Do Major Technology Advancements Lead to Overinvestment? Accessible Data

Figure 1. Production Transition with New Capital Accumulation

Figure 1 "Production Transition with New Capital Accumulation" is a line chart that includes three lines. The lower concave blue line and the upper concave green line shows the production functions before and after technological advancement, respectively. A straight green line connects the two productions functions to illustrate the transition from the low-productivity production function to the high-productivity production function as the economy accumulates capital that embodies the new technology.

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Figure 2. IP and Equipment Investment Share in GDP
Year/Quarter Share
1947 0.069310897
1948 0.070673953
1949 0.064954128
1950 0.067044696
1951 0.064283655
1952 0.061802341
1953 0.064748201
1954 0.063252241
1955 0.066274971
1956 0.070093458
1957 0.072151899
1958 0.064214464
1959 0.066896684
1960 0.067846608
1961 0.065635005
1962 0.067064083
1963 0.068392157
1964 0.070854638
1965 0.076653644
1966 0.080895009
1967 0.07872093
1968 0.078771128
1969 0.080974843
1970 0.078542812
1971 0.075371277
1972 0.07778907
1973 0.082643469
1974 0.084002071
1975 0.080360852
1976 0.081883207
1977 0.088625228
1978 0.093978568
1979 0.097514559
1980 0.094774787
1981 0.095322732
1982 0.091991148
1983 0.090203632
1984 0.095824252
1985 0.095229316
1986 0.094156695
1987 0.09083045
1988 0.091570545
1989 0.092580119
1990 0.089936442
1991 0.087673146
1992 0.08732727
1993 0.090689062
1994 0.093602481
1995 0.098812781
1996 0.101398471
1997 0.104796213
1998 0.107924703
1999 0.112000581
2000 0.114857087
2001 0.106455362
2002 0.097519466
2003 0.095081395
2004 0.09492355
2005 0.09724523
2006 0.09906193
2007 0.099363005
2008 0.096127936
2009 0.085280527
2010 0.090052495
2011 0.096348007
2012 0.100842869
2013 0.102477978
2014 0.105099358
2015 0.105110686
2016 0.104377051
2017 0.105353328
2018 0.107462542
2019 0.107511606
2020 0.105200863
2021 0.103660181
2022 0.104760772
2023 0.105323337
2024 0.105406512
2025 0.109140793
2026Q1 0.113328514

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. Annual data through 2025 and quarterly for 2026:Q1.

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Last Update: July 06, 2026