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Meet the Researchers

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Tomaz Cajner

Group Manager Industrial Output Section Research and Statistics

Education

  • Ph.D., Economics, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, 2012
Current Research Topics
  • Labor Force Participation Rate
  • Nontraditional (Big) Data and Economic Measurement
  • Group Manager

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2019 - present
  • Principal Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2018 - 2019
  • Senior Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2015 - 2018
  • Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2012 - 2015
  • Are Manufacturing Jobs Still Good Jobs? An Exploration of the Manufacturing Wage Premium
    Kimberly Bayard, Tomaz Cajner, Vivi Gregorich, and Maria D. Tito
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2024)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2022.011r1
  • Manufacturing Sentiment: Forecasting Industrial Production with Text Analysis
    Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Christopher Kurz, Norman Morin, Paul E. Soto, and Betsy Vrankovich
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2024)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2024.026
  • Measuring Job Loss during the Pandemic Recession in Real Time with Twitter Data
    Anbar Aizenman, Connor M. Brennan, Tomaz Cajner, Cynthia Doniger, and Jacob Williams
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2023)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2023.035
  • Payroll Employment at the Weekly Frequency
    Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
    American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings (2023)
    https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20231052
  • Lessons learned from the use of nontraditional data during COVID-19
    Tomaz Cajner, Laura J. Feiveson, Christopher J. Kurz, and Stacey Tevlin
    Recession Remedies (2022)
  • Are Manufacturing Jobs Still Good Jobs? An Exploration of the Manufacturing Wage Premium
    Kimberly Bayard, Tomaz Cajner, Vivi Gregorich, and Maria D. Tito
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2022)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2022.011
  • Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data
    Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
    National Bureau of Economic Research Studies in Income and Wealth (2022)
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2019)
  • The Long-Lived Cyclicality of the Labor Force Participation Rate
    Tomaz Cajner, John Coglianese, and Joshua Montes
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2021)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2021.047
  • Reconciling Unemployment Claims with Job Losses in the First Months of the COVID-19 Crisis
    Tomaz Cajner, Andrew Figura, Brendan M. Price, David Ratner, and Alison Weingarden
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2020)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2020.055
  • Tracking Labor Market Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Preliminary Assessment
    Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2020)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2020.030
  • The US Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession
    Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, and Ahu Yildirmaz
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2020)
    https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.2020.0005
  • Tracking the Labor Market with "Big Data"
    Tomaz Cajner, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz
    FEDS Notes (2019)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2441
  • Using Payroll Processor Microdata to Measure Aggregate Labor Market Activity
    Tomaz Cajner, Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Christopher Kurz, and Tyler Radler
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2018)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2018.005
  • Human Capital and Unemployment Dynamics: Why More Educated Workers Enjoy Greater Employment Stability
    Isabel Cairó and Tomaz Cajner
    Economic Journal (2018)
    https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12441
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2014)
  • Racial Gaps in Labor Market Outcomes in the Last Four Decades and over the Business Cycle
    Tomaz Cajner, Tyler Radler, David Ratner, and Ivan Vidangos
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2017)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2017.071
  • A Cautionary Note on the Help Wanted Online Data
    Tomaz Cajner and David D. Ratner
    FEDS Notes (2016)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.1795
  • The Recent Decline in Long-Term Unemployment
    Tomaz Cajner and David Ratner
    FEDS Notes (2014)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.0024
  • Why is Involuntary Part-Time Work Elevated?
    Tomaz Cajner, Dennis Mawhirter, Christopher J. Nekarda, and David Ratner
    FEDS Notes (2014)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.0014
  • Human Capital and Unemployment Dynamics: Why More Educated Workers Enjoy Greater Employment Stability
    Isabel Cairo and Tomaz Cajner
    Finance and Economics Discussion Series (2014)
    https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.2014.09
  • Labor Force Participation: Recent Developments and Future Prospects
    Stephanie Aaronson, Tomaz Cajner, Bruce Fallick, Felix Galbis-Reig, Christopher Smith, and William Wascher
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (2014)
    See also » FRB Working Paper (2014)
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Last Update: February 24, 2025