Economic Research
Papers
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
May 2024
Tale About Inflation Tails
Olesya V. Grishchenko and Laura Wilcox
May 2024
Government Debt, Limited Foresight, and Longer-term Interest Rates
Christopher Gust and Arsenios Skaperdas
May 2024
Manufacturing Sentiment: Forecasting Industrial Production with Text Analysis
Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Christopher Kurz, Norman Morin, Paul E. Soto, Betsy Vrankovich
Papers
International Finance Discussion Papers
May 2024
Corporate Bond Issuance Over Financial Stress Episodes: A Global Perspective
Valentina Bruno, Michele Dathan, Yuriy Kitsul
April 2024
Tariff Rate Uncertainty and the Structure of Supply Chains
Sebastian Heise, Justin R. Pierce, Georg Schaur, and Peter K. Schott
FEDS Notes
Why Do Mutual Funds Invest in Treasury Futures?
Benjamin Iorio, Dan Li, and Lubomir Petrasek
Data, Models and Tools
A large-scale estimated general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy for FRB/US Model
Models of daily yield curves, and a dynamic term structure model of Treasury yields
Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF):
Information on families' balance sheets, pensions, income, and demographic characteristics
View selected research data from the Federal Reserve Board's working papers and notes series.
Estimated Dynamic Optimization (EDO) Model:
A medium-scale New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of the U.S. economy.
Disclaimer: The economic research that is linked from this page represents the views of the authors and does not indicate concurrence either by other members of the Board's staff or by the Board of Governors. The economic research and their conclusions are often preliminary and are circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment.
The Board values having a staff that conducts research on a wide range of economic topics and that explores a diverse array of perspectives on those topics. The resulting conversations in academia, the economic policy community, and the broader public are important to sharpening our collective thinking.