Accessible Version
The State of AI Competition in Advanced Economies, Accessible Data
Figure 1: Investment in AI-Related Physical and Digital Infrastructure (Index; 1995 = 100)
| Year | Japan | Germany | France | UK | USA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995-12-31 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| 1996-12-31 | 116.7782777 | 108.0893873 | 107.2639511 | 119.3807292 | 115.0314306 |
| 1997-12-31 | 127.5721149 | 115.860212 | 115.7935389 | 102.6177749 | 145.1244379 |
| 1998-12-31 | 137.09749 | 135.0457568 | 127.9267441 | 123.2370033 | 175.7463379 |
| 1999-12-31 | 144.37598 | 156.713398 | 140.0878824 | 122.6027058 | 219.8772672 |
| 2000-12-31 | 152.1378858 | 165.6946659 | 146.846398 | 138.5590294 | 249.491519 |
| 2001-12-31 | 169.397214 | 171.226249 | 158.8591443 | 137.2116317 | 251.2528043 |
| 2002-12-31 | 176.4962039 | 172.0009668 | 153.119542 | 140.0650316 | 246.0414339 |
| 2003-12-31 | 183.37424 | 161.0826599 | 160.7253433 | 154.5591315 | 261.7098416 |
| 2004-12-31 | 190.6816768 | 156.8364142 | 170.4540456 | 153.9594209 | 290.4672356 |
| 2005-12-31 | 195.0630506 | 180.7134753 | 177.8569091 | 163.6257816 | 317.9469951 |
| 2006-12-31 | 194.1940276 | 202.8360767 | 187.368453 | 174.3158945 | 351.3812645 |
| 2007-12-31 | 198.847908 | 223.7371151 | 197.0635559 | 186.6730244 | 389.0733116 |
| 2008-12-31 | 199.7716066 | 232.5026412 | 214.6184848 | 192.5442524 | 418.0121552 |
| 2009-12-31 | 190.4554009 | 212.1406921 | 201.773452 | 187.6721998 | 427.0412668 |
| 2010-12-31 | 194.1056854 | 228.6487384 | 212.1690487 | 205.4931836 | 457.3999776 |
| 2011-12-31 | 188.066297 | 249.0137181 | 221.0503394 | 222.3979867 | 489.809162 |
| 2012-12-31 | 191.4850773 | 230.6770999 | 234.6417831 | 238.3965345 | 537.7126188 |
| 2013-12-31 | 199.5398519 | 236.6006279 | 238.7057329 | 260.3915532 | 570.9932703 |
| 2014-12-31 | 204.2797965 | 253.0791981 | 251.2401894 | 273.6522133 | 606.4968272 |
| 2015-12-31 | 212.982067 | 279.5304085 | 266.8405857 | 280.3657417 | 636.4268337 |
| 2016-12-31 | 201.6444967 | 280.1451811 | 279.4914583 | 284.4196714 | 695.3957829 |
| 2017-12-31 | 204.4220935 | 287.4535888 | 311.5307979 | 297.9164122 | 775.0180089 |
| 2018-12-31 | 201.5904135 | 304.1204515 | 337.7840392 | 311.7039285 | 877.4392196 |
| 2019-12-31 | 209.0335605 | 320.0053484 | 367.088921 | 325.5560695 | 930.6167257 |
| 2020-12-31 | 203.6345145 | 308.2190458 | 378.8781129 | 314.4887158 | 1013.515015 |
| 2021-12-31 | 325.1209526 | 412.0422711 | 317.9616457 | 1147.21158 |
Source: EUKLEMS, FRB Staff Calculations.
Figure 2: Compute Capacity Indicators
LEFT PANEL
2A - Installed Server Base
| Country | Installed_Servers |
|---|---|
| USA | 99.9 |
| China | 14.8 |
| UK | 40 |
| Germany | 30.4 |
| France | 25 |
| Japan | 17.6 |
| Canada | 30.6 |
| Italy | 9.3 |
RIGHT PANEL
2B - Observed AI Supercomputer Capacity
| month_year | China | France | Germany | Italy | Japan | Other | UK | USA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12/1/2015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.79E+16 | 0 | 1.86E+16 |
| 12/1/2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.79E+16 | 0 | 1.86E+16 |
| 1/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.79E+16 | 0 | 1.86E+16 |
| 2/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.79E+16 | 0 | 1.86E+16 |
| 3/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.79E+16 | 0 | 1.86E+16 |
| 4/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.79E+16 | 0 | 1.86E+16 |
| 5/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.79E+16 | 0 | 2.03E+17 |
| 6/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.57E+16 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 2.26E+17 |
| 7/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.57E+16 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 2.26E+17 |
| 8/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.57E+16 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 2.26E+17 |
| 9/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.57E+16 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 2.26E+17 |
| 10/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.57E+16 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 2.98E+18 |
| 11/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.32E+17 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 3.01E+18 |
| 12/1/2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.32E+17 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 3.01E+18 |
| 1/1/2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 2.32E+17 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 3.01E+18 |
| 2/1/2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 2.32E+17 | 1.67E+17 | 0 | 3.01E+18 |
| 3/1/2018 | 1.00E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 2.32E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 3.67E+18 |
| 4/1/2018 | 1.00E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 2.32E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 3.67E+18 |
| 5/1/2018 | 1.00E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 2.32E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 3.67E+18 |
| 6/1/2018 | 1.20E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 5.83E+18 |
| 7/1/2018 | 1.28E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 5.83E+18 |
| 8/1/2018 | 1.34E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 5.83E+18 |
| 9/1/2018 | 1.34E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 5.83E+18 |
| 10/1/2018 | 1.34E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 1.75E+17 | 0 | 5.83E+18 |
| 11/1/2018 | 2.97E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 4.27E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 12/1/2018 | 2.98E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 4.27E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 1/1/2019 | 2.98E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 4.27E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 2/1/2019 | 2.98E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 4.27E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 3/1/2019 | 2.98E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.28E+17 | 4.27E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 4/1/2019 | 2.98E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.68E+17 | 5.13E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 5/1/2019 | 2.98E+18 | 0 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 8.68E+17 | 6.39E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 6/1/2019 | 3.40E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.07E+18 | 9.03E+17 | 0 | 6.24E+18 |
| 7/1/2019 | 4.22E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.20E+18 | 9.03E+17 | 0 | 6.37E+18 |
| 8/1/2019 | 4.22E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.20E+18 | 9.03E+17 | 0 | 6.44E+18 |
| 9/1/2019 | 4.22E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.20E+18 | 1.01E+18 | 0 | 6.61E+18 |
| 10/1/2019 | 4.22E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.20E+18 | 1.12E+18 | 0 | 6.61E+18 |
| 11/1/2019 | 6.68E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.20E+18 | 1.64E+18 | 0 | 6.82E+18 |
| 12/1/2019 | 7.38E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.20E+18 | 1.64E+18 | 0 | 7.27E+18 |
| 1/1/2020 | 7.38E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 5.93E+16 | 1.20E+18 | 1.84E+18 | 0 | 7.27E+18 |
| 2/1/2020 | 7.38E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 9.69E+17 | 1.20E+18 | 1.84E+18 | 0 | 7.27E+18 |
| 3/1/2020 | 7.38E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 9.69E+17 | 1.20E+18 | 1.97E+18 | 0 | 7.27E+18 |
| 4/1/2020 | 7.38E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 1.46E+18 | 1.20E+18 | 2.03E+18 | 0 | 8.71E+18 |
| 5/1/2020 | 7.38E+18 | 5.54E+17 | 0 | 1.46E+18 | 1.20E+18 | 2.03E+18 | 0 | 9.64E+18 |
| 6/1/2020 | 8.67E+18 | 8.91E+17 | 0 | 1.46E+18 | 1.20E+18 | 2.36E+18 | 0 | 1.05E+19 |
| 7/1/2020 | 9.67E+18 | 8.91E+17 | 5.60E+16 | 1.46E+18 | 1.31E+18 | 2.36E+18 | 0 | 1.10E+19 |
| 8/1/2020 | 9.67E+18 | 8.91E+17 | 5.60E+16 | 1.46E+18 | 1.31E+18 | 2.36E+18 | 0 | 1.14E+19 |
| 9/1/2020 | 1.13E+19 | 8.91E+17 | 5.60E+16 | 1.46E+18 | 1.31E+18 | 2.36E+18 | 0 | 1.16E+19 |
| 10/1/2020 | 1.13E+19 | 8.91E+17 | 5.60E+16 | 1.46E+18 | 1.31E+18 | 2.83E+18 | 0 | 1.16E+19 |
| 11/1/2020 | 1.26E+19 | 9.50E+17 | 1.22E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 1.44E+18 | 2.94E+18 | 6.30E+16 | 1.42E+19 |
| 12/1/2020 | 1.26E+19 | 9.50E+17 | 1.22E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 1.44E+18 | 2.94E+18 | 6.30E+16 | 1.42E+19 |
| 1/1/2021 | 1.26E+19 | 9.50E+17 | 1.22E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 1.44E+18 | 4.05E+18 | 6.30E+16 | 1.46E+19 |
| 2/1/2021 | 1.26E+19 | 9.50E+17 | 1.31E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 1.44E+18 | 4.24E+18 | 6.30E+16 | 1.46E+19 |
| 3/1/2021 | 1.86E+19 | 9.50E+17 | 1.31E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 1.44E+18 | 4.52E+18 | 6.30E+16 | 1.46E+19 |
| 4/1/2021 | 2.26E+19 | 9.50E+17 | 1.31E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 1.44E+18 | 4.63E+18 | 6.30E+16 | 1.47E+19 |
| 5/1/2021 | 2.27E+19 | 9.50E+17 | 1.31E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 2.39E+18 | 4.81E+18 | 6.30E+16 | 1.81E+19 |
| 6/1/2021 | 2.27E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.02E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 6.28E+18 | 3.63E+17 | 2.18E+19 |
| 7/1/2021 | 2.62E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.02E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 6.28E+18 | 3.63E+17 | 2.18E+19 |
| 8/1/2021 | 2.63E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.02E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 6.28E+18 | 3.63E+17 | 2.36E+19 |
| 9/1/2021 | 2.66E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.56E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 6.69E+18 | 3.63E+17 | 2.36E+19 |
| 10/1/2021 | 2.67E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 6.69E+18 | 3.63E+17 | 2.36E+19 |
| 11/1/2021 | 2.67E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 9.07E+18 | 5.02E+17 | 2.53E+19 |
| 12/1/2021 | 2.72E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 9.23E+18 | 5.02E+17 | 2.62E+19 |
| 1/1/2022 | 2.72E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 1.08E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 2.81E+19 |
| 2/1/2022 | 2.72E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 1.08E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 2.93E+19 |
| 3/1/2022 | 2.72E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 1.08E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 2.93E+19 |
| 4/1/2022 | 2.80E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 1.08E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 3.92E+19 |
| 5/1/2022 | 2.85E+19 | 1.01E+18 | 2.08E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.50E+18 | 1.11E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 6.57E+19 |
| 6/1/2022 | 2.85E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.15E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 6.60E+19 |
| 7/1/2022 | 3.05E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.31E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 6.60E+19 |
| 8/1/2022 | 4.35E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.31E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 6.83E+19 |
| 9/1/2022 | 4.37E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.76E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 6.86E+19 |
| 10/1/2022 | 4.38E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 1.98E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.79E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 7.45E+19 |
| 11/1/2022 | 4.58E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.90E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 7.52E+19 |
| 12/1/2022 | 4.59E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.95E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 7.52E+19 |
| 1/1/2023 | 4.69E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 1.96E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 7.95E+19 |
| 2/1/2023 | 4.69E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 2.06E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 7.99E+19 |
| 3/1/2023 | 4.69E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 2.53E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 8.38E+19 |
| 4/1/2023 | 4.73E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 2.54E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 8.38E+19 |
| 5/1/2023 | 4.78E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.24E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 2.58E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 8.98E+19 |
| 6/1/2023 | 4.86E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.70E+18 | 2.68E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 9.66E+19 |
| 7/1/2023 | 4.89E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.99E+18 | 2.71E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 1.21E+20 |
| 8/1/2023 | 4.98E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 2.99E+18 | 2.77E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 1.47E+20 |
| 9/1/2023 | 5.40E+19 | 1.99E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 3.78E+18 | 2.81E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 1.57E+20 |
| 10/1/2023 | 5.40E+19 | 3.00E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 3.78E+18 | 2.83E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 1.64E+20 |
| 11/1/2023 | 5.40E+19 | 3.00E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 3.78E+18 | 5.32E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 2.16E+20 |
| 12/1/2023 | 5.45E+19 | 3.00E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 3.78E+18 | 5.93E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 2.48E+20 |
| 1/1/2024 | 6.3496E+19 | 3.00E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 3.78E+18 | 5.93E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 2.48E+20 |
| 2/1/2024 | 6.3496E+19 | 3.00E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 3.78E+18 | 5.95E+19 | 5.02E+17 | 2.50E+20 |
| 3/1/2024 | 1.29E+20 | 3.00E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 3.78E+18 | 6.81E+19 | 2.53E+18 | 3.35E+20 |
| 4/1/2024 | 1.29E+20 | 4.89E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 4.73E+18 | 8.77E+19 | 2.53E+18 | 3.55E+20 |
| 5/1/2024 | 1.37E+20 | 4.89E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 4.73E+18 | 1.02E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 3.59E+20 |
| 6/1/2024 | 1.76E+20 | 4.89E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.30E+18 | 4.73E+18 | 1.35E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 3.64E+20 |
| 7/1/2024 | 2.16E+20 | 8.94E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.54E+18 | 6.72E+18 | 1.55E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 3.69E+20 |
| 8/1/2024 | 2.31E+20 | 8.94E+18 | 2.60E+18 | 6.54E+18 | 6.72E+18 | 1.55E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 4.12E+20 |
| 9/1/2024 | 2.39E+20 | 1.25E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 6.54E+18 | 6.72E+18 | 1.66E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 5.11E+20 |
| 10/1/2024 | 2.71E+20 | 1.25E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 6.54E+18 | 1.08E+19 | 1.76E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 7.30E+20 |
| 11/1/2024 | 2.97E+20 | 1.25E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 1.19E+19 | 1.08E+19 | 1.79E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 9.16E+20 |
| 12/1/2024 | 3.49E+20 | 1.25E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 1.19E+19 | 1.08E+19 | 1.79E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 9.19E+20 |
| 1/1/2025 | 3.49E+20 | 1.66E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 1.19E+19 | 1.79E+19 | 1.89E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 9.20E+20 |
| 2/1/2025 | 3.59E+20 | 1.66E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 1.19E+19 | 1.79E+19 | 1.89E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 1.12E+21 |
| 3/1/2025 | 3.59E+20 | 1.66E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 1.19E+19 | 1.79E+19 | 1.89E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 1.12E+21 |
| 4/1/2025 | 3.59E+20 | 1.66E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 1.19E+19 | 1.79E+19 | 1.89E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 1.12E+21 |
| 5/1/2025 | 3.59E+20 | 1.66E+19 | 2.60E+18 | 1.19E+19 | 1.79E+19 | 1.89E+20 | 2.53E+18 | 1.12E+21 |
| 6/1/2025 | 3.59E+20 | 1.66E+19 | 2.59E+19 | 1.19E+19 | 2.00E+19 | 1.89E+20 | 7.92E+18 | 1.12E+21 |
| 7/1/2025 | 3.59E+20 | 1.66E+19 | 2.59E+19 | 1.19E+19 | 2.00E+19 | 1.89E+20 | 7.92E+18 | 1.12E+21 |
Notes: Right panel represents the sum of observed AI supercomputer capacity, covering an estimated 10-20% of the existing global aggregate. Data for Installed Server Base are 2024. Data for AI Supercomputer Capacity are through July 2025.
Sources: Tony Blair Institute for Global Change, Omdia, Epoch AI.
Figure 3: Installed Electric Generation Capacity (Gigawatts)
| Date | USA | China | EU |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 768.68 | 284.43 | 580.27 |
| 2001 | 813.17 | 301.36 | 587.68 |
| 2002 | 853.93 | 319.04 | 601.52 |
| 2003 | 909.55 | 353.29 | 614.48 |
| 2004 | 933.11 | 397.08 | 629.57 |
| 2005 | 951.79 | 464.37 | 645.75 |
| 2006 | 966.59 | 565.5 | 664.43 |
| 2007 | 977.35 | 665.87 | 681.54 |
| 2008 | 998.24 | 750.4 | 704.1 |
| 2009 | 1020.88 | 835.32 | 732.41 |
| 2010 | 1043.68 | 922.48 | 767.89 |
| 2011 | 1059.13 | 1014.2 | 807.12 |
| 2012 | 1077.45 | 1101.05 | 829.79 |
| 2013 | 1081.92 | 1212.84 | 842.22 |
| 2014 | 1096.07 | 1317.39 | 849.57 |
| 2015 | 1093.06 | 1456.77 | 861.73 |
| 2016 | 1110.92 | 1567.18 | 871.24 |
| 2017 | 1128.03 | 1688.08 | 879.92 |
| 2018 | 1148.43 | 1802.63 | 895.27 |
| 2019 | 1158.47 | 1921.89 | 916.67 |
| 2020 | 1175.4 | 2098.36 | 933.68 |
| 2021 | 1206.32 | 2258.2 | 950.66 |
| 2022 | 1225.86 | 2437.59 | 997.73 |
| 2023 | 1255.83 | 2792.34 | 1062.39 |
| 2024 | 1293.57 | 3217.6 | 1125.64 |
Source: International Energy Agency.
Figure 4: Private AI Investment (Cumulative 2013-2024)
| Country | Total_Investment |
|---|---|
| United States | 470.92 |
| China | 119.32 |
| United Kingdom | 28.17 |
| Canada | 15.31 |
| Germany | 13.27 |
| India | 11.29 |
| France | 11.1 |
| Japan | 5.89 |
| Italy | 1.38 |
Source: Stanford 2025 AI Index Report.
Figure 5: Firm R&D Investment (Percentage of Sales Revenue)
LEFT PANEL
ICT Hardware
| Country | R&D_Intensity |
|---|---|
| EU | 10.00% |
| USA | 10.40% |
| China | 7.50% |
| Japan | 4.90% |
RIGHT PANEL
ICT Software
| Country | R&D_Intensity |
|---|---|
| EU | 5.70% |
| USA | 15.1% |
| China | 7.30% |
| Japan | 5.90% |
Note: The EU R&D Investment Scoreboard covers the largest 2000 global companies in terms of research and development investment. Data are 2023.
Source: 2024 EU Industrial R&D Investment Scoreboard.
Figure 6: Select Indicators of AI Diffusion in Labor Markets
LEFT PANEL
6A: Transitions from Non-AI to AI Occupations (Proportion of Total (%))
| Country | Proportion of Transitions from Non-AI Occupations |
|---|---|
| Canada | 67.1 |
| United States | 68.5 |
| France | 74.4 |
| Germany | 60.3 |
| Italy | 57.7 |
| United Kingdom | 65.1 |
RIGHT PANEL
6B: AI Skills Penetration in Manufacturing (Global Average = 1)
| Country | AI Engineering Skills Penetration Factor |
|---|---|
| United States | 1.94228 |
| Germany | 1.34492 |
| France | 1.09343 |
| United Kingdom | 0.97002 |
| Canada | 0.88688 |
| Italy | 0.80064 |
Notes: Data are average over the 2019-2024 period. Panel 6A represents the proportion of total transitions into AI-related occupations that occur from non-AI occupations, largely reflective of upskilling or reskilling. In contrast, transitions from AI-related occupations into other AI-related occupations would be considered churn within AI occupations. Panel 6B represents self-reported use of AI skills in the manufacturing sector, where figures are scaled to the global average.
Source: OECD AI Observatory.
Figure A1: Compute Capacity (Top500)
LEFT PANEL
Unadjusted Compute (Millions GFlops)
| Year | USA | China | Japan | UK | Germany | France | Canada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-01 | 136.85 | 52.105 | 25.027 | 15.366 | 25.099 | 14.12 | 1.9 |
| 2015-11-01 | 172.58 | 88.71 | 38.44 | 11.6 | 34.67 | 12.25 | 1.9 |
| 2016-11-01 | 227.68 | 223.57 | 54.48 | 27.6 | 41.51 | 25.4 | 0.72 |
| 2017-11-01 | 249.28 | 298.88 | 90.87 | 32.27 | 43.43 | 30.82 | 5.09 |
| 2018-11-01 | 533.21 | 438.23 | 109.44 | 41.73 | 60.5 | 43.58 | 14.03 |
| 2019-11-01 | 531.83 | 611.06 | 109.5 | 32.14 | 66.89 | 68.89 | 16.15 |
| 2020-11-01 | 668.64 | 566.64 | 593.7 | 34.07 | 131.05 | 89.83 | 26.7 |
| 2021-11-01 | 986.47 | 530.07 | 628.25 | 54.93 | 181.42 | 117.03 | 29.61 |
| 2022-11-01 | 2122.79 | 514.49 | 624.25 | 64.07 | 219.25 | 174.85 | 41.21 |
| 2023-11-01 | 3725.85 | 409.25 | 669.83 | 81.71 | 256.27 | 173.23 | 41.21 |
CENTER PANEL
Population-Adjusted Compute (Gflops per Capita)
| Year | USA | China | Japan | UK | Germany | France | Canada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-01 | 0.429823732 | 0.037981281 | 0.196635658 | 0.237855316 | 0.309931158 | 0.212932587 | 0.053620716 |
| 2015-11-01 | 0.538069905 | 0.064289131 | 0.302341495 | 0.178143021 | 0.42442696 | 0.184076906 | 0.053214584 |
| 2016-11-01 | 0.704735083 | 0.161097861 | 0.428719821 | 0.420657368 | 0.50407615 | 0.380672028 | 0.019938632 |
| 2017-11-01 | 0.766727265 | 0.214064453 | 0.715669596 | 0.488503745 | 0.525424331 | 0.460563537 | 0.139280053 |
| 2018-11-01 | 1.631418854 | 0.312405543 | 0.863016615 | 0.627893229 | 0.729744036 | 0.648914116 | 0.378446411 |
| 2019-11-01 | 1.619803479 | 0.434070091 | 0.864703513 | 0.480876216 | 0.805001993 | 1.022378939 | 0.429310104 |
| 2020-11-01 | 2.016849714 | 0.401559067 | 4.702164564 | 0.507891671 | 1.575861321 | 1.328824334 | 0.702102452 |
| 2021-11-01 | 2.970856917 | 0.375307995 | 4.998743133 | 0.819529148 | 2.18063164 | 1.725016966 | 0.774322838 |
| 2022-11-01 | 6.369553253 | 0.364324535 | 4.989011428 | 0.945110708 | 2.616411361 | 2.568867428 | 1.058320469 |
| 2023-11-01 | 11.12476649 | 0.290102147 | 5.379441223 | 1.195464521 | 3.077209414 | 2.536775149 | 1.027738182 |
RIGHT PANEL
GDP-Adjusted Compute (Gflop/GDP Ratio)
| Year | USA | China | Japan | UK | Germany | France | Canada |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-11-01 | 7.77197E-06 | 4.97393E-06 | 5.11069E-06 | 5.01385E-06 | 6.32886E-06 | 4.93493E-06 | 1.05219E-06 |
| 2015-11-01 | 9.43317E-06 | 8.01966E-06 | 8.64805E-06 | 3.96187E-06 | 1.01269E-05 | 5.01539E-06 | 1.22068E-06 |
| 2016-11-01 | 1.21075E-05 | 1.99024E-05 | 1.0888E-05 | 1.02636E-05 | 1.17333E-05 | 1.02817E-05 | 4.71206E-07 |
| 2017-11-01 | 1.27105E-05 | 2.42785E-05 | 1.84289E-05 | 1.20404E-05 | 1.1541E-05 | 1.19048E-05 | 3.08622E-06 |
| 2018-11-01 | 2.58132E-05 | 3.15389E-05 | 2.17105E-05 | 1.45333E-05 | 1.49309E-05 | 1.56674E-05 | 8.13178E-06 |
| 2019-11-01 | 2.46904E-05 | 4.27914E-05 | 2.13951E-05 | 1.12716E-05 | 1.69033E-05 | 2.53012E-05 | 9.26178E-06 |
| 2020-11-01 | 3.1312E-05 | 3.85791E-05 | 0.000117434 | 1.26336E-05 | 3.32602E-05 | 3.39247E-05 | 1.61263E-05 |
| 2021-11-01 | 4.16563E-05 | 2.9745E-05 | 0.000124786 | 1.74751E-05 | 4.17221E-05 | 3.94514E-05 | 1.47499E-05 |
| 2022-11-01 | 8.16241E-05 | 2.87717E-05 | 0.000146661 | 2.05745E-05 | 5.26588E-05 | 6.2529E-05 | 1.90656E-05 |
| 2023-11-01 | 0.000134407 | 2.29983E-05 | 0.000159313 | 2.41684E-05 | 5.66254E-05 | 5.67626E-05 | 1.92348E-05 |
Notes: Top500 data only represents the 500 most advanced commercial supercomputers, with updates occurring every six months. China stopped reporting around 2023, which may lead to overestimation of compute capacity of other economies in the future based on this data. As such, results should be interpreted with caution.
Sources: Top500, World Bank, FRB Staff Calculations.
Figure C1: Electricity Price and AI Adoption
LEFT PANEL
All Firms
| COUNTRY | Time Period | AI Adoption Rate | Electricity Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 2023 | 10.79 | 0.2554 |
| Belgium | 2023 | 13.81 | 0.195 |
| Bulgaria | 2023 | 3.62 | 0.1601 |
| Cyprus | 2023 | 4.67 | 0.1921 |
| Czechia | 2023 | 5.9 | 0.1962 |
| Germany | 2023 | 11.55 | 0.1904 |
| Denmark | 2023 | 15.17 | 0.1325 |
| Euro Area | 2023 | 8.81 | 0.2032 |
| Estonia | 2023 | 5.19 | 0.1433 |
| Greece | 2023 | 3.98 | 0.1627 |
| Spain | 2023 | 9.18 | 0.1522 |
| Finland | 2023 | 15.1 | 0.0951 |
| France | 2023 | 5.88 | 0.2506 |
| Croatia | 2023 | 7.89 | 0.278 |
| Hungary | 2023 | 3.68 | 0.2996 |
| Ireland | 2023 | 8.01 | 0.294 |
| Italy | 2023 | 5.05 | 0.2031 |
| Lithuania | 2023 | 4.86 | 0.1741 |
| Luxembourg | 2023 | 14.45 | 0.2477 |
| Latvia | 2023 | 4.53 | 0.1685 |
| Malta | 2023 | 13.17 | 0.1396 |
| Netherlands | 2023 | 13.37 | 0.1925 |
| Norway | 2023 | 9.17 | 0.1055 |
| Poland | 2023 | 3.67 | 0.1404 |
| Portugal | 2023 | 7.86 | 0.1505 |
| Romania | 2023 | 1.51 | 0.1632 |
| Sweden | 2023 | 10.37 | 0.1064 |
| Slovenia | 2023 | 11.37 | 0.2057 |
| Slovakia | 2023 | 7.04 | 0.2285 |
| Austria | 2024 | 20.27 | 0.1955 |
| Belgium | 2024 | 24.71 | 0.1392 |
| Bulgaria | 2024 | 6.47 | 0.1119 |
| Cyprus | 2024 | 7.9 | 0.1824 |
| Czechia | 2024 | 11.26 | 0.1654 |
| Germany | 2024 | 19.75 | 0.1976 |
| Denmark | 2024 | 27.58 | 0.0968 |
| Euro Area | 2024 | 14.39 | 0.1624 |
| Estonia | 2024 | 13.89 | 0.1313 |
| Greece | 2024 | 9.81 | 0.1279 |
| Spain | 2024 | 11.31 | 0.1217 |
| Finland | 2024 | 24.37 | 0.0921 |
| France | 2024 | 9.91 | 0.1555 |
| Croatia | 2024 | 11.76 | 0.2169 |
| Hungary | 2024 | 7.41 | 0.2055 |
| Ireland | 2024 | 14.9 | 0.2543 |
| Italy | 2024 | 8.2 | 0.1515 |
| Lithuania | 2024 | 8.76 | 0.1684 |
| Luxembourg | 2024 | 23.73 | 0.2041 |
| Latvia | 2024 | 8.83 | 0.1451 |
| Malta | 2024 | 17.3 | 0.1393 |
| Netherlands | 2024 | 23.06 | 0.1545 |
| Norway | 2024 | 20.77 | 0.0791 |
| Poland | 2024 | 5.9 | 0.1275 |
| Portugal | 2024 | 8.63 | 0.1068 |
| Romania | 2024 | 3.07 | 0.1415 |
| Sweden | 2024 | 25.09 | 0.0937 |
| Slovenia | 2024 | 20.89 | 0.1574 |
| Slovakia | 2024 | 10.78 | 0.1615 |
RIGHT PANEL
Large Firms
| COUNTRY | Time Period | AI Adoption Rate | Electricity Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 2023 | 35.25 | 0.2554 |
| Belgium | 2023 | 47.86 | 0.195 |
| Bulgaria | 2023 | 13.75 | 0.1601 |
| Cyprus | 2023 | 15.53 | 0.1921 |
| Czechia | 2023 | 28.34 | 0.1962 |
| Germany | 2023 | 35.39 | 0.1904 |
| Denmark | 2023 | 51.43 | 0.1325 |
| Euro Area | 2023 | 32.33 | 0.2032 |
| Estonia | 2023 | 23.03 | 0.1433 |
| Greece | 2023 | 13.96 | 0.1627 |
| Spain | 2023 | 39.66 | 0.1522 |
| Finland | 2023 | 53.33 | 0.0951 |
| France | 2023 | 20.94 | 0.2506 |
| Croatia | 2023 | 19.29 | 0.278 |
| Hungary | 2023 | 17.43 | 0.2996 |
| Ireland | 2023 | 36.29 | 0.294 |
| Italy | 2023 | 24.08 | 0.2031 |
| Lithuania | 2023 | 21.33 | 0.1741 |
| Luxembourg | 2023 | 41.83 | 0.2477 |
| Latvia | 2023 | 21.26 | 0.1685 |
| Malta | 2023 | 32.53 | 0.1396 |
| Netherlands | 2023 | 39.9 | 0.1925 |
| Norway | 2023 | 34.39 | 0.1055 |
| Poland | 2023 | 24.38 | 0.1404 |
| Portugal | 2023 | 35.44 | 0.1505 |
| Romania | 2023 | 8.08 | 0.1632 |
| Sweden | 2023 | 37.82 | 0.1064 |
| Slovenia | 2023 | 53.19 | 0.2057 |
| Slovakia | 2023 | 21.89 | 0.2285 |
| Austria | 2024 | 49.94 | 0.1955 |
| Belgium | 2024 | 66.27 | 0.1392 |
| Bulgaria | 2024 | 20.19 | 0.1119 |
| Cyprus | 2024 | 34.91 | 0.1824 |
| Czechia | 2024 | 40.48 | 0.1654 |
| Germany | 2024 | 48.2 | 0.1976 |
| Denmark | 2024 | 63.39 | 0.0968 |
| Euro Area | 2024 | 43.43 | 0.1624 |
| Estonia | 2024 | 38.99 | 0.1313 |
| Greece | 2024 | 24.27 | 0.1279 |
| Spain | 2024 | 43.96 | 0.1217 |
| Finland | 2024 | 70.4 | 0.0921 |
| France | 2024 | 32.73 | 0.1555 |
| Croatia | 2024 | 28.36 | 0.2169 |
| Hungary | 2024 | 23.46 | 0.2055 |
| Ireland | 2024 | 50.84 | 0.2543 |
| Italy | 2024 | 32.5 | 0.1515 |
| Lithuania | 2024 | 31.21 | 0.1684 |
| Luxembourg | 2024 | 45.6 | 0.2041 |
| Latvia | 2024 | 33.33 | 0.1451 |
| Malta | 2024 | 46.74 | 0.1393 |
| Netherlands | 2024 | 54.07 | 0.1545 |
| Norway | 2024 | 53.32 | 0.0791 |
| Poland | 2024 | 32.95 | 0.1275 |
| Portugal | 2024 | 41.89 | 0.1068 |
| Romania | 2024 | 11.26 | 0.1415 |
| Sweden | 2024 | 56.34 | 0.0937 |
| Slovenia | 2024 | 59.7 | 0.1574 |
| Slovakia | 2024 | 29.1 | 0.1615 |
Notes: Electricity data are for the first six months of each year. Large firms specifies those with 250 or more employees. Fit lines are based on a simple bivariate regression with year fixed effects.
Sources: Eurostat, FRB Staff Calculations.