Accessible Version

Investing in Rural America Conference

Lisa D. Cook
Member
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Investing in Rural America Conference
Asheville, N.C

November 7, 2023

Figure 1: Unemployment Rate

Percent (%)

Year Rural National
2015 5.7044207 5.3
2016 5.5389736 4.9
2017 4.8514736 4.4
2018 4.3371443 3.9
2019 4.2101626 3.7
2020 6.6790603 8.1
2021 4.744467 5.4
2022 3.7319797 3.7
2023 3.7240609 3.6
2024 4.0495431 4
2025 4.2830964 4.3

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor and Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED ®

Figure 2: Employment-Population Ratio (Prime-Age)

Percent (%)

Month-Year Rural Urban
01/2019 76.59 79.98
02/2019 76.51 80.08
03/2019 76.57 80.22
04/2019 77.02 80.25
05/2019 77.33 80.37
06/2019 77.61 80.46
07/2019 77.31 80.42
08/2019 76.98 80.46
09/2019 76.97 80.50
10/2019 77.20 80.70
11/2019 77.54 80.69
12/2019 77.66 80.61
01/2020 77.77 80.62
02/2020 77.81 80.67
03/2020 77.56 80.44
04/2020 74.83 76.90
05/2020 72.94 73.77
06/2020 71.92 71.84
07/2020 73.38 73.22
08/2020 74.43 74.59
09/2020 74.41 75.00
10/2020 74.61 75.54
11/2020 74.56 75.60
12/2020 75.08 75.86
01/2021 75.61 75.96
02/2021 75.95 76.27
03/2021 76.01 76.63
04/2021 75.67 77.02
05/2021 75.27 77.41
06/2021 74.99 77.74
07/2021 74.98 78.10
08/2021 75.25 78.25
09/2021 75.62 78.38
10/2021 76.06 78.41
11/2021 76.43 78.68
12/2021 76.81 78.97
01/2022 76.99 79.24
02/2022 77.17 79.48
03/2022 77.52 79.82
04/2022 77.45 80.21
05/2022 77.47 80.51
06/2022 77.28 80.59
07/2022 77.32 80.55
08/2022 77.15 80.56
09/2022 77.21 80.53
10/2022 77.33 80.49
11/2022 77.53 80.34
12/2022 77.37 80.35
01/2023 77.20 80.49
02/2023 77.03 80.77
03/2023 77.15 81.03
04/2023 77.56 81.25
05/2023 78.02 81.32
06/2023 78.26 81.33
07/2023 78.36 81.31
08/2023 78.20 81.30
09/2023 77.96 81.29
10/2023 77.67 81.23
11/2023 77.75 81.28
12/2023 77.77 81.15
01/2024 77.94 81.11
02/2024 77.89 81.05
03/2024 78.11 81.12
04/2024 78.32 81.14
05/2024 78.50 81.19
06/2024 78.50 81.23
07/2024 78.64 81.26
08/2024 78.63 81.19
09/2024 78.56 81.22
10/2024 78.31 81.20
11/2024 78.04 81.13
12/2024 78.06 80.97
01/2025 78.07 80.98
02/2025 78.24 80.99
03/2025 78.19 81.03
04/2025 78.13 81.04
05/2025 78.00 81.02
06/2025 78.11 81.06
07/2025 78.10 80.94
08/2025 78.32 80.95
09/2025 78.42 80.89
10/2025 78.61 80.95
11/2025 78.66 80.99
12/2025 78.45 81.10
01/2026 78.38 81.20
02/2026 78.23 81.24
03/2026 78.56 81.19
04/2026 78.63 81.16

Note: Restricted to prime-age individuals (25-54). There are no data for October 2025

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Economic Heterogeneity Indicators.

Figure 3: Total Employment Growth (12-month rolling average)

Index (Jan. 2019 = 100)

Month-Year Rural Urban
12/2019 102.1181 101.7921
01/2020 102.1271 101.8814
02/2020 102.1485 101.969
03/2020 102.0306 101.9284
04/2020 101.132 100.7707
05/2020 100.3303 99.83028
06/2020 99.73804 99.14892
07/2020 99.17044 98.5223
08/2020 98.79263 98.07532
09/2020 98.4081 97.61873
10/2020 98.16447 97.2855
11/2020 97.92132 96.94173
12/2020 97.67847 96.58275
01/2021 97.44755 96.27126
02/2021 97.18955 95.95741
03/2021 97.13639 95.87061
04/2021 97.90188 97.26643
05/2021 98.47855 98.04329
06/2021 98.82774 98.53152
07/2021 99.16322 99.00064
08/2021 99.3203 99.31721
09/2021 99.47663 99.66055
10/2021 99.5021 99.90211
11/2021 99.59381 100.2213
12/2021 99.74065 100.596
01/2022 99.8937 100.9375
02/2022 100.0995 101.2956
03/2022 100.3255 101.6501
04/2022 100.4827 101.9551
05/2022 100.6587 102.2579
06/2022 100.8175 102.5425
07/2022 100.9696 102.7848
08/2022 101.0749 103.0165
09/2022 101.1671 103.2259
10/2022 101.2281 103.3958
11/2022 101.263 103.5118
12/2022 101.33 103.6389
01/2023 101.3867 103.7822
02/2023 101.4417 103.9058
03/2023 101.4591 104.0202
04/2023 101.5135 104.1648
05/2023 101.5305 104.2741
06/2023 101.6178 104.4193
07/2023 101.6753 104.5785
08/2023 101.7842 104.7424
09/2023 101.9025 104.9115
10/2023 102.0005 105.0785
11/2023 102.1422 105.2837
12/2023 102.1787 105.3948
01/2024 102.2209 105.4982
02/2024 102.2297 105.5885
03/2024 102.2607 105.684
04/2024 102.3044 105.7722
05/2024 102.35 105.8624
06/2024 102.4025 105.9523
07/2024 102.4504 106.025
08/2024 102.491 106.0827
09/2024 102.523 106.1556
10/2024 102.5579 106.2196
11/2024 102.5208 106.2359
12/2024 102.5553 106.3108
01/2025 102.6307 106.3923
02/2025 102.6624 106.4412
03/2025 102.6835 106.4826
04/2025 102.6915 106.5478
05/2025 102.659 106.586
06/2025 102.6152 106.6186
07/2025 102.5688 106.6288
08/2025 102.5368 106.6496
09/2025 102.5046 106.6542

Note: Index set to January 2019 = 100. 12-month rolling average

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

Figure 4: Inflation (12-month change)

Percent (%)

Month-Year Rural Urban
01/2019 0.82184393 1.48759
02/2019 0.906062458 1.51886
03/2019 1.386140255 1.88319
04/2019 1.475724874 2.00058
05/2019 1.200014333 1.79591
06/2019 1.012154667 1.67119
07/2019 1.188760628 1.82633
08/2019 1.122439786 1.73764
09/2019 1.073372646 1.6845
10/2019 1.163399416 1.73397
11/2019 1.702434831 2.09229
12/2019 2.068099541 2.31953
01/2020 2.379237285 2.59977
02/2020 1.948971122 2.34132
03/2020 0.862895963 1.49404
04/2020 -0.439006029 0.31305
05/2020 -0.525218919 0.1982
06/2020 0.142432519 0.71666
07/2020 0.610828609 0.99686
08/2020 1.13867767 1.28107
09/2020 1.511054069 1.39102
10/2020 1.472392867 1.23039
11/2020 1.395744131 1.17575
12/2020 1.52173208 1.32042
01/2021 1.679686334 1.37384
02/2021 2.228561391 1.66982
03/2021 3.806728789 2.66782
04/2021 5.855477655 4.13308
05/2021 7.165732852 4.91826
06/2021 7.6475287 5.29563
07/2021 7.449009272 5.24517
08/2021 7.008975886 5.15202
09/2021 7.015822757 5.35122
10/2021 7.930990329 6.23504
11/2021 8.754360915 6.90197
12/2021 9.273673704 7.17434
01/2022 9.861772542 7.55881
02/2022 10.40335587 7.93728
03/2022 10.75407049 8.5722
04/2022 10.06278681 8.23175
05/2022 10.00591203 8.53817
06/2022 10.2214001 8.97936
07/2022 9.416957651 8.46258
08/2022 8.896368786 8.22258
09/2022 8.568520037 8.19211
10/2022 7.864644752 7.75881
11/2022 6.830779359 7.12286
12/2022 6.228522291 6.4046
01/2023 6.27588536 6.32718
02/2023 6.032718824 5.95782
03/2023 4.742183204 4.91772
04/2023 4.433864288 4.95008
05/2023 3.30521069 4.13185
06/2023 1.958669088 3.07062
07/2023 2.281835658 3.28775
08/2023 2.976908292 3.7225
09/2023 3.057765207 3.68721
10/2023 2.46041406 3.25127
11/2023 2.231013723 3.13335
12/2023 2.461187962 3.31591
01/2024 2.36693921 3.08834
02/2024 2.542395424 3.15707
03/2024 2.907359045 3.48683
04/2024 2.814184243 3.3608
05/2024 2.69252446 3.24428
06/2024 2.446745699 2.97026
07/2024 2.375259623 2.94148
08/2024 2.020474951 2.60714
09/2024 1.884200621 2.42648
10/2024 2.160780658 2.57884
11/2024 2.459960038 2.71947
12/2024 2.661745173 2.87069
01/2025 2.736459785 2.99098
02/2025 2.395146544 2.80158
03/2025 1.855444955 2.38198
04/2025 1.798855886 2.32539
05/2025 1.947556646 2.37727
06/2025 2.368545041 2.68045
07/2025 2.56771613 2.74262
08/2025 2.906772668 2.93859
09/2025 3.07508132 3.02257
10/2025    
11/2025 2.763825472 2.69644
12/2025 2.676198614 2.6533
01/2026 2.388184191 2.3912
02/2026 2.638834901 2.434
03/2026 3.832689192 3.28596
04/2026 4.566195596 3.77925
05/2026 4.16661 4.16661
06/2026 3.46353 3.46353
07/2026 3.30386 3.30386

Note: 12-month percent change. There are no data for October 2025.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Economic Heterogeneity Indicators. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics vis FRED ®.

Last Update: September 30, 2026