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TheEconomists

Photo of Michele Modugno
202-452-3152
michele.modugno@frb.gov
Education
  • Ph.D., Economics, Universite' libre de Bruxelles, 2011
  • Current Research Topics

  • Macroeconomic news and asset prices
    • Principal Economist

      Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    • 2016 - present
    • Senior Economist

      Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    • 2015 - 2016
    • Economist

      Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    • 2013 - 2015
    • Chief Economist

      Now-Casting Economics Limited

    • 2011 - 2013
    • Postdoctoral researcher

      Universite' libre de Bruxelles

    • 2011 - 2013
    • Economist

      European Central Bank

    • 2007 - 2011
  • Aikman, David, Andreas Lehnert, Nellie Liang, and Michele Modugno (2016). "Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-055. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Bragoli, Daniela, and Michele Modugno (2016). "A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?" Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-036. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
  • Altavilla, Carlo, Domenico Giannone, and Michele Modugno (2014). "The Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-52. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • D'Agostino, Antonello, Michele Modugno, and Chiara Osbat (forthcoming). "A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area," International Journal of Central Banking.
  • D'Agostino, Antonello, Michele Modugno, and Chiara Osbat (2015). "A Global Trade Model for the Euro Area," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-013. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
  • Modugno, Michele, Baris Soybilgen, and Ege Yazgan (2016). "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition," International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 32, no. 4, pp. 1369-1384.
  • Modugno, Michele, Baris Soybilgen, and Ege Yazgan (2016). "Nowcasting Turkish GDP and News Decomposition," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-044. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
  • D'Agostino, Antonello, Domenico Giannone , Michele Lenza, and Michele Modugno (2016). "Nowcasting Business Cycles: A Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," in Eric Hillebrand , Siem Jan Koopman (ed.) Dynamic Factor Models (Advances in Econometrics, Volume 35) Emerald Group Publishing Limited, pp. 569 - 594.
  • D'Agostino, Antonello, Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza, and Michele Modugno (2015). "Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-066. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
  • Coroneo, Laura, Domenico Giannone, and Michele Modugno (2016). "Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yield Curve," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, vol. 34, no. 3, pp. 472-485.
  • Coroneo, Laura, Domenico Giannone, and Michele Modugno (2014). "Unspanned Macroeconomic Factors in the Yield Curve," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2014-57. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Banbura, Marta, and Michele Modugno (2014). "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Factor Models on Data Sets with Arbitrary Pattern of Missing Data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, vol. 29, no. 1, pp. 133-160.
  • Banbura, Marta, and Michele Modugno (2010). "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Factor Models on Data Sets with Arbitrary Pattern of Missing Data," Working Paper Series 1189. European Central Bank.
  • Bragoli, Daniela, Luca Metelli, and Michele Modugno (2015). "The Importance of Updating: Evidence from a Brazilian Nowcasting Model," Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, vol. 2015, no. 1, pp. 5-22.
  • Bragoli, Daniela, Luca Metelli, and Michele Modugno (2014). "The Importance of Updating: Evidence from a Brazilian Nowcasting Model," Finance and economics discussion series 2014-94. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Banbura, Marta, Domenico Giannone, Michele Modugno, and Lucrezia Reichlin (2013). "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," in Elliott, Graham, Allan Timmermann eds., Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Vol. 2. North Holland: Elsevier, pp. 195-237.
  • Banbura, Marta, Domenico Giannone, Michele Modugno, and Lucrezia Reichlin (2013). "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Working Paper Series 1564. European Central Bank.
  • Modugno, Michele (2013). "Now-Casting Inflation using High Frequency Data," International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 29, no. 4, pp. 664-675.
  • Modugno, Michele (2011). "Nowcasting Inflation using High Frequency Data," Working Paper Series 1324. European Central Bank.
  • Giannone, Domenico, Jerome Henry, Magdalena Lalik, and Michele Modugno (2012). "An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area," Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 94, no. 4, pp. 1000-1013.
  • Giannone, Domenico, Jerome Henry, Magdalena Lalik, and Michele Modugno (2010). "An Area-Wide Real-Time Database for the Euro Area," Working Paper Series 1145. European Central Bank.
  • Modugno, Michele, and Kleopatra Nikolaou (2009). "The Forecasting Power of International Yield Curve Linkages," Working Paper Series 1044. European Central Bank.
  • conference

    June 2016

    IAAE2016/Milan

    Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy

  • conference

    June 2016

    ISF2016/Santander

    A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?

  • seminar

    June 2014

    Bank of England/London

    Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy

  • conference

    May 2016

    System Macro Meeting/Nashville

    Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy

  • conference

    May 2016

    System Macro Meeting/Nashville

    A Nowcasting Model for Canada: Do U.S. Variables Matter?

  • seminar

    April 2016

    Norges Bank/Oslo

    Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy

  • conference

    April 2016

    First annual ECB Macroprudential Policy and Research Conference/Frankfurt

    Financial Vulnerabilities, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Monetary Policy

  • seminar

    October 2015

    University of Padova

    Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models

  • seminar

    October 2015

    University College of London

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • seminar

    October 2015

    LUISS University/Rome

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • seminar

    October 2015

    Queen Mary University of London

    Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models

  • conference

    August 2015

    2015 World Congress of the Econometric Society/Montreal

    Unspanned Macroeconomic factors in the Yield Curve

  • conference

    June 2015

    ISF2015/Riverside

    Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models

  • conference

    June 2015

    ISF2015/Riverside

    Nowcasting China

  • seminar

    June 2015

    Joint Research Centre (JRC)/Ispra

    Nowcasting Business Cycles: a Bayesian Approach to Dynamic Heterogeneous Factor Models

  • seminar

    June 2015

    Banque de France/Paris

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • seminar

    June 2015

    Bank of Finland/Helsinki

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • conference

    May 2015

    8th Nordic Econometric Meeting/Helsinki

    Unspanned Macroeconomic factors in the Yield Curve

  • conference

    December 2014

    8th International Conference on Computational and Financial Econometrics/Pisa

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • seminar

    December 2014

    Bocconi University/Milan

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • conference

    May 2014

    Macroeconomics & Econometrics conference, University of Birmingham

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • seminar

    May 2014

    University of York

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • seminar

    May 2014

    Universite' libre de Bruxelles

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

  • conference

    April 2014

    22nd Symposium of the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics/New York

    Low Frequency Effects of Macroeconomic News on Government Bond Yields

Conference Organization

  • 1 September 2014 Istanbul

    Advances in Applied Macro-Finance and Forecasting

    Organizer

Referee

  • American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
  • Economic Journal
  • Economic Letters
  • Economic Modelling
  • Empirical Economics
  • International Journal of Forecasting
  • Journal of Applied Econometrics
  • Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
  • Journal of Forecasting
  • Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
  • Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
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Last update: October 17, 2016