The Slowdown in Global Trade, Accessible Data

Accessible version of figures

Figure 1: Global Aggregates

Sources: National accounts, World Input-Output Database, and International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook.

Ratio of Global Trade to Output
1980:Q1 = 100

Real Trade/GDP Real Trade/IP Nominal Trade/GDP
1980Q1 100 100.009 100
1980Q2 98.00528 99.20052 100.4398
1980Q3 96.55232 98.75876 97.04846
1980Q4 96.24411 98.71716 102.1124
1981Q1 97.54154 100.8306 97.7175
1981Q2 100.2646 103.7654 98.88691
1981Q3 101.5331 105.2212 92.36075
1981Q4 100.4062 104.2202 101.5135
1982Q1 99.50975 104.1121 95.16916
1982Q2 98.56108 103.9055 94.70906
1982Q3 98.0489 104.5743 87.64768
1982Q4 96.69504 104.0437 92.03836
1983Q1 96.50195 103.6016 86.39251
1983Q2 97.49004 104.3097 87.70566
1983Q3 98.29306 104.8339 84.60184
1983Q4 101.1144 106.7625 92.04816
1984Q1 104.0911 109.3063 90.68066
1984Q2 102.7516 107.7869 92.15839
1984Q3 106.1492 110.782 86.47636
1984Q4 106.2126 110.4976 91.00675
1985Q1 107.183 112.0432 85.04011
1985Q2 106.6771 111.45 88.66877
1985Q3 106.1613 111.3751 85.00505
1985Q4 107.3511 112.7234 92.79039
1986Q1 105.534 110.5681 83.50552
1986Q2 107.3523 113.4627 83.81888
1986Q3 107.3678 113.8027 78.9599
1986Q4 106.4528 112.8983 83.05678
1987Q1 105.4606 112.274 80.41374
1987Q2 107.3881 114.0413 84.2209
1987Q3 108.9502 116.2161 80.96407
1987Q4 111.4528 118.0991 91.09053
1988Q1 108.8935 114.906 83.85782
1988Q2 113.051 119.501 87.61237
1988Q3 113.2151 120.2941 81.48506
1988Q4 114.8476 121.6408 90.585
1989Q1 112.6292 119.397 88.78773
1989Q2 114.5907 121.8253 90.95212
1989Q3 113.6669 121.2282 84.48014
1989Q4 113.9191 121.5325 89.8613
1990Q1 114.768 123.143 83.05587
1990Q2 114.8409 123.5616 82.41695
1990Q3 114.2271 122.6733 81.23515
1990Q4 116.2076 125.4152 91.74588
1991Q1 115.837 126.6451 83.85654
1991Q2 116.4888 128.5499 81.31031
1991Q3 117.5965 130.0801 78.52771
1991Q4 118.5094 131.609 86.75803
1992Q1 119.0888 132.7722 83.70655
1992Q2 119.5666 134.2514 86.12487
1992Q3 119.5812 135.5186 87.40372
1992Q4 121.0409 138.3761 89.39035
1993Q1 119.3693 136.6314 78.03465
1993Q2 121.6712 140.2171 82.397
1993Q3 122.2353 141.121 78.95843
1993Q4 124.8411 144.4661 83.54956
1994Q1 127.1383 146.0687 78.78953
1994Q2 131.659 149.1223 84.98989
1994Q3 132.4509 149.6283 85.43356
1994Q4 136.2896 152.1305 92.25486
1995Q1 138.9207 155.0776 88.3036
1995Q2 140.3787 157.2074 93.88978
1995Q3 139.7282 157.452 89.40546
1995Q4 141.1047 159.1005 94.42517
1996Q1 142.3634 161.6124 90.93433
1996Q2 142.1917 161.0062 92.63339
1996Q3 142.681 161.2066 91.55068
1996Q4 145.2592 164.2706 98.41016
1997Q1 148.3916 167.1608 95.04279
1997Q2 150.2572 168.7399 100.7645
1997Q3 153.3117 171.2616 98.59731
1997Q4 155.1452 172.7854 105.2949
1998Q1 157.6009 174.8534 97.30162
1998Q2 156.8903 174.5123 99.4748
1998Q3 156.9832 174.9128 96.09224
1998Q4 156.0952 174.5792 102.5452
1999Q1 156.8835 175.5854 93.90766
1999Q2 159.0139 178.1907 97.13711
1999Q3 162.6573 181.1905 98.62022
1999Q4 164.9283 182.8337 107.5775
2000Q1 168.5301 187.2349 104.8873
2000Q2 172.2247 189.9587 108.3195
2000Q3 176.9278 194.9576 109.1783
2000Q4 178.8301 196.8217 113.2103
2001Q1 176.2788 196.4572 109.5889
2001Q2 172.3324 194.8975 107.0144
2001Q3 169.8487 193.4237 102.5616
2001Q4 168.1905 193.8533 103.723
2002Q1 170.3812 196.3618 98.87739
2002Q2 172.5233 197.9177 107.6606
2002Q3 176.0299 202.2648 109.4616
2002Q4 175.0871 201.68 111.7306
2003Q1 177.5753 203.7192 108.4738
2003Q2 177.0656 204.5364 110.1713
2003Q3 177.8974 206.5431 107.8848
2003Q4 181.7518 209.6136 116.0278
2004Q1 184.8792 213.7335 114.7088
2004Q2 188.951 217.8545 118.9225
2004Q3 190.0399 220.2045 118.1443
2004Q4 191.4863 222.4129 126.421
2005Q1 192.8416 223.3597 121.8472
2005Q2 196.2005 227.5829 127.4459
2005Q3 197.3455 230.1716 125.466
2005Q4 200.1449 232.4124 128.732
2006Q1 203.9458 237.1498 128.4544
2006Q2 205.05 237.5173 135.9853
2006Q3 205.1819 238.1344 134.6627
2006Q4 206.4223 239.5642 136.8133
2007Q1 207.5173 240.2649 129.9887
2007Q2 207.1932 240.3869 135.5907
2007Q3 207.8307 240.9004 136.1302
2007Q4 207.513 240.5764 144.9977
2008Q1 209.97 243.0819 142.4039
2008Q2 209.3157 243.9568 154.5483
2008Q3 208.811 246.7457 153.4529
2008Q4 197.8426 241.1777 127.1764
2009Q1 180.1099 230.0452 104.7065
2009Q2 178.6031 228.8561 111.9377
2009Q3 185.4139 234.6508 122.0911
2009Q4 192.6053 241.5232 131.7678
2010Q1 196.9685 244.3215 124.3505
2010Q2 201.7399 248.3702 129.7994
2010Q3 203.2391 250.0783 130.5887
2010Q4 204.8859 250.8415 137.3634
2011Q1 207.6164 253.7704 135.7637
2011Q2 205.0931 251.895 144.0852
2011Q3 206.6985 252.9562 143.0893
2011Q4 206.143 252.7175 139.5459
2012Q1 205.7327 252.6503 137.4246
2012Q2 205.5516 253.8356 139.4839
2012Q3 204.7463 253.539 136.58
2012Q4 204.1118 254.4343 140.1248
2013Q1 205.6515 256.4877 134.9622
2013Q2 204.1457 254.5096 137.6191
2013Q3 204.5222 254.8423 137.461
2013Q4 205.4652 255.5563 140.828
2014Q1 204.5432 253.6031 132.3568
2014Q2 203.7747 253.3134 137.4598
2014Q3 206.2063 257.5083 137.62
2014Q4 208.127 259.6504 140.5553
2015Q1 205.4201 256.256 0
2015Q2 203.3307 254.1746 0
2015Q3 205.0323 257.5819 0

Trade and Participation in Global Value Chains
1995:Q1 = 100

Trade/GDP GVC Participation
1995 2868.646 0.38823
1996 2931.961 0.39086
1997 3109.214 0.39144
1998 3214.017 0.399742
1999 3295.516 0.412854
2000 3567.1 0.45211
2001 3516.591 0.448736
2002 3554.342 0.444268
2003 3658.145 0.457192
2004 3868.46 0.487058
2005 4028.125 0.500938
2006 4202.598 0.52001
2007 4251.016 0.529292
2008 4229.941 0.539912
2009 3773.079 0.473684
2010 4132.093 0.501116
2011 4227.953 0.51958
2012 4200.253
2013 4198.421
2014 4213.102
2015 4191.214

Trade and GDP in Share of Investment
1980:Q1 = 100

Trade/GDP Inv/GDP
1980 2001.441 0.222468
1981 2047.245 0.217563
1982 2011.75 0.208567
1983 2014.745 0.206132
1984 2146.902 0.216121
1985 2188.733 0.217775
1986 2185.325 0.219034
1987 2218.843 0.221952
1988 2304.654 0.229406
1989 2329.23 0.234462
1990 2356.054 0.23379
1991 2399.012 0.22926
1992 2454.558 0.221433
1993 2499.828 0.215453
1994 2701.717 0.219896
1995 2868.646 0.225121
1996 2931.961 0.226226
1997 3109.214 0.229602
1998 3214.017 0.227906
1999 3295.516 0.229451
2000 3567.1 0.234631
2001 3516.591 0.228014
2002 3554.342 0.223608
2003 3658.145 0.227926
2004 3868.46 0.234403
2005 4028.125 0.237756
2006 4202.598 0.242113
2007 4251.016 0.243982
2008 4229.941 0.239928
2009 3773.079 0.220108
2010 4132.093 0.232127
2011 4227.953 0.237601
2012 4200.253 0.237914
2013 4198.421 0.238778
2014 4213.102 0.239668
2015 4191.214

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Figure 2: Trade and Participation in Global Value Chains

1995:Q1 = 100

Emerging Asia Latin America Euro Area Other Europe Other Advanced United States
GVC Trade Ratio GVC Trade Ratio GVC Trade Ratio GVC Trade Ratio GVC Trade Ratio GVC Trade Ratio
1995 0.367562188 100 0.362974 100 0.420694 100 0.410989 100 0.30267 100 0.32172 100
1996 0.370941609 98.78837 0.364926 106.9196 0.421192 101.8147 0.412913 103.7029 0.311468 103.9341 0.324857 102.2002
1997 0.376003205 100.5597 0.365475 125.2375 0.430582 108.4275 0.41036 109.1711 0.316799 109.8087 0.318819 109.5721
1998 0.381263906 99.26504 0.376606 132.6218 0.435746 114.6472 0.412627 112.1046 0.320974 109.3489 0.327357 112.9166
1999 0.392836827 100.7617 0.39659 134.9526 0.445709 116.9449 0.424242 113.1195 0.326885 115.0527 0.353134 116.5732
2000 0.436491896 113.6872 0.419406 145.8032 0.488012 126.6998 0.467959 118.4571 0.358048 124.647 0.390931 124.5971
2001 0.418626047 108.5917 0.41295 145.4923 0.483406 127.9296 0.469986 118.4114 0.357894 118.1445 0.384801 118.339
2002 0.422402924 113.0941 0.404589 141.9996 0.467797 128.12 0.449852 119.2901 0.352397 119.8781 0.382924 117.7432
2003 0.448042193 124.7859 0.414041 141.2672 0.471608 130.3917 0.457478 118.0289 0.361001 122.7668 0.389693 119.5611
2004 0.494891479 138.5045 0.438415 148.184 0.498262 136.1586 0.474844 120.1555 0.389621 129.1885 0.414291 126.4744
2005 0.502638081 150.9524 0.440062 153.3543 0.514481 140.1687 0.492049 123.5828 0.402989 132.7229 0.427268 130.1792
2006 0.506461544 157.7497 0.451566 157.9301 0.535776 146.754 0.511833 130.611 0.421257 136.8394 0.434289 135.845
2007 0.50441719 159.6014 0.465898 161.4244 0.545726 149.7542 0.525438 126.2976 0.440275 139.8718 0.438491 137.7713
2008 0.502619099 160.6741 0.477495 159.6953 0.556447 147.3738 0.545313 126.1282 0.459619 139.5533 0.448601 137.849
2009 0.444196095 141.1341 0.421611 140.3019 0.495652 133.9858 0.495739 115.9614 0.39757 122.001 0.382789 119.9628
2010 0.474754123 156.7599 0.451716 156.4633 0.523272 144.5637 0.514178 123.8199 0.416464 134.6254 0.419549 134.76
2011 0.473970918 157.6559 0.45245 160.4648 0.541441 148.6893 0.530117 125.8774 0.423043 138.1079 0.42213 139.7353
2012 155.163 159.8923 148.3155 122.0078 138.1533 141.186
2013 154.7927 160.9212 149.4466 119.7782 136.3288 141.1948
2014 152.1722 160.122 152.1292 117.6889 138.2616 143.462
2015 143.6249 164.7276 154.6808 118.7221 140.4561 144.3859

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Figure 3: Trade and the GDP Share of Investment

1995:Q1 = 100

Emerging Asia Latin America Euro Area Other Europe Other Advanced United States
Investment Share of GDP Trade Ratio Investment Share of GDP Trade Ratio Investment Share of GDP Trade Ratio Investment Share of GDP Trade Ratio Investment Share of GDP Trade Ratio Investment Share of GDP Trade Ratio
1995 0.331093 100 0.16889 100 0.21301 100 0.221286 100 0.2536 100 0.195985 100
1996 0.324236 98.78837 0.171326 106.9196 0.20834 101.8147 0.225954 103.7029 0.258186 103.9341 0.203205 102.2002
1997 0.314854 100.5597 0.184853 125.2375 0.210665 108.4275 0.226997 109.1711 0.25847 109.8087 0.213334 109.5721
1998 0.273131 99.26504 0.186632 132.6218 0.219445 114.6472 0.239296 112.1046 0.246033 109.3489 0.22136 112.9166
1999 0.272409 100.7617 0.175902 134.9526 0.226037 116.9449 0.239822 113.1195 0.236581 115.0527 0.228383 116.5732
2000 0.286783 113.6872 0.18687 145.8032 0.229083 126.6998 0.239174 118.4571 0.240248 124.647 0.232413 124.5971
2001 0.292207 108.5917 0.179414 145.4923 0.224711 127.9296 0.233511 118.4114 0.232523 118.1445 0.220181 118.339
2002 0.296191 113.0941 0.175787 141.9996 0.217567 128.12 0.228329 119.2901 0.220643 119.8781 0.217666 117.7432
2003 0.308662 124.7859 0.171402 141.2672 0.220009 130.3917 0.22967 118.0289 0.225 122.7668 0.220142 119.5611
2004 0.325022 138.5045 0.180399 148.184 0.220777 136.1586 0.230168 120.1555 0.229224 129.1885 0.227945 126.4744
2005 0.328437 150.9524 0.183747 153.3543 0.221617 140.1687 0.231371 123.5828 0.230665 132.7229 0.23223 130.1792
2006 0.333568 157.7497 0.19458 157.9301 0.228571 146.754 0.240532 130.611 0.231444 136.8394 0.231447 135.845
2007 0.339828 159.6014 0.202685 161.4244 0.234672 149.7542 0.244385 126.2976 0.232081 139.8718 0.222366 137.7713
2008 0.342893 160.6741 0.213638 159.6953 0.230787 147.3738 0.239723 126.1282 0.231588 139.5533 0.207436 137.849
2009 0.360161 141.1341 0.196267 140.3019 0.203681 133.9858 0.212277 115.9614 0.207141 122.001 0.177318 119.9628
2010 0.374111 156.7599 0.205472 156.4633 0.206987 144.5637 0.227819 123.8199 0.210721 134.6254 0.189455 134.76
2011 0.376512 157.6559 0.212595 160.4648 0.209879 148.6893 0.234458 125.8774 0.21533 138.1079 0.191825 139.7353
2012 0.376087 155.163 0.217237 159.8923 0.196436 148.3155 0.233102 122.0078 0.222781 138.1533 0.198894 141.186
2013 0.377103 154.7927 0.213437 160.9212 0.194682 149.4466 0.231742 119.7782 0.221486 136.3288 0.20164 141.1948
2014 0.378959 152.1722 0.188649 160.122 0.194934 152.1292 0.242258 117.6889 0.219509 138.2616 0.204907 143.462
2015 143.6249 164.7276 154.6808 118.7221 140.4561 144.3859

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