Assessing the size of the risks posed by life insurers' nontraditional liabilities Accessible Data

Figure 1: Total Nontraditional Liabilities of U.S. Life Insurers, by Liability Type

Period Funding Agreement Backed Securities FHLB Advances Securities Lending Repurchase Agreements
2006:Q1 149.247 9.888496    
2006:Q2 149.5693 10.21801    
2006:Q3 149.9143 10.79896    
2006:Q4 152.2096 11.89646    
2007:Q1 154.5907 13.08711    
2007:Q2 158.3555 16.139    
2007:Q3 161.1056 22.16778    
2007:Q4 160.1543 25.47013    
2008:Q1 163.6368 28.32539    
2008:Q2 168.6397 29.62191    
2008:Q3 154.7648 38.00432    
2008:Q4 143.2485 48.97818    
2009:Q1 127.1384 49.12853    
2009:Q2 117.3218 46.78427    
2009:Q3 107.6998 44.12898    
2009:Q4 98.92825 44.75182    
2010:Q1 97.19244 44.21762    
2010:Q2 90.58628 43.06236    
2010:Q3 88.6158 43.03379    
2010:Q4 86.96454 42.70777    
2011:Q1 82.2862 43.32407 46.06005 6.029701
2011:Q2 79.22974 43.2934 46.23895 6.753996
2011:Q3 74.4702 43.46798 44.65393 6.826189
2011:Q4 74.12707 43.78321 42.40737 7.073234
2012:Q1 72.11822 44.99797 41.91802 8.124582
2012:Q2 74.14233 48.38533 48.54773 10.55862
2012:Q3 75.2451 48.15553 55.39332 11.24715
2012:Q4 72.15411 46.85883 54.17898 11.19969
2013:Q1 72.03576 47.73174 53.97616 13.28167
2013:Q2 64.72971 48.87989 55.18546 13.30878
2013:Q3 61.66858 48.03575 51.13666 12.86411
2013:Q4 59.83431 48.68789 56.14392 11.46164
2014:Q1 56.19189 48.88688 57.75424 13.60811
2014:Q2 59.95205 49.65696 60.4312 13.80277
2014:Q3 64.94007 50.07068 63.41418 15.21206
2014:Q4 68.07837 50.34689 54.45008 11.53437
2015:Q1 68.65439 52.44025 54.46228 11.01448
2015:Q2 67.16797 54.03947 51.09363 10.79287
2015:Q3 64.12334 55.04858 50.7617 10.84088
2015:Q4 68.52918 55.63086 49.75175 8.569032
2016:Q1 67.09978 58.49746 51.79312 10.44774
2016:Q2 68.99684 62.25841 54.15657 11.91168
2016:Q3 70.11398 64.94397 55.433 12.72386
2016:Q4 74.06569 65.62837 48.10329 9.666805
2017:Q1 76.2155 68.35409 50.24103 12.84682
2017:Q2 80.03944 68.51298 50.33074 13.09753
2017:Q3 86.31648 68.61238 51.44566 14.38379
2017:Q4 85.56116 70.88472 48.99615 12.27828
2018:Q1 87.01039 75.7793 51.95496 12.1658
2018:Q2 88.41008 76.30683 45.77684 14.2777
2018:Q3 89.65399 75.66848 46.63347 13.13868

Note: Our data on FABS and FHLB advances are available from available from 1998 and 2006, respectively, when life insurers began issuing these liabilities. Data on repurchase agreements and securities lending are available only from 2011 when new reporting requirements took effect.

Source: Staff estimates based on data from Bloomberg Finance LP, Moody's ABCP Program Index, the FHLB Office of Finance, and NAIC Quarterly and Annual Statutory Filings. Data are quarterly and current as of 2018Q3.

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Figure 2: Par value of life insurers’ Treasury holdings

One panel. This line chart plots the amount of Treasuries held on the balance sheets, in billions of United States Dollars, of two life insurers: AIG and The Hartford. AIG denoted in blue, The Hartford in red. The plot shows monthly data from January of 2006 through December of 2011. The amount of Treasuries on The Hartford’s balance sheet rises in December of 2008, increasing from roughly $3.3 billion to roughly $12.6 billion, in April of 2009; after which, the amount of Treasuries held on The Hartford’s balance sheet decreases from about $12.7 billion in May of 2009 to about $2.9 billion in September of 2009. AIG is fairly static with about $0.7 billion in Treasuries held on their balance sheet until, around, June of 2009; after which, they experience an upward trend, reaching their zenith in October of 2010 with roughly $4.2 billion in Treasuries on their balance sheet.

Source: Staff estimates based on data from NAIC Quarterly and Annual Statutory Filings.

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Figure 3: Ratio of Life Insurers’ Runnable Nontraditional Liabilities to Unexpected Cash Flows

Two panels. The two histograms plot the distribution of the ratio of U.S. life insurers’ runnable nontraditional liabilities to the standard deviation of the change in their quarterly net cash flows. The panel on the left has five buckets with an x axis ranging from zero to twenty, and shows the distribution of the ratio across insurers in Q3 2018. On average, life insurers’ runnable nontraditional liabilities are 6.8 times the standard deviation of the unexpected component of their cash flows. The nontraditional liabilities used in calculating the ratio for the left panel are: short-term FABS with a residual maturity of less than one year, FHLB advances that can be terminated at the discretion of the FHLB’s, and cash collateral from securities lending and repo. The panel on the right uses the same data as the panel on the left excluding FHLB advances. This panel has four buckets with an x axis ranging from zero to sixteen. On average, life insurers’ runnable nontraditional liabilities excluding FHLB advances are 4.2 times the standard deviation of the unexpected component of their cashflow. The panel on the right exhibits a stronger positive skew than the panel on the left.

Source: Staff estimates based on data from Bloomberg Finance LP, FHLB Office of Finance, and NAIC Quarterly and Annual Statutory Filings. Data are current as of 2018Q3.

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Last Update: May 21, 2019