Economic Research
Papers
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
March 2026
AI and Coder Employment: Compiling the Evidence
Leland D. Crane and Paul E. Soto
March 2026
Queuing, Service Time, and Price Dynamics in Residential Mortgage Lending
Akos Horvath and Benjamin S. Kay
March 2026
Model Uncertainty and the Pricing of Hurricane Risk in Florida
Papers
International Finance Discussion Papers
March 2026
Volatile Rates, Fragile Growth: Global Financial Risk and Productivity Dynamics
Nils Gornemann, Eugenio Rojas, Felipe Saffie
March 2026
Risk in a Data-Rich Model
Dario Caldara, Harun Mumtaz, Molin Zhong
March 2026
The Design and Effect of Tariff Retaliation: Evidence from the European Union
Ece Fisgin, Johannes Fleck, Keith Richards
FEDS Notes
The Slow Climb: How Tariffs Gradually Raised Retail Prices in 2025
Sinem Hacıoğlu-Hoke, Sarojini Malladi, and Leo Feler
Measuring Shocks to Banks’ Expectations for Lending Standards Using the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey
Solveig Baylor, Jack Keane, Luke Morgan, and Andrei Zlate
Data, Models and Tools
A large-scale estimated general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy for FRB/US Model
Models of daily yield curves, and a dynamic term structure model of Treasury yields
Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF):
Information on families' balance sheets, pensions, income, and demographic characteristics
View selected research data from the Federal Reserve Board's working papers and notes series.
Estimated Dynamic Optimization (EDO) Model:
A medium-scale New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of the U.S. economy.
Disclaimer: The economic research that is linked from this page represents the views of the authors and does not indicate concurrence either by other members of the Board's staff or by the Board of Governors. The economic research and their conclusions are often preliminary and are circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment.
The Board values having a staff that conducts research on a wide range of economic topics and that explores a diverse array of perspectives on those topics. The resulting conversations in academia, the economic policy community, and the broader public are important to sharpening our collective thinking.