Economic Research
@FedResearch is a new Twitter account aimed at increasing access to Board research. The account will highlight research published in the Board's working papers and notes series, other staff articles, and conferences.
Papers
Finance and Economics Discussion Series
September 2019 (Revised March 2020)
Tractable Rare Disaster Probability and Options-Pricing
Robert J. Barro and Gordon Y. Liao
March 2020
Dynamic Beveridge Curve Accounting
Hie Joo Ahn and Leland D. Crane
March 2020
When is the Fiscal Multiplier High? A Comparison of Four Business Cycle Phases
Travis Berge, Maarten De Ridder and Damjan Pfajfar
Papers
International Finance Discussion Papers
November 2018 (Revised March 2020)
News and Uncertainty Shocks
Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia and Ana Beatriz Galvao
February 2020
Avoiding Sovereign Default Contagion: A Normative Analysis
Sergio de Ferra and Enrico Mallucci
February 2020
How Much Will the Belt and Road Initiative Reduce Trade Costs?
François de Soyres, Alen Mulabdic, Siobhan Murray, Nadia Rocha, and Michele Ruta
FEDS Notes
The Great Recession and a Missing Generation of Exporters
William F. Lincoln, Andrew H. McCallum, and Michael Siemer
Models and Tools
A large-scale estimated general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy for FRB/US Model
Models of daily yield curves, and a dynamic term structure model of Treasury yields
Estimated Dynamic Optimization (EDO) Model:
A medium-scale New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model of the U.S. economy.
Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF):
Information on families' balance sheets, pensions, income, and demographic characteristics