Photo of Travis J. Berge

Travis J. Berge

Education

  • Ph.D., Economics, University of California - Davis, 2011
  • M.A., Economics, University of California Davis, 2007
  • B.A., Economics, University of Colorado Boulder, 2004
  • Senior Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2015 - present
  • Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2014 - 2015
  • Economist

    Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

    2011 - 2014
  • Berge, Travis, Nitish Sinha, and Michael Smolyansky (2016). "Which Market Indicators Best Forecast Recessions?" FEDS Notes 2016-08-02. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Berge, Travis J. (2015). "Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Model Averaging and Selection over the Business Cycle," Journal of Forecasting, vol. 34, no. 6, pp. 455-471.
  • Berge, Travis J. (2014). "Forecasting Disconnected Exchange Rates," Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 29, no. 5, pp. 713-735.
  • Berge, Travis J., and Guangye Cao (2014). "Global Effects of U.S. Monetary Policy: Is Unconventional Policy Different?" Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review, vol. 99, no. 1, pp. 65-91.
  • Berge, Travis J., and Oscar Jorda (2013). "A Chronology of Turning Points in Economic Activity: Spain, 1850-2011," SERIEs, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 1-34.
  • Berge, Travis J. (2012). "Has Globalization Increased the Synchronicity of International Business Cycles?" Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review, vol. 97, no. 3, pp. 5-39.
  • Berge, Travis J., and Oscar Jorda (2011). "Evaluating the Classification of Economic Activity into Recessions and Expansions," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, vol. 3, no. 2, pp. 246-277.
  • Berge, Travis, Oscar Jorda, and Alan M. Taylor (2011). "Currency Carry Trades," in Clarida, Richard H., Francesco Giavazzi eds., Chicago and London: University of Chicago Press, distributed by Chicago Distribution Center, pp. 357-387.
Referee
  • Canadian Journal of Economics
  • CESifo Economic Studies
  • Contemporary Economic Policy
  • Empirical Economics
  • International Journal of Central Banking
  • International Journal of Forecasting
  • Journal of Applied Econometrics
  • Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
  • Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis
  • Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control
  • Journal of Empirical Finance
  • Journal of Forecasting
  • Journal of International Economics
  • Journal of Macroeconomics
  • Journal of Money, Credit & Banking
  • Macroeconomic Dynamics
  • Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics
Professional Affiliation
  • American Economic Association
Last update: March 18, 2017