Accessible Version
Accessible Version
Figure 1: Federal Funds Rate Path
Percent
| Date | Rate |
|---|---|
| 1/3/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/4/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/5/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/6/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/7/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/10/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/11/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/12/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/13/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/14/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/17/2022 | N/A |
| 1/18/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/19/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/20/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/21/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/24/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/25/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/26/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/27/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/28/2022 | 0.08 |
| 1/31/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/1/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/2/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/3/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/4/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/7/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/8/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/9/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/10/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/11/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/14/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/15/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/16/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/17/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/18/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/21/2022 | N/A |
| 2/22/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/23/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/24/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/25/2022 | 0.08 |
| 2/28/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/1/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/2/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/3/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/4/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/7/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/8/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/9/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/10/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/11/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/14/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/15/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/16/2022 | 0.08 |
| 3/17/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/18/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/21/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/22/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/23/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/24/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/25/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/28/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/29/2022 | 0.33 |
| 3/30/2022 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/1/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/4/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/5/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/6/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/7/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/8/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/11/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/12/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/13/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/14/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/15/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/18/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/19/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/20/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/21/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/22/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/25/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/26/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/27/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/28/2022 | 0.33 |
| 4/29/2022 | 0.33 |
| 5/2/2022 | 0.33 |
| 5/3/2022 | 0.33 |
| 5/4/2022 | 0.33 |
| 5/5/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/6/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/9/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/10/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/11/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/12/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/13/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/16/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/17/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/18/2022 | 0.83 |
| 5/18/2022 | 0.83 |
| 6/15/2022 | 1.43 |
| 7/27/2022 | 1.89 |
| 9/21/2022 | 2.29 |
| 11/2/2022 | 2.58 |
| 12/14/2022 | 2.83 |
| 12/24/2022 | 2.83 |
Note: The line's solid segments are historical policy rates and dashed segments are implied projections of the federal funds rate. Projections are not adjusted for risk premiums and assumes rate changes happen only at Federal Open Market Committee meeting dates.
Source: CME DataMine; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.
Figure 2: Foreign Policy Rates
Percent
| Date | AFE (right axis) | EFE (left axis) |
|---|---|---|
| 12/15/2021 | -0.08 | 3.33 |
| 12/16/2021 | -0.07 | 3.47 |
| 12/17/2021 | -0.07 | 3.47 |
| 12/18/2021 | N/A | 3.47 |
| 12/19/2021 | N/A | 3.47 |
| 12/20/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/21/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/22/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/23/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/24/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/25/2021 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 12/26/2021 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 12/27/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/28/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/29/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/30/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 12/31/2021 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/1/2022 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 1/2/2022 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 1/3/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/4/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/5/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/6/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/7/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/8/2022 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 1/9/2022 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 1/10/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/11/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/12/2022 | -0.07 | 3.44 |
| 1/13/2022 | -0.07 | 3.44 |
| 1/14/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/15/2022 | N/A | 3.46 |
| 1/16/2022 | N/A | 3.46 |
| 1/17/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/18/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/19/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/20/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/21/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/22/2022 | N/A | 3.46 |
| 1/23/2022 | N/A | 3.46 |
| 1/24/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/25/2022 | -0.07 | 3.46 |
| 1/26/2022 | -0.07 | 3.48 |
| 1/27/2022 | -0.07 | 3.48 |
| 1/28/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 1/29/2022 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 1/30/2022 | N/A | 3.49 |
| 1/31/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 2/1/2022 | -0.07 | 3.49 |
| 2/2/2022 | -0.07 | 3.55 |
| 2/3/2022 | -0.04 | 3.55 |
| 2/4/2022 | -0.04 | 3.55 |
| 2/5/2022 | N/A | 3.55 |
| 2/6/2022 | N/A | 3.55 |
| 2/7/2022 | -0.04 | 3.55 |
| 2/8/2022 | -0.04 | 3.55 |
| 2/9/2022 | -0.04 | 3.55 |
| 2/10/2022 | -0.04 | 3.69 |
| 2/11/2022 | -0.04 | 3.69 |
| 2/12/2022 | N/A | 3.69 |
| 2/13/2022 | N/A | 3.69 |
| 2/14/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/15/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/16/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/17/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/18/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/19/2022 | N/A | 3.70 |
| 2/20/2022 | N/A | 3.70 |
| 2/21/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/22/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/23/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/24/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/25/2022 | -0.04 | 3.70 |
| 2/26/2022 | N/A | 3.70 |
| 2/27/2022 | N/A | 3.70 |
| 2/28/2022 | -0.04 | 3.80 |
| 3/1/2022 | -0.04 | 3.80 |
| 3/2/2022 | -0.04 | 3.80 |
| 3/3/2022 | 0.02 | 3.80 |
| 3/4/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/5/2022 | N/A | 3.77 |
| 3/6/2022 | N/A | 3.77 |
| 3/7/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/8/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/9/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/10/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/11/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/12/2022 | N/A | 3.77 |
| 3/13/2022 | N/A | 3.77 |
| 3/14/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/15/2022 | 0.02 | 3.77 |
| 3/16/2022 | 0.02 | 3.81 |
| 3/17/2022 | 0.05 | 3.83 |
| 3/18/2022 | 0.05 | 3.83 |
| 3/19/2022 | N/A | 3.83 |
| 3/20/2022 | N/A | 3.83 |
| 3/21/2022 | 0.05 | 3.83 |
| 3/22/2022 | 0.05 | 3.83 |
| 3/23/2022 | 0.05 | 3.83 |
| 3/24/2022 | 0.05 | 3.97 |
| 3/25/2022 | 0.05 | 3.97 |
| 3/26/2022 | N/A | 3.97 |
| 3/27/2022 | N/A | 3.97 |
| 3/28/2022 | 0.05 | 3.97 |
| 3/29/2022 | 0.05 | 3.99 |
| 3/30/2022 | 0.05 | 3.99 |
| 3/31/2022 | 0.05 | 4.01 |
| 4/1/2022 | 0.05 | 4.01 |
| 4/2/2022 | N/A | 4.01 |
| 4/3/2022 | N/A | 4.01 |
| 4/4/2022 | 0.05 | 4.01 |
| 4/5/2022 | 0.05 | 4.01 |
| 4/6/2022 | 0.05 | 4.01 |
| 4/7/2022 | 0.05 | 4.01 |
| 4/8/2022 | 0.05 | 4.01 |
| 4/9/2022 | N/A | 4.01 |
| 4/10/2022 | N/A | 4.01 |
| 4/11/2022 | 0.05 | 3.98 |
| 4/12/2022 | 0.05 | 3.98 |
| 4/13/2022 | 0.05 | 3.98 |
| 4/14/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/15/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/16/2022 | N/A | 4.00 |
| 4/17/2022 | N/A | 4.00 |
| 4/18/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/19/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/20/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/21/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/22/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/23/2022 | N/A | 4.00 |
| 4/24/2022 | N/A | 4.00 |
| 4/25/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/26/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/27/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/28/2022 | 0.18 | 4.00 |
| 4/29/2022 | 0.18 | 4.01 |
| 4/30/2022 | N/A | 4.01 |
| 5/1/2022 | N/A | 4.01 |
| 5/2/2022 | 0.18 | 4.01 |
| 5/3/2022 | 0.19 | 4.01 |
| 5/4/2022 | 0.19 | 4.04 |
| 5/5/2022 | 0.22 | 4.07 |
| 5/6/2022 | 0.22 | 4.07 |
| 5/7/2022 | N/A | 4.07 |
| 5/8/2022 | N/A | 4.07 |
| 5/9/2022 | 0.22 | 4.07 |
| 5/10/2022 | 0.22 | 4.07 |
| 5/11/2022 | 0.22 | 4.08 |
| 5/12/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/13/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/14/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 5/15/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 5/16/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/17/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/18/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/19/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/20/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/21/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 5/22/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 5/23/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/24/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/25/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/26/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/27/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/28/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 5/29/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 5/30/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 5/31/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/1/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/2/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/3/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/4/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 6/5/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 6/6/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/7/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/8/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/9/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/10/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/11/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 6/12/2022 | N/A | 4.23 |
| 6/13/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/14/2022 | 0.22 | 4.23 |
| 6/15/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/16/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/17/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/18/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 6/19/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 6/20/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/21/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/22/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/23/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/24/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/25/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 6/26/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 6/27/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/28/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/29/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 6/30/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/1/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/2/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/3/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/4/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/5/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/6/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/7/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/8/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/9/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/10/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/11/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/12/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/13/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/14/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/15/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/16/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/17/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/18/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/19/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/20/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/21/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/22/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/23/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/24/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/25/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/26/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/27/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/28/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/29/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 7/30/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 7/31/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 8/1/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/2/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/3/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/4/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/5/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/6/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 8/7/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 8/8/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/9/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/10/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/11/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/12/2022 | 0.34 | 4.22 |
| 8/13/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 8/14/2022 | N/A | 4.22 |
| 8/15/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/16/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/17/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/18/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/19/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/20/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 8/21/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 8/22/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/23/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/24/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/25/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/26/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/27/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 8/28/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 8/29/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/30/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 8/31/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/1/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/2/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/3/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/4/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/5/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/6/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/7/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/8/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/9/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/10/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/11/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/12/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/13/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/14/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/15/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/16/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/17/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/18/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/19/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/20/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/21/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/22/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/23/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/24/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/25/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 9/26/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/27/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/28/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/29/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 9/30/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/1/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/2/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/3/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/4/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/5/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/6/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/7/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/8/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/9/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/10/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/11/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/12/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/13/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/14/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/15/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/16/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/17/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/18/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/19/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/20/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/21/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/22/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/23/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/24/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/25/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/26/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/27/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/28/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 10/29/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/30/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 10/31/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/1/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/2/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/3/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/4/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/5/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 11/6/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 11/7/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/8/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/9/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/10/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/11/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/12/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 11/13/2022 | N/A | 4.62 |
| 11/14/2022 | 0.72 | 4.62 |
| 11/15/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/16/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/17/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/18/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/19/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 11/20/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 11/21/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/22/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/23/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/24/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/25/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/26/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 11/27/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 11/28/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/29/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 11/30/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/1/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/2/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/3/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/4/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/5/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/6/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/7/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/8/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/9/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/10/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/11/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/12/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/13/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/14/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/15/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/16/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/17/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/18/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/19/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/20/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/21/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/22/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/23/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/24/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/25/2022 | N/A | 5.19 |
| 12/26/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/27/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/28/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/29/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
| 12/30/2022 | 1.13 | 5.19 |
Note: The lines' solid segments are weighted averages of foreign countries' historical policy rates. The dashed segments are based on market-implied projections of future policy rates. AFE refers to the Advanced Foreign Economies aggregate and EME to the Emerging Market Economies aggregate. The aggregates are weighted using bilateral U.S. trade weights.
Source: Bloomberg.
Figure 3: Central Banks’ Securities Holdings
Billions of U.S. Dollars
| Date | European Central Bank (ECB) | Bank of Canada (BOC) | Bank of England (BOE) | Bank of Japan (BOJ) | Federal Reserve Board (FRB) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019: Q1 | -12.19 | -1.51 | -4.89 | 33.55 | -109.52 | -94.55 |
| 2019: Q2 | -6.26 | 1.57 | 2.69 | 71.97 | -125.34 | -55.37 |
| 2019: Q3 | -8.68 | -1.01 | -0.56 | 42.20 | -68.04 | -36.09 |
| 2019: Q4 | 37.37 | -0.66 | 2.78 | 22.64 | 173.90 | 236.02 |
| 2020: Q1 | 112.98 | 1.04 | -2.20 | 58.78 | 614.09 | 784.70 |
| 2020: Q2 | 493.52 | 136.34 | 150.11 | 270.10 | 1777.91 | 2827.98 |
| 2020: Q3 | 326.65 | 38.73 | 155.36 | 219.35 | 287.41 | 1027.49 |
| 2020: Q4 | 305.86 | 21.81 | 70.16 | 75.16 | 300.13 | 773.12 |
| 2021: Q1 | 290.16 | 28.26 | 54.81 | -30.42 | 398.58 | 741.39 |
| 2021: Q2 | 355.19 | 10.59 | 62.19 | -16.66 | 376.06 | 787.37 |
| 2021: Q3 | 328.73 | 14.20 | 39.05 | -13.01 | 422.72 | 791.68 |
| 2021: Q4 | 274.78 | 8.57 | 63.41 | -57.71 | 342.02 | 631.07 |
| 2022: Q1 | 197.59 | -13.68 | -37.41 | 103.60 | 207.52 | 457.61 |
Note: Net asset purchases are the quarterly change in the following asset categories: for the Bank of England (BOE), total assets minus assets held under term funding schemes; for the Bank of Canada (BOC), Government of Canada direct and guaranteed securities; for the European Central Bank (ECB), assets held in the Asset Purchase Programme and in the Pandemic Emergency Purchase Programme; for the Bank of Japan (BOJ), Japanese government securities, commercial paper, corporate bonds, index-linked exchange-traded equity funds, and real estate investment trusts; and for the Federal Reserve Board (FRB), treasury securities and mortgage-backed securities.
Source: Haver Analytics.
Figure 4: Vacancies and Unemployment
Rates
| Date | Vacancy rate | Vacancy rate predicted | Unemployment rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec-00 | 3.55 | 3.79 | 3.93 |
| Jan-01 | 3.64 | 3.60 | 4.19 |
| Feb-01 | 3.55 | 3.57 | 4.24 |
| Mar-01 | 3.31 | 3.55 | 4.27 |
| Apr-01 | 3.21 | 3.48 | 4.37 |
| May-01 | 3.09 | 3.50 | 4.34 |
| Jun-01 | 3.04 | 3.39 | 4.52 |
| Jul-01 | 3.10 | 3.35 | 4.58 |
| Aug-01 | 2.81 | 3.17 | 4.91 |
| Sep-01 | 2.83 | 3.15 | 4.96 |
| Oct-01 | 2.57 | 2.97 | 5.34 |
| Nov-01 | 2.62 | 2.88 | 5.55 |
| Dec-01 | 2.55 | 2.81 | 5.72 |
| Jan-02 | 2.57 | 2.82 | 5.69 |
| Feb-02 | 2.38 | 2.82 | 5.68 |
| Mar-02 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 5.75 |
| Apr-02 | 2.40 | 2.72 | 5.94 |
| May-02 | 2.39 | 2.78 | 5.79 |
| Jun-02 | 2.36 | 2.78 | 5.80 |
| Jul-02 | 2.33 | 2.78 | 5.79 |
| Aug-02 | 2.43 | 2.81 | 5.73 |
| Sep-02 | 2.27 | 2.83 | 5.67 |
| Oct-02 | 2.39 | 2.81 | 5.72 |
| Nov-02 | 2.42 | 2.75 | 5.87 |
| Dec-02 | 2.18 | 2.72 | 5.96 |
| Jan-03 | 2.36 | 2.76 | 5.84 |
| Feb-03 | 2.21 | 2.74 | 5.90 |
| Mar-03 | 2.12 | 2.75 | 5.88 |
| Apr-03 | 2.12 | 2.69 | 6.04 |
| May-03 | 2.25 | 2.66 | 6.11 |
| Jun-03 | 2.31 | 2.60 | 6.30 |
| Jul-03 | 2.04 | 2.65 | 6.15 |
| Aug-03 | 2.18 | 2.68 | 6.07 |
| Sep-03 | 2.11 | 2.67 | 6.09 |
| Oct-03 | 2.25 | 2.72 | 5.95 |
| Nov-03 | 2.26 | 2.76 | 5.83 |
| Dec-03 | 2.33 | 2.83 | 5.67 |
| Jan-04 | 2.33 | 2.82 | 5.70 |
| Feb-04 | 2.41 | 2.87 | 5.57 |
| Mar-04 | 2.40 | 2.79 | 5.78 |
| Apr-04 | 2.39 | 2.87 | 5.56 |
| May-04 | 2.52 | 2.86 | 5.58 |
| Jun-04 | 2.26 | 2.85 | 5.62 |
| Jul-04 | 2.58 | 2.89 | 5.51 |
| Aug-04 | 2.40 | 2.93 | 5.41 |
| Sep-04 | 2.59 | 2.95 | 5.38 |
| Oct-04 | 2.67 | 2.92 | 5.45 |
| Nov-04 | 2.34 | 2.96 | 5.35 |
| Dec-04 | 2.75 | 2.96 | 5.36 |
| Jan-05 | 2.57 | 3.00 | 5.26 |
| Feb-05 | 2.67 | 2.95 | 5.38 |
| Mar-05 | 2.73 | 3.02 | 5.21 |
| Apr-05 | 2.79 | 3.05 | 5.15 |
| May-05 | 2.54 | 3.07 | 5.13 |
| Jun-05 | 2.72 | 3.11 | 5.04 |
| Jul-05 | 2.85 | 3.15 | 4.96 |
| Aug-05 | 2.77 | 3.18 | 4.90 |
| Sep-05 | 2.90 | 3.11 | 5.04 |
| Oct-05 | 2.79 | 3.14 | 4.97 |
| Nov-05 | 2.83 | 3.11 | 5.04 |
| Dec-05 | 2.85 | 3.20 | 4.85 |
| Jan-06 | 2.93 | 3.28 | 4.70 |
| Feb-06 | 2.87 | 3.25 | 4.77 |
| Mar-06 | 3.14 | 3.29 | 4.69 |
| Apr-06 | 3.17 | 3.28 | 4.72 |
| May-06 | 2.95 | 3.33 | 4.62 |
| Jun-06 | 3.05 | 3.33 | 4.63 |
| Jul-06 | 2.90 | 3.26 | 4.74 |
| Aug-06 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 4.67 |
| Sep-06 | 3.12 | 3.39 | 4.51 |
| Oct-06 | 3.02 | 3.45 | 4.42 |
| Nov-06 | 3.05 | 3.40 | 4.51 |
| Dec-06 | 3.02 | 3.45 | 4.43 |
| Jan-07 | 3.11 | 3.32 | 4.65 |
| Feb-07 | 3.07 | 3.39 | 4.53 |
| Mar-07 | 3.24 | 3.46 | 4.40 |
| Apr-07 | 3.08 | 3.41 | 4.49 |
| May-07 | 3.05 | 3.44 | 4.43 |
| Jun-07 | 3.17 | 3.37 | 4.56 |
| Jul-07 | 3.00 | 3.30 | 4.67 |
| Aug-07 | 2.98 | 3.33 | 4.63 |
| Sep-07 | 3.03 | 3.30 | 4.67 |
| Oct-07 | 3.03 | 3.27 | 4.72 |
| Nov-07 | 3.02 | 3.28 | 4.71 |
| Dec-07 | 2.95 | 3.14 | 4.97 |
| Jan-08 | 3.00 | 3.13 | 4.99 |
| Feb-08 | 2.78 | 3.19 | 4.88 |
| Mar-08 | 2.75 | 3.09 | 5.08 |
| Apr-08 | 2.62 | 3.14 | 4.97 |
| May-08 | 2.72 | 2.92 | 5.44 |
| Jun-08 | 2.48 | 2.87 | 5.56 |
| Jul-08 | 2.43 | 2.78 | 5.79 |
| Aug-08 | 2.38 | 2.67 | 6.10 |
| Sep-08 | 2.08 | 2.65 | 6.14 |
| Oct-08 | 2.18 | 2.53 | 6.50 |
| Nov-08 | 2.09 | 2.44 | 6.81 |
| Dec-08 | 2.03 | 2.31 | 7.30 |
| Jan-09 | 1.78 | 2.19 | 7.82 |
| Feb-09 | 1.85 | 2.08 | 8.35 |
| Mar-09 | 1.64 | 2.01 | 8.71 |
| Apr-09 | 1.49 | 1.96 | 8.97 |
| May-09 | 1.65 | 1.89 | 9.37 |
| Jun-09 | 1.62 | 1.87 | 9.51 |
| Jul-09 | 1.44 | 1.88 | 9.45 |
| Aug-09 | 1.52 | 1.86 | 9.60 |
| Sep-09 | 1.62 | 1.83 | 9.76 |
| Oct-09 | 1.56 | 1.80 | 9.98 |
| Nov-09 | 1.63 | 1.81 | 9.89 |
| Dec-09 | 1.68 | 1.82 | 9.86 |
| Jan-10 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 9.80 |
| Feb-10 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 9.83 |
| Mar-10 | 1.74 | 1.82 | 9.87 |
| Apr-10 | 2.04 | 1.81 | 9.91 |
| May-10 | 1.94 | 1.85 | 9.64 |
| Jun-10 | 1.82 | 1.89 | 9.42 |
| Jul-10 | 2.01 | 1.88 | 9.44 |
| Aug-10 | 1.95 | 1.87 | 9.51 |
| Sep-10 | 1.90 | 1.88 | 9.47 |
| Oct-10 | 2.11 | 1.88 | 9.45 |
| Nov-10 | 2.08 | 1.83 | 9.78 |
| Dec-10 | 1.99 | 1.90 | 9.34 |
| Jan-11 | 2.03 | 1.93 | 9.14 |
| Feb-11 | 2.11 | 1.95 | 9.02 |
| Mar-11 | 2.13 | 1.96 | 8.96 |
| Apr-11 | 2.12 | 1.94 | 9.09 |
| May-11 | 2.07 | 1.95 | 9.03 |
| Jun-11 | 2.25 | 1.94 | 9.10 |
| Jul-11 | 2.36 | 1.96 | 8.98 |
| Aug-11 | 2.17 | 1.96 | 8.99 |
| Sep-11 | 2.45 | 1.95 | 9.05 |
| Oct-11 | 2.35 | 1.99 | 8.83 |
| Nov-11 | 2.31 | 2.02 | 8.63 |
| Dec-11 | 2.45 | 2.05 | 8.50 |
| Jan-12 | 2.53 | 2.09 | 8.29 |
| Feb-12 | 2.34 | 2.09 | 8.28 |
| Mar-12 | 2.57 | 2.10 | 8.22 |
| Apr-12 | 2.45 | 2.11 | 8.18 |
| May-12 | 2.48 | 2.11 | 8.17 |
| Jun-12 | 2.52 | 2.11 | 8.18 |
| Jul-12 | 2.41 | 2.11 | 8.17 |
| Aug-12 | 2.46 | 2.14 | 8.06 |
| Sep-12 | 2.50 | 2.19 | 7.81 |
| Oct-12 | 2.43 | 2.19 | 7.79 |
| Nov-12 | 2.50 | 2.21 | 7.73 |
| Dec-12 | 2.55 | 2.17 | 7.90 |
| Jan-13 | 2.52 | 2.15 | 8.01 |
| Feb-13 | 2.58 | 2.22 | 7.69 |
| Mar-13 | 2.63 | 2.25 | 7.54 |
| Apr-13 | 2.57 | 2.25 | 7.57 |
| May-13 | 2.66 | 2.26 | 7.49 |
| Jun-13 | 2.66 | 2.25 | 7.54 |
| Jul-13 | 2.50 | 2.32 | 7.28 |
| Aug-13 | 2.63 | 2.32 | 7.25 |
| Sep-13 | 2.65 | 2.33 | 7.24 |
| Oct-13 | 2.73 | 2.34 | 7.20 |
| Nov-13 | 2.65 | 2.40 | 6.95 |
| Dec-13 | 2.66 | 2.47 | 6.70 |
| Jan-14 | 2.66 | 2.52 | 6.57 |
| Feb-14 | 2.81 | 2.49 | 6.66 |
| Mar-14 | 2.81 | 2.49 | 6.65 |
| Apr-14 | 2.94 | 2.62 | 6.24 |
| May-14 | 3.05 | 2.59 | 6.33 |
| Jun-14 | 3.20 | 2.68 | 6.08 |
| Jul-14 | 3.11 | 2.65 | 6.16 |
| Aug-14 | 3.43 | 2.65 | 6.15 |
| Sep-14 | 3.15 | 2.73 | 5.94 |
| Oct-14 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 5.75 |
| Nov-14 | 3.09 | 2.77 | 5.81 |
| Dec-14 | 3.28 | 2.87 | 5.58 |
| Jan-15 | 3.40 | 2.83 | 5.66 |
| Feb-15 | 3.49 | 2.90 | 5.49 |
| Mar-15 | 3.33 | 2.93 | 5.44 |
| Apr-15 | 3.56 | 2.92 | 5.44 |
| May-15 | 3.53 | 2.86 | 5.60 |
| Jun-15 | 3.34 | 3.01 | 5.25 |
| Jul-15 | 3.86 | 3.03 | 5.20 |
| Aug-15 | 3.48 | 3.09 | 5.08 |
| Sep-15 | 3.50 | 3.11 | 5.04 |
| Oct-15 | 3.67 | 3.11 | 5.04 |
| Nov-15 | 3.62 | 3.09 | 5.08 |
| Dec-15 | 3.70 | 3.13 | 5.00 |
| Jan-16 | 3.80 | 3.22 | 4.82 |
| Feb-16 | 3.64 | 3.20 | 4.86 |
| Mar-16 | 3.85 | 3.13 | 5.00 |
| Apr-16 | 3.65 | 3.09 | 5.07 |
| May-16 | 3.64 | 3.22 | 4.82 |
| Jun-16 | 3.61 | 3.19 | 4.87 |
| Jul-16 | 3.75 | 3.23 | 4.80 |
| Aug-16 | 3.56 | 3.19 | 4.88 |
| Sep-16 | 3.67 | 3.14 | 4.98 |
| Oct-16 | 3.50 | 3.18 | 4.89 |
| Nov-16 | 3.74 | 3.27 | 4.74 |
| Dec-16 | 3.74 | 3.28 | 4.71 |
| Jan-17 | 3.52 | 3.30 | 4.68 |
| Feb-17 | 3.71 | 3.33 | 4.62 |
| Mar-17 | 3.63 | 3.45 | 4.42 |
| Apr-17 | 3.80 | 3.45 | 4.42 |
| May-17 | 3.64 | 3.48 | 4.37 |
| Jun-17 | 3.94 | 3.53 | 4.29 |
| Jul-17 | 3.89 | 3.53 | 4.30 |
| Aug-17 | 3.91 | 3.46 | 4.41 |
| Sep-17 | 3.92 | 3.56 | 4.25 |
| Oct-17 | 4.00 | 3.61 | 4.18 |
| Nov-17 | 3.91 | 3.58 | 4.22 |
| Dec-17 | 3.95 | 3.64 | 4.13 |
| Jan-18 | 4.09 | 3.71 | 4.04 |
| Feb-18 | 4.06 | 3.69 | 4.07 |
| Mar-18 | 4.21 | 3.74 | 3.99 |
| Apr-18 | 4.27 | 3.75 | 3.98 |
| May-18 | 4.32 | 3.88 | 3.82 |
| Jun-18 | 4.46 | 3.76 | 3.97 |
| Jul-18 | 4.43 | 3.89 | 3.80 |
| Aug-18 | 4.46 | 3.88 | 3.81 |
| Sep-18 | 4.53 | 3.94 | 3.74 |
| Oct-18 | 4.53 | 3.87 | 3.83 |
| Nov-18 | 4.64 | 3.92 | 3.77 |
| Dec-18 | 4.56 | 3.81 | 3.91 |
| Jan-19 | 4.58 | 3.77 | 3.96 |
| Feb-19 | 4.33 | 3.93 | 3.75 |
| Mar-19 | 4.49 | 3.91 | 3.78 |
| Apr-19 | 4.44 | 4.04 | 3.63 |
| May-19 | 4.48 | 4.03 | 3.65 |
| Jun-19 | 4.38 | 4.05 | 3.62 |
| Jul-19 | 4.33 | 4.01 | 3.66 |
| Aug-19 | 4.36 | 4.01 | 3.66 |
| Sep-19 | 4.33 | 4.14 | 3.52 |
| Oct-19 | 4.51 | 4.03 | 3.64 |
| Nov-19 | 4.19 | 4.06 | 3.61 |
| Dec-19 | 4.09 | 4.10 | 3.56 |
| Jan-20 | 4.35 | 4.12 | 3.54 |
| Feb-20 | 4.26 | 4.18 | 3.47 |
| Mar-20 | 3.64 | 3.46 | 4.40 |
| Apr-20 | 3.01 | 1.32 | 14.73 |
| May-20 | 3.44 | 1.44 | 13.24 |
| Jun-20 | 3.78 | 1.66 | 11.02 |
| Jul-20 | 4.14 | 1.77 | 10.18 |
| Aug-20 | 3.93 | 2.06 | 8.42 |
| Sep-20 | 4.05 | 2.18 | 7.86 |
| Oct-20 | 4.27 | 2.41 | 6.91 |
| Nov-20 | 4.26 | 2.47 | 6.71 |
| Dec-20 | 4.32 | 2.47 | 6.71 |
| Jan-21 | 4.51 | 2.58 | 6.36 |
| Feb-21 | 4.90 | 2.62 | 6.23 |
| Mar-21 | 5.28 | 2.69 | 6.03 |
| Apr-21 | 5.76 | 2.69 | 6.04 |
| May-21 | 5.99 | 2.80 | 5.75 |
| Jun-21 | 6.11 | 2.74 | 5.90 |
| Jul-21 | 6.68 | 2.95 | 5.37 |
| Aug-21 | 6.58 | 3.05 | 5.16 |
| Sep-21 | 6.61 | 3.26 | 4.75 |
| Oct-21 | 6.86 | 3.36 | 4.56 |
| Nov-21 | 6.74 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Dec-21 | 7.05 | 3.82 | 3.89 |
| Jan-22 | 6.89 | 3.75 | 3.98 |
| Feb-22 | 6.92 | 3.87 | 3.82 |
| Mar-22 | 7.02 | 4.05 | 3.62 |
| Apr-22 | N/A | 4.05 | 3.62 |
Note: Observations are from December 2000 to December 2019.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Figure 5: Vacancies and Unemployment
Rates
| Date | Vacancy Rate | Unemployment rate |
|---|---|---|
| Dec-00 | 3.55 | 3.93 |
| Jan-01 | 3.64 | 4.19 |
| Feb-01 | 3.55 | 4.24 |
| Mar-01 | 3.31 | 4.27 |
| Apr-01 | 3.21 | 4.37 |
| May-01 | 3.09 | 4.34 |
| Jun-01 | 3.04 | 4.52 |
| Jul-01 | 3.10 | 4.58 |
| Aug-01 | 2.81 | 4.91 |
| Sep-01 | 2.83 | 4.96 |
| Oct-01 | 2.57 | 5.34 |
| Nov-01 | 2.62 | 5.55 |
| Dec-01 | 2.55 | 5.72 |
| Jan-02 | 2.57 | 5.69 |
| Feb-02 | 2.38 | 5.68 |
| Mar-02 | 2.50 | 5.75 |
| Apr-02 | 2.40 | 5.94 |
| May-02 | 2.39 | 5.79 |
| Jun-02 | 2.36 | 5.80 |
| Jul-02 | 2.33 | 5.79 |
| Aug-02 | 2.43 | 5.73 |
| Sep-02 | 2.27 | 5.67 |
| Oct-02 | 2.39 | 5.72 |
| Nov-02 | 2.42 | 5.87 |
| Dec-02 | 2.18 | 5.96 |
| Jan-03 | 2.36 | 5.84 |
| Feb-03 | 2.21 | 5.90 |
| Mar-03 | 2.12 | 5.88 |
| Apr-03 | 2.12 | 6.04 |
| May-03 | 2.25 | 6.11 |
| Jun-03 | 2.31 | 6.30 |
| Jul-03 | 2.04 | 6.15 |
| Aug-03 | 2.18 | 6.07 |
| Sep-03 | 2.11 | 6.09 |
| Oct-03 | 2.25 | 5.95 |
| Nov-03 | 2.26 | 5.83 |
| Dec-03 | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| Jan-04 | 2.33 | 5.70 |
| Feb-04 | 2.41 | 5.57 |
| Mar-04 | 2.40 | 5.78 |
| Apr-04 | 2.39 | 5.56 |
| May-04 | 2.52 | 5.58 |
| Jun-04 | 2.26 | 5.62 |
| Jul-04 | 2.58 | 5.51 |
| Aug-04 | 2.40 | 5.41 |
| Sep-04 | 2.59 | 5.38 |
| Oct-04 | 2.67 | 5.45 |
| Nov-04 | 2.34 | 5.35 |
| Dec-04 | 2.75 | 5.36 |
| Jan-05 | 2.57 | 5.26 |
| Feb-05 | 2.67 | 5.38 |
| Mar-05 | 2.73 | 5.21 |
| Apr-05 | 2.79 | 5.15 |
| May-05 | 2.54 | 5.13 |
| Jun-05 | 2.72 | 5.04 |
| Jul-05 | 2.85 | 4.96 |
| Aug-05 | 2.77 | 4.90 |
| Sep-05 | 2.90 | 5.04 |
| Oct-05 | 2.79 | 4.97 |
| Nov-05 | 2.83 | 5.04 |
| Dec-05 | 2.85 | 4.85 |
| Jan-06 | 2.93 | 4.70 |
| Feb-06 | 2.87 | 4.77 |
| Mar-06 | 3.14 | 4.69 |
| Apr-06 | 3.17 | 4.72 |
| May-06 | 2.95 | 4.62 |
| Jun-06 | 3.05 | 4.63 |
| Jul-06 | 2.90 | 4.74 |
| Aug-06 | 3.10 | 4.67 |
| Sep-06 | 3.12 | 4.51 |
| Oct-06 | 3.02 | 4.42 |
| Nov-06 | 3.05 | 4.51 |
| Dec-06 | 3.02 | 4.43 |
| Jan-07 | 3.11 | 4.65 |
| Feb-07 | 3.07 | 4.53 |
| Mar-07 | 3.24 | 4.40 |
| Apr-07 | 3.08 | 4.49 |
| May-07 | 3.05 | 4.43 |
| Jun-07 | 3.17 | 4.56 |
| Jul-07 | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| Aug-07 | 2.98 | 4.63 |
| Sep-07 | 3.03 | 4.67 |
| Oct-07 | 3.03 | 4.72 |
| Nov-07 | 3.02 | 4.71 |
| Dec-07 | 2.95 | 4.97 |
| Jan-08 | 3.00 | 4.99 |
| Feb-08 | 2.78 | 4.88 |
| Mar-08 | 2.75 | 5.08 |
| Apr-08 | 2.62 | 4.97 |
| May-08 | 2.72 | 5.44 |
| Jun-08 | 2.48 | 5.56 |
| Jul-08 | 2.43 | 5.79 |
| Aug-08 | 2.38 | 6.10 |
| Sep-08 | 2.08 | 6.14 |
| Oct-08 | 2.18 | 6.50 |
| Nov-08 | 2.09 | 6.81 |
| Dec-08 | 2.03 | 7.30 |
| Jan-09 | 1.78 | 7.82 |
| Feb-09 | 1.85 | 8.35 |
| Mar-09 | 1.64 | 8.71 |
| Apr-09 | 1.49 | 8.97 |
| May-09 | 1.65 | 9.37 |
| Jun-09 | 1.62 | 9.51 |
| Jul-09 | 1.44 | 9.45 |
| Aug-09 | 1.52 | 9.60 |
| Sep-09 | 1.62 | 9.76 |
| Oct-09 | 1.56 | 9.98 |
| Nov-09 | 1.63 | 9.89 |
| Dec-09 | 1.68 | 9.86 |
| Jan-10 | 1.85 | 9.80 |
| Feb-10 | 1.73 | 9.83 |
| Mar-10 | 1.74 | 9.87 |
| Apr-10 | 2.04 | 9.91 |
| May-10 | 1.94 | 9.64 |
| Jun-10 | 1.82 | 9.42 |
| Jul-10 | 2.01 | 9.44 |
| Aug-10 | 1.95 | 9.51 |
| Sep-10 | 1.90 | 9.47 |
| Oct-10 | 2.11 | 9.45 |
| Nov-10 | 2.08 | 9.78 |
| Dec-10 | 1.99 | 9.34 |
| Jan-11 | 2.03 | 9.14 |
| Feb-11 | 2.11 | 9.02 |
| Mar-11 | 2.13 | 8.96 |
| Apr-11 | 2.12 | 9.09 |
| May-11 | 2.07 | 9.03 |
| Jun-11 | 2.25 | 9.10 |
| Jul-11 | 2.36 | 8.98 |
| Aug-11 | 2.17 | 8.99 |
| Sep-11 | 2.45 | 9.05 |
| Oct-11 | 2.35 | 8.83 |
| Nov-11 | 2.31 | 8.63 |
| Dec-11 | 2.45 | 8.50 |
| Jan-12 | 2.53 | 8.29 |
| Feb-12 | 2.34 | 8.28 |
| Mar-12 | 2.57 | 8.22 |
| Apr-12 | 2.45 | 8.18 |
| May-12 | 2.48 | 8.17 |
| Jun-12 | 2.52 | 8.18 |
| Jul-12 | 2.41 | 8.17 |
| Aug-12 | 2.46 | 8.06 |
| Sep-12 | 2.50 | 7.81 |
| Oct-12 | 2.43 | 7.79 |
| Nov-12 | 2.50 | 7.73 |
| Dec-12 | 2.55 | 7.90 |
| Jan-13 | 2.52 | 8.01 |
| Feb-13 | 2.58 | 7.69 |
| Mar-13 | 2.63 | 7.54 |
| Apr-13 | 2.57 | 7.57 |
| May-13 | 2.66 | 7.49 |
| Jun-13 | 2.66 | 7.54 |
| Jul-13 | 2.50 | 7.28 |
| Aug-13 | 2.63 | 7.25 |
| Sep-13 | 2.65 | 7.24 |
| Oct-13 | 2.73 | 7.20 |
| Nov-13 | 2.65 | 6.95 |
| Dec-13 | 2.66 | 6.70 |
| Jan-14 | 2.66 | 6.57 |
| Feb-14 | 2.81 | 6.66 |
| Mar-14 | 2.81 | 6.65 |
| Apr-14 | 2.94 | 6.24 |
| May-14 | 3.05 | 6.33 |
| Jun-14 | 3.20 | 6.08 |
| Jul-14 | 3.11 | 6.16 |
| Aug-14 | 3.43 | 6.15 |
| Sep-14 | 3.15 | 5.94 |
| Oct-14 | 3.20 | 5.75 |
| Nov-14 | 3.09 | 5.81 |
| Dec-14 | 3.28 | 5.58 |
| Jan-15 | 3.40 | 5.66 |
| Feb-15 | 3.49 | 5.49 |
| Mar-15 | 3.33 | 5.44 |
| Apr-15 | 3.56 | 5.44 |
| May-15 | 3.53 | 5.60 |
| Jun-15 | 3.34 | 5.25 |
| Jul-15 | 3.86 | 5.20 |
| Aug-15 | 3.48 | 5.08 |
| Sep-15 | 3.50 | 5.04 |
| Oct-15 | 3.67 | 5.04 |
| Nov-15 | 3.62 | 5.08 |
| Dec-15 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Jan-16 | 3.80 | 4.82 |
| Feb-16 | 3.64 | 4.86 |
| Mar-16 | 3.85 | 5.00 |
| Apr-16 | 3.65 | 5.07 |
| May-16 | 3.64 | 4.82 |
| Jun-16 | 3.61 | 4.87 |
| Jul-16 | 3.75 | 4.80 |
| Aug-16 | 3.56 | 4.88 |
| Sep-16 | 3.67 | 4.98 |
| Oct-16 | 3.50 | 4.89 |
| Nov-16 | 3.74 | 4.74 |
| Dec-16 | 3.74 | 4.71 |
| Jan-17 | 3.52 | 4.68 |
| Feb-17 | 3.71 | 4.62 |
| Mar-17 | 3.63 | 4.42 |
| Apr-17 | 3.80 | 4.42 |
| May-17 | 3.64 | 4.37 |
| Jun-17 | 3.94 | 4.29 |
| Jul-17 | 3.89 | 4.30 |
| Aug-17 | 3.91 | 4.41 |
| Sep-17 | 3.92 | 4.25 |
| Oct-17 | 4.00 | 4.18 |
| Nov-17 | 3.91 | 4.22 |
| Dec-17 | 3.95 | 4.13 |
| Jan-18 | 4.09 | 4.04 |
| Feb-18 | 4.06 | 4.07 |
| Mar-18 | 4.21 | 3.99 |
| Apr-18 | 4.27 | 3.98 |
| May-18 | 4.32 | 3.82 |
| Jun-18 | 4.46 | 3.97 |
| Jul-18 | 4.43 | 3.80 |
| Aug-18 | 4.46 | 3.81 |
| Sep-18 | 4.53 | 3.74 |
| Oct-18 | 4.53 | 3.83 |
| Nov-18 | 4.64 | 3.77 |
| Dec-18 | 4.56 | 3.91 |
| Jan-19 | 4.58 | 3.96 |
| Feb-19 | 4.33 | 3.75 |
| Mar-19 | 4.49 | 3.78 |
| Apr-19 | 4.44 | 3.63 |
| May-19 | 4.48 | 3.65 |
| Jun-19 | 4.38 | 3.62 |
| Jul-19 | 4.33 | 3.66 |
| Aug-19 | 4.36 | 3.66 |
| Sep-19 | 4.33 | 3.52 |
| Oct-19 | 4.51 | 3.64 |
| Nov-19 | 4.19 | 3.61 |
| Dec-19 | 4.09 | 3.56 |
| Jan-20 | 4.35 | 3.54 |
| Feb-20 | 4.26 | 3.47 |
| Mar-20 | 3.64 | 4.40 |
| Apr-20 | 3.01 | 14.73 |
| May-20 | 3.44 | 13.24 |
| Jun-20 | 3.78 | 11.02 |
| Jul-20 | 4.14 | 10.18 |
| Aug-20 | 3.93 | 8.42 |
| Sep-20 | 4.05 | 7.86 |
| Oct-20 | 4.27 | 6.91 |
| Nov-20 | 4.26 | 6.71 |
| Dec-20 | 4.32 | 6.71 |
| Jan-21 | 4.51 | 6.36 |
| Feb-21 | 4.90 | 6.23 |
| Mar-21 | 5.28 | 6.03 |
| Apr-21 | 5.76 | 6.04 |
| May-21 | 5.99 | 5.75 |
| Jun-21 | 6.11 | 5.90 |
| Jul-21 | 6.68 | 5.37 |
| Aug-21 | 6.58 | 5.16 |
| Sep-21 | 6.61 | 4.75 |
| Oct-21 | 6.86 | 4.56 |
| Nov-21 | 6.74 | 4.20 |
| Dec-21 | 7.05 | 3.89 |
| Jan-22 | 6.89 | 3.98 |
| Feb-22 | 6.92 | 3.82 |
| Mar-22 | 7.02 | 3.62 |
| Apr-22 | N/A | 3.62 |
Note: Observations are from December 2000 to March 2022.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Figure 6: Determinants of Unemployment
This slide contains an equation, (1), showing that in steady state (that is when the unemployment rate is unchanged), flows into unemployment equal flows out of unemployment. Since the labor force has been normalized to equal 1, flows into unemployment equal 1 minus unemployment (which is the same as employment) times the separations rate, $$s$$. Flows out of unemployment equal unemployment times the job finding rate, $$f$$. This slide also contains an equation, (2), that solves equation (1) for unemployment. It states that unemployment (in steady state) equals the ratio of the separations rate to the separations rate plus the job finding rate.
Note: $$U$$ =unemployment rate; $$s$$ =separations rate; $$f$$=job finding rate.
Figure 7: Effect of Vacancies on Unemployment
The first equation on this slide, (3), shows that hires, $$H$$, are a function of both the number of job vacancies and the number of unemployed. It also shows that if the hires, or matching, function takes a Cobb-Douglas form, hires will equal vacancies to the power sigma times unemployment to the power 1 minus sigma times a matching efficiency parameter, mu. The next equation, (4), results from dividing equation (3) by unemployment. It shows that the job finding rate (which equals hires divided by unemployment) equals mu times the ratio of vacancies to unemployment to the power sigma. The final equation on the slide, (5), substitutes the job finding rate from equation (4) into the equation for the steady state unemployment rate, equation (2). The resulting equation states that the steady state unemployment rate equals the ratio of the separations rate to the separations rate plus mu times the ratio of vacancies to unemployment to the power sigma.
Note: $$H$$=hires; $$V$$=vacancies; $$\mu$$=matching efficiency; $${\sigma}$$=matching parameter.
Figure 8: Beveridge Curves and Recoveries
Rates
| Unemployment rate when: | Vacancy rate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| s=1 | s=1.5 | s=2 | s=2.5 | |
| 5.95 | 9.97 | 14.07 | 18.08 | 1.00 |
| 5.53 | 9.32 | 13.20 | 17.03 | 1.20 |
| 5.21 | 8.79 | 12.50 | 16.17 | 1.40 |
| 4.94 | 8.36 | 11.92 | 15.46 | 1.60 |
| 4.71 | 7.99 | 11.42 | 14.85 | 1.80 |
| 4.52 | 7.68 | 10.99 | 14.32 | 2.00 |
| 4.35 | 7.40 | 10.62 | 13.85 | 2.20 |
| 4.20 | 7.16 | 10.28 | 13.44 | 2.40 |
| 4.06 | 6.94 | 9.98 | 13.07 | 2.60 |
| 3.94 | 6.74 | 9.71 | 12.73 | 2.80 |
| 3.83 | 6.57 | 9.47 | 12.42 | 3.00 |
| 3.73 | 6.40 | 9.24 | 12.14 | 3.20 |
| 3.64 | 6.25 | 9.03 | 11.88 | 3.40 |
| 3.56 | 6.11 | 8.84 | 11.63 | 3.60 |
| 3.48 | 5.99 | 8.66 | 11.41 | 3.80 |
| 3.41 | 5.87 | 8.50 | 11.20 | 4.00 |
| 3.34 | 5.75 | 8.34 | 11.00 | 4.20 |
| 3.28 | 5.65 | 8.20 | 10.82 | 4.40 |
| 3.22 | 5.55 | 8.06 | 10.64 | 4.60 |
| 3.17 | 5.46 | 7.93 | 10.48 | 4.80 |
| 3.11 | 5.37 | 7.81 | 10.32 | 5.00 |
| 3.06 | 5.29 | 7.69 | 10.17 | 5.20 |
| 3.02 | 5.21 | 7.58 | 10.03 | 5.40 |
| 2.97 | 5.14 | 7.47 | 9.90 | 5.60 |
| 2.93 | 5.06 | 7.37 | 9.77 | 5.80 |
| 2.89 | 5.00 | 7.28 | 9.65 | 6.00 |
| 2.85 | 4.93 | 7.19 | 9.53 | 6.20 |
| 2.81 | 4.87 | 7.10 | 9.42 | 6.40 |
| 2.78 | 4.81 | 7.01 | 9.31 | 6.60 |
| 2.74 | 4.75 | 6.93 | 9.21 | 6.80 |
| 2.71 | 4.70 | 6.86 | 9.11 | 7.00 |
| 2.68 | 4.64 | 6.78 | 9.01 | 7.20 |
| 2.65 | 4.59 | 6.71 | 8.92 | 7.40 |
| 2.62 | 4.55 | 6.64 | 8.83 | 7.60 |
| 2.59 | 4.50 | 6.57 | 8.74 | 7.80 |
| 2.57 | 4.45 | 6.51 | 8.66 | 8.00 |
Source: Author's calculations.
Figure 9: Beveridge Curves and Recoveries Rates
Rates
| Unemployment rate when: | Fitted | Vacancy rate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| s=1 | s=1.5 | s=2 | s=2.5 | ||
| 5.95 | 9.97 | 14.07 | 18.08 | 20.84 | 1.00 |
| 5.53 | 9.32 | 13.20 | 17.03 | 16.59 | 1.20 |
| 5.21 | 8.79 | 12.50 | 16.17 | 13.68 | 1.40 |
| 4.94 | 8.36 | 11.92 | 15.46 | 11.57 | 1.60 |
| 4.71 | 7.99 | 11.42 | 14.85 | 9.98 | 1.80 |
| 4.52 | 7.68 | 10.99 | 14.32 | 8.75 | 2.00 |
| 4.35 | 7.40 | 10.62 | 13.85 | 7.77 | 2.20 |
| 4.20 | 7.16 | 10.28 | 13.44 | 6.96 | 2.40 |
| 4.06 | 6.94 | 9.98 | 13.07 | 6.30 | 2.60 |
| 3.94 | 6.74 | 9.71 | 12.73 | 5.74 | 2.80 |
| 3.83 | 6.57 | 9.47 | 12.42 | 5.27 | 3.00 |
| 3.73 | 6.40 | 9.24 | 12.14 | 4.86 | 3.20 |
| 3.64 | 6.25 | 9.03 | 11.88 | 4.50 | 3.40 |
| 3.56 | 6.11 | 8.84 | 11.63 | 4.19 | 3.60 |
| 3.48 | 5.99 | 8.66 | 11.41 | 3.92 | 3.80 |
| 3.41 | 5.87 | 8.50 | 11.20 | 3.67 | 4.00 |
| 3.34 | 5.75 | 8.34 | 11.00 | 3.46 | 4.20 |
| 3.28 | 5.65 | 8.20 | 10.82 | 3.26 | 4.40 |
| 3.22 | 5.55 | 8.06 | 10.64 | 3.08 | 4.60 |
| 3.17 | 5.46 | 7.93 | 10.48 | 2.92 | 4.80 |
| 3.11 | 5.37 | 7.81 | 10.32 | 2.78 | 5.00 |
| 3.06 | 5.29 | 7.69 | 10.17 | 2.65 | 5.20 |
| 3.02 | 5.21 | 7.58 | 10.03 | 2.52 | 5.40 |
| 2.97 | 5.14 | 7.47 | 9.90 | 2.41 | 5.60 |
| 2.93 | 5.06 | 7.37 | 9.77 | 2.31 | 5.80 |
| 2.89 | 5.00 | 7.28 | 9.65 | 2.21 | 6.00 |
| 2.85 | 4.93 | 7.19 | 9.53 | 2.12 | 6.20 |
| 2.81 | 4.87 | 7.10 | 9.42 | 2.04 | 6.40 |
| 2.78 | 4.81 | 7.01 | 9.31 | 1.96 | 6.60 |
| 2.74 | 4.75 | 6.93 | 9.21 | 1.89 | 6.80 |
| 2.71 | 4.70 | 6.86 | 9.11 | 1.82 | 7.00 |
| 2.68 | 4.64 | 6.78 | 9.01 | 1.76 | 7.20 |
| 2.65 | 4.59 | 6.71 | 8.92 | 1.70 | 7.40 |
| 2.62 | 4.55 | 6.64 | 8.83 | 1.65 | 7.60 |
| 2.59 | 4.50 | 6.57 | 8.74 | 1.59 | 7.80 |
| 2.57 | 4.45 | 6.51 | 8.66 | 1.54 | 8.00 |
Source: Author's calculations.
Figure 10: Beveridge Curve and Future Unemployment
Rates
| Unemployment rate | Vacancy rate | A (Mar. 2022) | B | Jan. 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.77 | 1.00 | |||
| 7.25 | 1.20 | |||
| 6.83 | 1.40 | |||
| 6.48 | 1.60 | |||
| 6.19 | 1.80 | |||
| 5.94 | 2.00 | |||
| 5.72 | 2.20 | |||
| 5.53 | 2.40 | |||
| 5.36 | 2.60 | |||
| 5.20 | 2.80 | |||
| 5.06 | 3.00 | |||
| 4.93 | 3.20 | |||
| 4.81 | 3.40 | |||
| 4.70 | 3.60 | |||
| 4.60 | 3.80 | |||
| 4.51 | 4.00 | |||
| 4.42 | 4.20 | |||
| 4.34 | 4.40 | |||
| 4.26 | 4.60 | 4.25 | 4.00 | |
| 4.19 | 4.80 | |||
| 4.12 | 5.00 | |||
| 4.06 | 5.20 | |||
| 4.00 | 5.40 | |||
| 3.94 | 5.60 | |||
| 3.88 | 5.80 | |||
| 3.83 | 6.00 | |||
| 3.78 | 6.20 | |||
| 3.73 | 6.40 | |||
| 3.68 | 6.60 | |||
| 3.64 | 6.80 | |||
| 3.60 | 7.00 | 3.60 | ||
| 3.56 | 7.20 | |||
| 3.52 | 7.40 | |||
| 3.48 | 7.60 | |||
| 3.44 | 7.80 | |||
| 3.41 | 8.00 |
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Author's calculations.
Figure 11: Vacancies and Layoffs
Rates
| Date | Vacancy rate | Layoff rate |
|---|---|---|
| Dec-00 | 3.55 | 1.50 |
| Jan-01 | 3.64 | 1.70 |
| Feb-01 | 3.55 | 1.40 |
| Mar-01 | 3.31 | 1.60 |
| Apr-01 | 3.21 | 1.40 |
| May-01 | 3.09 | 1.50 |
| Jun-01 | 3.04 | 1.50 |
| Jul-01 | 3.10 | 1.50 |
| Aug-01 | 2.81 | 1.50 |
| Sep-01 | 2.83 | 1.60 |
| Oct-01 | 2.57 | 1.80 |
| Nov-01 | 2.62 | 1.70 |
| Dec-01 | 2.55 | 1.50 |
| Jan-02 | 2.57 | 1.50 |
| Feb-02 | 2.38 | 1.50 |
| Mar-02 | 2.50 | 1.40 |
| Apr-02 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| May-02 | 2.39 | 1.50 |
| Jun-02 | 2.36 | 1.50 |
| Jul-02 | 2.33 | 1.60 |
| Aug-02 | 2.43 | 1.50 |
| Sep-02 | 2.27 | 1.50 |
| Oct-02 | 2.39 | 1.50 |
| Nov-02 | 2.42 | 1.50 |
| Dec-02 | 2.18 | 1.50 |
| Jan-03 | 2.36 | 1.60 |
| Feb-03 | 2.21 | 1.50 |
| Mar-03 | 2.12 | 1.50 |
| Apr-03 | 2.12 | 1.50 |
| May-03 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
| Jun-03 | 2.31 | 1.60 |
| Jul-03 | 2.04 | 1.60 |
| Aug-03 | 2.18 | 1.70 |
| Sep-03 | 2.11 | 1.50 |
| Oct-03 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Nov-03 | 2.26 | 1.50 |
| Dec-03 | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| Jan-04 | 2.33 | 1.60 |
| Feb-04 | 2.41 | 1.50 |
| Mar-04 | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Apr-04 | 2.39 | 1.50 |
| May-04 | 2.52 | 1.50 |
| Jun-04 | 2.26 | 1.40 |
| Jul-04 | 2.58 | 1.40 |
| Aug-04 | 2.40 | 1.50 |
| Sep-04 | 2.59 | 1.50 |
| Oct-04 | 2.67 | 1.40 |
| Nov-04 | 2.34 | 1.50 |
| Dec-04 | 2.75 | 1.50 |
| Jan-05 | 2.57 | 1.50 |
| Feb-05 | 2.67 | 1.60 |
| Mar-05 | 2.73 | 1.60 |
| Apr-05 | 2.79 | 1.50 |
| May-05 | 2.54 | 1.50 |
| Jun-05 | 2.72 | 1.50 |
| Jul-05 | 2.85 | 1.40 |
| Aug-05 | 2.77 | 1.40 |
| Sep-05 | 2.90 | 1.50 |
| Oct-05 | 2.79 | 1.40 |
| Nov-05 | 2.83 | 1.30 |
| Dec-05 | 2.85 | 1.40 |
| Jan-06 | 2.93 | 1.30 |
| Feb-06 | 2.87 | 1.40 |
| Mar-06 | 3.14 | 1.40 |
| Apr-06 | 3.17 | 1.40 |
| May-06 | 2.95 | 1.50 |
| Jun-06 | 3.05 | 1.30 |
| Jul-06 | 2.90 | 1.40 |
| Aug-06 | 3.10 | 1.30 |
| Sep-06 | 3.12 | 1.30 |
| Oct-06 | 3.02 | 1.40 |
| Nov-06 | 3.05 | 1.40 |
| Dec-06 | 3.02 | 1.30 |
| Jan-07 | 3.11 | 1.40 |
| Feb-07 | 3.07 | 1.30 |
| Mar-07 | 3.24 | 1.40 |
| Apr-07 | 3.08 | 1.50 |
| May-07 | 3.05 | 1.40 |
| Jun-07 | 3.17 | 1.30 |
| Jul-07 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Aug-07 | 2.98 | 1.50 |
| Sep-07 | 3.03 | 1.60 |
| Oct-07 | 3.03 | 1.40 |
| Nov-07 | 3.02 | 1.40 |
| Dec-07 | 2.95 | 1.40 |
| Jan-08 | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Feb-08 | 2.78 | 1.40 |
| Mar-08 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| Apr-08 | 2.62 | 1.40 |
| May-08 | 2.72 | 1.40 |
| Jun-08 | 2.48 | 1.60 |
| Jul-08 | 2.43 | 1.50 |
| Aug-08 | 2.38 | 1.60 |
| Sep-08 | 2.08 | 1.50 |
| Oct-08 | 2.18 | 1.70 |
| Nov-08 | 2.09 | 1.70 |
| Dec-08 | 2.03 | 1.80 |
| Jan-09 | 1.78 | 1.90 |
| Feb-09 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
| Mar-09 | 1.64 | 1.90 |
| Apr-09 | 1.49 | 2.00 |
| May-09 | 1.65 | 1.70 |
| Jun-09 | 1.62 | 1.70 |
| Jul-09 | 1.44 | 1.70 |
| Aug-09 | 1.52 | 1.60 |
| Sep-09 | 1.62 | 1.70 |
| Oct-09 | 1.56 | 1.60 |
| Nov-09 | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Dec-09 | 1.68 | 1.60 |
| Jan-10 | 1.85 | 1.40 |
| Feb-10 | 1.73 | 1.40 |
| Mar-10 | 1.74 | 1.50 |
| Apr-10 | 2.04 | 1.30 |
| May-10 | 1.94 | 1.30 |
| Jun-10 | 1.82 | 1.60 |
| Jul-10 | 2.01 | 1.70 |
| Aug-10 | 1.95 | 1.40 |
| Sep-10 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Oct-10 | 2.11 | 1.30 |
| Nov-10 | 2.08 | 1.40 |
| Dec-10 | 1.99 | 1.40 |
| Jan-11 | 2.03 | 1.40 |
| Feb-11 | 2.11 | 1.30 |
| Mar-11 | 2.13 | 1.40 |
| Apr-11 | 2.12 | 1.40 |
| May-11 | 2.07 | 1.40 |
| Jun-11 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Jul-11 | 2.36 | 1.40 |
| Aug-11 | 2.17 | 1.40 |
| Sep-11 | 2.45 | 1.40 |
| Oct-11 | 2.35 | 1.40 |
| Nov-11 | 2.31 | 1.40 |
| Dec-11 | 2.45 | 1.40 |
| Jan-12 | 2.53 | 1.30 |
| Feb-12 | 2.34 | 1.40 |
| Mar-12 | 2.57 | 1.30 |
| Apr-12 | 2.45 | 1.40 |
| May-12 | 2.48 | 1.50 |
| Jun-12 | 2.52 | 1.40 |
| Jul-12 | 2.41 | 1.30 |
| Aug-12 | 2.46 | 1.40 |
| Sep-12 | 2.50 | 1.30 |
| Oct-12 | 2.43 | 1.40 |
| Nov-12 | 2.50 | 1.40 |
| Dec-12 | 2.55 | 1.30 |
| Jan-13 | 2.52 | 1.20 |
| Feb-13 | 2.58 | 1.20 |
| Mar-13 | 2.63 | 1.30 |
| Apr-13 | 2.57 | 1.30 |
| May-13 | 2.66 | 1.30 |
| Jun-13 | 2.66 | 1.30 |
| Jul-13 | 2.50 | 1.30 |
| Aug-13 | 2.63 | 1.30 |
| Sep-13 | 2.65 | 1.40 |
| Oct-13 | 2.73 | 1.20 |
| Nov-13 | 2.65 | 1.20 |
| Dec-13 | 2.66 | 1.30 |
| Jan-14 | 2.66 | 1.30 |
| Feb-14 | 2.81 | 1.30 |
| Mar-14 | 2.81 | 1.20 |
| Apr-14 | 2.94 | 1.30 |
| May-14 | 3.05 | 1.20 |
| Jun-14 | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| Jul-14 | 3.11 | 1.30 |
| Aug-14 | 3.43 | 1.20 |
| Sep-14 | 3.15 | 1.20 |
| Oct-14 | 3.20 | 1.30 |
| Nov-14 | 3.09 | 1.20 |
| Dec-14 | 3.28 | 1.30 |
| Jan-15 | 3.40 | 1.30 |
| Feb-15 | 3.49 | 1.20 |
| Mar-15 | 3.33 | 1.40 |
| Apr-15 | 3.56 | 1.30 |
| May-15 | 3.53 | 1.20 |
| Jun-15 | 3.34 | 1.30 |
| Jul-15 | 3.86 | 1.20 |
| Aug-15 | 3.48 | 1.20 |
| Sep-15 | 3.50 | 1.40 |
| Oct-15 | 3.67 | 1.30 |
| Nov-15 | 3.62 | 1.20 |
| Dec-15 | 3.70 | 1.30 |
| Jan-16 | 3.80 | 1.30 |
| Feb-16 | 3.64 | 1.30 |
| Mar-16 | 3.85 | 1.30 |
| Apr-16 | 3.65 | 1.20 |
| May-16 | 3.64 | 1.30 |
| Jun-16 | 3.61 | 1.20 |
| Jul-16 | 3.75 | 1.20 |
| Aug-16 | 3.56 | 1.30 |
| Sep-16 | 3.67 | 1.10 |
| Oct-16 | 3.50 | 1.10 |
| Nov-16 | 3.74 | 1.20 |
| Dec-16 | 3.74 | 1.20 |
| Jan-17 | 3.52 | 1.20 |
| Feb-17 | 3.71 | 1.20 |
| Mar-17 | 3.63 | 1.20 |
| Apr-17 | 3.80 | 1.20 |
| May-17 | 3.64 | 1.20 |
| Jun-17 | 3.94 | 1.30 |
| Jul-17 | 3.89 | 1.30 |
| Aug-17 | 3.91 | 1.30 |
| Sep-17 | 3.92 | 1.20 |
| Oct-17 | 4.00 | 1.20 |
| Nov-17 | 3.91 | 1.20 |
| Dec-17 | 3.95 | 1.20 |
| Jan-18 | 4.09 | 1.30 |
| Feb-18 | 4.06 | 1.20 |
| Mar-18 | 4.21 | 1.20 |
| Apr-18 | 4.27 | 1.20 |
| May-18 | 4.32 | 1.20 |
| Jun-18 | 4.46 | 1.20 |
| Jul-18 | 4.43 | 1.20 |
| Aug-18 | 4.46 | 1.20 |
| Sep-18 | 4.53 | 1.20 |
| Oct-18 | 4.53 | 1.20 |
| Nov-18 | 4.64 | 1.30 |
| Dec-18 | 4.56 | 1.20 |
| Jan-19 | 4.58 | 1.20 |
| Feb-19 | 4.33 | 1.20 |
| Mar-19 | 4.49 | 1.10 |
| Apr-19 | 4.44 | 1.30 |
| May-19 | 4.48 | 1.20 |
| Jun-19 | 4.38 | 1.20 |
| Jul-19 | 4.33 | 1.20 |
| Aug-19 | 4.36 | 1.20 |
| Sep-19 | 4.33 | 1.30 |
| Oct-19 | 4.51 | 1.20 |
| Nov-19 | 4.19 | 1.20 |
| Dec-19 | 4.09 | 1.30 |
| Jan-20 | 4.35 | 1.20 |
| Feb-20 | 4.26 | 1.30 |
| Mar-20 | 3.64 | 8.60 |
| Apr-20 | 3.01 | 7.00 |
| May-20 | 3.44 | 1.60 |
| Jun-20 | 3.78 | 1.70 |
| Jul-20 | 4.14 | 1.30 |
| Aug-20 | 3.93 | 1.10 |
| Sep-20 | 4.05 | 1.10 |
| Oct-20 | 4.27 | 1.20 |
| Nov-20 | 4.26 | 1.50 |
| Dec-20 | 4.32 | 1.40 |
| Jan-21 | 4.51 | 1.10 |
| Feb-21 | 4.90 | 1.10 |
| Mar-21 | 5.28 | 1.00 |
| Apr-21 | 5.76 | 1.00 |
| May-21 | 5.99 | 0.90 |
| Jun-21 | 6.11 | 0.90 |
| Jul-21 | 6.68 | 1.00 |
| Aug-21 | 6.58 | 1.00 |
| Sep-21 | 6.61 | 1.00 |
| Oct-21 | 6.86 | 0.90 |
| Nov-21 | 6.74 | 0.90 |
| Dec-21 | 7.05 | 0.80 |
| Jan-22 | 6.89 | 0.90 |
| Feb-22 | 6.92 | 0.90 |
| Mar-22 | 7.02 | 0.90 |
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey.