Will Household Expectations Follow Professional Forecasters'?, Accessible Data

Accessible version of figures

Figure 1: Survey Measures of Long-Run Expected Inflation, 1992:Q1-2014:Q4

Date Michigan (next 5 to 10 years) SPF CPI (next 10 years)
1992:1 3.53 3.7
1992:2 3.77 3.9
1992:3 3.8 3.75
1992:4 3.6 3.6
1993:1 3.7 3.5
1993:2 3.6 3.7
1993:3 3.37 3.45
1993:4 3.5 3.45
1994:1 3.3 3.45
1994:2 3.33 3.5
1994:3 3.3 3.5
1994:4 3.23 3.5
1995:1 3.23 3.3
1995:2 3.27 3.35
1995:3 3.13 3.2
1995:4 3.13 3
1996:1 3.23 3
1996:2 3.13 3
1996:3 3.23 3
1996:4 3 3
1997:1 3.1 3
1997:2 3 2.85
1997:3 3 3
1997:4 3.07 2.65
1998:1 2.87 2.6
1998:2 2.8 2.5
1998:3 2.77 2.5
1998:4 2.83 2.5
1999:1 2.83 2.3
1999:2 2.83 2.5
1999:3 2.87 2.5
1999:4 2.87 2.5
2000:1 3 2.5
2000:2 2.83 2.5
2000:3 2.9 2.5
2000:4 2.97 2.5
2001:1 2.97 2.5
2001:2 3.03 2.5
2001:3 2.93 2.5
2001:4 2.83 2.55
2002:1 2.77 2.5
2002:2 2.87 2.5
2002:3 2.73 2.5
2002:4 2.8 2.45
2003:1 2.73 2.5
2003:2 2.73 2.5
2003:3 2.7 2.5
2003:4 2.77 2.5
2004:1 2.87 2.5
2004:2 2.8 2.5
2004:3 2.77 2.5
2004:4 2.77 2.5
2005:1 2.8 2.45
2005:2 2.9 2.5
2005:3 2.93 2.5
2005:4 3.1 2.5
2006:1 2.9 2.5
2006:2 3.07 2.5
2006:3 3.03 2.5
2006:4 3.03 2.5
2007:1 2.93 2.35
2007:2 3.03 2.4
2007:3 2.97 2.4
2007:4 2.93 2.4
2008:1 2.97 2.5
2008:2 3.33 2.5
2008:3 3.13 2.5
2008:4 2.8 2.5
2009:1 2.87 2.4
2009:2 2.9 2.5
2009:3 2.87 2.5
2009:4 2.87 2.26
2010:1 2.77 2.39
2010:2 2.8 2.4
2010:3 2.8 2.3
2010:4 2.8 2.2
2011:1 3 2.3
2011:2 2.93 2.4
2011:3 2.87 2.4
2011:4 2.7 2.5
2012:1 2.87 2.3
2012:2 2.8 2.48
2012:3 2.83 2.35
2012:4 2.8 2.3
2013:1 2.9 2.3
2013:2 2.9 2.3
2013:3 2.9 2.21
2013:4 2.8 2.3
2014:1 2.9 2.3
2014:2 2.87 2.25
2014:3 2.8 2.2
2014:4 2.73 2.2

Note: Median responses.

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