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Finance and Economics Discussion Series: Data for paper 201327 ♣

Declining Migration Within the US: The Role of the Labor Market

Raven Molloy, Christopher L. Smith, and Abigail Wozniak

Figure 1

  inter-state inter-county same state intra-county
1948 0.0321924 0.0315202 0.1330147
1949 0.0298307 0.0266695 0.127701
1950 0.0267936 0.0285065 0.1266205
1951 0.033618 0.0338347 0.1356997
1952 0.0332264 0.0295167 0.1278518
1953 0.0348387 0.0281911 0.1292251
1954 0.0324367 0.0305558 0.1171902
1955 0.0306941 0.0335243 0.1271377
1956 0.0306832 0.0359075 0.1312872
1957 0.0287446 0.0305154 0.1265388
1958 0.0309152 0.0322782 0.1374907
1959 0.029038 0.0319862 0.1467242
1960 0.0303102 0.0318646 0.1484058
1961 0.0319996 0.0314683 0.1577919
1962 0.0287898 0.0294592 0.126904
1963 0.0325486 0.0309874 0.12222
1964 0.0294537 0.0321217 0.1263613
1965 0.0287309 0.0333934 0.1302305
1966 0.0298756 0.0312064 0.1239919
1967 0.0302114 0.0324482 0.1141136
1968 0.0321019 0.0324988 0.1168071
1969 0.0313318 0.0313458 0.1147209
1970 0.0321302 0.0304215 0.116266
1971 0.0313004 0.030135 0.1142905
1976 0.0281107 0.0342799 0.1082404
1980      
1981 0.0261092 0.0342344 0.1051467
1982 0.0281752 0.0320918 0.104271
1983 0.0255523 0.03267 0.1016138
1984 0.0265816 0.0357943 0.1037396
1985      
1986 0.0282122 0.0371418 0.1128733
1987 0.027345 0.0369405 0.1148367
1988 0.0280073 0.0327002 0.1118273
1989 0.0283737 0.0333394 0.1110803
1990 0.0317459 0.0341296 0.1078954
1991 0.0284531 0.0322347 0.1046397
1992 0.0274537 0.0315089 0.1100143
1993 0.026499 0.0312921 0.1071358
1994 0.0253756 0.0316138 0.1058863
1995      
1996 0.0232298 0.0290485 0.1057577
1997 0.0224309 0.0272769 0.108344
1998 0.022572 0.0268372 0.1054693
1999 0.0227317 0.0275415 0.1033382
2000 0.0227991 0.0297388 0.1011231
2001 0.021616 0.0259762 0.0927624
2002 0.0214291 0.0269593 0.0960137
2003 0.0202554 0.0237823 0.0933411
2004 0.0189176 0.0254014 0.089733
2005 0.0202543 0.0236946 0.0885423
2006 0.0185057 0.0262658 0.0907507
2007 0.0157515 0.0222304 0.0912077
2008 0.0152469 0.0200052 0.083831
2009 0.0149309 0.0196701 0.0883869
2010 0.0136088 0.0190815 0.0907628
2011 0.014616 0.0175165 0.0831425
2012 0.0150867 0.0193326 0.0832605
Return to Figure 1

Fraction of Population that Move by Reason Across State

  across state family related across state job realted across state housing related across state other reasons within county family related within county job related within county housing related within county other reasons
2000 0.0082032 0.0141753 0.0019935 0.0043603 0.025797 0.0079317 0.0624099 0.0040549
2001 0.0069073 0.012849 0.0017413 0.0039998 0.023238 0.0059836 0.0515257 0.0037886
2002 0.0062165 0.0126853 0.0019075 0.0036206 0.0218776 0.0071595 0.0545602 0.0032567
2003 0.0063565 0.0104088 0.0023625 0.0034166 0.0205612 0.0057294 0.0538837 0.0039078
2004 0.0058387 0.0107421 0.0019678 0.0030383 0.0180392 0.0056457 0.0512596 0.0031389
2005 0.0048842 0.0078404 0.0019871 0.0025971 0.0175148 0.0045004 0.0427614 0.0032856
2006 0.0058434 0.0103864 0.0025897 0.0033359 0.0211677 0.0078472 0.0468471 0.0033851
2007 0.005099 0.0103431 0.0016252 0.0022451 0.0239667 0.0086135 0.0398512 0.0040942
2008 0.0048168 0.0094682 0.0016313 0.0028713 0.020754 0.0085312 0.0350959 0.0045525
2009 0.0045781 0.0088383 0.0016832 0.003032 0.0191366 0.0067467 0.0406118 0.0060934
2010 0.0047156 0.007483 0.0016826 0.0026013 0.0242951 0.0080928 0.0410017 0.0056871
2011 0.0048478 0.0083532 0.0015827 0.0026554 0.0194827 0.0064707 0.0379369 0.0053952
2012 0.0045426 0.0094602 0.0032447 0.0005358 0.0206848 0.0072253 0.0386228 0.0013256
Return to Figure 2

Labor Market Transitions in the CPS

year changed employer changed occupation employed to not employed not employed to employed
1979 0.1656027 0.0951714 0.106989 0.0142071
1980 0.1634579 0.0976428 0.1125158 0.0130787
1981 0.1438299 0.0916252 0.1098476 0.0128982
1982 0.145859 0.08841 0.1194901 0.0122704
1983 0.1255834 0.0771499 0.1185538 0.012479
1984 0.1340027 0.0879809 0.1008854 0.0156008
1985 0.1494715 0.0918369 0.1011962 0.0137626
1986 0.1553909 0.0930989 0.1020728 0.0132629
1987 0.1511128 0.0925964 0.099065 0.0127851
1988 0.1633546 0.0935979 0.095118 0.0117968
1989 0.1615619 0.1010805 0.081936 0.0119749
1990 0.1600235 0.0982284 0.0833752 0.0110604
1991 0.1489625 0.0879022 0.0897512 0.0092825
1992 0.1409898 0.0811522 0.0895584 0.0101201
1993 0.1379612 0.0819629 0.0837943 0.0107779
1994 0.1414641 0.0819321 0.0834501 0.0131204
1995 0.1567479 0.0891052 0.0734849 0.0116451
1996 0.1504364 0.0853644 0.07474 0.0116141
1997 0.1500592 0.0858049 0.0721127 0.012681
1998 0.1497705 0.0856152 0.0714615 0.0131792
1999 0.1525115 0.0829273 0.0687505 0.0136185
2000 0.1517864 0.0867078 0.0690096 0.0130226
2001 0.1452202 0.0743694 0.0681612 0.0124521
2002 0.129601 0.0668879 0.0747209 0.0142246
2003 0.1171813 0.0559126 0.0706376 0.0142
2004 0.1125208 0.0567095 0.0674393 0.0149803
2005 0.1139649 0.0573663 0.0634939 0.0151349
2006 0.1153973 0.0576583 0.0617005 0.0156796
2007 0.114759 0.0534421 0.0571217 0.0149249
2008 0.1103356 0.0505855 0.0620877 0.0141808
2009 0.1040702 0.0436639 0.0815352 0.0118049
2010 0.0900731 0.0400159 0.0752534 0.0137797
2011 0.0931424 0.0421576 0.0602965 0.0154738
2012 0.0964527 0.0421501 0.060672 0.0156518
Return to Figure 3

Changes in Job Changing and Changes in In-Migration by State

state abbrev change in interstate mobility rate 1981/89 to 2001/10 change in fraction changing firms in last year 1981/89 to 2001/10
1 AL -0.0018101 -0.0162372
2 AK -0.0363094 -0.0325449
4 AZ -0.028993 -0.0685544
5 AR -0.0111545 -0.0401099
6 CA -0.0118685 -0.0571257
8 CO -0.0162211 -0.0522634
9 CT -0.0055623 -0.0279455
10 DE -0.0200227 -0.0495921
11 DC -0.0039197 0.0031773
12 FL -0.0227332 -0.0732202
13 GA -0.0094883 -0.0498065
15 HI -0.0109043 -0.0227688
16 ID -0.0095317 -0.038905
17 IL -0.0044248 -0.0183522
18 IN -0.0085548 -0.0292469
19 IA -0.0022714 0.0016866
20 KS -0.0069226 -0.0243725
21 KY -0.0030175 0.0065007
22 LA -0.0111988 -0.0487067
23 ME -0.0005018 -0.0009008
24 MD -0.0083908 -0.0304495
25 MA -0.0090599 -0.0510695
26 MI -0.0055132 -0.0245779
27 MN -0.0085269 -0.0104187
28 MS -0.0065241 -0.025581
29 MO -0.0114847 -0.0130158
30 MT -0.0097365 -0.0127223
31 NE -0.0005396 0.0039201
32 NV -0.0317945 -0.0927003
33 NH -0.0259755 -0.0478462
34 NJ -0.0068703 -0.0309373
35 NM -0.0188705 -0.0434648
36 NY -0.0036818 -0.0197128
37 NC 0.000364 -0.0290671
38 ND -0.0116081 -0.016355
39 OH -0.0068466 -0.0116152
40 OK -0.0117765 -0.0405349
41 OR -0.0083762 -0.0403383
42 PA 0.0015387 0.0062528
44 RI -0.0090016 -0.0321874
45 SC -0.014986 -0.0189163
47 TN -0.004462 -0.0169809
48 TX -0.0171703 -0.0679078
49 UT -0.0156854 -0.0234796
51 VA -0.0188819 -0.0475469
53 WA -0.0170942 -0.0362981
54 WV -0.0068869 -0.0116298
55 WI -0.002719 -0.0104398
56 WY -0.012712 -0.0194347
Return to Figure 4

Rates of employer (job) changing and interstate migration in the NLSY79 and NLS97 by age and year

year agegrp job change migration NLSY cohort
1979 Age 22-25 0.6105263   1979
1980 Age 22-25 0.5637066 0.0732759 1979
1981 Age 22-25 0.4830509 0.0625 1979
1982 Age 22-25 0.442899 0.0751534 1979
1983 Age 22-25 0.4618973 0.0580096 1979
1984 Age 22-25 0.4845631 0.0460561 1979
1985 Age 22-25 0.5026853 0.0604099 1979
1986 Age 22-25 0.5314109 0.0722394 1979
1987 Age 22-25 0.5163699 0.0741379 1979
1988 Age 22-25 0.5011933 0.0541401 1979
1989 Age 22-25 0.4519351 0.07375 1979
1990 Age 22-25 0.4375 0.0625 1979
1983 Age 26-29 0.3918919 0.0704225 1979
1984 Age 26-29 0.4042208 0.0411862 1979
1985 Age 26-29 0.3926097 0.049711 1979
1986 Age 26-29 0.3787529 0.0717039 1979
1987 Age 26-29 0.3749239 0.0768761 1979
1988 Age 26-29 0.402285 0.0668675 1979
1989 Age 26-29 0.3471897 0.0503808 1979
1990 Age 26-29 0.3417576 0.0442529 1979
1991 Age 26-29 0.3050248 0.0382436 1979
1992 Age 26-29 0.3187817 0.0182741 1979
1993 Age 26-29 0.286385 0.0719875 1979
1994 Age 26-29 0.3375528 0.0548523 1979
1987 Age 30-33 0.3434343 0.0707071 1979
1988 Age 30-33 0.3873085 0.0438596 1979
1989 Age 30-33 0.2714819 0.0450563 1979
1990 Age 30-33 0.2945736 0.0405872 1979
1991 Age 30-33 0.2406807 0.0324149 1979
1992 Age 30-33 0.2545169 0.0102201 1979
1993 Age 30-33 0.242515 0.035982 1979
1994 Age 30-33 0.2601927 0.0378058 1979
1991 Age 34-37 0.2816902 0.028169 1979
1992 Age 34-37 0.2061538 0.0092308 1979
1993 Age 34-37 0.2117647 0.037037 1979
1994 Age 34-37 0.2364066 0.0414201 1979
2002 Age 22-25 0.4963504 0.0661765 1997
2003 Age 22-25 0.4774436 0.0415094 1997
2004 Age 22-25 0.5237113 0.0654206 1997
2005 Age 22-25 0.482066 0.0632638 1997
2006 Age 22-25 0.4707924 0.0575916 1997
2007 Age 22-25 0.4572289 0.0537764 1997
2008 Age 22-25 0.412844 0.0502513 1997
2009 Age 22-25 0.3531073 0.029703 1997
2006 Age 26-29 0.3571429 0.0634921 1997
2007 Age 26-29 0.3419355 0.0451613 1997
2008 Age 26-29 0.3052996 0.0509259 1997
2009 Age 26-29 0.2702278 0.0447761 1997
Return to Figure 5a

Rates of industry and occupation changing in the same data by age and year

year agegrp industry change occupation change NLSY cohort
1979 Age 22-25     1979
1980 Age 22-25 0.355615 0.3743316 1979
1981 Age 22-25 0.3609959 0.3762102 1979
1982 Age 22-25 0.3376103 0.3480353 1979
1983 Age 22-25 0.3864004 0.3923368 1979
1984 Age 22-25 0.4204364 0.4236296 1979
1985 Age 22-25 0.4322126 0.4403471 1979
1986 Age 22-25 0.4416796 0.466563 1979
1987 Age 22-25 0.4461095 0.4536023 1979
1988 Age 22-25 0.4405427 0.424581 1979
1989 Age 22-25 0.3692115 0.3817272 1979
1990 Age 22-25 0.3675497 0.3609272 1979
1983 Age 26-29 0.2928571 0.2571429 1979
1984 Age 26-29 0.358804 0.345515 1979
1985 Age 26-29 0.3464658 0.3395133 1979
1986 Age 26-29 0.3034749 0.3158301 1979
1987 Age 26-29 0.3231521 0.3200977 1979
1988 Age 26-29 0.3558504 0.3492159 1979
1989 Age 26-29 0.2864675 0.2934974 1979
1990 Age 26-29 0.2750288 0.2750288 1979
1991 Age 26-29 0.2473423 0.2523033 1979
1992 Age 26-29 0.2591463 0.2662602 1979
1993 Age 26-29 0.228482 0.2488263 1979
1994 Age 26-29 0.1983122 0.2236287 1979
1987 Age 30-33 0.3030303 0.3333333 1979
1988 Age 30-33 0.3392071 0.3392071 1979
1989 Age 30-33 0.2152691 0.2265332 1979
1990 Age 30-33 0.2288428 0.2366149 1979
1991 Age 30-33 0.1839546 0.191248 1979
1992 Age 30-33 0.1933962 0.2012579 1979
1993 Age 30-33 0.2033008 0.2055514 1979
1994 Age 30-33 0.2114243 0.1936202 1979
1991 Age 34-37 0.1971831 0.2394366 1979
1992 Age 34-37 0.1569231 0.1507692 1979
1993 Age 34-37 0.1515152 0.1632997 1979
1994 Age 34-37 0.1805226 0.1828979 1979
2002 Age 22-25 0.3851852 0.4 1997
2003 Age 22-25 0.3901515 0.4015152 1997
2004 Age 22-25 0.415883 0.4524556 1997
2005 Age 22-25 0.3891697 0.4043321 1997
2006 Age 22-25 0.3788675 0.3981319 1997
2007 Age 22-25 0.3564056 0.380085 1997
2008 Age 22-25 0.3081444 0.3266163 1997
2009 Age 22-25 0.2620397 0.286119 1997
2006 Age 26-29 0.2698413 0.3095238 1997
2007 Age 26-29 0.2795699 0.288172 1997
2008 Age 26-29 0.2320186 0.2343387 1997
2009 Age 26-29 0.2018853 0.212883 1997
Return to Figure 5b
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