Rising Markups and Declining Business Dynamism: Evidence From the Industry Cross Section, Accessible Data

Figure 1. Markups and business dynamism, 1980-2016
Year Sales-weighted markup Cost-weighted markup Entry employment rate Excess job reallocation
1980 0.98 0.99 0.90 1.01
1981 0.98 0.98 0.96 1.00
1982 1.00 1.00 0.92 1.04
1983 1.02 1.01 1.06 1.09
1984 1.02 1.02 1.16 0.86
1985 1.03 1.03 1.12 0.99
1986 1.07 1.05 1.09 1.02
1987 1.08 1.05 1.21 1.16
1988 1.11 1.08 1.06 1.06
1989 1.11 1.08 1.01 0.98
1990 1.12 1.08 0.95 0.95
1991 1.12 1.07 0.83 1.00
1992 1.13 1.08 0.83 1.06
1993 1.12 1.08 0.84 0.95
1994 1.11 1.07 0.86 0.91
1995 1.12 1.08 0.87 0.85
1996 1.13 1.08 0.86 0.93
1997 1.14 1.09 0.84 1.01
1998 1.17 1.10 0.80 0.91
1999 1.19 1.11 0.69 0.95
2000 1.19 1.10 0.69 0.90
2001 1.15 1.07 0.66 1.02
2002 1.17 1.07 0.81 1.08
2003 1.19 1.08 0.70 1.01
2004 1.18 1.07 0.75 0.92
2005 1.18 1.07 0.78 0.91
2006 1.18 1.07 0.76 0.85
2007 1.18 1.07 0.68 0.99
2008 1.16 1.04 0.64 0.94
2009 1.19 1.07 0.57 0.76
2010 1.20 1.08 0.61 0.79
2011 1.18 1.06 0.57 0.78
2012 1.18 1.05 0.60 0.77
2013 1.19 1.06 0.56 0.76
2014 1.20 1.06 0.58 0.73
2015 1.23 1.07 0.58 0.72
2016 1.30 1.11 0.57 0.72

Note: Index is relative to 1980-1984 average by series. Entry rate is employment based.

Source: Business Dynamics Statistics; De Loecker, Eeckhout, & Unger (2020); and Compustat.

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Figure 2. Change in entry rates and markups, broad sectors
sectorname Entry emp rate (change, ppts) Sales-weighted markup (change) Entry emp rate (log diff) Sales-weighted markup (log diff)
Agr -1.39 0.63 -0.57 0.45
Mining -0.96 0.46 -0.68 0.37
Utilities 0.02 0.16 0.17 0.14
Construct -1.38 0.06 -0.66 0.05
Manuf -0.22 0.33 -0.43 0.24
Wholesale -0.85 -0.04 -0.88 -0.03
Retail -0.93 -0.04 -0.86 -0.03
T&W -0.53 0.06 -0.52 0.05
Info -0.36 0.15 -0.48 0.08
Fin & Ins -0.55 0.07 -0.82 0.06
Real estate -1.96 -0.07 -0.76 -0.03
PST -1.56 0.28 -0.82 0.19
Admin -1.79 0.38 -1.03 0.26
Educ -0.08 0.34 -0.14 0.21
Health -1.05 -0.49 -0.94 -0.38
AER -1.50 -0.24 -0.70 -0.17
Accom & food -1.43 -0.14 -0.48 -0.11
Other Svc -1.30 -0.15 -0.70 -0.11

Note: Difference/log difference, 2012-2016 averave vs. 1980-1984 average. Entry rate is employment based.

Source: Business Dynamics Statistics; De Loecker, Eeckhout, & Unger (2020); and Compustat.

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Figure 3. Change in dynamism and markups, broad sectors
sectorname Sales-weighted markup (change) Cost-weighted markup (change) Entry emp rate (change, ppts) Reallocation (change, ppts)
Agr 0.63 0.50 -1.39 -18.37
Mining 0.46 0.27 -0.96 -8.78
Utilities 0.16 0.08 0.02 5.61
Construct 0.06 0.06 -1.38 -15.94
Manuf 0.33 0.11 -0.22 -3.17
Wholesale -0.04 -0.04 -0.85 -8.22
Retail -0.04 -0.05 -0.93 -12.39
T&W 0.06 0.04 -0.53 -7.41
Info 0.15 0.03 -0.36 -11.60
Fin & Ins 0.07 0.01 -0.55 0.89
Real estate -0.07 0.04 -1.96 -13.12
PST 0.28 -0.15 -1.56 -4.42
Admin 0.38 0.11 -1.79 -11.06
Educ 0.34 0.30 -0.08 -2.06
Health -0.49 -0.47 -1.05 -0.65
AER -0.24 -0.26 -1.50 -15.15
Accom & food -0.14 -0.14 -1.43 -15.95
Other Svc -0.15 -0.17 -1.30 -10.65

Note: Difference, 2012-2016 average vs. 1980-1984 averave. Entry rate is employment based.

Source: Business Dynamics Statistics; De Loecker, Eeckhout, & Unger (2020); and Compustat.

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Figure 4. Change in dynamism and markups, 3-digit industries
sectorname Sales-weighted markup (change) Cost-weighted markup (change) Entry emp rate (change, ppts) Reallocation (change, ppts)
211 0.7 0.4 -1.8 -6.3
212 0.4 0.3 -1.2 -6.4
213 0.2 0.2 -3.6 -11.5
221 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.6
236 0.1 0.1 -2.4 -16.3
237 0.1 0.1 -2.6 -12.9
238 0.0 0.0 -2.8 -16.2
311 0.0 0.0 -0.5 -6.3
312 0.6 0.5 2.0 -2.8
313 0.2 0.1 -0.1 0.5
314 0.1 0.1 -1.6 -5.1
315 0.9 0.7 3.1 6.0
316 0.5 0.4 1.0 -3.2
321 0.0 0.0 -1.1 -5.0
322 0.1 0.1 -0.2 -0.7
323 0.0 -0.1 -1.4 -5.2
324 0.0 0.0 -0.3 -2.5
325 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.6
326 0.1 0.1 -1.0 -6.9
327 0.1 0.1 -0.4 -0.8
331 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.2
332 0.0 0.0 -0.7 -4.5
333 0.0 0.0 -0.4 -4.7
334 0.3 0.2 -0.2 -4.3
335 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.2
336 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.1
337 0.1 0.1 -1.4 -3.1
339 1.0 0.7 -0.7 -6.4
423 0.0 0.0 -1.9 -8.2
424 -0.1 -0.1 -1.5 -8.8
425 0.4 0.5 -0.8 -1.1
441 -0.1 -0.1 -1.7 -8.9
442 0.0 0.0 -3.1 -11.3
443 -0.6 -0.6 -3.6 -16.0
444 0.1 0.1 -2.4 -15.7
445 0.0 0.0 -1.8 -12.8
446 0.0 0.0 -1.9 -7.5
447 -0.1 -0.1 -2.7 -16.0
448 0.2 0.2 -2.3 -12.2
451 0.1 0.1 -3.6 -18.1
452 0.0 0.0 -0.3 -9.3
453 -0.3 -0.2 -4.4 -15.1
454 -0.2 -0.1 0.5 -3.9
481 0.0 0.0 -0.4 2.2
483 0.2 0.2 -0.8 -16.2
484 -0.1 -0.1 -0.9 -5.6
486 0.1 0.0 -0.1 9.2
488 0.0 0.0 -1.9 -12.1
492 -0.1 -0.1 -2.4 -9.2
511 1.4 0.8 -0.9 4.1
512 -0.1 -0.1 -2.2 -20.6
515 0.3 0.3 -3.3 -0.1
517 0.0 0.2 -0.1 -25.5
518 0.5 0.2 -1.3 -4.9
519 0.7 -0.5 -0.8 4.2
522 0.9 0.4 -0.3 5.5
523 0.3 0.3 -3.7 -4.5
524 -0.1 -0.1 -1.7 -4.5
531 0.7 0.4 -3.7 -13.9
532 -0.4 -0.3 -4.3 -9.1
541 0.3 -0.2 -3.1 -4.4
561 0.5 0.2 -3.7 -11.7
562 -0.2 -0.2 -1.8 -4.2
611 0.3 0.3 -0.2 -2.1
621 -0.5 -0.5 -3.6 -3.9
622 -0.7 -0.7 -2.2 -0.2
623 -0.2 -0.2 -1.3 -3.3
624 0.0 0.0 -1.8 -10.2
711 -0.9 -0.6 -5.7 -23.3
713 -0.1 -0.2 -2.1 -11.5
721 -0.2 -0.2 -2.5 -13.3
722 -0.2 -0.2 -3.0 -16.7
811 -0.4 -0.4 -4.1 -13.6
812 -0.1 -0.2 -1.0 -7.1

Note: Change, 2012-2016 average vs. 1980-1984 average.

Source: Business Dynamics Statistics; De Loecker, Eeckhout, & Unger (2020); and Compustat.

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Last Update: March 08, 2024