 73.3403 79.4811 76.1308
28 61.8053 73.4553 79.6614 76.3092
28.25 61.8326 73.5527 79.8191 76.4726
28.5 61.8520 73.6341 79.9556 76.6217
28.75 61.8647 73.7009 80.0724 76.7572
29 61.8723 73.7544 80.1707 76.8798
29.25 61.8761 73.7960 80.2521 76.9902
29.5 61.8775 73.8272 80.3179 77.0892
29.75 61.8779 73.8493 80.3695 77.1775
30 61.8786 73.8638 80.4084 77.2557
30.25 61.8812 73.8720 80.4359 77.3246
30.5 61.8870 73.8753 80.4536 77.3849
30.75 61.8973 73.8751 80.4627 77.4373
31 61.9137 73.8729 80.4647 77.4824
31.25 61.9374 73.8700 80.4610 77.5211
31.5 61.9699 73.8678 80.4530 77.5541
31.75 62.0126 73.8678 80.4421 77.5819
32 62.0668 73.8713 80.4298 77.6055
32.25 62.1340 73.8797 80.4174 77.6254
32.5 62.2156 73.8944 80.4063 77.6423
32.75 62.3129 73.9168 80.3980 77.6571
33 62.4259 73.9473 80.3931 77.6701
33.25 62.5535 73.9853 80.3916 77.6817
33.5 62.6943 74.0302 80.3934 77.6922
33.75 62.8469 74.0815 80.3984 77.7018
34 63.0102 74.1385 80.4067 77.7109
34.25 63.1828 74.2006 80.4181 77.7198
34.5 63.3633 74.2673 80.4326 77.7287
34.75 63.5506 74.3379 80.4501 77.7379
35 63.7432 74.4118 80.4706 77.7478
35.25 63.9400 74.4885 80.4940 77.7586
35.5 64.1395 74.5674 80.5203 77.7706
35.75 64.3405 74.6478 80.5494 77.7841
36 64.5417 74.7292 80.5813 77.7995
36.25 64.7418 74.8109 80.6158 77.8169
36.5 64.9394 74.8925 80.6530 77.8368
36.75 65.1334 74.9731 80.6927 77.8593
37 65.3223 75.0524 80.7350 77.8848
37.25 65.5048 75.1296 80.7797 77.9136
37.5 65.6798 75.2042 80.8269 77.9459
37.75 65.8458 75.2757 80.8764 77.9821
38 66.0026 75.3435 80.9280 78.0221
38.25 66.1506 75.4074 80.9815 78.0656
38.5 66.2903 75.4674 81.0367 78.1122
38.75 66.4224 75.5232 81.0931 78.1616
39 66.5473 75.5745 81.1506 78.2133
39.25 66.6655 75.6212 81.2088 78.2672
39.5 66.7777 75.6631 81.2674 78.3228
39.75 66.8843 75.6999 81.3262 78.3797
40 66.9859 75.7316 81.3849 78.4376
40.25 67.0830 75.7578 81.4431 78.4962
40.5 67.1762 75.7784 81.5007 78.5551
40.75 67.2660 75.7931 81.5572 78.6139
41 67.3529 75.8018 81.6125 78.6724
41.25 67.4375 75.8043 81.6662 78.7300
41.5 67.5203 75.8004 81.7180 78.7866
41.75 67.6018 75.7898 81.7677 78.8416
42 67.6827 75.7724 81.8149 78.8949
42.25 67.7634 75.7479 81.8595 78.9460
42.5 67.8444 75.7162 81.9010 78.9945
42.75 67.9263 75.6771 81.9392 79.0402
43 68.0091 75.6305 81.9738 79.0827
43.25 68.0925 75.5765 82.0045 79.1215
43.5 68.1760 75.5151 82.0309 79.1564
43.75 68.2592 75.4466 82.0527 79.1870
44 68.3416 75.3709 82.0696 79.2129
44.25 68.4228 75.2881 82.0812 79.2337
44.5 68.5025 75.1984 82.0872 79.2491
44.75 68.5801 75.1019 82.0873 79.2588
45 68.6552 74.9986 82.0812 79.2623
45.25 68.7275 74.8886 82.0685 79.2594
45.5 68.7965 74.7720 82.0489 79.2496
45.75 68.8618 74.6490 82.0221 79.2326
46 68.9229 74.5195 81.9876 79.2080
46.25 68.9794 74.3837 81.9453 79.1755
46.5 69.0309 74.2417 81.8948 79.1347
46.75 69.0770 74.0935 81.8357 79.0853
47 69.1173 73.9393 81.7678 79.0268
47.25 69.1512 73.7792 81.6906 78.9589
47.5 69.1784 73.6132 81.6039 78.8813
47.75 69.1986 73.4414 81.5073 78.7937
48 69.2115 73.2641 81.4007 78.6960
48.25 69.2175 73.0812 81.2839 78.5891
48.5 69.2169 72.8931 81.1570 78.4735
48.75 69.2100 72.6999 81.0198 78.3500
49 69.1970 72.5018 80.8724 78.2190
49.25 69.1783 72.2990 80.7147 78.0813
49.5 69.1541 72.0917 80.5466 77.9376
49.75 69.1247 71.8799 80.3680 77.7885
50 69.0905 71.6641 80.1790 77.6345
50.25 69.0517 71.4442 79.9795 77.4765
50.5 69.0086 71.2205 79.7693 77.3150
50.75 68.9615 70.9932 79.5485 77.1507
51 68.9107 70.7625 79.3171 76.9842
51.25 68.8564 70.5285 79.0749 76.8161
51.5 68.7990 70.2914 78.8219 76.6472
51.75 68.7388 70.0514 78.5580 76.4781
52 68.6761 69.8087 78.2833 76.3094
52.25 68.6110 69.5635 77.9976 76.1417
52.5 68.5440 69.3160 77.7009 75.9758
52.75 68.4753 69.0662 77.3931 75.8122
53 68.4043 68.8136 77.0736 75.6502
53.25 68.3296 68.5568 76.7412 75.4881
53.5 68.2497 68.2943 76.3946 75.3238
53.75 68.1632 68.0246 76.0325 75.1554
54 68.0686 67.7465 75.6538 74.9809
54.25 67.9644 67.4583 75.2571 74.7985
54.5 67.8493 67.1586 74.8413 74.6062
54.75 67.7217 66.8461 74.4051 74.4020
55 67.5802 66.5193 73.9473 74.1841
55.25 67.4233 66.1767 73.4665 73.9504
55.5 67.2496 65.8169 72.9617 73.6991
55.75 67.0576 65.4384 72.4314 73.4281
56 66.8459 65.0398 71.8746 73.1356
56.25 66.6130 64.6197 71.2899 72.8197
56.5 66.3575 64.1767 70.6761 72.4783
56.75 66.0779 63.7092 70.0319 72.1096
57 65.7727 63.2159 69.3562 71.7115
57.25 65.4405 62.6953 68.6477 71.2823
57.5 65.0798 62.1459 67.9050 70.8199
57.75 64.6892 61.5664 67.1271 70.3224
58 64.2685 60.9559 66.3140 69.7894
58.25 63.8183 60.3144 65.4668 69.2216
58.5 63.3395 59.6417 64.5868 68.6202
58.75 62.8329 58.9377 63.6753 67.9859
59 62.2993 58.2023 62.7335 67.3196
59.25 61.7396 57.4354 61.7626 66.6224
59.5 61.1545 56.6368 60.7640 65.8952
59.75 60.5448 55.8065 59.7389 65.1388
60 59.9115 54.9443 58.6885 64.3542
60.25 59.2552 54.0502 57.6141 63.5424
60.5 58.5768 53.1240 56.5169 62.7042
60.75 57.8772 52.1656 55.3983 61.8406
61 57.1570 51.1748 54.2594 60.9525
61.25 56.4173 50.1517 53.1015 60.0408
61.5 55.6587 49.0960 51.9259 59.1065
61.75 54.8820 48.0077 50.7339 58.1504
62 54.0882 46.8866 49.5266 57.1736
62.25 53.2780 45.7326 48.3054 56.1770
62.5 52.4522 44.5457 47.0714 55.1614
62.75 51.6117 43.3258 45.8261 54.1278
63 50.7573 42.0754 44.5714 53.0779
63.25 49.8903 40.7995 43.3105 52.0140
63.5 49.0117 39.5034 42.0464 50.9384
63.75 48.1226 38.1920 40.7820 49.8534
64 47.2241 36.8707 39.5205 48.7614
64.25 46.3173 35.5445 38.2647 47.6648
64.5 45.4035 34.2186 37.0179 46.5659
64.75 44.4835 32.8980 35.7829 45.4670
65 43.5586 31.5880 34.5628 44.3704
65.25 42.6299 30.2937 33.3607 43.2786
65.5 41.6984 29.0202 32.1796 42.1938
65.75 40.7653 27.7727 31.0225 41.1184
66 39.8317 26.5563 29.8924 40.0548
66.25 38.8987 25.3762 28.7924 39.0052
66.5 37.9673 24.2374 27.7254 37.9721
66.75 37.0388 23.1452 26.6946 36.9577
67 36.1142 22.1046 25.7030 35.9644
67.25 35.1946 21.1209 24.7535 34.9945
67.5 34.2811 20.1991 23.8492 34.0505
67.75 33.3749 19.3442 22.9930 33.1345
68 32.4768 18.5570 22.1853 32.2473
68.25 31.5876 17.8337 21.4237 31.3881
68.5 30.7082 17.1707 20.7060 30.5559
68.75 29.8394 16.5641 20.0296 29.7498
69 28.9818 16.0103 19.3924 28.9690
69.25 28.1363 15.5053 18.7918 28.2125
69.5 27.3037 15.0455 18.2254 27.4795
69.75 26.4848 14.6271 17.6910 26.7690
70 25.6803 14.2463 17.1862 26.0801
70.25 24.8911 13.8993 16.7084 25.4120
70.5 24.1179 13.5824 16.2555 24.7637
70.75 23.3614 13.2918 15.8250 24.1344
71 22.6226 13.0237 15.4145 23.5230
71.25 21.9021 12.7743 15.0216 22.9288
71.5 21.2008 12.5399 14.6440 22.3509
71.75 20.5194 12.3167 14.2793 21.7882
72 19.8588 12.1009 13.9252 21.2400
72.25 19.2196 11.8888 13.5791 20.7053
72.5 18.6027 11.6765 13.2388 20.1832
72.75 18.0089 11.4605 12.9020 19.6729
73 17.4381 11.2390 12.5674 19.1737
73.25 16.8898 11.0123 12.2353 18.6855
73.5 16.3631 10.7809 11.9057 18.2080
73.75 15.8573 10.5452 11.5788 17.7411
74 15.3718 10.3057 11.2548 17.2844
74.25 14.9058 10.0627 10.9337 16.8379
74.5 14.4586 9.8166 10.6158 16.4012
74.75 14.0294 9.5680 10.3011 15.9742
75 13.6176 9.3171 9.9899 15.5566
75.25 13.2224 9.0646 9.6822 15.1483
75.5 12.8432 8.8106 9.3781 14.7491
75.75 12.4791 8.5558 9.0780 14.3586
76 12.1295 8.3004 8.7818 13.9768
76.25 11.7936 8.0450 8.4897 13.6033
76.5 11.4708 7.7900 8.2020 13.2380
76.75 11.1603 7.5357 7.9186 12.8807
77 10.8614 7.2826 7.6398 12.5311
77.25 10.5734 7.0311 7.3657 12.1891
77.5 10.2955 6.7817 7.0964 11.8544
77.75 10.0271 6.5347 6.8322 11.5268
78 9.7673 6.2907 6.5730 11.2061
78.25 9.5156 6.0499 6.3192 10.8921
78.5 9.2712 5.8129 6.0708 10.5846
78.75 9.0333 5.5800 5.8279 10.2833
79 8.8012 5.3517 5.5907 9.9881
79.25 8.5743 5.1284 5.3594 9.6987
79.5 8.3517 4.9105 5.1341 9.4150
79.75 8.1329 4.6985 4.9149 9.1366
80 7.9174 4.4924 4.7019 8.8636
80.25 7.7052 4.2923 4.4949 8.5957
80.5 7.4962 4.0981 4.2940 8.3331
80.75 7.2905 3.9096 4.0989 8.0755
81 7.0881 3.7268 3.9097 7.8231
81.25 6.8889 3.5495 3.7262 7.5757
81.5 6.6929 3.3778 3.5484 7.3334
81.75 6.5002 3.2115 3.3761 7.0959
82 6.3106 3.0505 3.2093 6.8634
82.25 6.1242 2.8948 3.0479 6.6358
82.5 5.9409 2.7443 2.8918 6.4129
82.75 5.7608 2.5988 2.7409 6.1948
83 5.5837 2.4584 2.5951 5.9815
83.25 5.4098 2.3228 2.4544 5.7728
83.5 5.2390 2.1921 2.3187 5.5687
83.75 5.0713 2.0661 2.1878 5.3692
84 4.9066 1.9448 2.0617 5.1743
84.25 4.7450 1.8281 1.9403 4.9838
84.5 4.5863 1.7158 1.8235 4.7978
84.75 4.4307 1.6080 1.7113 4.6162
85 4.2781 1.5045 1.6034 4.4389
85.25 4.1285 1.4052 1.5000 4.2660
85.5 3.9818 1.3101 1.4008 4.0972
85.75 3.8381 1.2190 1.3058 3.9327
86 3.6973 1.1319 1.2149 3.7724
86.25 3.5594 1.0488 1.1280 3.6161
86.5 3.4245 0.9694 1.0450 3.4640
86.75 3.2924 0.8938 0.9658 3.3158
87 3.1631 0.8218 0.8905 3.1717
87.25 3.0368 0.7533 0.8187 3.0314
87.5 2.9132 0.6884 0.7506 2.8951
87.75 2.7925 0.6268 0.6859 2.7626
88 2.6746 0.5685 0.6247 2.6338
88.25 2.5594 0.5135 0.5668 2.5089
88.5 2.4471 0.4616 0.5121 2.3876
88.75 2.3375 0.4127 0.4605 2.2699
89 2.2306 0.3669 0.4120 2.1559
89.25 2.1265 0.3239 0.3665 2.0454
89.5 2.0251 0.2836 0.3239 1.9385
89.75 1.9263 0.2462 0.2841 1.8350
90 1.8303 0.2113 0.2470 1.7349
90.25 1.7369 0.1790 0.2125 1.6382
90.5 1.6461 0.1491 0.1806 1.5448
90.75 1.5580 0.1216 0.1511 1.4547
91 1.4725 0.0964 0.1240 1.3678
91.25 1.3896 0.0734 0.0992 1.2841
91.5 1.3092 0.0525 0.0766 1.2036
91.75 1.2315 0.0337 0.0560 1.1261
92 1.1562 0.0168 0.0376 1.0517
92.25 1.0835 0.0018 0.0210 0.9803
92.5 1.0134 0.0000 0.0063 0.9118
92.75 0.9457 0.0 0.0 0.8463
93 0.8805 0.0 0.0 0.7836
93.25 0.8178 0.0 0.0 0.7237
93.5 0.7576 0.0 0.0 0.6666
93.75 0.6997 0.0 0.0 0.6122
94 0.6444 0.0 0.0 0.5604
94.25 0.5914 0.0 0.0 0.5113
94.5 0.5408 0.0 0.0 0.4648
94.75 0.4925 0.0 0.0 0.4208
95 0.4467 0.0 0.0 0.3793
95.25 0.4032 0.0 0.0 0.3403
95.5 0.3620 0.0 0.0 0.3036
95.75 0.3231 0.0 0.0 0.2693
96 0.2865 0.0 0.0 0.2373
96.25 0.2522 0.0 0.0 0.2076
96.5 0.2201 0.0 0.0 0.1800
96.75 0.1903 0.0 0.0 0.1546
97 0.1628 0.0 0.0 0.1314
97.25 0.1374 0.0 0.0 0.1101
97.5 0.1143 0.0 0.0 0.0910
97.75 0.0933 0.0 0.0 0.0738
98 0.0745 0.0 0.0 0.0585
98.25 0.0579 0.0 0.0 0.0451
98.5 0.0433 0.0 0.0 0.0336
98.75 0.0310 0.0 0.0 0.0238
99 0.0207 0.0 0.0 0.0158
99.25 0.0125 0.0 0.0 0.0094
99.5 0.0063 0.0 0.0 0.0048
99.75 0.0023 0.0 0.0 0.0017
100 0.0003 0.0 0.0 0.0002
100.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
100.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
100.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
101 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
101.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
101.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
101.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
102 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
102.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
102.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
102.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
103 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
103.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
103.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
103.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
104 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
104.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
104.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
104.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
105 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
105.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
105.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
105.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
106 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
106.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
106.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
106.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
107 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
107.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
107.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
107.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
108 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
108.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
108.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
108.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
109 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
109.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
109.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
109.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
110 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
110.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
110.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
110.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
111 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
111.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
111.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
111.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
112 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
112.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
112.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
112.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
113 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
113.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
113.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
113.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
114 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
114.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
114.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
114.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
115 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
115.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
115.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
115.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
116 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
116.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
116.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
116.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
117 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
117.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
117.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
117.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
118 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
118.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
118.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
118.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
119 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
119.25 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
119.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
119.75 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
120 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Return to text


Figure 8: Dynamic simulation of the model under baseline demographics: equilibrium real rate

Date Dependent children No dependent children J-M posterior mean JM 25th Percentile JM 75th Percentile
1960.125 1.4600 1.4619 1.1967 0.6828 1.7831
1960.375 1.4606 1.4598 1.1651 0.6528 1.7474
1960.625 1.4628 1.4594 1.1079 0.5973 1.6872
1960.875 1.4662 1.4604 1.1378 0.63 1.7147
1961.125 1.4703 1.4622 1.1539 0.6482 1.7299
1961.375 1.4746 1.4643 1.1701 0.665 1.743
1961.625 1.4786 1.4662 1.1657 0.6634 1.7366
1961.875 1.4820 1.4675 1.1655 0.6633 1.7344
1962.125 1.4847 1.4680 1.128 0.6295 1.6939
1962.375 1.4866 1.4678 1.1043 0.6068 1.6684
1962.625 1.4876 1.4667 1.1288 0.6326 1.692
1962.875 1.4877 1.4647 1.1109 0.6164 1.6726
1963.125 1.4871 1.4621 1.1376 0.6458 1.6972
1963.375 1.4863 1.4592 1.1448 0.655 1.7024
1963.625 1.4857 1.4565 1.1421 0.6549 1.6966
1963.875 1.4865 1.4552 1.1641 0.6774 1.7159
1964.125 1.4896 1.4561 1.1689 0.6846 1.7199
1964.375 1.4956 1.4599 1.1673 0.6845 1.7167
1964.625 1.5048 1.4670 1.1566 0.6741 1.7058
1964.875 1.5164 1.4766 1.1613 0.6793 1.7095
1965.125 1.5293 1.4877 1.1874 0.7055 1.735
1965.375 1.5423 1.4991 1.1815 0.6992 1.7275
1965.625 1.5543 1.5097 1.1827 0.7017 1.728
1965.875 1.5652 1.5192 1.1987 0.7195 1.7422
1966.125 1.5749 1.5279 1.2093 0.7283 1.7518
1966.375 1.5839 1.5359 1.2022 0.7211 1.7444
1966.625 1.5926 1.5436 1.2479 0.7681 1.7902
1966.875 1.6010 1.5511 1.2476 0.7668 1.7915
1967.125 1.6091 1.5584 1.2376 0.7552 1.7823
1967.375 1.6166 1.5651 1.2404 0.7571 1.7846
1967.625 1.6235 1.5713 1.2599 0.7743 1.806
1967.875 1.6298 1.5770 1.2815 0.7948 1.8277
1968.125 1.6354 1.5821 1.2652 0.7785 1.8127
1968.375 1.6407 1.5869 1.2922 0.8037 1.8394
1968.625 1.6457 1.5914 1.2774 0.7885 1.8252
1968.875 1.6504 1.5957 1.2843 0.7936 1.8335
1969.125 1.6549 1.5999 1.3031 0.8123 1.8525
1969.375 1.6591 1.6039 1.3064 0.815 1.8548
1969.625 1.6631 1.6078 1.3421 0.8478 1.8934
1969.875 1.6670 1.6116 1.3546 0.8609 1.907
1970.125 1.6708 1.6155 1.3649 0.8701 1.917
1970.375 1.6745 1.6193 1.3777 0.8834 1.9296
1970.625 1.6780 1.6232 1.3696 0.8742 1.9223
1970.875 1.6815 1.6270 1.3412 0.8449 1.8955
1971.125 1.6848 1.6307 1.2997 0.803 1.8536
1971.375 1.6879 1.6344 1.3287 0.8329 1.8835
1971.625 1.6910 1.6381 1.3532 0.8557 1.9085
1971.875 1.6939 1.6416 1.3328 0.8341 1.8886
1972.125 1.6966 1.6451 1.3273 0.8278 1.8835
1972.375 1.6992 1.6485 1.3421 0.841 1.8996
1972.625 1.7017 1.6518 1.3431 0.8422 1.901
1972.875 1.7039 1.6550 1.3433 0.8432 1.9038
1973.125 1.7060 1.6580 1.3432 0.842 1.9036
1973.375 1.7079 1.6609 1.3347 0.8326 1.896
1973.625 1.7097 1.6638 1.3481 0.8447 1.9105
1973.875 1.7114 1.6666 1.3239 0.8192 1.8882
1974.125 1.7133 1.6696 1.3204 0.8147 1.8848
1974.375 1.7154 1.6729 1.3391 0.8318 1.9047
1974.625 1.7177 1.6764 1.3596 0.8529 1.9273
1974.875 1.7202 1.6802 1.3544 0.8453 1.924
1975.125 1.7230 1.6842 1.3717 0.8627 1.9409
1975.375 1.7258 1.6884 1.3888 0.877 1.9584
1975.625 1.7287 1.6926 1.3985 0.8856 1.9699
1975.875 1.7314 1.6968 1.4067 0.8921 1.9783
1976.125 1.7341 1.7010 1.4023 0.8879 1.9747
1976.375 1.7367 1.7051 1.4196 0.9033 1.9932
1976.625 1.7390 1.7090 1.4277 0.9111 2.0032
1976.875 1.7412 1.7128 1.4108 0.893 1.9879
1977.125 1.7432 1.7164 1.4302 0.9118 2.0095
1977.375 1.7451 1.7197 1.4345 0.9156 2.0134
1977.625 1.7468 1.7230 1.4492 0.9293 2.0289
1977.875 1.7485 1.7262 1.4693 0.9477 2.0512
1978.125 1.7502 1.7295 1.4843 0.9617 2.0682
1978.375 1.7521 1.7329 1.4934 0.9687 2.0785
1978.625 1.7542 1.7366 1.5103 0.9833 2.0959
1978.875 1.7563 1.7403 1.5241 0.9965 2.1115
1979.125 1.7581 1.7437 1.5385 1.0098 2.1296
1979.375 1.7592 1.7463 1.5317 1.0028 2.1232
1979.625 1.7592 1.7477 1.5367 1.0067 2.1289
1979.875 1.7580 1.7476 1.5652 1.0334 2.1609
1980.125 1.7558 1.7464 1.5952 1.0611 2.1932
1980.375 1.7533 1.7447 1.5827 1.0481 2.1809
1980.625 1.7512 1.7436 1.5961 1.059 2.1976
1980.875 1.7500 1.7435 1.6095 1.0695 2.213
1981.125 1.7498 1.7447 1.6234 1.0836 2.2272
1981.375 1.7504 1.7468 1.6412 1.0988 2.2487
1981.625 1.7513 1.7491 1.6643 1.12 2.2728
1981.875 1.7520 1.7512 1.6593 1.1146 2.2697
1982.125 1.7523 1.7528 1.6737 1.1263 2.2841
1982.375 1.7521 1.7538 1.6846 1.1336 2.2978
1982.625 1.7515 1.7543 1.6853 1.1344 2.3006
1982.875 1.7507 1.7545 1.6691 1.1203 2.2839
1983.125 1.7497 1.7544 1.678 1.1283 2.2944
1983.375 1.7484 1.7540 1.6876 1.137 2.3036
1983.625 1.7469 1.7533 1.7092 1.1556 2.3284
1983.875 1.7451 1.7522 1.7087 1.1554 2.3289
1984.125 1.7431 1.7506 1.7101 1.1567 2.3302
1984.375 1.7407 1.7486 1.734 1.1794 2.3557
1984.625 1.7380 1.7462 1.7488 1.193 2.3727
1984.875 1.7350 1.7433 1.7182 1.1655 2.3401
1985.125 1.7317 1.7399 1.7128 1.1598 2.335
1985.375 1.7281 1.7363 1.6974 1.1466 2.3198
1985.625 1.7246 1.7325 1.6927 1.1424 2.3135
1985.875 1.7210 1.7285 1.6924 1.1426 2.3149
1986.125 1.7176 1.7245 1.6843 1.1359 2.3062
1986.375 1.7143 1.7205 1.6847 1.1367 2.3078
1986.625 1.7110 1.7163 1.6682 1.1213 2.2901
1986.875 1.7076 1.7120 1.6765 1.1298 2.2998
1987.125 1.7043 1.7075 1.6749 1.1287 2.2989
1987.375 1.7011 1.7031 1.7116 1.1617 2.3382
1987.625 1.6982 1.6988 1.7125 1.1624 2.3396
1987.875 1.6956 1.6949 1.7109 1.1619 2.3374
1988.125 1.6935 1.6912 1.6753 1.1313 2.3011
1988.375 1.6916 1.6878 1.6877 1.1424 2.3132
1988.625 1.6898 1.6844 1.7084 1.1619 2.3365
1988.875 1.6877 1.6806 1.7036 1.1578 2.33
1989.125 1.6852 1.6764 1.7411 1.1947 2.3696
1989.375 1.6821 1.6714 1.739 1.1935 2.3666
1989.625 1.6782 1.6656 1.7072 1.165 2.3327
1989.875 1.6735 1.6591 1.7102 1.1696 2.3351
1990.125 1.6681 1.6518 1.7058 1.1668 2.3296
1990.375 1.6619 1.6439 1.7022 1.1645 2.3252
1990.625 1.6550 1.6351 1.7003 1.1636 2.3227
1990.875 1.6473 1.6257 1.7191 1.1817 2.3431
1991.125 1.6391 1.6156 1.6946 1.1585 2.3155
1991.375 1.6306 1.6051 1.7048 1.1694 2.3264
1991.625 1.6220 1.5945 1.6991 1.1637 2.3214
1991.875 1.6137 1.5840 1.6534 1.1231 2.2726
1992.125 1.6056 1.5737 1.6406 1.1115 2.259
1992.375 1.5978 1.5636 1.6476 1.1178 2.2667
1992.625 1.5901 1.5536 1.5977 1.0732 2.2148
1992.875 1.5824 1.5434 1.5932 1.0684 2.2095
1993.125 1.5745 1.5330 1.5577 1.0349 2.1719
1993.375 1.5665 1.5224 1.5516 1.0301 2.1664
1993.625 1.5583 1.5115 1.5528 1.0311 2.1658
1993.875 1.5502 1.5005 1.5381 1.0165 2.1507
1994.125 1.5422 1.4896 1.5731 1.0489 2.1878
1994.375 1.5347 1.4790 1.6216 1.0946 2.2384
1994.625 1.5275 1.4688 1.6001 1.0732 2.2155
1994.875 1.5207 1.4589 1.6042 1.0771 2.2199
1995.125 1.5140 1.4491 1.5885 1.0622 2.2036
1995.375 1.5073 1.4393 1.5808 1.055 2.196
1995.625 1.5005 1.4294 1.5806 1.0542 2.1938
1995.875 1.4936 1.4192 1.5802 1.0564 2.194
1996.125 1.4866 1.4089 1.5727 1.0498 2.1855
1996.375 1.4796 1.3985 1.6006 1.0751 2.2149
1996.625 1.4727 1.3883 1.5654 1.0432 2.1784
1996.875 1.4661 1.3784 1.5375 1.0176 2.1473
1997.125 1.4596 1.3686 1.5492 1.0295 2.161
1997.375 1.4533 1.3591 1.5724 1.0513 2.1841
1997.625 1.4470 1.3497 1.5449 1.0257 2.1521
1997.875 1.4407 1.3403 1.5262 1.0098 2.1317
1998.125 1.4341 1.3308 1.5384 1.0219 2.1437
1998.375 1.4273 1.3210 1.5337 1.0187 2.1372
1998.625 1.4200 1.3109 1.5486 1.0337 2.1517
1998.875 1.4125 1.3006 1.4801 0.9704 2.0797
1999.125 1.4047 1.2901 1.5136 1.004 2.1111
1999.375 1.3967 1.2795 1.5084 0.9983 2.1053
1999.625 1.3886 1.2688 1.5205 1.0124 2.1164
1999.875 1.3802 1.2580 1.4993 0.9933 2.0925
2000.125 1.3714 1.2468 1.4952 0.9883 2.0882
2000.375 1.3620 1.2352 1.4911 0.9849 2.0838
2000.625 1.3518 1.2229 1.4884 0.9822 2.08
2000.875 1.3407 1.2099 1.475 0.9695 2.065
2001.125 1.3289 1.1962 1.4428 0.9386 2.031
2001.375 1.3164 1.1819 1.4004 0.8976 1.9854
2001.625 1.3034 1.1672 1.3916 0.8905 1.9748
2001.875 1.2901 1.1523 1.3394 0.8398 1.9225
2002.125 1.2765 1.1372 1.3449 0.8441 1.9268
2002.375 1.2626 1.1220 1.3239 0.8221 1.9073
2002.625 1.2483 1.1063 1.2629 0.7584 1.8468
2002.875 1.2335 1.0903 1.2516 0.7463 1.8351
2003.125 1.2183 1.0739 1.227 0.7195 1.8119
2003.375 1.2027 1.0572 1.2462 0.7376 1.8323
2003.625 1.1869 1.0404 1.2652 0.7553 1.8494
2003.875 1.1710 1.0238 1.2307 0.7186 1.8154
2004.125 1.1550 1.0073 1.1976 0.6846 1.7836
2004.375 1.1390 0.9908 1.1955 0.6836 1.7806
2004.625 1.1227 0.9743 1.1541 0.6401 1.7392
2004.875 1.1062 0.9576 1.1626 0.6483 1.7481
2005.125 1.0893 0.9407 1.1807 0.6664 1.7661
2005.375 1.0722 0.9235 1.1595 0.6444 1.7451
2005.625 1.0548 0.9063 1.1596 0.643 1.7447
2005.875 1.0372 0.8889 1.1818 0.6647 1.7684
2006.125 1.0194 0.8715 1.1784 0.6598 1.7654
2006.375 1.0013 0.8540 1.1928 0.6733 1.7788
2006.625 0.9831 0.8363 1.1869 0.6666 1.7731
2006.875 0.9647 0.8186 1.1576 0.6367 1.7434
2007.125 0.9462 0.8008 1.1544 0.6324 1.7401
2007.375 0.9278 0.7832 1.1538 0.631 1.7411
2007.625 0.9095 0.7658 1.1408 0.6142 1.7291
2007.875 0.8913 0.7487 1.108 0.5779 1.6981
2008.125 0.8731 0.7317 1.0462 0.5121 1.6403
2008.375 0.8550 0.7148 1.0334 0.497 1.6285
2008.625 0.8368 0.6979 1.0628 0.5254 1.6581
2008.875 0.8185 0.6810 1.0265 0.4849 1.6275
2009.125 0.8001 0.6641 1.0268 0.4825 1.628
2009.375 0.7819 0.6475 1.0545 0.5088 1.6551
2009.625 0.7639 0.6312 1.0592 0.5107 1.6614
2009.875 0.7463 0.6153 1.0541 0.5028 1.6585
2010.125 0.7292 0.6000 1.0607 0.5084 1.6679
2010.375 0.7127 0.5855 1.0569 0.5002 1.6665
2010.625 0.6970 0.5719 1.0144 0.453 1.6278
2010.875 0.6820 0.5592 1.0105 0.4458 1.6277
2011.125 0.6679 0.5476 1.0265 0.4593 1.6453
2011.375 0.6546 0.5368 1.0094 0.4402 1.6306
2011.625 0.6419 0.5268 0.9634 0.3885 1.589
2011.875 0.6298 0.5173 0.9446 0.3657 1.5739
2012.125 0.6182 0.5084 0.9327 0.3521 1.5641
2012.375 0.6070 0.5000 0.9276 0.3445 1.5619
2012.625 0.5963 0.4921 0.9141 0.3276 1.5502
2012.875 0.5861 0.4846 0.9088 0.3212 1.5463
2013.125 0.5763 0.4776 0.9249 0.3341 1.5618
2013.375 0.5669 0.4711 0.9286 0.3358 1.5667
2013.625 0.5579 0.4649 0.9737 0.3816 1.6102
2013.875 0.5491 0.4590 0.9539 0.3599 1.5921
2014.125 0.5407 0.4534 0.9708 0.3754 1.6086
2014.375 0.5325 0.4482 0.9649 0.3663 1.6036
2014.625 0.5248 0.4433 0.9847 0.3848 1.6232
2014.875 0.5174 0.4389 0.9663 0.3657 1.6076
2015.125 0.5105 0.4348 0.9578 0.3553 1.6012
2015.375 0.5040 0.4312 0.9551 0.3503 1.6002
2015.625 0.4978 0.4279 0.9489 0.342 1.5958
2015.875 0.4918 0.4248 0.9464 0.3389 1.5929
2016.125 0.4860 0.4219 NA NA NA
2016.375 0.4802 0.4191 NA NA NA
2016.625 0.4746 0.4163 NA NA NA
2016.875 0.4692 0.4137 NA NA NA
2017.125 0.4639 0.4112 NA NA NA
2017.375 0.4588 0.4090 NA NA NA
2017.625 0.4540 0.4069 NA NA NA
2017.875 0.4493 0.4050 NA NA NA
2018.125 0.4448 0.4032 NA NA NA
2018.375 0.4404 0.4016 NA NA NA
2018.625 0.4360 0.3999 NA NA NA
2018.875 0.4316 0.3982 NA NA NA
2019.125 0.4272 0.3964 NA NA NA
2019.375 0.4227 0.3945 NA NA NA
2019.625 0.4182 0.3926 NA NA NA
2019.875 0.4137 0.3907 NA NA NA
2020.125 0.4092 0.3887 NA NA NA
2020.375 0.4048 0.3867 NA NA NA
2020.625 0.4004 0.3848 NA NA NA
2020.875 0.3961 0.3829 NA NA NA
2021.125 0.3920 0.3811 NA NA NA
2021.375 0.3879 0.3794 NA NA NA
2021.625 0.3838 0.3777 NA NA NA
2021.875 0.3799 0.3760 NA NA NA
2022.125 0.3760 0.3743 NA NA NA
2022.375 0.3721 0.3726 NA NA NA
2022.625 0.3682 0.3709 NA NA NA
2022.875 0.3645 0.3692 NA NA NA
2023.125 0.3608 0.3676 NA NA NA
2023.375 0.3572 0.3661 NA NA NA
2023.625 0.3538 0.3646 NA NA NA
2023.875 0.3505 0.3633 NA NA NA
2024.125 0.3474 0.3621 NA NA NA
2024.375 0.3444 0.3611 NA NA NA
2024.625 0.3417 0.3602 NA NA NA
2024.875 0.3391 0.3594 NA NA NA
2025.125 0.3367 0.3588 NA NA NA
2025.375 0.3345 0.3584 NA NA NA
2025.625 0.3324 0.3580 NA NA NA
2025.875 0.3305 0.3578 NA NA NA
2026.125 0.3287 0.3577 NA NA NA
2026.375 0.3269 0.3576 NA NA NA
2026.625 0.3253 0.3576 NA NA NA
2026.875 0.3237 0.3576 NA NA NA
2027.125 0.3222 0.3577 NA NA NA
2027.375 0.3208 0.3578 NA NA NA
2027.625 0.3195 0.3580 NA NA NA
2027.875 0.3182 0.3582 NA NA NA
2028.125 0.3171 0.3585 NA NA NA
2028.375 0.3161 0.3589 NA NA NA
2028.625 0.3152 0.3594 NA NA NA
2028.875 0.3144 0.3599 NA NA NA
2029.125 0.3137 0.3605 NA NA NA
2029.375 0.3131 0.3612 NA NA NA
2029.625 0.3126 0.3619 NA NA NA
2029.875 0.3122 0.3627 NA NA NA
2030.125 0.3119 0.3635 NA NA NA
2030.375 0.3116 0.3644 NA NA NA
2030.625 0.3114 0.3653 NA NA NA
2030.875 0.3112 0.3662 NA NA NA

Return to text


Figure 9: Dynamic simulation under baseline demographics: other variables

Date Employment-population ratio: Model input Employment-population ratio: Data Dependency ratios: Children-to-labor Dependency ratios: Inactive-adults-to-labor
1960.125 56.0119 56.0625 95.8920 78.5335
1960.375 55.9882 56.0875 96.0797 78.6089
1960.625 55.9656 56.0125 96.2112 78.6813
1960.875 55.9456 55.8375 96.3113 78.7449
1961.125 55.9303 55.6625 96.4049 78.7941
1961.375 55.9207 55.4875 96.5105 78.8246
1961.625 55.9175 55.4125 96.6372 78.8347
1961.875 55.9207 55.4375 96.7878 78.8248
1962.125 55.9298 55.4625 96.9660 78.7957
1962.375 55.9446 55.4875 97.1778 78.7482
1962.625 55.9650 55.4750 97.4307 78.6830
1962.875 55.9906 55.4250 97.7290 78.6013
1963.125 56.0202 55.3750 98.0647 78.5072
1963.375 56.0516 55.3250 98.4132 78.4071
1963.625 56.0821 55.3500 98.7346 78.3101
1963.875 56.1085 55.4500 98.9736 78.2260
1964.125 56.1285 55.5500 99.0746 78.1626
1964.375 56.1411 55.6500 98.9992 78.1225
1964.625 56.1480 55.7625 98.7420 78.1008
1964.875 56.1528 55.8875 98.3393 78.0854
1965.125 56.1604 56.0125 97.8560 78.0614
1965.375 56.1747 56.1375 97.3602 78.0161
1965.625 56.1975 56.2875 96.8984 77.9438
1965.875 56.2282 56.4625 96.4840 77.8466
1966.125 56.2644 56.6375 96.1028 77.7323
1966.375 56.3032 56.8125 95.7301 77.6097
1966.625 56.3425 56.9500 95.3465 77.4858
1966.875 56.3813 57.0500 94.9451 77.3637
1967.125 56.4193 57.1500 94.5296 77.2444
1967.375 56.4565 57.2500 94.1076 77.1274
1967.625 56.4930 57.3250 93.6843 77.0131
1967.875 56.5282 57.3750 93.2603 76.9028
1968.125 56.5616 57.4250 92.8331 76.7985
1968.375 56.5924 57.4750 92.3999 76.7022
1968.625 56.6203 57.5625 91.9612 76.6151
1968.875 56.6453 57.6875 91.5204 76.5370
1969.125 56.6680 57.8125 91.0831 76.4664
1969.375 56.6891 57.9375 90.6543 76.4009
1969.625 56.7093 57.9250 90.2361 76.3379
1969.875 56.7292 57.7750 89.8282 76.2760
1970.125 56.7490 57.6250 89.4296 76.2146
1970.375 56.7684 57.4750 89.0397 76.1544
1970.625 56.7871 57.3000 88.6592 76.0964
1970.875 56.8048 57.1000 88.2851 76.0416
1971.125 56.8215 56.9000 87.9088 75.9898
1971.375 56.8374 56.7000 87.5173 75.9405
1971.625 56.8529 56.6500 87.0953 75.8926
1971.875 56.8684 56.7500 86.6340 75.8447
1972.125 56.8842 56.8500 86.1324 75.7959
1972.375 56.9006 56.9500 85.5970 75.7452
1972.625 56.9178 57.1000 85.0383 75.6920
1972.875 56.9359 57.3000 84.4659 75.6361
1973.125 56.9550 57.5000 83.8858 75.5773
1973.375 56.9748 57.7000 83.2997 75.5161
1973.625 56.9954 57.8000 82.7053 75.4529
1973.875 57.0164 57.8000 82.0983 75.3881
1974.125 57.0381 57.8000 81.4753 75.3215
1974.375 57.0606 57.8000 80.8358 75.2524
1974.625 57.0844 57.5875 80.1835 75.1793
1974.875 57.1101 57.1625 79.5229 75.1004
1975.125 57.1382 56.7375 78.8572 75.0142
1975.375 57.1692 56.3125 78.1870 74.9194
1975.625 57.2032 56.1875 77.5100 74.8154
1975.875 57.2402 56.3625 76.8272 74.7024
1976.125 57.2800 56.5375 76.1440 74.5809
1976.375 57.3225 56.7125 75.4688 74.4516
1976.625 57.3673 56.9375 74.8105 74.3154
1976.875 57.4141 57.2125 74.1726 74.1731
1977.125 57.4628 57.4875 73.5521 74.0255
1977.375 57.5131 57.7625 72.9417 73.8733
1977.625 57.5648 58.0750 72.3335 73.7172
1977.875 57.6176 58.4250 71.7219 73.5580
1978.125 57.6713 58.7750 71.1052 73.3965
1978.375 57.7257 59.1250 70.4840 73.2332
1978.625 57.7806 59.3750 69.8610 73.0685
1978.875 57.8360 59.5250 69.2430 72.9028
1979.125 57.8914 59.6750 68.6408 72.7372
1979.375 57.9464 59.8250 68.0673 72.5733
1979.625 58.0001 59.8125 67.5347 72.4134
1979.875 58.0522 59.6375 67.0454 72.2586
1980.125 58.1031 59.4625 66.5915 72.1078
1980.375 58.1539 59.2875 66.1563 71.9575
1980.625 58.2063 59.1750 65.7197 71.8026
1980.875 58.2617 59.1250 65.2697 71.6394
1981.125 58.3204 59.0750 64.8044 71.4665
1981.375 58.3822 59.0250 64.3308 71.2852
1981.625 58.4459 58.8500 63.8610 71.0985
1981.875 58.5108 58.5500 63.4035 70.9086
1982.125 58.5768 58.2500 62.9620 70.7161
1982.375 58.6442 57.9500 62.5368 70.5199
1982.625 58.7137 57.8125 62.1268 70.3180
1982.875 58.7859 57.8375 61.7327 70.1087
1983.125 58.8612 57.8625 61.3566 69.8913
1983.375 58.9395 57.8875 61.0001 69.6656
1983.625 59.0206 58.1000 60.6627 69.4322
1983.875 59.1043 58.5000 60.3433 69.1924
1984.125 59.1899 58.9000 60.0409 68.9477
1984.375 59.2769 59.3000 59.7566 68.6999
1984.625 59.3645 59.5750 59.4934 68.4508
1984.875 59.4525 59.7250 59.2527 68.2014
1985.125 59.5409 59.8750 59.0331 67.9518
1985.375 59.6297 60.0250 58.8297 67.7016
1985.625 59.7194 60.1750 58.6358 67.4498
1985.875 59.8098 60.3250 58.4457 67.1968
1986.125 59.9004 60.4750 58.2566 66.9438
1986.375 59.9904 60.6250 58.0673 66.6933
1986.625 60.0788 60.8000 57.8782 66.4480
1986.875 60.1648 61.0000 57.6885 66.2102
1987.125 60.2479 61.2000 57.4960 65.9810
1987.375 60.3279 61.4000 57.2971 65.7609
1987.625 60.4049 61.6000 57.0886 65.5494
1987.875 60.4793 61.8000 56.8681 65.3460
1988.125 60.5510 62.0000 56.6355 65.1501
1988.375 60.6204 62.2000 56.3940 64.9610
1988.625 60.6877 62.3750 56.1505 64.7780
1988.875 60.7535 62.5250 55.9163 64.5996
1989.125 60.8183 62.6750 55.7057 64.4242
1989.375 60.8827 62.8250 55.5321 64.2504
1989.625 60.9469 62.8875 55.4034 64.0774
1989.875 61.0110 62.8625 55.3197 63.9049
1990.125 61.0751 62.8375 55.2738 63.7328
1990.375 61.1394 62.8125 55.2550 63.5607
1990.625 61.2041 62.6625 55.2536 63.3878
1990.875 61.2694 62.3875 55.2628 63.2137
1991.125 61.3352 62.1125 55.2787 63.0386
1991.375 61.4010 61.8375 55.2985 62.8637
1991.625 61.4664 61.6750 55.3193 62.6906
1991.875 61.5307 61.6250 55.3382 62.5204
1992.125 61.5939 61.5750 55.3534 62.3537
1992.375 61.6560 61.5250 55.3649 62.1902
1992.625 61.7173 61.5250 55.3753 62.0292
1992.875 61.7781 61.5750 55.3884 61.8697
1993.125 61.8389 61.6250 55.4079 61.7106
1993.375 61.8999 61.6750 55.4354 61.5513
1993.625 61.9610 61.8000 55.4681 61.3919
1993.875 62.0217 62.0000 55.4990 61.2338
1994.125 62.0815 62.2000 55.5189 61.0786
1994.375 62.1396 62.4000 55.5200 60.9280
1994.625 62.1958 62.5500 55.4998 60.7826
1994.875 62.2503 62.6500 55.4621 60.6419
1995.125 62.3037 62.7500 55.4155 60.5041
1995.375 62.3567 62.8500 55.3691 60.3676
1995.625 62.4097 62.9375 55.3276 60.2316
1995.875 62.4624 63.0125 55.2910 60.0962
1996.125 62.5144 63.0875 55.2542 59.9632
1996.375 62.5648 63.1625 55.2109 59.8343
1996.625 62.6129 63.2750 55.1562 59.7114
1996.875 62.6582 63.4250 55.0880 59.5961
1997.125 62.7001 63.5750 55.0067 59.4895
1997.375 62.7383 63.7250 54.9150 59.3922
1997.625 62.7728 63.8375 54.8159 59.3048
1997.875 62.8035 63.9125 54.7129 59.2269
1998.125 62.8306 63.9875 54.6092 59.1580
1998.375 62.8546 64.0625 54.5066 59.0974
1998.625 62.8753 64.1250 54.4061 59.0449
1998.875 62.8927 64.1750 54.3069 59.0010
1999.125 62.9062 64.2250 54.2080 58.9668
1999.375 62.9153 64.2750 54.1081 58.9438
1999.625 62.9198 64.3125 54.0072 58.9326
1999.875 62.9194 64.3375 53.9065 58.9335
2000.125 62.9145 64.3625 53.8084 58.9458
2000.375 62.9054 64.3875 53.7156 58.9690
2000.625 62.8919 64.3125 53.6295 59.0031
2000.875 62.8740 64.1375 53.5501 59.0482
2001.125 62.8517 63.9625 53.4752 59.1048
2001.375 62.8247 63.7875 53.4017 59.1730
2001.625 62.7934 63.5750 53.3268 59.2525
2001.875 62.7577 63.3250 53.2485 59.3431
2002.125 62.7176 63.0750 53.1669 59.4448
2002.375 62.6733 62.8250 53.0835 59.5577
2002.625 62.6245 62.6500 53.0012 59.6819
2002.875 62.5717 62.5500 52.9228 59.8166
2003.125 62.5157 62.4500 52.8506 59.9599
2003.375 62.4573 62.3500 52.7853 60.1094
2003.625 62.3976 62.3000 52.7255 60.2627
2003.875 62.3368 62.3000 52.6692 60.4188
2004.125 62.2750 62.3000 52.6138 60.5781
2004.375 62.2114 62.3000 52.5579 60.7422
2004.625 62.1453 62.3500 52.5019 60.9131
2004.875 62.0762 62.4500 52.4471 61.0923
2005.125 62.0039 62.5500 52.3954 61.2802
2005.375 61.9285 62.6500 52.3484 61.4766
2005.625 61.8504 62.7500 52.3068 61.6805
2005.875 61.7698 62.8500 52.2711 61.8914
2006.125 61.6869 62.9500 52.2420 62.1090
2006.375 61.6014 63.0500 52.2197 62.3340
2006.625 61.5128 63.0875 52.2035 62.5679
2006.875 61.4205 63.0625 52.1901 62.8121
2007.125 61.3240 63.0375 52.1739 63.0682
2007.375 61.2233 63.0125 52.1492 63.3364
2007.625 61.1189 62.9000 52.1132 63.6155
2007.875 61.0118 62.7000 52.0667 63.9026
2008.125 60.9036 62.5000 52.0144 64.1939
2008.375 60.7956 62.3000 51.9616 64.4857
2008.625 60.6887 61.8375 51.9116 64.7752
2008.875 60.5838 61.1125 51.8647 65.0608
2009.125 60.4808 60.3875 51.8187 65.3417
2009.375 60.3800 59.6625 51.7706 65.6177
2009.625 60.2816 59.2000 51.7186 65.8880
2009.875 60.1861 59.0000 51.6615 66.1514
2010.125 60.0939 58.8000 51.5984 66.4063
2010.375 60.0056 58.6000 51.5276 66.6512
2010.625 59.9216 58.4875 51.4465 66.8847
2010.875 59.8423 58.4625 51.3536 67.1059
2011.125 59.7679 58.4375 51.2487 67.3140
2011.375 59.6984 58.4125 51.1336 67.5085
2011.625 59.6342 58.4250 51.0119 67.6891
2011.875 59.5752 58.4750 50.8866 67.8551
2012.125 59.5217 58.5250 50.7603 68.0058
2012.375 59.4740 58.5750 50.6346 68.1407
2012.625 59.4319 58.6000 50.5103 68.2598
2012.875 59.3952 58.6000 50.3880 68.3639
2013.125 59.3631 58.6000 50.2686 68.4549
2013.375 59.3347 58.6000 50.1533 68.5353
2013.625 59.3093 58.6500 50.0438 68.6077
2013.875 59.2861 58.7500 49.9409 68.6736
2014.125 59.2652 58.8500 49.8443 68.7331
2014.375 59.2469 58.9500 49.7520 68.7852
2014.625 59.2315 59.0375 49.6604 68.8290
2014.875 59.2192 59.1125 49.5663 68.8643
2015.125 59.2093 59.1875 49.4675 68.8924
2015.375 59.2012 59.2625 49.3637 68.9154
2015.625 59.1940 NA 49.2574 68.9359
2015.875 59.1872 NA 49.1514 68.9554
2016.125 59.1805 NA 49.0485 68.9745
2016.375 59.1738 NA 48.9502 68.9937
2016.625 59.1668 NA 48.8555 69.0137
2016.875 59.1590 NA 48.7619 69.0359
2017.125 59.1498 NA 48.6660 69.0623
2017.375 59.1384 NA 48.5647 69.0948
2017.625 59.1247 NA 48.4574 69.1341
2017.875 59.1087 NA 48.3457 69.1799
2018.125 59.0909 NA 48.2332 69.2309
2018.375 59.0719 NA 48.1245 69.2852
2018.625 59.0523 NA 48.0231 69.3415
2018.875 59.0322 NA 47.9317 69.3990
2019.125 59.0118 NA 47.8513 69.4576
2019.375 58.9908 NA 47.7814 69.5181
2019.625 58.9687 NA 47.7206 69.5814
2019.875 58.9452 NA 47.6665 69.6492
2020.125 58.9196 NA 47.6162 69.7228
2020.375 58.8915 NA 47.5673 69.8037
2020.625 58.8608 NA 47.5183 69.8923
2020.875 58.8274 NA 47.4689 69.9887
2021.125 58.7916 NA 47.4197 70.0924
2021.375 58.7536 NA 47.3717 70.2025
2021.625 58.7137 NA 47.3260 70.3181
2021.875 58.6722 NA 47.2837 70.4386
2022.125 58.6294 NA 47.2457 70.5630
2022.375 58.5854 NA 47.2125 70.6910
2022.625 58.5403 NA 47.1842 70.8224
2022.875 58.4941 NA 47.1595 70.9575
2023.125 58.4463 NA 47.1366 71.0971
2023.375 58.3969 NA 47.1132 71.2421
2023.625 58.3456 NA 47.0878 71.3927
2023.875 58.2924 NA 47.0594 71.5491
2024.125 58.2374 NA 47.0275 71.7109
2024.375 58.1809 NA 46.9922 71.8778
2024.625 58.1230 NA 46.9535 72.0490
2024.875 58.0639 NA 46.9120 72.2239
2025.125 58.0041 NA 46.8685 72.4016
2025.375 57.9438 NA 46.8244 72.5809
2025.625 57.8836 NA 46.7813 72.7606
2025.875 57.8237 NA 46.7408 72.9396
2026.125 57.7645 NA 46.7043 73.1168
2026.375 57.7062 NA 46.6730 73.2916
2026.625 57.6490 NA 46.6472 73.4637
2026.875 57.5927 NA 46.6266 73.6331
2027.125 57.5373 NA 46.6106 73.8002
2027.375 57.4827 NA 46.5980 73.9655
2027.625 57.4285 NA 46.5877 74.1295
2027.875 57.3748 NA 46.5788 74.2926
2028.125 57.3214 NA 46.5705 74.4550
2028.375 57.2682 NA 46.5623 74.6170
2028.625 57.2153 NA 46.5541 74.7783
2028.875 57.1628 NA 46.5459 74.9389
2029.125 57.1107 NA 46.5377 75.0985
2029.375 57.0591 NA 46.5297 75.2569
2029.625 57.0081 NA 46.5222 75.4137
2029.875 56.9578 NA 46.5158 75.5686
2030.125 56.9083 NA 46.5112 75.7212
2030.375 56.8599 NA 46.5089 75.8709
2030.625 56.8124 NA 46.5087 76.0179
2030.875 56.7658 NA 46.5101 76.1625
2031.125 56.7198 NA 46.5117 76.3053
2031.375 56.6743 NA 46.5122 76.4470
2031.625 56.6291 NA 46.5108 76.5878
2031.875 56.5842 NA 46.5069 76.7278
2032.125 56.5397 NA 46.5007 76.8669
2032.375 56.4957 NA 46.4925 77.0046
2032.625 56.4523 NA 46.4825 77.1407
2032.875 56.4096 NA 46.4711 77.2748
2033.125 56.3676 NA 46.4584 77.4068
2033.375 56.3264 NA 46.4446 77.5365
2033.625 56.2861 NA 46.4299 77.6637
2033.875 56.2467 NA 46.4143 77.7884
2034.125 56.2081 NA 46.3979 77.9103
2034.375 56.1705 NA 46.3808 78.0295
2034.625 56.1338 NA 46.3630 78.1458
2034.875 56.0981 NA 46.3445 78.2592
2035.125 56.0633 NA 46.3254 78.3698
2035.375 56.0295 NA 46.3056 78.4774
2035.625 55.9966 NA 46.2851 78.5822
2035.875 55.9647 NA 46.2637 78.6841
2036.125 55.9337 NA 46.2414 78.7832
2036.375 55.9035 NA 46.2183 78.8796
2036.625 55.8743 NA 46.1942 78.9733
2036.875 55.8459 NA 46.1691 79.0643
2037.125 55.8183 NA 46.1431 79.1526
2037.375 55.7916 NA 46.1161 79.2384
2037.625 55.7657 NA 46.0881 79.3216
2037.875 55.7406 NA 46.0592 79.4023
2038.125 55.7164 NA 46.0294 79.4805
2038.375 55.6928 NA 45.9987 79.5563
2038.625 55.6701 NA 45.9671 79.6297
2038.875 55.6481 NA 45.9348 79.7008
2039.125 55.6268 NA 45.9018 79.7695
2039.375 55.6062 NA 45.8681 79.8361
2039.625 55.5863 NA 45.8338 79.9005
2039.875 55.5670 NA 45.7990 79.9628
2040.125 55.5484 NA 45.7637 80.0230
2040.375 55.5305 NA 45.7280 80.0813
2040.625 55.5131 NA 45.6920 80.1376
2040.875 55.4963 NA 45.6558 80.1921
2041.125 55.4801 NA 45.6194 80.2448
2041.375 55.4644 NA 45.5829 80.2957
2041.625 55.4493 NA 45.5464 80.3451
2041.875 55.4346 NA 45.5098 80.3928
2042.125 55.4204 NA 45.4734 80.4391
2042.375 55.4066 NA 45.4371 80.4839
2042.625 55.3933 NA 45.4011 80.5274
2042.875 55.3803 NA 45.3652 80.5696
2043.125 55.3677 NA 45.3297 80.6106
2043.375 55.3555 NA 45.2945 80.6505
2043.625 55.3436 NA 45.2597 80.6894
2043.875 55.3320 NA 45.2254 80.7273
2044.125 55.3207 NA 45.1915 80.7643
2044.375 55.3096 NA 45.1581 80.8004
2044.625 55.2988 NA 45.1254 80.8358
2044.875 55.2882 NA 45.0932 80.8706
2045.125 55.2777 NA 45.0616 80.9046
2045.375 55.2675 NA 45.0308 80.9382
2045.625 55.2574 NA 45.0006 80.9712
2045.875 55.2475 NA 44.9711 81.0038
2046.125 55.2376 NA 44.9424 81.0360
2046.375 55.2279 NA 44.9144 81.0679
2046.625 55.2182 NA 44.8872 81.0996
2046.875 55.2086 NA 44.8608 81.1311
2047.125 55.1991 NA 44.8351 81.1625
2047.375 55.1895 NA 44.8102 81.1939
2047.625 55.1799 NA 44.7862 81.2253
2047.875 55.1703 NA 44.7629 81.2568
2048.125 55.1607 NA 44.7405 81.2885
2048.375 55.1510 NA 44.7189 81.3204
2048.625 55.1412 NA 44.6981 81.3525
2048.875 55.1313 NA 44.6781 81.3850
2049.125 55.1214 NA 44.6590 81.4179
2049.375 55.1112 NA 44.6406 81.4512
2049.625 55.1009 NA 44.6231 81.4851
2049.875 55.0905 NA 44.6064 81.5195
2050.125 55.0798 NA 44.5905 81.5546
2050.375 55.0690 NA 44.5754 81.5904
2050.625 55.0579 NA 44.5610 81.6269
2050.875 55.0466 NA 44.5475 81.6642
2051.125 55.0350 NA 44.5347 81.7025
2051.375 55.0232 NA 44.5226 81.7416
2051.625 55.0110 NA 44.5112 81.7818
2051.875 54.9986 NA 44.5005 81.8229
2052.125 54.9858 NA 44.4905 81.8652
2052.375 54.9727 NA 44.4811 81.9085
2052.625 54.9592 NA 44.4723 81.9530
2052.875 54.9455 NA 44.4642 81.9986
2053.125 54.9313 NA 44.4566 82.0454
2053.375 54.9169 NA 44.4495 82.0934
2053.625 54.9020 NA 44.4430 82.1426
2053.875 54.8868 NA 44.4370 82.1930
2054.125 54.8713 NA 44.4315 82.2446
2054.375 54.8554 NA 44.4264 82.2974
2054.625 54.8392 NA 44.4217 82.3513
2054.875 54.8226 NA 44.4174 82.4064
2055.125 54.8057 NA 44.4135 82.4627
2055.375 54.7885 NA 44.4100 82.5200
2055.625 54.7710 NA 44.4067 82.5783
2055.875 54.7532 NA 44.4037 82.6377
2056.125 54.7351 NA 44.4010 82.6981
2056.375 54.7168 NA 44.3986 82.7593
2056.625 54.6982 NA 44.3963 82.8215
2056.875 54.6793 NA 44.3943 82.8844
2057.125 54.6603 NA 44.3924 82.9482
2057.375 54.6410 NA 44.3906 83.0127
2057.625 54.6216 NA 44.3890 83.0778
2057.875 54.6019 NA 44.3874 83.1437
2058.125 54.5822 NA 44.3860 83.2101
2058.375 54.5622 NA 44.3846 83.2770
2058.625 54.5421 NA 44.3832 83.3445
2058.875 54.5219 NA 44.3818 83.4124
2059.125 54.5016 NA 44.3804 83.4809
2059.375 54.4811 NA 44.3790 83.5497
2059.625 54.4606 NA 44.3776 83.6190
2059.875 54.4399 NA 44.3760 83.6887
2060.125 54.4192 NA 44.3744 83.7588
2060.375 54.3983 NA 44.3728 83.8293
2060.625 54.3774 NA 44.3711 83.9001
2060.875 54.3563 NA 44.3694 83.9713
2061.125 54.3352 NA 44.3678 84.0429
2061.375 54.3139 NA 44.3661 84.1148
2061.625 54.2926 NA 44.3644 84.1870
2061.875 54.2712 NA 44.3627 84.2597
2062.125 54.2498 NA 44.3609 84.3326
2062.375 54.2282 NA 44.3591 84.4060
2062.625 54.2065 NA 44.3572 84.4797
2062.875 54.1848 NA 44.3553 84.5537
2063.125 54.1629 NA 44.3533 84.6281
2063.375 54.1410 NA 44.3513 84.7029
2063.625 54.1190 NA 44.3491 84.7779
2063.875 54.0970 NA 44.3470 84.8532
2064.125 54.0749 NA 44.3448 84.9289
2064.375 54.0527 NA 44.3425 85.0047
2064.625 54.0305 NA 44.3401 85.0808
2064.875 54.0082 NA 44.3377 85.1571
2065.125 53.9859 NA 44.3352 85.2336
2065.375 53.9636 NA 44.3326 85.3102
2065.625 53.9412 NA 44.3299 85.3870
2065.875 53.9189 NA 44.3272 85.4638
2066.125 53.8965 NA 44.3243 85.5408
2066.375 53.8742 NA 44.3214 85.6177
2066.625 53.8519 NA 44.3184 85.6946
2066.875 53.8296 NA 44.3153 85.7715
2067.125 53.8073 NA 44.3121 85.8483
2067.375 53.7851 NA 44.3088 85.9250
2067.625 53.7630 NA 44.3054 86.0016
2067.875 53.7409 NA 44.3019 86.0780
2068.125 53.7189 NA 44.2984 86.1542
2068.375 53.6970 NA 44.2947 86.2301
2068.625 53.6752 NA 44.2909 86.3058
2068.875 53.6535 NA 44.2870 86.3812
2069.125 53.6319 NA 44.2830 86.4563
2069.375 53.6104 NA 44.2789 86.5310
2069.625 53.5890 NA 44.2748 86.6053
2069.875 53.5678 NA 44.2705 86.6793
2070.125 53.5467 NA 44.2662 86.7528
2070.375 53.5258 NA 44.2618 86.8259
2070.625 53.5050 NA 44.2573 86.8984
2070.875 53.4844 NA 44.2528 86.9704
2071.125 53.4640 NA 44.2482 87.0418
2071.375 53.4437 NA 44.2435 87.1126
2071.625 53.4237 NA 44.2387 87.1828
2071.875 53.4039 NA 44.2340 87.2523
2072.125 53.3843 NA 44.2291 87.3211
2072.375 53.3649 NA 44.2243 87.3891
2072.625 53.3458 NA 44.2194 87.4563
2072.875 53.3269 NA 44.2145 87.5228
2073.125 53.3082 NA 44.2096 87.5884
2073.375 53.2898 NA 44.2047 87.6531
2073.625 53.2717 NA 44.1998 87.7170
2073.875 53.2538 NA 44.1949 87.7799
2074.125 53.2363 NA 44.1899 87.8419
2074.375 53.2190 NA 44.1850 87.9029
2074.625 53.2020 NA 44.1801 87.9629
2074.875 53.1853 NA 44.1753 88.0219
2075.125 53.1689 NA 44.1704 88.0800
2075.375 53.1528 NA 44.1656 88.1370
2075.625 53.1369 NA 44.1608 88.1930
2075.875 53.1214 NA 44.1561 88.2481
2076.125 53.1061 NA 44.1515 88.3021
2076.375 53.0912 NA 44.1469 88.3552
2076.625 53.0765 NA 44.1425 88.4073
2076.875 53.0621 NA 44.1381 88.4585

Return to text


Figure 14: Real GDP and population growth

Date GDP growth, baseline model GDP growth, model with TFP growth Growth of trend of H-P filtered data
1960.125 1.0893 3.1063 3.7688
1960.375 1.1430 3.1568 3.8121
1960.625 1.2022 3.2133 3.8567
1960.875 1.2626 3.2713 3.9024
1961.125 1.3170 3.3240 3.9488
1961.375 1.3584 3.3639 3.9952
1961.625 1.3813 3.3858 4.0407
1961.875 1.3851 3.3887 4.0847
1962.125 1.3725 3.3756 4.1266
1962.375 1.3479 3.3507 4.1661
1962.625 1.3154 3.3184 4.2029
1962.875 1.2779 3.2815 4.2366
1963.125 1.2395 3.2440 4.2671
1963.375 1.2064 3.2122 4.2939
1963.625 1.1874 3.1947 4.3165
1963.875 1.1936 3.2025 4.3348
1964.125 1.2336 3.2441 4.3484
1964.375 1.3098 3.3219 4.3570
1964.625 1.4152 3.4292 4.3607
1964.875 1.5332 3.5495 4.3591
1965.125 1.6420 3.6607 4.3524
1965.375 1.7222 3.7436 4.3404
1965.625 1.7645 3.7887 4.3230
1965.875 1.7726 3.7994 4.3004
1966.125 1.7598 3.7889 4.2729
1966.375 1.7421 3.7729 4.2408
1966.625 1.7308 3.7626 4.2048
1966.875 1.7292 3.7611 4.1654
1967.125 1.7340 3.7652 4.1233
1967.375 1.7391 3.7688 4.0787
1967.625 1.7402 3.7674 4.0323
1967.875 1.7356 3.7595 3.9843
1968.125 1.7265 3.7461 3.9349
1968.375 1.7148 3.7292 3.8844
1968.625 1.7017 3.7099 3.8333
1968.875 1.6881 3.6894 3.7820
1969.125 1.6755 3.6691 3.7310
1969.375 1.6668 3.6523 3.6808
1969.625 1.6666 3.6434 3.6318
1969.875 1.6776 3.6455 3.5844
1970.125 1.6999 3.6584 3.5391
1970.375 1.7305 3.6790 3.4959
1970.625 1.7635 3.7011 3.4548
1970.875 1.7941 3.7198 3.4158
1971.125 1.8193 3.7318 3.3786
1971.375 1.8384 3.7364 3.3428
1971.625 1.8523 3.7346 3.3084
1971.875 1.8625 3.7278 3.2750
1972.125 1.8701 3.7173 3.2425
1972.375 1.8759 3.7040 3.2107
1972.625 1.8806 3.6887 3.1794
1972.875 1.8849 3.6719 3.1486
1973.125 1.8892 3.6544 3.1186
1973.375 1.8941 3.6367 3.0897
1973.625 1.9004 3.6196 3.0622
1973.875 1.9091 3.6044 3.0369
1974.125 1.9217 3.5926 3.0142
1974.375 1.9395 3.5857 2.9943
1974.625 1.9629 3.5842 2.9776
1974.875 1.9911 3.5872 2.9640
1975.125 2.0219 3.5926 2.9533
1975.375 2.0523 3.5975 2.9452
1975.625 2.0798 3.5990 2.9391
1975.875 2.1029 3.5957 2.9341
1976.125 2.1213 3.5873 2.9297
1976.375 2.1351 3.5742 2.9256
1976.625 2.1451 3.5569 2.9215
1976.875 2.1518 3.5362 2.9171
1977.125 2.1565 3.5132 2.9124
1977.375 2.1609 3.4898 2.9069
1977.625 2.1673 3.4684 2.9006
1977.875 2.1781 3.4513 2.8935
1978.125 2.1944 3.4399 2.8857
1978.375 2.2165 3.4346 2.8774
1978.625 2.2431 3.4341 2.8685
1978.875 2.2699 3.4342 2.8597
1979.125 2.2897 3.4279 2.8513
1979.375 2.2936 3.4058 2.8442
1979.625 2.2726 3.3592 2.8388
1979.875 2.2253 3.2866 2.8356
1980.125 2.1590 3.1956 2.8352
1980.375 2.0891 3.1020 2.8378
1980.625 2.0350 3.0258 2.8439
1980.875 2.0085 2.9791 2.8534
1981.125 2.0108 2.9631 2.8660
1981.375 2.0324 2.9678 2.8816
1981.625 2.0567 2.9762 2.9005
1981.875 2.0710 2.9750 2.9225
1982.125 2.0694 2.9583 2.9477
1982.375 2.0529 2.9272 2.9757
1982.625 2.0281 2.8888 3.0058
1982.875 2.0012 2.8494 3.0373
1983.125 1.9760 2.8132 3.0692
1983.375 1.9542 2.7818 3.1006
1983.625 1.9351 2.7544 3.1306
1983.875 1.9180 2.7301 3.1583
1984.125 1.9016 2.7076 3.1834
1984.375 1.8845 2.6852 3.2055
1984.625 1.8652 2.6611 3.2245
1984.875 1.8432 2.6348 3.2403
1985.125 1.8196 2.6071 3.2532
1985.375 1.7970 2.5807 3.2630
1985.625 1.7797 2.5599 3.2700
1985.875 1.7700 2.5469 3.2742
1986.125 1.7675 2.5413 3.2757
1986.375 1.7691 2.5396 3.2749
1986.625 1.7689 2.5359 3.2719
1986.875 1.7634 2.5264 3.2669
1987.125 1.7519 2.5105 3.2601
1987.375 1.7374 2.4911 3.2516
1987.625 1.7251 2.4737 3.2415
1987.875 1.7185 2.4620 3.2300
1988.125 1.7182 2.4564 3.2173
1988.375 1.7216 2.4543 3.2038
1988.625 1.7236 2.4507 3.1896
1988.875 1.7198 2.4410 3.1752
1989.125 1.7077 2.4231 3.1609
1989.375 1.6880 2.3973 3.1470
1989.625 1.6640 2.3675 3.1341
1989.875 1.6409 2.3386 3.1226
1990.125 1.6239 2.3163 3.1128
1990.375 1.6180 2.3053 3.1053
1990.625 1.6260 2.3089 3.1003
1990.875 1.6478 2.3270 3.0981
1991.125 1.6805 2.3566 3.0991
1991.375 1.7186 2.3924 3.1031
1991.625 1.7555 2.4276 3.1099
1991.875 1.7862 2.4574 3.1193
1992.125 1.8079 2.4790 3.1309
1992.375 1.8195 2.4914 3.1445
1992.625 1.8217 2.4954 3.1596
1992.875 1.8148 2.4916 3.1761
1993.125 1.7996 2.4810 3.1938
1993.375 1.7776 2.4654 3.2125
1993.625 1.7517 2.4477 3.2320
1993.875 1.7256 2.4319 3.2518
1994.125 1.7034 2.4220 3.2716
1994.375 1.6881 2.4213 3.2913
1994.625 1.6808 2.4304 3.3104
1994.875 1.6798 2.4477 3.3289
1995.125 1.6816 2.4695 3.3466
1995.375 1.6819 2.4915 3.3632
1995.625 1.6781 2.5110 3.3786
1995.875 1.6702 2.5276 3.3924
1996.125 1.6608 2.5440 3.4043
1996.375 1.6540 2.5639 3.4140
1996.625 1.6532 2.5906 3.4211
1996.875 1.6597 2.6253 3.4253
1997.125 1.6719 2.6661 3.4266
1997.375 1.6855 2.7087 3.4246
1997.625 1.6954 2.7478 3.4191
1997.875 1.6975 2.7790 3.4102
1998.125 1.6902 2.8007 3.3976
1998.375 1.6744 2.8135 3.3815
1998.625 1.6534 2.8207 3.3617
1998.875 1.6309 2.8257 3.3383
1999.125 1.6102 2.8316 3.3113
1999.375 1.5930 2.8399 3.2809
1999.625 1.5790 2.8502 3.2473
1999.875 1.5663 2.8605 3.2107
2000.125 1.5517 2.8673 3.1713
2000.375 1.5315 2.8667 3.1296
2000.625 1.5031 2.8560 3.0859
2000.875 1.4663 2.8348 3.0406
2001.125 1.4236 2.8056 2.9943
2001.375 1.3797 2.7730 2.9472
2001.625 1.3396 2.7420 2.8995
2001.875 1.3060 2.7153 2.8514
2002.125 1.2787 2.6926 2.8029
2002.375 1.2544 2.6706 2.7540
2002.625 1.2286 2.6446 2.7046
2002.875 1.1985 2.6120 2.6546
2003.125 1.1648 2.5736 2.6040
2003.375 1.1319 2.5337 2.5525
2003.625 1.1066 2.4994 2.5000
2003.875 1.0930 2.4749 2.4463
2004.125 1.0910 2.4602 2.3914
2004.375 1.0962 2.4510 2.3354
2004.625 1.1006 2.4390 2.2784
2004.875 1.0985 2.4189 2.2204
2005.125 1.0883 2.3890 2.1618
2005.375 1.0723 2.3520 2.1027
2005.625 1.0563 2.3136 2.0433
2005.875 1.0436 2.2778 1.9840
2006.125 1.0348 2.2452 1.9251
2006.375 1.0276 2.2138 1.8671
2006.625 1.0175 2.1792 1.8103
2006.875 1.0027 2.1398 1.7552
2007.125 0.9842 2.0968 1.7023
2007.375 0.9657 2.0539 1.6519
2007.625 0.9517 2.0160 1.6044
2007.875 0.9443 1.9852 1.5603
2008.125 0.9422 1.9601 1.5201
2008.375 0.9417 1.9374 1.4843
2008.625 0.9386 1.9125 1.4531
2008.875 0.9309 1.8836 1.4269
2009.125 0.9194 1.8513 1.4059
2009.375 0.9070 1.8185 1.3899
2009.625 0.8973 1.7888 1.3783
2009.875 0.8924 1.7643 1.3708
2010.125 0.8922 1.7451 1.3666
2010.375 0.8952 1.7296 1.3653
2010.625 0.8990 1.7158 1.3665
2010.875 0.9025 1.7025 1.3697
2011.125 0.9055 1.6898 1.3749
2011.375 0.9093 1.6789 1.3815
2011.625 0.9159 1.6717 1.3894
2011.875 0.9262 1.6693 1.3982
2012.125 0.9400 1.6714 1.4075
2012.375 0.9561 1.6768 1.4172
2012.625 0.9725 1.6835 1.4271
2012.875 0.9873 1.6897 1.4370
2013.125 0.9987 1.6934 1.4468
2013.375 1.0045 1.6928 1.4563
2013.625 1.0031 1.6858 1.4652
2013.875 0.9949 1.6729 1.4734
2014.125 0.9828 1.6570 1.4808
2014.375 0.9729 1.6443 1.4872
2014.625 0.9728 1.6426 1.4926
2014.875 0.9868 1.6560 1.4968
2015.125 1.0137 1.6835 1.5000
2015.375 1.0472 1.7187 1.5022
2015.625 1.0773 1.7513 1.5037
2015.875 1.0966 1.7737 1.5045
2016.125 1.1019 1.7828 1.5049
2016.375 1.0950 1.7803 1.5050
2016.625 1.0816 1.7720 NA
2016.875 1.0667 1.7628 NA
2017.125 1.0536 1.7561 NA
2017.375 1.0434 1.7529 NA
2017.625 1.0351 1.7520 NA
2017.875 1.0270 1.7518 NA
2018.125 1.0176 1.7506 NA
2018.375 1.0056 1.7471 NA
2018.625 0.9908 1.7409 NA
2018.875 0.9731 1.7321 NA
2019.125 0.9533 1.7211 NA
2019.375 0.9320 1.7088 NA
2019.625 0.9100 1.6959 NA
2019.875 0.8881 1.6830 NA
2020.125 0.8669 1.6707 NA
2020.375 0.8468 1.6595 NA
2020.625 0.8278 1.6494 NA
2020.875 0.8099 1.6401 NA
2021.125 0.7926 1.6313 NA
2021.375 0.7756 1.6226 NA
2021.625 0.7585 1.6138 NA
2021.875 0.7413 1.6046 NA
2022.125 0.7240 1.5951 NA
2022.375 0.7065 1.5852 NA
2022.625 0.6890 1.5751 NA
2022.875 0.6717 1.5650 NA
2023.125 0.6550 1.5552 NA
2023.375 0.6393 1.5463 NA
2023.625 0.6250 1.5385 NA
2023.875 0.6122 1.5320 NA
2024.125 0.6007 1.5265 NA
2024.375 0.5902 1.5219 NA
2024.625 0.5806 1.5179 NA
2024.875 0.5715 1.5143 NA
2025.125 0.5629 1.5109 NA
2025.375 0.5545 1.5074 NA
2025.625 0.5460 1.5038 NA
2025.875 0.5374 1.4997 NA
2026.125 0.5283 1.4951 NA
2026.375 0.5190 1.4900 NA
2026.625 0.5093 1.4844 NA
2026.875 0.4996 1.4786 NA
2027.125 0.4901 1.4728 NA
2027.375 0.4811 1.4674 NA
2027.625 0.4727 1.4624 NA
2027.875 0.4652 1.4581 NA
2028.125 0.4584 1.4545 NA
2028.375 0.4523 1.4514 NA
2028.625 0.4469 1.4488 NA
2028.875 0.4419 1.4465 NA
2029.125 0.4372 1.4445 NA
2029.375 0.4328 1.4426 NA
2029.625 0.4286 1.4409 NA
2029.875 0.4246 1.4391 NA
2030.125 0.4206 1.4373 NA
2030.375 0.4165 1.4354 NA
2030.625 0.4124 1.4333 NA
2030.875 0.4084 1.4313 NA
2031.125 0.4048 1.4296 NA
2031.375 0.4019 1.4285 NA
2031.625 0.3996 1.4280 NA
2031.875 0.3982 1.4282 NA

Return to text


Figure 10: Dynamic simulation under baseline demographics: other variables

Date Real rental rate: Dependent children Real rental rate: No dependent children Net saving rate: Dependent children Net saving rate: No dependent children Capital-labor ratio: Dependent children Capital-labor ratio: No dependent children Real wage: Dependent children Real wage: No dependent children
1960.125 9.4521 9.4539 5.0531 5.9734 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
1960.375 9.4527 9.4519 5.0685 5.9730 -0.0001 0.0003 -0.0000 0.0001
1960.625 9.4548 9.4515 5.0903 5.9776 -0.0004 0.0004 -0.0002 0.0001
1960.875 9.4582 9.4525 5.1127 5.9867 -0.0010 0.0002 -0.0003 0.0001
1961.125 9.4623 9.4543 5.1369 6.0007 -0.0017 -0.0001 -0.0006 -0.0000
1961.375 9.4665 9.4564 5.1591 6.0183 -0.0023 -0.0004 -0.0008 -0.0001
1961.625 9.4705 9.4582 5.1824 6.0338 -0.0030 -0.0007 -0.0010 -0.0002
1961.875 9.4738 9.4595 5.2037 6.0455 -0.0035 -0.0009 -0.0012 -0.0003
1962.125 9.4765 9.4600 5.2245 6.0528 -0.0040 -0.0010 -0.0014 -0.0003
1962.375 9.4784 9.4597 5.2430 6.0584 -0.0043 -0.0009 -0.0015 -0.0003
1962.625 9.4794 9.4587 5.2656 6.0735 -0.0044 -0.0008 -0.0016 -0.0003
1962.875 9.4795 9.4567 5.2908 6.1006 -0.0045 -0.0005 -0.0016 -0.0002
1963.125 9.4789 9.4541 5.3214 6.1391 -0.0044 -0.0000 -0.0015 -0.0000
1963.375 9.4780 9.4512 5.3536 6.1843 -0.0042 0.0004 -0.0015 0.0002
1963.625 9.4775 9.4487 5.3817 6.2201 -0.0041 0.0009 -0.0014 0.0003
1963.875 9.4783 9.4473 5.4034 6.2416 -0.0043 0.0011 -0.0015 0.0004
1964.125 9.4813 9.4482 5.4239 6.2483 -0.0048 0.0009 -0.0017 0.0003
1964.375 9.4873 9.4520 5.4465 6.2442 -0.0057 0.0003 -0.0020 0.0001
1964.625 9.4964 9.4590 5.4864 6.2451 -0.0072 -0.0008 -0.0025 -0.0003
1964.875 9.5078 9.4685 5.5430 6.2567 -0.0090 -0.0024 -0.0032 -0.0008
1965.125 9.5206 9.4795 5.6156 6.2812 -0.0111 -0.0041 -0.0039 -0.0015
1965.375 9.5334 9.4907 5.6954 6.3175 -0.0132 -0.0060 -0.0046 -0.0021
1965.625 9.5454 9.5012 5.7711 6.3554 -0.0151 -0.0077 -0.0053 -0.0027
1965.875 9.5561 9.5107 5.8365 6.3914 -0.0168 -0.0092 -0.0059 -0.0032
1966.125 9.5657 9.5192 5.8940 6.4244 -0.0184 -0.0106 -0.0064 -0.0037
1966.375 9.5746 9.5271 5.9436 6.4537 -0.0198 -0.0119 -0.0069 -0.0042
1966.625 9.5832 9.5347 5.9932 6.4819 -0.0212 -0.0131 -0.0074 -0.0046
1966.875 9.5915 9.5422 6.0418 6.5091 -0.0225 -0.0143 -0.0079 -0.0050
1967.125 9.5995 9.5493 6.0915 6.5354 -0.0238 -0.0154 -0.0083 -0.0054
1967.375 9.6069 9.5560 6.1387 6.5601 -0.0250 -0.0165 -0.0087 -0.0058
1967.625 9.6137 9.5622 6.1808 6.5800 -0.0261 -0.0175 -0.0091 -0.0061
1967.875 9.6199 9.5677 6.2150 6.5943 -0.0271 -0.0184 -0.0095 -0.0064
1968.125 9.6255 9.5728 6.2434 6.6029 -0.0280 -0.0192 -0.0098 -0.0067
1968.375 9.6307 9.5775 6.2694 6.6100 -0.0288 -0.0200 -0.0101 -0.0070
1968.625 9.6356 9.5820 6.3137 6.6328 -0.0296 -0.0207 -0.0104 -0.0072
1968.875 9.6403 9.5863 6.3789 6.6756 -0.0303 -0.0214 -0.0106 -0.0075
1969.125 9.6447 9.5904 6.4667 6.7388 -0.0310 -0.0220 -0.0109 -0.0077
1969.375 9.6489 9.5943 6.5674 6.8158 -0.0317 -0.0227 -0.0111 -0.0079
1969.625 9.6529 9.5982 6.6534 6.8796 -0.0323 -0.0233 -0.0113 -0.0082
1969.875 9.6567 9.6020 6.7162 6.9235 -0.0329 -0.0239 -0.0115 -0.0084
1970.125 9.6604 9.6058 6.7585 6.9477 -0.0335 -0.0245 -0.0117 -0.0086
1970.375 9.6640 9.6096 6.7833 6.9559 -0.0341 -0.0251 -0.0119 -0.0088
1970.625 9.6676 9.6134 6.8096 6.9646 -0.0347 -0.0257 -0.0121 -0.0090
1970.875 9.6710 9.6172 6.8394 6.9778 -0.0352 -0.0263 -0.0123 -0.0092
1971.125 9.6742 9.6209 6.8739 6.9952 -0.0357 -0.0269 -0.0125 -0.0094
1971.375 9.6773 9.6245 6.9114 7.0168 -0.0362 -0.0275 -0.0127 -0.0096
1971.625 9.6803 9.6281 6.9538 7.0416 -0.0367 -0.0281 -0.0128 -0.0098
1971.875 9.6832 9.6316 6.9994 7.0693 -0.0372 -0.0286 -0.0130 -0.0100
1972.125 9.6859 9.6351 7.0495 7.1000 -0.0376 -0.0292 -0.0132 -0.0102
1972.375 9.6885 9.6384 7.1015 7.1333 -0.0380 -0.0297 -0.0133 -0.0104
1972.625 9.6909 9.6417 7.1540 7.1675 -0.0384 -0.0302 -0.0134 -0.0106
1972.875 9.6931 9.6448 7.2047 7.2023 -0.0387 -0.0307 -0.0136 -0.0108
1973.125 9.6952 9.6478 7.2549 7.2375 -0.0391 -0.0312 -0.0137 -0.0109
1973.375 9.6971 9.6507 7.3035 7.2732 -0.0394 -0.0317 -0.0138 -0.0111
1973.625 9.6988 9.6535 7.3531 7.3097 -0.0396 -0.0321 -0.0139 -0.0112
1973.875 9.7006 9.6563 7.4024 7.3469 -0.0399 -0.0326 -0.0140 -0.0114
1974.125 9.7024 9.6593 7.4531 7.3848 -0.0402 -0.0331 -0.0141 -0.0116
1974.375 9.7044 9.6625 7.5030 7.4224 -0.0405 -0.0336 -0.0142 -0.0117
1974.625 9.7067 9.6659 7.5497 7.4555 -0.0409 -0.0341 -0.0143 -0.0119
1974.875 9.7093 9.6697 7.5910 7.4835 -0.0413 -0.0347 -0.0145 -0.0121
1975.125 9.7120 9.6737 7.6284 7.5065 -0.0417 -0.0353 -0.0146 -0.0124
1975.375 9.7148 9.6778 7.6609 7.5256 -0.0422 -0.0360 -0.0148 -0.0126
1975.625 9.7176 9.6820 7.6922 7.5447 -0.0426 -0.0367 -0.0149 -0.0128
1975.875 9.7203 9.6862 7.7209 7.5647 -0.0431 -0.0373 -0.0151 -0.0131
1976.125 9.7230 9.6903 7.7480 7.5852 -0.0435 -0.0380 -0.0152 -0.0133
1976.375 9.7255 9.6943 7.7729 7.6067 -0.0439 -0.0386 -0.0154 -0.0135
1976.625 9.7278 9.6982 7.8011 7.6321 -0.0442 -0.0392 -0.0155 -0.0137
1976.875 9.7300 9.7019 7.8323 7.6619 -0.0446 -0.0398 -0.0156 -0.0139
1977.125 9.7320 9.7054 7.8680 7.6960 -0.0449 -0.0404 -0.0157 -0.0141
1977.375 9.7338 9.7088 7.9053 7.7324 -0.0452 -0.0409 -0.0158 -0.0143
1977.625 9.7355 9.7120 7.9387 7.7639 -0.0454 -0.0414 -0.0159 -0.0145
1977.875 9.7371 9.7151 7.9659 7.7887 -0.0457 -0.0419 -0.0160 -0.0147
1978.125 9.7388 9.7184 7.9886 7.8071 -0.0460 -0.0424 -0.0161 -0.0149
1978.375 9.7407 9.7218 8.0040 7.8182 -0.0463 -0.0430 -0.0162 -0.0150
1978.625 9.7428 9.7254 8.0039 7.8186 -0.0466 -0.0435 -0.0163 -0.0152
1978.875 9.7448 9.7290 7.9844 7.8075 -0.0469 -0.0441 -0.0164 -0.0154
1979.125 9.7466 9.7324 7.9458 7.7845 -0.0472 -0.0447 -0.0165 -0.0156
1979.375 9.7477 9.7350 7.8936 7.7534 -0.0474 -0.0451 -0.0166 -0.0158
1979.625 9.7477 9.7363 7.8601 7.7301 -0.0474 -0.0453 -0.0166 -0.0158
1979.875 9.7465 9.7362 7.8518 7.7187 -0.0472 -0.0453 -0.0165 -0.0158
1980.125 9.7443 9.7350 7.8706 7.7198 -0.0468 -0.0451 -0.0164 -0.0158
1980.375 9.7419 9.7334 7.9099 7.7326 -0.0465 -0.0448 -0.0163 -0.0157
1980.625 9.7398 9.7323 7.9416 7.7507 -0.0461 -0.0446 -0.0161 -0.0156
1980.875 9.7386 9.7322 7.9583 7.7730 -0.0459 -0.0446 -0.0161 -0.0156
1981.125 9.7384 9.7334 7.9610 7.7993 -0.0459 -0.0448 -0.0161 -0.0157
1981.375 9.7390 9.7354 7.9511 7.8269 -0.0460 -0.0451 -0.0161 -0.0158
1981.625 9.7399 9.7378 7.9408 7.8477 -0.0461 -0.0455 -0.0162 -0.0159
1981.875 9.7406 9.7398 7.9312 7.8590 -0.0463 -0.0458 -0.0162 -0.0160
1982.125 9.7409 9.7414 7.9227 7.8607 -0.0463 -0.0461 -0.0162 -0.0161
1982.375 9.7407 9.7424 7.9147 7.8557 -0.0463 -0.0462 -0.0162 -0.0162
1982.625 9.7401 9.7429 7.9082 7.8549 -0.0462 -0.0463 -0.0162 -0.0162
1982.875 9.7393 9.7431 7.9029 7.8615 -0.0461 -0.0463 -0.0161 -0.0162
1983.125 9.7383 9.7430 7.8993 7.8755 -0.0459 -0.0463 -0.0161 -0.0162
1983.375 9.7371 9.7426 7.8948 7.8941 -0.0457 -0.0463 -0.0160 -0.0162
1983.625 9.7356 9.7419 7.8828 7.9057 -0.0455 -0.0462 -0.0159 -0.0162
1983.875 9.7338 9.7408 7.8608 7.9071 -0.0452 -0.0460 -0.0158 -0.0161
1984.125 9.7318 9.7392 7.8295 7.8982 -0.0449 -0.0457 -0.0157 -0.0160
1984.375 9.7294 9.7373 7.7915 7.8825 -0.0445 -0.0454 -0.0156 -0.0159
1984.625 9.7268 9.7349 7.7591 7.8735 -0.0441 -0.0450 -0.0154 -0.0158
1984.875 9.7238 9.7320 7.7351 7.8749 -0.0436 -0.0446 -0.0153 -0.0156
1985.125 9.7205 9.7287 7.7201 7.8868 -0.0431 -0.0441 -0.0151 -0.0154
1985.375 9.7170 9.7251 7.7099 7.9054 -0.0425 -0.0435 -0.0149 -0.0152
1985.625 9.7135 9.7213 7.6887 7.9134 -0.0420 -0.0429 -0.0147 -0.0150
1985.875 9.7100 9.7174 7.6523 7.9066 -0.0414 -0.0423 -0.0145 -0.0148
1986.125 9.7067 9.7135 7.6013 7.8850 -0.0409 -0.0417 -0.0143 -0.0146
1986.375 9.7034 9.7095 7.5397 7.8523 -0.0404 -0.0410 -0.0141 -0.0144
1986.625 9.7001 9.7054 7.4860 7.8252 -0.0398 -0.0404 -0.0139 -0.0141
1986.875 9.6968 9.7011 7.4442 7.8076 -0.0393 -0.0397 -0.0138 -0.0139
1987.125 9.6935 9.6967 7.4152 7.7994 -0.0388 -0.0390 -0.0136 -0.0137
1987.375 9.6903 9.6923 7.3959 7.7982 -0.0383 -0.0383 -0.0134 -0.0134
1987.625 9.6875 9.6881 7.3748 7.7949 -0.0378 -0.0376 -0.0132 -0.0132
1987.875 9.6849 9.6842 7.3489 7.7873 -0.0374 -0.0370 -0.0131 -0.0130
1988.125 9.6828 9.6806 7.3185 7.7757 -0.0371 -0.0364 -0.0130 -0.0128
1988.375 9.6810 9.6772 7.2858 7.7617 -0.0368 -0.0359 -0.0129 -0.0126
1988.625 9.6792 9.6738 7.2614 7.7515 -0.0365 -0.0354 -0.0128 -0.0124
1988.875 9.6772 9.6701 7.2467 7.7467 -0.0362 -0.0348 -0.0127 -0.0122
1989.125 9.6747 9.6659 7.2416 7.7478 -0.0358 -0.0341 -0.0125 -0.0119
1989.375 9.6716 9.6610 7.2455 7.7569 -0.0353 -0.0333 -0.0124 -0.0117
1989.625 9.6677 9.6553 7.2591 7.7806 -0.0347 -0.0324 -0.0121 -0.0113
1989.875 9.6631 9.6489 7.2824 7.8204 -0.0340 -0.0314 -0.0119 -0.0110
1990.125 9.6577 9.6417 7.3156 7.8763 -0.0331 -0.0303 -0.0116 -0.0106
1990.375 9.6516 9.6338 7.3498 7.9387 -0.0321 -0.0290 -0.0112 -0.0101
1990.625 9.6448 9.6252 7.3509 7.9706 -0.0310 -0.0276 -0.0109 -0.0097
1990.875 9.6372 9.6158 7.3104 7.9628 -0.0298 -0.0261 -0.0104 -0.0091
1991.125 9.6291 9.6059 7.2291 7.9152 -0.0286 -0.0245 -0.0100 -0.0086
1991.375 9.6207 9.5955 7.1175 7.8377 -0.0272 -0.0229 -0.0095 -0.0080
1991.625 9.6123 9.5851 7.0173 7.7702 -0.0259 -0.0212 -0.0090 -0.0074
1991.875 9.6040 9.5747 6.9389 7.7221 -0.0245 -0.0195 -0.0086 -0.0068
1992.125 9.5960 9.5645 6.8829 7.6931 -0.0233 -0.0179 -0.0081 -0.0063
1992.375 9.5883 9.5546 6.8455 7.6803 -0.0220 -0.0163 -0.0077 -0.0057
1992.625 9.5807 9.5446 6.8144 7.6724 -0.0208 -0.0147 -0.0073 -0.0051
1992.875 9.5731 9.5346 6.7853 7.6666 -0.0196 -0.0131 -0.0068 -0.0046
1993.125 9.5653 9.5243 6.7580 7.6633 -0.0183 -0.0114 -0.0064 -0.0040
1993.375 9.5574 9.5137 6.7323 7.6624 -0.0170 -0.0097 -0.0060 -0.0034
1993.625 9.5493 9.5030 6.7110 7.6634 -0.0157 -0.0080 -0.0055 -0.0028
1993.875 9.5412 9.4921 6.6945 7.6657 -0.0144 -0.0062 -0.0051 -0.0022
1994.125 9.5334 9.4813 6.6837 7.6688 -0.0132 -0.0044 -0.0046 -0.0016
1994.375 9.5259 9.4709 6.6768 7.6716 -0.0120 -0.0027 -0.0042 -0.0010
1994.625 9.5188 9.4608 6.6680 7.6719 -0.0108 -0.0011 -0.0038 -0.0004
1994.875 9.5121 9.4509 6.6554 7.6698 -0.0097 0.0005 -0.0034 0.0002
1995.125 9.5055 9.4413 6.6391 7.6661 -0.0087 0.0021 -0.0030 0.0007
1995.375 9.4989 9.4316 6.6209 7.6621 -0.0076 0.0036 -0.0027 0.0013
1995.625 9.4922 9.4218 6.6086 7.6604 -0.0065 0.0052 -0.0023 0.0018
1995.875 9.4853 9.4117 6.6037 7.6611 -0.0054 0.0069 -0.0019 0.0024
1996.125 9.4784 9.4015 6.6064 7.6639 -0.0043 0.0086 -0.0015 0.0030
1996.375 9.4715 9.3913 6.6129 7.6657 -0.0031 0.0102 -0.0011 0.0036
1996.625 9.4647 9.3812 6.6097 7.6566 -0.0020 0.0119 -0.0007 0.0042
1996.875 9.4581 9.3713 6.5933 7.6340 -0.0010 0.0135 -0.0003 0.0047
1997.125 9.4517 9.3616 6.5644 7.5981 0.0001 0.0151 0.0000 0.0053
1997.375 9.4454 9.3522 6.5271 7.5531 0.0011 0.0166 0.0004 0.0058
1997.625 9.4392 9.3429 6.4987 7.5155 0.0021 0.0182 0.0007 0.0064
1997.875 9.4330 9.3336 6.4830 7.4897 0.0031 0.0197 0.0011 0.0069
1998.125 9.4265 9.3242 6.4799 7.4759 0.0042 0.0213 0.0015 0.0074
1998.375 9.4197 9.3145 6.4866 7.4713 0.0053 0.0229 0.0019 0.0080
1998.625 9.4125 9.3046 6.4927 7.4642 0.0065 0.0245 0.0023 0.0086
1998.875 9.4051 9.2943 6.4959 7.4514 0.0077 0.0262 0.0027 0.0092
1999.125 9.3974 9.2839 6.4963 7.4326 0.0089 0.0279 0.0031 0.0098
1999.375 9.3895 9.2734 6.4942 7.4082 0.0102 0.0297 0.0036 0.0104
1999.625 9.3814 9.2628 6.4905 7.3809 0.0115 0.0314 0.0040 0.0110
1999.875 9.3731 9.2521 6.4853 7.3516 0.0129 0.0332 0.0045 0.0116
2000.125 9.3644 9.2411 6.4786 7.3209 0.0143 0.0350 0.0050 0.0123
2000.375 9.3551 9.2295 6.4712 7.2901 0.0159 0.0370 0.0056 0.0129
2000.625 9.3450 9.2174 6.4683 7.2632 0.0175 0.0390 0.0061 0.0136
2000.875 9.3340 9.2044 6.4707 7.2411 0.0193 0.0411 0.0068 0.0144
2001.125 9.3223 9.1908 6.4782 7.2233 0.0213 0.0434 0.0074 0.0152
2001.375 9.3099 9.1767 6.4881 7.2076 0.0233 0.0458 0.0082 0.0160
2001.625 9.2971 9.1621 6.4913 7.1862 0.0254 0.0482 0.0089 0.0169
2001.875 9.2839 9.1474 6.4857 7.1573 0.0276 0.0507 0.0097 0.0178
2002.125 9.2704 9.1324 6.4716 7.1208 0.0299 0.0532 0.0105 0.0186
2002.375 9.2567 9.1173 6.4535 7.0799 0.0321 0.0558 0.0113 0.0195
2002.625 9.2425 9.1018 6.4496 7.0479 0.0345 0.0584 0.0121 0.0204
2002.875 9.2279 9.0859 6.4638 7.0282 0.0369 0.0611 0.0129 0.0214
2003.125 9.2128 9.0696 6.4958 7.0210 0.0394 0.0639 0.0138 0.0224
2003.375 9.1973 9.0530 6.5387 7.0218 0.0420 0.0667 0.0147 0.0233
2003.625 9.1817 9.0364 6.5651 7.0113 0.0447 0.0695 0.0156 0.0243
2003.875 9.1659 9.0199 6.5688 6.9851 0.0473 0.0723 0.0166 0.0253
2004.125 9.1501 9.0035 6.5503 6.9434 0.0500 0.0751 0.0175 0.0263
2004.375 9.1341 8.9872 6.5167 6.8908 0.0526 0.0779 0.0184 0.0273
2004.625 9.1180 8.9708 6.4944 6.8465 0.0554 0.0807 0.0194 0.0283
2004.875 9.1016 8.9542 6.4895 6.8145 0.0581 0.0836 0.0203 0.0292
2005.125 9.0849 8.9374 6.5014 6.7945 0.0610 0.0864 0.0213 0.0303
2005.375 9.0679 8.9204 6.5238 6.7818 0.0638 0.0894 0.0223 0.0313
2005.625 9.0506 8.9032 6.5343 6.7584 0.0668 0.0923 0.0234 0.0323
2005.875 9.0332 8.8860 6.5272 6.7203 0.0697 0.0953 0.0244 0.0334
2006.125 9.0155 8.8687 6.5031 6.6678 0.0728 0.0983 0.0255 0.0344
2006.375 8.9976 8.8512 6.4676 6.6059 0.0758 0.1013 0.0265 0.0355
2006.625 8.9795 8.8337 6.4430 6.5536 0.0789 0.1044 0.0276 0.0365
2006.875 8.9612 8.8161 6.4345 6.5151 0.0820 0.1075 0.0287 0.0376
2007.125 8.9429 8.7984 6.4413 6.4893 0.0852 0.1106 0.0298 0.0387
2007.375 8.9246 8.7809 6.4581 6.4711 0.0884 0.1136 0.0309 0.0398
2007.625 8.9064 8.7636 6.4649 6.4426 0.0915 0.1167 0.0320 0.0408
2007.875 8.8883 8.7466 6.4571 6.3999 0.0946 0.1197 0.0331 0.0419
2008.125 8.8703 8.7297 6.4353 6.3446 0.0977 0.1226 0.0342 0.0429
2008.375 8.8523 8.7128 6.4033 6.2807 0.1009 0.1256 0.0353 0.0440
2008.625 8.8342 8.6960 6.3746 6.2210 0.1040 0.1286 0.0364 0.0450
2008.875 8.8160 8.6792 6.3525 6.1683 0.1072 0.1315 0.0375 0.0460
2009.125 8.7977 8.6625 6.3368 6.1221 0.1104 0.1345 0.0386 0.0471
2009.375 8.7796 8.6459 6.3242 6.0786 0.1135 0.1375 0.0397 0.0481
2009.625 8.7618 8.6297 6.3022 6.0246 0.1167 0.1403 0.0408 0.0491
2009.875 8.7443 8.6139 6.2677 5.9566 0.1198 0.1432 0.0419 0.0501
2010.125 8.7272 8.5987 6.2204 5.8746 0.1227 0.1459 0.0430 0.0511
2010.375 8.7108 8.5842 6.1654 5.7855 0.1256 0.1485 0.0440 0.0520
2010.625 8.6951 8.5707 6.1247 5.7162 0.1284 0.1509 0.0449 0.0528
2010.875 8.6803 8.5581 6.1040 5.6737 0.1310 0.1532 0.0459 0.0536
2011.125 8.6663 8.5465 6.1035 5.6579 0.1335 0.1553 0.0467 0.0543
2011.375 8.6530 8.5357 6.1171 5.6614 0.1359 0.1572 0.0476 0.0550
2011.625 8.6404 8.5257 6.1196 5.6529 0.1381 0.1590 0.0483 0.0556
2011.875 8.6284 8.5163 6.1048 5.6249 0.1403 0.1607 0.0491 0.0562
2012.125 8.6168 8.5075 6.0727 5.5774 0.1423 0.1623 0.0498 0.0568
2012.375 8.6057 8.4991 6.0250 5.5130 0.1443 0.1638 0.0505 0.0573
2012.625 8.5950 8.4912 5.9690 5.4418 0.1462 0.1652 0.0512 0.0578
2012.875 8.5848 8.4837 5.9062 5.3661 0.1481 0.1666 0.0518 0.0583
2013.125 8.5750 8.4768 5.8365 5.2857 0.1498 0.1679 0.0524 0.0587
2013.375 8.5657 8.4702 5.7654 5.2058 0.1515 0.1690 0.0530 0.0592
2013.625 8.5567 8.4641 5.7165 5.1487 0.1531 0.1702 0.0536 0.0596
2013.875 8.5480 8.4582 5.6955 5.1198 0.1547 0.1712 0.0541 0.0599
2014.125 8.5396 8.4527 5.7025 5.1189 0.1562 0.1722 0.0547 0.0603
2014.375 8.5315 8.4474 5.7259 5.1347 0.1577 0.1732 0.0552 0.0606
2014.625 8.5237 8.4426 5.7187 5.1210 0.1590 0.1741 0.0557 0.0609
2014.875 8.5164 8.4381 5.6695 5.0668 0.1604 0.1749 0.0561 0.0612
2015.125 8.5095 8.4341 5.5785 4.9723 0.1616 0.1756 0.0566 0.0615
2015.375 8.5030 8.4305 5.4564 4.8480 0.1628 0.1763 0.0570 0.0617
2015.625 8.4969 8.4272 5.3451 4.7349 0.1639 0.1769 0.0574 0.0619
2015.875 8.4909 8.4242 5.2548 4.6434 0.1650 0.1774 0.0577 0.0621
2016.125 8.4851 8.4212 5.1855 4.5731 0.1660 0.1780 0.0581 0.0623
2016.375 8.4794 8.4184 5.1325 4.5195 0.1671 0.1785 0.0585 0.0625
2016.625 8.4738 8.4157 5.0764 4.4634 0.1681 0.1790 0.0588 0.0626
2016.875 8.4684 8.4130 5.0125 4.4000 0.1691 0.1795 0.0592 0.0628
2017.125 8.4631 8.4106 4.9403 4.3288 0.1700 0.1799 0.0595 0.0630
2017.375 8.4580 8.4083 4.8610 4.2506 0.1710 0.1803 0.0598 0.0631
2017.625 8.4532 8.4063 4.7794 4.1704 0.1718 0.1807 0.0601 0.0632
2017.875 8.4486 8.4044 4.6971 4.0899 0.1727 0.1810 0.0604 0.0634
2018.125 8.4441 8.4026 4.6146 4.0099 0.1735 0.1814 0.0607 0.0635
2018.375 8.4397 8.4010 4.5322 3.9309 0.1743 0.1817 0.0610 0.0636
2018.625 8.4353 8.3993 4.4493 3.8524 0.1751 0.1820 0.0613 0.0637
2018.875 8.4309 8.3976 4.3660 3.7747 0.1759 0.1823 0.0616 0.0638
2019.125 8.4265 8.3958 4.2827 3.6979 0.1767 0.1826 0.0618 0.0639
2019.375 8.4220 8.3940 4.1994 3.6219 0.1775 0.1830 0.0621 0.0640
2019.625 8.4176 8.3920 4.1160 3.5463 0.1783 0.1833 0.0624 0.0642
2019.875 8.4131 8.3901 4.0323 3.4708 0.1792 0.1837 0.0627 0.0643
2020.125 8.4086 8.3881 3.9478 3.3947 0.1800 0.1840 0.0630 0.0644
2020.375 8.4041 8.3861 3.8627 3.3179 0.1808 0.1844 0.0633 0.0645
2020.625 8.3998 8.3842 3.7775 3.2411 0.1816 0.1847 0.0636 0.0647
2020.875 8.3955 8.3824 3.6926 3.1645 0.1824 0.1851 0.0638 0.0648
2021.125 8.3914 8.3806 3.6082 3.0886 0.1831 0.1854 0.0641 0.0649
2021.375 8.3873 8.3788 3.5245 3.0134 0.1839 0.1857 0.0644 0.0650
2021.625 8.3833 8.3771 3.4408 2.9381 0.1846 0.1860 0.0646 0.0651
2021.875 8.3793 8.3754 3.3570 2.8628 0.1853 0.1864 0.0649 0.0652
2022.125 8.3754 8.3737 3.2732 2.7880 0.1861 0.1867 0.0651 0.0653
2022.375 8.3716 8.3721 3.1895 2.7138 0.1868 0.1870 0.0654 0.0654
2022.625 8.3677 8.3704 3.1065 2.6411 0.1875 0.1873 0.0656 0.0656
2022.875 8.3640 8.3687 3.0242 2.5699 0.1882 0.1876 0.0659 0.0657
2023.125 8.3603 8.3671 2.9427 2.4998 0.1888 0.1879 0.0661 0.0658
2023.375 8.3567 8.3656 2.8620 2.4304 0.1895 0.1882 0.0663 0.0659
2023.625 8.3533 8.3641 2.7820 2.3613 0.1901 0.1884 0.0665 0.0660
2023.875 8.3500 8.3628 2.7030 2.2924 0.1907 0.1887 0.0668 0.0660
2024.125 8.3469 8.3616 2.6251 2.2238 0.1913 0.1889 0.0670 0.0661
2024.375 8.3440 8.3606 2.5485 2.1555 0.1918 0.1891 0.0671 0.0662
2024.625 8.3412 8.3597 2.4733 2.0881 0.1923 0.1893 0.0673 0.0662
2024.875 8.3387 8.3589 2.3993 2.0216 0.1928 0.1894 0.0675 0.0663
2025.125 8.3363 8.3583 2.3267 1.9565 0.1933 0.1895 0.0676 0.0663
2025.375 8.3341 8.3579 2.2555 1.8930 0.1937 0.1896 0.0678 0.0664
2025.625 8.3320 8.3576 2.1860 1.8315 0.1940 0.1896 0.0679 0.0664
2025.875 8.3301 8.3573 2.1184 1.7724 0.1944 0.1897 0.0680 0.0664
2026.125 8.3282 8.3572 2.0533 1.7160 0.1947 0.1897 0.0682 0.0664
2026.375 8.3265 8.3571 1.9908 1.6624 0.1951 0.1897 0.0683 0.0664
2026.625 8.3249 8.3571 1.9311 1.6118 0.1954 0.1897 0.0684 0.0664
2026.875 8.3233 8.3571 1.8741 1.5640 0.1957 0.1897 0.0685 0.0664
2027.125 8.3218 8.3572 1.8194 1.5189 0.1959 0.1897 0.0686 0.0664
2027.375 8.3204 8.3573 1.7667 1.4761 0.1962 0.1897 0.0687 0.0664
2027.625 8.3191 8.3575 1.7157 1.4353 0.1964 0.1897 0.0688 0.0664
2027.875 8.3179 8.3577 1.6662 1.3963 0.1967 0.1896 0.0688 0.0664
2028.125 8.3167 8.3580 1.6182 1.3589 0.1969 0.1896 0.0689 0.0663
2028.375 8.3157 8.3584 1.5715 1.3230 0.1971 0.1895 0.0690 0.0663
2028.625 8.3148 8.3589 1.5264 1.2885 0.1972 0.1894 0.0690 0.0663
2028.875 8.3140 8.3594 1.4829 1.2553 0.1974 0.1893 0.0691 0.0663
2029.125 8.3134 8.3600 1.4411 1.2234 0.1975 0.1892 0.0691 0.0662
2029.375 8.3128 8.3607 1.4011 1.1929 0.1976 0.1891 0.0692 0.0662
2029.625 8.3123 8.3614 1.3627 1.1639 0.1977 0.1889 0.0692 0.0661
2029.875 8.3119 8.3622 1.3260 1.1364 0.1978 0.1888 0.0692 0.0661
2030.125 8.3115 8.3630 1.2910 1.1106 0.1978 0.1886 0.0692 0.0660
2030.375 8.3112 8.3639 1.2577 1.0864 0.1979 0.1885 0.0693 0.0660
2030.625 8.3110 8.3648 1.2259 1.0639 0.1979 0.1883 0.0693 0.0659
2030.875 8.3108 8.3657 1.1956 1.0427 0.1980 0.1881 0.0693 0.0659
2031.125 8.3108 8.3667 1.1666 1.0225 0.1980 0.1880 0.0693 0.0658
2031.375 8.3107 8.3677 1.1388 1.0031 0.1980 0.1878 0.0693 0.0657
2031.625 8.3108 8.3688 1.1118 0.9842 0.1980 0.1876 0.0693 0.0657
2031.875 8.3110 8.3699 1.0857 0.9659 0.1979 0.1874 0.0693 0.0656
2032.125 8.3113 8.3711 1.0603 0.9480 0.1979 0.1871 0.0693 0.0655
2032.375 8.3117 8.3724 1.0356 0.9307 0.1978 0.1869 0.0692 0.0654
2032.625 8.3121 8.3738 1.0116 0.9140 0.1977 0.1867 0.0692 0.0653
2032.875 8.3127 8.3753 0.9886 0.8980 0.1976 0.1864 0.0692 0.0652
2033.125 8.3133 8.3768 0.9665 0.8827 0.1975 0.1861 0.0691 0.0651
2033.375 8.3141 8.3783 0.9453 0.8682 0.1974 0.1858 0.0691 0.0650
2033.625 8.3149 8.3800 0.9251 0.8543 0.1972 0.1855 0.0690 0.0649
2033.875 8.3158 8.3817 0.9057 0.8410 0.1970 0.1852 0.0690 0.0648
2034.125 8.3168 8.3834 0.8872 0.8283 0.1969 0.1849 0.0689 0.0647
2034.375 8.3178 8.3853 0.8694 0.8163 0.1967 0.1846 0.0688 0.0646
2034.625 8.3189 8.3871 0.8524 0.8051 0.1965 0.1842 0.0688 0.0645
2034.875 8.3202 8.3891 0.8363 0.7948 0.1962 0.1839 0.0687 0.0644
2035.125 8.3214 8.3911 0.8210 0.7853 0.1960 0.1835 0.0686 0.0642
2035.375 8.3228 8.3931 0.8065 0.7765 0.1958 0.1831 0.0685 0.0641
2035.625 8.3242 8.3952 0.7926 0.7683 0.1955 0.1827 0.0684 0.0640
2035.875 8.3257 8.3973 0.7794 0.7604 0.1952 0.1823 0.0683 0.0638
2036.125 8.3272 8.3995 0.7667 0.7530 0.1949 0.1819 0.0682 0.0637
2036.375 8.3288 8.4018 0.7547 0.7460 0.1946 0.1815 0.0681 0.0635
2036.625 8.3305 8.4040 0.7435 0.7396 0.1943 0.1811 0.0680 0.0634
2036.875 8.3322 8.4064 0.7330 0.7337 0.1940 0.1807 0.0679 0.0632
2037.125 8.3340 8.4087 0.7232 0.7284 0.1937 0.1803 0.0678 0.0631
2037.375 8.3359 8.4111 0.7140 0.7236 0.1933 0.1798 0.0677 0.0629
2037.625 8.3378 8.4136 0.7055 0.7192 0.1930 0.1794 0.0675 0.0628
2037.875 8.3397 8.4161 0.6977 0.7153 0.1926 0.1789 0.0674 0.0626
2038.125 8.3417 8.4186 0.6904 0.7117 0.1923 0.1785 0.0673 0.0625
2038.375 8.3437 8.4211 0.6837 0.7086 0.1919 0.1780 0.0672 0.0623
2038.625 8.3458 8.4237 0.6776 0.7059 0.1915 0.1775 0.0670 0.0621
2038.875 8.3479 8.4263 0.6721 0.7036 0.1911 0.1770 0.0669 0.0620
2039.125 8.3500 8.4289 0.6670 0.7017 0.1907 0.1766 0.0668 0.0618
2039.375 8.3521 8.4315 0.6623 0.7001 0.1903 0.1761 0.0666 0.0616
2039.625 8.3543 8.4341 0.6582 0.6990 0.1899 0.1756 0.0665 0.0615
2039.875 8.3565 8.4368 0.6544 0.6983 0.1895 0.1751 0.0663 0.0613
2040.125 8.3587 8.4394 0.6512 0.6980 0.1891 0.1747 0.0662 0.0611
2040.375 8.3609 8.4420 0.6484 0.6981 0.1887 0.1742 0.0661 0.0610
2040.625 8.3631 8.4447 0.6460 0.6985 0.1883 0.1737 0.0659 0.0608
2040.875 8.3653 8.4473 0.6441 0.6993 0.1879 0.1732 0.0658 0.0606
2041.125 8.3675 8.4499 0.6426 0.7004 0.1875 0.1727 0.0656 0.0605
2041.375 8.3697 8.4525 0.6415 0.7018 0.1871 0.1723 0.0655 0.0603
2041.625 8.3719 8.4551 0.6407 0.7035 0.1867 0.1718 0.0653 0.0601
2041.875 8.3741 8.4577 0.6403 0.7055 0.1863 0.1713 0.0652 0.0600
2042.125 8.3763 8.4602 0.6402 0.7078 0.1859 0.1709 0.0651 0.0598
2042.375 8.3784 8.4627 0.6405 0.7103 0.1855 0.1704 0.0649 0.0596
2042.625 8.3805 8.4652 0.6411 0.7131 0.1851 0.1700 0.0648 0.0595
2042.875 8.3826 8.4676 0.6421 0.7162 0.1847 0.1695 0.0647 0.0593
2043.125 8.3846 8.4700 0.6434 0.7196 0.1844 0.1691 0.0645 0.0592
2043.375 8.3867 8.4723 0.6451 0.7232 0.1840 0.1687 0.0644 0.0590
2043.625 8.3886 8.4746 0.6470 0.7269 0.1836 0.1682 0.0643 0.0589
2043.875 8.3906 8.4769 0.6492 0.7308 0.1833 0.1678 0.0641 0.0587
2044.125 8.3925 8.4791 0.6514 0.7348 0.1829 0.1674 0.0640 0.0586
2044.375 8.3943 8.4812 0.6539 0.7390 0.1826 0.1670 0.0639 0.0585
2044.625 8.3961 8.4833 0.6565 0.7434 0.1823 0.1667 0.0638 0.0583
2044.875 8.3978 8.4854 0.6594 0.7479 0.1819 0.1663 0.0637 0.0582
2045.125 8.3995 8.4873 0.6625 0.7525 0.1816 0.1659 0.0636 0.0581
2045.375 8.4012 8.4892 0.6659 0.7573 0.1813 0.1656 0.0635 0.0580
2045.625 8.4027 8.4911 0.6696 0.7623 0.1810 0.1653 0.0634 0.0578
2045.875 8.4042 8.4929 0.6735 0.7674 0.1808 0.1649 0.0633 0.0577
2046.125 8.4057 8.4946 0.6776 0.7726 0.1805 0.1646 0.0632 0.0576
2046.375 8.4071 8.4962 0.6819 0.7780 0.1802 0.1643 0.0631 0.0575
2046.625 8.4084 8.4978 0.6862 0.7834 0.1800 0.1640 0.0630 0.0574
2046.875 8.4097 8.4993 0.6905 0.7889 0.1798 0.1638 0.0629 0.0573
2047.125 8.4109 8.5007 0.6949 0.7944 0.1796 0.1635 0.0628 0.0572
2047.375 8.4120 8.5021 0.6993 0.8000 0.1793 0.1633 0.0628 0.0571
2047.625 8.4131 8.5034 0.7038 0.8057 0.1792 0.1630 0.0627 0.0571
2047.875 8.4140 8.5046 0.7083 0.8114 0.1790 0.1628 0.0626 0.0570
2048.125 8.4150 8.5057 0.7128 0.8172 0.1788 0.1626 0.0626 0.0569
2048.375 8.4158 8.5067 0.7174 0.8229 0.1787 0.1624 0.0625 0.0568
2048.625 8.4166 8.5077 0.7219 0.8286 0.1785 0.1622 0.0625 0.0568
2048.875 8.4173 8.5086 0.7264 0.8342 0.1784 0.1621 0.0624 0.0567
2049.125 8.4179 8.5094 0.7308 0.8397 0.1783 0.1619 0.0624 0.0567
2049.375 8.4185 8.5102 0.7351 0.8451 0.1782 0.1618 0.0624 0.0566
2049.625 8.4189 8.5108 0.7393 0.8503 0.1781 0.1617 0.0623 0.0566
2049.875 8.4194 8.5114 0.7434 0.8554 0.1780 0.1616 0.0623 0.0566
2050.125 8.4197 8.5119 0.7474 0.8604 0.1779 0.1615 0.0623 0.0565
2050.375 8.4200 8.5124 0.7513 0.8652 0.1779 0.1614 0.0623 0.0565
2050.625 8.4202 8.5127 0.7550 0.8698 0.1779 0.1613 0.0623 0.0565
2050.875 8.4203 8.5130 0.7586 0.8742 0.1778 0.1613 0.0622 0.0565
2051.125 8.4203 8.5132 0.7620 0.8784 0.1778 0.1613 0.0622 0.0564
2051.375 8.4203 8.5133 0.7652 0.8823 0.1778 0.1612 0.0622 0.0564
2051.625 8.4202 8.5134 0.7681 0.8859 0.1778 0.1612 0.0622 0.0564
2051.875 8.4201 8.5134 0.7707 0.8892 0.1779 0.1612 0.0623 0.0564
2052.125 8.4198 8.5133 0.7729 0.8921 0.1779 0.1612 0.0623 0.0564
2052.375 8.4196 8.5131 0.7748 0.8946 0.1780 0.1613 0.0623 0.0564
2052.625 8.4192 8.5129 0.7764 0.8968 0.1780 0.1613 0.0623 0.0565
2052.875 8.4188 8.5126 0.7777 0.8987 0.1781 0.1614 0.0623 0.0565
2053.125 8.4183 8.5122 0.7787 0.9003 0.1782 0.1614 0.0624 0.0565
2053.375 8.4178 8.5118 0.7794 0.9015 0.1783 0.1615 0.0624 0.0565
2053.625 8.4172 8.5113 0.7796 0.9023 0.1784 0.1616 0.0624 0.0566
2053.875 8.4165 8.5107 0.7795 0.9027 0.1785 0.1617 0.0625 0.0566
2054.125 8.4158 8.5101 0.7790 0.9026 0.1787 0.1618 0.0625 0.0566
2054.375 8.4150 8.5095 0.7780 0.9020 0.1788 0.1619 0.0626 0.0567
2054.625 8.4142 8.5088 0.7767 0.9011 0.1789 0.1621 0.0626 0.0567
2054.875 8.4134 8.5080 0.7751 0.8999 0.1791 0.1622 0.0627 0.0568
2055.125 8.4125 8.5072 0.7733 0.8984 0.1793 0.1623 0.0627 0.0568
2055.375 8.4116 8.5064 0.7712 0.8965 0.1794 0.1625 0.0628 0.0569
2055.625 8.4106 8.5055 0.7688 0.8943 0.1796 0.1627 0.0629 0.0569
2055.875 8.4096 8.5046 0.7661 0.8918 0.1798 0.1628 0.0629 0.0570
2056.125 8.4086 8.5036 0.7631 0.8890 0.1800 0.1630 0.0630 0.0570
2056.375 8.4075 8.5026 0.7600 0.8859 0.1802 0.1632 0.0631 0.0571
2056.625 8.4064 8.5016 0.7566 0.8826 0.1804 0.1634 0.0631 0.0572
2056.875 8.4053 8.5006 0.7530 0.8790 0.1806 0.1635 0.0632 0.0572
2057.125 8.4042 8.4995 0.7493 0.8753 0.1808 0.1637 0.0633 0.0573
2057.375 8.4031 8.4985 0.7456 0.8714 0.1810 0.1639 0.0633 0.0574
2057.625 8.4019 8.4974 0.7416 0.8673 0.1812 0.1641 0.0634 0.0574
2057.875 8.4007 8.4963 0.7376 0.8630 0.1814 0.1643 0.0635 0.0575
2058.125 8.3996 8.4952 0.7335 0.8586 0.1816 0.1645 0.0636 0.0576
2058.375 8.3984 8.4941 0.7294 0.8541 0.1818 0.1647 0.0636 0.0577
2058.625 8.3972 8.4930 0.7254 0.8497 0.1821 0.1649 0.0637 0.0577
2058.875 8.3960 8.4918 0.7216 0.8455 0.1823 0.1651 0.0638 0.0578
2059.125 8.3948 8.4907 0.7180 0.8414 0.1825 0.1653 0.0639 0.0579
2059.375 8.3936 8.4896 0.7145 0.8374 0.1827 0.1655 0.0640 0.0579
2059.625 8.3924 8.4885 0.7104 0.8328 0.1829 0.1657 0.0640 0.0580
2059.875 8.3912 8.4873 0.7057 0.8275 0.1832 0.1659 0.0641 0.0581
2060.125 8.3900 8.4862 0.7002 0.8214 0.1834 0.1661 0.0642 0.0582
2060.375 8.3888 8.4851 0.6943 0.8149 0.1836 0.1663 0.0643 0.0582
2060.625 8.3876 8.4840 0.6891 0.8090 0.1838 0.1665 0.0643 0.0583
2060.875 8.3864 8.4828 0.6847 0.8040 0.1840 0.1668 0.0644 0.0584
2061.125 8.3852 8.4817 0.6811 0.7999 0.1843 0.1670 0.0645 0.0584
2061.375 8.3840 8.4806 0.6783 0.7965 0.1845 0.1672 0.0646 0.0585
2061.625 8.3828 8.4795 0.6756 0.7932 0.1847 0.1674 0.0646 0.0586
2061.875 8.3816 8.4785 0.6728 0.7898 0.1849 0.1675 0.0647 0.0586
2062.125 8.3805 8.4774 0.6699 0.7863 0.1851 0.1677 0.0648 0.0587
2062.375 8.3793 8.4763 0.6670 0.7828 0.1853 0.1679 0.0649 0.0588
2062.625 8.3781 8.4752 0.6642 0.7795 0.1856 0.1681 0.0649 0.0588
2062.875 8.3770 8.4741 0.6616 0.7763 0.1858 0.1683 0.0650 0.0589
2063.125 8.3758 8.4731 0.6592 0.7732 0.1860 0.1685 0.0651 0.0590
2063.375 8.3746 8.4720 0.6569 0.7704 0.1862 0.1687 0.0652 0.0591
2063.625 8.3735 8.4709 0.6547 0.7676 0.1864 0.1689 0.0652 0.0591
2063.875 8.3723 8.4699 0.6527 0.7649 0.1866 0.1691 0.0653 0.0592
2064.125 8.3711 8.4688 0.6507 0.7624 0.1868 0.1693 0.0654 0.0593
2064.375 8.3699 8.4677 0.6489 0.7599 0.1871 0.1695 0.0655 0.0593
2064.625 8.3688 8.4667 0.6471 0.7575 0.1873 0.1697 0.0655 0.0594
2064.875 8.3676 8.4656 0.6455 0.7551 0.1875 0.1699 0.0656 0.0595
2065.125 8.3664 8.4645 0.6440 0.7529 0.1877 0.1701 0.0657 0.0595
2065.375 8.3652 8.4635 0.6425 0.7507 0.1879 0.1703 0.0658 0.0596
2065.625 8.3641 8.4624 0.6412 0.7486 0.1881 0.1705 0.0659 0.0597
2065.875 8.3629 8.4614 0.6399 0.7466 0.1884 0.1707 0.0659 0.0597
2066.125 8.3617 8.4603 0.6387 0.7446 0.1886 0.1708 0.0660 0.0598
2066.375 8.3605 8.4592 0.6375 0.7427 0.1888 0.1710 0.0661 0.0599
2066.625 8.3593 8.4582 0.6364 0.7408 0.1890 0.1712 0.0662 0.0599
2066.875 8.3581 8.4571 0.6353 0.7389 0.1892 0.1714 0.0662 0.0600
2067.125 8.3570 8.4561 0.6342 0.7371 0.1894 0.1716 0.0663 0.0601
2067.375 8.3558 8.4550 0.6331 0.7352 0.1897 0.1718 0.0664 0.0601
2067.625 8.3546 8.4540 0.6320 0.7335 0.1899 0.1720 0.0665 0.0602
2067.875 8.3534 8.4529 0.6309 0.7317 0.1901 0.1722 0.0665 0.0603
2068.125 8.3522 8.4519 0.6299 0.7299 0.1903 0.1724 0.0666 0.0603
2068.375 8.3510 8.4508 0.6288 0.7282 0.1905 0.1726 0.0667 0.0604
2068.625 8.3499 8.4498 0.6278 0.7265 0.1908 0.1728 0.0668 0.0605
2068.875 8.3487 8.4488 0.6267 0.7248 0.1910 0.1729 0.0668 0.0605
2069.125 8.3475 8.4478 0.6257 0.7231 0.1912 0.1731 0.0669 0.0606
2069.375 8.3463 8.4467 0.6248 0.7215 0.1914 0.1733 0.0670 0.0607
2069.625 8.3452 8.4457 0.6238 0.7199 0.1916 0.1735 0.0671 0.0607
2069.875 8.3440 8.4447 0.6229 0.7183 0.1918 0.1737 0.0671 0.0608
2070.125 8.3429 8.4437 0.6221 0.7168 0.1920 0.1739 0.0672 0.0609
2070.375 8.3417 8.4427 0.6213 0.7153 0.1923 0.1740 0.0673 0.0609
2070.625 8.3405 8.4417 0.6206 0.7139 0.1925 0.1742 0.0674 0.0610
2070.875 8.3394 8.4407 0.6200 0.7127 0.1927 0.1744 0.0674 0.0610
2071.125 8.3382 8.4397 0.6196 0.7115 0.1929 0.1746 0.0675 0.0611
2071.375 8.3371 8.4388 0.6192 0.7104 0.1931 0.1748 0.0676 0.0612
2071.625 8.3360 8.4378 0.6190 0.7095 0.1933 0.1749 0.0677 0.0612
2071.875 8.3348 8.4368 0.6189 0.7087 0.1935 0.1751 0.0677 0.0613
2072.125 8.3337 8.4359 0.6189 0.7081 0.1937 0.1753 0.0678 0.0614
2072.375 8.3326 8.4349 0.6192 0.7077 0.1939 0.1755 0.0679 0.0614
2072.625 8.3314 8.4339 0.6196 0.7074 0.1942 0.1756 0.0680 0.0615
2072.875 8.3303 8.4330 0.6202 0.7074 0.1944 0.1758 0.0680 0.0615
2073.125 8.3292 8.4321 0.6209 0.7075 0.1946 0.1760 0.0681 0.0616
2073.375 8.3281 8.4311 0.6219 0.7079 0.1948 0.1762 0.0682 0.0617
2073.625 8.3269 8.4302 0.6231 0.7085 0.1950 0.1763 0.0682 0.0617
2073.875 8.3258 8.4292 0.6245 0.7093 0.1952 0.1765 0.0683 0.0618
2074.125 8.3247 8.4283 0.6262 0.7104 0.1954 0.1767 0.0684 0.0618
2074.375 8.3236 8.4274 0.6280 0.7118 0.1956 0.1768 0.0685 0.0619
2074.625 8.3224 8.4264 0.6301 0.7134 0.1958 0.1770 0.0685 0.0620
2074.875 8.3213 8.4255 0.6325 0.7152 0.1960 0.1772 0.0686 0.0620
2075.125 8.3202 8.4246 0.6350 0.7173 0.1962 0.1774 0.0687 0.0621
2075.375 8.3191 8.4236 0.6378 0.7197 0.1964 0.1775 0.0688 0.0621
2075.625 8.3179 8.4227 0.6409 0.7223 0.1967 0.1777 0.0688 0.0622
2075.875 8.3168 8.4217 0.6441 0.7251 0.1969 0.1779 0.0689 0.0623
2076.125 8.3156 8.4208 0.6476 0.7282 0.1971 0.1780 0.0690 0.0623
2076.375 8.3145 8.4198 0.6512 0.7315 0.1973 0.1782 0.0691 0.0624
2076.625 8.3133 8.4188 0.6550 0.7350 0.1975 0.1784 0.0691 0.0624
2076.875 8.3121 8.4179 0.6591 0.7387 0.1977 0.1786 0.0692 0.0625

Return to text


Figure 11: Equilibrium real rate with demographic variables fixed in either 1960 or 1980 onward

UPPER PANEL: 1960

Date Baseline Constant mortality Constant employment Constant fertility Constant mortality, employment, fertility JM 25th Percentile JM 75th Percentile
1960.125 1.4600 1.4910 1.5000 1.4517 1.5200 0.6828 1.7831
1960.375 1.4606 1.4921 1.4997 1.4518 1.5197 0.6528 1.7474
1960.625 1.4628 1.4947 1.5009 1.4536 1.5209 0.5973 1.6872
1960.875 1.4662 1.4985 1.5031 1.4565 1.5230 0.6300 1.7147
1961.125 1.4703 1.5030 1.5059 1.4601 1.5257 0.6482 1.7299
1961.375 1.4746 1.5077 1.5086 1.4639 1.5283 0.6650 1.7430
1961.625 1.4786 1.5121 1.5108 1.4674 1.5303 0.6634 1.7366
1961.875 1.4820 1.5159 1.5121 1.4702 1.5314 0.6633 1.7344
1962.125 1.4847 1.5189 1.5124 1.4723 1.5315 0.6295 1.6939
1962.375 1.4866 1.5212 1.5116 1.4736 1.5304 0.6068 1.6684
1962.625 1.4876 1.5225 1.5096 1.4740 1.5282 0.6326 1.6920
1962.875 1.4877 1.5230 1.5064 1.4735 1.5247 0.6164 1.6726
1963.125 1.4871 1.5228 1.5022 1.4723 1.5202 0.6458 1.6972
1963.375 1.4863 1.5222 1.4975 1.4707 1.5150 0.6550 1.7024
1963.625 1.4857 1.5220 1.4929 1.4695 1.5100 0.6549 1.6966
1963.875 1.4865 1.5231 1.4894 1.4696 1.5062 0.6774 1.7159
1964.125 1.4896 1.5265 1.4881 1.4719 1.5044 0.6846 1.7199
1964.375 1.4956 1.5329 1.4897 1.4772 1.5056 0.6845 1.7167
1964.625 1.5048 1.5423 1.4944 1.4855 1.5098 0.6741 1.7058
1964.875 1.5164 1.5543 1.5015 1.4963 1.5164 0.6793 1.7095
1965.125 1.5293 1.5676 1.5098 1.5084 1.5242 0.7055 1.7350
1965.375 1.5423 1.5809 1.5181 1.5205 1.5320 0.6992 1.7275
1965.625 1.5543 1.5933 1.5254 1.5316 1.5387 0.7017 1.7280
1965.875 1.5652 1.6044 1.5313 1.5415 1.5440 0.7195 1.7422
1966.125 1.5749 1.6145 1.5362 1.5503 1.5482 0.7283 1.7518
1966.375 1.5839 1.6238 1.5404 1.5584 1.5518 0.7211 1.7444
1966.625 1.5926 1.6328 1.5443 1.5661 1.5550 0.7681 1.7902
1966.875 1.6010 1.6415 1.5480 1.5735 1.5581 0.7668 1.7915
1967.125 1.6091 1.6499 1.5516 1.5806 1.5610 0.7552 1.7823
1967.375 1.6166 1.6577 1.5548 1.5871 1.5634 0.7571 1.7846
1967.625 1.6235 1.6649 1.5575 1.5929 1.5654 0.7743 1.8060
1967.875 1.6298 1.6714 1.5598 1.5981 1.5670 0.7948 1.8277
1968.125 1.6354 1.6774 1.5618 1.6027 1.5682 0.7785 1.8127
1968.375 1.6407 1.6829 1.5637 1.6069 1.5693 0.8037 1.8394
1968.625 1.6457 1.6882 1.5655 1.6108 1.5704 0.7885 1.8252
1968.875 1.6504 1.6931 1.5674 1.6144 1.5714 0.7936 1.8335
1969.125 1.6549 1.6979 1.5693 1.6178 1.5725 0.8123 1.8525
1969.375 1.6591 1.7024 1.5712 1.6209 1.5737 0.8150 1.8548
1969.625 1.6631 1.7067 1.5732 1.6238 1.5749 0.8478 1.8934
1969.875 1.6670 1.7109 1.5754 1.6265 1.5762 0.8609 1.9070
1970.125 1.6708 1.7149 1.5776 1.6291 1.5776 0.8701 1.9170
1970.375 1.6745 1.7188 1.5800 1.6316 1.5791 0.8834 1.9296
1970.625 1.6780 1.7227 1.5825 1.6340 1.5807 0.8742 1.9223
1970.875 1.6815 1.7264 1.5850 1.6362 1.5823 0.8449 1.8955
1971.125 1.6848 1.7300 1.5876 1.6382 1.5839 0.8030 1.8536
1971.375 1.6879 1.7334 1.5901 1.6401 1.5854 0.8329 1.8835
1971.625 1.6910 1.7367 1.5926 1.6418 1.5870 0.8557 1.9085
1971.875 1.6939 1.7399 1.5951 1.6434 1.5885 0.8341 1.8886
1972.125 1.6966 1.7430 1.5975 1.6448 1.5899 0.8278 1.8835
1972.375 1.6992 1.7459 1.5999 1.6460 1.5912 0.8410 1.8996
1972.625 1.7017 1.7487 1.6021 1.6471 1.5924 0.8422 1.9010
1972.875 1.7039 1.7512 1.6042 1.6479 1.5934 0.8432 1.9038
1973.125 1.7060 1.7536 1.6061 1.6485 1.5943 0.8420 1.9036
1973.375 1.7079 1.7559 1.6078 1.6490 1.5949 0.8326 1.8960
1973.625 1.7097 1.7580 1.6095 1.6493 1.5955 0.8447 1.9105
1973.875 1.7114 1.7601 1.6111 1.6495 1.5960 0.8192 1.8882
1974.125 1.7133 1.7624 1.6128 1.6498 1.5966 0.8147 1.8848
1974.375 1.7154 1.7648 1.6147 1.6503 1.5972 0.8318 1.9047
1974.625 1.7177 1.7675 1.6167 1.6510 1.5981 0.8529 1.9273
1974.875 1.7202 1.7705 1.6189 1.6519 1.5991 0.8453 1.9240
1975.125 1.7230 1.7736 1.6212 1.6530 1.6001 0.8627 1.9409
1975.375 1.7258 1.7769 1.6234 1.6541 1.6010 0.8770 1.9584
1975.625 1.7287 1.7801 1.6254 1.6552 1.6018 0.8856 1.9699
1975.875 1.7314 1.7834 1.6273 1.6562 1.6023 0.8921 1.9783
1976.125 1.7341 1.7865 1.6290 1.6571 1.6026 0.8879 1.9747
1976.375 1.7367 1.7895 1.6303 1.6577 1.6026 0.9033 1.9932
1976.625 1.7390 1.7923 1.6314 1.6582 1.6022 0.9111 2.0032
1976.875 1.7412 1.7950 1.6323 1.6585 1.6016 0.8930 1.9879
1977.125 1.7432 1.7974 1.6328 1.6585 1.6007 0.9118 2.0095
1977.375 1.7451 1.7997 1.6332 1.6583 1.5995 0.9156 2.0134
1977.625 1.7468 1.8019 1.6334 1.6579 1.5981 0.9293 2.0289
1977.875 1.7485 1.8041 1.6336 1.6575 1.5967 0.9477 2.0512
1978.125 1.7502 1.8064 1.6338 1.6571 1.5953 0.9617 2.0682
1978.375 1.7521 1.8088 1.6343 1.6568 1.5940 0.9687 2.0785
1978.625 1.7542 1.8114 1.6349 1.6566 1.5930 0.9833 2.0959
1978.875 1.7563 1.8140 1.6357 1.6566 1.5921 0.9965 2.1115
1979.125 1.7581 1.8163 1.6363 1.6564 1.5912 1.0098 2.1296
1979.375 1.7592 1.8180 1.6364 1.6557 1.5900 1.0028 2.1232
1979.625 1.7592 1.8185 1.6356 1.6542 1.5881 1.0067 2.1289
1979.875 1.7580 1.8179 1.6338 1.6517 1.5855 1.0334 2.1609
1980.125 1.7558 1.8162 1.6312 1.6484 1.5823 1.0611 2.1932
1980.375 1.7533 1.8143 1.6284 1.6451 1.5790 1.0481 2.1809
1980.625 1.7512 1.8127 1.6260 1.6423 1.5764 1.0590 2.1976
1980.875 1.7500 1.8121 1.6245 1.6407 1.5747 1.0695 2.2130
1981.125 1.7498 1.8125 1.6238 1.6402 1.5743 1.0836 2.2272
1981.375 1.7504 1.8137 1.6239 1.6408 1.5747 1.0988 2.2487
1981.625 1.7513 1.8152 1.6242 1.6419 1.5757 1.1200 2.2728
1981.875 1.7520 1.8165 1.6242 1.6431 1.5767 1.1146 2.2697
1982.125 1.7523 1.8174 1.6238 1.6444 1.5777 1.1263 2.2841
1982.375 1.7521 1.8179 1.6229 1.6456 1.5785 1.1336 2.2978
1982.625 1.7515 1.8180 1.6215 1.6468 1.5793 1.1344 2.3006
1982.875 1.7507 1.8178 1.6197 1.6483 1.5802 1.1203 2.2839
1983.125 1.7497 1.8175 1.6175 1.6500 1.5811 1.1283 2.2944
1983.375 1.7484 1.8169 1.6150 1.6519 1.5821 1.1370 2.3036
1983.625 1.7469 1.8161 1.6120 1.6539 1.5830 1.1556 2.3284
1983.875 1.7451 1.8150 1.6087 1.6560 1.5839 1.1554 2.3289
1984.125 1.7431 1.8136 1.6049 1.6582 1.5847 1.1567 2.3302
1984.375 1.7407 1.8119 1.6007 1.6603 1.5853 1.1794 2.3557
1984.625 1.7380 1.8099 1.5961 1.6625 1.5859 1.1930 2.3727
1984.875 1.7350 1.8076 1.5912 1.6646 1.5863 1.1655 2.3401
1985.125 1.7317 1.8050 1.5859 1.6666 1.5867 1.1598 2.3350
1985.375 1.7281 1.8023 1.5805 1.6686 1.5870 1.1466 2.3198
1985.625 1.7246 1.7994 1.5749 1.6706 1.5873 1.1424 2.3135
1985.875 1.7210 1.7966 1.5695 1.6727 1.5877 1.1426 2.3149
1986.125 1.7176 1.7940 1.5642 1.6750 1.5883 1.1359 2.3062
1986.375 1.7143 1.7914 1.5591 1.6773 1.5889 1.1367 2.3078
1986.625 1.7110 1.7889 1.5542 1.6795 1.5897 1.1213 2.2901
1986.875 1.7076 1.7863 1.5494 1.6816 1.5905 1.1298 2.2998
1987.125 1.7043 1.7838 1.5448 1.6835 1.5913 1.1287 2.2989
1987.375 1.7011 1.7814 1.5406 1.6854 1.5923 1.1617 2.3382
1987.625 1.6982 1.7793 1.5369 1.6873 1.5936 1.1624 2.3396
1987.875 1.6956 1.7776 1.5338 1.6895 1.5954 1.1619 2.3374
1988.125 1.6935 1.7763 1.5314 1.6920 1.5978 1.1313 2.3011
1988.375 1.6916 1.7753 1.5296 1.6948 1.6007 1.1424 2.3132
1988.625 1.6898 1.7744 1.5281 1.6977 1.6041 1.1619 2.3365
1988.875 1.6877 1.7733 1.5267 1.7007 1.6079 1.1578 2.3300
1989.125 1.6852 1.7717 1.5251 1.7035 1.6118 1.1947 2.3696
1989.375 1.6821 1.7695 1.5232 1.7060 1.6157 1.1935 2.3666
1989.625 1.6782 1.7666 1.5209 1.7082 1.6196 1.1650 2.3327
1989.875 1.6735 1.7628 1.5180 1.7100 1.6235 1.1696 2.3351
1990.125 1.6681 1.7583 1.5147 1.7114 1.6272 1.1668 2.3296
1990.375 1.6619 1.7531 1.5109 1.7124 1.6308 1.1645 2.3252
1990.625 1.6550 1.7471 1.5065 1.7129 1.6340 1.1636 2.3227
1990.875 1.6473 1.7404 1.5016 1.7129 1.6369 1.1817 2.3431
1991.125 1.6391 1.7332 1.4963 1.7124 1.6394 1.1585 2.3155
1991.375 1.6306 1.7256 1.4908 1.7115 1.6417 1.1694 2.3264
1991.625 1.6220 1.7180 1.4854 1.7105 1.6439 1.1637 2.3214
1991.875 1.6137 1.7105 1.4802 1.7096 1.6463 1.1231 2.2726
1992.125 1.6056 1.7035 1.4754 1.7089 1.6489 1.1115 2.2590
1992.375 1.5978 1.6966 1.4708 1.7083 1.6517 1.1178 2.2667
1992.625 1.5901 1.6900 1.4664 1.7079 1.6546 1.0732 2.2148
1992.875 1.5824 1.6833 1.4620 1.7075 1.6575 1.0684 2.2095
1993.125 1.5745 1.6765 1.4575 1.7070 1.6602 1.0349 2.1719
1993.375 1.5665 1.6695 1.4527 1.7063 1.6628 1.0301 2.1664
1993.625 1.5583 1.6624 1.4478 1.7055 1.6651 1.0311 2.1658
1993.875 1.5502 1.6553 1.4430 1.7045 1.6674 1.0165 2.1507
1994.125 1.5422 1.6485 1.4383 1.7037 1.6697 1.0489 2.1878
1994.375 1.5347 1.6421 1.4341 1.7028 1.6720 1.0946 2.2384
1994.625 1.5275 1.6361 1.4303 1.7021 1.6744 1.0732 2.2155
1994.875 1.5207 1.6304 1.4269 1.7014 1.6769 1.0771 2.2199
1995.125 1.5140 1.6250 1.4237 1.7008 1.6794 1.0622 2.2036
1995.375 1.5073 1.6195 1.4205 1.7000 1.6819 1.0550 2.1960
1995.625 1.5005 1.6139 1.4173 1.6991 1.6843 1.0542 2.1938
1995.875 1.4936 1.6082 1.4140 1.6979 1.6866 1.0564 2.1940
1996.125 1.4866 1.6025 1.4108 1.6966 1.6888 1.0498 2.1855
1996.375 1.4796 1.5967 1.4077 1.6951 1.6909 1.0751 2.2149
1996.625 1.4727 1.5912 1.4049 1.6934 1.6931 1.0432 2.1784
1996.875 1.4661 1.5858 1.4025 1.6916 1.6953 1.0176 2.1473
1997.125 1.4596 1.5807 1.4005 1.6897 1.6976 1.0295 2.1610
1997.375 1.4533 1.5757 1.3988 1.6876 1.7000 1.0513 2.1841
1997.625 1.4470 1.5707 1.3975 1.6852 1.7025 1.0257 2.1521
1997.875 1.4407 1.5658 1.3963 1.6826 1.7050 1.0098 2.1317
1998.125 1.4341 1.5606 1.3953 1.6795 1.7074 1.0219 2.1437
1998.375 1.4273 1.5551 1.3941 1.6760 1.7097 1.0187 2.1372
1998.625 1.4200 1.5493 1.3930 1.6719 1.7118 1.0337 2.1517
1998.875 1.4125 1.5431 1.3918 1.6674 1.7138 0.9704 2.0797
1999.125 1.4047 1.5368 1.3906 1.6624 1.7158 1.0040 2.1111
1999.375 1.3967 1.5302 1.3896 1.6571 1.7177 0.9983 2.1053
1999.625 1.3886 1.5235 1.3887 1.6513 1.7197 1.0124 2.1164
1999.875 1.3802 1.5166 1.3879 1.6452 1.7217 0.9933 2.0925
2000.125 1.3714 1.5092 1.3870 1.6386 1.7238 0.9883 2.0882
2000.375 1.3620 1.5012 1.3858 1.6316 1.7257 0.9849 2.0838
2000.625 1.3518 1.4925 1.3842 1.6239 1.7275 0.9822 2.0800
2000.875 1.3407 1.4829 1.3820 1.6155 1.7289 0.9695 2.0650
2001.125 1.3289 1.4725 1.3792 1.6065 1.7301 0.9386 2.0310
2001.375 1.3164 1.4614 1.3761 1.5967 1.7309 0.8976 1.9854
2001.625 1.3034 1.4499 1.3727 1.5865 1.7315 0.8905 1.9748
2001.875 1.2901 1.4380 1.3692 1.5758 1.7319 0.8398 1.9225
2002.125 1.2765 1.4258 1.3657 1.5647 1.7322 0.8441 1.9268
2002.375 1.2626 1.4134 1.3620 1.5532 1.7324 0.8221 1.9073
2002.625 1.2483 1.4006 1.3581 1.5414 1.7324 0.7584 1.8468
2002.875 1.2335 1.3872 1.3538 1.5291 1.7322 0.7463 1.8351
2003.125 1.2183 1.3735 1.3493 1.5165 1.7317 0.7195 1.8119
2003.375 1.2027 1.3593 1.3444 1.5035 1.7312 0.7376 1.8323
2003.625 1.1869 1.3449 1.3394 1.4905 1.7305 0.7553 1.8494
2003.875 1.1710 1.3304 1.3344 1.4773 1.7299 0.7186 1.8154
2004.125 1.1550 1.3159 1.3293 1.4640 1.7293 0.6846 1.7836
2004.375 1.1390 1.3013 1.3243 1.4505 1.7287 0.6836 1.7806
2004.625 1.1227 1.2865 1.3191 1.4369 1.7278 0.6401 1.7392
2004.875 1.1062 1.2714 1.3138 1.4229 1.7268 0.6483 1.7481
2005.125 1.0893 1.2560 1.3082 1.4087 1.7255 0.6664 1.7661
2005.375 1.0722 1.2403 1.3024 1.3941 1.7241 0.6444 1.7451
2005.625 1.0548 1.2243 1.2964 1.3793 1.7224 0.6430 1.7447
2005.875 1.0372 1.2082 1.2903 1.3643 1.7207 0.6647 1.7684
2006.125 1.0194 1.1918 1.2841 1.3492 1.7188 0.6598 1.7654
2006.375 1.0013 1.1752 1.2778 1.3338 1.7168 0.6733 1.7788
2006.625 0.9831 1.1583 1.2713 1.3182 1.7146 0.6666 1.7731
2006.875 0.9647 1.1413 1.2648 1.3025 1.7124 0.6367 1.7434
2007.125 0.9462 1.1243 1.2583 1.2867 1.7102 0.6324 1.7401
2007.375 0.9278 1.1072 1.2520 1.2708 1.7080 0.6310 1.7411
2007.625 0.9095 1.0903 1.2459 1.2550 1.7059 0.6142 1.7291
2007.875 0.8913 1.0735 1.2399 1.2393 1.7039 0.5779 1.6981
2008.125 0.8731 1.0568 1.2340 1.2237 1.7018 0.5121 1.6403
2008.375 0.8550 1.0401 1.2279 1.2081 1.6998 0.4970 1.6285
2008.625 0.8368 1.0232 1.2215 1.1927 1.6977 0.5254 1.6581
2008.875 0.8185 1.0063 1.2147 1.1775 1.6955 0.4849 1.6275
2009.125 0.8001 0.9893 1.2075 1.1625 1.6932 0.4825 1.6280
2009.375 0.7819 0.9725 1.2000 1.1479 1.6909 0.5088 1.6551
2009.625 0.7639 0.9559 1.1924 1.1337 1.6886 0.5107 1.6614
2009.875 0.7463 0.9397 1.1846 1.1200 1.6864 0.5028 1.6585
2010.125 0.7292 0.9240 1.1768 1.1070 1.6843 0.5084 1.6679
2010.375 0.7127 0.9089 1.1691 1.0948 1.6825 0.5002 1.6665
2010.625 0.6970 0.8945 1.1615 1.0835 1.6809 0.4530 1.6278
2010.875 0.6820 0.8811 1.1540 1.0732 1.6796 0.4458 1.6277
2011.125 0.6679 0.8684 1.1467 1.0638 1.6786 0.4593 1.6453
2011.375 0.6546 0.8566 1.1394 1.0554 1.6778 0.4402 1.6306
2011.625 0.6419 0.8455 1.1321 1.0478 1.6772 0.3885 1.5890
2011.875 0.6298 0.8349 1.1247 1.0410 1.6765 0.3657 1.5739
2012.125 0.6182 0.8248 1.1170 1.0348 1.6759 0.3521 1.5641
2012.375 0.6070 0.8152 1.1092 1.0294 1.6752 0.3445 1.5619
2012.625 0.5963 0.8060 1.1011 1.0246 1.6746 0.3276 1.5502
2012.875 0.5861 0.7974 1.0929 1.0205 1.6740 0.3212 1.5463
2013.125 0.5763 0.7891 1.0846 1.0171 1.6734 0.3341 1.5618
2013.375 0.5669 0.7813 1.0760 1.0142 1.6728 0.3358 1.5667
2013.625 0.5579 0.7739 1.0673 1.0119 1.6720 0.3816 1.6102
2013.875 0.5491 0.7667 1.0582 1.0100 1.6711 0.3599 1.5921
2014.125 0.5407 0.7599 1.0490 1.0086 1.6701 0.3754 1.6086
2014.375 0.5325 0.7533 1.0395 1.0077 1.6690 0.3663 1.6036
2014.625 0.5248 0.7472 1.0301 1.0071 1.6679 0.3848 1.6232
2014.875 0.5174 0.7415 1.0208 1.0070 1.6669 0.3657 1.6076
2015.125 0.5105 0.7362 1.0116 1.0073 1.6660 0.3553 1.6012
2015.375 0.5040 0.7313 1.0027 1.0079 1.6652 0.3503 1.6002
2015.625 0.4978 0.7267 0.9939 1.0087 1.6644 0.3420 1.5958
2015.875 0.4918 0.7224 0.9851 1.0098 1.6636 0.3389 1.5929
2016.125 0.4860 0.7182 0.9762 1.0110 1.6628 NA NA
2016.375 0.4802 0.7141 0.9673 1.0124 1.6619 NA NA
2016.625 0.4746 0.7102 0.9583 1.0139 1.6611 NA NA
2016.875 0.4692 0.7063 0.9494 1.0155 1.6602 NA NA
2017.125 0.4639 0.7027 0.9406 1.0172 1.6595 NA NA
2017.375 0.4588 0.6993 0.9321 1.0189 1.6587 NA NA
2017.625 0.4540 0.6961 0.9238 1.0207 1.6581 NA NA
2017.875 0.4493 0.6931 0.9157 1.0226 1.6576 NA NA
2018.125 0.4448 0.6903 0.9079 1.0244 1.6572 NA NA
2018.375 0.4404 0.6876 0.9000 1.0263 1.6568 NA NA
2018.625 0.4360 0.6849 0.8922 1.0281 1.6564 NA NA
2018.875 0.4316 0.6822 0.8843 1.0299 1.6560 NA NA
2019.125 0.4272 0.6794 0.8763 1.0315 1.6555 NA NA
2019.375 0.4227 0.6766 0.8681 1.0331 1.6550 NA NA
2019.625 0.4182 0.6738 0.8599 1.0346 1.6544 NA NA
2019.875 0.4137 0.6709 0.8517 1.0359 1.6538 NA NA
2020.125 0.4092 0.6681 0.8435 1.0372 1.6531 NA NA
2020.375 0.4048 0.6654 0.8355 1.0384 1.6525 NA NA
2020.625 0.4004 0.6627 0.8277 1.0395 1.6519 NA NA
2020.875 0.3961 0.6601 0.8200 1.0405 1.6513 NA NA
2021.125 0.3920 0.6576 0.8125 1.0415 1.6507 NA NA
2021.375 0.3879 0.6553 0.8052 1.0425 1.6501 NA NA
2021.625 0.3838 0.6529 0.7980 1.0433 1.6496 NA NA
2021.875 0.3799 0.6507 0.7909 1.0441 1.6490 NA NA
2022.125 0.3760 0.6485 0.7839 1.0449 1.6484 NA NA
2022.375 0.3721 0.6463 0.7770 1.0455 1.6478 NA NA
2022.625 0.3682 0.6442 0.7701 1.0461 1.6472 NA NA
2022.875 0.3645 0.6422 0.7634 1.0467 1.6465 NA NA
2023.125 0.3608 0.6402 0.7568 1.0472 1.6458 NA NA
2023.375 0.3572 0.6384 0.7503 1.0477 1.6451 NA NA
2023.625 0.3538 0.6367 0.7442 1.0482 1.6444 NA NA
2023.875 0.3505 0.6352 0.7382 1.0486 1.6437 NA NA
2024.125 0.3474 0.6339 0.7326 1.0491 1.6429 NA NA
2024.375 0.3444 0.6327 0.7273 1.0495 1.6422 NA NA
2024.625 0.3417 0.6318 0.7222 1.0500 1.6416 NA NA
2024.875 0.3391 0.6310 0.7173 1.0505 1.6409 NA NA
2025.125 0.3367 0.6305 0.7127 1.0510 1.6404 NA NA
2025.375 0.3345 0.6301 0.7083 1.0516 1.6399 NA NA
2025.625 0.3324 0.6299 0.7041 1.0522 1.6394 NA NA
2025.875 0.3305 0.6298 0.6999 1.0529 1.6390 NA NA
2026.125 0.3287 0.6298 0.6958 1.0535 1.6386 NA NA
2026.375 0.3269 0.6300 0.6917 1.0542 1.6382 NA NA
2026.625 0.3253 0.6302 0.6877 1.0550 1.6378 NA NA
2026.875 0.3237 0.6305 0.6836 1.0557 1.6374 NA NA
2027.125 0.3222 0.6309 0.6796 1.0565 1.6370 NA NA
2027.375 0.3208 0.6314 0.6755 1.0574 1.6366 NA NA
2027.625 0.3195 0.6320 0.6716 1.0583 1.6362 NA NA
2027.875 0.3182 0.6327 0.6677 1.0592 1.6360 NA NA
2028.125 0.3171 0.6334 0.6639 1.0602 1.6357 NA NA
2028.375 0.3161 0.6344 0.6601 1.0613 1.6355 NA NA
2028.625 0.3152 0.6354 0.6565 1.0624 1.6353 NA NA
2028.875 0.3144 0.6365 0.6530 1.0635 1.6351 NA NA
2029.125 0.3137 0.6377 0.6496 1.0647 1.6349 NA NA
2029.375 0.3131 0.6391 0.6463 1.0660 1.6348 NA NA
2029.625 0.3126 0.6405 0.6431 1.0673 1.6346 NA NA
2029.875 0.3122 0.6420 0.6400 1.0686 1.6344 NA NA
2030.125 0.3119 0.6436 0.6369 1.0699 1.6342 NA NA
2030.375 0.3116 0.6453 0.6339 1.0713 1.6340 NA NA
2030.625 0.3114 0.6470 0.6309 1.0727 1.6337 NA NA
2030.875 0.3112 0.6488 0.6280 1.0742 1.6335 NA NA

Return to text


Figure 11: Equilibrium real rate with demographic variables fixed in either 1960 or 1980 onward

LOWER PANEL: 1980

Date Baseline Constant mortality Constant employment Constant fertility Constant mortality, employment, fertility JM 25th Percentile JM 75th Percentile
1960.125 1.4600 1.4693 1.4585 1.4599 1.4677 0.6828 1.7831
1960.375 1.4606 1.4701 1.4592 1.4605 1.4685 0.6528 1.7474
1960.625 1.4628 1.4724 1.4615 1.4627 1.4710 0.5973 1.6872
1960.875 1.4662 1.4760 1.4650 1.4661 1.4746 0.6300 1.7147
1961.125 1.4703 1.4803 1.4692 1.4702 1.4791 0.6482 1.7299
1961.375 1.4746 1.4848 1.4737 1.4745 1.4837 0.6650 1.7430
1961.625 1.4786 1.4890 1.4778 1.4785 1.4880 0.6634 1.7366
1961.875 1.4820 1.4926 1.4813 1.4819 1.4917 0.6633 1.7344
1962.125 1.4847 1.4955 1.4842 1.4846 1.4948 0.6295 1.6939
1962.375 1.4866 1.4976 1.4862 1.4865 1.4970 0.6068 1.6684
1962.625 1.4876 1.4988 1.4874 1.4875 1.4983 0.6326 1.6920
1962.875 1.4877 1.4991 1.4877 1.4876 1.4988 0.6164 1.6726
1963.125 1.4871 1.4987 1.4873 1.4871 1.4986 0.6458 1.6972
1963.375 1.4863 1.4981 1.4866 1.4862 1.4982 0.6550 1.7024
1963.625 1.4857 1.4977 1.4863 1.4857 1.4980 0.6549 1.6966
1963.875 1.4865 1.4987 1.4873 1.4865 1.4992 0.6774 1.7159
1964.125 1.4896 1.5020 1.4906 1.4895 1.5027 0.6846 1.7199
1964.375 1.4956 1.5083 1.4968 1.4956 1.5092 0.6845 1.7167
1964.625 1.5048 1.5177 1.5062 1.5047 1.5188 0.6741 1.7058
1964.875 1.5164 1.5295 1.5181 1.5163 1.5309 0.6793 1.7095
1965.125 1.5293 1.5427 1.5313 1.5293 1.5444 0.7055 1.7350
1965.375 1.5423 1.5559 1.5445 1.5422 1.5579 0.6992 1.7275
1965.625 1.5543 1.5682 1.5569 1.5543 1.5705 0.7017 1.7280
1965.875 1.5652 1.5793 1.5680 1.5651 1.5819 0.7195 1.7422
1966.125 1.5749 1.5892 1.5781 1.5749 1.5922 0.7283 1.7518
1966.375 1.5839 1.5985 1.5875 1.5839 1.6018 0.7211 1.7444
1966.625 1.5926 1.6075 1.5965 1.5926 1.6111 0.7681 1.7902
1966.875 1.6010 1.6161 1.6053 1.6010 1.6201 0.7668 1.7915
1967.125 1.6091 1.6244 1.6138 1.6091 1.6289 0.7552 1.7823
1967.375 1.6166 1.6322 1.6217 1.6166 1.6371 0.7571 1.7846
1967.625 1.6235 1.6394 1.6291 1.6235 1.6446 0.7743 1.8060
1967.875 1.6298 1.6459 1.6358 1.6298 1.6516 0.7948 1.8277
1968.125 1.6354 1.6518 1.6419 1.6355 1.6580 0.7785 1.8127
1968.375 1.6407 1.6574 1.6477 1.6407 1.6640 0.8037 1.8394
1968.625 1.6457 1.6626 1.6532 1.6457 1.6698 0.7885 1.8252
1968.875 1.6504 1.6676 1.6584 1.6504 1.6753 0.7936 1.8335
1969.125 1.6549 1.6723 1.6634 1.6549 1.6806 0.8123 1.8525
1969.375 1.6591 1.6768 1.6682 1.6591 1.6856 0.8150 1.8548
1969.625 1.6631 1.6811 1.6728 1.6632 1.6905 0.8478 1.8934
1969.875 1.6670 1.6853 1.6773 1.6671 1.6953 0.8609 1.9070
1970.125 1.6708 1.6894 1.6818 1.6708 1.7000 0.8701 1.9170
1970.375 1.6745 1.6933 1.6861 1.6745 1.7047 0.8834 1.9296
1970.625 1.6780 1.6972 1.6904 1.6781 1.7092 0.8742 1.9223
1970.875 1.6815 1.7009 1.6946 1.6816 1.7137 0.8449 1.8955
1971.125 1.6848 1.7045 1.6986 1.6849 1.7180 0.8030 1.8536
1971.375 1.6879 1.7079 1.7026 1.6880 1.7223 0.8329 1.8835
1971.625 1.6910 1.7113 1.7064 1.6911 1.7264 0.8557 1.9085
1971.875 1.6939 1.7145 1.7101 1.6940 1.7304 0.8341 1.8886
1972.125 1.6966 1.7175 1.7138 1.6968 1.7344 0.8278 1.8835
1972.375 1.6992 1.7204 1.7173 1.6994 1.7382 0.8410 1.8996
1972.625 1.7017 1.7232 1.7207 1.7018 1.7419 0.8422 1.9010
1972.875 1.7039 1.7257 1.7239 1.7041 1.7454 0.8432 1.9038
1973.125 1.7060 1.7281 1.7270 1.7062 1.7488 0.8420 1.9036
1973.375 1.7079 1.7303 1.7299 1.7081 1.7521 0.8326 1.8960
1973.625 1.7097 1.7324 1.7328 1.7099 1.7553 0.8447 1.9105
1973.875 1.7114 1.7345 1.7357 1.7117 1.7585 0.8192 1.8882
1974.125 1.7133 1.7367 1.7387 1.7136 1.7618 0.8147 1.8848
1974.375 1.7154 1.7391 1.7419 1.7156 1.7654 0.8318 1.9047
1974.625 1.7177 1.7417 1.7454 1.7180 1.7692 0.8529 1.9273
1974.875 1.7202 1.7446 1.7493 1.7206 1.7734 0.8453 1.9240
1975.125 1.7230 1.7477 1.7534 1.7233 1.7778 0.8627 1.9409
1975.375 1.7258 1.7509 1.7575 1.7262 1.7824 0.8770 1.9584
1975.625 1.7287 1.7541 1.7618 1.7290 1.7870 0.8856 1.9699
1975.875 1.7314 1.7572 1.7660 1.7318 1.7916 0.8921 1.9783
1976.125 1.7341 1.7602 1.7702 1.7345 1.7961 0.8879 1.9747
1976.375 1.7367 1.7631 1.7743 1.7371 1.8006 0.9033 1.9932
1976.625 1.7390 1.7658 1.7783 1.7395 1.8049 0.9111 2.0032
1976.875 1.7412 1.7684 1.7821 1.7417 1.8092 0.8930 1.9879
1977.125 1.7432 1.7707 1.7858 1.7437 1.8132 0.9118 2.0095
1977.375 1.7451 1.7729 1.7894 1.7456 1.8172 0.9156 2.0134
1977.625 1.7468 1.7750 1.7930 1.7473 1.8211 0.9293 2.0289
1977.875 1.7485 1.7771 1.7965 1.7490 1.8251 0.9477 2.0512
1978.125 1.7502 1.7792 1.8002 1.7508 1.8292 0.9617 2.0682
1978.375 1.7521 1.7815 1.8041 1.7527 1.8335 0.9687 2.0785
1978.625 1.7542 1.7839 1.8082 1.7548 1.8380 0.9833 2.0959
1978.875 1.7563 1.7864 1.8125 1.7570 1.8427 0.9965 2.1115
1979.125 1.7581 1.7886 1.8165 1.7588 1.8471 1.0098 2.1296
1979.375 1.7592 1.7901 1.8199 1.7599 1.8509 1.0028 2.1232
1979.625 1.7592 1.7905 1.8222 1.7600 1.8536 1.0067 2.1289
1979.875 1.7580 1.7897 1.8233 1.7588 1.8552 1.0334 2.1609
1980.125 1.7558 1.7879 1.8177 1.7566 1.8500 1.0611 2.1932
1980.375 1.7533 1.7857 1.8117 1.7542 1.8445 1.0481 2.1809
1980.625 1.7512 1.7840 1.8063 1.7521 1.8395 1.0590 2.1976
1980.875 1.7500 1.7832 1.8018 1.7509 1.8354 1.0695 2.2130
1981.125 1.7498 1.7834 1.7984 1.7508 1.8324 1.0836 2.2272
1981.375 1.7504 1.7844 1.7957 1.7515 1.8301 1.0988 2.2487
1981.625 1.7513 1.7856 1.7933 1.7524 1.8280 1.1200 2.2728
1981.875 1.7520 1.7867 1.7905 1.7531 1.8256 1.1146 2.2697
1982.125 1.7523 1.7873 1.7872 1.7534 1.8227 1.1263 2.2841
1982.375 1.7521 1.7875 1.7833 1.7533 1.8192 1.1336 2.2978
1982.625 1.7515 1.7873 1.7788 1.7528 1.8151 1.1344 2.3006
1982.875 1.7507 1.7869 1.7739 1.7520 1.8106 1.1203 2.2839
1983.125 1.7497 1.7862 1.7685 1.7510 1.8056 1.1283 2.2944
1983.375 1.7484 1.7853 1.7627 1.7498 1.8001 1.1370 2.3036
1983.625 1.7469 1.7841 1.7563 1.7484 1.7941 1.1556 2.3284
1983.875 1.7451 1.7827 1.7495 1.7466 1.7877 1.1554 2.3289
1984.125 1.7431 1.7810 1.7422 1.7446 1.7807 1.1567 2.3302
1984.375 1.7407 1.7789 1.7344 1.7423 1.7733 1.1794 2.3557
1984.625 1.7380 1.7766 1.7261 1.7396 1.7654 1.1930 2.3727
1984.875 1.7350 1.7739 1.7174 1.7366 1.7570 1.1655 2.3401
1985.125 1.7317 1.7709 1.7083 1.7333 1.7483 1.1598 2.3350
1985.375 1.7281 1.7678 1.6989 1.7298 1.7392 1.1466 2.3198
1985.625 1.7246 1.7645 1.6894 1.7263 1.7301 1.1424 2.3135
1985.875 1.7210 1.7614 1.6800 1.7228 1.7210 1.1426 2.3149
1986.125 1.7176 1.7583 1.6707 1.7194 1.7120 1.1359 2.3062
1986.375 1.7143 1.7553 1.6615 1.7161 1.7031 1.1367 2.3078
1986.625 1.7110 1.7523 1.6524 1.7127 1.6944 1.1213 2.2901
1986.875 1.7076 1.7494 1.6434 1.7094 1.6857 1.1298 2.2998
1987.125 1.7043 1.7464 1.6346 1.7061 1.6772 1.1287 2.2989
1987.375 1.7011 1.7435 1.6261 1.7029 1.6690 1.1617 2.3382
1987.625 1.6982 1.7410 1.6180 1.7000 1.6613 1.1624 2.3396
1987.875 1.6956 1.7388 1.6106 1.6974 1.6542 1.1619 2.3374
1988.125 1.6935 1.7370 1.6038 1.6952 1.6477 1.1313 2.3011
1988.375 1.6916 1.7355 1.5975 1.6933 1.6418 1.1424 2.3132
1988.625 1.6898 1.7341 1.5915 1.6915 1.6361 1.1619 2.3365
1988.875 1.6877 1.7325 1.5856 1.6895 1.6305 1.1578 2.3300
1989.125 1.6852 1.7304 1.5794 1.6870 1.6247 1.1947 2.3696
1989.375 1.6821 1.7276 1.5728 1.6838 1.6184 1.1935 2.3666
1989.625 1.6782 1.7241 1.5656 1.6799 1.6116 1.1650 2.3327
1989.875 1.6735 1.7198 1.5579 1.6751 1.6042 1.1696 2.3351
1990.125 1.6681 1.7147 1.5496 1.6697 1.5963 1.1668 2.3296
1990.375 1.6619 1.7089 1.5407 1.6634 1.5877 1.1645 2.3252
1990.625 1.6550 1.7024 1.5312 1.6565 1.5784 1.1636 2.3227
1990.875 1.6473 1.6951 1.5210 1.6488 1.5686 1.1817 2.3431
1991.125 1.6391 1.6873 1.5104 1.6405 1.5582 1.1585 2.3155
1991.375 1.6306 1.6791 1.4995 1.6319 1.5476 1.1694 2.3264
1991.625 1.6220 1.6709 1.4886 1.6233 1.5369 1.1637 2.3214
1991.875 1.6137 1.6629 1.4779 1.6148 1.5265 1.1231 2.2726
1992.125 1.6056 1.6552 1.4675 1.6067 1.5164 1.1115 2.2590
1992.375 1.5978 1.6478 1.4574 1.5988 1.5065 1.1178 2.2667
1992.625 1.5901 1.6405 1.4474 1.5910 1.4968 1.0732 2.2148
1992.875 1.5824 1.6332 1.4373 1.5831 1.4869 1.0684 2.2095
1993.125 1.5745 1.6257 1.4270 1.5752 1.4769 1.0349 2.1719
1993.375 1.5665 1.6181 1.4165 1.5670 1.4666 1.0301 2.1664
1993.625 1.5583 1.6103 1.4057 1.5586 1.4561 1.0311 2.1658
1993.875 1.5502 1.6026 1.3950 1.5503 1.4456 1.0165 2.1507
1994.125 1.5422 1.5951 1.3844 1.5422 1.4352 1.0489 2.1878
1994.375 1.5347 1.5879 1.3742 1.5345 1.4253 1.0946 2.2384
1994.625 1.5275 1.5812 1.3644 1.5272 1.4158 1.0732 2.2155
1994.875 1.5207 1.5749 1.3550 1.5202 1.4066 1.0771 2.2199
1995.125 1.5140 1.5687 1.3458 1.5133 1.3976 1.0622 2.2036
1995.375 1.5073 1.5625 1.3367 1.5064 1.3887 1.0550 2.1960
1995.625 1.5005 1.5561 1.3274 1.4994 1.3797 1.0542 2.1938
1995.875 1.4936 1.5497 1.3181 1.4922 1.3706 1.0564 2.1940
1996.125 1.4866 1.5432 1.3088 1.4850 1.3615 1.0498 2.1855
1996.375 1.4796 1.5367 1.2996 1.4778 1.3525 1.0751 2.2149
1996.625 1.4727 1.5303 1.2907 1.4707 1.3439 1.0432 2.1784
1996.875 1.4661 1.5242 1.2822 1.4637 1.3356 1.0176 2.1473
1997.125 1.4596 1.5183 1.2741 1.4570 1.3277 1.0295 2.1610
1997.375 1.4533 1.5125 1.2664 1.4504 1.3202 1.0513 2.1841
1997.625 1.4470 1.5067 1.2590 1.4438 1.3130 1.0257 2.1521
1997.875 1.4407 1.5009 1.2517 1.4372 1.3060 1.0098 2.1317
1998.125 1.4341 1.4949 1.2446 1.4303 1.2990 1.0219 2.1437
1998.375 1.4273 1.4886 1.2374 1.4232 1.2921 1.0187 2.1372
1998.625 1.4200 1.4819 1.2301 1.4158 1.2851 1.0337 2.1517
1998.875 1.4125 1.4749 1.2227 1.4081 1.2782 0.9704 2.0797
1999.125 1.4047 1.4677 1.2154 1.4001 1.2713 1.0040 2.1111
1999.375 1.3967 1.4603 1.2083 1.3920 1.2645 0.9983 2.1053
1999.625 1.3886 1.4527 1.2013 1.3837 1.2580 1.0124 2.1164
1999.875 1.3802 1.4449 1.1944 1.3752 1.2515 0.9933 2.0925
2000.125 1.3714 1.4366 1.1874 1.3664 1.2451 0.9883 2.0882
2000.375 1.3620 1.4278 1.1801 1.3572 1.2387 0.9849 2.0838
2000.625 1.3518 1.4181 1.1722 1.3475 1.2319 0.9822 2.0800
2000.875 1.3407 1.4076 1.1638 1.3371 1.2248 0.9695 2.0650
2001.125 1.3289 1.3964 1.1548 1.3260 1.2173 0.9386 2.0310
2001.375 1.3164 1.3844 1.1453 1.3142 1.2094 0.8976 1.9854
2001.625 1.3034 1.3720 1.1356 1.3020 1.2012 0.8905 1.9748
2001.875 1.2901 1.3592 1.1258 1.2894 1.1927 0.8398 1.9225
2002.125 1.2765 1.3462 1.1159 1.2764 1.1842 0.8441 1.9268
2002.375 1.2626 1.3329 1.1059 1.2630 1.1754 0.8221 1.9073
2002.625 1.2483 1.3192 1.0957 1.2492 1.1664 0.7584 1.8468
2002.875 1.2335 1.3050 1.0851 1.2350 1.1570 0.7463 1.8351
2003.125 1.2183 1.2904 1.0742 1.2204 1.1474 0.7195 1.8119
2003.375 1.2027 1.2754 1.0630 1.2055 1.1376 0.7376 1.8323
2003.625 1.1869 1.2601 1.0516 1.1904 1.1276 0.7553 1.8494
2003.875 1.1710 1.2448 1.0402 1.1752 1.1177 0.7186 1.8154
2004.125 1.1550 1.2294 1.0288 1.1600 1.1078 0.6846 1.7836
2004.375 1.1390 1.2139 1.0174 1.1447 1.0979 0.6836 1.7806
2004.625 1.1227 1.1982 1.0059 1.1291 1.0877 0.6401 1.7392
2004.875 1.1062 1.1823 0.9942 1.1131 1.0772 0.6483 1.7481
2005.125 1.0893 1.1660 0.9822 1.0967 1.0663 0.6664 1.7661
2005.375 1.0722 1.1495 0.9701 1.0799 1.0551 0.6444 1.7451
2005.625 1.0548 1.1327 0.9577 1.0628 1.0436 0.6430 1.7447
2005.875 1.0372 1.1157 0.9453 1.0453 1.0319 0.6647 1.7684
2006.125 1.0194 1.0984 0.9327 1.0277 1.0200 0.6598 1.7654
2006.375 1.0013 1.0810 0.9200 1.0097 1.0078 0.6733 1.7788
2006.625 0.9831 1.0634 0.9072 0.9914 0.9954 0.6666 1.7731
2006.875 0.9647 1.0456 0.8944 0.9728 0.9827 0.6367 1.7434
2007.125 0.9462 1.0277 0.8815 0.9539 0.9699 0.6324 1.7401
2007.375 0.9278 1.0098 0.8689 0.9349 0.9570 0.6310 1.7411
2007.625 0.9095 0.9921 0.8566 0.9159 0.9441 0.6142 1.7291
2007.875 0.8913 0.9745 0.8444 0.8968 0.9313 0.5779 1.6981
2008.125 0.8731 0.9570 0.8323 0.8776 0.9183 0.5121 1.6403
2008.375 0.8550 0.9395 0.8200 0.8585 0.9053 0.4970 1.6285
2008.625 0.8368 0.9219 0.8075 0.8393 0.8921 0.5254 1.6581
2008.875 0.8185 0.9042 0.7946 0.8201 0.8787 0.4849 1.6275
2009.125 0.8001 0.8865 0.7814 0.8009 0.8650 0.4825 1.6280
2009.375 0.7819 0.8689 0.7680 0.7819 0.8512 0.5088 1.6551
2009.625 0.7639 0.8515 0.7544 0.7631 0.8373 0.5107 1.6614
2009.875 0.7463 0.8346 0.7409 0.7446 0.8234 0.5028 1.6585
2010.125 0.7292 0.8181 0.7273 0.7267 0.8096 0.5084 1.6679
2010.375 0.7127 0.8022 0.7139 0.7094 0.7961 0.5002 1.6665
2010.625 0.6970 0.7872 0.7008 0.6929 0.7828 0.4530 1.6278
2010.875 0.6820 0.7729 0.6879 0.6772 0.7700 0.4458 1.6277
2011.125 0.6679 0.7595 0.6753 0.6624 0.7575 0.4593 1.6453
2011.375 0.6546 0.7469 0.6629 0.6484 0.7453 0.4402 1.6306
2011.625 0.6419 0.7350 0.6506 0.6351 0.7333 0.3885 1.5890
2011.875 0.6298 0.7236 0.6383 0.6225 0.7214 0.3657 1.5739
2012.125 0.6182 0.7128 0.6259 0.6104 0.7095 0.3521 1.5641
2012.375 0.6070 0.7024 0.6133 0.5988 0.6977 0.3445 1.5619
2012.625 0.5963 0.6924 0.6007 0.5878 0.6859 0.3276 1.5502
2012.875 0.5861 0.6829 0.5881 0.5773 0.6741 0.3212 1.5463
2013.125 0.5763 0.6739 0.5754 0.5673 0.6624 0.3341 1.5618
2013.375 0.5669 0.6653 0.5626 0.5577 0.6506 0.3358 1.5667
2013.625 0.5579 0.6571 0.5498 0.5485 0.6388 0.3816 1.6102
2013.875 0.5491 0.6492 0.5369 0.5396 0.6268 0.3599 1.5921
2014.125 0.5407 0.6416 0.5239 0.5311 0.6148 0.3754 1.6086
2014.375 0.5325 0.6343 0.5109 0.5229 0.6028 0.3663 1.6036
2014.625 0.5248 0.6274 0.4980 0.5151 0.5910 0.3848 1.6232
2014.875 0.5174 0.6209 0.4854 0.5078 0.5795 0.3657 1.6076
2015.125 0.5105 0.6148 0.4730 0.5009 0.5682 0.3553 1.6012
2015.375 0.5040 0.6091 0.4610 0.4943 0.5572 0.3503 1.6002
2015.625 0.4978 0.6038 0.4492 0.4881 0.5464 0.3420 1.5958
2015.875 0.4918 0.5987 0.4375 0.4821 0.5356 0.3389 1.5929
2016.125 0.4860 0.5937 0.4260 0.4762 0.5249 NA NA
2016.375 0.4802 0.5889 0.4145 0.4704 0.5143 NA NA
2016.625 0.4746 0.5842 0.4031 0.4648 0.5039 NA NA
2016.875 0.4692 0.5796 0.3919 0.4593 0.4935 NA NA
2017.125 0.4639 0.5752 0.3809 0.4539 0.4834 NA NA
2017.375 0.4588 0.5710 0.3703 0.4487 0.4736 NA NA
2017.625 0.4540 0.5671 0.3601 0.4437 0.4640 NA NA
2017.875 0.4493 0.5634 0.3503 0.4387 0.4546 NA NA
2018.125 0.4448 0.5598 0.3407 0.4339 0.4456 NA NA
2018.375 0.4404 0.5563 0.3313 0.4292 0.4367 NA NA
2018.625 0.4360 0.5529 0.3221 0.4245 0.4280 NA NA
2018.875 0.4316 0.5494 0.3128 0.4198 0.4194 NA NA
2019.125 0.4272 0.5460 0.3036 0.4152 0.4109 NA NA
2019.375 0.4227 0.5424 0.2943 0.4105 0.4024 NA NA
2019.625 0.4182 0.5389 0.2851 0.4058 0.3940 NA NA
2019.875 0.4137 0.5353 0.2759 0.4010 0.3857 NA NA
2020.125 0.4092 0.5318 0.2669 0.3963 0.3775 NA NA
2020.375 0.4048 0.5284 0.2581 0.3916 0.3695 NA NA
2020.625 0.4004 0.5250 0.2495 0.3869 0.3617 NA NA
2020.875 0.3961 0.5217 0.2413 0.3822 0.3541 NA NA
2021.125 0.3920 0.5185 0.2333 0.3777 0.3467 NA NA
2021.375 0.3879 0.5154 0.2255 0.3731 0.3396 NA NA
2021.625 0.3838 0.5124 0.2179 0.3687 0.3326 NA NA
2021.875 0.3799 0.5095 0.2105 0.3642 0.3259 NA NA
2022.125 0.3760 0.5066 0.2033 0.3599 0.3193 NA NA
2022.375 0.3721 0.5038 0.1962 0.3555 0.3129 NA NA
2022.625 0.3682 0.5010 0.1892 0.3512 0.3067 NA NA
2022.875 0.3645 0.4982 0.1824 0.3470 0.3006 NA NA
2023.125 0.3608 0.4956 0.1758 0.3428 0.2946 NA NA
2023.375 0.3572 0.4931 0.1694 0.3386 0.2888 NA NA
2023.625 0.3538 0.4907 0.1633 0.3345 0.2831 NA NA
2023.875 0.3505 0.4885 0.1576 0.3305 0.2776 NA NA
2024.125 0.3474 0.4865 0.1521 0.3266 0.2724 NA NA
2024.375 0.3444 0.4847 0.1470 0.3228 0.2673 NA NA
2024.625 0.3417 0.4831 0.1422 0.3191 0.2626 NA NA
2024.875 0.3391 0.4816 0.1376 0.3155 0.2581 NA NA
2025.125 0.3367 0.4804 0.1334 0.3122 0.2540 NA NA
2025.375 0.3345 0.4793 0.1293 0.3090 0.2501 NA NA
2025.625 0.3324 0.4784 0.1255 0.3060 0.2465 NA NA
2025.875 0.3305 0.4776 0.1218 0.3031 0.2433 NA NA
2026.125 0.3287 0.4770 0.1182 0.3005 0.2402 NA NA
2026.375 0.3269 0.4765 0.1146 0.2980 0.2374 NA NA
2026.625 0.3253 0.4760 0.1110 0.2956 0.2348 NA NA
2026.875 0.3237 0.4756 0.1075 0.2934 0.2324 NA NA
2027.125 0.3222 0.4754 0.1040 0.2914 0.2302 NA NA
2027.375 0.3208 0.4752 0.1006 0.2896 0.2283 NA NA
2027.625 0.3195 0.4751 0.0972 0.2881 0.2266 NA NA
2027.875 0.3182 0.4751 0.0939 0.2867 0.2253 NA NA
2028.125 0.3171 0.4752 0.0907 0.2856 0.2242 NA NA
2028.375 0.3161 0.4755 0.0876 0.2847 0.2234 NA NA
2028.625 0.3152 0.4759 0.0847 0.2840 0.2228 NA NA
2028.875 0.3144 0.4763 0.0818 0.2835 0.2224 NA NA
2029.125 0.3137 0.4769 0.0791 0.2832 0.2222 NA NA
2029.375 0.3131 0.4776 0.0764 0.2831 0.2221 NA NA
2029.625 0.3126 0.4784 0.0739 0.2832 0.2222 NA NA
2029.875 0.3122 0.4793 0.0714 0.2834 0.2224 NA NA
2030.125 0.3119 0.4803 0.0689 0.2839 0.2227 NA NA
2030.375 0.3116 0.4813 0.0665 0.2845 0.2232 NA NA
2030.625 0.3114 0.4824 0.0642 0.2852 0.2237 NA NA
2030.875 0.3112 0.4836 0.0618 0.2861 0.2243 NA NA

Return to text


Figure 12: Real interest rate, alternative scenarios

Date Baseline model Model with historical TFP growth Model with low elastity of substitution JM 25th Percentile JM 75th Percentile
1960.125 1.4600 2.8751 1.3924 0.6828 1.7831
1960.375 1.4606 2.8694 1.3934 0.6528 1.7474
1960.625 1.4628 2.8653 1.3965 0.5973 1.6872
1960.875 1.4662 2.8626 1.4011 0.6300 1.7147
1961.125 1.4703 2.8607 1.4067 0.6482 1.7299
1961.375 1.4746 2.8590 1.4124 0.6650 1.7430
1961.625 1.4786 2.8569 1.4177 0.6634 1.7366
1961.875 1.4820 2.8542 1.4222 0.6633 1.7344
1962.125 1.4847 2.8507 1.4257 0.6295 1.6939
1962.375 1.4866 2.8463 1.4281 0.6068 1.6684
1962.625 1.4876 2.8409 1.4293 0.6326 1.6920
1962.875 1.4877 2.8347 1.4293 0.6164 1.6726
1963.125 1.4871 2.8277 1.4283 0.6458 1.6972
1963.375 1.4863 2.8204 1.4269 0.6550 1.7024
1963.625 1.4857 2.8136 1.4259 0.6549 1.6966
1963.875 1.4865 2.8084 1.4266 0.6774 1.7159
1964.125 1.4896 2.8058 1.4303 0.6846 1.7199
1964.375 1.4956 2.8067 1.4380 0.6845 1.7167
1964.625 1.5048 2.8112 1.4497 0.6741 1.7058
1964.875 1.5164 2.8185 1.4647 0.6793 1.7095
1965.125 1.5293 2.8272 1.4814 0.7055 1.7350
1965.375 1.5423 2.8358 1.4981 0.6992 1.7275
1965.625 1.5543 2.8433 1.5136 0.7017 1.7280
1965.875 1.5652 2.8491 1.5274 0.7195 1.7422
1966.125 1.5749 2.8536 1.5398 0.7283 1.7518
1966.375 1.5839 2.8570 1.5512 0.7211 1.7444
1966.625 1.5926 2.8598 1.5621 0.7681 1.7902
1966.875 1.6010 2.8619 1.5727 0.7668 1.7915
1967.125 1.6091 2.8634 1.5828 0.7552 1.7823
1967.375 1.6166 2.8639 1.5922 0.7571 1.7846
1967.625 1.6235 2.8632 1.6007 0.7743 1.8060
1967.875 1.6298 2.8613 1.6083 0.7948 1.8277
1968.125 1.6354 2.8584 1.6152 0.7785 1.8127
1968.375 1.6407 2.8545 1.6216 0.8037 1.8394
1968.625 1.6457 2.8498 1.6276 0.7885 1.8252
1968.875 1.6504 2.8443 1.6332 0.7936 1.8335
1969.125 1.6549 2.8381 1.6385 0.8123 1.8525
1969.375 1.6591 2.8310 1.6434 0.8150 1.8548
1969.625 1.6631 2.8233 1.6482 0.8478 1.8934
1969.875 1.6670 2.8148 1.6527 0.8609 1.9070
1970.125 1.6708 2.8057 1.6571 0.8701 1.9170
1970.375 1.6745 2.7960 1.6613 0.8834 1.9296
1970.625 1.6780 2.7856 1.6655 0.8742 1.9223
1970.875 1.6815 2.7745 1.6694 0.8449 1.8955
1971.125 1.6848 2.7626 1.6732 0.8030 1.8536
1971.375 1.6879 2.7501 1.6768 0.8329 1.8835
1971.625 1.6910 2.7367 1.6803 0.8557 1.9085
1971.875 1.6939 2.7226 1.6836 0.8341 1.8886
1972.125 1.6966 2.7078 1.6867 0.8278 1.8835
1972.375 1.6992 2.6922 1.6896 0.8410 1.8996
1972.625 1.7017 2.6758 1.6923 0.8422 1.9010
1972.875 1.7039 2.6586 1.6948 0.8432 1.9038
1973.125 1.7060 2.6407 1.6971 0.8420 1.9036
1973.375 1.7079 2.6220 1.6991 0.8326 1.8960
1973.625 1.7097 2.6028 1.7010 0.8447 1.9105
1973.875 1.7114 2.5831 1.7029 0.8192 1.8882
1974.125 1.7133 2.5631 1.7049 0.8147 1.8848
1974.375 1.7154 2.5429 1.7072 0.8318 1.9047
1974.625 1.7177 2.5227 1.7099 0.8529 1.9273
1974.875 1.7202 2.5025 1.7129 0.8453 1.9240
1975.125 1.7230 2.4822 1.7162 0.8627 1.9409
1975.375 1.7258 2.4616 1.7196 0.8770 1.9584
1975.625 1.7287 2.4408 1.7231 0.8856 1.9699
1975.875 1.7314 2.4198 1.7264 0.8921 1.9783
1976.125 1.7341 2.3984 1.7297 0.8879 1.9747
1976.375 1.7367 2.3767 1.7328 0.9033 1.9932
1976.625 1.7390 2.3547 1.7357 0.9111 2.0032
1976.875 1.7412 2.3324 1.7384 0.8930 1.9879
1977.125 1.7432 2.3098 1.7408 0.9118 2.0095
1977.375 1.7451 2.2870 1.7431 0.9156 2.0134
1977.625 1.7468 2.2640 1.7452 0.9293 2.0289
1977.875 1.7485 2.2411 1.7473 0.9477 2.0512
1978.125 1.7502 2.2182 1.7495 0.9617 2.0682
1978.375 1.7521 2.1956 1.7519 0.9687 2.0785
1978.625 1.7542 2.1733 1.7546 0.9833 2.0959
1978.875 1.7563 2.1512 1.7574 0.9965 2.1115
1979.125 1.7581 2.1291 1.7597 1.0098 2.1296
1979.375 1.7592 2.1065 1.7612 1.0028 2.1232
1979.625 1.7592 2.0831 1.7613 1.0067 2.1289
1979.875 1.7580 2.0589 1.7597 1.0334 2.1609
1980.125 1.7558 2.0341 1.7569 1.0611 2.1932
1980.375 1.7533 2.0095 1.7537 1.0481 2.1809
1980.625 1.7512 1.9857 1.7510 1.0590 2.1976
1980.875 1.7500 1.9633 1.7496 1.0695 2.2130
1981.125 1.7498 1.9423 1.7496 1.0836 2.2272
1981.375 1.7504 1.9227 1.7506 1.0988 2.2487
1981.625 1.7513 1.9039 1.7521 1.1200 2.2728
1981.875 1.7520 1.8856 1.7533 1.1146 2.2697
1982.125 1.7523 1.8676 1.7540 1.1263 2.2841
1982.375 1.7521 1.8498 1.7541 1.1336 2.2978
1982.625 1.7515 1.8324 1.7538 1.1344 2.3006
1982.875 1.7507 1.8154 1.7531 1.1203 2.2839
1983.125 1.7497 1.7990 1.7522 1.1283 2.2944
1983.375 1.7484 1.7832 1.7510 1.1370 2.3036
1983.625 1.7469 1.7678 1.7495 1.1556 2.3284
1983.875 1.7451 1.7530 1.7477 1.1554 2.3289
1984.125 1.7431 1.7386 1.7455 1.1567 2.3302
1984.375 1.7407 1.7247 1.7429 1.1794 2.3557
1984.625 1.7380 1.7112 1.7400 1.1930 2.3727
1984.875 1.7350 1.6981 1.7366 1.1655 2.3401
1985.125 1.7317 1.6853 1.7329 1.1598 2.3350
1985.375 1.7281 1.6730 1.7290 1.1466 2.3198
1985.625 1.7246 1.6610 1.7250 1.1424 2.3135
1985.875 1.7210 1.6497 1.7211 1.1426 2.3149
1986.125 1.7176 1.6388 1.7173 1.1359 2.3062
1986.375 1.7143 1.6285 1.7138 1.1367 2.3078
1986.625 1.7110 1.6185 1.7102 1.1213 2.2901
1986.875 1.7076 1.6089 1.7067 1.1298 2.2998
1987.125 1.7043 1.5996 1.7032 1.1287 2.2989
1987.375 1.7011 1.5908 1.7000 1.1617 2.3382
1987.625 1.6982 1.5825 1.6971 1.1624 2.3396
1987.875 1.6956 1.5748 1.6947 1.1619 2.3374
1988.125 1.6935 1.5677 1.6930 1.1313 2.3011
1988.375 1.6916 1.5610 1.6916 1.1424 2.3132
1988.625 1.6898 1.5546 1.6903 1.1619 2.3365
1988.875 1.6877 1.5481 1.6888 1.1578 2.3300
1989.125 1.6852 1.5414 1.6867 1.1947 2.3696
1989.375 1.6821 1.5341 1.6838 1.1935 2.3666
1989.625 1.6782 1.5263 1.6799 1.1650 2.3327
1989.875 1.6735 1.5179 1.6750 1.1696 2.3351
1990.125 1.6681 1.5090 1.6691 1.1668 2.3296
1990.375 1.6619 1.4995 1.6623 1.1645 2.3252
1990.625 1.6550 1.4896 1.6545 1.1636 2.3227
1990.875 1.6473 1.4792 1.6458 1.1817 2.3431
1991.125 1.6391 1.4685 1.6364 1.1585 2.3155
1991.375 1.6306 1.4579 1.6266 1.1694 2.3264
1991.625 1.6220 1.4475 1.6168 1.1637 2.3214
1991.875 1.6137 1.4377 1.6073 1.1231 2.2726
1992.125 1.6056 1.4286 1.5982 1.1115 2.2590
1992.375 1.5978 1.4202 1.5895 1.1178 2.2667
1992.625 1.5901 1.4124 1.5810 1.0732 2.2148
1992.875 1.5824 1.4052 1.5725 1.0684 2.2095
1993.125 1.5745 1.3984 1.5638 1.0349 2.1719
1993.375 1.5665 1.3921 1.5548 1.0301 2.1664
1993.625 1.5583 1.3864 1.5458 1.0311 2.1658
1993.875 1.5502 1.3815 1.5368 1.0165 2.1507
1994.125 1.5422 1.3777 1.5281 1.0489 2.1878
1994.375 1.5347 1.3750 1.5199 1.0946 2.2384
1994.625 1.5275 1.3736 1.5123 1.0732 2.2155
1994.875 1.5207 1.3734 1.5052 1.0771 2.2199
1995.125 1.5140 1.3742 1.4983 1.0622 2.2036
1995.375 1.5073 1.3759 1.4915 1.0550 2.1960
1995.625 1.5005 1.3783 1.4845 1.0542 2.1938
1995.875 1.4936 1.3814 1.4773 1.0564 2.1940
1996.125 1.4866 1.3852 1.4701 1.0498 2.1855
1996.375 1.4796 1.3897 1.4629 1.0751 2.2149
1996.625 1.4727 1.3950 1.4559 1.0432 2.1784
1996.875 1.4661 1.4011 1.4493 1.0176 2.1473
1997.125 1.4596 1.4080 1.4429 1.0295 2.1610
1997.375 1.4533 1.4156 1.4367 1.0513 2.1841
1997.625 1.4470 1.4236 1.4306 1.0257 2.1521
1997.875 1.4407 1.4320 1.4245 1.0098 2.1317
1998.125 1.4341 1.4405 1.4181 1.0219 2.1437
1998.375 1.4273 1.4489 1.4113 1.0187 2.1372
1998.625 1.4200 1.4570 1.4041 1.0337 2.1517
1998.875 1.4125 1.4648 1.3965 0.9704 2.0797
1999.125 1.4047 1.4724 1.3886 1.0040 2.1111
1999.375 1.3967 1.4795 1.3805 0.9983 2.1053
1999.625 1.3886 1.4862 1.3721 1.0124 2.1164
1999.875 1.3802 1.4924 1.3635 0.9933 2.0925
2000.125 1.3714 1.4976 1.3544 0.9883 2.0882
2000.375 1.3620 1.5018 1.3444 0.9849 2.0838
2000.625 1.3518 1.5045 1.3335 0.9822 2.0800
2000.875 1.3407 1.5057 1.3215 0.9695 2.0650
2001.125 1.3289 1.5052 1.3083 0.9386 2.0310
2001.375 1.3164 1.5032 1.2944 0.8976 1.9854
2001.625 1.3034 1.4998 1.2798 0.8905 1.9748
2001.875 1.2901 1.4951 1.2649 0.8398 1.9225
2002.125 1.2765 1.4889 1.2495 0.8441 1.9268
2002.375 1.2626 1.4814 1.2338 0.8221 1.9073
2002.625 1.2483 1.4723 1.2176 0.7584 1.8468
2002.875 1.2335 1.4615 1.2008 0.7463 1.8351
2003.125 1.2183 1.4491 1.1833 0.7195 1.8119
2003.375 1.2027 1.4350 1.1654 0.7376 1.8323
2003.625 1.1869 1.4195 1.1472 0.7553 1.8494
2003.875 1.1710 1.4027 1.1289 0.7186 1.8154
2004.125 1.1550 1.3845 1.1105 0.6846 1.7836
2004.375 1.1390 1.3651 1.0920 0.6836 1.7806
2004.625 1.1227 1.3443 1.0733 0.6401 1.7392
2004.875 1.1062 1.3221 1.0542 0.6483 1.7481
2005.125 1.0893 1.2985 1.0347 0.6664 1.7661
2005.375 1.0722 1.2735 1.0148 0.6444 1.7451
2005.625 1.0548 1.2474 0.9946 0.6430 1.7447
2005.875 1.0372 1.2201 0.9740 0.6647 1.7684
2006.125 1.0194 1.1918 0.9532 0.6598 1.7654
2006.375 1.0013 1.1626 0.9322 0.6733 1.7788
2006.625 0.9831 1.1325 0.9108 0.6666 1.7731
2006.875 0.9647 1.1017 0.8892 0.6367 1.7434
2007.125 0.9462 1.0704 0.8674 0.6324 1.7401
2007.375 0.9278 1.0388 0.8457 0.6310 1.7411
2007.625 0.9095 1.0069 0.8242 0.6142 1.7291
2007.875 0.8913 0.9750 0.8028 0.5779 1.6981
2008.125 0.8731 0.9430 0.7815 0.5121 1.6403
2008.375 0.8550 0.9110 0.7601 0.4970 1.6285
2008.625 0.8368 0.8787 0.7386 0.5254 1.6581
2008.875 0.8185 0.8465 0.7170 0.4849 1.6275
2009.125 0.8001 0.8143 0.6953 0.4825 1.6280
2009.375 0.7819 0.7823 0.6738 0.5088 1.6551
2009.625 0.7639 0.7506 0.6525 0.5107 1.6614
2009.875 0.7463 0.7195 0.6317 0.5028 1.6585
2010.125 0.7292 0.6891 0.6115 0.5084 1.6679
2010.375 0.7127 0.6595 0.5921 0.5002 1.6665
2010.625 0.6970 0.6309 0.5737 0.4530 1.6278
2010.875 0.6820 0.6034 0.5563 0.4458 1.6277
2011.125 0.6679 0.5771 0.5401 0.4593 1.6453
2011.375 0.6546 0.5520 0.5248 0.4402 1.6306
2011.625 0.6419 0.5279 0.5104 0.3885 1.5890
2011.875 0.6298 0.5048 0.4967 0.3657 1.5739
2012.125 0.6182 0.4827 0.4836 0.3521 1.5641
2012.375 0.6070 0.4615 0.4710 0.3445 1.5619
2012.625 0.5963 0.4413 0.4591 0.3276 1.5502
2012.875 0.5861 0.4220 0.4477 0.3212 1.5463
2013.125 0.5763 0.4038 0.4369 0.3341 1.5618
2013.375 0.5669 0.3865 0.4266 0.3358 1.5667
2013.625 0.5579 0.3702 0.4167 0.3816 1.6102
2013.875 0.5491 0.3548 0.4071 0.3599 1.5921
2014.125 0.5407 0.3402 0.3980 0.3754 1.6086
2014.375 0.5325 0.3266 0.3892 0.3663 1.6036
2014.625 0.5248 0.3140 0.3808 0.3848 1.6232
2014.875 0.5174 0.3024 0.3730 0.3657 1.6076
2015.125 0.5105 0.2917 0.3657 0.3553 1.6012
2015.375 0.5040 0.2821 0.3589 0.3503 1.6002
2015.625 0.4978 0.2733 0.3526 0.3420 1.5958
2015.875 0.4918 0.2653 0.3464 0.3389 1.5929
2016.125 0.4860 0.2580 0.3405 NA NA
2016.375 0.4802 0.2515 0.3346 NA NA
2016.625 0.4746 0.2456 0.3289 NA NA
2016.875 0.4692 0.2404 0.3234 NA NA
2017.125 0.4639 0.2359 0.3180 NA NA
2017.375 0.4588 0.2321 0.3129 NA NA
2017.625 0.4540 0.2290 0.3081 NA NA
2017.875 0.4493 0.2266 0.3035 NA NA
2018.125 0.4448 0.2248 0.2990 NA NA
2018.375 0.4404 0.2235 0.2947 NA NA
2018.625 0.4360 0.2226 0.2904 NA NA
2018.875 0.4316 0.2220 0.2861 NA NA
2019.125 0.4272 0.2218 0.2817 NA NA
2019.375 0.4227 0.2218 0.2772 NA NA
2019.625 0.4182 0.2221 0.2726 NA NA
2019.875 0.4137 0.2226 0.2680 NA NA
2020.125 0.4092 0.2234 0.2634 NA NA
2020.375 0.4048 0.2244 0.2589 NA NA
2020.625 0.4004 0.2258 0.2544 NA NA
2020.875 0.3961 0.2273 0.2500 NA NA
2021.125 0.3920 0.2291 0.2458 NA NA
2021.375 0.3879 0.2311 0.2416 NA NA
2021.625 0.3838 0.2333 0.2375 NA NA
2021.875 0.3799 0.2356 0.2335 NA NA
2022.125 0.3760 0.2380 0.2295 NA NA
2022.375 0.3721 0.2405 0.2255 NA NA
2022.625 0.3682 0.2431 0.2216 NA NA
2022.875 0.3645 0.2457 0.2177 NA NA
2023.125 0.3608 0.2484 0.2139 NA NA
2023.375 0.3572 0.2512 0.2103 NA NA
2023.625 0.3538 0.2541 0.2068 NA NA
2023.875 0.3505 0.2572 0.2035 NA NA
2024.125 0.3474 0.2603 0.2004 NA NA
2024.375 0.3444 0.2636 0.1976 NA NA
2024.625 0.3417 0.2669 0.1949 NA NA
2024.875 0.3391 0.2704 0.1925 NA NA
2025.125 0.3367 0.2739 0.1903 NA NA
2025.375 0.3345 0.2776 0.1883 NA NA
2025.625 0.3324 0.2812 0.1865 NA NA
2025.875 0.3305 0.2849 0.1849 NA NA
2026.125 0.3287 0.2886 0.1833 NA NA
2026.375 0.3269 0.2923 0.1819 NA NA
2026.625 0.3253 0.2959 0.1806 NA NA
2026.875 0.3237 0.2996 0.1793 NA NA
2027.125 0.3222 0.3031 0.1782 NA NA
2027.375 0.3208 0.3066 0.1771 NA NA
2027.625 0.3195 0.3101 0.1761 NA NA
2027.875 0.3182 0.3136 0.1753 NA NA
2028.125 0.3171 0.3171 0.1745 NA NA
2028.375 0.3161 0.3205 0.1739 NA NA
2028.625 0.3152 0.3239 0.1734 NA NA
2028.875 0.3144 0.3273 0.1730 NA NA
2029.125 0.3137 0.3307 0.1727 NA NA
2029.375 0.3131 0.3341 0.1726 NA NA
2029.625 0.3126 0.3374 0.1725 NA NA
2029.875 0.3122 0.3407 0.1726 NA NA
2030.125 0.3119 0.3440 0.1727 NA NA
2030.375 0.3116 0.3472 0.1729 NA NA
2030.625 0.3114 0.3504 0.1731 NA NA
2030.875 0.3112 0.3535 0.1734 NA NA
2031.125 0.3111 0.3566 0.1738 NA NA
2031.375 0.3111 0.3597 0.1742 NA NA
2031.625 0.3112 0.3628 0.1748 NA NA
2031.875 0.3114 0.3659 0.1755 NA NA

Return to text


Figure 13: Real GDP growth rate with demographic variables fixed in either 1960 or 1980 onward

UPPER PANEL: 1960

Date Baseline Constant mortality Constant employment Constant fertility Constant mortality, employment, fertility
1960.125 1.0893 1.0791 1.0373 1.0981 1.0363
1960.375 1.1430 1.1323 1.0662 1.1521 1.0652
1960.625 1.2022 1.1909 1.0990 1.2118 1.0976
1960.875 1.2626 1.2505 1.1309 1.2725 1.1291
1961.125 1.3170 1.3042 1.1769 1.3274 1.1748
1961.375 1.3584 1.3449 1.2091 1.3692 1.2067
1961.625 1.3813 1.3671 1.2220 1.3926 1.2193
1961.875 1.3851 1.3702 1.2149 1.3968 1.2119
1962.125 1.3725 1.3570 1.1906 1.3847 1.1873
1962.375 1.3479 1.3316 1.1535 1.3605 1.1498
1962.625 1.3154 1.2984 1.1079 1.3284 1.1039
1962.875 1.2779 1.2603 1.0571 1.2914 1.0528
1963.125 1.2395 1.2212 1.0052 1.2534 1.0007
1963.375 1.2064 1.1874 0.9591 1.2208 0.9543
1963.625 1.1874 1.1678 0.9282 1.2023 0.9231
1963.875 1.1936 1.1733 0.9238 1.2090 0.9185
1964.125 1.2336 1.2126 0.9553 1.2495 0.9497
1964.375 1.3098 1.2881 1.0251 1.3261 1.0192
1964.625 1.4152 1.3929 1.1261 1.4320 1.1200
1964.875 1.5332 1.5103 1.2410 1.5505 1.2347
1965.125 1.6420 1.6184 1.3469 1.6597 1.3404
1965.375 1.7222 1.6980 1.4240 1.7404 1.4173
1965.625 1.7645 1.7398 1.4625 1.7833 1.4556
1965.875 1.7726 1.7473 1.4663 1.7919 1.4593
1966.125 1.7598 1.7340 1.4495 1.7796 1.4424
1966.375 1.7421 1.7158 1.4290 1.7624 1.4217
1966.625 1.7308 1.7040 1.4162 1.7516 1.4087
1966.875 1.7292 1.7018 1.4148 1.7504 1.4071
1967.125 1.7340 1.7060 1.4212 1.7555 1.4133
1967.375 1.7391 1.7106 1.4292 1.7610 1.4209
1967.625 1.7402 1.7111 1.4340 1.7624 1.4254
1967.875 1.7356 1.7060 1.4340 1.7581 1.4250
1968.125 1.7265 1.6964 1.4303 1.7493 1.4209
1968.375 1.7148 1.6842 1.4246 1.7379 1.4148
1968.625 1.7017 1.6705 1.4182 1.7249 1.4079
1968.875 1.6881 1.6564 1.4118 1.7115 1.4011
1969.125 1.6755 1.6433 1.4069 1.6991 1.3957
1969.375 1.6668 1.6342 1.4060 1.6907 1.3945
1969.625 1.6666 1.6335 1.4134 1.6908 1.4016
1969.875 1.6776 1.6441 1.4316 1.7021 1.4196
1970.125 1.6999 1.6661 1.4606 1.7248 1.4485
1970.375 1.7305 1.6965 1.4970 1.7558 1.4849
1970.625 1.7635 1.7292 1.5350 1.7893 1.5230
1970.875 1.7941 1.7596 1.5697 1.8204 1.5577
1971.125 1.8193 1.7845 1.5981 1.8461 1.5862
1971.375 1.8384 1.8033 1.6194 1.8656 1.6075
1971.625 1.8523 1.8169 1.6348 1.8801 1.6229
1971.875 1.8625 1.8268 1.6455 1.8908 1.6337
1972.125 1.8701 1.8340 1.6527 1.8988 1.6409
1972.375 1.8759 1.8395 1.6574 1.9051 1.6456
1972.625 1.8806 1.8439 1.6602 1.9104 1.6485
1972.875 1.8849 1.8478 1.6618 1.9152 1.6501
1973.125 1.8892 1.8518 1.6628 1.9200 1.6512
1973.375 1.8941 1.8563 1.6639 1.9255 1.6523
1973.625 1.9004 1.8622 1.6657 1.9323 1.6541
1973.875 1.9091 1.8705 1.6695 1.9415 1.6579
1974.125 1.9217 1.8828 1.6765 1.9547 1.6650
1974.375 1.9395 1.9001 1.6879 1.9730 1.6764
1974.625 1.9629 1.9232 1.7040 1.9970 1.6927
1974.875 1.9911 1.9511 1.7239 2.0258 1.7128
1975.125 2.0219 1.9815 1.7453 2.0573 1.7345
1975.375 2.0523 2.0116 1.7655 2.0885 1.7550
1975.625 2.0798 2.0387 1.7819 2.1168 1.7718
1975.875 2.1029 2.0615 1.7934 2.1407 1.7836
1976.125 2.1213 2.0794 1.7997 2.1599 1.7903
1976.375 2.1351 2.0928 1.8015 2.1745 1.7925
1976.625 2.1451 2.1023 1.7996 2.1853 1.7909
1976.875 2.1518 2.1085 1.7950 2.1929 1.7866
1977.125 2.1565 2.1127 1.7891 2.1984 1.7810
1977.375 2.1609 2.1165 1.7838 2.2037 1.7761
1977.625 2.1673 2.1225 1.7815 2.2111 1.7742
1977.875 2.1781 2.1327 1.7843 2.2227 1.7775
1978.125 2.1944 2.1486 1.7936 2.2397 1.7872
1978.375 2.2165 2.1703 1.8096 2.2628 1.8037
1978.625 2.2431 2.1965 1.8307 2.2910 1.8261
1978.875 2.2699 2.2228 1.8529 2.3208 1.8508
1979.125 2.2897 2.2422 1.8693 2.3460 1.8721
1979.375 2.2936 2.2454 1.8715 2.3578 1.8814
1979.625 2.2726 2.2238 1.8511 2.3472 1.8705
1979.875 2.2253 2.1756 1.8065 2.3123 1.8373
1980.125 2.1590 2.1084 1.7443 2.2599 1.7875
1980.375 2.0891 2.0375 1.6778 2.2043 1.7340
1980.625 2.0350 1.9826 1.6244 2.1648 1.6941
1980.875 2.0085 1.9554 1.5946 2.1531 1.6781
1981.125 2.0108 1.9572 1.5895 2.1707 1.6875
1981.375 2.0324 1.9784 1.6009 2.2087 1.7147
1981.625 2.0567 2.0024 1.6145 2.2508 1.7454
1981.875 2.0710 2.0162 1.6193 2.2846 1.7689
1982.125 2.0694 2.0139 1.6098 2.3046 1.7801
1982.375 2.0529 1.9966 1.5867 2.3120 1.7799
1982.625 2.0281 1.9710 1.5555 2.3135 1.7737
1982.875 2.0012 1.9433 1.5212 2.3147 1.7663
1983.125 1.9760 1.9172 1.4872 2.3190 1.7606
1983.375 1.9542 1.8946 1.4553 2.3274 1.7576
1983.625 1.9351 1.8748 1.4256 2.3387 1.7571
1983.875 1.9180 1.8570 1.3978 2.3518 1.7583
1984.125 1.9016 1.8399 1.3713 2.3653 1.7603
1984.375 1.8845 1.8221 1.3451 2.3775 1.7621
1984.625 1.8652 1.8020 1.3180 2.3870 1.7621
1984.875 1.8432 1.7793 1.2894 2.3930 1.7600
1985.125 1.8196 1.7548 1.2605 2.3964 1.7564
1985.375 1.7970 1.7314 1.2336 2.3999 1.7537
1985.625 1.7797 1.7133 1.2125 2.4074 1.7557
1985.875 1.7700 1.7028 1.1995 2.4210 1.7643
1986.125 1.7675 1.6997 1.1944 2.4403 1.7792
1986.375 1.7691 1.7005 1.1944 2.4616 1.7972
1986.625 1.7689 1.6997 1.1943 2.4794 1.8133
1986.875 1.7634 1.6933 1.1911 2.4898 1.8241
1987.125 1.7519 1.6809 1.1842 2.4924 1.8291
1987.375 1.7374 1.6654 1.1761 2.4902 1.8312
1987.625 1.7251 1.6521 1.1715 2.4890 1.8356
1987.875 1.7185 1.6445 1.1734 2.4932 1.8462
1988.125 1.7182 1.6433 1.1821 2.5046 1.8646
1988.375 1.7216 1.6457 1.1950 2.5219 1.8897
1988.625 1.7236 1.6468 1.2070 2.5411 1.9173
1988.875 1.7198 1.6420 1.2139 2.5584 1.9438
1989.125 1.7077 1.6290 1.2130 2.5716 1.9667
1989.375 1.6880 1.6083 1.2046 2.5809 1.9860
1989.625 1.6640 1.5834 1.1917 2.5890 2.0041
1989.875 1.6409 1.5595 1.1791 2.5999 2.0245
1990.125 1.6239 1.5419 1.1716 2.6173 2.0507
1990.375 1.6180 1.5354 1.1739 2.6446 2.0857
1990.625 1.6260 1.5432 1.1885 2.6833 2.1308
1990.875 1.6478 1.5650 1.2152 2.7326 2.1848
1991.125 1.6805 1.5977 1.2512 2.7890 2.2444
1991.375 1.7186 1.6359 1.2915 2.8471 2.3045
1991.625 1.7555 1.6728 1.3301 2.9009 2.3596
1991.875 1.7862 1.7033 1.3626 2.9465 2.4061
1992.125 1.8079 1.7246 1.3865 2.9822 2.4426
1992.375 1.8195 1.7357 1.4005 3.0082 2.4693
1992.625 1.8217 1.7371 1.4051 3.0256 2.4871
1992.875 1.8148 1.7293 1.4003 3.0351 2.4964
1993.125 1.7996 1.7131 1.3867 3.0372 2.4979
1993.375 1.7776 1.6902 1.3661 3.0330 2.4925
1993.625 1.7517 1.6632 1.3414 3.0244 2.4826
1993.875 1.7256 1.6360 1.3167 3.0142 2.4711
1994.125 1.7034 1.6127 1.2963 3.0052 2.4613
1994.375 1.6881 1.5965 1.2835 2.9996 2.4555
1994.625 1.6808 1.5881 1.2795 2.9983 2.4548
1994.875 1.6798 1.5862 1.2828 3.0007 2.4587
1995.125 1.6816 1.5870 1.2894 3.0052 2.4657
1995.375 1.6819 1.5864 1.2951 3.0098 2.4736
1995.625 1.6781 1.5818 1.2971 3.0128 2.4806
1995.875 1.6702 1.5730 1.2954 3.0136 2.4862
1996.125 1.6608 1.5628 1.2928 3.0131 2.4914
1996.375 1.6540 1.5551 1.2935 3.0131 2.4980
1996.625 1.6532 1.5536 1.3014 3.0157 2.5086
1996.875 1.6597 1.5595 1.3179 3.0217 2.5239
1997.125 1.6719 1.5710 1.3413 3.0302 2.5434
1997.375 1.6855 1.5840 1.3675 3.0385 2.5641
1997.625 1.6954 1.5932 1.3911 3.0426 2.5819
1997.875 1.6975 1.5946 1.4079 3.0396 2.5938
1998.125 1.6902 1.5863 1.4161 3.0283 2.5984
1998.375 1.6744 1.5695 1.4164 3.0098 2.5965
1998.625 1.6534 1.5475 1.4120 2.9870 2.5913
1998.875 1.6309 1.5240 1.4065 2.9632 2.5859
1999.125 1.6102 1.5024 1.4032 2.9407 2.5825
1999.375 1.5930 1.4843 1.4040 2.9205 2.5825
1999.625 1.5790 1.4694 1.4087 2.9026 2.5857
1999.875 1.5663 1.4560 1.4155 2.8856 2.5908
2000.125 1.5517 1.4406 1.4207 2.8679 2.5958
2000.375 1.5315 1.4196 1.4206 2.8470 2.5984
2000.625 1.5031 1.3904 1.4123 2.8212 2.5962
2000.875 1.4663 1.3526 1.3953 2.7897 2.5882
2001.125 1.4236 1.3089 1.3720 2.7533 2.5751
2001.375 1.3797 1.2640 1.3470 2.7146 2.5588
2001.625 1.3396 1.2229 1.3248 2.6770 2.5426
2001.875 1.3060 1.1883 1.3082 2.6428 2.5287
2002.125 1.2787 1.1601 1.2970 2.6126 2.5176
2002.375 1.2544 1.1350 1.2881 2.5847 2.5079
2002.625 1.2286 1.1081 1.2772 2.5559 2.4966
2002.875 1.1985 1.0770 1.2617 2.5247 2.4822
2003.125 1.1648 1.0422 1.2419 2.4921 2.4655
2003.375 1.1319 1.0082 1.2218 2.4614 2.4499
2003.625 1.1066 0.9819 1.2077 2.4381 2.4404
2003.875 1.0930 0.9677 1.2034 2.4250 2.4398
2004.125 1.0910 0.9654 1.2094 2.4212 2.4475
2004.375 1.0962 0.9705 1.2219 2.4225 2.4594
2004.625 1.1006 0.9747 1.2336 2.4219 2.4692
2004.875 1.0985 0.9723 1.2395 2.4150 2.4726
2005.125 1.0883 0.9616 1.2380 2.4010 2.4690
2005.375 1.0723 0.9450 1.2315 2.3822 2.4608
2005.625 1.0563 0.9283 1.2248 2.3635 2.4525
2005.875 1.0436 0.9152 1.2212 2.3479 2.4472
2006.125 1.0348 0.9060 1.2210 2.3357 2.4451
2006.375 1.0276 0.8984 1.2220 2.3248 2.4440
2006.625 1.0175 0.8880 1.2201 2.3118 2.4405
2006.875 1.0027 0.8726 1.2137 2.2949 2.4328
2007.125 0.9842 0.8535 1.2043 2.2747 2.4218
2007.375 0.9657 0.8342 1.1955 2.2539 2.4102
2007.625 0.9517 0.8196 1.1916 2.2364 2.4017
2007.875 0.9443 0.8117 1.1940 2.2244 2.3981
2008.125 0.9422 0.8091 1.2001 2.2181 2.3992
2008.375 0.9417 0.8084 1.2053 2.2155 2.4022
2008.625 0.9386 0.8050 1.2043 2.2139 2.4038
2008.875 0.9309 0.7968 1.1950 2.2114 2.4019
2009.125 0.9194 0.7848 1.1785 2.2080 2.3962
2009.375 0.9070 0.7719 1.1581 2.2052 2.3881
2009.625 0.8973 0.7617 1.1379 2.2051 2.3799
2009.875 0.8924 0.7563 1.1203 2.2091 2.3734
2010.125 0.8922 0.7556 1.1055 2.2173 2.3688
2010.375 0.8952 0.7583 1.0919 2.2290 2.3655
2010.625 0.8990 0.7618 1.0774 2.2424 2.3621
2010.875 0.9025 0.7648 1.0608 2.2567 2.3578
2011.125 0.9055 0.7675 1.0425 2.2715 2.3526
2011.375 0.9093 0.7710 1.0239 2.2877 2.3477
2011.625 0.9159 0.7773 1.0070 2.3065 2.3443
2011.875 0.9262 0.7874 0.9931 2.3286 2.3435
2012.125 0.9400 0.8012 0.9818 2.3538 2.3453
2012.375 0.9561 0.8173 0.9722 2.3812 2.3488
2012.625 0.9725 0.8338 0.9625 2.4091 2.3529
2012.875 0.9873 0.8487 0.9514 2.4360 2.3559
2013.125 0.9987 0.8600 0.9376 2.4599 2.3566
2013.375 1.0045 0.8656 0.9198 2.4794 2.3535
2013.625 1.0031 0.8639 0.8969 2.4929 2.3458
2013.875 0.9949 0.8551 0.8695 2.5008 2.3341
2014.125 0.9828 0.8424 0.8404 2.5058 2.3211
2014.375 0.9729 0.8319 0.8148 2.5120 2.3110
2014.625 0.9728 0.8317 0.8001 2.5249 2.3092
2014.875 0.9868 0.8460 0.7999 2.5470 2.3180
2015.125 1.0137 0.8737 0.8136 2.5772 2.3364
2015.375 1.0472 0.9083 0.8355 2.6107 2.3595
2015.625 1.0773 0.9394 0.8559 2.6403 2.3804
2015.875 1.0966 0.9593 0.8677 2.6612 2.3942
2016.125 1.1019 0.9649 0.8675 2.6717 2.3993
2016.375 1.0950 0.9579 0.8568 2.6735 2.3972
2016.625 1.0816 0.9442 0.8407 2.6705 2.3919
2016.875 1.0667 0.9290 0.8245 2.6661 2.3868
2017.125 1.0536 0.9157 0.8117 2.6623 2.3839
2017.375 1.0434 0.9055 0.8039 2.6595 2.3835
2017.625 1.0351 0.8972 0.8001 2.6568 2.3848
2017.875 1.0270 0.8892 0.7982 2.6534 2.3866
2018.125 1.0176 0.8797 0.7959 2.6487 2.3881
2018.375 1.0056 0.8678 0.7911 2.6426 2.3888
2018.625 0.9908 0.8528 0.7828 2.6350 2.3884
2018.875 0.9731 0.8350 0.7706 2.6262 2.3868
2019.125 0.9533 0.8150 0.7554 2.6162 2.3839
2019.375 0.9320 0.7935 0.7382 2.6052 2.3800
2019.625 0.9100 0.7714 0.7204 2.5936 2.3753
2019.875 0.8881 0.7494 0.7032 2.5817 2.3705
2020.125 0.8669 0.7281 0.6878 2.5698 2.3660
2020.375 0.8468 0.7080 0.6748 2.5581 2.3621
2020.625 0.8278 0.6891 0.6644 2.5467 2.3590
2020.875 0.8099 0.6712 0.6560 2.5358 2.3565
2021.125 0.7926 0.6540 0.6490 2.5251 2.3543
2021.375 0.7756 0.6371 0.6424 2.5147 2.3524
2021.625 0.7585 0.6201 0.6357 2.5045 2.3504
2021.875 0.7413 0.6031 0.6283 2.4947 2.3484
2022.125 0.7240 0.5859 0.6202 2.4852 2.3462
2022.375 0.7065 0.5687 0.6113 2.4759 2.3438
2022.625 0.6890 0.5513 0.6018 2.4668 2.3411
2022.875 0.6717 0.5342 0.5923 2.4579 2.3379
2023.125 0.6550 0.5178 0.5835 2.4491 2.3344
2023.375 0.6393 0.5024 0.5761 2.4406 2.3307
2023.625 0.6250 0.4884 0.5707 2.4325 2.3271
2023.875 0.6122 0.4759 0.5674 2.4249 2.3237
2024.125 0.6007 0.4647 0.5659 2.4180 2.3208
2024.375 0.5902 0.4546 0.5655 2.4118 2.3186
2024.625 0.5806 0.4454 0.5659 2.4063 2.3171
2024.875 0.5715 0.4368 0.5665 2.4015 2.3163
2025.125 0.5629 0.4287 0.5669 2.3973 2.3161
2025.375 0.5545 0.4207 0.5668 2.3936 2.3163
2025.625 0.5460 0.4128 0.5656 2.3903 2.3166
2025.875 0.5374 0.4047 0.5629 2.3872 2.3167
2026.125 0.5283 0.3962 0.5585 2.3841 2.3164
2026.375 0.5190 0.3873 0.5523 2.3810 2.3155
2026.625 0.5093 0.3782 0.5446 2.3779 2.3142
2026.875 0.4996 0.3691 0.5360 2.3749 2.3126
2027.125 0.4901 0.3602 0.5270 2.3722 2.3110
2027.375 0.4811 0.3517 0.5182 2.3698 2.3098
2027.625 0.4727 0.3440 0.5102 2.3678 2.3092
2027.875 0.4652 0.3371 0.5032 2.3663 2.3091
2028.125 0.4584 0.3310 0.4972 2.3651 2.3093
2028.375 0.4523 0.3257 0.4923 2.3641 2.3095
2028.625 0.4469 0.3209 0.4882 2.3631 2.3096
2028.875 0.4419 0.3165 0.4846 2.3621 2.3093
2029.125 0.4372 0.3126 0.4814 2.3610 2.3087
2029.375 0.4328 0.3089 0.4785 2.3599 2.3078
2029.625 0.4286 0.3054 0.4756 2.3588 2.3066
2029.875 0.4246 0.3020 0.4727 2.3576 2.3053
2030.125 0.4206 0.2987 0.4696 2.3565 2.3038
2030.375 0.4165 0.2953 0.4660 2.3554 2.3022
2030.625 0.4124 0.2919 0.4622 2.3542 2.3006
2030.875 0.4084 0.2886 0.4583 2.3532 2.2991

Return to text


Figure 13: Real GDP growth rate with demographic variables fixed in either 1960 or 1980 onward

LOWER PANEL: 1960

Date Baseline Constant mortality Constant employment Constant fertility Constant mortality, employment, fertility
1960.125 1.0893 1.0855 1.0876 1.0893 1.0839
1960.375 1.1430 1.1391 1.1412 1.1430 1.1374
1960.625 1.2022 1.1983 1.2003 1.2022 1.1964
1960.875 1.2626 1.2586 1.2604 1.2626 1.2566
1961.125 1.3170 1.3130 1.3147 1.3170 1.3108
1961.375 1.3584 1.3543 1.3559 1.3584 1.3519
1961.625 1.3813 1.3772 1.3786 1.3813 1.3746
1961.875 1.3851 1.3809 1.3822 1.3851 1.3782
1962.125 1.3725 1.3683 1.3695 1.3725 1.3654
1962.375 1.3479 1.3436 1.3447 1.3479 1.3405
1962.625 1.3154 1.3111 1.3120 1.3154 1.3078
1962.875 1.2779 1.2735 1.2744 1.2779 1.2701
1963.125 1.2395 1.2350 1.2357 1.2394 1.2314
1963.375 1.2064 1.2019 1.2024 1.2063 1.1980
1963.625 1.1874 1.1829 1.1833 1.1874 1.1788
1963.875 1.1936 1.1890 1.1893 1.1936 1.1847
1964.125 1.2336 1.2290 1.2290 1.2336 1.2245
1964.375 1.3098 1.3050 1.3050 1.3097 1.3003
1964.625 1.4152 1.4104 1.4102 1.4151 1.4055
1964.875 1.5332 1.5284 1.5280 1.5332 1.5232
1965.125 1.6420 1.6371 1.6364 1.6419 1.6316
1965.375 1.7222 1.7172 1.7163 1.7221 1.7114
1965.625 1.7645 1.7595 1.7583 1.7644 1.7534
1965.875 1.7726 1.7675 1.7660 1.7725 1.7611
1966.125 1.7598 1.7547 1.7529 1.7597 1.7479
1966.375 1.7421 1.7370 1.7349 1.7420 1.7299
1966.625 1.7308 1.7256 1.7233 1.7307 1.7182
1966.875 1.7292 1.7240 1.7213 1.7291 1.7162
1967.125 1.7340 1.7287 1.7257 1.7339 1.7205
1967.375 1.7391 1.7338 1.7305 1.7390 1.7253
1967.625 1.7402 1.7348 1.7312 1.7400 1.7259
1967.875 1.7356 1.7302 1.7263 1.7355 1.7209
1968.125 1.7265 1.7210 1.7168 1.7264 1.7114
1968.375 1.7148 1.7093 1.7047 1.7147 1.6993
1968.625 1.7017 1.6961 1.6912 1.7016 1.6856
1968.875 1.6881 1.6824 1.6771 1.6879 1.6715
1969.125 1.6755 1.6697 1.6641 1.6753 1.6584
1969.375 1.6668 1.6610 1.6550 1.6667 1.6493
1969.625 1.6666 1.6608 1.6543 1.6665 1.6485
1969.875 1.6776 1.6717 1.6648 1.6774 1.6590
1970.125 1.6999 1.6940 1.6866 1.6997 1.6807
1970.375 1.7305 1.7245 1.7166 1.7303 1.7107
1970.625 1.7635 1.7575 1.7491 1.7633 1.7431
1970.875 1.7941 1.7880 1.7791 1.7939 1.7731
1971.125 1.8193 1.8132 1.8037 1.8191 1.7976
1971.375 1.8384 1.8322 1.8222 1.8382 1.8160
1971.625 1.8523 1.8461 1.8355 1.8521 1.8293
1971.875 1.8625 1.8563 1.8451 1.8623 1.8388
1972.125 1.8701 1.8638 1.8520 1.8698 1.8457
1972.375 1.8759 1.8695 1.8571 1.8756 1.8507
1972.625 1.8806 1.8742 1.8612 1.8804 1.8548
1972.875 1.8849 1.8784 1.8648 1.8846 1.8583
1973.125 1.8892 1.8826 1.8684 1.8889 1.8618
1973.375 1.8941 1.8875 1.8726 1.8938 1.8659
1973.625 1.9004 1.8937 1.8781 1.9001 1.8714
1973.875 1.9091 1.9024 1.8861 1.9088 1.8793
1974.125 1.9217 1.9149 1.8979 1.9214 1.8910
1974.375 1.9395 1.9326 1.9149 1.9391 1.9079
1974.625 1.9629 1.9560 1.9375 1.9626 1.9305
1974.875 1.9911 1.9841 1.9649 1.9908 1.9577
1975.125 2.0219 2.0148 1.9947 2.0215 1.9875
1975.375 2.0523 2.0452 2.0243 2.0519 2.0170
1975.625 2.0798 2.0726 2.0508 2.0794 2.0435
1975.875 2.1029 2.0957 2.0729 2.1025 2.0655
1976.125 2.1213 2.1139 2.0903 2.1208 2.0828
1976.375 2.1351 2.1277 2.1031 2.1347 2.0955
1976.625 2.1451 2.1376 2.1120 2.1446 2.1043
1976.875 2.1518 2.1443 2.1176 2.1513 2.1099
1977.125 2.1565 2.1489 2.1212 2.1560 2.1134
1977.375 2.1609 2.1532 2.1244 2.1603 2.1165
1977.625 2.1673 2.1596 2.1298 2.1668 2.1217
1977.875 2.1781 2.1702 2.1393 2.1775 2.1312
1978.125 2.1944 2.1865 2.1544 2.1938 2.1462
1978.375 2.2165 2.2085 2.1753 2.2159 2.1669
1978.625 2.2431 2.2351 2.2006 2.2425 2.1921
1978.875 2.2699 2.2617 2.2259 2.2692 2.2174
1979.125 2.2897 2.2815 2.2444 2.2891 2.2357
1979.375 2.2936 2.2853 2.2468 2.2929 2.2380
1979.625 2.2726 2.2642 2.2244 2.2719 2.2155
1979.875 2.2253 2.2167 2.1758 2.2246 2.1667
1980.125 2.1590 2.1502 2.0488 2.1583 2.0394
1980.375 2.0891 2.0800 1.9181 2.0883 1.9084
1980.625 2.0350 2.0255 1.8030 2.0342 1.7929
1980.875 2.0085 1.9986 1.7150 2.0077 1.7044
1981.125 2.0108 2.0004 1.7142 2.0100 1.7031
1981.375 2.0324 2.0217 1.7317 2.0315 1.7203
1981.625 2.0567 2.0457 1.7510 2.0558 1.7391
1981.875 2.0710 2.0596 1.7593 2.0701 1.7471
1982.125 2.0694 2.0576 1.7509 2.0684 1.7382
1982.375 2.0529 2.0406 1.7268 2.0519 1.7136
1982.625 2.0281 2.0155 1.6935 2.0271 1.6798
1982.875 2.0012 1.9881 1.6571 2.0002 1.6429
1983.125 1.9760 1.9625 1.6216 1.9750 1.6070
1983.375 1.9542 1.9402 1.5887 1.9532 1.5737
1983.625 1.9351 1.9207 1.5584 1.9341 1.5429
1983.875 1.9180 1.9032 1.5298 1.9170 1.5139
1984.125 1.9016 1.8863 1.5024 1.9006 1.4861
1984.375 1.8845 1.8688 1.4749 1.8836 1.4582
1984.625 1.8652 1.8491 1.4461 1.8643 1.4290
1984.875 1.8432 1.8267 1.4158 1.8424 1.3983
1985.125 1.8196 1.8026 1.3850 1.8188 1.3670
1985.375 1.7970 1.7796 1.3564 1.7963 1.3380
1985.625 1.7797 1.7619 1.3341 1.7791 1.3154
1985.875 1.7700 1.7517 1.3205 1.7694 1.3014
1986.125 1.7675 1.7489 1.3153 1.7670 1.2959
1986.375 1.7691 1.7500 1.3154 1.7686 1.2956
1986.625 1.7689 1.7494 1.3153 1.7686 1.2952
1986.875 1.7634 1.7435 1.3114 1.7631 1.2909
1987.125 1.7519 1.7316 1.3032 1.7517 1.2823
1987.375 1.7374 1.7166 1.2935 1.7373 1.2723
1987.625 1.7251 1.7038 1.2874 1.7251 1.2657
1987.875 1.7185 1.6968 1.2883 1.7185 1.2662
1988.125 1.7182 1.6960 1.2965 1.7183 1.2741
1988.375 1.7216 1.6990 1.3093 1.7218 1.2866
1988.625 1.7236 1.7006 1.3214 1.7238 1.2982
1988.875 1.7198 1.6963 1.3279 1.7201 1.3044
1989.125 1.7077 1.6838 1.3262 1.7081 1.3024
1989.375 1.6880 1.6636 1.3166 1.6884 1.2924
1989.625 1.6640 1.6392 1.3024 1.6645 1.2778
1989.875 1.6409 1.6156 1.2885 1.6414 1.2636
1990.125 1.6239 1.5983 1.2801 1.6246 1.2550
1990.375 1.6180 1.5920 1.2820 1.6187 1.2567
1990.625 1.6260 1.5998 1.2968 1.6269 1.2713
1990.875 1.6478 1.6214 1.3242 1.6488 1.2987
1991.125 1.6805 1.6539 1.3613 1.6816 1.3357
1991.375 1.7186 1.6918 1.4028 1.7199 1.3772
1991.625 1.7555 1.7285 1.4423 1.7569 1.4167
1991.875 1.7862 1.7589 1.4753 1.7877 1.4496
1992.125 1.8079 1.7803 1.4991 1.8096 1.4732
1992.375 1.8195 1.7916 1.5126 1.8214 1.4866
1992.625 1.8217 1.7933 1.5161 1.8238 1.4899
1992.875 1.8148 1.7860 1.5099 1.8171 1.4836
1993.125 1.7996 1.7704 1.4948 1.8021 1.4682
1993.375 1.7776 1.7480 1.4722 1.7803 1.4455
1993.625 1.7517 1.7216 1.4454 1.7546 1.4184
1993.875 1.7256 1.6951 1.4183 1.7287 1.3911
1994.125 1.7034 1.6724 1.3956 1.7067 1.3682
1994.375 1.6881 1.6566 1.3808 1.6916 1.3531
1994.625 1.6808 1.6488 1.3751 1.6845 1.3472
1994.875 1.6798 1.6474 1.3768 1.6837 1.3487
1995.125 1.6816 1.6487 1.3820 1.6857 1.3537
1995.375 1.6819 1.6485 1.3863 1.6862 1.3578
1995.625 1.6781 1.6443 1.3866 1.6826 1.3580
1995.875 1.6702 1.6360 1.3830 1.6750 1.3542
1996.125 1.6608 1.6261 1.3785 1.6658 1.3495
1996.375 1.6540 1.6188 1.3774 1.6592 1.3482
1996.625 1.6532 1.6176 1.3837 1.6586 1.3543
1996.875 1.6597 1.6237 1.3988 1.6654 1.3693
1997.125 1.6719 1.6354 1.4211 1.6777 1.3915
1997.375 1.6855 1.6486 1.4465 1.6916 1.4167
1997.625 1.6954 1.6580 1.4692 1.7017 1.4393
1997.875 1.6975 1.6596 1.4852 1.7040 1.4550
1998.125 1.6902 1.6517 1.4924 1.6969 1.4619
1998.375 1.6744 1.6352 1.4914 1.6818 1.4611
1998.625 1.6534 1.6136 1.4856 1.6620 1.4562
1998.875 1.6309 1.5904 1.4787 1.6413 1.4506
1999.125 1.6102 1.5690 1.4739 1.6225 1.4475
1999.375 1.5930 1.5512 1.4733 1.6068 1.4481
1999.625 1.5790 1.5365 1.4767 1.5938 1.4521
1999.875 1.5663 1.5232 1.4821 1.5822 1.4583
2000.125 1.5517 1.5079 1.4860 1.5697 1.4641
2000.375 1.5315 1.4871 1.4841 1.5539 1.4667
2000.625 1.5031 1.4580 1.4733 1.5321 1.4631
2000.875 1.4663 1.4205 1.4532 1.5034 1.4521
2001.125 1.4236 1.3771 1.4264 1.4687 1.4342
2001.375 1.3797 1.3325 1.3976 1.4308 1.4120
2001.625 1.3396 1.2917 1.3720 1.3939 1.3898
2001.875 1.3060 1.2574 1.3526 1.3607 1.3703
2002.125 1.2787 1.2294 1.3390 1.3318 1.3544
2002.375 1.2544 1.2045 1.3280 1.3053 1.3401
2002.625 1.2286 1.1779 1.3148 1.2774 1.3238
2002.875 1.1985 1.1470 1.2966 1.2461 1.3035
2003.125 1.1648 1.1126 1.2738 1.2125 1.2800
2003.375 1.1319 1.0790 1.2508 1.1808 1.2576
2003.625 1.1066 1.0530 1.2343 1.1577 1.2431
2003.875 1.0930 1.0387 1.2288 1.1465 1.2401
2004.125 1.0910 1.0363 1.2346 1.1465 1.2478
2004.375 1.0962 1.0411 1.2474 1.1524 1.2608
2004.625 1.1006 1.0449 1.2594 1.1557 1.2708
2004.875 1.0985 1.0423 1.2650 1.1508 1.2721
2005.125 1.0883 1.0315 1.2624 1.1366 1.2638
2005.375 1.0723 1.0150 1.2542 1.1163 1.2490
2005.625 1.0563 0.9983 1.2459 1.0957 1.2339
2005.875 1.0436 0.9851 1.2409 1.0787 1.2224
2006.125 1.0348 0.9758 1.2398 1.0658 1.2149
2006.375 1.0276 0.9680 1.2401 1.0543 1.2088
2006.625 1.0175 0.9575 1.2376 1.0397 1.1994
2006.875 1.0027 0.9421 1.2305 1.0196 1.1845
2007.125 0.9842 0.9230 1.2203 0.9948 1.1647
2007.375 0.9657 0.9039 1.2107 0.9685 1.1437
2007.625 0.9517 0.8893 1.2061 0.9457 1.1261
2007.875 0.9443 0.8813 1.2080 0.9292 1.1145
2008.125 0.9422 0.8787 1.2136 0.9189 1.1081
2008.375 0.9417 0.8777 1.2182 0.9123 1.1038
2008.625 0.9386 0.8741 1.2163 0.9056 1.0970
2008.875 0.9309 0.8658 1.2056 0.8966 1.0849
2009.125 0.9194 0.8538 1.1874 0.8851 1.0674
2009.375 0.9070 0.8409 1.1652 0.8729 1.0464
2009.625 0.8973 0.8307 1.1434 0.8628 1.0252
2009.875 0.8924 0.8252 1.1246 0.8567 1.0060
2010.125 0.8922 0.8245 1.1088 0.8549 0.9892
2010.375 0.8952 0.8270 1.0947 0.8563 0.9742
2010.625 0.8990 0.8304 1.0800 0.8588 0.9591
2010.875 0.9025 0.8333 1.0636 0.8612 0.9428
2011.125 0.9055 0.8357 1.0456 0.8635 0.9253
2011.375 0.9093 0.8390 1.0273 0.8667 0.9077
2011.625 0.9159 0.8451 1.0105 0.8728 0.8916
2011.875 0.9262 0.8549 0.9961 0.8828 0.8783
2012.125 0.9400 0.8683 0.9840 0.8968 0.8679
2012.375 0.9561 0.8841 0.9732 0.9136 0.8597
2012.625 0.9725 0.9002 0.9625 0.9313 0.8521
2012.875 0.9873 0.9147 0.9503 0.9476 0.8433
2013.125 0.9987 0.9256 0.9354 0.9603 0.8313
2013.375 1.0045 0.9311 0.9164 0.9668 0.8137
2013.625 1.0031 0.9292 0.8916 0.9654 0.7888
2013.875 0.9949 0.9204 0.8616 0.9564 0.7572
2014.125 0.9828 0.9077 0.8292 0.9433 0.7227
2014.375 0.9729 0.8972 0.8005 0.9327 0.6922
2014.625 0.9728 0.8968 0.7834 0.9324 0.6740
2014.875 0.9868 0.9105 0.7822 0.9463 0.6725
2015.125 1.0137 0.9373 0.7962 0.9731 0.6860
2015.375 1.0472 0.9709 0.8193 1.0060 0.7076
2015.625 1.0773 1.0011 0.8410 1.0347 0.7265
2015.875 1.0966 1.0202 0.8535 1.0519 0.7351
2016.125 1.1019 1.0253 0.8533 1.0551 0.7306
2016.375 1.0950 1.0181 0.8418 1.0465 0.7152
2016.625 1.0816 1.0042 0.8246 1.0317 0.6952
2016.875 1.0667 0.9888 0.8072 1.0158 0.6755
2017.125 1.0536 0.9753 0.7935 1.0015 0.6592
2017.375 1.0434 0.9648 0.7851 0.9894 0.6471
2017.625 1.0351 0.9562 0.7809 0.9781 0.6376
2017.875 1.0270 0.9478 0.7789 0.9665 0.6292
2018.125 1.0176 0.9380 0.7764 0.9536 0.6205
2018.375 1.0056 0.9257 0.7711 0.9389 0.6107
2018.625 0.9908 0.9105 0.7621 0.9224 0.5991
2018.875 0.9731 0.8925 0.7489 0.9044 0.5857
2019.125 0.9533 0.8723 0.7324 0.8848 0.5703
2019.375 0.9320 0.8506 0.7138 0.8640 0.5533
2019.625 0.9100 0.8283 0.6944 0.8423 0.5352
2019.875 0.8881 0.8061 0.6757 0.8203 0.5171
2020.125 0.8669 0.7846 0.6588 0.7984 0.4996
2020.375 0.8468 0.7642 0.6445 0.7769 0.4836
2020.625 0.8278 0.7450 0.6329 0.7561 0.4693
2020.875 0.8099 0.7268 0.6236 0.7360 0.4565
2021.125 0.7926 0.7092 0.6157 0.7163 0.4449
2021.375 0.7756 0.6920 0.6083 0.6971 0.4341
2021.625 0.7585 0.6747 0.6008 0.6782 0.4239
2021.875 0.7413 0.6573 0.5927 0.6597 0.4140
2022.125 0.7240 0.6398 0.5838 0.6415 0.4042
2022.375 0.7065 0.6222 0.5742 0.6235 0.3943
2022.625 0.6890 0.6045 0.5640 0.6055 0.3841
2022.875 0.6717 0.5870 0.5538 0.5877 0.3735
2023.125 0.6550 0.5702 0.5444 0.5699 0.3627
2023.375 0.6393 0.5544 0.5367 0.5525 0.3521
2023.625 0.6250 0.5400 0.5312 0.5356 0.3419
2023.875 0.6122 0.5271 0.5280 0.5195 0.3328
2024.125 0.6007 0.5155 0.5269 0.5044 0.3250
2024.375 0.5902 0.5049 0.5271 0.4905 0.3188
2024.625 0.5806 0.4952 0.5281 0.4778 0.3146
2024.875 0.5715 0.4862 0.5296 0.4664 0.3122
2025.125 0.5629 0.4775 0.5310 0.4562 0.3115
2025.375 0.5545 0.4691 0.5318 0.4470 0.3121
2025.625 0.5460 0.4606 0.5317 0.4385 0.3136
2025.875 0.5374 0.4520 0.5300 0.4307 0.3153
2026.125 0.5283 0.4429 0.5266 0.4231 0.3168
2026.375 0.5190 0.4335 0.5215 0.4158 0.3177
2026.625 0.5093 0.4239 0.5149 0.4088 0.3181
2026.875 0.4996 0.4142 0.5073 0.4022 0.3183
2027.125 0.4901 0.4047 0.4995 0.3963 0.3192
2027.375 0.4811 0.3957 0.4919 0.3914 0.3211
2027.625 0.4727 0.3874 0.4853 0.3876 0.3245
2027.875 0.4652 0.3799 0.4798 0.3850 0.3293
2028.125 0.4584 0.3732 0.4755 0.3833 0.3350
2028.375 0.4523 0.3672 0.4724 0.3823 0.3411
2028.625 0.4469 0.3617 0.4701 0.3816 0.3471
2028.875 0.4419 0.3568 0.4685 0.3812 0.3526
2029.125 0.4372 0.3522 0.4672 0.3809 0.3573
2029.375 0.4328 0.3479 0.4662 0.3807 0.3613
2029.625 0.4286 0.3438 0.4653 0.3806 0.3646
2029.875 0.4246 0.3398 0.4642 0.3806 0.3675
2030.125 0.4206 0.3358 0.4627 0.3808 0.3699
2030.375 0.4165 0.3318 0.4608 0.3811 0.3721
2030.625 0.4124 0.3278 0.4584 0.3817 0.3742
2030.875 0.4084 0.3239 0.4559 0.3825 0.3763

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Figure 15: US versus global demographic changes

Date Working-age population growth: US Working-age population growth: OECD Working-age population growth: World Life expectancy at birth: US Life expectancy at birth: OECD Life expectancy at birth: World
1952.5 0.60533 0.95522 1.3792 68.58 64.546 46.808
1957.5 1.2052 1.0425 1.3076 69.639 66.608 49.212
1962.5 1.4865 1.3042 1.6306 70.064 67.961 51.07
1967.5 1.5544 1.2215 2.1099 70.312 68.98 55.378
1972.5 1.6593 1.2976 2.1244 71.246 70.127 58.049
1977.5 1.4091 1.22 2.2286 73.148 71.651 60.212
1982.5 1.0859 1.2814 2.3154 74.294 73.015 61.989
1987.5 0.83457 0.97753 2.0706 74.835 74.17 63.611
1992.5 0.97382 0.88832 1.7676 75.617 75.256 64.537
1997.5 1.4523 0.84727 1.7631 76.404 76.474 65.584
2002.5 1.1697 0.7897 1.7834 77.133 77.75 67.051
2007.5 0.90533 0.69646 1.5371 78.113 78.926 68.841
2012.5 0.46414 0.3102 1.1782 78.873 79.866 70.477
2017.5 0.24456 0.14073 0.94039 79.567 80.724 71.654
2022.5 0.1008 0.017104 0.89014 80.312 81.547 72.686
2027.5 0.045135 -0.096188 0.78335 81.056 82.332 73.654
2032.5 0.35983 -0.073623 0.64447 81.785 83.091 74.573
2037.5 0.39975 -0.11041 0.54034 82.566 83.833 75.449
2042.5 0.48157 -0.073442 0.50697 83.302 84.553 76.283
2047.5 0.27517 -0.15225 0.37643 83.979 85.224 77.072
2052.5 0.24442 -0.14693 0.244 84.577 85.863 77.834
2057.5 0.10509 -0.17417 0.2972 85.169 86.477 78.536
2062.5 0.26593 -0.10123 0.35182 85.733 87.06 79.18
2067.5 0.23296 -0.091978 0.29863 86.253 87.618 79.817
2072.5 0.19218 -0.14792 0.20391 86.802 88.182 80.408
2077.5 0.22327 -0.15423 0.1182 87.319 88.721 80.978
2082.5 0.14212 -0.17945 0.092652 87.84 89.26 81.535
2087.5 0.093635 -0.17654 0.099165 88.335 89.789 82.099
2092.5 0.083737 -0.1604 0.087865 88.834 90.318 82.646
2097.5 0.079461 -0.15013 0.047373 89.326 90.845 83.17

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