Using cross-state variation to assess the potential for additional improvement in measures of labor market conditions, Accessible Data

Accessible version of figures

Figure 1: Relationship between LTU and STU rates (2013 rel. to 2003/2007)

Regression line. LTU rate ratio = -.39 + 2.80*** (STU rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation STU ratio LTU ratio
US 1.093 2.609
ME 1.173 2.675
NH 1.156 2.782
VT 0.976 1.809
MA 1.151 2.363
RI 1.176 4.389
CT 1.122 2.955
NY 1.085 2.485
NJ 1.158 3.713
PA 1.105 3.010
OH 1.046 2.316
IN 1.322 2.031
IL 1.249 2.621
MI 1.017 1.854
WI 1.089 2.366
MN 0.952 1.886
IA 1.056 1.482
MO 0.968 2.232
ND 0.734 1.328
SD 0.983 1.336
NE 0.963 2.090
KS 0.980 1.918
DE 1.397 3.475
MD 1.298 3.054
DC 0.927 2.444
VA 1.230 3.229
WV 1.006 2.204
NC 1.109 3.283
SC 0.920 1.887
GA 1.256 3.296
FL 1.100 4.513
KY 1.141 2.711
TN 1.291 2.471
AL 1.212 2.351
MS 1.058 2.499
AR 1.105 2.869
LA 0.996 2.405
OK 1.122 1.534
TX 0.962 1.943
MT 1.136 2.071
ID 1.306 3.401
WY 1.122 2.800
CO 1.060 2.959
NM 0.999 3.548
AZ 1.391 3.337
UT 0.955 1.889
NV 1.484 6.163
WA 1.013 2.033
OR 0.979 2.278
CA 1.172 3.097
AK 0.777 2.054
HI 1.156 3.043

 

 

Figure 2: Relationship between LTU job finding and LF droupout rates and STU rates

Fig 2a: LTU job finding rate

Regression line. LTU job finding rate ratio = 1.22*** - 0.48** (STU rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation STU ratio LTU job finding rate ratio
US 1.093 0.667
ME 1.173 0.760
NH 1.156 0.738
VT 0.976 1.033
MA 1.151 0.658
RI 1.176 0.448
CT 1.122 0.387
NY 1.085 0.783
NJ 1.158 0.520
PA 1.105 0.588
OH 1.046 0.672
IN 1.322 0.638
IL 1.249 0.646
MI 1.017 0.790
WI 1.089 0.701
MN 0.952 0.688
IA 1.056 0.715
MO 0.968 0.758
ND 0.734 0.668
SD 0.983 0.580
NE 0.963 0.614
KS 0.980 0.782
DE 1.397 0.365
MD 1.298 0.599
DC 0.927 0.575
VA 1.230 0.465
WV 1.006 0.459
NC 1.109 0.517
SC 0.920 0.659
GA 1.256 0.577
FL 1.100 0.636
KY 1.141 0.459
TN 1.291 0.541
AL 1.212 0.527
MS 1.058 0.562
AR 1.105 0.758
LA 0.996 0.834
OK 1.122 1.501
TX 0.962 0.931
MT 1.136 0.904
ID 1.306 0.558
WY 1.122 1.148
CO 1.060 0.562
NM 0.999 0.428
AZ 1.391 0.813
UT 0.955 0.986
NV 1.484 0.427
WA 1.013 0.734
OR 0.979 0.649
CA 1.172 0.720
AK 0.777 0.607
HI 1.156 0.547

 

 

Fig 2b: LTU LF dropout rate

Regression line. LTU labor force dropout rate ratio = 1.10*** - 0.19 (STU rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation STU ratio LTU LF dropout rate ratio
US 1.093 0.915
ME 1.173 0.596
NH 1.156 0.819
VT 0.976 0.856
MA 1.151 0.947
RI 1.176 0.705
CT 1.122 0.701
NY 1.085 0.772
NJ 1.158 0.854
PA 1.105 0.878
OH 1.046 0.905
IN 1.322 1.077
IL 1.249 0.698
MI 1.017 1.145
WI 1.089 0.779
MN 0.952 0.996
IA 1.056 1.313
MO 0.968 0.970
ND 0.734 0.853
SD 0.983 1.416
NE 0.963 0.655
KS 0.980 1.072
DE 1.397 0.956
MD 1.298 0.820
DC 0.927 1.132
VA 1.230 0.749
WV 1.006 1.525
NC 1.109 1.030
SC 0.920 1.130
GA 1.256 0.771
FL 1.100 0.804
KY 1.141 1.065
TN 1.291 1.095
AL 1.212 0.885
MS 1.058 1.006
AR 1.105 0.514
LA 0.996 0.897
OK 1.122 0.996
TX 0.962 0.816
MT 1.136 0.787
ID 1.306 0.960
WY 1.122 1.000
CO 1.060 0.897
NM 0.999 0.784
AZ 1.391 0.862
UT 0.955 1.008
NV 1.484 0.905
WA 1.013 0.823
OR 0.979 0.887
CA 1.172 0.897
AK 0.777 0.876
HI 1.156 1.221

 

 

Figure 3: Relationship between other labor market measures and STU rates

Fig 3a: PT for economic reasons

Regression line. Part-time share ratio = -0.52 + 2.07*** (STU rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation STU ratio part-time for economic reasons ratio
US 1.093 1.677
ME 1.173 1.886
NH 1.156 2.171
VT 0.976 1.716
MA 1.151 2.158
RI 1.176 1.964
CT 1.122 1.770
NY 1.085 1.924
NJ 1.158 2.366
PA 1.105 1.701
OH 1.046 1.506
IN 1.322 1.758
IL 1.249 2.041
MI 1.017 1.347
WI 1.089 1.576
MN 0.952 1.670
IA 1.056 1.400
MO 0.968 1.489
ND 0.734 0.847
SD 0.983 1.126
NE 0.963 1.282
KS 0.980 1.567
DE 1.397 2.713
MD 1.298 2.242
DC 0.927 1.583
VA 1.230 2.077
WV 1.006 1.362
NC 1.109 1.667
SC 0.920 1.362
GA 1.256 2.030
FL 1.100 2.134
KY 1.141 1.926
TN 1.291 2.007
AL 1.212 1.550
MS 1.058 1.549
AR 1.105 1.322
LA 0.996 1.582
OK 1.122 1.304
TX 0.962 1.259
MT 1.136 1.416
ID 1.306 1.620
WY 1.122 1.257
CO 1.060 1.548
NM 0.999 1.666
AZ 1.391 2.186
UT 0.955 1.471
NV 1.484 2.544
WA 1.013 1.544
OR 0.979 1.762
CA 1.172 2.020
AK 0.777 1.114
HI 1.156 1.731

 

 

Fig 3b: CPS job finding rate

Regression line. Job finding rate ratio = 1.17*** - 0.40*** (STU rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation STU ratio CPS job finding rate ratio
US 1.093 0.740
ME 1.173 0.875
NH 1.156 0.776
VT 0.976 0.728
MA 1.151 0.716
RI 1.176 0.568
CT 1.122 0.578
NY 1.085 0.748
NJ 1.158 0.711
PA 1.105 0.690
OH 1.046 0.726
IN 1.322 0.843
IL 1.249 0.649
MI 1.017 0.692
WI 1.089 0.784
MN 0.952 0.733
IA 1.056 0.876
MO 0.968 0.813
ND 0.734 0.889
SD 0.983 0.909
NE 0.963 0.852
KS 0.980 0.994
DE 1.397 0.662
MD 1.298 0.702
DC 0.927 0.830
VA 1.230 0.658
WV 1.006 0.629
NC 1.109 0.739
SC 0.920 0.709
GA 1.256 0.638
FL 1.100 0.560
KY 1.141 0.655
TN 1.291 0.640
AL 1.212 0.803
MS 1.058 0.729
AR 1.105 0.653
LA 0.996 0.706
OK 1.122 0.909
TX 0.962 0.841
MT 1.136 0.690
ID 1.306 0.707
WY 1.122 0.818
CO 1.060 0.830
NM 0.999 0.674
AZ 1.391 0.569
UT 0.955 0.874
NV 1.484 0.562
WA 1.013 0.842
OR 0.979 0.870
CA 1.172 0.663
AK 0.777 0.681
HI 1.156 0.636

 

 

Fig 3c: CPS quit rate

Regression line. Quit rate ratio = 1.05*** - 0.28** (STU rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation STU ratio CPS quit rate ratio
US 1.093 0.766
ME 1.173 0.769
NH 1.156 0.686
VT 0.976 0.808
MA 1.151 0.781
RI 1.176 0.817
CT 1.122 0.725
NY 1.085 0.684
NJ 1.158 0.630
PA 1.105 0.841
OH 1.046 0.753
IN 1.322 0.934
IL 1.249 0.801
MI 1.017 0.851
WI 1.089 0.793
MN 0.952 0.764
IA 1.056 0.734
MO 0.968 0.936
ND 0.734 1.059
SD 0.983 0.805
NE 0.963 0.757
KS 0.980 0.887
DE 1.397 0.801
MD 1.298 0.535
DC 0.927 0.930
VA 1.230 0.668
WV 1.006 0.879
NC 1.109 0.774
SC 0.920 0.784
GA 1.256 0.556
FL 1.100 0.652
KY 1.141 0.935
TN 1.291 0.805
AL 1.212 0.748
MS 1.058 0.732
AR 1.105 0.608
LA 0.996 0.687
OK 1.122 0.983
TX 0.962 0.783
MT 1.136 0.781
ID 1.306 0.783
WY 1.122 0.651
CO 1.060 0.806
NM 0.999 0.717
AZ 1.391 0.643
UT 0.955 0.658
NV 1.484 0.683
WA 1.013 0.778
OR 0.979 0.797
CA 1.172 0.676
AK 0.777 0.820
HI 1.156 0.737

 

 

Fig 3d: Labor force participation rate

Regression line. Labor force participation rate = 0.97*** - 0.01 (STU rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation STU ratio LFPR ratio
US 1.093 0.955
ME 1.173 0.985
NH 1.156 0.971
VT 0.976 0.965
MA 1.151 0.963
RI 1.176 0.960
CT 1.122 0.966
NY 1.085 0.977
NJ 1.158 0.971
PA 1.105 0.985
OH 1.046 0.941
IN 1.322 0.941
IL 1.249 0.979
MI 1.017 0.927
WI 1.089 0.962
MN 0.952 0.952
IA 1.056 0.977
MO 0.968 0.944
ND 0.734 1.004
SD 0.983 0.948
NE 0.963 0.979
KS 0.980 0.967
DE 1.397 0.904
MD 1.298 0.977
DC 0.927 1.050
VA 1.230 0.976
WV 1.006 0.967
NC 1.109 0.926
SC 0.920 0.921
GA 1.256 0.929
FL 1.100 0.961
KY 1.141 0.974
TN 1.291 0.943
AL 1.212 0.928
MS 1.058 0.906
AR 1.105 0.916
LA 0.996 0.969
OK 1.122 0.973
TX 0.962 0.976
MT 1.136 0.950
ID 1.306 0.945
WY 1.122 0.962
CO 1.060 0.936
NM 0.999 0.905
AZ 1.391 0.925
UT 0.955 0.951
NV 1.484 0.940
WA 1.013 0.939
OR 0.979 0.925
CA 1.172 0.958
AK 0.777 0.948
HI 1.156 0.927

 

 

Figure 4: Relationship between labor market measures and unemployment rates

Fig 4a: PT for economic reasons

Regression line. Part-time share ratio = -0.28* +1.44*** (Unemployment rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation Unemp. rate ratio part-time for economic reasons ratio
US 1.372 1.677
ME 1.415 1.886
NH 1.418 2.171
VT 1.095 1.716
MA 1.412 2.158
RI 1.744 1.964
CT 1.535 1.770
NY 1.448 1.924
NJ 1.706 2.366
PA 1.480 1.701
OH 1.292 1.506
IN 1.472 1.758
IL 1.595 2.041
MI 1.217 1.347
WI 1.334 1.576
MN 1.097 1.670
IA 1.124 1.400
MO 1.249 1.489
ND 0.803 0.847
SD 1.030 1.126
NE 1.133 1.282
KS 1.137 1.567
DE 1.762 2.713
MD 1.643 2.242
DC 1.306 1.583
VA 1.572 2.077
WV 1.247 1.362
NC 1.555 1.667
SC 1.129 1.362
GA 1.696 2.030
FL 1.691 2.134
KY 1.403 1.926
TN 1.526 2.007
AL 1.456 1.550
MS 1.383 1.549
AR 1.363 1.322
LA 1.251 1.582
OK 1.198 1.304
TX 1.133 1.259
MT 1.277 1.416
ID 1.531 1.620
WY 1.286 1.257
CO 1.394 1.548
NM 1.422 1.666
AZ 1.702 2.186
UT 1.075 1.471
NV 2.125 2.544
WA 1.196 1.544
OR 1.229 1.762
CA 1.566 2.020
AK 0.928 1.114
HI 1.459 1.731

 

 

Fig 4b: CPS quit rate

Regression line. Quit rate ratio = 1.12*** - 0.27** (Unemployment rate ratio)

Source: Author's estimates, derived from the BLS's publicly available CPS microdata.

Abbreviation Unemp. rate ratio CPS quit rate ratio
US 1.372 0.766
ME 1.415 0.769
NH 1.418 0.686
VT 1.095 0.808
MA 1.412 0.781
RI 1.744 0.817
CT 1.535 0.725
NY 1.448 0.684
NJ 1.706 0.630
PA 1.480 0.841
OH 1.292 0.753
IN 1.472 0.934
IL 1.595 0.801
MI 1.217 0.851
WI 1.334 0.793
MN 1.097 0.764
IA 1.124 0.734
MO 1.249 0.936
ND 0.803 1.059
SD 1.030 0.805
NE 1.133 0.757
KS 1.137 0.887
DE 1.762 0.801
MD 1.643 0.535
DC 1.306 0.930
VA 1.572 0.668
WV 1.247 0.879
NC 1.555 0.774
SC 1.129 0.784
GA 1.696 0.556
FL 1.691 0.652
KY 1.403 0.935
TN 1.526 0.805
AL 1.456 0.748
MS 1.383 0.732
AR 1.363 0.608
LA 1.251 0.687
OK 1.198 0.983
TX 1.133 0.783
MT 1.277 0.781
ID 1.531 0.783
WY 1.286 0.651
CO 1.394 0.806
NM 1.422 0.717
AZ 1.702 0.643
UT 1.075 0.658
NV 2.125 0.683
WA 1.196 0.778
OR 1.229 0.797
CA 1.566 0.676
AK 0.928 0.820
HI 1.459 0.737