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Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Data for paper 2010-44

The Effects of Bank Capital on Lending: What Do We Know, and What Does it Mean?

Jose M. Berrospide and Rochelle M. Edge

Figure 1, Top-left panel: Assets and Leverage Growth of Various Institutions in the Flow of Funds Accounts. Households

   Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Assets growth, (vertical axis)
1963-01-01 -0.126239228697678 2.04224440957324
1963-04-01 0.244290518107992 1.62736926750422
1963-07-01 0.112362960292645 1.89711298245865
1963-10-01 0.401281841281498 0.0578706223038683
1964-01-01 -0.0720568200613947 1.91922305344518
1964-04-01 0.140991658786205 2.09809071121256
1964-07-01 0.0437290817763891 1.92058668640795
1964-10-01 0.122256832568524 1.88770982175503
1965-01-01 -0.0700612590947558 1.65299588674781
1965-04-01 0.394159951429773 0.0517802562524095
1965-07-01 -0.131840221204116 3.030267790884
1965-10-01 -0.0415957552069801 3.03641742950502
1966-01-01 0.112209679868869 0.168505881087144
1966-04-01 0.204279249302841 1.15734054342622
1966-07-01 0.319866727118812 -1.13036396101731
1966-10-01 -0.202780901276089 3.19129654172077
1967-01-01 -0.505454347752499 3.54180706339233
1967-04-01 0.100521950395538 1.31038704458317
1967-07-01 -0.169932004252915 2.85196081486112
1967-10-01 -0.00657856569646897 2.58241059907873
1968-01-01 0.0920268588201933 0.0534731613930139
1968-04-01 -0.190512053714398 4.52918888578238
1968-07-01 0.00478954189520042 1.79873557193018
1968-10-01 -0.247187495254031 5.03169773119942
1969-01-01 -0.0522158970681308 0.201323222221084
1969-04-01 0.315222714783081 0.1780605114448
1969-07-01 0.112098892576817 0.546090023411727
1969-10-01 0.277809696739784 0.484884747112724
1970-01-01 -0.254526782966102 0.173326511734206
1970-04-01 0.517993313463783 -2.24101183919778
1970-07-01 -0.274187381614843 3.43025132239432
1970-10-01 -0.195821171540778 3.29921338986034
1971-01-01 -0.460733997244323 4.07189788510698
1971-04-01 0.163713529591991 1.75779729330388
1971-07-01 0.153395691150293 1.42361863538232
1971-10-01 0.0364991325256137 2.92435666925719
1972-01-01 -0.288813764781681 3.6358422179311
1972-04-01 0.296852749678478 1.45781489874688
1972-07-01 0.0143549914174868 2.73558997077727
1972-10-01 -0.291021711992956 5.48239429076909
1973-01-01 0.212500144750516 0.410800360560026
1973-04-01 0.32135029140834 0.914575251340821
1973-07-01 -0.167044683466977 4.21783756077749
1973-10-01 0.484598232487654 -0.768923806717658
1974-01-01 0.022421712702414 0.470163044243588
1974-04-01 0.509514785907061 -0.328388637069843
1974-07-01 0.587608781054949 -1.21838476643479
1974-10-01 -0.160920012971055 2.9559359541131
1975-01-01 -0.756078899607293 5.06303542547726
1975-04-01 -0.361314522315315 4.607475310369
1975-07-01 0.432322305319777 -0.363553389627846
1975-10-01 0.0046111889036915 3.17555354540686
1976-01-01 -0.337255328989772 3.67071661497558
1976-04-01 0.0223161887492829 3.26488257903526
1976-07-01 0.158786631153962 2.03893706167924
1976-10-01 0.0669024248110439 2.95320787918836
1977-01-01 0.0431321603084456 1.66134456804448
1977-04-01 0.172378948476526 3.21797641226915
1977-07-01 0.263425272147422 2.40932487106946
1977-10-01 0.213332734790339 2.55036527369215
1978-01-01 -0.00632452741314848 2.36232438859416
1978-04-01 0.120720768799587 4.11955152037269
1978-07-01 0.108312499736263 3.87322407546538
1978-10-01 0.207525461174618 2.47731092243506
1979-01-01 -0.233846039088559 4.01807563992884
1979-04-01 0.0784108200300837 3.61461666099432
1979-07-01 0.0496108832786168 3.7865768270291
1979-10-01 0.0828710643046238 3.06909573305485
1980-01-01 0.0313304519244495 2.1016899446251
1980-04-01 -0.33510352786229 3.66037587003019
1980-07-01 -0.245669594542786 4.26814821415771
1980-10-01 -0.046822088149101 3.44150702706869
1981-01-01 -0.140588344080739 1.66348373549836
1981-04-01 0.0117605451230851 2.50126757483295
1981-07-01 0.208954853719012 0.711379132461309
1981-10-01 -0.0833354462264402 2.69729737512592
1982-01-01 -0.0960601921533355 0.788119831363399
1982-04-01 0.0710714456197303 1.08175268980517
1982-07-01 -0.194877144464878 2.04548577536787
1982-10-01 -0.087484817251704 2.82247895427223
1983-01-01 -0.445432105594046 2.80760163657472
1983-04-01 0.0714932575300198 2.77858037104974
1983-07-01 0.295318243101628 1.33244702335362
1983-10-01 0.359633324109643 1.0396930398916
1984-01-01 0.00517979623861908 1.31057392409781
1984-04-01 0.259023772955769 1.65407810258247
1984-07-01 0.00675449419460517 2.94862762908887
1984-10-01 0.179881831918549 2.33534940520297
1985-01-01 0.0716812410542778 3.09930469678636
1985-04-01 0.177194642733247 2.61015460424687
1985-07-01 0.456307372041009 1.44682444708062
1985-10-01 0.0321457220820998 4.78119079695005
1986-01-01 -0.362395421943684 3.29779459765458
1986-04-01 0.0657895374084339 2.45901354141722
1986-07-01 0.434663007557301 0.857973344019491
1986-10-01 -0.0169722775651193 3.50163975903899
1987-01-01 -0.641983880728036 4.21556031389225
1987-04-01 0.254523591428746 1.96353745313729
1987-07-01 0.0316523609702912 2.58979780278821
1987-10-01 0.514790190095882 -1.94020502806176
1988-01-01 -0.190172777134912 2.54479888841641
1988-04-01 0.0852716707219203 2.43459192545994
1988-07-01 0.164126029835443 1.66681117003675
1988-10-01 0.124710893569491 2.42305912565415
1989-01-01 -0.156558903209703 2.16907359683989
1989-04-01 0.0809546277839468 2.23776213248763
1989-07-01 -0.0641320769964038 2.93115128104979
1989-10-01 0.126955072057622 1.70807082498925
1990-01-01 0.233578954147595 0.428981619722046
1990-04-01 0.123317688423574 1.37716372731469
1990-07-01 0.561382252855824 -1.25862255766072
1990-10-01 -0.0790015183612214 2.20843383590437
1991-01-01 -0.408325315275559 2.80341176006036
1991-04-01 0.253442437753337 0.403421428520701
1991-07-01 -0.00255660379643308 1.2678596903769
1991-10-01 -0.0962475320430922 2.64790137401949
1992-01-01 0.0370785163170462 0.206450253452117
1992-04-01 0.165022909561152 0.241697510078143
1992-07-01 0.0752676002353292 1.25472353585472
1992-10-01 -0.139393675198829 2.6682021974554
1993-01-01 -0.197420590801023 1.30784092890885
1993-04-01 0.128072472714691 0.99547515960674
1993-07-01 0.0973827702768215 1.64441603387695
1993-10-01 0.0575045033502475 1.94485291469357
1994-01-01 0.0996938149211646 0.154055311627954
1994-04-01 0.200435183715664 0.792149800523911
1994-07-01 0.0628947467581575 1.6499993623736
1994-10-01 0.259492692811714 1.19665311040626
1995-01-01 -0.296781706565941 2.2230533932843
1995-04-01 -0.0822648392372671 2.35866655783299
1995-07-01 -0.0831262935415134 2.77435800934327
1995-10-01 -0.0930264833769123 2.38242602977141
1996-01-01 -0.178641796978363 2.24999617207311
1996-04-01 0.00385385839827279 1.89084880507269
1996-07-01 0.084416564593659 1.36680786941181
1996-10-01 0.0576419129854289 1.65015544922242
1997-01-01 -0.038008348013796 0.885722911122633
1997-04-01 -0.547770232093281 4.98879177771547
1997-07-01 -0.212105659898698 3.49327419448673
1997-10-01 0.0388058067846808 1.38547553321005
1998-01-01 -0.638273895305985 4.93214416051873
1998-04-01 0.0885441329599779 1.95306081646247
1998-07-01 0.78199862575421 -2.7440860688959
1998-10-01 -0.777769863140176 7.19999734955956
1999-01-01 -0.0799501999123264 1.88636397869737
1999-04-01 -0.167184729530667 3.51019163583928
1999-07-01 0.518566220725414 -0.627929809491667
1999-10-01 -0.829277195310407 7.95924499719687
2000-01-01 -0.179713914002111 3.02546623783111
2000-04-01 0.443696938823557 -0.623978204689468
2000-07-01 0.266943163500288 0.96464652837347
2000-10-01 0.736199490820377 -2.3949437111099
2001-01-01 0.581929543591841 -2.54360399304254
2001-04-01 -0.0721587428253123 3.07576390599149
2001-07-01 1.24612976150109 -3.34329895304085
2001-10-01 -0.405434007053951 3.79653297254978
2002-01-01 0.0447419997105181 1.43889888280559
2002-04-01 0.908494538091342 -2.28433761341577
2002-07-01 1.12534146292151 -2.96705923959103
2002-10-01 -0.035533474815419 3.29350402382613
2003-01-01 0.314619798114846 0.605948792866617
2003-04-01 -0.113449982114233 4.88302918919996
2003-07-01 0.0504193904431904 2.55467193297854
2003-10-01 -0.585765056531484 4.96680748944085
2004-01-01 -0.154165781004245 2.84774710357512
2004-04-01 0.173511900196077 2.2413851905418
2004-07-01 0.283046740038428 1.31076951125955
2004-10-01 -0.36801274297007 5.3063025326259
2005-01-01 -0.0890262207374426 2.2330084080677
2005-04-01 -0.0614395602274498 3.12166541660754
2005-07-01 -0.124531915483816 3.61821372911135
2005-10-01 -0.0668532889193885 2.7942417224629
2006-01-01 -0.254742622887583 3.81891819048681
2006-04-01 0.58452770138222 -0.109724001402567
2006-07-01 0.219366886764072 1.42373769556292
2006-10-01 -0.222264153445406 3.2074088361544

Figure 1, Top-right panel: Assets and Leverage Growth of Various Institutions in the Flow of Funds Accounts. Non-fin. Non-farm Corporates

   Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Assets growth, (vertical axis)
1963-01-01 -0.228107574133107 0.575442572980567
1963-04-01 0.321552143096326 1.15692845694302
1963-07-01 0.239664399382034 1.25592974571713
1963-10-01 1.25892886407624 1.32321578659724
1964-01-01 -0.640572097239045 0.609912333145757
1964-04-01 0.111494757556629 1.73387012370845
1964-07-01 0.295659396913162 1.54280345116113
1964-10-01 1.2955306738589 1.68270231996335
1965-01-01 -0.0029155875685638 1.41351362422091
1965-04-01 0.380036281804741 1.73920827379332
1965-07-01 0.392892514608811 1.75625897952856
1965-10-01 0.840294714925882 3.11762863671496
1966-01-01 0.0277296716727493 1.23701957736602
1966-04-01 -0.108470938760907 2.77168357555273
1966-07-01 0.354247447569156 1.75467737052952
1966-10-01 0.617821399691554 2.29130546070964
1967-01-01 -0.380717651662288 1.06276799363945
1967-04-01 -0.197567529782272 1.28125110952066
1967-07-01 -0.0267239308260225 1.97916042048165
1967-10-01 0.724448294780333 2.80311439062317
1968-01-01 0.206873135273522 1.91335015786194
1968-04-01 -0.0314932652911604 2.09984631059075
1968-07-01 0.463267033438486 2.02401691331924
1968-10-01 0.74541422593617 3.18442616836063
1969-01-01 -0.142814229604715 2.32854989990778
1969-04-01 0.23830822371862 2.45164420307433
1969-07-01 0.218470857414488 2.48285722823851
1969-10-01 0.559597732528783 2.83355464637765
1970-01-01 -0.365368797185739 1.84001395987989
1970-04-01 -0.218237081721184 2.85690419704185
1970-07-01 0.184206051639668 1.21094501049148
1970-10-01 0.144946556548398 2.1724952147909
1971-01-01 -0.562368179390171 2.22121240393955
1971-04-01 -0.214601980635376 2.2862823714352
1971-07-01 -0.181708616513521 2.32672348877563
1971-10-01 0.409641578977293 2.37658025146004
1972-01-01 -0.578948367944798 2.60096957262694
1972-04-01 -0.103709511607819 2.01433795796087
1972-07-01 0.224369397213464 2.19148102806579
1972-10-01 0.559160598307695 3.57076153252964
1973-01-01 -0.0778343782145363 2.860801646218
1973-04-01 0.37383702105942 3.41560110072778
1973-07-01 0.328272252070705 3.37600948513008
1973-10-01 0.776222948523242 3.93831576649291
1974-01-01 -0.596880806373468 3.36517566844221
1974-04-01 -0.409340448148054 4.53085889105207
1974-07-01 -1.02092188422039 5.16272627996499
1974-10-01 -6.14428770655672 4.05625567290986
1975-01-01 13.1146119390387 7.7853044580606
1975-04-01 -0.631276001645031 2.41568367721665
1975-07-01 0.668158374837868 1.30587184382787
1975-10-01 -0.243029799669015 1.66004401113309
1976-01-01 -0.109944149856822 2.65670383226837
1976-04-01 -0.486978592365495 3.08911130003899
1976-07-01 0.161747445016713 2.60784036210573
1976-10-01 -0.300165126879826 1.93789389114969
1977-01-01 0.103370623194521 2.75307154557649
1977-04-01 -0.229722799788412 2.34166838926528
1977-07-01 0.260908986042407 2.81856255567654
1977-10-01 0.419464102795208 2.94348847486661
1978-01-01 0.545771011828222 2.85117128448387
1978-04-01 -0.268494769159466 3.21211129333439
1978-07-01 -0.154649620541469 3.34680232190021
1978-10-01 0.417405000020854 3.72575061612375
1979-01-01 0.375188540470561 3.7812677758132
1979-04-01 -0.302836077643309 3.53647543184286
1979-07-01 0.22663211867302 4.24081962762275
1979-10-01 0.33398768618742 3.25656767973852
1980-01-01 0.546782795605938 3.15499251269644
1980-04-01 -0.856505839696187 2.66955793437951
1980-07-01 -0.122705657476452 4.05727113027081
1980-10-01 -0.414595373710513 3.33277321692582
1981-01-01 1.4441812433369 4.84519567263859
1981-04-01 -0.488484451186966 2.55562320793012
1981-07-01 0.591489731242878 2.21438361058008
1981-10-01 -0.690364434125423 2.4291890142736
1982-01-01 0.366158369198555 2.22662654396149
1982-04-01 0.139218833947452 0.917932173863245
1982-07-01 0.482555038540067 1.54884940576934
1982-10-01 -0.0971013866649995 0.768242367009164
1983-01-01 -0.0634053719135608 1.40528098072543
1983-04-01 0.219670680251971 1.1686316169943
1983-07-01 0.504853528982796 1.00219687850385
1983-10-01 0.161705945157875 1.40739720344605
1984-01-01 1.46911435120149 2.05358219106644
1984-04-01 0.89933638302977 2.41920258113555
1984-07-01 0.388940984058839 2.52206476154282
1984-10-01 -0.497393072881902 1.45181640244505
1985-01-01 1.56024385427611 1.44645117424789
1985-04-01 0.787197492516523 1.32460035184498
1985-07-01 0.869666575941808 1.41137942564231
1985-10-01 0.95733210681177 2.62137447281656
1986-01-01 -0.328478871858506 0.428910898480117
1986-04-01 -0.0165866582326868 1.09440860051178
1986-07-01 1.04422581301111 1.5753951083685
1986-10-01 0.356329695020219 1.21521546308365
1987-01-01 0.209580436184043 1.88293729883622
1987-04-01 0.119069038536046 1.28923243844052
1987-07-01 -0.0418342799963001 1.41111348624041
1987-10-01 0.916417835052163 1.60671461061277
1988-01-01 0.357000772216964 1.94482981695783
1988-04-01 0.0540685395443941 1.69367096718298
1988-07-01 -0.0576890195099766 1.34447523904069
1988-10-01 1.46813201250087 3.50205868679248
1989-01-01 -0.0546240156314881 4.4129186267563
1989-04-01 0.55797915108311 0.60871315182407
1989-07-01 0.728380564332709 0.391077188293631
1989-10-01 0.831102702652786 0.205968150512126
1990-01-01 0.81346181154327 0.212260499052697
1990-04-01 0.0728596792311187 0.243080983718547
1990-07-01 0.841873273831717 1.09517273985253
1990-10-01 0.0151369952196445 0.838157936878359
1991-01-01 0.0877005346169302 0.395588030928362
1991-04-01 0.276517242657159 0.0754149511625224
1991-07-01 1.58436156446731 -0.350948268277362
1991-10-01 0.741918560663168 -0.767949343946051
1992-01-01 4.20783232851127 0.658358469844811
1992-04-01 0.508918163279715 -0.313366304221241
1992-07-01 0.800439928376728 -0.383659626170552
1992-10-01 0.833067318519953 -0.217761420054108
1993-01-01 0.993598554103237 1.08797803256528
1993-04-01 0.0439885310328458 1.03294518876615
1993-07-01 -0.092785178443211 0.997978671952238
1993-10-01 -0.0343251603232009 1.42541483466405
1994-01-01 -0.387636499711286 1.04407986904633
1994-04-01 -0.542725597466409 1.54107673631159
1994-07-01 -0.701593753635454 1.34083892616153
1994-10-01 -0.221452560518764 2.10612496635161
1995-01-01 -0.154392461689645 1.33646818607287
1995-04-01 -0.425612417689147 1.84401445456077
1995-07-01 -0.190083774432714 1.90505034564559
1995-10-01 0.00762535733551672 2.24748673272812
1996-01-01 0.143063027136558 1.70585942089865
1996-04-01 -0.220709729393687 1.56196579226093
1996-07-01 -0.299371847657048 1.69363304482844
1996-10-01 -0.748265759799915 2.10628823382446
1997-01-01 -0.676447855631335 1.72540872539666
1997-04-01 -0.999867784358532 1.61402449730974
1997-07-01 -0.806221348131897 2.14236253630657
1997-10-01 -0.888292965546222 1.7075748210476
1998-01-01 -0.422104763065911 2.82496951542264
1998-04-01 -0.370184718338351 2.74061853601761
1998-07-01 0.608818816248036 1.02526293025154
1998-10-01 0.575706094492756 5.00690487465711
1999-01-01 0.351053403801593 2.8513317627872
1999-04-01 -0.520698612503012 3.36255119875104
1999-07-01 1.5185260616585 1.64129205019394
1999-10-01 -0.805832904249437 3.78968277688283
2000-01-01 0.514020746436694 2.75474150976618
2000-04-01 0.720474264292825 3.1979030128864
2000-07-01 0.641898207446845 3.03602027072287
2000-10-01 -1.93107856706601 4.71476283345014
2001-01-01 1.02399882872239 0.139859655845509
2001-04-01 0.0828370615200136 0.70971027546749
2001-07-01 0.421376275705709 -0.258128094799726
2001-10-01 -0.237463988415154 0.204005175818156
2002-01-01 0.023668004617039 0.645030633414834
2002-04-01 0.0242325139099941 0.144131193344776
2002-07-01 -0.245289228026246 0.00649295617480838
2002-10-01 -0.542324162487162 1.07802911834682
2003-01-01 -0.729454550808528 0.832826992930302
2003-04-01 -0.948773173019657 0.635631123598834
2003-07-01 -0.685302458331061 0.50903172417458
2003-10-01 -1.24235700574691 1.13374482228261
2004-01-01 -0.317498141963979 1.70791000948456
2004-04-01 -0.816381778474462 1.80843627056391
2004-07-01 -0.634344090165428 1.65962761424765
2004-10-01 -0.875669721652994 2.52525007896784
2005-01-01 0.767138892867814 1.26355513538978
2005-04-01 -3.62016385023146 6.39501188927691
2005-07-01 -0.806131363240847 2.62505761662761
2005-10-01 -0.683413476362293 2.5236870227858
2006-01-01 -1.1246412182238 2.59866371177568
2006-04-01 -0.0182435341699483 1.87640102032929
2006-07-01 -0.631241369217961 1.94204080084204
2006-10-01 -1.13877063175899 2.93283386213039

Figure 1, Bottom-left panel: Assets and Leverage Growth of Various Institutions in the Flow of Funds Accounts. Commercial Banks

   Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Assets growth, (vertical axis)
1963-01-01 -0.598156930580673 -1.58992352408189
1963-04-01 -0.610476475335986 3.14445391683242
1963-07-01 2.24436783416069 1.18431879628542
1963-10-01 6.27454573417139 3.8664285091923
1964-01-01 -2.94591259589719 -0.841669637676601
1964-04-01 -0.152964061974292 3.14145722443513
1964-07-01 0.696103398465198 2.01502382075311
1964-10-01 2.5131080657397 4.29885627374387
1965-01-01 -0.0648892693662972 0.108887675456915
1965-04-01 0.14585472743498 3.77868828789516
1965-07-01 0.284702599875319 0.71974920079394
1965-10-01 2.69504505991121 4.86901962710344
1966-01-01 -0.611014291720779 -1.05638750014635
1966-04-01 0.929468212477569 4.31770243205425
1966-07-01 -0.121546763362779 -0.2963513337228
1966-10-01 -0.0815508388152475 3.24281736291054
1967-01-01 2.4268668112442 0.143259371091364
1967-04-01 -1.21059320744177 2.89217547276739
1967-07-01 3.32019628187781 2.99189061284293
1967-10-01 -0.636853112382652 4.68975937237961
1968-01-01 0.884277878678774 -0.519012264857444
1968-04-01 -1.47804415196439 2.47374574061565
1968-07-01 3.98451336024157 3.71518157515136
1968-10-01 1.56708875000591 5.04350681333114
1969-01-01 -0.319479140670353 -1.38320152542902
1969-04-01 -3.53865039545278 3.11221497965717
1969-07-01 2.3244867242451 0.171707745512428
1969-10-01 1.96619626052164 3.3263408934979
1970-01-01 -1.75968222397158 -1.1555383956112
1970-04-01 -4.62064533296854 3.11545601854335
1970-07-01 8.5452609572541 2.89956728157501
1970-10-01 2.20619375651507 4.61465020975682
1971-01-01 6.70910590927607 0.777461542626012
1971-04-01 -2.01504320953685 3.09218617197828
1971-07-01 9.21628453734094 2.42791262045581
1971-10-01 3.5897394232437 5.06014026672481
1972-01-01 1.33269964202456 1.39010428376252
1972-04-01 -2.27950309798338 3.11325195985455
1972-07-01 3.66370236924196 3.34959968239263
1972-10-01 0.423200680615743 6.13314681106136
1973-01-01 -6.25942888118025 2.44266589452062
1973-04-01 -4.82292466432122 3.76028288609771
1973-07-01 -6.28937598829058 4.46194598107053
1973-10-01 5.68461262059581 3.33421162716154
1974-01-01 -3.20941498033119 1.56882331679427
1974-04-01 0.973430570435085 4.2430971542301
1974-07-01 7.18351609037278 1.92042703742785
1974-10-01 2.84382368890186 1.79825095612773
1975-01-01 -2.37617969143094 -0.342074028696404
1975-04-01 -0.933882679495746 1.81264819761684
1975-07-01 -1.59128749859421 1.5599812740928
1975-10-01 5.20437430338636 2.76655380771249
1976-01-01 -7.49629992859665 0.165182994964286
1976-04-01 3.39164336886526 2.56446120371197
1976-07-01 -0.633463390967648 1.67770841856598
1976-10-01 3.38606975638218 3.84681530419206
1977-01-01 0.623518095625064 1.27466420024664
1977-04-01 0.66612608055443 2.98570244381047
1977-07-01 0.602734682232864 2.42189411453366
1977-10-01 7.69146556826439 4.02518679000055
1978-01-01 -1.77904759444188 1.25981816477645
1978-04-01 1.54605198916997 4.48608356065354
1978-07-01 -0.265737863380999 3.16121636490239
1978-10-01 8.83513230005073 4.76989926920799
1979-01-01 -4.52741021866653 0.977430975340865
1979-04-01 -2.92270548418436 3.65807331406864
1979-07-01 1.29558392591222 3.53775099332354
1979-10-01 1.90030053463401 2.49515203402804
1980-01-01 -4.94169164306891 0.904445485705008
1980-04-01 1.95276294445923 1.25598558486879
1980-07-01 -0.508076018079107 2.46752374466193
1980-10-01 3.12374032638829 4.43658800120947
1981-01-01 -0.622223222962148 0.285812818586817
1981-04-01 6.6232571934568 2.89500354649543
1981-07-01 9.56607094659594 2.82813590382689
1981-10-01 14.5676328359432 2.95738232516132
1982-01-01 10.4048565758006 -0.698756804708867
1982-04-01 -0.579263320323875 1.36840317502385
1982-07-01 -0.14525711134673 2.49561653032957
1982-10-01 74.2088472475413 3.66658862653968
1983-01-01 5.65072746132413 -0.246633196943824
1983-04-01 -15.8983066803075 2.23728841038398
1983-07-01 16.5301103475826 2.96655405692408
1983-10-01 3.51577436850317 3.8746139439459
1984-01-01 -55.2017897278311 3.2748074141068
1984-04-01 4.75909454347814 2.2377487562508
1984-07-01 -0.424230846207407 2.58671402213744
1984-10-01 -1.31633045886141 4.01070407552688
1985-01-01 0.117237427790462 0.910783796715386
1985-04-01 -2.36979988423668 2.48179316589319
1985-07-01 -2.53704857051414 2.79909829658043
1985-10-01 -2.50968052836762 5.11585998829287
1986-01-01 -0.583156145214181 0.638505843331583
1986-04-01 -2.58369190245865 1.72486786196544
1986-07-01 -0.0866370872235733 2.82682870213453
1986-10-01 6.70318481763799 4.72439120183823
1987-01-01 5.22544647601451 -1.0126340809245
1987-04-01 31.3055942749422 1.47205114735043
1987-07-01 5.4221711799719 2.69749796409515
1987-10-01 -12.274426428778 2.61122128714373
1988-01-01 3.06665115027811 0.373275950626373
1988-04-01 27.6580630670626 2.30429656793829
1988-07-01 -5.1848865555789 1.5384647786024
1988-10-01 18.000376514793 2.05108846105448
1989-01-01 -11.0120496738343 1.20381160146881
1989-04-01 1.63723463146765 3.07978673018303
1989-07-01 -10.2018057358286 3.31537855063728
1989-10-01 -0.917382673286005 1.64591877016225
1990-01-01 6.81563100824636 0.804531523263674
1990-04-01 9.08280314494703 -0.762620491859844
1990-07-01 -5.91556504893109 1.58839618906081
1990-10-01 -8.3989856105246 1.53909768785441
1991-01-01 14.8551567091666 0.352962152233105
1991-04-01 -2.44163806823271 -0.494331978486484
1991-07-01 -7.71193104516503 1.7624187187107
1991-10-01 6.9616462497043 1.51005266665487
1992-01-01 -29.5355657759952 1.40851535056885
1992-04-01 3.87934069163602 1.28043900110977
1992-07-01 -3.36429811271105 2.0939705820793
1992-10-01 -5.50900459648447 1.25954235482668
1993-01-01 -6.03965303620595 0.718380073044567
1993-04-01 -4.05115332886135 1.66045235279193
1993-07-01 0.528924606725756 1.58194768507582
1993-10-01 -4.16762490919743 2.37375431231202
1994-01-01 12.250587206596 1.8616053625828
1994-04-01 0.808591069842723 1.4565219091256
1994-07-01 4.51584999319039 1.09934043551942
1994-10-01 4.49192289232232 2.29771111762542
1995-01-01 -14.6720051621007 2.25396333144618
1995-04-01 -15.2062861783615 1.98953650128495
1995-07-01 0.817163109771979 1.72306761728758
1995-10-01 3.70192225861943 1.83707715579022
1996-01-01 -6.75881625396896 0.348317227027262
1996-04-01 8.20815612032137 1.34457023934786
1996-07-01 -3.28279926975676 0.910292572785432
1996-10-01 4.29268549884416 2.13834958771892
1997-01-01 4.55501656729107 1.72796475541233
1997-04-01 -2.37958310335932 2.57521665698692
1997-07-01 3.05036080276142 1.63633552314355
1997-10-01 16.9729911007722 3.58283928378045
1998-01-01 -1.56009799537451 1.37579609956626
1998-04-01 -3.90127238528367 1.66590542217044
1998-07-01 9.23047217625659 2.87655446481709
1998-10-01 -17.1105548921739 2.58920008354904
1999-01-01 -6.91420783514649 0.00836789308711339
1999-04-01 0.140122699033718 1.20464484019549
1999-07-01 -14.4021679116832 1.82203109424202
1999-10-01 2.87680639330044 3.18762833494146
2000-01-01 6.19733224671937 0.879109603058659
2000-04-01 8.90784597533001 2.66413348662724
2000-07-01 13.9219100138301 2.41347224043915
2000-10-01 3.39578812162569 1.88951735828926
2001-01-01 -10.4632258843059 0.57051934943928
2001-04-01 -2.26489614747051 0.868976362687435
2001-07-01 18.793617289497 1.98729810819351
2001-10-01 -6.94359879015642 2.04001081368819
2002-01-01 -17.6570900112208 -0.285941881197305
2002-04-01 14.0582536843912 2.20216387518404
2002-07-01 1.37382942627271 2.90812507518303
2002-10-01 27.5366106588277 2.33819734765526
2003-01-01 -22.2807832338799 1.47491062455358
2003-04-01 -0.292130133544688 2.5815796730789
2003-07-01 25.4847081885506 0.17018323902056
2003-10-01 2.19303176068433 2.38716486083081
2004-01-01 -2.01412352105692 3.08032152712396
2004-04-01 20.9916089486054 2.0583340676261
2004-07-01 -10.1496600896077 2.3064216167894
2004-10-01 25.0585724570867 1.63906707999928
2005-01-01 -13.4434550565399 2.70904025644418
2005-04-01 -2.66950738957072 2.46206563115725
2005-07-01 -25.1621902085867 2.46673039979191
2005-10-01 3.97329876463088 0.972226809265719
2006-01-01 4.22986401293357 1.9730799663517
2006-04-01 -8.04331349343778 2.62162539213713
2006-07-01 21.7593474188447 0.50965551346962
2006-10-01 -7.96862862310376 4.08037067452685

Figure 1, Bottom right panel: Assets and Leverage Growth of Various Institutions in the Flow of Funds Accounts. Security Brokers and Dealers

   Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Assets growth, (vertical axis)
1963-01-01 -16.1167699922759 -14.0196892420828
1963-04-01 -5.28010900870212 13.2018209408194
1963-07-01 -13.1722889688872 8.09164026322202
1963-10-01 6.85169969235475 3.34836527621194
1964-01-01 -27.9849283121891 -9.67601178138977
1964-04-01 -2.1849957374254 12.3550724637681
1964-07-01 -12.8478940485148 -1.56938621949909
1964-10-01 13.6165570805737 7.69902806596048
1965-01-01 -21.2107268991326 -8.22348408030825
1965-04-01 -9.58961310742394 15.9982322395315
1965-07-01 -35.5273601662982 -18.9351366796838
1965-10-01 2.93487403022994 21.595582187757
1966-01-01 -23.9017271580804 -11.8465552227268
1966-04-01 7.7995396251233 15.1704483174394
1966-07-01 -20.1212796910903 -15.0090415913201
1966-10-01 2.18198279764599 26.3829787234042
1967-01-01 -5.98545374675842 1.44426723374091
1967-04-01 -13.330710190486 0.585203947943058
1967-07-01 -4.31865302600057 12.6345953456061
1967-10-01 0.880648660310968 13.5687302443913
1968-01-01 -16.2534948447586 -7.66410970063132
1968-04-01 -0.619631803993514 11.1013086310837
1968-07-01 6.86379561592285 16.8673901535204
1968-10-01 -6.25686145369216 4.82418889077629
1969-01-01 -25.8317985609027 -21.0554745314104
1969-04-01 6.24654728639098 8.4296955183031
1969-07-01 -15.4439032551095 -18.6596832207989
1969-10-01 21.036111484236 19.4879751745539
1970-01-01 -8.33219340008385 -15.134398130113
1970-04-01 -5.23181858091508 -10.1751970009946
1970-07-01 16.8692658088319 13.2612213610425
1970-10-01 19.6822733568244 22.1687471800271
1971-01-01 -11.7579244637262 -8.52517542779762
1971-04-01 -10.3644461384335 -3.55965278245071
1971-07-01 -5.98197811939992 1.10940552609544
1971-10-01 18.0515985291363 21.5237043682285
1972-01-01 -16.1719053937041 -1.70925610448609
1972-04-01 -4.30760490688852 7.62031313189671
1972-07-01 -0.447467258903089 0.7139789564097
1972-10-01 24.0881380805089 22.248281008475
1973-01-01 -34.6013094968682 -19.563985175496
1973-04-01 -18.5418978808472 -3.75650477016479
1973-07-01 -17.0675887126998 -4.8042804843706
1973-10-01 7.56035864743836 20.0686309312507
1974-01-01 -27.5507777349655 -18.8972109983246
1974-04-01 -1.23247647774133 6.13646029527919
1974-07-01 -6.65854621067958 -0.143110653157019
1974-10-01 1.29254153832807 4.6147672552167
1975-01-01 -11.4115284555648 -4.37832209984109
1975-04-01 -2.21789870266569 4.97421203438395
1975-07-01 -11.7714227665346 -5.7266077082651
1975-10-01 17.0124183152508 24.4194799930511
1976-01-01 20.7552761339337 13.101554500605
1976-04-01 3.93402247940862 4.64589934570594
1976-07-01 18.000017011888 15.7845064883995
1976-10-01 12.8235435613943 15.9523162613775
1977-01-01 -15.8556629249133 -18.8072991417943
1977-04-01 7.71896971126471 9.46608946608947
1977-07-01 -7.44780555296481 -8.56841550224097
1977-10-01 14.4627685339797 7.95847750865053
1978-01-01 1.34006650004195 6.69738247863247
1978-04-01 2.36650676545505 5.8983666061706
1978-07-01 -2.09342485033878 3.90627308453741
1978-10-01 -6.68725681570334 -7.52168349210863
1979-01-01 -6.94838156990841 -2.19864698646987
1979-04-01 26.5580715005183 30.9039459204528
1979-07-01 -5.75999776595936 -3.54758130374213
1979-10-01 -15.8834214596597 -18.611948103693
1980-01-01 11.4630910307741 12.9578068108803
1980-04-01 -3.79194616665427 14.0310959423587
1980-07-01 8.13235645186021 5.39455556083424
1980-10-01 -20.3001521010795 2.22903378484978
1981-01-01 12.6407825173599 18.2988667930685
1981-04-01 -6.97482549409824 -2.2289313802229
1981-07-01 -5.55597728248679 -9.89478098433152
1981-10-01 15.486203365057 26.4157728840092
1982-01-01 -1.48804483071042 -6.40751029150909
1982-04-01 -1.20897402604585 -2.11518174828801
1982-07-01 0.174880036853242 5.97486574361596
1982-10-01 23.4395144835256 43.5355154523674
1983-01-01 -21.0072658612449 -15.2698889222456
1983-04-01 1.46249525146767 9.847078331609
1983-07-01 4.75075337102979 7.16451417291342
1983-10-01 4.07784520832828 8.91283409583434
1984-01-01 -8.07252346469581 -10.6164951416601
1984-04-01 -4.42660607313572 -7.50565799725448
1984-07-01 11.4523864891169 19.4758657574542
1984-10-01 35.5313972289182 32.5104078069743
1985-01-01 -27.4587220751199 -23.0697768694154
1985-04-01 10.5075123098674 18.4465912833461
1985-07-01 -2.7778488534361 5.29691453569741
1985-10-01 18.1427778491159 37.3283571579466
1986-01-01 0.618701361549356 15.278561173213
1986-04-01 -7.1139755575506 1.04418608530299
1986-07-01 -9.16157339549576 -5.71779168111109
1986-10-01 0.925725320654847 7.730243959379
1987-01-01 -10.3209012925375 -8.41509331744182
1987-04-01 -3.75539680201145 -5.79999053545655
1987-07-01 -1.43017608658792 1.22953650618223
1987-10-01 -23.9922832596251 -14.4269718681182
1988-01-01 1.47003619418742 6.23205845680981
1988-04-01 -10.4445390934799 -1.60906206284759
1988-07-01 0.612486095821674 -4.41440629182936
1988-10-01 3.47610056834264 -1.41631960064431
1989-01-01 3.77310473492911 5.92919702656951
1989-04-01 30.1959806248366 29.9973597543182
1989-07-01 -3.77744028807574 0.0256547300908627
1989-10-01 39.7662167057309 26.4026332100797
1990-01-01 -10.4569329763927 -13.3712377409537
1990-04-01 -1.02241546834031 -0.396722767397484
1990-07-01 4.20946394808117 -2.27272727272727
1990-10-01 22.5415461300256 31.4101375095876
1991-01-01 -6.19048985262732 -4.53090606676764
1991-04-01 7.76124193258627 7.79361933380218
1991-07-01 14.0761653781212 14.2230130486358
1991-10-01 5.61817707674461 7.91294526949839
1992-01-01 -7.44633936023708 -3.01314246188085
1992-04-01 -1.72673728455619 6.47056817089469
1992-07-01 14.6277469925407 15.2502635732967
1992-10-01 -9.31316561291004 -3.53506637252003
1993-01-01 19.0336754061814 8.9720012993409
1993-04-01 22.8142201727435 5.4964048838769
1993-07-01 2.51596804276544 5.39803347423351
1993-10-01 33.4745952246426 3.51195803984139
1994-01-01 -3.10501414418252 -1.86119662975325
1994-04-01 7.38823902723402 -0.912385845356234
1994-07-01 2.46909456922919 0.8380944198634
1994-10-01 -36.8575276452655 -3.14346449917142
1995-01-01 -1.20468417060824 3.94612996015165
1995-04-01 5.60490293769424 4.04871918555942
1995-07-01 0.064107314312678 2.31087524526998
1995-10-01 16.4714210517958 12.9051811514995
1996-01-01 -4.10102170503418 0.22935900933807
1996-04-01 1.58528051561875 -0.727422164774638
1996-07-01 2.15215671139783 3.15957443044514
1996-10-01 10.0808390522527 9.12752989919845
1997-01-01 -3.76497742879137 2.99268799766166
1997-04-01 7.91718435880358 9.46528429420426
1997-07-01 -4.30640644759328 4.37394589019138
1997-10-01 13.9023296117095 4.05763811914905
1998-01-01 0.332954927807405 17.8280376902286
1998-04-01 -4.58023254159445 -0.112622793154193
1998-07-01 11.7623029456562 7.91952675626313
1998-10-01 -9.13334473085071 -6.92369326959704
1999-01-01 -6.87744787798638 -2.97705440527846
1999-04-01 -9.53627922695711 0.753002780404022
1999-07-01 0.437485272198113 2.31863939987895
1999-10-01 12.3169438841125 8.64348943522863
2000-01-01 -2.36965733350583 13.1391345871437
2000-04-01 -1.53090504179038 0.0337299397364266
2000-07-01 4.50971362664403 6.68192534779994
2000-10-01 36.0971839172481 1.05749842587375
2001-01-01 -3.54905503667911 -0.810716987558413
2001-04-01 9.80686240574127 10.1854251720614
2001-07-01 12.9573238576955 9.57066584961506
2001-10-01 -11.7096408622212 0.205245590501546
2002-01-01 -8.40115550972138 -1.65675063453509
2002-04-01 -0.595641189387963 1.65718718042291
2002-07-01 -1.99252088145734 -3.10678630999343
2002-10-01 -33.2212050388461 -5.93792305817618
2003-01-01 1.68318093272217 3.75050545895674
2003-04-01 2.30489201234785 9.13832862385917
2003-07-01 -2.52360911113498 3.21264822761731
2003-10-01 2.41898633989497 3.35279900762224
2004-01-01 4.12606539772651 5.59651040313747
2004-04-01 -2.55162798572414 -2.96530961148268
2004-07-01 3.45723223227352 7.23716532307834
2004-10-01 18.5406757958369 4.08953268528658
2005-01-01 2.53160033326409 5.53855360168596
2005-04-01 2.52784360475999 4.78632979056695
2005-07-01 -0.654431368069186 3.79000901356152
2005-10-01 -0.587924492272796 0.446971432079457
2006-01-01 -8.18234687930951 7.57015584965093
2006-04-01 2.83088191211964 5.00382199678244
2006-07-01 3.59528420509043 7.57229157873969
2006-10-01 34.9778402385978 6.08456365295913

Figure 2, Top-left panel: Assets and Leverage of Commercial Banks Across Different Sample Periods. Commercial Banks (1963:Q1 to 1989:Q4)

Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Total Asset Growth, (vertical axis)
-0.598156930580673 -1.58992352408189
-0.610476475335986 3.14445391683242
2.24436783416069 1.18431879628542
6.27454573417139 3.8664285091923
-2.94591259589719 -0.841669637676601
-0.152964061974292 3.14145722443513
0.696103398465198 2.01502382075311
2.5131080657397 4.29885627374387
-0.0648892693662972 0.108887675456915
0.14585472743498 3.77868828789516
0.284702599875319 0.71974920079394
2.69504505991121 4.86901962710344
-0.611014291720779 -1.05638750014635
0.929468212477569 4.31770243205425
-0.121546763362779 -0.2963513337228
-0.0815508388152475 3.24281736291054
2.4268668112442 0.143259371091364
-1.21059320744177 2.89217547276739
3.32019628187781 2.99189061284293
-0.636853112382652 4.68975937237961
0.884277878678774 -0.519012264857444
-1.47804415196439 2.47374574061565
3.98451336024157 3.71518157515136
1.56708875000591 5.04350681333114
-0.319479140670353 -1.38320152542902
-3.53865039545278 3.11221497965717
2.3244867242451 0.171707745512428
1.96619626052164 3.3263408934979
-1.75968222397158 -1.1555383956112
-4.62064533296854 3.11545601854335
8.5452609572541 2.89956728157501
2.20619375651507 4.61465020975682
6.70910590927607 0.777461542626012
-2.01504320953685 3.09218617197828
9.21628453734094 2.42791262045581
3.5897394232437 5.06014026672481
1.33269964202456 1.39010428376252
-2.27950309798338 3.11325195985455
3.66370236924196 3.34959968239263
0.423200680615743 6.13314681106136
-6.25942888118025 2.44266589452062
-4.82292466432122 3.76028288609771
-6.28937598829058 4.46194598107053
5.68461262059581 3.33421162716154
-3.20941498033119 1.56882331679427
0.973430570435085 4.2430971542301
7.18351609037278 1.92042703742785
2.84382368890186 1.79825095612773
-2.37617969143094 -0.342074028696404
-0.933882679495746 1.81264819761684
-1.59128749859421 1.5599812740928
5.20437430338636 2.76655380771249
-7.49629992859665 0.165182994964286
3.39164336886526 2.56446120371197
-0.633463390967648 1.67770841856598
3.38606975638218 3.84681530419206
0.623518095625064 1.27466420024664
0.66612608055443 2.98570244381047
0.602734682232864 2.42189411453366
7.69146556826439 4.02518679000055
-1.77904759444188 1.25981816477645
1.54605198916997 4.48608356065354
-0.265737863380999 3.16121636490239
8.83513230005073 4.76989926920799
-4.52741021866653 0.977430975340865
-2.92270548418436 3.65807331406864
1.29558392591222 3.53775099332354
1.90030053463401 2.49515203402804
-4.94169164306891 0.904445485705008
1.95276294445923 1.25598558486879
-0.508076018079107 2.46752374466193
3.12374032638829 4.43658800120947
-0.622223222962148 0.285812818586817
6.6232571934568 2.89500354649543
9.56607094659594 2.82813590382689
14.5676328359432 2.95738232516132
10.4048565758006 -0.698756804708867
-0.579263320323875 1.36840317502385
-0.14525711134673 2.49561653032957
74.2088472475413 3.66658862653968
5.65072746132413 -0.246633196943824
-15.8983066803075 2.23728841038398
16.5301103475826 2.96655405692408
3.51577436850317 3.8746139439459
-55.2017897278311 3.2748074141068
4.75909454347814 2.2377487562508
-0.424230846207407 2.58671402213744
-1.31633045886141 4.01070407552688
0.117237427790462 0.910783796715386
-2.36979988423668 2.48179316589319
-2.53704857051414 2.79909829658043
-2.50968052836762 5.11585998829287
-0.583156145214181 0.638505843331583
-2.58369190245865 1.72486786196544
-0.0866370872235733 2.82682870213453
6.70318481763799 4.72439120183823
5.22544647601451 -1.0126340809245
31.3055942749422 1.47205114735043
5.4221711799719 2.69749796409515
-12.274426428778 2.61122128714373
3.06665115027811 0.373275950626373
27.6580630670626 2.30429656793829
-5.1848865555789 1.5384647786024
18.000376514793 2.05108846105448
-11.0120496738343 1.20381160146881
1.63723463146765 3.07978673018303
-10.2018057358286 3.31537855063728
-0.917382673286005 1.64591877016225

Figure 2, Top-right panel: Assets and Leverage of Commercial Banks Across Different Sample Periods. Commercial Banks (1963:Q1 to 1984:Q4)

Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Total Asset Growth, (vertical axis)
-0.598156930580673 -1.58992352408189
-0.610476475335986 3.14445391683242
2.24436783416069 1.18431879628542
6.27454573417139 3.8664285091923
-2.94591259589719 -0.841669637676601
-0.152964061974292 3.14145722443513
0.696103398465198 2.01502382075311
2.5131080657397 4.29885627374387
-0.0648892693662972 0.108887675456915
0.14585472743498 3.77868828789516
0.284702599875319 0.71974920079394
2.69504505991121 4.86901962710344
-0.611014291720779 -1.05638750014635
0.929468212477569 4.31770243205425
-0.121546763362779 -0.2963513337228
-0.0815508388152475 3.24281736291054
2.4268668112442 0.143259371091364
-1.21059320744177 2.89217547276739
3.32019628187781 2.99189061284293
-0.636853112382652 4.68975937237961
0.884277878678774 -0.519012264857444
-1.47804415196439 2.47374574061565
3.98451336024157 3.71518157515136
1.56708875000591 5.04350681333114
-0.319479140670353 -1.38320152542902
-3.53865039545278 3.11221497965717
2.3244867242451 0.171707745512428
1.96619626052164 3.3263408934979
-1.75968222397158 -1.1555383956112
-4.62064533296854 3.11545601854335
8.5452609572541 2.89956728157501
2.20619375651507 4.61465020975682
6.70910590927607 0.777461542626012
-2.01504320953685 3.09218617197828
9.21628453734094 2.42791262045581
3.5897394232437 5.06014026672481
1.33269964202456 1.39010428376252
-2.27950309798338 3.11325195985455
3.66370236924196 3.34959968239263
0.423200680615743 6.13314681106136
-6.25942888118025 2.44266589452062
-4.82292466432122 3.76028288609771
-6.28937598829058 4.46194598107053
5.68461262059581 3.33421162716154
-3.20941498033119 1.56882331679427
0.973430570435085 4.2430971542301
7.18351609037278 1.92042703742785
2.84382368890186 1.79825095612773
-2.37617969143094 -0.342074028696404
-0.933882679495746 1.81264819761684
-1.59128749859421 1.5599812740928
5.20437430338636 2.76655380771249
-7.49629992859665 0.165182994964286
3.39164336886526 2.56446120371197
-0.633463390967648 1.67770841856598
3.38606975638218 3.84681530419206
0.623518095625064 1.27466420024664
0.66612608055443 2.98570244381047
0.602734682232864 2.42189411453366
7.69146556826439 4.02518679000055
-1.77904759444188 1.25981816477645
1.54605198916997 4.48608356065354
-0.265737863380999 3.16121636490239
8.83513230005073 4.76989926920799
-4.52741021866653 0.977430975340865
-2.92270548418436 3.65807331406864
1.29558392591222 3.53775099332354
1.90030053463401 2.49515203402804
-4.94169164306891 0.904445485705008
1.95276294445923 1.25598558486879
-0.508076018079107 2.46752374466193
3.12374032638829 4.43658800120947
-0.622223222962148 0.285812818586817
6.6232571934568 2.89500354649543
9.56607094659594 2.82813590382689
14.5676328359432 2.95738232516132
10.4048565758006 -0.698756804708867
-0.579263320323875 1.36840317502385
-0.14525711134673 2.49561653032957
74.2088472475413 3.66658862653968
5.65072746132413 -0.246633196943824
-15.8983066803075 2.23728841038398
16.5301103475826 2.96655405692408
3.51577436850317 3.8746139439459
-55.2017897278311 3.2748074141068
4.75909454347814 2.2377487562508
-0.424230846207407 2.58671402213744
-1.31633045886141 4.01070407552688

Figure 2, Bottom-left panel: Assets and Leverage of Commercial Banks Across Different Sample Periods. Commercial Banks (1990:Q1 TO 2008:Q3)

Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Total Asset Growth, (vertical axis)
6.81563100824636 0.804531523263674
9.08280314494703 -0.762620491859844
-5.91556504893109 1.58839618906081
-8.3989856105246 1.53909768785441
14.8551567091666 0.352962152233105
-2.44163806823271 -0.494331978486484
-7.71193104516503 1.7624187187107
6.9616462497043 1.51005266665487
-29.5355657759952 1.40851535056885
3.87934069163602 1.28043900110977
-3.36429811271105 2.0939705820793
-5.50900459648447 1.25954235482668
-6.03965303620595 0.718380073044567
-4.05115332886135 1.66045235279193
0.528924606725756 1.58194768507582
-4.16762490919743 2.37375431231202
12.250587206596 1.8616053625828
0.808591069842723 1.4565219091256
4.51584999319039 1.09934043551942
4.49192289232232 2.29771111762542
-14.6720051621007 2.25396333144618
-15.2062861783615 1.98953650128495
0.817163109771979 1.72306761728758
3.70192225861943 1.83707715579022
-6.75881625396896 0.348317227027262
8.20815612032137 1.34457023934786
-3.28279926975676 0.910292572785432
4.29268549884416 2.13834958771892
4.55501656729107 1.72796475541233
-2.37958310335932 2.57521665698692
3.05036080276142 1.63633552314355
16.9729911007722 3.58283928378045
-1.56009799537451 1.37579609956626
-3.90127238528367 1.66590542217044
9.23047217625659 2.87655446481709
-17.1105548921739 2.58920008354904
-6.91420783514649 0.00836789308711339
0.140122699033718 1.20464484019549
-14.4021679116832 1.82203109424202
2.87680639330044 3.18762833494146
6.19733224671937 0.879109603058659
8.90784597533001 2.66413348662724
13.9219100138301 2.41347224043915
3.39578812162569 1.88951735828926
-10.4632258843059 0.57051934943928
-2.26489614747051 0.868976362687435
18.793617289497 1.98729810819351
-6.94359879015642 2.04001081368819
-17.6570900112208 -0.285941881197305
14.0582536843912 2.20216387518404
1.37382942627271 2.90812507518303
27.5366106588277 2.33819734765526
-22.2807832338799 1.47491062455358
-0.292130133544688 2.5815796730789
25.4847081885506 0.17018323902056
2.19303176068433 2.38716486083081
-2.01412352105692 3.08032152712396
20.9916089486054 2.0583340676261
-10.1496600896077 2.3064216167894
25.0585724570867 1.63906707999928
-13.4434550565399 2.70904025644418
-2.66950738957072 2.46206563115725
-25.1621902085867 2.46673039979191
3.97329876463088 0.972226809265719
4.22986401293357 1.9730799663517
-8.04331349343778 2.62162539213713
21.7593474188447 0.50965551346962
-7.96862862310376 4.08037067452685
5.06633822024438 -0.133801998182581
21.7345425372502 2.56181220213798
10.8973460715134 4.18049646058076
5.22668597137643 2.7981301239633
-27.4425295213941 3.41925426276188
-5.33470423477325 1.21858614091117
-21.6289630572704 5.83754892962032

Figure 2, Bottom right panel: Assets and Leverage of Commercial Banks Across Different Sample Periods. Commercial Banks (1985 :Q1 to 2008:3)

Leverage growth, (horizontal axis) Total Asset Growth, (vertical axis)
0.117237427790462 0.910783796715386
-2.36979988423668 2.48179316589319
-2.53704857051414 2.79909829658043
-2.50968052836762 5.11585998829287
-0.583156145214181 0.638505843331583
-2.58369190245865 1.72486786196544
-0.0866370872235733 2.82682870213453
6.70318481763799 4.72439120183823
5.22544647601451 -1.0126340809245
31.3055942749422 1.47205114735043
5.4221711799719 2.69749796409515
-12.274426428778 2.61122128714373
3.06665115027811 0.373275950626373
27.6580630670626 2.30429656793829
-5.1848865555789 1.5384647786024
18.000376514793 2.05108846105448
-11.0120496738343 1.20381160146881
1.63723463146765 3.07978673018303
-10.2018057358286 3.31537855063728
-0.917382673286005 1.64591877016225
6.81563100824636 0.804531523263674
9.08280314494703 -0.762620491859844
-5.91556504893109 1.58839618906081
-8.3989856105246 1.53909768785441
14.8551567091666 0.352962152233105
-2.44163806823271 -0.494331978486484
-7.71193104516503 1.7624187187107
6.9616462497043 1.51005266665487
-29.5355657759952 1.40851535056885
3.87934069163602 1.28043900110977
-3.36429811271105 2.0939705820793
-5.50900459648447 1.25954235482668
-6.03965303620595 0.718380073044567
-4.05115332886135 1.66045235279193
0.528924606725756 1.58194768507582
-4.16762490919743 2.37375431231202
12.250587206596 1.8616053625828
0.808591069842723 1.4565219091256
4.51584999319039 1.09934043551942
4.49192289232232 2.29771111762542
-14.6720051621007 2.25396333144618
-15.2062861783615 1.98953650128495
0.817163109771979 1.72306761728758
3.70192225861943 1.83707715579022
-6.75881625396896 0.348317227027262
8.20815612032137 1.34457023934786
-3.28279926975676 0.910292572785432
4.29268549884416 2.13834958771892
4.55501656729107 1.72796475541233
-2.37958310335932 2.57521665698692
3.05036080276142 1.63633552314355
16.9729911007722 3.58283928378045
-1.56009799537451 1.37579609956626
-3.90127238528367 1.66590542217044
9.23047217625659 2.87655446481709
-17.1105548921739 2.58920008354904
-6.91420783514649 0.00836789308711339
0.140122699033718 1.20464484019549
-14.4021679116832 1.82203109424202
2.87680639330044 3.18762833494146
6.19733224671937 0.879109603058659
8.90784597533001 2.66413348662724
13.9219100138301 2.41347224043915
3.39578812162569 1.88951735828926
-10.4632258843059 0.57051934943928
-2.26489614747051 0.868976362687435
18.793617289497 1.98729810819351
-6.94359879015642 2.04001081368819
-17.6570900112208 -0.285941881197305
14.0582536843912 2.20216387518404
1.37382942627271 2.90812507518303
27.5366106588277 2.33819734765526
-22.2807832338799 1.47491062455358
-0.292130133544688 2.5815796730789
25.4847081885506 0.17018323902056
2.19303176068433 2.38716486083081
-2.01412352105692 3.08032152712396
20.9916089486054 2.0583340676261
-10.1496600896077 2.3064216167894
25.0585724570867 1.63906707999928
-13.4434550565399 2.70904025644418
-2.66950738957072 2.46206563115725
-25.1621902085867 2.46673039979191
3.97329876463088 0.972226809265719
4.22986401293357 1.9730799663517
-8.04331349343778 2.62162539213713
21.7593474188447 0.50965551346962
-7.96862862310376 4.08037067452685
5.06633822024438 -0.133801998182581
21.7345425372502 2.56181220213798
10.8973460715134 4.18049646058076
5.22668597137643 2.7981301239633
-27.4425295213941 3.41925426276188
-5.33470423477325 1.21858614091117
-21.6289630572704 5.83754892962032

Figure 3, Top-left Panel: BHC Capital Ratios and Commercial-Bank and BHC Loan Growth. BHC Total Risk-based Capital Ratio

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1993:01  
1993:02  
1993:03  
1993:04  
1994:01  
1994:02  
1994:03  
1994:04  
1995:01  
1995:02  
1995:03  
1995:04  
1996:01 14.07
1996:02 13.88955
1996:03 13.68728
1996:04 13.60544
1997:01 13.87039
1997:02 14.04876
1997:03 13.92377
1997:04 13.80247
1998:01 13.85724
1998:02 13.7665
1998:03 13.64634
1998:04 13.46254
1999:01 13.46371
1999:02 13.39197
1999:03 13.23073
1999:04 12.98476
2000:01 12.81248
2000:02 12.74135
2000:03 12.71896
2000:04 12.65062
2001:01 12.75146
2001:02 12.68279
2001:03 12.83631
2001:04 12.84802
2002:01 13.24138
2002:02 13.31693
2002:03 13.34195
2002:04 13.53707
2003:01 13.60582
2003:02 13.5163
2003:03 13.76931
2003:04 13.82643
2004:01 13.98493
2004:02 13.6764
2004:03 13.53071
2004:04 13.42937
2005:01 13.20941
2005:02 13.07076
2005:03 13.02858
2005:04 13.0959
2006:01 13.06846
2006:02 12.89084
2006:03 12.8077
2006:04 12.82391
2007:01 12.69648
2007:02 12.58249
2007:03 12.47857
2007:04 12.27672
2008:01 12.23884
2008:02 12.26039
2008:03 12.20854
2008:04 13.29137
2009:01 13.64186
2009:02 13.65842
2009:03 14.03327

Figure 3, Top-right Panel: BHC Capital Ratios and Commercial-Bank and BHC Loan Growth. BHC Tier 1 Risk-based Capital Ratio

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1993:01  
1993:02  
1993:03  
1993:04  
1994:01  
1994:02  
1994:03  
1994:04  
1995:01  
1995:02  
1995:03  
1995:04  
1996:01 12.37234
1996:02 12.25942
1996:03 12.05546
1996:04 12.00424
1997:01 12.20755
1997:02 12.37972
1997:03 12.28778
1997:04 12.20484
1998:01 12.22356
1998:02 12.13399
1998:03 12.02605
1998:04 11.82633
1999:01 11.77107
1999:02 11.63155
1999:03 11.5136
1999:04 11.29309
2000:01 11.10032
2000:02 11.04987
2000:03 11.01535
2000:04 10.95089
2001:01 10.92752
2001:02 10.94873
2001:03 11.00231
2001:04 10.96873
2002:01 11.33785
2002:02 11.40702
2002:03 11.46251
2002:04 11.62184
2003:01 11.67171
2003:02 11.55807
2003:03 11.73758
2003:04 11.77039
2004:01 11.96543
2004:02 11.68649
2004:03 11.56708
2004:04 11.47499
2005:01 11.2785
2005:02 11.13603
2005:03 11.12592
2005:04 11.19233
2006:01 11.16255
2006:02 11.00436
2006:03 10.90919
2006:04 10.93027
2007:01 10.77276
2007:02 10.60724
2007:03 10.50713
2007:04 10.29348
2008:01 10.20662
2008:02 10.20431
2008:03 10.07689
2008:04 11.17678
2009:01 11.49581
2009:02 11.49173
2009:03 11.80706

Figure 3, Middle left Panel: BHC Capital Ratios and Commercial-Bank and BHC Loan Growth. BHC Capital-to-Assets Ratio

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1993:01 7.983245
1993:02 8.107023
1993:03 8.127108
1993:04 8.172951
1994:01 8.220338
1994:02 8.234689
1994:03 8.217484
1994:04 8.13539
1995:01 8.349502
1995:02 8.387015
1995:03 8.419108
1995:04 8.659494
1996:01 8.621958
1996:02 8.523753
1996:03 8.55697
1996:04 8.538125
1997:01 8.463024
1997:02 8.502636
1997:03 8.555887
1997:04 8.542845
1998:01 8.532564
1998:02 8.544255
1998:03 8.620569
1998:04 8.372407
1999:01 8.419908
1999:02 8.181856
1999:03 8.118515
1999:04 7.918401
2000:01 7.851113
2000:02 7.831671
2000:03 8.002729
2000:04 8.18896
2001:01 8.326698
2001:02 8.423366
2001:03 8.583373
2001:04 8.296842
2002:01 8.462461
2002:02 8.68187
2002:03 8.64948
2002:04 8.841802
2003:01 8.872516
2003:02 8.774582
2003:03 8.786002
2003:04 8.78712
2004:01 8.968641
2004:02 8.623652
2004:03 8.881633
2004:04 9.043767
2005:01 8.97165
2005:02 9.064206
2005:03 9.015709
2005:04 8.954084
2006:01 9.015676
2006:02 8.928439
2006:03 9.181232
2006:04 9.210421
2007:01 9.349863
2007:02 9.230909
2007:03 9.38089
2007:04 9.322599
2008:01 9.257041
2008:02 9.256902
2008:03 9.111705
2008:04 9.606906
2009:01 9.695751
2009:02 9.810624
2009:03 9.936409

Figure 3, Middle right Panel: BHC Capital Ratios and Commercial-Bank and BHC Loan Growth. BHC Tangible Common Equity Ratio

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1993:01 7.24367
1993:02 7.369182
1993:03 7.397818
1993:04 7.420092
1994:01 7.497168
1994:02 7.454138
1994:03 7.412564
1994:04 7.321293
1995:01 7.516293
1995:02 7.532034
1995:03 7.55437
1995:04 7.801417
1996:01 7.768167
1996:02 7.63075
1996:03 7.659504
1996:04 7.656777
1997:01 7.543171
1997:02 7.555078
1997:03 7.582047
1997:04 7.565039
1998:01 7.537
1998:02 7.498692
1998:03 7.540388
1998:04 7.289921
1999:01 7.250229
1999:02 6.989185
1999:03 6.910373
1999:04 6.66209
2000:01 6.591691
2000:02 6.599348
2000:03 6.760219
2000:04 6.962426
2001:01 7.10903
2001:02 7.108478
2001:03 7.267029
2001:04 6.896
2002:01 6.989111
2002:02 7.207556
2002:03 7.192336
2002:04 7.318613
2003:01 7.255217
2003:02 7.195474
2003:03 7.080507
2003:04 6.985255
2004:01 7.185217
2004:02 6.669928
2004:03 6.906222
2004:04 6.855797
2005:01 6.635
2005:02 6.755
2005:03 6.693623
2005:04 6.607029
2006:01 6.595652
2006:02 6.470652
2006:03 6.666159
2006:04 6.660073
2007:01 6.649058
2007:02 6.452971
2007:03 6.492647
2007:04 6.386715
2008:01 6.365075
2008:02 6.171037
2008:03 6.066136
2008:04 5.84224
2009:01 5.783574
2009:02 6.033043
2009:03 6.345023

Figure 3, Bottom-left Panel: BHC Capital Ratios and Commercial-Bank and BHC Loan Growth. Commercial Bank Loan Growth

 Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), solid line Percent, (vertical axis), dashed line
1993:01 -0.680648905859715 1.03613983680124
1993:02 1.69330890238567 4.08538718618126
1993:03 2.94926109544719 4.89355936055516
1993:04 5.68120184884743 7.46186533903503
1994:01 6.75886737114608 8.82739299527639
1994:02 7.24008145694379 8.37168646402509
1994:03 8.43684172093442 9.46613881798821
1994:04 9.27157831412007 11.0473046591108
1995:01 11.4415406164737 14.724525809713
1995:02 11.8625457493444 15.7311973646904
1995:03 11.5286618170568 15.0577999404168
1995:04 10.0283098595313 13.9102403845912
1996:01 8.36260554150854 10.6266643134543
1996:02 7.48530357251569 13.6536068603756
1996:03 6.95966981802398 14.6109939647562
1996:04 7.80023371520588 14.9219817837943
1997:01 5.12821328007307 11.4183397681429
1997:02 6.1173144978895 14.6172749455461
1997:03 5.63426073545972 13.762998450478
1997:04 5.20292405848208 13.6529534601379
1998:01 8.48071417418648 19.3070687126226
1998:02 7.40082217905929 12.0666660610087
1998:03 7.89663151466007 11.8505039952165
1998:04 8.34401050072906 13.1702684832973
1999:01 7.25503927183091 9.62348753731985
1999:02 6.88448208625201 8.94825762538045
1999:03 6.72418261495407 8.3504633011128
1999:04 7.80726147177113 8.0766507611111
2000:01 9.33246239181156 11.665243455986
2000:02 11.3719787035209 14.3591761579847
2000:03 11.7767239565679 15.3552883202193
2000:04 8.95828149394631 11.9687674441541
2001:01 7.05635615938964 8.75433649057156
2001:02 3.86827688076747 4.55608690183165
2001:03 1.89503333921923 1.98082924517893
2001:04 1.99427195478676 2.24959798729931
2002:01 0.796973921611721 0.261447398951387
2002:02 2.1719532675288 1.87806580848483
2002:03 4.61763338551929 5.91583970834703
2002:04 5.78328774366707 7.19402546560978
2003:01 7.66798134265052 9.0531918420613
2003:02 8.25860611770333 10.1045627744439
2003:03 6.84440166137492 7.22000047604618
2003:04 6.22250697922482 6.8617579483951
2004:01 6.67013472843845 8.18669557364997
2004:02 8.21730347532761 9.48448023786672
2004:03 10.1591398062946 11.5201992325513
2004:04 10.5464551909608 11.651824707762
2005:01 10.9747456876412 11.8049977139499
2005:02 9.90986860770457 10.7814388079737
2005:03 9.61323697798258 10.3883718970638
2005:04 9.79990918227653 9.91582122138568
2006:01 10.1821922992136 10.3536302673207
2006:02 10.1041846951833 9.95568019821849
2006:03 8.74158002688745 8.73329867027166
2006:04 11.3970784352823 13.0359720670063
2007:01 8.99382706903317 10.129453798582
2007:02 9.23958659370562 11.0953369885263
2007:03 11.4255572655886 14.6700010520183
2007:04 10.42878001995 12.7818529320156
2008:01 11.2029475783384 13.9679676542339
2008:02 8.21392885592351 9.94694455838419
2008:03 8.60057348310608 9.66508828757373
2008:04 3.24103662702977 3.43592830553302
2009:01 0.911566372744188 0.469045533687806
2009:02 0.623318499103998 0.629616344471462
2009:03 -6.00186965395779 -6.73371543430601

Figure 3, Bottom-right Panel: BHC Capital Ratios and Commercial-Bank and BHC Loan Growth. BHC Loan Growth

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1993:01 8.58417325
1993:02 10.613388
1993:03 11.341319
1993:04 13.703919
1994:01 14.93892475
1994:02 14.87145725
1994:03 16.67461225
1994:04 15.46698225
1995:01 16.9450275
1995:02 17.73529
1995:03 15.63839
1995:04 15.27335
1996:01 13.9645375
1996:02 14.0650375
1996:03 15.0795175
1996:04 15.7858775
1997:01 16.2751625
1997:02 16.1308875
1997:03 16.1185975
1997:04 15.70869
1998:01 16.15679
1998:02 15.9077075
1998:03 15.3743025
1998:04 16.9388225
1999:01 16.01592
1999:02 15.9117975
1999:03 16.4934525
1999:04 15.37723
2000:01 17.347645
2000:02 17.5255125
2000:03 16.6951025
2000:04 14.69377
2001:01 12.8443175
2001:02 10.8276825
2001:03 9.507224
2001:04 9.23009925
2002:01 7.142175
2002:02 7.3834425
2002:03 8.798306
2002:04 9.28137075
2003:01 10.74927875
2003:02 11.36596125
2003:03 10.162578
2003:04 10.4799355
2004:01 10.7930115
2004:02 12.5748815
2004:03 14.86342225
2004:04 15.30001975
2005:01 16.8219525
2005:02 15.87384
2005:03 14.7626725
2005:04 14.3487275
2006:01 13.4794975
2006:02 13.279485
2006:03 12.7184175
2006:04 11.7176835
2007:01 10.880205
2007:02 9.8287725
2007:03 9.43669275
2007:04 10.65747425
2008:01 10.88842
2008:02 10.20384925
2008:03 9.53984625
2008:04 7.646458
2009:01 4.38097325
2009:02 1.4847215
2009:03 -1.73064925

Figure 4, Top-left Panel: Aggregate Data Used in Panel and VAR Models. Real GDP Growth

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1990:01 2.79272750014355
1990:02 2.44391085066915
1990:03 1.65243119783729
1990:04 0.554390987958535
1991:01 -0.970463166264122
1991:02 -0.694450175053051
1991:03 -0.272572460737124
1991:04 0.998668773263795
1992:01 2.57594120428554
1992:02 2.96021470985425
1992:03 3.56639251612431
1992:04 4.22201114619895
1993:01 3.31395396930457
1993:02 2.8947681674462
1993:03 2.39325050060012
1993:04 2.65833434060966
1994:01 3.44354588908929
1994:02 4.16436604460558
1994:03 4.28138232110038
1994:04 4.07391337134861
1995:01 3.3501120257788
1995:02 2.20627459988214
1995:03 2.40117305048127
1995:04 1.99149342466771
1996:01 2.42914170381001
1996:02 3.92842079614625
1996:03 3.95756800293145
1996:04 4.34843822000365
1997:01 4.43193798419117
1997:02 4.18968821339926
1997:03 4.5709044142487
1997:04 4.24949347787028
1998:01 4.42355901247946
1998:02 3.84699814884707
1998:03 3.91053258152142
1998:04 4.8624326142958
1999:01 4.80907460742434
1999:02 4.69253971390171
1999:03 4.64534738818592
1999:04 4.70938265019884
2000:01 4.08355061336616
2000:02 5.23674315729278
2000:03 4.05667214648277
2000:04 2.86648016398434
2001:01 2.27516129106262
2001:02 0.996901498781815
2001:03 0.638786542676599
2001:04 0.40136226658558
2002:01 1.58683189664685
2002:02 1.46243415155131
2002:03 2.23543800898774
2002:04 1.90350372246524
2003:01 1.45265721185474
2003:02 1.71789172493186
2003:03 2.88165928108453
2003:04 3.75646689508629
2004:01 4.0538511847296
2004:02 3.96763468965262
2004:03 3.03725719713613
2004:04 3.00569399547233
2005:01 3.29682239152289
2005:02 3.01391048204938
2005:03 3.03881204980398
2005:04 2.69039046140636
2006:01 3.00080853970081
2006:02 2.93506034410183
2006:03 2.20494908451618
2006:04 2.41768861260543
2007:01 1.41426202898887
2007:02 1.8460430074955
2007:03 2.70258516550908
2007:04 2.49953206105521
2008:01 2.01742105129287
2008:02 1.58752401381003
2008:03 0.026203093488524
2008:04 -1.87943128153752
2009:01 -3.35837420781731
2009:02 -3.90494185122078
2009:03 -2.67382075139774

Figure 4, Top-right Panel: Aggregate Data Used in Panel and VAR Models. GDP Price Inflation

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Total , solid line Percent, (vertical axis), Excluding food & energy, dashed line
1990:01 3.51105020523501 3.33998554427008
1990:02 3.68678559486697 3.61764686780731
1990:03 3.95092511369575 3.94650844330176
1990:04 4.09209431707744 4.13842651628444
1991:01 3.95916303526098 3.90061111735702
1991:02 3.51144181440954 3.41951821896714
1991:03 3.36840093215895 3.24114865303088
1991:04 3.14609219275324 2.88829702641306
1992:01 2.57917855233172 2.6891467105854
1992:02 2.48466801088878 2.75276831546693
1992:03 2.17229773676078 2.51445393704757
1992:04 2.1598509082815 2.40328878934609
1993:01 2.24882032756577 2.28189869720649
1993:02 2.18357626673134 2.22818716847559
1993:03 2.17996880681053 2.13952764802403
1993:04 2.1600930206622 2.06875081303552
1994:01 2.08900401005301 2.03032828259404
1994:02 2.01198598874663 2.05694337215898
1994:03 2.14474256111223 2.20199928723366
1994:04 2.11191029564608 2.29324895552305
1995:01 2.15931743828597 2.33299936547194
1995:02 2.12695120551558 2.2497378220386
1995:03 2.00258975685508 2.06283426993463
1995:04 1.99483940934622 2.03540029491037
1996:01 1.99936287279465 1.86316419147081
1996:02 1.93854989373234 1.51359443769567
1996:03 1.78603544229998 1.56455345298531
1996:04 1.82996364594405 1.55808913348122
1997:01 1.89841221077642 1.54088448602245
1997:02 1.74868279323492 1.7049096424911
1997:03 1.77993875777198 1.45145567101001
1997:04 1.59779163495606 1.28809603458319
1998:01 1.11922739230104 1.00450347368211
1998:02 1.12603780097862 0.878921039045712
1998:03 1.1608159420561 0.989708895205753
1998:04 1.09234590985274 0.985367024582816
1999:01 1.37103356838499 1.30234614435648
1999:02 1.48365371476233 1.48078984680856
1999:03 1.4722470226378 1.52071862367817
1999:04 1.52307386320145 1.64678843650617
2000:01 1.87171312148617 1.95387288601031
2000:02 2.0267016647922 1.89664186505184
2000:03 2.25803163537579 2.07589396176612
2000:04 2.43241640692653 2.13246891254329
2001:01 2.31712872987613 1.90092157367165
2001:02 2.48891979636692 1.95515638603086
2001:03 2.19927431874203 1.71518993209276
2001:04 1.97767554696713 1.57413981953882
2002:01 1.64623703177196 1.46676626316359
2002:02 1.41761552583479 1.57290502716109
2002:03 1.54272595128964 1.72087125647759
2002:04 1.82739292606251 1.927812395012
2003:01 2.19813173589039 2.21397714596352
2003:02 2.04718396109791 1.97855916661591
2003:03 2.17161699845947 1.96565473223287
2003:04 2.10703056563091 1.89345947524596
2004:01 2.25979217470578 2.05835546305311
2004:02 2.80631834696119 2.6405110608793
2004:03 2.96500416025565 2.94378538516188
2004:04 3.19269781917182 3.17908941878301
2005:01 3.24407551782089 3.31419761226028
2005:02 3.07846738075097 3.20526196473046
2005:03 3.38551947173842 3.24301286886535
2005:04 3.47703627034295 3.40265574875927
2006:01 3.30544080046877 3.17063301089405
2006:02 3.50874331469981 3.29828847731534
2006:03 3.24035506245448 3.13244466902515
2006:04 2.84152185732252 2.83374041066842
2007:01 3.1371711994773 2.94668703848739
2007:02 2.91627764927571 2.61057846431608
2007:03 2.57000383714672 2.52629956880188
2007:04 2.7090567343953 2.73416244790445
2008:01 2.09555246906752 2.50934149895971
2008:02 1.93026448168589 2.7165864977185
2008:03 2.53678901065169 2.9050227543381
2008:04 1.95246065945345 1.95296482781433
2009:01 1.99355790426063 1.35696548384727
2009:02 1.49148258078062 0.821169567621018
2009:03 0.559272620525175 0.186439337858489

Figure 4, Middle left Panel: Aggregate Data Used in Panel and VAR Models. Federal Funds Rate

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1990:01 8.25033333333333
1990:02 8.24263736263736
1990:03 8.15956521739131
1990:04 7.74260869565217
1991:01 6.43255555555556
1991:02 5.86241758241758
1991:03 5.6454347826087
1991:04 4.81673913043478
1992:01 4.02252747252747
1992:02 3.77054945054945
1992:03 3.2570652173913
1992:04 3.03608695652174
1993:01 3.04033333333333
1993:02 3
1993:03 3.05967391304348
1993:04 2.98967391304348
1994:01 3.21211111111111
1994:02 3.94076923076923
1994:03 4.48402173913043
1994:04 5.16532608695652
1995:01 5.80633333333333
1995:02 6.01989010989011
1995:03 5.79663043478261
1995:04 5.71913043478261
1996:01 5.36648351648352
1996:02 5.2432967032967
1996:03 5.30673913043478
1996:04 5.27967391304348
1997:01 5.27955555555556
1997:02 5.52307692307692
1997:03 5.53326086956522
1997:04 5.50652173913044
1998:01 5.52033333333333
1998:02 5.49989010989011
1998:03 5.53358695652174
1998:04 4.86032608695652
1999:01 4.73244444444444
1999:02 4.74659340659341
1999:03 5.09195652173913
1999:04 5.3054347826087
2000:01 5.67549450549451
2000:02 6.2732967032967
2000:03 6.52
2000:04 6.4729347826087
2001:01 5.59677777777778
2001:02 4.32538461538462
2001:03 3.50130434782609
2001:04 2.13380434782609
2002:01 1.73311111111111
2002:02 1.75
2002:03 1.73989130434783
2002:04 1.44445652173913
2003:01 1.24966666666667
2003:02 1.24681318681319
2003:03 1.01673913043478
2003:04 0.996630434782609
2004:01 1.00318681318681
2004:02 1.00989010989011
2004:03 1.43141304347826
2004:04 1.95021739130435
2005:01 2.469
2005:02 2.94395604395604
2005:03 3.45826086956522
2005:04 3.97978260869565
2006:01 4.45555555555556
2006:02 4.90703296703297
2006:03 5.24663043478261
2006:04 5.24663043478261
2007:01 5.25655555555555
2007:02 5.25
2007:03 5.07478260869565
2007:04 4.49673913043478
2008:01 3.18098901098901
2008:02 2.08549450549451
2008:03 1.94141304347826
2008:04 0.507934782608696
2009:01 0.182111111111111
2009:02 0.18
2009:03 0.156739130434783

Figure 4, Middle right Panel: Aggregate Data Used in Panel and VAR Models. Bank & Thrift Loan Growth

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1990:01 6.33087107606854
1990:02 4.73972257818887
1990:03 3.79945381177269
1990:04 1.94762370271874
1991:01 -1.28838374242281
1991:02 -2.76995748709368
1991:03 -4.76148516456856
1991:04 -5.75760905413394
1992:01 -5.18637638297444
1992:02 -5.19746761247337
1992:03 -3.64852312840868
1992:04 -2.66423683806737
1993:01 -2.60609190122086
1993:02 -1.00929110893694
1993:03 -0.3898382421321
1993:04 0.633434285289736
1994:01 2.40585637990124
1994:02 3.67381041161841
1994:03 5.45988368131814
1994:04 7.37169156289097
1995:01 9.13500410797304
1995:02 9.41298933932505
1995:03 8.83616021775361
1995:04 7.65966274058244
1996:01 5.95656061315177
1996:02 5.67843807917639
1996:03 6.20741365577528
1996:04 5.67259317226844
1997:01 5.84048095430464
1997:02 6.06582702566594
1997:03 5.82301046929496
1997:04 6.39708326475567
1998:01 6.46863615168442
1998:02 5.79794326709767
1998:03 5.67959770134443
1998:04 6.67599768349344
1999:01 6.83145685931002
1999:02 6.10113102855496
1999:03 6.90277795889063
1999:04 6.92537293996558
2000:01 8.50784416300679
2000:02 11.3736348569222
2000:03 10.4316793841177
2000:04 9.33195813062181
2001:01 7.48691175700843
2001:02 4.99611067685833
2001:03 3.55450191708573
2001:04 2.32272328990149
2002:01 1.13804649734577
2002:02 0.819638582429044
2002:03 3.32720484167444
2002:04 4.8393752909747
2003:01 5.96054414811938
2003:02 7.03841771078069
2003:03 5.69556229901255
2003:04 5.15011667487798
2004:01 6.32836308923006
2004:02 7.19023741559042
2004:03 8.51567809334634
2004:04 10.656641916571
2005:01 10.7906944119029
2005:02 11.2757698292881
2005:03 11.4154118708543
2005:04 10.4282955752394
2006:01 10.2942176002446
2006:02 9.94239949684767
2006:03 8.86362995607552
2006:04 8.64049547881811
2007:01 7.88255376468845
2007:02 7.74240275147411
2007:03 9.73294627769206
2007:04 10.7360196389598
2008:01 10.8192619719304
2008:02 8.77137599185184
2008:03 5.5584099108986
2008:04 2.50548998569338
2009:01 -0.271401732337885
2009:02 -2.86742060073701
2009:03 -6.19313282538245

Figure 4, Bottom-left Panel: Aggregate Data Used in Panel and VAR Models. Bank Capital-to-Assets Ratio

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1990:01 6.38462876810772
1990:02 6.43676114705044
1990:03 6.45377871902145
1990:04 6.45365682413064
1991:01 6.66094985067541
1991:02 6.71350300827402
1991:03 6.70432415245817
1991:04 6.74962880610879
1992:01 6.96032521427353
1992:02 7.22608393888089
1992:03 7.39165330442203
1992:04 7.51463867415335
1993:01 7.79041635875128
1993:02 7.89023721706415
1993:03 7.95368448063993
1993:04 8.0042013164197
1994:01 7.82986092971256
1994:02 7.83964639821569
1994:03 7.95465921826044
1994:04 7.79448270364617
1995:01 7.88392719435079
1995:02 8.03794540679885
1995:03 8.14823986431007
1995:04 8.11780504556591
1996:01 8.23488253119463
1996:02 8.32618661778085
1996:03 8.33703541505335
1996:04 8.22669116244375
1997:01 8.430498561951
1997:02 8.4637762427924
1997:03 8.53758444661356
1997:04 8.33492448686806
1998:01 8.4063736605161
1998:02 8.55369597168131
1998:03 8.6273093849585
1998:04 8.4387342966808
1999:01 8.63105907090872
1999:02 8.4750142550602
1999:03 8.45734479720011
1999:04 8.31439229757054
2000:01 8.36748195215604
2000:02 8.37001167511747
2000:03 8.54487402080035
2000:04 8.45891907295602
2001:01 8.62495345997558
2001:02 8.72321464093893
2001:03 8.90251272571501
2001:04 9.03679023168672
2002:01 9.21023162637484
2002:02 9.16288688821327
2002:03 9.15543674383511
2002:04 9.09115613667633
2003:01 9.08784490590351
2003:02 8.95252332167832
2003:03 9.05335993952313
2003:04 9.04227262654127
2004:01 9.08284659972966
2004:02 9.15195538292797
2004:03 9.91024782019291
2004:04 10.0503652247703
2005:01 10.0717184671503
2005:02 10.1809279942039
2005:03 10.0517729179155
2005:04 10.0377046738846
2006:01 10.1759484371727
2006:02 10.0621056271526
2006:03 10.2463039743881
2006:04 10.2455157368968
2007:01 10.2986663553089
2007:02 10.1154414389643
2007:03 10.2284851047452
2007:04 10.2576590638368
2008:01 10.1020266034322
2008:02 10.1414175845622
2008:03 9.69085557107065
2008:04 9.395588290575
2009:01 10.1864853490315
2009:02 10.5960305287648
2009:03 10.9483004448258

Figure 4, Bottom-right Panel: Aggregate Data Used in Panel and VAR Models. Change in C&I Lending Standards

Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis)
1990:01 56.9
1990:02 39.45
1990:03 48.9
1990:04 36
1991:01 15.5
1991:02 12.25
1991:03 9
1991:04 5.25
1992:01 0.9
1992:02 -1.7
1992:03 4.35
1992:04 2.65
1993:01 -7.85
1993:02 -19.45
1993:03 -17.75
1993:04 -12.95
1994:01 -12.2
1994:02 -6.95
1994:03 -17.4
1994:04 -6.85
1995:01 -5.9
1995:02 -6.05
1995:03 -3.45
1995:04 6.95
1996:01 -0.9
1996:02 -3.7
1996:03 -7.8
1996:04 -5.45
1997:01 -6.95
1997:02 -5.7
1997:03 -7
1997:04 1.8
1998:01 -7.1
1998:02 0
1998:03 36.4
1998:04 7.4
1999:01 10
1999:02 5.4
1999:03 9.1
1999:04 10.9
2000:01 24.6
2000:02 33.9
2000:03 43.8
2000:04 59.7
2001:01 50.9
2001:02 40.4
2001:03 50.9
2001:04 45.4
2002:01 25
2002:02 21.4
2002:03 20
2002:04 22
2003:01 8.9
2003:02 3.5
2003:03 0
2003:04 -17.9
2004:01 -23.2
2004:02 -20
2004:03 -21.1
2004:04 -23.6
2005:01 -24.1
2005:02 -16.7
2005:03 -8.8
2005:04 -10.7
2006:01 -12.3
2006:02 -8.9
2006:03 0
2006:04 0
2007:01 -3.7
2007:02 7.5
2007:03 19.2
2007:04 32.2
2008:01 55.4
2008:02 57.6
2008:03 83.6
2008:04 64.2
2009:01 39.6
2009:02 31.5
2009:03 14

Figure 5: Average Actual and Target BHC Capital-to-Assets Ratio

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Current capital, solid line Percent, (vertical axis), Target capital, blue dashed line
1993:01 7.983245 9.124422
1993:02 8.107023 8.997452
1993:03 8.127108 8.947092
1993:04 8.172951 8.91818
1994:01 8.220338 8.962479
1994:02 8.234689 8.767515
1994:03 8.217484 8.706678
1994:04 8.13539 8.651739
1995:01 8.349502 8.596387
1995:02 8.387015 8.394552
1995:03 8.419108 8.400803
1995:04 8.659494 8.452724
1996:01 8.621958 8.561897
1996:02 8.523753 8.498613
1996:03 8.55697 8.512951
1996:04 8.538125 8.527714
1997:01 8.463024 8.528685
1997:02 8.502636 8.458825
1997:03 8.555887 8.461528
1997:04 8.542845 8.43703
1998:01 8.532564 8.367166
1998:02 8.544255 8.298796
1998:03 8.620569 8.34626
1998:04 8.372407 8.285485
1999:01 8.419908 8.248719
1999:02 8.181856 8.232452
1999:03 8.118515 8.201139
1999:04 7.918401 8.159819
2000:01 7.851113 8.239037
2000:02 7.831671 8.188982
2000:03 8.002729 8.230476
2000:04 8.18896 8.300815
2001:01 8.326698 8.297038
2001:02 8.423366 8.242792
2001:03 8.583373 8.31773
2001:04 8.296842 8.420234
2002:01 8.462461 8.521059
2002:02 8.68187 8.628349
2002:03 8.64948 8.814622
2002:04 8.841802 8.790264
2003:01 8.872516 8.789089
2003:02 8.774582 8.649905
2003:03 8.786002 8.683489
2003:04 8.78712 8.691847
2004:01 8.968641 8.877856
2004:02 8.623652 9.013489
2004:03 8.881633 9.13307
2004:04 9.043767 9.215485
2005:01 8.97165 9.274581
2005:02 9.064206 9.270546
2005:03 9.015709 9.26207
2005:04 8.954084 9.342667
2006:01 9.015676 9.437223
2006:02 8.928439 9.40922
2006:03 9.181232 9.388752
2006:04 9.210421 9.408396
2007:01 9.349863 9.442395
2007:02 9.230909 9.418826
2007:03 9.38089 9.447974
2007:04 9.322599 9.410636
2008:01 9.257041 9.329699
2008:02 9.256902 9.28495
2008:03 9.111705 9.373864

Figure 6, Top-left Panel: Average Actual and Target Capital-to-Assets ratios, by BHC Size. Largest 4 BHCs

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Target , blue dashed line Percent, (vertical axis), Actual , solid line
1993:01 6.771266 6.99832666666667
1993:02 6.78863166666667 7.00909133333333
1993:03 6.76864033333333 6.765731
1993:04 7.090216 6.90735466666667
1994:01 6.96396733333333 6.56372233333333
1994:02 6.771845 6.62338433333333
1994:03 6.69852933333333 6.46982066666667
1994:04 6.75891033333333 6.40846066666667
1995:01 6.46192266666667 6.363293
1995:02 6.45746066666667 6.57123133333333
1995:03 6.493333 6.590502
1995:04 6.656866 6.90357033333333
1996:01 6.85673883333333 6.963611
1996:02 6.86421366666667 6.95083066666667
1996:03 6.89520366666667 7.071237
1996:04 6.90256833333333 7.06293333333333
1997:01 6.80091933333333 7.38092366666667
1997:02 6.63820533333333 7.32490033333333
1997:03 6.83833166666667 7.38589166666667
1997:04 6.835214 7.314772
1998:01 6.81172566666667 7.14671133333333
1998:02 6.798423 7.568798
1998:03 6.84700016666667 7.23084333333333
1998:04 6.79150066666667 8.06751233333333
1999:01 6.89703166666667 8.209154
1999:02 6.97216733333333 8.06637366666667
1999:03 7.08872533333333 8.042545
1999:04 7.34335833333333 7.66219366666667
2000:01 7.47677533333333 7.88608266666667
2000:02 7.139975 7.3565515
2000:03 7.256295 7.75176225
2000:04 7.328715375 7.599424
2001:01 7.2717865 7.7427045
2001:02 7.42255825 7.6427195
2001:03 7.57025375 7.42144
2001:04 7.7228355 7.58770625
2002:01 7.94800575 7.63605575
2002:02 8.097133 7.63601125
2002:03 8.179445 7.49792625
2002:04 8.19031475 7.48067075
2003:01 8.050748 7.26853075
2003:02 7.9172005 7.20204225
2003:03 7.870863 7.169856
2003:04 7.8629895 7.30919925
2004:01 8.0050135 7.15151275
2004:02 8.29476725 7.57851325
2004:03 8.5246175 8.5479955
2004:04 8.54635475 8.589484
2005:01 8.567005 8.34079075
2005:02 8.50472425 8.357588
2005:03 8.47778525 8.328253
2005:04 8.47704725 8.1898115
2006:01 8.67995925 8.412382
2006:02 8.6637365 8.162421
2006:03 8.63283925 8.42997925
2006:04 8.646334 8.420997
2007:01 8.650308 8.2057145
2007:02 8.50053975 7.8824815
2007:03 8.6501845 7.7380945
2007:04 8.69605575 7.47227575
2008:01 8.56639775 7.63291975
2008:02 8.3915635 7.82751125
2008:03 8.62816575 7.235166

Figure 6, Top-right Panel: Average Actual and Target Capital-to-Assets ratios, by BHC Size. Largest 5 to 20 BHCs

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Target , blue dashed line Percent, (vertical axis), Actual , solid line
1993:01 8.83202857142857 7.7002366
1993:02 8.7236855 7.6490955
1993:03 8.6519528125 7.5517270625
1993:04 8.6750503125 7.71913575
1994:01 8.658651125 7.5164570625
1994:02 8.507917375 7.541131625
1994:03 8.4895054375 7.593986625
1994:04 8.4379018125 7.5973970625
1995:01 8.39521025 7.8001110625
1995:02 8.2104316875 7.852741125
1995:03 8.2057844375 7.959873875
1995:04 8.2263086875 8.1350560625
1996:01 8.3224050625 8.0583209375
1996:02 8.31873578125 7.8737815
1996:03 8.3949796875 7.941605
1996:04 8.3986973125 7.9348715
1997:01 8.3955215625 7.7125630625
1997:02 8.35313525 7.738229125
1997:03 8.3792061875 7.7795355625
1997:04 8.35427625 7.763988375
1998:01 8.3286635 7.9166833125
1998:02 8.3608195625 7.9528358125
1998:03 8.43199975 8.1047734375
1998:04 8.3980763125 8.1655725625
1999:01 8.363479375 8.1776709375
1999:02 8.3695715625 7.9590650625
1999:03 8.35107525 7.937012
1999:04 8.368370375 7.848414875
2000:01 8.5159269375 7.849953875
2000:02 8.63929475 7.9107771875
2000:03 8.6958784375 8.2412909375
2000:04 8.80634675 8.4609149375
2001:01 8.9037581875 8.61246875
2001:02 8.7860556875 8.649154125
2001:03 8.8390611875 8.921414625
2001:04 8.96570396875 8.7312823125
2002:01 9.07928575 9.0191049375
2002:02 9.12266475 9.201676125
2002:03 9.3413231875 9.13859375
2002:04 9.31187675 9.1165539375
2003:01 9.3668230625 9.3386550625
2003:02 9.2545383125 9.212981875
2003:03 9.270315375 9.3032484375
2003:04 9.2767663125 9.3136813125
2004:01 9.4855121875 9.3350485
2004:02 9.65547625 9.069507
2004:03 9.80055525 9.5506875625
2004:04 9.8689335625 9.7378770625
2005:01 9.9489959375 9.9741664375
2005:02 9.9090643125 10.07547625
2005:03 9.8349879375 9.9648753125
2005:04 9.900889 9.9185661875
2006:01 9.9772210625 9.9821050625
2006:02 9.95062875 9.905622
2006:03 9.91564325 10.154791375
2006:04 9.917943125 10.1343495625
2007:01 10.030513125 10.239398625
2007:02 9.9681800625 10.042673
2007:03 10.009511375 10.6464955625
2007:04 10.0371184375 10.539269125
2008:01 10.0670079375 9.9917499375
2008:02 9.9970704375 10.1612746875
2008:03 10.2356500666667 9.95661166666667

Figure 6, Bottom-left Panel: Average Actual and Target Capital-to-Assets ratios, by BHC Size. Medium-sized BHCs

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Target , blue dashed line Percent, (vertical axis), Actual , solid line
1993:01 9.32754560294118 8.00146046753247
1993:02 9.2023453 8.16223587012987
1993:03 9.15718058571429 8.27119116883117
1993:04 9.08292683561644 8.34116261538462
1994:01 9.05977870666667 8.38324524358974
1994:02 8.85752857333333 8.38652728395062
1994:03 8.78316077333334 8.35737491358024
1994:04 8.73883725333334 8.23290167901235
1995:01 8.70591789333333 8.47231354320987
1995:02 8.55448134177215 8.5459626707317
1995:03 8.5602762 8.61159741463415
1995:04 8.6158536375 8.92336191566265
1996:01 8.68673645679012 8.87687738095238
1996:02 8.6483557804878 8.81875598809524
1996:03 8.63731934146342 8.84883857142857
1996:04 8.6338703313253 8.79419670238095
1997:01 8.64607669879518 8.72629783529412
1997:02 8.57301731325301 8.75973757303371
1997:03 8.56234772289156 8.79460226966292
1997:04 8.54128227710843 8.73299728571429
1998:01 8.46262294047619 8.72218564835165
1998:02 8.34879339772727 8.72278985714286
1998:03 8.37296842045455 8.78438504395604
1998:04 8.29216116111111 8.49384271428572
1999:01 8.27120127472527 8.45618516304348
1999:02 8.26594842222222 8.21709531578947
1999:03 8.21676937777778 8.13301171578948
1999:04 8.19038623595506 7.91613254736842
2000:01 8.27460773255814 7.84619660416667
2000:02 8.21586963636364 7.83560216326531
2000:03 8.257536375 7.97687206122449
2000:04 8.3203935 8.17450952040816
2001:01 8.31396578977273 8.33599193877551
2001:02 8.21824289010989 8.43157531632653
2001:03 8.26897486666667 8.58457012244899
2001:04 8.39558443333333 8.28965727551021
2002:01 8.55160779347826 8.44779892857143
2002:02 8.67483716304348 8.62236056122449
2002:03 8.83380373626374 8.58563080612245
2002:04 8.75262259574468 8.57258058163265
2003:01 8.72858140425532 8.53858501020408
2003:02 8.59689091489361 8.50748126530612
2003:03 8.64502890625 8.5327965
2003:04 8.65979052061856 8.60588056122449
2004:01 8.84119054081632 8.74952774489796
2004:02 8.95813801020408 8.38164291836735
2004:03 9.11407721938775 8.74489543877552
2004:04 9.14743709183674 8.7800486122449
2005:01 9.19944958163265 8.70697657142857
2005:02 9.19940924489796 8.83560971428571
2005:03 9.20394325510204 8.82048585714285
2005:04 9.29712674489796 8.80678978571429
2006:01 9.38709282653061 8.87748746938776
2006:02 9.35937230612245 8.80698291836735
2006:03 9.3342878367347 9.12140141836735
2006:04 9.35965041326531 9.18155939795919
2007:01 9.38368244897959 9.33982520408163
2007:02 9.3704068877551 9.23002771428571
2007:03 9.37134871428571 9.38769441836735
2007:04 9.34813491836735 9.31707904081633
2008:01 9.30505334693878 9.36600665306122
2008:02 9.17597726530612 9.21140779591837
2008:03 9.29241729787234 9.22282507446809

Figure 6, Bottom-right Panel: Average Actual and Target Capital-to-Assets ratios, by BHC Size. Smallest 20 BHCs

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Target , blue dashed line Percent, (vertical axis), Actual , solid line
1993:01 8.74450842857143 8.39733635714286
1993:02 8.52091057142857 8.56196757142857
1993:03 8.45443457142857 8.28395442857143
1993:04 8.49664771428571 8.26091007142857
1994:01 9.407396125 8.4406645
1994:02 9.191205 8.46570158823529
1994:03 9.177058875 8.44617935294118
1994:04 8.93701822222222 8.37861564705882
1995:01 8.6189556 8.58253664705882
1995:02 8.1001255625 8.30062905555555
1995:03 8.1561094375 8.25518761111111
1995:04 8.2002161875 8.20159283333333
1996:01 8.312104875 8.09462972222222
1996:02 8.22219129411765 7.96510611111111
1996:03 8.30957552941176 7.98953183333333
1996:04 8.336192 8.06862047368421
1997:01 8.376834875 8.0880487368421
1997:02 8.313511 8.1467194
1997:03 8.3447919375 8.2713936
1997:04 8.2946860625 8.43830545
1998:01 8.21516622222222 8.3703706
1998:02 8.25190252631579 8.35137575
1998:03 8.31746652631579 8.4632719
1998:04 8.29293636842105 8.26109375
1999:01 8.25782547368421 8.4784373
1999:02 8.15730505263158 8.291134
1999:03 8.06943136842105 8.2062573
1999:04 7.96992768421052 8.0780783
2000:01 7.96522015789474 7.92208395
2000:02 7.87279576470588 7.8441435
2000:03 7.87184882352941 7.9996325
2000:04 7.94048211764706 8.13921215
2001:01 8.077853875 8.2910024
2001:02 8.0442140625 8.3586436
2001:03 8.25350393333333 8.539462
2001:04 8.41866566666667 8.3172984
2002:01 8.03008435714286 8.47305463157895
2002:02 8.122953 8.60685631578947
2002:03 8.3058168 8.80935205263158
2002:04 8.786687125 10.336324
2003:01 8.7514206875 10.45666175
2003:02 8.623399125 10.14743415
2003:03 8.54757133333333 9.9361404
2003:04 8.56412373684211 9.6691743
2004:01 8.73901436842105 10.11259935
2004:02 8.90967594736842 9.66184125
2004:03 9.12528126315789 9.79538955
2004:04 9.15706831578948 9.8715546
2005:01 9.24313689473684 9.5927064
2005:02 9.26098842105263 9.516634
2005:03 9.24453721052632 9.35046455
2005:04 9.28971678947369 9.0570965
2006:01 9.40047978947368 9.0403149
2006:02 9.36734857894737 8.8950311
2006:03 9.38511078947369 8.84580285
2006:04 9.39724557894737 8.86556405
2007:01 9.41672415789474 8.9162494
2007:02 9.39927663157895 8.85550235
2007:03 9.421149 8.91802935
2007:04 9.35588131578947 8.71604931578947
2008:01 9.35666705263158 8.72395694736842
2008:02 9.25838213157895 8.65278626315789
2008:03 9.25344647368421 8.28998205263158

Figure 7, Top-left Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock. Response of output growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 0.218987871535 0.485730172778 -0.047173275321
1 0.088442458718 0.236661436265 -0.059373423394
2 0.110052488657 0.253813842153 -0.031296523231
3 0.019846028699 0.149900418062 -0.109953883226
4 -0.012858660641 0.102080731948 -0.127571309399
5 -0.068677117939 0.041322812166 -0.180644959267
6 -0.093982225648 0.005265651068 -0.197755083991
7 -0.122975289487 -0.02662655332 -0.223922060978
8 -0.134382151648 -0.042633189449 -0.232090588205
9 -0.146675107311 -0.053369790503 -0.2443987065
10 -0.148613605519 -0.053865336616 -0.246706151381
11 -0.151037131577 -0.053568194001 -0.250551228706
12 -0.147195032078 -0.047855641971 -0.24831629237
13 -0.143610428133 -0.042846346736 -0.247109422384
14 -0.136013622288 -0.033789719823 -0.240875715598
15 -0.128711835328 -0.025205102458 -0.236453013641
16      

Figure 7, Top-right Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock. Response of loan growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 0.079752357548 0.42721258098 -0.264326663972
1 0.290522155097 0.548076248328 0.03429268004
2 0.410931399845 0.680018856602 0.14174306746
3 0.385535506775 0.62291348909 0.149306773724
4 0.341989081849 0.574098636092 0.111096990789
5 0.270012981673 0.488460678566 0.045375584256
6 0.201926878531 0.413309503743 -0.014104822504
7 0.13134923301 0.336561343942 -0.080761491859
8 0.073141464191 0.277635839786 -0.135569138159
9 0.024859414443 0.231273753076 -0.183694217986
10 -0.007522601788 0.20502020438 -0.222422109612
11 -0.0279817129 0.189809650177 -0.251023418835
12 -0.034715365809 0.18983412174 -0.266582716162
13 -0.031723301913 0.19980409466 -0.27220943994
14 -0.018969555696 0.217954450562 -0.263788427189
15 -3.142548e-06 0.238786618788 -0.246330090119
16      

Figure 7, Bottom-left Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock. Response of standards

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 -2.1615365661 -0.9094134957 -3.4352111675
1 -1.2672287521 0.4725395045 -3.031756823
2 -0.8239716321 0.729789503 -2.3555602628
3 -0.1764121642 1.398346671 -1.7339520708
4 0.4162265774 1.9056813144 -1.0517437862
5 1.0121828337 2.4401319786 -0.3870828068
6 1.4540303806 2.8114503749 0.1063657052
7 1.8000912988 3.1620991133 0.469079198
8 2.0139179426 3.3892350955 0.674584993
9 2.128926405 3.5891522904 0.7374882669
10 2.1336032432 3.6761844785 0.673661727
11 2.0549620136 3.6537356987 0.5228900729
12 1.8952116191 3.5602429811 0.3024189778
13 1.6803898481 3.4177934102 0.0266816918
14 1.4188135993 3.1822853407 -0.2661055401
15 1.1348959264 2.9131185163 -0.5806642388
16 0.8391671894 2.6125824886 -0.8983348837

Figure 7, Bottom-right Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock. Response of the capital-assets ratio

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 0.1529756041 0.1667909711 0.1390090677
1 0.1372018511 0.1623013108 0.1117740435
2 0.1336063318 0.1578833584 0.1084557967
3 0.1243399441 0.1503779037 0.0967475198
4 0.1199818424 0.1464760592 0.0921719383
5 0.1140552877 0.141749759 0.0849139306
6 0.1093812917 0.1376613654 0.0792104489
7 0.1037840696 0.1336827952 0.0723642915
8 0.0988875574 0.1293885814 0.0663089656
9 0.0936592986 0.1254502842 0.0595468111
10 0.0890499502 0.1219215364 0.0533229116
11 0.0845538278 0.1189206957 0.0472481974
12 0.0807816296 0.1165366563 0.0419072031
13 0.077430656 0.1150709167 0.0367074238
14 0.0748742024 0.1141785607 0.0323352869
15 0.0728711795 0.1138413311 0.0286738306
16 0.0716253417 0.1145122661 0.0256249215

Figure 8, Top-left Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (incl. credit extended by ABS issuers). Response of output growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 0 0 0
1 0.107413416866617 0.371614320583778 -0.155318100279549
2 -0.00621902513703751 0.15677485036675 -0.167796710601617
3 -0.00162137803233909 0.141739450558104 -0.145151198904983
4 -0.0820142040633013 0.0461791787149089 -0.211937645662321
5 -0.0972276754629516 0.0143377779436933 -0.212347209408546
6 -0.136896986959614 -0.029808248373935 -0.250138247256222
7 -0.143732063588191 -0.0414118122943722 -0.250039739831987
8 -0.158716783691505 -0.0558111172960444 -0.264598859286605
9 -0.156408289224367 -0.05334793360233 -0.262077901656123
10 -0.158796844299109 -0.0516465383995799 -0.266600891112289
11 -0.150614898775062 -0.0402869115782883 -0.262287625075149
12 -0.146068741529096 -0.0306692473247805 -0.261205840534987
13 -0.134117444194265 -0.015324479472974 -0.251641934973801
14 -0.125454448447874 -0.00140005637153559 -0.247209358500679
15 -0.111297370658936 0.0169713949346271 -0.235515034724878
16 -0.100862240379231 0.0320647337155238 -0.22619612519449

Figure 8, Top-right Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (incl. credit extended by ABS issuers). Response of bank, thrift & ABS issuer loan growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 0 0 0
1 -0.0962613626158213 0.214998823090019 -0.408144146003426
2 -0.0312545493050292 0.190724592528574 -0.25148544634306
3 -0.0493057455018859 0.214180698389939 -0.316923946557605
4 -0.0832099001299318 0.171080675137246 -0.340067311483298
5 -0.127470101005266 0.138125947369036 -0.396740569610386
6 -0.173489818092376 0.087941873675898 -0.441005920212687
7 -0.212441499410922 0.053978553509283 -0.485200513277985
8 -0.240936881887582 0.0332912693491511 -0.522061829891692
9 -0.256972549490339 0.028378627678153 -0.547855744781967
10 -0.258225754328364 0.042731215284176 -0.559405157205221
11 -0.246344508657107 0.0774126587481338 -0.559988998505907
12 -0.220960683067403 0.118608212340328 -0.553154196812013
13 -0.185514588933672 0.177003774461964 -0.531898381892746
14 -0.140929930273923 0.23894131684059 -0.508322239065471
15 -0.091318623804421 0.309602240256059 -0.478793223896736
16 -0.0381478090722977 0.382625471572918 -0.437856041182915

Figure 8, Bottom-left Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (incl. credit extended by ABS issuers). Response of standards

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 -1.37034200069241 0.00679685252791039 -2.74479353258479
1 -0.342713909860798 1.52068199706401 -2.1640235315778
2 0.273248609499521 1.89495764311906 -1.33617605475813
3 0.956876543550135 2.62442501727968 -0.703126670834696
4 1.39468583090685 2.98673800181724 -0.148582902018301
5 1.75396287173806 3.30323708110144 0.232493231777034
6 1.95637244981823 3.46763889866471 0.475578018824824
7 2.07238490049014 3.60913199062198 0.585539219251704
8 2.07971465953215 3.66769580660128 0.533865697515405
9 2.00903786745642 3.68624959142015 0.379414703442901
10 1.86001321163395 3.64617019662103 0.0954314195143503
11 1.65040218991966 3.52480166520081 -0.24906906008727
12 1.3901057316336 3.37296585642824 -0.662839300111047
13 1.09446915403851 3.20262020528483 -1.11090525737354
14 0.779827161142016 2.95768065255725 -1.5095605264948
15 0.459896147107823 2.68435770705739 -1.92501676186638
16 0.154598740396933 2.3912381039366 -2.25175662808678

Figure 8, Bottom-right Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (incl. credit extended by ABS issuers). Response of the capital-assets ratio

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) upper band Percent, (vertical axis) lower band
0 0.1529756041 0.167311739395842 0.13822350292635
1 0.118516312798553 0.143184092474109 0.0944801543929348
2 0.107240297265762 0.130309897119065 0.0838006853954147
3 0.0913006213996538 0.117083960696167 0.0655616883834459
4 0.0829071364090235 0.108348554980148 0.0568032593980014
5 0.0741648762702628 0.101546737270651 0.0465201309476562
6 0.0681325246226864 0.0967987852778962 0.0392553796742161
7 0.0615970969856583 0.0921166002628896 0.0311360123853297
8 0.05635291635659 0.0882446220005348 0.0238111183353583
9 0.0509731649177887 0.0844569767106154 0.01604697345235
10 0.0466226947713736 0.0824131225470278 0.00981029810384679
11 0.0425732622733768 0.0804095309922137 0.00338952828386261
12 0.0396217517289995 0.0806656819586555 -0.00201480273136508
13 0.0372912785948847 0.0813385056528233 -0.00682097346378978
14 0.0361051145093117 0.0826465246330417 -0.0105496811237019
15 0.035637891573721 0.0848545333401078 -0.0132521243341903
16 0.0362124165140561 0.087848934176624 -0.015106043208001

Figure 9, Top-left Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (endogenous responses shut down). Response of output growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Full response, solid black Percent, (vertical axis), Output response shut down, solid blue Percent, (vertical axis), Standards response shut down, solid red Percent, (vertical axis), Standards & output response shut down, green dashed line
0 0 0 0 0
1 0.218987871535 0 0.173335973 0
2 0.088442458718 0 -0.004211274 0
3 0.110052488657 0 0.037246685 0
4 0.019846028699 0 -0.02110004 0
5 -0.012858660641 0 -0.025062838 0
6 -0.068677117939 0 -0.039163587 0
7 -0.093982225648 0 -0.039302293 0
8 -0.122975289487 0 -0.040078415 0
9 -0.134382151648 0 -0.038001284 0
10 -0.146675107311 0 -0.036050774 0
11 -0.148613605519 0 -0.033821297 0
12 -0.151037131577 0 -0.0318787 0
13 -0.147195032078 0 -0.030150765 0
14 -0.143610428133 0 -0.028676861 0
15 -0.136013622288 0 -0.027395154 0
16 -0.128711835328 0 -0.026263151 0

Figure 9, Top-right Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (endogenous responses shut down). Response of loan growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Full response, solid black Percent, (vertical axis), Output response shut down, solid blue Percent, (vertical axis), Standards response shut down, solid red Percent, (vertical axis), Standards & output response shut down, green dashed line
0 0 0 0 0
1 0.079752357548 0.048702865 -0.024439467 -0.033792128
2 0.290522155097 0.186635596 0.163453084 0.12299151
3 0.410931399845 0.298743395 0.228285571 0.206448139
4 0.385535506775 0.289346617 0.23918645 0.240622511
5 0.341989081849 0.283148502 0.247689474 0.264063078
6 0.270012981673 0.265978602 0.257721019 0.284165396
7 0.201926878531 0.253682494 0.266601691 0.299053889
8 0.13134923301 0.239946921 0.272359089 0.307098704
9 0.073141464191 0.228211794 0.275170014 0.308987956
10 0.024859414443 0.217429205 0.275284231 0.305776663
11 -0.007522601788 0.208081377 0.273027845 0.298479361
12 -0.0279817129 0.199654775 0.268648681 0.287944126
13 -0.034715365809 0.192002384 0.262428625 0.274969847
14 -0.031723301913 0.184869829 0.254644007 0.26028853
15 -0.018969555696 0.178132931 0.245571549 0.244557866
16 -3.142548e-06 0.171688851 0.235471438 0.228343126

Figure 9, Bottom-left Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (endogenous responses shut down). Response of standards

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Full response, solid black Percent, (vertical axis), Output response shut down, solid blue Percent, (vertical axis), Standards response shut down, solid red Percent, (vertical axis), Standards & output response shut down, green dashed line
0 -2.1615365661 -2.168507669 0 0
1 -1.2672287521 -1.146595978 0 0
2 -0.8239716321 -0.726679607 0 0
3 -0.1764121642 -0.293048076 0 0
4 0.4162265774 0.185342993 0 0
5 1.0121828337 0.608772232 0 0
6 1.4540303806 0.967444775 0 0
7 1.8000912988 1.267370533 0 0
8 2.0139179426 1.516731214 0 0
9 2.128926405 1.719956814 0 0
10 2.1336032432 1.881162759 0 0
11 2.0549620136 2.004111009 0 0
12 1.8952116191 2.092575363 0 0
13 1.6803898481 2.150093675 0 0
14 1.4188135993 2.180023534 0 0
15 1.1348959264 2.185513222 0 0
16 0.8391671894 2.169530307 0 0

Figure 9, Bottom-right Panel: Response to a Capital-to-Assets Ratio Shock (endogenous responses shut down). Response of the capital-assets ratio

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), Full response, solid black Percent, (vertical axis), Output response shut down, solid blue Percent, (vertical axis), Standards response shut down, solid red Percent, (vertical axis), Standards & output response shut down, green dashed line
0 0.152975604 0.152975604 0.152975604 0.152975604
1 0.137201851 0.135042375 0.138356521 0.135950211
2 0.133606332 0.127355655 0.132039047 0.12855657
3 0.124339944 0.118627556 0.126151391 0.121643276
4 0.119981842 0.1140987 0.121754359 0.11661494
5 0.114055288 0.109461473 0.116910298 0.112056485
6 0.109381292 0.105598412 0.111615752 0.107720421
7 0.10378407 0.101710767 0.105963729 0.103532327
8 0.098887557 0.098086782 0.100127029 0.099515309
9 0.093659299 0.094533236 0.094168954 0.095623875
10 0.08904995 0.091107934 0.088159609 0.091827498
11 0.084553828 0.087770608 0.082151892 0.088101002
12 0.08078163 0.084540176 0.07619909 0.084434852
13 0.077430656 0.08141195 0.070345766 0.080825381
14 0.074874202 0.078391645 0.064631556 0.077274745
15 0.07287118 0.075478005 0.059089807 0.073788242
16 0.071625342 0.07267071 0.053748812 0.070373673

Figure 10: Decomposition of BHC Quarterly Loan Growth

  Quarters (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis), 2008:Q4 Percent, (vertical axis), 2009:Q1 Percent, (vertical axis), 2009:Q2 Percent, (vertical axis), 2009.Q3
Capital Ratio (gray box) 1.59 1.68 1.69 1.71
Securities/Assets (peach box) 1.23 1.326 1.34 1.35
Chargeoffs/Assets (lt. green box) -1.35 -1.905 -1.92 -2.44
Lending Std (lavender box) -0.27 -1.592 -1.129 -0.48
GDP Growth (blue box) 0.189 -0.57 -1.058 -1.09
FFR (rose box) 0.85 0.565 -0.255 1.137
Predicted (red line ) 1.407 -1.464 -2.294 -0.822
Actual (purple line ) 1.32519 -0.9 -0.6438 -1.6259

Figure 11, Top-left Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2008:Q3) . Effect of innovations to standards

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 8.50699824365671 8.50699824365671
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.33646625156257 8.32425791478713
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.17078889281292 8.0615295992526
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.75219495861925 7.34486722257533
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 7.32175996843548 6.32665633495968
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.8321226791477 5.17659221655592
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 6.37380376518937 4.31997503659288
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 5.98844150175848 3.64102371033187
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 5.72023293731642 4.26564133994615
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 5.59050750817828 5.0567360600712

Figure 11, Top-right Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2008:Q3) . Effect of innovations to loan growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 8.50699824365671 9.47687016767332
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.33646625156257 13.4266510019987
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.17078889281292 12.1017200264956
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.75219495861925 9.38076999914737
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 7.32175996843548 6.45251316817067
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.8321226791477 6.30912722896157
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 6.37380376518937 3.96744220168901
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 5.98844150175848 4.30904661242667
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 5.72023293731642 -5.06213294064044
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 5.59050750817828 -14.1304540713282

Figure 11, Bottom-left Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2008:Q3) . Effect of innovations to the K/A ratio

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 8.50699824365671 8.50699824365671
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.33646625156257 8.28047160041454
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.17078889281292 7.99205413060094
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.75219495861925 7.56474680100419
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 7.32175996843548 7.11246564473339
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.8321226791477 6.36142853378841
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 6.37380376518937 5.55634070162234
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 5.98844150175848 4.55396696224786
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 5.72023293731642 3.96216362755155
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 5.59050750817828 5.04796292390139

Figure 11, Bottom-right Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2008:Q3) . Effect of all other innovations

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 8.50699824365671 9.02573644225671
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.33646625156257 9.20961243397447
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.17078889281292 8.32108597568127
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.75219495861925 6.05202312450016
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 7.32175996843548 3.87770920340193
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.8321226791477 4.02894993081144
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 6.37380376518937 5.07550556681682
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 5.98844150175848 1.50834196482296
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 5.72023293731642 5.51330038592771
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 5.59050750817828 8.99452857973747

Figure 12, Top-left Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2009:Q3). Effect of innovations to standards

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 7.76712721502445 7.76712721502445
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.0444671455779 8.05150894861815
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.12180225821809 7.95509425931441
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.57070789737549 6.93235936962996
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 6.96277789522794 5.44944979864544
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.15660619649184 3.51005164678463
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 5.33196959660959 1.47811844963358
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 4.57659704955655 -0.325959907365801
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 4.00376731831662 -1.14879817942292
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 3.67250004289099 -1.21320566894097

Figure 12, Top-right Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2009:Q3). Effect of innovations to loan growth

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 7.76712721502445 9.75988061040619
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.0444671455779 13.2666518318626
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.12180225821809 12.1476129823215
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.57070789737549 8.92609239103556
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 6.96277789522794 3.92497983010245
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.15660619649184 5.03198278993496
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 5.33196959660959 3.88233017708977
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 4.57659704955655 3.74890237299676
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 4.00376731831662 2.50259945652488
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 3.67250004289099 -2.35707643490142

Figure 12, Bottom-left Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2009:Q3). Effect of innovations to the K/A ratio

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 7.76712721502445 7.76712721502445
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.0444671455779 8.10276653252166
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.12180225821809 7.92762167660689
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.57070789737549 7.44727317319925
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 6.96277789522794 7.31792658133564
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.15660619649184 6.55283507696536
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 5.33196959660959 5.88202018078433
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 4.57659704955655 4.29745857269058
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 4.00376731831662 2.13336196561276
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 3.67250004289099 1.99140419781096

Figure 12, Bottom-right Panel: Decomposition of Loan Growth (model estimated through 2009:Q3). Effect of all other innovations

  Quarters, (horizontal axis) Percent, (vertical axis) solid line Percent, (vertical axis) small dashed line Percent, (vertical axis) large dashed line
2006:Q4 7.95172960852064    
2007:Q1 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709 6.75285293948709
2007:Q2 9.99560836627332 7.76712721502445 8.00285497089159
2007:Q3 14.2315941964872 8.0444671455779 8.94406832021844
2007:Q4 11.9640230535917 8.12180225821809 8.2991009100032
2008:Q1 7.08582227136929 7.57070789737549 6.49222102963098
2008:Q2 1.80406444595921 6.96277789522794 6.00004192155948
2008:Q3 1.37972987267425 6.15660619649184 4.75467894846481
2008:Q4 -0.247656647229218 5.33196959660959 4.50578333509188
2009:Q1 -4.02174460075578 4.57659704955655 1.98764550959234
2009:Q2 -8.5800110276373 4.00376731831662 -0.0558723154021781
2009:Q3 -11.9231190259075 3.67250004289099 0.673259008796922
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