G.17 - Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization
Release Date: February 15, 2000

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INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION

Industrial production increased 1.0 percent in January after advances of 0.3 percent in November and 0.4 percent in December. The output of utilities increased 1.8 percent in January, while output for both manufacturing and mining increased about 1 percent. At 141.5 percent of its 1992 average, industrial production in January was 5.5 percent higher than in January 1999. The rate of capacity utilization for total industry rose 0.5 percentage point, to 81.6 percent, more than 1 percentage point above its level in January 1999.

 INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION AND CAPACITY UTILIZATION:  SUMMARY
 Seasonally adjusted
                               |             Index, 1992=100             |                 Percent change
                               |     1999                          2000  |   1999                    2000  |  Jan. 99 to 
 Industrial Production         |     Oct.      Nov.      Dec.      Jan.  |   Oct.    Nov.    Dec.    Jan.  |   Jan. 00 
 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                               |                                         |                                 |
  Total index                  |    139.1     139.5     140.1     141.5  |     .7      .3      .4     1.0  |         5.5 
     Previous estimates        |    139.4     139.9     140.5            |    1.0      .4      .4          |             
                               |                                         |                                 |
 Major market groups:          |                                         |                                 |
     Products, total           |    128.5     128.2     128.4     129.6  |     .7     -.2      .2     1.0  |         3.3 

Consumer goods | 118.2 117.7 118.2 119.3 | .9 -.4 .3 1.0 | 2.6

Business equipment | 174.8 174.8 174.5 177.8 | .6 .0 -.2 1.9 | 7.2

Construction supplies | 135.4 134.7 134.5 134.8 | .9 -.5 -.2 .2 | 1.1 Materials | 156.8 158.7 160.1 161.8 | .7 1.2 .9 1.0 | 9.2 | | | Major industry groups: | | | Manufacturing | 144.2 144.9 145.2 146.6 | .9 .5 .2 .9 | 5.8

Durable | 176.5 177.2 178.0 180.4 | .8 .4 .4 1.3 | 8.5

Nondurable | 113.0 113.6 113.5 113.9 | 1.0 .6 -.1 .3 | 2.3 Mining | 99.2 99.6 99.6 100.6 | .9 .4 .0 1.0 | 2.7 Utilities | 115.2 112.8 117.5 119.7 | -2.2 -2.0 4.2 1.8 | 4.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ | | Capacity | Percent of Capacity | Growth | Average 1982 1988-89 1999 | 1999 2000 | Jan. 99 to Capacity Utilization | 1967-99 Low High Jan. | Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. | Jan. 00 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ | | | Total industry | 82.0 71.1 85.4 80.4 | 81.0 81.0 81.1 81.6 | 4.0 Previous estimates | | 81.2 81.2 81.3 | | | | Manufacturing | 81.1 69.0 85.7 79.6 | 80.2 80.3 80.2 80.6 | 4.4

Advanced processing | 80.5 70.4 84.2 78.4 | 79.1 79.1 79.0 79.6 | 5.4

Primary processing | 82.4 66.2 88.9 83.1 | 83.4 83.9 83.6 83.9 | 2.2 Mining | 87.3 80.3 88.0 81.3 | 82.6 82.9 82.9 83.9 | -.4 Utilities | 87.5 75.9 92.6 90.3 | 89.9 88.0 91.6 93.2 | 1.4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Note: Estimates for January are preliminary. Estimates from October to December are revised.

Market Groups

The output of consumer goods, which on balance had been flat during November and December, increased about 1 percent in January. The output of durable consumer goods surged 1.9 percent; the production of automotive products jumped 2.9 percent, making up the losses posted in the previous two months. The production of other durable consumer goods also rose strongly; the output of household appliances increased 4 percent, and the index for carpeting and furniture advanced further. The production of nondurable consumer goods also accelerated, rising 0.7 percent. The gain reflected both a further rebound in the output of energy products and an upturn in the output of non-energy consumer products.

The production of business equipment, which had eased over the preceding two months, jumped 1.9 percent in January. The output of transit equipment rebounded 1.9 percent because of an increase in motor vehicle assemblies. The output of industrial equipment, which had flattened late last year, rose 1 percent. The production of information processing and related equipment, for which growth averaged about 1 percent per month during the fourth quarter, rose 2.8 percent in January, led by gains in the output of communication equipment and computers. The output of defense and space equipment fell about 2 percent further in January, to a level 5.6 percent below that of a year earlier.

The output index of construction supplies, which had declined in November and December, edged up 0.2 percent in January to match the high level of the fourth quarter. The output of materials increased 1.0 percent, about the same as the average gain in the preceding three months. The output of durable goods materials rose 1.3 percent, with another strong increase in equipment parts, particularly semiconductors. The output of nondurable goods materials moved up slightly in January, and the output of energy materials, which had increased 1.4 in December, gained an additional 0.9 percent.

Industry Groups

Manufacturing output rose 0.9 percent in January; most major industries posted gains. Production in durable manufacturing gained 1.3 percent after increases of 0.4 percent in both November and December. The output of motor vehicles and parts, which had dropped 1.7 percent in December, rebounded 3.5 percent. The production of electrical machinery surged more than 3 percent, led by a 4 percent gain in semiconductors and related equipment. The production of industrial machinery and equipment increased more than 1 percent. In contrast, the output of aircraft and parts continued to decline, and the output of primary metals and instruments edged down.

After having changed little in December, production in nondurable manufacturing increased 0.3 percent in January, to a level 2.3 percent higher than in January 1999. Among nondurable manufacturing industries, production gains were widespread except for downturns in the output of tobacco and petroleum products.

The factory operating rate rose to 80.6 percent. Utilization in primary-processing industries increased to 83.9 percent, while that for advanced-processing industries advanced 0.6 percentage point, to 79.6 percent.

Output at utilities, which had rebounded 4.2 percent in December, was up another 1.8 percent in January; the operating rate at utilities rose to 93.2 percent. Boosted by the continuing recovery in oil and gas extraction, mine production increased 1.0 percent. The utilization rate at mines increased to 83.9 percent but remained noticeably below its long-term average.

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Last update: February 15, 2000, 9:15 AM