Financial Stability Report
Accessible Version
Overview of financial system vulnerabilities
Asset valuations
- Equity price-to-earnings ratios moved to the upper end of their historical distributions.
- Corporate bond spreads fell to levels that are low relative to their historical averages.
- Prices of residential real estate remained high relative to fundamentals.
- Prices of commercial real estate declined amid deteriorating fundamentals.
Borrowing by businesses and households
- The ratio of total private debt to gross domestic product (GDP) declined further, approaching its historical average.
- The business debt-to-GDP ratio remained high, but business debt continued to decline in real terms amid subdued risky debt issuance. Firms' ability to service their debt remained robust.
- Household debt was at modest levels relative to GDP and concentrated among prime-rated borrowers.
Leverage in the financial sector
- The banking system remained sound and resilient, with risk-based capital ratios well above regulatory requirements.
- Nonetheless, some banks continued to face sizable fair value losses on some fixed-rate assets held on their balance sheets.
- Leverage increased from already elevated levels at the largest hedge funds.
- Broker-dealer leverage remained near historically low levels.
Funding risks
- Most domestic banks maintained high levels of liquid assets and stable funding.
- However, concerns over uninsured deposits and other factors continued to generate funding pressures for a subset of banks.
- Structural vulnerabilities persisted at money market funds, some other mutual funds, and stablecoins.
- Life insurers continued to hold a high share of illiquid and risky assets.
Survey of salient risks to the financial system
Survey respondents cited several emerging and existing events or conditions as presenting risks to the U.S. financial system and the broader global economy. For more information, see the box Survey of Salient Risks to Financial Stability.
Persistent inflation; monetary tightening | Policy uncertainty | Commercial and residential real estate | Banking-sector stress | Fiscal debt sustainability | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
April 2024 | 72% of contacts surveyed | 60% of contacts surveyed | 56% of contacts surveyed | 44% of contacts surveyed | 40% of contacts surveyed |
October 2023 | 72% of contacts surveyed | 24% of contacts surveyed | 72% of contacts surveyed | 56% of contacts surveyed | 44% of contacts surveyed |
Figure 1.1. Nominal Treasury yields remained close to the highest levels in the past 15 years
Percent, annual rate
Date | 2-year | 10-year |
---|---|---|
1997-01-01 | 6.01 | 6.58 |
1997-02-01 | 5.9 | 6.42 |
1997-03-01 | 6.22 | 6.69 |
1997-04-01 | 6.45 | 6.89 |
1997-05-01 | 6.28 | 6.71 |
1997-06-01 | 6.09 | 6.49 |
1997-07-01 | 5.89 | 6.22 |
1997-08-01 | 5.94 | 6.3 |
1997-09-01 | 5.88 | 6.21 |
1997-10-01 | 5.77 | 6.03 |
1997-11-01 | 5.71 | 5.88 |
1997-12-01 | 5.72 | 5.81 |
1998-01-01 | 5.36 | 5.54 |
1998-02-01 | 5.42 | 5.57 |
1998-03-01 | 5.56 | 5.65 |
1998-04-01 | 5.56 | 5.64 |
1998-05-01 | 5.59 | 5.65 |
1998-06-01 | 5.52 | 5.5 |
1998-07-01 | 5.46 | 5.46 |
1998-08-01 | 5.27 | 5.34 |
1998-09-01 | 4.67 | 4.81 |
1998-10-01 | 4.09 | 4.53 |
1998-11-01 | 4.54 | 4.83 |
1998-12-01 | 4.51 | 4.65 |
1999-01-01 | 4.62 | 4.72 |
1999-02-01 | 4.88 | 5 |
1999-03-01 | 5.05 | 5.23 |
1999-04-01 | 4.98 | 5.18 |
1999-05-01 | 5.25 | 5.54 |
1999-06-01 | 5.62 | 5.9 |
1999-07-01 | 5.55 | 5.79 |
1999-08-01 | 5.68 | 5.94 |
1999-09-01 | 5.66 | 5.92 |
1999-10-01 | 5.86 | 6.11 |
1999-11-01 | 5.86 | 6.03 |
1999-12-01 | 6.1 | 6.28 |
2000-01-01 | 6.44 | 6.66 |
2000-02-01 | 6.61 | 6.52 |
2000-03-01 | 6.53 | 6.26 |
2000-04-01 | 6.4 | 5.99 |
2000-05-01 | 6.81 | 6.44 |
2000-06-01 | 6.48 | 6.1 |
2000-07-01 | 6.34 | 6.05 |
2000-08-01 | 6.23 | 5.83 |
2000-09-01 | 6.08 | 5.8 |
2000-10-01 | 5.91 | 5.74 |
2000-11-01 | 5.88 | 5.72 |
2000-12-01 | 5.35 | 5.24 |
2001-01-01 | 4.76 | 5.16 |
2001-02-01 | 4.66 | 5.1 |
2001-03-01 | 4.34 | 4.89 |
2001-04-01 | 4.23 | 5.14 |
2001-05-01 | 4.26 | 5.39 |
2001-06-01 | 4.08 | 5.28 |
2001-07-01 | 4.04 | 5.24 |
2001-08-01 | 3.76 | 4.97 |
2001-09-01 | 3.12 | 4.73 |
2001-10-01 | 2.73 | 4.57 |
2001-11-01 | 2.78 | 4.65 |
2001-12-01 | 3.11 | 5.09 |
2002-01-01 | 3.03 | 5.04 |
2002-02-01 | 3.02 | 4.91 |
2002-03-01 | 3.56 | 5.28 |
2002-04-01 | 3.42 | 5.21 |
2002-05-01 | 3.26 | 5.16 |
2002-06-01 | 2.99 | 4.93 |
2002-07-01 | 2.56 | 4.65 |
2002-08-01 | 2.13 | 4.26 |
2002-09-01 | 2 | 3.87 |
2002-10-01 | 1.91 | 3.94 |
2002-11-01 | 1.92 | 4.05 |
2002-12-01 | 1.84 | 4.03 |
2003-01-01 | 1.74 | 4.05 |
2003-02-01 | 1.63 | 3.9 |
2003-03-01 | 1.57 | 3.81 |
2003-04-01 | 1.62 | 3.96 |
2003-05-01 | 1.42 | 3.57 |
2003-06-01 | 1.23 | 3.33 |
2003-07-01 | 1.47 | 3.98 |
2003-08-01 | 1.86 | 4.45 |
2003-09-01 | 1.71 | 4.27 |
2003-10-01 | 1.75 | 4.29 |
2003-11-01 | 1.93 | 4.3 |
2003-12-01 | 1.91 | 4.27 |
2004-01-01 | 1.76 | 4.15 |
2004-02-01 | 1.74 | 4.08 |
2004-03-01 | 1.58 | 3.83 |
2004-04-01 | 2.07 | 4.35 |
2004-05-01 | 2.53 | 4.72 |
2004-06-01 | 2.76 | 4.73 |
2004-07-01 | 2.64 | 4.5 |
2004-08-01 | 2.51 | 4.28 |
2004-09-01 | 2.53 | 4.13 |
2004-10-01 | 2.58 | 4.1 |
2004-11-01 | 2.85 | 4.19 |
2004-12-01 | 3.01 | 4.23 |
2005-01-01 | 3.22 | 4.22 |
2005-02-01 | 3.38 | 4.17 |
2005-03-01 | 3.73 | 4.5 |
2005-04-01 | 3.65 | 4.34 |
2005-05-01 | 3.64 | 4.14 |
2005-06-01 | 3.64 | 4 |
2005-07-01 | 3.87 | 4.18 |
2005-08-01 | 4.04 | 4.26 |
2005-09-01 | 3.95 | 4.2 |
2005-10-01 | 4.27 | 4.46 |
2005-11-01 | 4.42 | 4.54 |
2005-12-01 | 4.4 | 4.47 |
2006-01-01 | 4.4 | 4.42 |
2006-02-01 | 4.67 | 4.57 |
2006-03-01 | 4.73 | 4.72 |
2006-04-01 | 4.89 | 4.99 |
2006-05-01 | 4.97 | 5.11 |
2006-06-01 | 5.12 | 5.11 |
2006-07-01 | 5.12 | 5.09 |
2006-08-01 | 4.9 | 4.88 |
2006-09-01 | 4.77 | 4.72 |
2006-10-01 | 4.8 | 4.73 |
2006-11-01 | 4.74 | 4.6 |
2006-12-01 | 4.67 | 4.56 |
2007-01-01 | 4.88 | 4.76 |
2007-02-01 | 4.85 | 4.72 |
2007-03-01 | 4.57 | 4.56 |
2007-04-01 | 4.67 | 4.69 |
2007-05-01 | 4.77 | 4.75 |
2007-06-01 | 4.98 | 5.1 |
2007-07-01 | 4.82 | 5 |
2007-08-01 | 4.31 | 4.67 |
2007-09-01 | 4.01 | 4.52 |
2007-10-01 | 3.97 | 4.53 |
2007-11-01 | 3.34 | 4.15 |
2007-12-01 | 3.12 | 4.1 |
2008-01-01 | 2.48 | 3.74 |
2008-02-01 | 1.97 | 3.74 |
2008-03-01 | 1.62 | 3.51 |
2008-04-01 | 2.05 | 3.68 |
2008-05-01 | 2.45 | 3.88 |
2008-06-01 | 2.77 | 4.1 |
2008-07-01 | 2.57 | 4.01 |
2008-08-01 | 2.42 | 3.89 |
2008-09-01 | 2.08 | 3.69 |
2008-10-01 | 1.61 | 3.81 |
2008-11-01 | 1.21 | 3.53 |
2008-12-01 | 0.82 | 2.42 |
2009-01-01 | 0.81 | 2.52 |
2009-02-01 | 0.98 | 2.87 |
2009-03-01 | 0.93 | 2.82 |
2009-04-01 | 0.93 | 2.93 |
2009-05-01 | 0.93 | 3.29 |
2009-06-01 | 1.18 | 3.72 |
2009-07-01 | 1.02 | 3.56 |
2009-08-01 | 1.12 | 3.59 |
2009-09-01 | 0.96 | 3.4 |
2009-10-01 | 0.95 | 3.39 |
2009-11-01 | 0.8 | 3.4 |
2009-12-01 | 0.87 | 3.59 |
2010-01-01 | 0.93 | 3.73 |
2010-02-01 | 0.86 | 3.69 |
2010-03-01 | 0.96 | 3.73 |
2010-04-01 | 1.06 | 3.85 |
2010-05-01 | 0.83 | 3.42 |
2010-06-01 | 0.72 | 3.2 |
2010-07-01 | 0.62 | 3.01 |
2010-08-01 | 0.52 | 2.7 |
2010-09-01 | 0.48 | 2.65 |
2010-10-01 | 0.38 | 2.54 |
2010-11-01 | 0.45 | 2.76 |
2010-12-01 | 0.62 | 3.29 |
2011-01-01 | 0.61 | 3.39 |
2011-02-01 | 0.77 | 3.58 |
2011-03-01 | 0.7 | 3.41 |
2011-04-01 | 0.73 | 3.46 |
2011-05-01 | 0.56 | 3.17 |
2011-06-01 | 0.41 | 3 |
2011-07-01 | 0.41 | 3 |
2011-08-01 | 0.23 | 2.3 |
2011-09-01 | 0.21 | 1.98 |
2011-10-01 | 0.28 | 2.15 |
2011-11-01 | 0.25 | 2.01 |
2011-12-01 | 0.26 | 1.98 |
2012-01-01 | 0.24 | 1.97 |
2012-02-01 | 0.28 | 1.97 |
2012-03-01 | 0.34 | 2.17 |
2012-04-01 | 0.29 | 2.05 |
2012-05-01 | 0.29 | 1.8 |
2012-06-01 | 0.29 | 1.62 |
2012-07-01 | 0.25 | 1.53 |
2012-08-01 | 0.27 | 1.68 |
2012-09-01 | 0.26 | 1.72 |
2012-10-01 | 0.28 | 1.75 |
2012-11-01 | 0.27 | 1.65 |
2012-12-01 | 0.26 | 1.72 |
2013-01-01 | 0.27 | 1.91 |
2013-02-01 | 0.27 | 1.98 |
2013-03-01 | 0.26 | 1.96 |
2013-04-01 | 0.23 | 1.76 |
2013-05-01 | 0.25 | 1.93 |
2013-06-01 | 0.33 | 2.3 |
2013-07-01 | 0.34 | 2.58 |
2013-08-01 | 0.36 | 2.74 |
2013-09-01 | 0.4 | 2.81 |
2013-10-01 | 0.34 | 2.62 |
2013-11-01 | 0.3 | 2.72 |
2013-12-01 | 0.34 | 2.9 |
2014-01-01 | 0.39 | 2.86 |
2014-02-01 | 0.33 | 2.71 |
2014-03-01 | 0.4 | 2.72 |
2014-04-01 | 0.42 | 2.71 |
2014-05-01 | 0.39 | 2.56 |
2014-06-01 | 0.45 | 2.6 |
2014-07-01 | 0.51 | 2.54 |
2014-08-01 | 0.47 | 2.42 |
2014-09-01 | 0.57 | 2.53 |
2014-10-01 | 0.45 | 2.3 |
2014-11-01 | 0.53 | 2.33 |
2014-12-01 | 0.64 | 2.21 |
2015-01-01 | 0.55 | 1.88 |
2015-02-01 | 0.62 | 1.98 |
2015-03-01 | 0.64 | 2.04 |
2015-04-01 | 0.54 | 1.94 |
2015-05-01 | 0.61 | 2.2 |
2015-06-01 | 0.69 | 2.36 |
2015-07-01 | 0.67 | 2.32 |
2015-08-01 | 0.7 | 2.17 |
2015-09-01 | 0.71 | 2.17 |
2015-10-01 | 0.64 | 2.07 |
2015-11-01 | 0.88 | 2.26 |
2015-12-01 | 0.98 | 2.24 |
2016-01-01 | 0.9 | 2.09 |
2016-02-01 | 0.73 | 1.78 |
2016-03-01 | 0.88 | 1.89 |
2016-04-01 | 0.77 | 1.81 |
2016-05-01 | 0.82 | 1.81 |
2016-06-01 | 0.73 | 1.64 |
2016-07-01 | 0.67 | 1.5 |
2016-08-01 | 0.74 | 1.56 |
2016-09-01 | 0.77 | 1.63 |
2016-10-01 | 0.84 | 1.76 |
2016-11-01 | 0.98 | 2.14 |
2016-12-01 | 1.2 | 2.49 |
2017-01-01 | 1.21 | 2.43 |
2017-02-01 | 1.2 | 2.42 |
2017-03-01 | 1.31 | 2.48 |
2017-04-01 | 1.24 | 2.3 |
2017-05-01 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
2017-06-01 | 1.34 | 2.19 |
2017-07-01 | 1.37 | 2.32 |
2017-08-01 | 1.34 | 2.21 |
2017-09-01 | 1.38 | 2.2 |
2017-10-01 | 1.55 | 2.36 |
2017-11-01 | 1.7 | 2.35 |
2017-12-01 | 1.84 | 2.4 |
2018-01-01 | 2.03 | 2.58 |
2018-02-01 | 2.18 | 2.86 |
2018-03-01 | 2.28 | 2.84 |
2018-04-01 | 2.38 | 2.87 |
2018-05-01 | 2.51 | 2.98 |
2018-06-01 | 2.53 | 2.91 |
2018-07-01 | 2.61 | 2.89 |
2018-08-01 | 2.64 | 2.89 |
2018-09-01 | 2.77 | 3 |
2018-10-01 | 2.86 | 3.15 |
2018-11-01 | 2.86 | 3.12 |
2018-12-01 | 2.68 | 2.83 |
2019-01-01 | 2.54 | 2.71 |
2019-02-01 | 2.5 | 2.68 |
2019-03-01 | 2.41 | 2.57 |
2019-04-01 | 2.34 | 2.53 |
2019-05-01 | 2.21 | 2.4 |
2019-06-01 | 1.81 | 2.07 |
2019-07-01 | 1.84 | 2.06 |
2019-08-01 | 1.57 | 1.63 |
2019-09-01 | 1.65 | 1.7 |
2019-10-01 | 1.55 | 1.71 |
2019-11-01 | 1.61 | 1.81 |
2019-12-01 | 1.61 | 1.86 |
2020-01-01 | 1.52 | 1.76 |
2020-02-01 | 1.33 | 1.5 |
2020-03-01 | 0.45 | 0.87 |
2020-04-01 | 0.22 | 0.66 |
2020-05-01 | 0.17 | 0.67 |
2020-06-01 | 0.19 | 0.73 |
2020-07-01 | 0.15 | 0.62 |
2020-08-01 | 0.14 | 0.65 |
2020-09-01 | 0.13 | 0.68 |
2020-10-01 | 0.15 | 0.79 |
2020-11-01 | 0.17 | 0.87 |
2020-12-01 | 0.14 | 0.93 |
2021-01-01 | 0.13 | 1.08 |
2021-02-01 | 0.12 | 1.26 |
2021-03-01 | 0.15 | 1.61 |
2021-04-01 | 0.16 | 1.64 |
2021-05-01 | 0.16 | 1.62 |
2021-06-01 | 0.2 | 1.52 |
2021-07-01 | 0.22 | 1.32 |
2021-08-01 | 0.22 | 1.28 |
2021-09-01 | 0.24 | 1.37 |
2021-10-01 | 0.39 | 1.58 |
2021-11-01 | 0.51 | 1.56 |
2021-12-01 | 0.68 | 1.47 |
2022-01-01 | 0.98 | 1.76 |
2022-02-01 | 1.44 | 1.93 |
2022-03-01 | 1.91 | 2.13 |
2022-04-01 | 2.54 | 2.75 |
2022-05-01 | 2.62 | 2.9 |
2022-06-01 | 3 | 3.14 |
2022-07-01 | 3.04 | 2.9 |
2022-08-01 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
2022-09-01 | 3.86 | 3.52 |
2022-10-01 | 4.38 | 3.98 |
2022-11-01 | 4.5 | 3.89 |
2022-12-01 | 4.29 | 3.62 |
2023-01-01 | 4.21 | 3.53 |
2023-02-01 | 4.53 | 3.75 |
2023-03-01 | 4.3 | 3.66 |
2023-04-01 | 4.02 | 3.46 |
2023-05-01 | 4.13 | 3.57 |
2023-06-01 | 4.64 | 3.75 |
2023-07-01 | 4.83 | 3.9 |
2023-08-01 | 4.9 | 4.17 |
2023-09-01 | 5.02 | 4.38 |
2023-10-01 | 5.07 | 4.8 |
2023-11-01 | 4.88 | 4.5 |
2023-12-01 | 4.46 | 4.02 |
2024-01-01 | 4.32 | 4.06 |
2024-02-01 | 4.54 | 4.21 |
2024-03-01 | 4.59 | 4.21 |
Note: The 2-year and 10-year Treasury rates are the monthly average of the constant-maturity yields based on the most actively traded securities.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release H.15, "Selected Interest Rates."
Figure 1.2. An estimate of the nominal Treasury term premium remained relatively low
Percentage points
Date | Term Premium |
---|---|
1997-01-01 | 1.49387619608925 |
1997-02-01 | 1.42193889617920 |
1997-03-01 | 1.56349500417709 |
1997-04-01 | 1.66056819395585 |
1997-05-01 | 1.56349525565193 |
1997-06-01 | 1.48142857210977 |
1997-07-01 | 1.30218181826852 |
1997-08-01 | 1.33278094586872 |
1997-09-01 | 1.32660953203837 |
1997-10-01 | 1.21571363644166 |
1997-11-01 | 1.06898887952169 |
1997-12-01 | 0.99405455589294 |
1998-01-01 | 0.88231999874115 |
1998-02-01 | 0.91603158335937 |
1998-03-01 | 0.97421817616983 |
1998-04-01 | 0.97309047551382 |
1998-05-01 | 0.97581499814987 |
1998-06-01 | 0.88629545948722 |
1998-07-01 | 0.86406818303195 |
1998-08-01 | 0.79535714217595 |
1998-09-01 | 0.57252856805211 |
1998-10-01 | 0.61351904982612 |
1998-11-01 | 0.68882631314428 |
1998-12-01 | 0.59713182124225 |
1999-01-01 | 0.69821579205362 |
1999-02-01 | 0.84375788977272 |
1999-03-01 | 0.99568260234335 |
1999-04-01 | 0.97580000332424 |
1999-05-01 | 1.13935790563885 |
1999-06-01 | 1.32467727227644 |
1999-07-01 | 1.28947368421053 |
1999-08-01 | 1.35223636843941 |
1999-09-01 | 1.34805713381086 |
1999-10-01 | 1.44446498751640 |
1999-11-01 | 1.27639001011848 |
1999-12-01 | 1.35427726398815 |
2000-01-01 | 1.50946500301361 |
2000-02-01 | 1.38115000724792 |
2000-03-01 | 1.21349130506101 |
2000-04-01 | 1.04713683693033 |
2000-05-01 | 1.23775907538154 |
2000-06-01 | 1.05134545673024 |
2000-07-01 | 0.96387999653816 |
2000-08-01 | 0.82335217880166 |
2000-09-01 | 0.83604500293732 |
2000-10-01 | 0.74754286380041 |
2000-11-01 | 0.70152380920592 |
2000-12-01 | 0.52973000407219 |
2001-01-01 | 0.69438095887502 |
2001-02-01 | 0.77411052114085 |
2001-03-01 | 0.78375909274275 |
2001-04-01 | 1.06420498788357 |
2001-05-01 | 1.29313182288950 |
2001-06-01 | 1.29323333785647 |
2001-07-01 | 1.25510475749061 |
2001-08-01 | 1.17007391867430 |
2001-09-01 | 1.21610587484696 |
2001-10-01 | 1.27206818623976 |
2001-11-01 | 1.41033499240875 |
2001-12-01 | 1.78161498904228 |
2002-01-01 | 1.75319523470742 |
2002-02-01 | 1.65985790051912 |
2002-03-01 | 1.84941499829292 |
2002-04-01 | 1.80147726969285 |
2002-05-01 | 1.74901364066384 |
2002-06-01 | 1.59664998650551 |
2002-07-01 | 1.44536362452941 |
2002-08-01 | 1.20719091458754 |
2002-09-01 | 0.93414999544621 |
2002-10-01 | 0.98709090460431 |
2002-11-01 | 1.14546315920980 |
2002-12-01 | 1.15573809260414 |
2003-01-01 | 1.16111426694053 |
2003-02-01 | 1.06583157652303 |
2003-03-01 | 0.99284285874594 |
2003-04-01 | 1.08824284871419 |
2003-05-01 | 0.81813333148048 |
2003-06-01 | 0.67740952684766 |
2003-07-01 | 1.10343636436896 |
2003-08-01 | 1.45625713893345 |
2003-09-01 | 1.33401905354999 |
2003-10-01 | 1.32285455682061 |
2003-11-01 | 1.33156110843023 |
2003-12-01 | 1.31312273849141 |
2004-01-01 | 1.23159999251366 |
2004-02-01 | 1.18363158326400 |
2004-03-01 | 1.00030000572619 |
2004-04-01 | 1.34154762540545 |
2004-05-01 | 1.56125501394272 |
2004-06-01 | 1.48352380593618 |
2004-07-01 | 1.29254761763981 |
2004-08-01 | 1.12465454773469 |
2004-09-01 | 0.95767620347795 |
2004-10-01 | 0.89669500589371 |
2004-11-01 | 0.86949499249458 |
2004-12-01 | 0.83374090628191 |
2005-01-01 | 0.78052999973297 |
2005-02-01 | 0.68346842025456 |
2005-03-01 | 0.84596363251860 |
2005-04-01 | 0.72042381479627 |
2005-05-01 | 0.57196665803591 |
2005-06-01 | 0.44920908862894 |
2005-07-01 | 0.48403000086546 |
2005-08-01 | 0.47995217209277 |
2005-09-01 | 0.43298571308454 |
2005-10-01 | 0.52736499905586 |
2005-11-01 | 0.54386499524117 |
2005-12-01 | 0.48192857418742 |
2006-01-01 | 0.37166000157595 |
2006-02-01 | 0.42411578799549 |
2006-03-01 | 0.49160434759182 |
2006-04-01 | 0.61374210056506 |
2006-05-01 | 0.65898635983467 |
2006-06-01 | 0.61802272905003 |
2006-07-01 | 0.56058999896050 |
2006-08-01 | 0.44322173491768 |
2006-09-01 | 0.38348499685526 |
2006-10-01 | 0.36910476287206 |
2006-11-01 | 0.27474285733132 |
2006-12-01 | 0.27258000001311 |
2007-01-01 | 0.37589047494389 |
2007-02-01 | 0.35075789533163 |
2007-03-01 | 0.26522727039727 |
2007-04-01 | 0.35528571548916 |
2007-05-01 | 0.40774545479905 |
2007-06-01 | 0.66799999134881 |
2007-07-01 | 0.57876666670754 |
2007-08-01 | 0.53292173924653 |
2007-09-01 | 0.51194210428941 |
2007-10-01 | 0.53239091418006 |
2007-11-01 | 0.47749000191689 |
2007-12-01 | 0.52769000083208 |
2008-01-01 | 0.39703809931165 |
2008-02-01 | 0.63179000020027 |
2008-03-01 | 0.67179000675678 |
2008-04-01 | 0.77650454640389 |
2008-05-01 | 0.83594761575971 |
2008-06-01 | 0.92182857649667 |
2008-07-01 | 0.88442273031582 |
2008-08-01 | 0.79169048014141 |
2008-09-01 | 0.77657619828270 |
2008-10-01 | 1.10844090310010 |
2008-11-01 | 1.11563889516724 |
2008-12-01 | 0.50679544698108 |
2009-01-01 | 0.54770000129938 |
2009-02-01 | 0.74051052959342 |
2009-03-01 | 0.66835454377261 |
2009-04-01 | 0.67949048110417 |
2009-05-01 | 0.93476000130177 |
2009-06-01 | 1.27825456315821 |
2009-07-01 | 1.15004090829329 |
2009-08-01 | 1.17922379857018 |
2009-09-01 | 1.05722857656933 |
2009-10-01 | 1.02750476201375 |
2009-11-01 | 1.02790525712465 |
2009-12-01 | 1.10391820018942 |
2010-01-01 | 1.20727894180699 |
2010-02-01 | 1.15732631557866 |
2010-03-01 | 1.15418260512145 |
2010-04-01 | 1.22110000523654 |
2010-05-01 | 0.96019001007080 |
2010-06-01 | 0.82520454309203 |
2010-07-01 | 0.65829047134944 |
2010-08-01 | 0.42437727207487 |
2010-09-01 | 0.38724761775562 |
2010-10-01 | 0.27883500158787 |
2010-11-01 | 0.40001000016928 |
2010-12-01 | 0.80807272683490 |
2011-01-01 | 0.87370000183582 |
2011-02-01 | 1.01930526369496 |
2011-03-01 | 0.92058260803637 |
2011-04-01 | 0.96702499985695 |
2011-05-01 | 0.76268571331388 |
2011-06-01 | 0.60678636214950 |
2011-07-01 | 0.61241499632597 |
2011-08-01 | 0.15002608720375 |
2011-09-01 | -0.04311904777396 |
2011-10-01 | 0.06628000047058 |
2011-11-01 | -0.03269000025139 |
2011-12-01 | -0.06211428488383 |
2012-01-01 | -0.08969999980181 |
2012-02-01 | -0.11923000067473 |
2012-03-01 | 0.02389545535499 |
2012-04-01 | -0.05748571455479 |
2012-05-01 | -0.22107272425836 |
2012-06-01 | -0.33160952443168 |
2012-07-01 | -0.39998094666572 |
2012-08-01 | -0.29730869440929 |
2012-09-01 | -0.29425789258982 |
2012-10-01 | -0.28263809354532 |
2012-11-01 | -0.33052000105381 |
2012-12-01 | -0.29237999692559 |
2013-01-01 | -0.16697142769893 |
2013-02-01 | -0.11623157835320 |
2013-03-01 | -0.13496499992907 |
2013-04-01 | -0.25820454413241 |
2013-05-01 | -0.14679090899881 |
2013-06-01 | 0.13666999959969 |
2013-07-01 | 0.34681364216588 |
2013-08-01 | 0.46296817606146 |
2013-09-01 | 0.52462500482798 |
2013-10-01 | 0.36396363513036 |
2013-11-01 | 0.41019473577801 |
2013-12-01 | 0.55254285959970 |
2014-01-01 | 0.56326666190511 |
2014-02-01 | 0.45349474015989 |
2014-03-01 | 0.48433333493414 |
2014-04-01 | 0.50188095229013 |
2014-05-01 | 0.40066666830154 |
2014-06-01 | 0.43160476003374 |
2014-07-01 | 0.40733181752942 |
2014-08-01 | 0.34238095084826 |
2014-09-01 | 0.42512856778644 |
2014-10-01 | 0.27208181809295 |
2014-11-01 | 0.29303888811006 |
2014-12-01 | 0.21479091115973 |
2015-01-01 | 0.00559999986363 |
2015-02-01 | 0.06802105374242 |
2015-03-01 | 0.10264545540452 |
2015-04-01 | 0.01210454556514 |
2015-05-01 | 0.19097499921918 |
2015-06-01 | 0.29705454476855 |
2015-07-01 | 0.25926363400438 |
2015-08-01 | 0.13421904668212 |
2015-09-01 | 0.13599523724545 |
2015-10-01 | 0.07142857125118 |
2015-11-01 | 0.18211579009106 |
2015-12-01 | 0.12458181804554 |
2016-01-01 | 0.01171578942357 |
2016-02-01 | -0.19744000062347 |
2016-03-01 | -0.12342272766612 |
2016-04-01 | -0.17547619129930 |
2016-05-01 | -0.17419047511759 |
2016-06-01 | -0.28134545751593 |
2016-07-01 | -0.37813000231981 |
2016-08-01 | -0.34600869339445 |
2016-09-01 | -0.30391904711723 |
2016-10-01 | -0.23313999921084 |
2016-11-01 | -0.00042999796569 |
2016-12-01 | 0.23997142839999 |
2017-01-01 | 0.19487999975681 |
2017-02-01 | 0.18231052787680 |
2017-03-01 | 0.16156956618247 |
2017-04-01 | 0.00816315786429 |
2017-05-01 | -0.01639090893282 |
2017-06-01 | -0.12879090857777 |
2017-07-01 | -0.05971999955364 |
2017-08-01 | -0.12134782613620 |
2017-09-01 | -0.14099499881268 |
2017-10-01 | -0.05683333351321 |
2017-11-01 | -0.09271428627627 |
2017-12-01 | -0.08237500060350 |
2018-01-01 | -0.00222857172290 |
2018-02-01 | 0.13901052741628 |
2018-03-01 | 0.09334285637098 |
2018-04-01 | 0.08341904707430 |
2018-05-01 | 0.13237727264112 |
2018-06-01 | 0.07739047599690 |
2018-07-01 | 0.04093333315991 |
2018-08-01 | 0.01441304338084 |
2018-09-01 | 0.05396842076688 |
2018-10-01 | 0.11274999972772 |
2018-11-01 | 0.06526500037871 |
2018-12-01 | -0.13053157827572 |
2019-01-01 | -0.21357142783347 |
2019-02-01 | -0.23472631761902 |
2019-03-01 | -0.29969047719524 |
2019-04-01 | -0.31558571401097 |
2019-05-01 | -0.38693636384877 |
2019-06-01 | -0.53797999769449 |
2019-07-01 | -0.52849090912125 |
2019-08-01 | -0.74349545619705 |
2019-09-01 | -0.69248999655247 |
2019-10-01 | -0.62907726927237 |
2019-11-01 | -0.52113684855009 |
2019-12-01 | -0.48552857410340 |
2020-01-01 | -0.54832381010056 |
2020-02-01 | -0.70858420510041 |
2020-03-01 | -0.74760454893112 |
2020-04-01 | -0.83640476067861 |
2020-05-01 | -0.84864999651909 |
2020-06-01 | -0.83839544924823 |
2020-07-01 | -0.89669545130296 |
2020-08-01 | -0.88822380701701 |
2020-09-01 | -0.87314762104125 |
2020-10-01 | -0.80891904944465 |
2020-11-01 | -0.74806841737346 |
2020-12-01 | -0.71791363304312 |
2021-01-01 | -0.63408946677258 |
2021-02-01 | -0.51284210776028 |
2021-03-01 | -0.24336086796678 |
2021-04-01 | -0.21143181825226 |
2021-05-01 | -0.22790000140667 |
2021-06-01 | -0.27697727016427 |
2021-07-01 | -0.40305714096342 |
2021-08-01 | -0.42706363309513 |
2021-09-01 | -0.36504762158507 |
2021-10-01 | -0.20738499909639 |
2021-11-01 | -0.19846500083804 |
2021-12-01 | -0.26228181882338 |
2022-01-01 | -0.10475999936461 |
2022-02-01 | -0.07133157943424 |
2022-03-01 | -0.00709130355845 |
2022-04-01 | 0.28324999660254 |
2022-05-01 | 0.32105714082718 |
2022-06-01 | 0.32132857257412 |
2022-07-01 | -0.05631500021555 |
2022-08-01 | -0.17081304542396 |
2022-09-01 | 0.08192857081026 |
2022-10-01 | 0.21792500056326 |
2022-11-01 | 0.03666000082158 |
2022-12-01 | -0.21677619130129 |
2023-01-01 | -0.33284500129521 |
2023-02-01 | -0.23357368613544 |
2023-03-01 | -0.25125652081941 |
2023-04-01 | -0.42671999782324 |
2023-05-01 | -0.43282727084377 |
2023-06-01 | -0.35511428543500 |
2023-07-01 | -0.28868999704719 |
2023-08-01 | -0.13306956602584 |
2023-09-01 | 0.00368500044569 |
2023-10-01 | 0.29071428307465 |
2023-11-01 | 0.13320476246909 |
2023-12-01 | -0.16031499789096 |
2024-01-01 | -0.13113809483392 |
2024-02-01 | -0.03578000004636 |
2024-03-01 | -0.05266999976011 |
Note: Term premiums are estimated from a 3-factor term structure model using Treasury yields and Blue Chip interest rate forecasts.
Source: Department of the Treasury; Wolters Kluwer, Blue Chip Financial Forecasts; Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Federal Reserve Board staff estimates.
Figure 1.3. Interest rate volatility fell slightly but continued to be elevated by historical norms
Basis points
Date | Implied Volatility of 10-Year Swap Rate |
---|---|
2005-04-01 | 93.1407611818182 |
2005-05-01 | 87.2053020454545 |
2005-06-01 | 87.5994123636364 |
2005-07-01 | 89.3425940000000 |
2005-08-01 | 84.2202744347826 |
2005-09-01 | 83.8325441363636 |
2005-10-01 | 86.0325223333333 |
2005-11-01 | 87.1229912727273 |
2005-12-01 | 77.7070317272727 |
2006-01-01 | 75.8552282272727 |
2006-02-01 | 72.5708299500000 |
2006-03-01 | 72.1180623913043 |
2006-04-01 | 76.5682459500000 |
2006-05-01 | 74.3080899130435 |
2006-06-01 | 70.7608532727273 |
2006-07-01 | 69.4930483333333 |
2006-08-01 | 62.8133045217391 |
2006-09-01 | 62.7310715238095 |
2006-10-01 | 64.0431154545455 |
2006-11-01 | 67.6373596363636 |
2006-12-01 | 66.2340620000000 |
2007-01-01 | 66.4426889130435 |
2007-02-01 | 66.7878776000000 |
2007-03-01 | 70.8117155454545 |
2007-04-01 | 62.8650858095238 |
2007-05-01 | 58.1989928695652 |
2007-06-01 | 79.0500360952381 |
2007-07-01 | 82.6708996818182 |
2007-08-01 | 84.3294735217391 |
2007-09-01 | 97.0252322000000 |
2007-10-01 | 91.0426627826087 |
2007-11-01 | 97.0015865454545 |
2007-12-01 | 117.9762051904760 |
2008-01-01 | 133.4064236521740 |
2008-02-01 | 150.9233060952380 |
2008-03-01 | 163.9723355238100 |
2008-04-01 | 139.6435753636360 |
2008-05-01 | 126.3531985909090 |
2008-06-01 | 140.4754497619050 |
2008-07-01 | 127.8022199565220 |
2008-08-01 | 111.5671815714290 |
2008-09-01 | 141.1032905000000 |
2008-10-01 | 188.8759711304350 |
2008-11-01 | 205.8338857500000 |
2008-12-01 | 232.0306616956520 |
2009-01-01 | 169.8269715909090 |
2009-02-01 | 187.7330855000000 |
2009-03-01 | 157.2753674090910 |
2009-04-01 | 129.7365514545450 |
2009-05-01 | 153.2816031904760 |
2009-06-01 | 223.6558794090910 |
2009-07-01 | 197.7553324090910 |
2009-08-01 | 180.7456841904760 |
2009-09-01 | 147.8076396818180 |
2009-10-01 | 134.6450406363640 |
2009-11-01 | 112.4428005714290 |
2009-12-01 | 110.1041495000000 |
2010-01-01 | 109.9095010000000 |
2010-02-01 | 100.7843527000000 |
2010-03-01 | 90.5415333043478 |
2010-04-01 | 95.7845809090909 |
2010-05-01 | 108.3768390476190 |
2010-06-01 | 108.3489289545450 |
2010-07-01 | 91.2602745454545 |
2010-08-01 | 100.9084886818180 |
2010-09-01 | 110.9901589090910 |
2010-10-01 | 102.9314067142860 |
2010-11-01 | 109.1785347272730 |
2010-12-01 | 125.3473072272730 |
2011-01-01 | 113.2357514761900 |
2011-02-01 | 111.2275581500000 |
2011-03-01 | 110.3348527826090 |
2011-04-01 | 92.0810600500000 |
2011-05-01 | 89.4274393636364 |
2011-06-01 | 94.3602630909091 |
2011-07-01 | 101.4077653333330 |
2011-08-01 | 117.1096775217390 |
2011-09-01 | 121.0058491818180 |
2011-10-01 | 124.6392852380950 |
2011-11-01 | 125.2365083636360 |
2011-12-01 | 105.1092095909090 |
2012-01-01 | 86.8961869090909 |
2012-02-01 | 87.9287980476190 |
2012-03-01 | 92.8956355454546 |
2012-04-01 | 86.3847064761905 |
2012-05-01 | 78.4844144782609 |
2012-06-01 | 89.6806648095238 |
2012-07-01 | 72.8232575909091 |
2012-08-01 | 78.5166424347826 |
2012-09-01 | 75.8383667000000 |
2012-10-01 | 75.6908457391304 |
2012-11-01 | 67.6227298181818 |
2012-12-01 | 61.8341229047619 |
2013-01-01 | 67.3589163478261 |
2013-02-01 | 68.8840089000000 |
2013-03-01 | 64.7794116190476 |
2013-04-01 | 60.4505235000000 |
2013-05-01 | 69.0075274782609 |
2013-06-01 | 100.3947363000000 |
2013-07-01 | 104.7759794782610 |
2013-08-01 | 100.2640195000000 |
2013-09-01 | 101.2118931428570 |
2013-10-01 | 81.6170621739130 |
2013-11-01 | 74.5137228571429 |
2013-12-01 | 75.8982773636364 |
2014-01-01 | 70.3636708260870 |
2014-02-01 | 69.2855606000000 |
2014-03-01 | 65.5307374285714 |
2014-04-01 | 62.8501716666667 |
2014-05-01 | 61.4742948181818 |
2014-06-01 | 61.9679537142857 |
2014-07-01 | 59.6560042608696 |
2014-08-01 | 62.2641432380952 |
2014-09-01 | 65.4064466363636 |
2014-10-01 | 76.7030626956522 |
2014-11-01 | 67.4089236500000 |
2014-12-01 | 70.2256455652174 |
2015-01-01 | 87.0186313636364 |
2015-02-01 | 91.1326394500000 |
2015-03-01 | 84.3177593181818 |
2015-04-01 | 77.4148326818182 |
2015-05-01 | 86.7601392380952 |
2015-06-01 | 88.9114960000000 |
2015-07-01 | 82.9971814347826 |
2015-08-01 | 80.3195948500000 |
2015-09-01 | 79.7947395000000 |
2015-10-01 | 75.1609395454545 |
2015-11-01 | 72.1120120952381 |
2015-12-01 | 70.3005218260870 |
2016-01-01 | 76.2914845238095 |
2016-02-01 | 89.1231934761905 |
2016-03-01 | 78.9347058181818 |
2016-04-01 | 72.0117337619048 |
2016-05-01 | 69.0779673636364 |
2016-06-01 | 77.2490590000000 |
2016-07-01 | 76.8601374285714 |
2016-08-01 | 68.1436731739130 |
2016-09-01 | 67.2750649090909 |
2016-10-01 | 65.2515483809524 |
2016-11-01 | 83.5448066818182 |
2016-12-01 | 81.1593321363636 |
2017-01-01 | 81.1271510909091 |
2017-02-01 | 75.6451058000000 |
2017-03-01 | 69.9332405652174 |
2017-04-01 | 75.8273615000000 |
2017-05-01 | 62.2952567826087 |
2017-06-01 | 58.9056952272727 |
2017-07-01 | 59.5746184761905 |
2017-08-01 | 57.3938232608696 |
2017-09-01 | 58.1155528095238 |
2017-10-01 | 59.6366519545455 |
2017-11-01 | 52.3190709090909 |
2017-12-01 | 50.8717691904762 |
2018-01-01 | 55.5877003043478 |
2018-02-01 | 72.0271280000000 |
2018-03-01 | 63.4433651363636 |
2018-04-01 | 58.5823622857143 |
2018-05-01 | 58.5377230000000 |
2018-06-01 | 57.8168248095238 |
2018-07-01 | 53.9075479545455 |
2018-08-01 | 52.7038092608696 |
2018-09-01 | 51.7013490000000 |
2018-10-01 | 58.2089809130435 |
2018-11-01 | 57.7368546363636 |
2018-12-01 | 59.4768278095238 |
2019-01-01 | 56.8872852608696 |
2019-02-01 | 50.9286239500000 |
2019-03-01 | 52.1450475238095 |
2019-04-01 | 51.7224289090909 |
2019-05-01 | 57.2293738260870 |
2019-06-01 | 68.6766383000000 |
2019-07-01 | 62.1373200000000 |
2019-08-01 | 81.9997485454546 |
2019-09-01 | 82.1033849523809 |
2019-10-01 | 78.1486783478261 |
2019-11-01 | 66.9196303809524 |
2019-12-01 | 64.9177692272727 |
2020-01-01 | 63.7826934782609 |
2020-02-01 | 76.3504349000000 |
2020-03-01 | 128.1982829090910 |
2020-04-01 | 79.1194908181818 |
2020-05-01 | 62.0802865714286 |
2020-06-01 | 68.1176147272727 |
2020-07-01 | 56.0211723913043 |
2020-08-01 | 54.0961076666667 |
2020-09-01 | 49.9714252727273 |
2020-10-01 | 68.7694889545455 |
2020-11-01 | 57.2393500952381 |
2020-12-01 | 58.7475827391304 |
2021-01-01 | 58.6661465714286 |
2021-02-01 | 68.8616019500000 |
2021-03-01 | 82.8590066956522 |
2021-04-01 | 76.9544033181818 |
2021-05-01 | 69.6327573333333 |
2021-06-01 | 66.3641393636364 |
2021-07-01 | 73.0951925454546 |
2021-08-01 | 75.2578712727273 |
2021-09-01 | 69.0911080000000 |
2021-10-01 | 73.5020376666667 |
2021-11-01 | 79.6158680454545 |
2021-12-01 | 80.1248898695652 |
2022-01-01 | 81.8231407142857 |
2022-02-01 | 88.6890586500000 |
2022-03-01 | 108.6102514782610 |
2022-04-01 | 119.3662450000000 |
2022-05-01 | 114.9301181818180 |
2022-06-01 | 119.7093215909090 |
2022-07-01 | 122.7566329523810 |
2022-08-01 | 111.6782608695650 |
2022-09-01 | 127.0818181818180 |
2022-10-01 | 138.3523809523810 |
2022-11-01 | 126.5545454545450 |
2022-12-01 | 125.8590909090910 |
2023-01-01 | 111.9090909090910 |
2023-02-01 | 105.9850000000000 |
2023-03-01 | 120.6956521739130 |
2023-04-01 | 112.9050000000000 |
2023-05-01 | 115.9173913043480 |
2023-06-01 | 106.7772727272730 |
2023-07-01 | 108.0095238095240 |
2023-08-01 | 115.3739130434780 |
2023-09-01 | 112.3571428571430 |
2023-10-01 | 129.3863636363640 |
2023-11-01 | 117.2909090909090 |
2023-12-01 | 112.5857142857140 |
2024-01-01 | 107.9869565217390 |
2024-02-01 | 108.1476190476190 |
2024-03-01 | 101.3190476190480 |
Note: The data begin in April 2005. Implied volatility on the 10-year swap rate, 1 month ahead, is derived from swaptions.
Source: For data through July 13, 2022, Barclays and S&P Global; for data from July 14, 2022, onward, ICAP, Swaptions and Interest Rate Caps and Floors Data.
Figure 1.4. The price-to-earnings ratio of S&P 500 firms increased to levels further above its historical median
Ratio
Date | Forward Price-to-Earnings Ratio |
---|---|
1989-01-01 | 10.0642041004352 |
1989-02-01 | 10.1351785277036 |
1989-03-01 | 10.1118922462201 |
1989-04-01 | 10.4207590726509 |
1989-05-01 | 10.7228446891080 |
1989-06-01 | 10.8504116333394 |
1989-07-01 | 11.2392594036221 |
1989-08-01 | 11.5544806266731 |
1989-09-01 | 11.5054534466439 |
1989-10-01 | 11.4766417155518 |
1989-11-01 | 11.5116562988962 |
1989-12-01 | 11.8812905010920 |
1990-01-01 | 11.5253301676757 |
1990-02-01 | 11.2996436482706 |
1990-03-01 | 11.4928153778434 |
1990-04-01 | 11.6485959646005 |
1990-05-01 | 12.0714446710221 |
1990-06-01 | 12.3791505291935 |
1990-07-01 | 12.3891135597196 |
1990-08-01 | 11.5099674895943 |
1990-09-01 | 10.7870645246304 |
1990-10-01 | 10.3021545599654 |
1990-11-01 | 11.1825864275695 |
1990-12-01 | 11.6620618537876 |
1991-01-01 | 11.2520631617467 |
1991-02-01 | 13.4297373973324 |
1991-03-01 | 13.7676511619486 |
1991-04-01 | 14.4448937578081 |
1991-05-01 | 13.6412911081324 |
1991-06-01 | 13.9019610555980 |
1991-07-01 | 14.1587352437613 |
1991-08-01 | 14.3984685279974 |
1991-09-01 | 14.2098281900941 |
1991-10-01 | 14.3177036674953 |
1991-11-01 | 14.4579694647543 |
1991-12-01 | 14.0147931972351 |
1992-01-01 | 15.3733240239014 |
1992-02-01 | 15.0166156856854 |
1992-03-01 | 14.8698923112736 |
1992-04-01 | 14.8084722682607 |
1992-05-01 | 14.7012566468572 |
1992-06-01 | 14.0119323477933 |
1992-07-01 | 14.4288994144297 |
1992-08-01 | 14.4492792036095 |
1992-09-01 | 14.4067638714479 |
1992-10-01 | 14.0007456665535 |
1992-11-01 | 14.5131946779659 |
1992-12-01 | 14.7028563487786 |
1993-01-01 | 14.6080305648220 |
1993-02-01 | 14.6587228139057 |
1993-03-01 | 15.0087911001116 |
1993-04-01 | 15.0293979690151 |
1993-05-01 | 14.7210841779365 |
1993-06-01 | 14.6369471028704 |
1993-07-01 | 14.6337185703868 |
1993-08-01 | 14.7630294485469 |
1993-09-01 | 14.8018281543635 |
1993-10-01 | 14.6403330198253 |
1993-11-01 | 14.6645709081992 |
1993-12-01 | 14.4751595360612 |
1994-01-01 | 14.7450744677096 |
1994-02-01 | 14.6015699627999 |
1994-03-01 | 14.3344033038633 |
1994-04-01 | 13.4596920513799 |
1994-05-01 | 13.4202863736397 |
1994-06-01 | 13.4712142158110 |
1994-07-01 | 13.0052681175532 |
1994-08-01 | 13.2082079828365 |
1994-09-01 | 13.1110084606934 |
1994-10-01 | 12.9187629694705 |
1994-11-01 | 12.5574041986423 |
1994-12-01 | 12.0890353997795 |
1995-01-01 | 12.3126519658941 |
1995-02-01 | 12.4846693022309 |
1995-03-01 | 12.5091571942069 |
1995-04-01 | 12.6617743349616 |
1995-05-01 | 12.9077616132025 |
1995-06-01 | 13.0562649494836 |
1995-07-01 | 13.3014044029565 |
1995-08-01 | 13.3508512326715 |
1995-09-01 | 13.6719030292704 |
1995-10-01 | 13.7722621172874 |
1995-11-01 | 13.8051714342521 |
1995-12-01 | 14.3198703612651 |
1996-01-01 | 14.0111990808930 |
1996-02-01 | 15.2296363731547 |
1996-03-01 | 14.8043570617285 |
1996-04-01 | 14.7865508354932 |
1996-05-01 | 15.1905957553161 |
1996-06-01 | 14.7279453444068 |
1996-07-01 | 14.4050285357334 |
1996-08-01 | 14.9198407030755 |
1996-09-01 | 15.2446849445196 |
1996-10-01 | 15.6118248760686 |
1996-11-01 | 16.0706498518185 |
1996-12-01 | 15.8458912292950 |
1997-01-01 | 16.4576680119022 |
1997-02-01 | 17.3592229505404 |
1997-03-01 | 16.6477699918784 |
1997-04-01 | 16.0273439394106 |
1997-05-01 | 17.3853457016968 |
1997-06-01 | 18.3931881211402 |
1997-07-01 | 19.2280005865275 |
1997-08-01 | 18.6788110161274 |
1997-09-01 | 18.9185335938964 |
1997-10-01 | 19.1994215237027 |
1997-11-01 | 18.6019105974642 |
1997-12-01 | 18.8729138031310 |
1998-01-01 | 18.6650034687728 |
1998-02-01 | 20.3669601330907 |
1998-03-01 | 21.4253585433257 |
1998-04-01 | 21.9020057955050 |
1998-05-01 | 21.6885495932345 |
1998-06-01 | 21.4202767974114 |
1998-07-01 | 22.7745506545565 |
1998-08-01 | 21.1679008585543 |
1998-09-01 | 20.0165228950352 |
1998-10-01 | 19.2754072745377 |
1998-11-01 | 22.0211043312729 |
1998-12-01 | 22.3010226324535 |
1999-01-01 | 23.7010191646146 |
1999-02-01 | 23.5293776819871 |
1999-03-01 | 24.7257169346688 |
1999-04-01 | 24.9502254591470 |
1999-05-01 | 24.7376864132027 |
1999-06-01 | 24.2960595118963 |
1999-07-01 | 25.4371035829107 |
1999-08-01 | 23.9049826729959 |
1999-09-01 | 23.4638389210304 |
1999-10-01 | 22.5467256311648 |
1999-11-01 | 24.4968203960140 |
1999-12-01 | 24.4215149840605 |
2000-01-01 | 24.8524227671678 |
2000-02-01 | 24.0255889542090 |
2000-03-01 | 23.7295651532395 |
2000-04-01 | 23.9131148640033 |
2000-05-01 | 23.8836044378258 |
2000-06-01 | 24.0995670787461 |
2000-07-01 | 24.0958175369778 |
2000-08-01 | 23.8545838586837 |
2000-09-01 | 23.8565753873583 |
2000-10-01 | 21.4410420929036 |
2000-11-01 | 22.2487933361038 |
2000-12-01 | 22.1000443693441 |
2001-01-01 | 21.9800191946399 |
2001-02-01 | 22.1005594615803 |
2001-03-01 | 19.7213721428790 |
2001-04-01 | 21.4098817133144 |
2001-05-01 | 22.2362968706407 |
2001-06-01 | 21.6731573132958 |
2001-07-01 | 21.6060912361179 |
2001-08-01 | 21.1659295675508 |
2001-09-01 | 18.4182139034709 |
2001-10-01 | 20.3745288143425 |
2001-11-01 | 21.4952535556687 |
2001-12-01 | 21.5712908975611 |
2002-01-01 | 21.0017915239501 |
2002-02-01 | 20.4682927801969 |
2002-03-01 | 20.7499019266520 |
2002-04-01 | 20.1691207958640 |
2002-05-01 | 19.3993497822044 |
2002-06-01 | 18.1122606516339 |
2002-07-01 | 16.1427558386424 |
2002-08-01 | 16.5998982014364 |
2002-09-01 | 15.7178472432077 |
2002-10-01 | 15.7758124045756 |
2002-11-01 | 16.0232602624122 |
2002-12-01 | 16.1214994318098 |
2003-01-01 | 16.4824698708600 |
2003-02-01 | 15.3421065680945 |
2003-03-01 | 15.7071724109081 |
2003-04-01 | 15.6796728500434 |
2003-05-01 | 16.5637852909061 |
2003-06-01 | 17.6909926511214 |
2003-07-01 | 17.2749947028794 |
2003-08-01 | 16.9374674060014 |
2003-09-01 | 17.4143520377129 |
2003-10-01 | 17.5055024483919 |
2003-11-01 | 17.1017666689584 |
2003-12-01 | 17.4299196211811 |
2004-01-01 | 18.0966656554652 |
2004-02-01 | 18.0921393153315 |
2004-03-01 | 17.3975908526079 |
2004-04-01 | 17.1059407678062 |
2004-05-01 | 15.9759396712240 |
2004-06-01 | 16.4112064237897 |
2004-07-01 | 15.9264261167857 |
2004-08-01 | 15.5140446712195 |
2004-09-01 | 15.7701948964300 |
2004-10-01 | 15.4842476577299 |
2004-11-01 | 16.1684935214670 |
2004-12-01 | 16.3213956962421 |
2005-01-01 | 15.9518142126453 |
2005-02-01 | 16.1662969568544 |
2005-03-01 | 15.6432295065534 |
2005-04-01 | 15.3024404778722 |
2005-05-01 | 15.2772492971762 |
2005-06-01 | 15.4143339294562 |
2005-07-01 | 15.4071892725404 |
2005-08-01 | 15.1376219514918 |
2005-09-01 | 14.9539231921628 |
2005-10-01 | 14.3352217875791 |
2005-11-01 | 14.6103020109322 |
2005-12-01 | 14.9788317527463 |
2006-01-01 | 14.9036136488607 |
2006-02-01 | 14.9322906372015 |
2006-03-01 | 15.0622206343863 |
2006-04-01 | 14.9922158568980 |
2006-05-01 | 14.2956520270790 |
2006-06-01 | 13.6920412774534 |
2006-07-01 | 13.9018656622377 |
2006-08-01 | 14.1250561969898 |
2006-09-01 | 14.2612911445694 |
2006-10-01 | 14.6542040923097 |
2006-11-01 | 14.8070524198371 |
2006-12-01 | 14.8246715656549 |
2007-01-01 | 15.0136351345782 |
2007-02-01 | 15.3892947314649 |
2007-03-01 | 14.5559652362442 |
2007-04-01 | 15.3150548160842 |
2007-05-01 | 15.5081074029821 |
2007-06-01 | 15.2972075726326 |
2007-07-01 | 15.4096842090421 |
2007-08-01 | 13.8716348166020 |
2007-09-01 | 15.0078786405010 |
2007-10-01 | 15.0147178674359 |
2007-11-01 | 14.3219244498574 |
2007-12-01 | 14.1969321826872 |
2008-01-01 | 13.4918915319416 |
2008-02-01 | 13.6770449749573 |
2008-03-01 | 13.0897547032142 |
2008-04-01 | 13.8053644963333 |
2008-05-01 | 14.3036525519596 |
2008-06-01 | 13.5080907651354 |
2008-07-01 | 12.5966395499155 |
2008-08-01 | 13.2893321467503 |
2008-09-01 | 12.0093578073256 |
2008-10-01 | 9.9318329213557 |
2008-11-01 | 9.7367465570831 |
2008-12-01 | 11.8730480320341 |
2009-01-01 | 11.4801309882739 |
2009-02-01 | 12.4581659513670 |
2009-03-01 | 12.4236915485468 |
2009-04-01 | 13.5116428176185 |
2009-05-01 | 14.6566754241186 |
2009-06-01 | 14.7265105693616 |
2009-07-01 | 14.7961580116896 |
2009-08-01 | 15.2017579149890 |
2009-09-01 | 15.9111503050052 |
2009-10-01 | 15.8536049171995 |
2009-11-01 | 15.1214375656104 |
2009-12-01 | 14.8891212062393 |
2010-01-01 | 14.8025979666784 |
2010-02-01 | 13.8091414998773 |
2010-03-01 | 14.4371052248703 |
2010-04-01 | 14.8231570236257 |
2010-05-01 | 12.9864828391494 |
2010-06-01 | 12.8167461676147 |
2010-07-01 | 12.4947046545179 |
2010-08-01 | 12.1003667402263 |
2010-09-01 | 12.3539276932622 |
2010-10-01 | 12.8366964759288 |
2010-11-01 | 12.5672398714282 |
2010-12-01 | 13.0317030449426 |
2011-01-01 | 13.2143960591698 |
2011-02-01 | 13.7053872409754 |
2011-03-01 | 12.6071998036253 |
2011-04-01 | 12.9702091001044 |
2011-05-01 | 12.8954180988548 |
2011-06-01 | 12.0666989300472 |
2011-07-01 | 12.6376440204923 |
2011-08-01 | 11.2820672894418 |
2011-09-01 | 11.2423592676524 |
2011-10-01 | 11.4984973126867 |
2011-11-01 | 11.6743764756942 |
2011-12-01 | 11.4047421189985 |
2012-01-01 | 12.3284610785806 |
2012-02-01 | 12.6339190258947 |
2012-03-01 | 12.9633528407449 |
2012-04-01 | 12.6564970125371 |
2012-05-01 | 12.0117862446820 |
2012-06-01 | 11.8910142644773 |
2012-07-01 | 12.5919771646056 |
2012-08-01 | 12.9173911712853 |
2012-09-01 | 13.3366589345093 |
2012-10-01 | 13.2080657632062 |
2012-11-01 | 12.1866166585069 |
2012-12-01 | 12.8556281783628 |
2013-01-01 | 13.1194077811375 |
2013-02-01 | 13.5304859215612 |
2013-03-01 | 13.7170526639079 |
2013-04-01 | 13.5910511828577 |
2013-05-01 | 14.4775023979513 |
2013-06-01 | 14.1017245235448 |
2013-07-01 | 14.5078041217903 |
2013-08-01 | 14.5798854005687 |
2013-09-01 | 14.8364575387916 |
2013-10-01 | 14.7113422962906 |
2013-11-01 | 15.0316866360930 |
2013-12-01 | 15.1988757168877 |
2014-01-01 | 15.4248175864551 |
2014-02-01 | 15.4338393754973 |
2014-03-01 | 15.6027065746791 |
2014-04-01 | 15.4957603050171 |
2014-05-01 | 15.4501929377274 |
2014-06-01 | 15.8287425554734 |
2014-07-01 | 15.9659101689999 |
2014-08-01 | 15.5474166716045 |
2014-09-01 | 15.8920957223448 |
2014-10-01 | 14.7599887576360 |
2014-11-01 | 16.1899130221622 |
2014-12-01 | 16.1131035842842 |
2015-01-01 | 16.2283076849354 |
2015-02-01 | 17.3507177718087 |
2015-03-01 | 17.2720142982500 |
2015-04-01 | 17.2856618571758 |
2015-05-01 | 17.0892184592933 |
2015-06-01 | 16.9590785982327 |
2015-07-01 | 16.9774450741791 |
2015-08-01 | 16.7533674541663 |
2015-09-01 | 16.0927541868382 |
2015-10-01 | 16.1399198814842 |
2015-11-01 | 16.7966149570643 |
2015-12-01 | 16.6871911987418 |
2016-01-01 | 15.2963724320877 |
2016-02-01 | 15.9109375981050 |
2016-03-01 | 16.7096594993403 |
2016-04-01 | 17.0917911605184 |
2016-05-01 | 16.6743988424736 |
2016-06-01 | 16.7458135049560 |
2016-07-01 | 17.3983444287421 |
2016-08-01 | 17.5193242795995 |
2016-09-01 | 16.9184989610450 |
2016-10-01 | 16.8904141860746 |
2016-11-01 | 16.9469515309043 |
2016-12-01 | 17.3279856476856 |
2017-01-01 | 17.2756616617434 |
2017-02-01 | 17.9103480024804 |
2017-03-01 | 18.0366846463876 |
2017-04-01 | 17.5409558534353 |
2017-05-01 | 17.4949360001073 |
2017-06-01 | 17.9097418837352 |
2017-07-01 | 18.2286600460627 |
2017-08-01 | 18.0945478475706 |
2017-09-01 | 18.1818373629954 |
2017-10-01 | 18.4437240185425 |
2017-11-01 | 18.1457879102924 |
2017-12-01 | 18.6376692915424 |
2018-01-01 | 18.7262484885268 |
2018-02-01 | 17.2803988036018 |
2018-03-01 | 17.3747047772781 |
2018-04-01 | 16.9213576865824 |
2018-05-01 | 16.6826816938149 |
2018-06-01 | 16.8409652987132 |
2018-07-01 | 17.0294750151743 |
2018-08-01 | 16.8204268095450 |
2018-09-01 | 17.2089760095866 |
2018-10-01 | 16.4932581451517 |
2018-11-01 | 15.7182948940772 |
2018-12-01 | 14.6494181498620 |
2019-01-01 | 15.4545056397489 |
2019-02-01 | 16.3429455334446 |
2019-03-01 | 16.6014790238239 |
2019-04-01 | 17.0782994682097 |
2019-05-01 | 16.6613495040966 |
2019-06-01 | 17.0282970780038 |
2019-07-01 | 17.4493702847224 |
2019-08-01 | 16.5422933240280 |
2019-09-01 | 17.4027941522372 |
2019-10-01 | 17.3126802778573 |
2019-11-01 | 17.8327729256194 |
2019-12-01 | 18.2514893671885 |
2020-01-01 | 18.7318433855344 |
2020-02-01 | 19.2709514596588 |
2020-03-01 | 14.1255861110428 |
2020-04-01 | 18.9302812691237 |
2020-05-01 | 20.5186351556240 |
2020-06-01 | 22.3998783273015 |
2020-07-01 | 23.0964175619734 |
2020-08-01 | 23.0978354058033 |
2020-09-01 | 22.6400443011802 |
2020-10-01 | 22.8106531500594 |
2020-11-01 | 22.2430885768087 |
2020-12-01 | 22.5579907811605 |
2021-01-01 | 23.0474493328223 |
2021-02-01 | 22.7579449513680 |
2021-03-01 | 22.4526301518681 |
2021-04-01 | 22.6454310611863 |
2021-05-01 | 21.3305491808641 |
2021-06-01 | 21.5963588323736 |
2021-07-01 | 22.1795072897431 |
2021-08-01 | 21.4373170710150 |
2021-09-01 | 21.6306098396725 |
2021-10-01 | 20.8064613602203 |
2021-11-01 | 21.8409008986592 |
2021-12-01 | 21.6016861564222 |
2022-01-01 | 20.5507579015692 |
2022-02-01 | 19.9604191188382 |
2022-03-01 | 19.1290110516015 |
2022-04-01 | 19.3246377044504 |
2022-05-01 | 16.8647924579843 |
2022-06-01 | 16.1620783346285 |
2022-07-01 | 16.3363668462096 |
2022-08-01 | 18.6068020769167 |
2022-09-01 | 17.1123905624570 |
2022-10-01 | 16.1646032750192 |
2022-11-01 | 17.5808992672092 |
2022-12-01 | 17.6433402431891 |
2023-01-01 | 17.4916138057654 |
2023-02-01 | 18.6618155856315 |
2023-03-01 | 17.4155807384435 |
2023-04-01 | 18.5735193903040 |
2023-05-01 | 18.4147376085252 |
2023-06-01 | 19.1935698596523 |
2023-07-01 | 20.1600647215234 |
2023-08-01 | 19.1070901189196 |
2023-09-01 | 19.1319115027220 |
2023-10-01 | 18.3089857899012 |
2023-11-01 | 18.8824473217250 |
2023-12-01 | 19.4746505860349 |
2024-01-01 | 19.5766519421527 |
2024-02-01 | 20.4711457297532 |
2024-03-01 | 20.8097539359783 |
Note: The figure shows the aggregate forward price-to-earnings ratio of Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 firms, based on expected earnings for 12 months ahead. The median value is 15.64 ratio.
Source: Refinitiv, Institutional Brokers' Estimate System, North American Summary & Detail Estimates, Level 2, Current & History Data, Adjusted and Unadjusted, https://www.refinitiv.com/en/financial-data/company-data/institutional-brokers-estimate-system-ibes
Figure 1.5. An estimate of the equity premium fell further below its historical median
Percentage points
Date | Spread |
---|---|
1991-10-01 | 3.31273360602933 |
1991-11-01 | 3.29699872273821 |
1991-12-01 | 3.80530647491709 |
1992-01-01 | 2.88087560859424 |
1992-02-01 | 2.79500613189168 |
1992-03-01 | 2.73271320411514 |
1992-04-01 | 3.00402419565771 |
1992-05-01 | 3.14273499083780 |
1992-06-01 | 3.59381579580855 |
1992-07-01 | 3.57441077942668 |
1992-08-01 | 3.78322211639405 |
1992-09-01 | 3.92844126543843 |
1992-10-01 | 3.83837994024281 |
1992-11-01 | 3.38410059432048 |
1992-12-01 | 3.38594812094295 |
1993-01-01 | 3.48979985098156 |
1993-02-01 | 3.80604430773826 |
1993-03-01 | 3.87431938653222 |
1993-04-01 | 4.09323900090521 |
1993-05-01 | 4.22507816087965 |
1993-06-01 | 4.40833920366495 |
1993-07-01 | 4.33092569202072 |
1993-08-01 | 4.35459239050371 |
1993-09-01 | 4.64893768153862 |
1993-10-01 | 4.76786197487311 |
1993-11-01 | 4.38570124549905 |
1993-12-01 | 4.44619951245064 |
1994-01-01 | 4.35771664620068 |
1994-02-01 | 4.18053157149611 |
1994-03-01 | 3.79520399479644 |
1994-04-01 | 3.82661108131632 |
1994-05-01 | 3.67645808628890 |
1994-06-01 | 3.73637364017627 |
1994-07-01 | 3.79914900236774 |
1994-08-01 | 3.75039104536865 |
1994-09-01 | 3.58191503577891 |
1994-10-01 | 3.43766115105621 |
1994-11-01 | 3.46549945388495 |
1994-12-01 | 3.88647761941905 |
1995-01-01 | 3.54204716950000 |
1995-02-01 | 3.76072369490000 |
1995-03-01 | 3.98380191687977 |
1995-04-01 | 4.09008593725384 |
1995-05-01 | 4.38150648807950 |
1995-06-01 | 4.72173706003636 |
1995-07-01 | 4.32248373797545 |
1995-08-01 | 4.08471670689548 |
1995-09-01 | 4.18051167854780 |
1995-10-01 | 4.11660466303124 |
1995-11-01 | 4.21786811235324 |
1995-12-01 | 4.15822487614570 |
1996-01-01 | 4.36917718179476 |
1996-02-01 | 3.64650168723885 |
1996-03-01 | 3.34520172741229 |
1996-04-01 | 3.09553806956768 |
1996-05-01 | 2.74435208651186 |
1996-06-01 | 2.80571915039495 |
1996-07-01 | 3.03367549670268 |
1996-08-01 | 3.03045505118195 |
1996-09-01 | 2.65485765170050 |
1996-10-01 | 2.80366510454795 |
1996-11-01 | 2.94408770344958 |
1996-12-01 | 2.95249485862662 |
1997-01-01 | 2.45611642345990 |
1997-02-01 | 2.28068148909389 |
1997-03-01 | 2.22102337752530 |
1997-04-01 | 2.11242439348368 |
1997-05-01 | 1.81476541447943 |
1997-06-01 | 1.69470305149229 |
1997-07-01 | 1.87930506209582 |
1997-08-01 | 1.93189680568010 |
1997-09-01 | 1.93814937699938 |
1997-10-01 | 1.68115369847904 |
1997-11-01 | 2.02955669837511 |
1997-12-01 | 2.04433911512786 |
1998-01-01 | 2.29398570628390 |
1998-02-01 | 1.77877660623000 |
1998-03-01 | 1.46024535242118 |
1998-04-01 | 1.26821891956067 |
1998-05-01 | 1.28896554521285 |
1998-06-01 | 1.50267497322118 |
1998-07-01 | 1.27850512820859 |
1998-08-01 | 1.75729744847876 |
1998-09-01 | 2.48073621404038 |
1998-10-01 | 2.85911502572590 |
1998-11-01 | 1.96121045955216 |
1998-12-01 | 2.04259786059159 |
1999-01-01 | 1.44202973797905 |
1999-02-01 | 1.20167970179689 |
1999-03-01 | 0.75735862587665 |
1999-04-01 | 1.00753148545467 |
1999-05-01 | 0.71484515676079 |
1999-06-01 | 0.43059349997514 |
1999-07-01 | 0.32929105701205 |
1999-08-01 | 0.39672714054723 |
1999-09-01 | 0.45658272396905 |
1999-10-01 | 0.42676889711270 |
1999-11-01 | 0.24395845486010 |
1999-12-01 | 0.02639119425673 |
2000-01-01 | -0.30365587786610 |
2000-02-01 | -0.04289460642380 |
2000-03-01 | 0.21041464355735 |
2000-04-01 | 0.41997468193579 |
2000-05-01 | 0.01550278834496 |
2000-06-01 | 0.31904592154787 |
2000-07-01 | 0.41285312029425 |
2000-08-01 | 0.63447538642230 |
2000-09-01 | 0.63178292466575 |
2000-10-01 | 1.21193596870590 |
2000-11-01 | 1.10180791880762 |
2000-12-01 | 1.56976264679645 |
2001-01-01 | 1.66629199654638 |
2001-02-01 | 1.67381288985751 |
2001-03-01 | 2.39242353105568 |
2001-04-01 | 1.77586336655280 |
2001-05-01 | 1.39938811234650 |
2001-06-01 | 1.60688214797500 |
2001-07-01 | 1.68443782222390 |
2001-08-01 | 1.98408114613557 |
2001-09-01 | 2.88100811330000 |
2001-10-01 | 2.60128896300000 |
2001-11-01 | 2.26148483070000 |
2001-12-01 | 1.78245617610000 |
2002-01-01 | 1.93744617434762 |
2002-02-01 | 2.14866320993684 |
2002-03-01 | 1.71980988650000 |
2002-04-01 | 1.96894705347273 |
2002-05-01 | 2.25562103680909 |
2002-06-01 | 2.86237195840000 |
2002-07-01 | 3.79321550403636 |
2002-08-01 | 3.98911060092727 |
2002-09-01 | 4.69808941840000 |
2002-10-01 | 4.53639958778182 |
2002-11-01 | 4.36581136032632 |
2002-12-01 | 4.34362078092381 |
2003-01-01 | 4.26649474824286 |
2003-02-01 | 4.88012026351579 |
2003-03-01 | 4.82859445257619 |
2003-04-01 | 4.71403170444762 |
2003-05-01 | 4.79375781839048 |
2003-06-01 | 4.64612739473333 |
2003-07-01 | 4.15316378660000 |
2003-08-01 | 3.76121325934286 |
2003-09-01 | 3.79658041889048 |
2003-10-01 | 3.76668047029091 |
2003-11-01 | 3.89548243683333 |
2003-12-01 | 3.82561565585454 |
2004-01-01 | 3.74574984460000 |
2004-02-01 | 3.80820442936316 |
2004-03-01 | 4.28611792757391 |
2004-04-01 | 3.84932702700476 |
2004-05-01 | 3.88405272050000 |
2004-06-01 | 3.70944962535238 |
2004-07-01 | 4.13812018384762 |
2004-08-01 | 4.51225415668182 |
2004-09-01 | 4.57717572270000 |
2004-10-01 | 4.72090621950000 |
2004-11-01 | 4.36300811200000 |
2004-12-01 | 4.28526336553637 |
2005-01-01 | 4.40372443070000 |
2005-02-01 | 4.38938215331053 |
2005-03-01 | 4.25562825903636 |
2005-04-01 | 4.61229105468571 |
2005-05-01 | 4.82372858914762 |
2005-06-01 | 4.91668630451818 |
2005-07-01 | 4.74499150620000 |
2005-08-01 | 4.77060525838696 |
2005-09-01 | 4.90644644283810 |
2005-10-01 | 4.91905010280000 |
2005-11-01 | 4.68444048190000 |
2005-12-01 | 4.60452616743809 |
2006-01-01 | 4.70720209420000 |
2006-02-01 | 4.53774353992105 |
2006-03-01 | 4.31580989459565 |
2006-04-01 | 4.09687018736316 |
2006-05-01 | 4.30864298270909 |
2006-06-01 | 4.62194016562727 |
2006-07-01 | 4.54361912020000 |
2006-08-01 | 4.63647002501304 |
2006-09-01 | 4.71392283380000 |
2006-10-01 | 4.52458505930476 |
2006-11-01 | 4.59220050006190 |
2006-12-01 | 4.61155200390000 |
2007-01-01 | 4.18094068192857 |
2007-02-01 | 4.04898673499474 |
2007-03-01 | 4.57073109814545 |
2007-04-01 | 4.15512282580000 |
2007-05-01 | 4.03262646163636 |
2007-06-01 | 3.76252653068571 |
2007-07-01 | 3.80620660468095 |
2007-08-01 | 4.81124259312174 |
2007-09-01 | 4.43419846584737 |
2007-10-01 | 4.42785453147273 |
2007-11-01 | 5.08239187920000 |
2007-12-01 | 5.17052028280000 |
2008-01-01 | 5.99203536257619 |
2008-02-01 | 5.86504588650000 |
2008-03-01 | 6.40619756380000 |
2008-04-01 | 5.85831101896573 |
2008-05-01 | 5.40139743522908 |
2008-06-01 | 5.59578018003047 |
2008-07-01 | 6.25073877530653 |
2008-08-01 | 5.96281355298711 |
2008-09-01 | 6.93233993659366 |
2008-10-01 | 8.31130310569268 |
2008-11-01 | 8.73694325922563 |
2008-12-01 | 7.98793706866921 |
2009-01-01 | 8.05026199962808 |
2009-02-01 | 7.03955844934376 |
2009-03-01 | 7.20330101039335 |
2009-04-01 | 6.64692929843963 |
2009-05-01 | 5.70115467102508 |
2009-06-01 | 5.23573854134012 |
2009-07-01 | 5.38615213281467 |
2009-08-01 | 5.19760561578080 |
2009-09-01 | 5.10493879971545 |
2009-10-01 | 4.93635649371990 |
2009-11-01 | 5.23603313324910 |
2009-12-01 | 5.19793131028101 |
2010-01-01 | 5.25126037081086 |
2010-02-01 | 5.78222714141631 |
2010-03-01 | 5.46137893077852 |
2010-04-01 | 5.20976942213204 |
2010-05-01 | 6.54470934320297 |
2010-06-01 | 6.84807414724505 |
2010-07-01 | 7.15986189376431 |
2010-08-01 | 7.77083502709029 |
2010-09-01 | 7.63594879885532 |
2010-10-01 | 7.35420624684428 |
2010-11-01 | 7.32815170766603 |
2010-12-01 | 6.48256687530822 |
2011-01-01 | 6.39738437486077 |
2011-02-01 | 5.95791145490971 |
2011-03-01 | 6.74344074118824 |
2011-04-01 | 6.57630094126917 |
2011-05-01 | 6.91056378722141 |
2011-06-01 | 7.61427520271775 |
2011-07-01 | 7.23227729143923 |
2011-08-01 | 8.89604554062920 |
2011-09-01 | 9.25269677158387 |
2011-10-01 | 8.97853856346270 |
2011-11-01 | 9.01086796618091 |
2011-12-01 | 9.25563482344572 |
2012-01-01 | 8.41924748064734 |
2012-02-01 | 8.23245532886021 |
2012-03-01 | 7.81317644954052 |
2012-04-01 | 8.31424229074018 |
2012-05-01 | 9.00772920285453 |
2012-06-01 | 9.27444963755412 |
2012-07-01 | 8.77469315152172 |
2012-08-01 | 8.40111865133512 |
2012-09-01 | 8.13491928953440 |
2012-10-01 | 8.14225987218375 |
2012-11-01 | 8.87002795169727 |
2012-12-01 | 8.37785417060164 |
2013-01-01 | 8.01845717861252 |
2013-02-01 | 7.70915969025980 |
2013-03-01 | 7.63470082061444 |
2013-04-01 | 7.92010987135572 |
2013-05-01 | 7.28370057919307 |
2013-06-01 | 7.06434128018767 |
2013-07-01 | 6.48589645108104 |
2013-08-01 | 6.27893719082149 |
2013-09-01 | 6.10433841568176 |
2013-10-01 | 6.44603988696323 |
2013-11-01 | 6.19134496395419 |
2013-12-01 | 5.93052925871541 |
2014-01-01 | 5.88723978847488 |
2014-02-01 | 6.02883234772136 |
2014-03-01 | 5.95024442748786 |
2014-04-01 | 5.96211142807208 |
2014-05-01 | 6.13959204094832 |
2014-06-01 | 5.93624028517505 |
2014-07-01 | 5.89167660308481 |
2014-08-01 | 6.17461767512176 |
2014-09-01 | 5.91837917469010 |
2014-10-01 | 6.62722294600448 |
2014-11-01 | 6.00232430667366 |
2014-12-01 | 6.16300629487464 |
2015-01-01 | 6.33914197358748 |
2015-02-01 | 5.82575558956909 |
2015-03-01 | 5.79430811440289 |
2015-04-01 | 5.93152787082074 |
2015-05-01 | 5.72107765524613 |
2015-06-01 | 5.60465586411566 |
2015-07-01 | 5.68055868766695 |
2015-08-01 | 5.91608257620709 |
2015-09-01 | 6.14822911006009 |
2015-10-01 | 6.23911760913792 |
2015-11-01 | 5.77897527903824 |
2015-12-01 | 5.84004755087105 |
2016-01-01 | 6.51901880124640 |
2016-02-01 | 6.56592473127415 |
2016-03-01 | 6.15596241383602 |
2016-04-01 | 6.21064281396073 |
2016-05-01 | 6.34820817661512 |
2016-06-01 | 6.49516908241596 |
2016-07-01 | 6.37344831257276 |
2016-08-01 | 6.27256530526429 |
2016-09-01 | 6.39658031967359 |
2016-10-01 | 6.34837792694142 |
2016-11-01 | 5.92836626912045 |
2016-12-01 | 5.43307790161085 |
2017-01-01 | 5.61319523576650 |
2017-02-01 | 5.41908022520846 |
2017-03-01 | 5.32074745817305 |
2017-04-01 | 5.66908571735205 |
2017-05-01 | 5.67304430111075 |
2017-06-01 | 5.67325336659448 |
2017-07-01 | 5.39381674359457 |
2017-08-01 | 5.54217441592142 |
2017-09-01 | 5.53032418808696 |
2017-10-01 | 5.25440807165882 |
2017-11-01 | 5.34309699337217 |
2017-12-01 | 5.14398774200060 |
2018-01-01 | 4.99719313842924 |
2018-02-01 | 5.15465085116546 |
2018-03-01 | 5.15180302246192 |
2018-04-01 | 5.34330557232825 |
2018-05-01 | 5.30707649450116 |
2018-06-01 | 5.31191142986694 |
2018-07-01 | 5.17199544208200 |
2018-08-01 | 5.25015668283996 |
2018-09-01 | 5.00432624946363 |
2018-10-01 | 5.11552885845841 |
2018-11-01 | 5.44700323586154 |
2018-12-01 | 6.20369390200553 |
2019-01-01 | 5.96509539016428 |
2019-02-01 | 5.64522694771343 |
2019-03-01 | 5.64826923528041 |
2019-04-01 | 5.51559346621167 |
2019-05-01 | 5.79232389487430 |
2019-06-01 | 5.98600284018227 |
2019-07-01 | 5.87016584068618 |
2019-08-01 | 6.60857467479441 |
2019-09-01 | 6.23046869112807 |
2019-10-01 | 6.26245858696093 |
2019-11-01 | 5.97654232058493 |
2019-12-01 | 5.78986205825025 |
2020-01-01 | 5.76310289027919 |
2020-02-01 | 5.87197843114315 |
2020-03-01 | 8.33935680065579 |
2020-04-01 | 6.69399883560881 |
2020-05-01 | 6.29921850840407 |
2020-06-01 | 5.84818269718432 |
2020-07-01 | 5.73113943487897 |
2020-08-01 | 5.71124811000923 |
2020-09-01 | 5.77364772847924 |
2020-10-01 | 5.72074036088723 |
2020-11-01 | 5.74858905341579 |
2020-12-01 | 5.62543255946364 |
2021-01-01 | 5.46223281993684 |
2021-02-01 | 5.32179617638947 |
2021-03-01 | 4.98259510564348 |
2021-04-01 | 5.02729726404545 |
2021-05-01 | 5.31122183210000 |
2021-06-01 | 5.35597837161818 |
2021-07-01 | 5.59175214648571 |
2021-08-01 | 5.78854010982727 |
2021-09-01 | 5.66051625813810 |
2021-10-01 | 5.73854929880000 |
2021-11-01 | 5.52435071320000 |
2021-12-01 | 5.65468189236364 |
2022-01-01 | 5.52833558640000 |
2022-02-01 | 5.50530957904210 |
2022-03-01 | 5.54276178190000 |
2022-04-01 | 5.16357625670000 |
2022-05-01 | 5.75143168461905 |
2022-06-01 | 5.74772782330476 |
2022-07-01 | 5.93168209720000 |
2022-08-01 | 5.21508300712609 |
2022-09-01 | 5.03559984338095 |
2022-10-01 | 5.03882159030000 |
2022-11-01 | 4.63836618180000 |
2022-12-01 | 4.95573718627619 |
2023-01-01 | 4.52171537630000 |
2023-02-01 | 3.93121964032632 |
2023-03-01 | 4.36121958930870 |
2023-04-01 | 4.21641923910000 |
2023-05-01 | 4.14293306540000 |
2023-06-01 | 3.75179249061429 |
2023-07-01 | 3.39880653580000 |
2023-08-01 | 3.40953321844348 |
2023-09-01 | 3.16524925380000 |
2023-10-01 | 2.94532279432381 |
2023-11-01 | 3.08605225632857 |
2023-12-01 | 3.43509031830000 |
2024-01-01 | 3.23239242256667 |
2024-02-01 | 2.85228943560000 |
2024-03-01 | 2.79369884890000 |
Note: The data begin in October 1991. The figure shows the difference between the aggregate forward earnings-to-price ratio of Standard & Poor's 500 firms and the expected real Treasury yields, based on expected earnings for 12 months ahead. Expected real Treasury yields are calculated from the 10-year consumer price index inflation forecast, and the smoothed nominal yield curve is estimated from off-the-run securities. The median value is 4.71 percentage points. | |
Source: Refinitiv, Institutional Brokers' Estimate System, North American Summary & Detail Estimates, Level 2, Current & History Data, Adjusted and Unadjusted, https://www.refinitiv.com/en/financial-data/company-data/institutional-brokers-estimate-system-ibes |
Note: The data begin in October 1991. The figure shows the difference between the aggregate forward earnings-to-price ratio of Standard & Poor's 500 firms and the expected real Treasury yields, based on expected earnings for 12 months ahead. Expected real Treasury yields are calculated from the 10-year consumer price index inflation forecast, and the smoothed nominal yield curve is estimated from off-the-run securities. The median value is 4.71 percentage points.
Source: Refinitiv, Institutional Brokers' Estimate System, North American Summary & Detail Estimates, Level 2, Current & History Data, Adjusted and Unadjusted, https://www.refinitiv.com/en/financial-data/company-data/institutional-brokers-estimate-system-ibes
Figure 1.6. Volatility in equity markets decreased to levels slightly below the historical median
Percent
Date | Option-implied volatility | Realized volatility |
---|---|---|
1996-01-01 | 13.47363636 | 11.66238567 |
1996-02-01 | 15.033 | 11.493454 |
1996-03-01 | 17.76238095 | 14.57607113 |
1996-04-01 | 16.21222222 | 12.25491833 |
1996-05-01 | 16.14636364 | 11.31949173 |
1996-06-01 | 16.50352941 | 11.11662373 |
1996-07-01 | 17.97863636 | 15.04312882 |
1996-08-01 | 15.76045455 | 13.43977424 |
1996-09-01 | 16.578 | 11.18767424 |
1996-10-01 | 16.28636364 | 9.865934506 |
1996-11-01 | 15.997 | 10.26790981 |
1996-12-01 | 19.26095238 | 13.43262124 |
1997-01-01 | 19.61666667 | 14.60356121 |
1997-02-01 | 20.13947368 | 14.83327757 |
1997-03-01 | 20.17 | 14.64008525 |
1997-04-01 | 19.6955 | 17.17847815 |
1997-05-01 | 19.9247619 | 16.3777271 |
1997-06-01 | 20.19428571 | 15.00571023 |
1997-07-01 | 20.50857143 | 16.1724627 |
1997-08-01 | 23.0847619 | 18.12811184 |
1997-09-01 | 23.79947368 | 18.78124882 |
1997-10-01 | 23.87086957 | 18.83043988 |
1997-11-01 | 31.98421053 | 24.02649591 |
1997-12-01 | 26.27636364 | 18.53559882 |
1998-01-01 | 23.8665 | 17.91884635 |
1998-02-01 | 19.99894737 | 15.37681766 |
1998-03-01 | 20.03238095 | 12.6826908 |
1998-04-01 | 22.16210526 | 13.01640427 |
1998-05-01 | 20.874 | 13.9546656 |
1998-06-01 | 21.66272727 | 15.60755812 |
1998-07-01 | 20.23263158 | 14.62609381 |
1998-08-01 | 31.58809524 | 22.82230654 |
1998-09-01 | 38.132 | 34.25904836 |
1998-10-01 | 36.60818182 | 33.06170862 |
1998-11-01 | 26.223 | 23.16985669 |
1998-12-01 | 25.47909091 | 18.96371759 |
1999-01-01 | 27.96888889 | 19.52968616 |
1999-02-01 | 28.82263158 | 21.74546356 |
1999-03-01 | 25.30956522 | 20.66849313 |
1999-04-01 | 23.47857143 | 19.87385206 |
1999-05-01 | 26.2045 | 20.97133777 |
1999-06-01 | 23.54571429 | 19.27527892 |
1999-07-01 | 21.04904762 | 16.5598463 |
1999-08-01 | 24.32363636 | 17.7571731 |
1999-09-01 | 24.54142857 | 18.98236303 |
1999-10-01 | 24.02142857 | 20.92429409 |
1999-11-01 | 21.81809524 | 19.26973859 |
1999-12-01 | 22.15909091 | 16.90624646 |
2000-01-01 | 23.202 | 19.26505908 |
2000-02-01 | 23.5955 | 21.87584793 |
2000-03-01 | 22.73409091 | 24.40714366 |
2000-04-01 | 27.16421053 | 32.68535553 |
2000-05-01 | 26.37318182 | 28.67861002 |
2000-06-01 | 21.54 | 22.90813762 |
2000-07-01 | 19.893 | 17.99262622 |
2000-08-01 | 18.08869565 | 16.2227839 |
2000-09-01 | 19.6875 | 15.22018735 |
2000-10-01 | 25.2 | 23.37530335 |
2000-11-01 | 26.38285714 | 24.82952693 |
2000-12-01 | 26.5305 | 25.25826706 |
2001-01-01 | 24.91857143 | 27.37844257 |
2001-02-01 | 23.41157895 | 21.56441621 |
2001-03-01 | 28.5355 | 26.82836952 |
2001-04-01 | 28.134 | 28.26803323 |
2001-05-01 | 22.94409091 | 21.92374673 |
2001-06-01 | 20.94047619 | 18.08082817 |
2001-07-01 | 22.31619048 | 17.41799553 |
2001-08-01 | 21.86173913 | 16.98285386 |
2001-09-01 | 35.06533333 | 25.3550296 |
2001-10-01 | 32.61227273 | 27.43469893 |
2001-11-01 | 26.63095238 | 23.69637418 |
2001-12-01 | 23.72 | 18.80579075 |
2002-01-01 | 22.25285714 | 16.08109824 |
2002-02-01 | 22.87578947 | 19.01884182 |
2002-03-01 | 18.985 | 18.15715124 |
2002-04-01 | 19.90045455 | 16.35346642 |
2002-05-01 | 20.08772727 | 17.46977866 |
2002-06-01 | 25.271 | 21.14378276 |
2002-07-01 | 34.04954545 | 33.80175163 |
2002-08-01 | 33.74272727 | 37.99414927 |
2002-09-01 | 37.6475 | 31.14771787 |
2002-10-01 | 35.42954545 | 35.10444362 |
2002-11-01 | 28.175 | 29.82821716 |
2002-12-01 | 28.21047619 | 23.97816708 |
2003-01-01 | 27.50631579 | 21.46120427 |
2003-02-01 | 32.21842105 | 23.25760586 |
2003-03-01 | 30.63428571 | 24.01998943 |
2003-04-01 | 23.99190476 | 22.7447965 |
2003-05-01 | 20.23952381 | 19.40564122 |
2003-06-01 | 20.36238095 | 17.88553537 |
2003-07-01 | 19.16136364 | 17.95752962 |
2003-08-01 | 19.27428571 | 17.44715697 |
2003-09-01 | 19.53238095 | 14.63375777 |
2003-10-01 | 18.02347826 | 14.40427874 |
2003-11-01 | 17.40105263 | 13.1539275 |
2003-12-01 | 16.82636364 | 11.90607996 |
2004-01-01 | 15.95333333 | 11.13695581 |
2004-02-01 | 15.99842105 | 12.4212298 |
2004-03-01 | 17.6873913 | 13.11371511 |
2004-04-01 | 15.69857143 | 13.22640576 |
2004-05-01 | 17.705 | 15.30051799 |
2004-06-01 | 15.35714286 | 12.47310501 |
2004-07-01 | 15.50238095 | 11.56248462 |
2004-08-01 | 16.68409091 | 12.51448645 |
2004-09-01 | 14.08095238 | 10.51858841 |
2004-10-01 | 14.97 | 10.54510546 |
2004-11-01 | 13.57714286 | 11.21646259 |
2004-12-01 | 12.45954545 | 10.53785301 |
2005-01-01 | 13.438 | 10.68655987 |
2005-02-01 | 11.70894737 | 9.973891732 |
2005-03-01 | 13.12636364 | 10.45593389 |
2005-04-01 | 14.45904762 | 11.95581953 |
2005-05-01 | 13.96761905 | 13.13046261 |
2005-06-01 | 11.86863636 | 10.88098481 |
2005-07-01 | 11.049 | 10.29641372 |
2005-08-01 | 12.95130435 | 9.669158892 |
2005-09-01 | 12.62809524 | 10.33237682 |
2005-10-01 | 14.93761905 | 12.93804291 |
2005-11-01 | 12.14761905 | 11.98919343 |
2005-12-01 | 11.26 | 9.864184007 |
2006-01-01 | 12.036 | 9.747170922 |
2006-02-01 | 12.47105263 | 10.39304463 |
2006-03-01 | 11.69391304 | 9.672960582 |
2006-04-01 | 11.84736842 | 10.17810397 |
2006-05-01 | 14.45454545 | 11.87971029 |
2006-06-01 | 16.91863636 | 15.18586579 |
2006-07-01 | 15.326 | 13.81704596 |
2006-08-01 | 13.35173913 | 12.26214918 |
2006-09-01 | 12.1845 | 9.579982636 |
2006-10-01 | 11.30636364 | 8.872536834 |
2006-11-01 | 10.81761905 | 9.050503995 |
2006-12-01 | 10.9645 | 9.478303191 |
2007-01-01 | 11.0425 | 9.451635177 |
2007-02-01 | 11.15526316 | 9.092884881 |
2007-03-01 | 15.16272727 | 14.33500604 |
2007-04-01 | 12.933 | 11.40986817 |
2007-05-01 | 13.29772727 | 9.915917076 |
2007-06-01 | 14.94761905 | 11.41527857 |
2007-07-01 | 17.27333333 | 13.52112771 |
2007-08-01 | 25.02608696 | 23.43967274 |
2007-09-01 | 22.19894737 | 19.74790468 |
2007-10-01 | 19.11565217 | 15.49916803 |
2007-11-01 | 25.58238095 | 21.5172242 |
2007-12-01 | 21.651 | 21.00090665 |
2008-01-01 | 25.81619048 | 25.15092462 |
2008-02-01 | 25.456 | 27.95554214 |
2008-03-01 | 27.1035 | 26.73760223 |
2008-04-01 | 21.56272727 | 21.38314435 |
2008-05-01 | 18.30333333 | 16.81396978 |
2008-06-01 | 22.11047619 | 17.3942484 |
2008-07-01 | 24.32136364 | 23.06561682 |
2008-08-01 | 20.69571429 | 20.37973963 |
2008-09-01 | 30.23857143 | 30.12265324 |
2008-10-01 | 61.1773913 | 66.41476883 |
2008-11-01 | 62.66894737 | 72.36668294 |
2008-12-01 | 52.405 | 61.64360141 |
2009-01-01 | 44.683 | 43.43711506 |
2009-02-01 | 45.57052632 | 40.50466135 |
2009-03-01 | 44.79545455 | 42.74381681 |
2009-04-01 | 38.06380952 | 35.22168027 |
2009-05-01 | 31.978 | 29.40710016 |
2009-06-01 | 29.14045455 | 25.09971479 |
2009-07-01 | 26.16272727 | 21.5339721 |
2009-08-01 | 25.33714286 | 19.33639954 |
2009-09-01 | 24.92666667 | 17.49738284 |
2009-10-01 | 24.25227273 | 17.58189606 |
2009-11-01 | 23.789 | 19.49749008 |
2009-12-01 | 21.23954545 | 15.27652428 |
2010-01-01 | 20.64315789 | 12.84841613 |
2010-02-01 | 22.54 | 17.93159554 |
2010-03-01 | 17.7673913 | 14.13967574 |
2010-04-01 | 17.42428571 | 12.49505603 |
2010-05-01 | 31.9295 | 27.61427029 |
2010-06-01 | 29.91636364 | 27.00125195 |
2010-07-01 | 25.5652381 | 23.03517119 |
2010-08-01 | 24.74590909 | 18.90467759 |
2010-09-01 | 22.51761905 | 16.84679411 |
2010-10-01 | 20.37333333 | 14.89887056 |
2010-11-01 | 20.09571429 | 13.94727549 |
2010-12-01 | 17.56954545 | 11.84950309 |
2011-01-01 | 17.3155 | 9.743155088 |
2011-02-01 | 17.43 | 10.63515465 |
2011-03-01 | 20.72347826 | 14.31237781 |
2011-04-01 | 16.244 | 12.41946126 |
2011-05-01 | 16.91142857 | 12.36751059 |
2011-06-01 | 19.15318182 | 13.5669977 |
2011-07-01 | 19.2275 | 13.78622192 |
2011-08-01 | 35.02913043 | 31.738725 |
2011-09-01 | 36.53 | 30.9649038 |
2011-10-01 | 32.82904762 | 30.17709197 |
2011-11-01 | 31.94190476 | 25.02953474 |
2011-12-01 | 25.04761905 | 20.63047671 |
2012-01-01 | 20.228 | 15.47977278 |
2012-02-01 | 18.4205 | 12.41739669 |
2012-03-01 | 16.16727273 | 10.90793753 |
2012-04-01 | 17.823 | 11.50375383 |
2012-05-01 | 21.00181818 | 13.72923073 |
2012-06-01 | 21.13095238 | 15.57652701 |
2012-07-01 | 17.5652381 | 14.80977883 |
2012-08-01 | 15.68956522 | 13.14136912 |
2012-09-01 | 15.28473684 | 10.98327091 |
2012-10-01 | 16.27619048 | 11.27449192 |
2012-11-01 | 16.70190476 | 13.81901006 |
2012-12-01 | 17.307 | 12.88750836 |
2013-01-01 | 13.5052381 | 11.75424522 |
2013-02-01 | 14.07263158 | 9.648772095 |
2013-03-01 | 13.0315 | 10.13832124 |
2013-04-01 | 13.96727273 | 11.45569474 |
2013-05-01 | 13.49363636 | 11.61553946 |
2013-06-01 | 17.2715 | 14.50887198 |
2013-07-01 | 13.97454545 | 13.49045667 |
2013-08-01 | 14.21 | 10.40463347 |
2013-09-01 | 14.692 | 10.69828595 |
2013-10-01 | 15.40782609 | 11.21423391 |
2013-11-01 | 12.924 | 9.893396379 |
2013-12-01 | 14.19238095 | 9.503114701 |
2014-01-01 | 14.24095238 | 9.338864052 |
2014-02-01 | 15.47 | 11.77395183 |
2014-03-01 | 14.83666667 | 11.6434045 |
2014-04-01 | 14.19809524 | 12.2070991 |
2014-05-01 | 12.4752381 | 10.98734873 |
2014-06-01 | 11.54142857 | 8.258735318 |
2014-07-01 | 12.29636364 | 7.98397404 |
2014-08-01 | 13.49190476 | 9.824445597 |
2014-09-01 | 13.46666667 | 8.81551279 |
2014-10-01 | 18.05869565 | 15.81532834 |
2014-11-01 | 13.41315789 | 13.39225976 |
2014-12-01 | 16.29227273 | 12.67313385 |
2015-01-01 | 19.1195 | 15.75383522 |
2015-02-01 | 15.90421053 | 15.05512141 |
2015-03-01 | 14.81272727 | 11.90381795 |
2015-04-01 | 13.4947619 | 11.36081023 |
2015-05-01 | 13.3385 | 10.86825684 |
2015-06-01 | 14.33954545 | 10.18163004 |
2015-07-01 | 14.35272727 | 11.1968485 |
2015-08-01 | 19.42809524 | 17.1517167 |
2015-09-01 | 24.37714286 | 26.92039889 |
2015-10-01 | 16.78954545 | 19.55186774 |
2015-11-01 | 16.21 | 14.11959242 |
2015-12-01 | 18.02545455 | 14.75934777 |
2016-01-01 | 23.71789474 | 20.97195789 |
2016-02-01 | 22.517 | 23.78344769 |
2016-03-01 | 15.84909091 | 17.43656587 |
2016-04-01 | 14.30047619 | 12.5645374 |
2016-05-01 | 14.85285714 | 11.45319205 |
2016-06-01 | 17.77454545 | 11.11906531 |
2016-07-01 | 13.1585 | 11.534784 |
2016-08-01 | 12.39956522 | 8.422804092 |
2016-09-01 | 14.21952381 | 9.498799383 |
2016-10-01 | 14.5852381 | 9.8619426 |
2016-11-01 | 15.23619048 | 10.74371613 |
2016-12-01 | 12.47238095 | 9.007377664 |
2017-01-01 | 11.6085 | 8.066059822 |
2017-02-01 | 11.53052632 | 7.166251708 |
2017-03-01 | 11.89782609 | 7.203704107 |
2017-04-01 | 13.13631579 | 8.490547815 |
2017-05-01 | 10.86227273 | 7.244986177 |
2017-06-01 | 10.51363636 | 7.010816564 |
2017-07-01 | 10.2645 | 7.117782499 |
2017-08-01 | 11.97565217 | 6.905470645 |
2017-09-01 | 10.438 | 6.538899662 |
2017-10-01 | 10.12545455 | 5.272001869 |
2017-11-01 | 10.54047619 | 5.842689559 |
2017-12-01 | 10.2645 | 7.232389142 |
2018-01-01 | 11.06238095 | 6.772977813 |
2018-02-01 | 22.46473684 | 20.56510234 |
2018-03-01 | 19.02380952 | 19.25496499 |
2018-04-01 | 18.26761905 | 19.57384007 |
2018-05-01 | 14.12454545 | 14.80530056 |
2018-06-01 | 13.67809524 | 11.04149947 |
2018-07-01 | 13.14761905 | 10.02508051 |
2018-08-01 | 12.54695652 | 8.267995236 |
2018-09-01 | 12.91052632 | 8.195684491 |
2018-10-01 | 19.35217391 | 14.67247947 |
2018-11-01 | 19.38904762 | 20.33367997 |
2018-12-01 | 24.95315789 | 24.22344362 |
2019-01-01 | 19.57238095 | 24.80449517 |
2019-02-01 | 15.23473684 | 16.15479904 |
2019-03-01 | 14.4852381 | 12.53617184 |
2019-04-01 | 12.94904762 | 10.41723909 |
2019-05-01 | 16.72181818 | 11.95670524 |
2019-06-01 | 15.836 | 12.29817202 |
2019-07-01 | 13.30590909 | 9.339660246 |
2019-08-01 | 18.97909091 | 15.50235222 |
2019-09-01 | 15.559 | 13.71700059 |
2019-10-01 | 15.46652174 | 12.93408222 |
2019-11-01 | 12.5235 | 9.150912123 |
2019-12-01 | 13.75666667 | 8.396397103 |
2020-01-01 | 13.94095238 | 7.98081864 |
2020-02-01 | 19.62894737 | 12.23216019 |
2020-03-01 | 57.73681818 | 56.5382721 |
2020-04-01 | 41.45380952 | 53.39105497 |
2020-05-01 | 30.897 | 32.74448108 |
2020-06-01 | 31.11954545 | 25.61551251 |
2020-07-01 | 26.84045455 | 21.49541866 |
2020-08-01 | 22.88952381 | 15.36356757 |
2020-09-01 | 27.64761905 | 20.53446801 |
2020-10-01 | 29.43863636 | 19.58070848 |
2020-11-01 | 24.9955 | 20.03044461 |
2020-12-01 | 22.37409091 | 14.54405218 |
2021-01-01 | 24.91 | 13.95118225 |
2021-02-01 | 23.14052632 | 15.05396 |
2021-03-01 | 21.84304348 | 18.37031421 |
2021-04-01 | 17.41619048 | 13.22659467 |
2021-05-01 | 19.7605 | 12.82061075 |
2021-06-01 | 16.95681818 | 10.59941079 |
2021-07-01 | 17.60333333 | 9.523023623 |
2021-08-01 | 17.47272727 | 8.992107242 |
2021-09-01 | 19.8247619 | 9.902384793 |
2021-10-01 | 17.87142857 | 13.14089044 |
2021-11-01 | 18.50047619 | 10.75320904 |
2021-12-01 | 21.35454545 | 15.78991131 |
2022-01-01 | 23.181 | 17.92177959 |
2022-02-01 | 25.74842105 | 24.05459133 |
2022-03-01 | 26.96869565 | 24.40627562 |
2022-04-01 | 24.3735 | 19.57427917 |
2022-05-01 | 29.44571429 | 27.65705414 |
2022-06-01 | 28.1 | 26.56541939 |
2022-07-01 | 24.8685 | 24.16940944 |
2022-08-01 | 22.16956522 | 18.57859663 |
2022-09-01 | 27.40619048 | 21.36399186 |
2022-10-01 | 30.00571429 | 24.77333285 |
2022-11-01 | 23.43619048 | 23.45804447 |
2022-12-01 | 21.78428571 | 20.06842983 |
2023-01-01 | 20.203 | 18.86650155 |
2023-02-01 | 20.06210526 | 18.01253239 |
2023-03-01 | 21.64434783 | 18.39832428 |
2023-04-01 | 17.81789474 | 14.96340385 |
2023-05-01 | 17.64409091 | 12.84637268 |
2023-06-01 | 13.99428571 | 11.65192445 |
2023-07-01 | 13.944 | 9.794784524 |
2023-08-01 | 15.85391304 | 10.99302718 |
2023-09-01 | 15.241 | 11.22469361 |
2023-10-01 | 18.88772727 | 14.02808809 |
2023-11-01 | 14.07714286 | 12.85109814 |
2023-12-01 | 12.7185 | 10.58824329 |
2024-01-01 | 13.3952381 | 10.14732706 |
2024-02-01 | 13.944 | 10.2334945 |
2024-03-01 | 13.7875 | 10.20468152 |
Note: Realized volatility is computed from an exponentially weighted moving average of 5-minute daily realized variances with 75 percent of the weight distributed over the past 20 business days. Median refers to the median option-implied volatility.
Source: Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) accessed via Bloomberg Finance L.P.; Federal Reserve Board staff estimates.
Figure 1.7. Corporate bond yields fell slightly to levels near their historical medians
This is a line chart titled "Corporate bond yields fell slightly to levels near their historical medians." The x-axis measures time and ranges from years 1997 to 2024. The y-axis ranges from 0 to 24 percent. The data are monthly and there are two variables plotted on the chart. The first line is labeled "High-yield" and is designated by a black line. It begins at around 9 percent in 1997 and rises gradually to around 13 percent in 2002. It falls to around 8 percent in 2003 and remains there until 2007. The curve rises to 11 in early 2008, before spiking to about 22 percent in late 2008. The series falls sharply to about 9 percent in 2009 before decreasing more slowly to 7 percent in 2011. The series generally remains around 6 percent through 2020, with local spikes to around 9 in late 2011, early 2016, and early 2020. The series stays around 4 percent in 2021 before rising gradually to about 9 percent by October 2022. The series decreases slightly throughout 2023 before jumping back up to 9 percent and stabilizing at 7 percent for the most recent months. The second line is labeled "Triple-B" and is designated by a blue line. It begins at around 7 percent in 1997, fluctuates between 6 and 9 percent until 2002, and rises to 10 percent in late 2008. The series falls sharply to around 5 percent in late 2009. It remains between 3 and 5 percent from 2010 to 2019. It has a spike in early 2020 from 2 to 5 percent then decreases back to around 2 percent in October 2020. It hovers at the level through the end of 2021. The series then rises to 6 percent by the end of 2022 and falls back to around 5 percent in early 2023. The series hovers between 5 and 6 percent through the end of the series.
Note: The triple-B series reflects the effective yield of the ICE Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) triple-B U.S. Corporate Index (C0A4), and the high-yield series reflects the effective yield of the ICE BofAML U.S. High Yield Index (H0A0).
Source: ICE Data Indices, LLC, used with permission.
Figure 1.8. Corporate bond spreads narrowed to low levels relative to their historical distributions
This is a line chart titled "Corporate bond spreads narrowed to low levels relative to their historical distributions." The x-axis measures time and ranges from 1997 to 2024. The data are monthly, and there are two variables plotted on the chart. The first line is labeled "High-yield" and is designated by a black line. This line corresponds to the values on the right y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 24 percentage points. It begins at around 3 percentage points in 1997 and rises steadily, with local peaks in 1999, late 2000, and mid-2001, to around 10 percentage points by 2002. The series falls to 4 percentage points by the end of 2004 and then declines slowly to around 2 percent until 2007. The series then rises rapidly to its peak in late 2008 of around 20 percentage points. It then falls steeply in 2009 to around 6 percentage points before it falls gradually to 4 percentage points in 2011. In late 2011, the series spikes to 8 percentage points, before falling steadily to around 4 percentage points in 2014. The series rises gradually from 2014 to 2016 to 7 percentage points, then falls to around 4 percentage points again in 2017, remaining there through 2019. In early 2020, the series jumps to almost 9 percentage points then drops to about 5 percentage points in October. It then steadily decreases to about 3 percentage points in April 2021 and remains there until early 2022. The series then begins rising gradually again to around 5 percentage points in October 2022, then decreases slightly to just below 4 percentage points by April 2023. The series shows a slight uptick closer to a value of 4 percentage points in September 2023 and declines to 3 percentage points by the end of the series in March 2024. The second line is labeled "Triple B" and is designated by a blue line. This line corresponds to the values on the left y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 12 percentage points. It begins at just under 1 percentage point in 1997, rises to around 3.5 percentage points by the end of 2002. The series declines to around 1 percentage point by the start of 2004 and remains there until mid-2007. From there, it rapidly rises to its peak in late 2008 of around 7.7 percentage points. The series then falls steeply in 2009 to around 3 percentage points and declines further to below 2 percentage points in 2011. The series jumps to 3 percentage points in mid-2011 before declining slowly to 1.5 percentage points in 2014. The series then rises gradually to around 3 percentage points in early 2016, then declines to around 1 percentage point by early 2018. The series remains around 1.5 percentage points from 2018 through early 2020 before jumping to almost 4 percentage points in March 2020. The series then decreases to 1 percent by April 2021 and remains there through mid-2022, where it climbs to around 2 percentage points. The value gently declines throughout 2023 and early 2024, ending at 1.1 percentage points in March 2024.
Note: The triple-B series reflects the option-adjusted spread of the ICE Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) triple-B U.S. Corporate Index (C0A4), and the high-yield series reflects the option-adjusted spread of the ICE BofAML U.S. High Yield Index (H0A0).
Source: ICE Data Indices, LLC, used with permission.
Figure 1.9. The excess bond premium fell slightly but remained near the middle of the historical range
Percentage points
Date | Excess bond premium |
---|---|
1997-01-01 | -0.341378592 |
1997-02-01 | -0.460756757 |
1997-03-01 | -0.486792226 |
1997-04-01 | -0.445170707 |
1997-05-01 | -0.442488534 |
1997-06-01 | -0.544831451 |
1997-07-01 | -0.516571605 |
1997-08-01 | -0.510807348 |
1997-09-01 | -0.562775122 |
1997-10-01 | -0.442270491 |
1997-11-01 | -0.334817257 |
1997-12-01 | -0.402776305 |
1998-01-01 | -0.363434441 |
1998-02-01 | -0.336640585 |
1998-03-01 | -0.385936345 |
1998-04-01 | -0.414648156 |
1998-05-01 | -0.377166149 |
1998-06-01 | -0.340166852 |
1998-07-01 | -0.302268502 |
1998-08-01 | 0.094220519 |
1998-09-01 | 0.079474952 |
1998-10-01 | 0.204564331 |
1998-11-01 | 0.188551041 |
1998-12-01 | 0.050982652 |
1999-01-01 | 0.047250112 |
1999-02-01 | -0.173381439 |
1999-03-01 | -0.163296856 |
1999-04-01 | -0.205292705 |
1999-05-01 | -0.199647096 |
1999-06-01 | -0.139740891 |
1999-07-01 | -0.089152208 |
1999-08-01 | -0.035158469 |
1999-09-01 | 0.096426153 |
1999-10-01 | 0.110177605 |
1999-11-01 | 0.075153326 |
1999-12-01 | -0.153508901 |
2000-01-01 | 0.029329571 |
2000-02-01 | 0.120434816 |
2000-03-01 | 0.387849988 |
2000-04-01 | 0.544895095 |
2000-05-01 | 0.724647095 |
2000-06-01 | 0.762615862 |
2000-07-01 | 0.844512228 |
2000-08-01 | 0.993876321 |
2000-09-01 | 1.105544707 |
2000-10-01 | 1.501712004 |
2000-11-01 | 1.583742098 |
2000-12-01 | 1.579503512 |
2001-01-01 | 1.126268676 |
2001-02-01 | 1.151416799 |
2001-03-01 | 1.086112726 |
2001-04-01 | 0.907904999 |
2001-05-01 | 0.770532245 |
2001-06-01 | 1.004550032 |
2001-07-01 | 0.770933709 |
2001-08-01 | 0.74446272 |
2001-09-01 | 1.212690514 |
2001-10-01 | 1.028560618 |
2001-11-01 | -0.069398074 |
2001-12-01 | 0.412145841 |
2002-01-01 | 0.565986047 |
2002-02-01 | 0.767539925 |
2002-03-01 | 0.285874074 |
2002-04-01 | 0.404525273 |
2002-05-01 | 0.496696194 |
2002-06-01 | 0.937391263 |
2002-07-01 | 1.534052416 |
2002-08-01 | 1.431614008 |
2002-09-01 | 1.607073755 |
2002-10-01 | 1.413196026 |
2002-11-01 | 1.027809306 |
2002-12-01 | 0.881496888 |
2003-01-01 | 0.834158529 |
2003-02-01 | 0.628878452 |
2003-03-01 | 0.128697183 |
2003-04-01 | 0.0309615 |
2003-05-01 | -0.497411447 |
2003-06-01 | -0.406941603 |
2003-07-01 | -1.053190286 |
2003-08-01 | -0.214685268 |
2003-09-01 | -0.556377062 |
2003-10-01 | -0.534010523 |
2003-11-01 | -0.554836891 |
2003-12-01 | -0.532881274 |
2004-01-01 | -0.720377036 |
2004-02-01 | -0.34678349 |
2004-03-01 | -0.530728921 |
2004-04-01 | -0.744727742 |
2004-05-01 | -0.368577262 |
2004-06-01 | -0.386550869 |
2004-07-01 | -0.326583574 |
2004-08-01 | -0.436176339 |
2004-09-01 | -0.5567513 |
2004-10-01 | -0.545452047 |
2004-11-01 | -0.684985694 |
2004-12-01 | -0.732288466 |
2005-01-01 | -0.715548852 |
2005-02-01 | -0.933908363 |
2005-03-01 | -0.638805402 |
2005-04-01 | -0.385857745 |
2005-05-01 | -0.311823826 |
2005-06-01 | -0.459484357 |
2005-07-01 | -0.560881499 |
2005-08-01 | -0.564202533 |
2005-09-01 | -0.473514167 |
2005-10-01 | -0.353162559 |
2005-11-01 | -0.321514038 |
2005-12-01 | -0.291669704 |
2006-01-01 | -0.374242769 |
2006-02-01 | -0.329382151 |
2006-03-01 | -0.413681262 |
2006-04-01 | -0.458258666 |
2006-05-01 | -0.363082849 |
2006-06-01 | -0.377320526 |
2006-07-01 | -0.284106931 |
2006-08-01 | -0.314604491 |
2006-09-01 | -0.36850879 |
2006-10-01 | -0.402633338 |
2006-11-01 | -0.372555231 |
2006-12-01 | -0.498179163 |
2007-01-01 | -0.561538027 |
2007-02-01 | -0.56369032 |
2007-03-01 | -0.380899848 |
2007-04-01 | -0.38062806 |
2007-05-01 | -0.5942433 |
2007-06-01 | -0.381903716 |
2007-07-01 | 0.020175065 |
2007-08-01 | 0.13658184 |
2007-09-01 | 0.070133735 |
2007-10-01 | -0.017461997 |
2007-11-01 | 0.331979307 |
2007-12-01 | 0.478924971 |
2008-01-01 | 0.716753276 |
2008-02-01 | 0.921306927 |
2008-03-01 | 1.146651272 |
2008-04-01 | 0.670229189 |
2008-05-01 | 0.674779429 |
2008-06-01 | 0.816289856 |
2008-07-01 | 1.07668813 |
2008-08-01 | 1.223562152 |
2008-09-01 | 1.802235749 |
2008-10-01 | 3.505405935 |
2008-11-01 | 3.287386081 |
2008-12-01 | 3.434612917 |
2009-01-01 | 2.852747699 |
2009-02-01 | 3.219217498 |
2009-03-01 | 2.779292553 |
2009-04-01 | 2.261261713 |
2009-05-01 | 1.392963535 |
2009-06-01 | 0.958035234 |
2009-07-01 | 0.354484533 |
2009-08-01 | 0.084875569 |
2009-09-01 | 0.064863195 |
2009-10-01 | -0.139221898 |
2009-11-01 | -0.011603752 |
2009-12-01 | -0.468745152 |
2010-01-01 | -0.202241812 |
2010-02-01 | -0.005845354 |
2010-03-01 | -0.160873465 |
2010-04-01 | -0.273883037 |
2010-05-01 | -0.121926314 |
2010-06-01 | 0.043881885 |
2010-07-01 | 0.161324108 |
2010-08-01 | -0.286172532 |
2010-09-01 | -0.01773387 |
2010-10-01 | -0.029063606 |
2010-11-01 | -0.149156555 |
2010-12-01 | -0.414755241 |
2011-01-01 | -0.036904031 |
2011-02-01 | -0.280544428 |
2011-03-01 | -0.319143733 |
2011-04-01 | -0.274204309 |
2011-05-01 | -0.15225431 |
2011-06-01 | -0.029390153 |
2011-07-01 | -0.075566246 |
2011-08-01 | -0.103262864 |
2011-09-01 | 0.440073132 |
2011-10-01 | -0.091291626 |
2011-11-01 | 0.498686125 |
2011-12-01 | 0.272085715 |
2012-01-01 | 0.169705499 |
2012-02-01 | 0.04216011 |
2012-03-01 | -0.348358167 |
2012-04-01 | -0.178299525 |
2012-05-01 | -0.085295994 |
2012-06-01 | 0.151386351 |
2012-07-01 | -0.020503108 |
2012-08-01 | -0.219471222 |
2012-09-01 | -0.165862595 |
2012-10-01 | -0.194617768 |
2012-11-01 | -0.063886107 |
2012-12-01 | -0.178168591 |
2013-01-01 | -0.110091977 |
2013-02-01 | -0.049275363 |
2013-03-01 | -0.113697465 |
2013-04-01 | -0.142298829 |
2013-05-01 | -0.504019776 |
2013-06-01 | -0.355288846 |
2013-07-01 | -0.024649505 |
2013-08-01 | -0.129448663 |
2013-09-01 | -0.144525104 |
2013-10-01 | -0.056655139 |
2013-11-01 | -0.017293505 |
2013-12-01 | -0.169109277 |
2014-01-01 | -0.318673738 |
2014-02-01 | -0.225254708 |
2014-03-01 | -0.287614172 |
2014-04-01 | -0.36826282 |
2014-05-01 | -0.381772465 |
2014-06-01 | -0.316255156 |
2014-07-01 | -0.319603615 |
2014-08-01 | -0.314922135 |
2014-09-01 | -0.211969565 |
2014-10-01 | -0.212532602 |
2014-11-01 | 0.061323386 |
2014-12-01 | 0.09367556 |
2015-01-01 | -0.02741207 |
2015-02-01 | -0.273491809 |
2015-03-01 | -0.119076367 |
2015-04-01 | 0.008866754 |
2015-05-01 | 0.054106669 |
2015-06-01 | 0.149703724 |
2015-07-01 | 0.212963921 |
2015-08-01 | 0.398904949 |
2015-09-01 | 0.537481461 |
2015-10-01 | 0.420371708 |
2015-11-01 | 0.508315542 |
2015-12-01 | 0.686305426 |
2016-01-01 | 0.917501575 |
2016-02-01 | 0.945779162 |
2016-03-01 | 0.569088712 |
2016-04-01 | 0.225135907 |
2016-05-01 | 0.237191731 |
2016-06-01 | 0.050658278 |
2016-07-01 | -0.00144443 |
2016-08-01 | -0.033565096 |
2016-09-01 | -0.083891539 |
2016-10-01 | -0.088238951 |
2016-11-01 | -0.726708697 |
2016-12-01 | -0.250782325 |
2017-01-01 | -0.203477088 |
2017-02-01 | -0.189571273 |
2017-03-01 | -0.179758805 |
2017-04-01 | -0.132423025 |
2017-05-01 | -0.182224344 |
2017-06-01 | -0.140724843 |
2017-07-01 | -0.16665312 |
2017-08-01 | -0.095340333 |
2017-09-01 | -0.27001982 |
2017-10-01 | -0.23054888 |
2017-11-01 | -0.147272841 |
2017-12-01 | -0.209004873 |
2018-01-01 | -0.405258573 |
2018-02-01 | -0.25310053 |
2018-03-01 | -0.11415488 |
2018-04-01 | -0.290513036 |
2018-05-01 | -0.203316288 |
2018-06-01 | 0.015889711 |
2018-07-01 | -0.138598593 |
2018-08-01 | -0.107475036 |
2018-09-01 | -0.186615939 |
2018-10-01 | -0.015512904 |
2018-11-01 | 0.129521277 |
2018-12-01 | 0.321656877 |
2019-01-01 | 0.152957621 |
2019-02-01 | 0.041425444 |
2019-03-01 | -0.145115221 |
2019-04-01 | -0.030624617 |
2019-05-01 | -0.040561 |
2019-06-01 | -0.019135844 |
2019-07-01 | -0.068967307 |
2019-08-01 | -0.181497578 |
2019-09-01 | -0.259663237 |
2019-10-01 | -0.251696732 |
2019-11-01 | -0.199353661 |
2019-12-01 | -0.313935005 |
2020-01-01 | -0.271218686 |
2020-02-01 | -0.174047697 |
2020-03-01 | 1.206990978 |
2020-04-01 | 0.647786211 |
2020-05-01 | 0.383727145 |
2020-06-01 | 0.032821844 |
2020-07-01 | -0.180763875 |
2020-08-01 | -0.306451489 |
2020-09-01 | -0.023538888 |
2020-10-01 | -0.22975045 |
2020-11-01 | -0.488399225 |
2020-12-01 | -0.526215283 |
2021-01-01 | -0.676334023 |
2021-02-01 | -0.957520732 |
2021-03-01 | -0.760997038 |
2021-04-01 | -0.502718027 |
2021-05-01 | -0.439758336 |
2021-06-01 | -0.593708333 |
2021-07-01 | -0.561982207 |
2021-08-01 | -0.488418925 |
2021-09-01 | -0.649450131 |
2021-10-01 | -0.525938419 |
2021-11-01 | -0.444578306 |
2021-12-01 | -0.445657058 |
2022-01-01 | -0.344501003 |
2022-02-01 | -0.209066147 |
2022-03-01 | -0.801658493 |
2022-04-01 | -0.287493295 |
2022-05-01 | -0.119317097 |
2022-06-01 | 0.077000835 |
2022-07-01 | -0.010338249 |
2022-08-01 | -0.045164649 |
2022-09-01 | 0.026108886 |
2022-10-01 | 0.076195563 |
2022-11-01 | -0.249611214 |
2022-12-01 | -0.035978473 |
2023-01-01 | -0.059099958 |
2023-02-01 | -0.172297342 |
2023-03-01 | -0.222744058 |
2023-04-01 | 0.133035001 |
2023-05-01 | 0.083327686 |
2023-06-01 | 0.133954325 |
2023-07-01 | -0.02297682 |
2023-08-01 | 0.030761378 |
2023-09-01 | -0.047038266 |
2023-10-01 | 0.19178664 |
2023-11-01 | -0.099912552 |
2023-12-01 | -0.252070115 |
2024-01-01 | -0.104989805 |
2024-02-01 | -0.167639507 |
Note: The excess bond premium (EBP) is a measure of bond market investors' risk sentiment. It is derived as the residual of a regression that models corporate bond spreads after controlling for expected default losses. By construction, its historical mean is zero. Positive (negative) EBP values indicate that investors' risk appetite is below (above) its historical mean.
Source: Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on Lehman Brothers Fixed Income Database (Warga); Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., ICE Data Services; Center for Research in Security Prices, CRSP/Compustat Merged Database, Wharton Research Data Services; S&P Global, Compustat.
Figure 1.10. Spreads on leveraged loans declined modestly
Percentage points
Date | B (monthly) | B (weekly) | BB (monthly) | BB (weekly) |
---|---|---|---|---|
1997-01-31 | 2.09188813 | |||
1997-02-28 | 2.081784102 | |||
1997-03-31 | 2.082131354 | |||
1997-04-30 | 2.13128051 | |||
1997-05-31 | 2.156636783 | |||
1997-06-30 | 2.167234706 | |||
1997-07-31 | 2.278659303 | 1.912117954 | ||
1997-08-31 | 2.255190912 | 1.847993503 | ||
1997-09-30 | 2.282264366 | 1.890312257 | ||
1997-10-31 | 2.548701941 | 1.95239139 | ||
1997-11-30 | 2.552277198 | 1.911238578 | ||
1997-12-31 | 2.577663079 | 1.885312108 | ||
1998-01-31 | 2.583286704 | 2.039621189 | ||
1998-02-28 | 2.577240454 | 2.076864347 | ||
1998-03-31 | 2.614346931 | 2.014244209 | ||
1998-04-30 | 2.604711257 | 2.019649061 | ||
1998-05-31 | 2.64727726 | 2.174256136 | ||
1998-06-30 | 2.638384911 | 2.280400402 | ||
1998-07-31 | 2.652981144 | 2.254612142 | ||
1998-08-31 | 2.751058603 | 2.330406251 | ||
1998-09-30 | 2.94176293 | 2.503683338 | ||
1998-10-31 | 3.063245772 | 2.630212144 | ||
1998-11-30 | 3.346695816 | 2.686889488 | ||
1998-12-31 | 3.23167825 | 2.557427806 | ||
1999-01-31 | 3.200453504 | 2.622222163 | ||
1999-02-28 | 3.21252047 | 2.549691079 | ||
1999-03-31 | 3.570720313 | 2.484316634 | ||
1999-04-30 | 3.933362083 | 2.651588876 | ||
1999-05-31 | 3.797347759 | 2.842941804 | ||
1999-06-30 | 3.856619932 | 2.843767035 | ||
1999-07-31 | 4.096399146 | 2.948887085 | ||
1999-08-31 | 4.456923697 | 2.994047716 | ||
1999-09-30 | 4.745677304 | 3.962524585 | ||
1999-10-31 | 4.961565057 | 4.085427379 | ||
1999-11-30 | 4.741948663 | 3.908859837 | ||
1999-12-31 | 6.075945806 | 4.015088945 | ||
2000-01-31 | 6.242112668 | 4.073318477 | ||
2000-02-29 | 6.074316532 | 4.114062447 | ||
2000-03-31 | 6.054808031 | 3.434830755 | ||
2000-04-30 | 5.439305951 | 3.511192693 | ||
2000-05-31 | 5.24555979 | 3.259028298 | ||
2000-06-30 | 5.671585599 | 3.116330778 | ||
2000-07-31 | 6.033401004 | 3.00189609 | ||
2000-08-31 | 5.729202064 | 3.020411462 | ||
2000-09-30 | 6.652208066 | 3.19167802 | ||
2000-10-31 | 6.909706813 | 3.255724041 | ||
2000-11-30 | 7.309964117 | 3.070969307 | ||
2000-12-31 | 6.688836596 | 3.046207166 | ||
2001-01-31 | 6.262165593 | 2.950594704 | ||
2001-02-28 | 5.950374107 | 2.910251425 | ||
2001-03-31 | 6.8348555 | 2.94681492 | ||
2001-04-30 | 6.708736768 | 2.955077536 | ||
2001-05-31 | 6.4951938 | 2.947355151 | ||
2001-06-30 | 6.623167835 | 2.989296771 | ||
2001-07-31 | 6.710761767 | 3.030494639 | ||
2001-08-31 | 6.509984259 | 2.997834632 | ||
2001-09-30 | 7.418618009 | 3.34538512 | ||
2001-10-31 | 8.706155231 | 3.508112025 | ||
2001-11-30 | 6.817658163 | 3.114308784 | ||
2001-12-31 | 6.210143683 | 3.089209747 | ||
2002-01-31 | 5.892862309 | 3.05192671 | ||
2002-02-28 | 5.502441683 | 3.091428669 | ||
2002-03-31 | 5.223070043 | 3.06572117 | ||
2002-04-30 | 4.919820916 | 2.939460183 | ||
2002-05-31 | 5.62215769 | 2.952333944 | ||
2002-06-30 | 5.903710317 | 2.993291727 | ||
2002-07-31 | 6.631473548 | 3.37911052 | ||
2002-08-31 | 6.52683651 | 3.715267406 | ||
2002-09-30 | 6.638053 | 3.750186118 | ||
2002-10-31 | 7.374960799 | 4.639273938 | ||
2002-11-30 | 6.718488029 | 4.137358247 | ||
2002-12-31 | 6.581381678 | 3.51504978 | ||
2003-01-31 | 6.104288712 | 3.600831789 | ||
2003-02-28 | 6.296625981 | 3.55664379 | ||
2003-03-31 | 6.031704463 | 3.56692318 | ||
2003-04-30 | 5.107015923 | 3.580657336 | ||
2003-05-31 | 4.659263532 | 3.351620841 | ||
2003-06-30 | 4.475665852 | 3.242489052 | ||
2003-07-31 | 4.512590154 | 3.032349549 | ||
2003-08-31 | 4.724970075 | 3.006269321 | ||
2003-09-30 | 4.979679712 | 2.980814917 | ||
2003-10-31 | 4.823216865 | 2.937558894 | ||
2003-11-30 | 4.776087956 | 2.853108173 | ||
2003-12-31 | 4.514679285 | 2.609684261 | ||
2004-01-31 | 4.030295882 | 2.505848458 | ||
2004-02-29 | 4.20273622 | 2.450504955 | ||
2004-03-31 | 3.917407114 | 2.381952191 | ||
2004-04-30 | 3.919637007 | 2.333858047 | ||
2004-05-28 | 4.062617639 | 2.40125276 | ||
2004-06-25 | 3.770043862 | 2.34405188 | ||
2004-07-30 | 3.843627933 | 2.255141151 | ||
2004-08-31 | 3.690023757 | 2.201748435 | ||
2004-09-30 | 3.613219159 | 2.136299164 | ||
2004-10-29 | 3.423142673 | 2.101811115 | ||
2004-11-30 | 3.258223484 | 2.072763693 | ||
2004-12-31 | 3.205977599 | 2.014210966 | ||
2005-01-31 | 3.252577924 | 1.980077793 | ||
2005-02-25 | 3.142369917 | 1.937545734 | ||
2005-03-31 | 3.047039139 | 1.850718315 | ||
2005-04-29 | 3.295215816 | 1.826328866 | ||
2005-05-31 | 3.124605675 | 1.860770294 | ||
2005-06-30 | 3.098929284 | 1.840825021 | ||
2005-07-29 | 3.038934267 | 1.765225638 | ||
2005-08-30 | 2.977012124 | 1.684525925 | ||
2005-09-30 | 2.959684756 | 1.725819089 | ||
2005-10-28 | 3.004611488 | 1.771756347 | ||
2005-11-30 | 2.893254531 | 1.783893172 | ||
2005-12-30 | 2.812631245 | 1.808442761 | ||
2006-01-31 | 2.823837991 | 1.745092629 | ||
2006-02-28 | 2.78175102 | 1.681539632 | ||
2006-03-31 | 2.739771964 | 1.68006846 | ||
2006-04-28 | 2.737436009 | 1.660514413 | ||
2006-05-31 | 2.673117132 | 1.727872182 | ||
2006-06-30 | 2.674438506 | 1.835263297 | ||
2006-07-28 | 2.698809064 | 1.875504449 | ||
2006-08-31 | 2.740115341 | 1.86821573 | ||
2006-09-29 | 2.738626971 | 1.86028665 | ||
2006-10-31 | 2.697930732 | 1.827817963 | ||
2006-11-30 | 2.702841826 | 1.966498489 | ||
2006-12-29 | 2.725997941 | 1.94127587 | ||
2007-01-31 | 2.600943861 | 1.913990437 | ||
2007-02-28 | 2.527216925 | 1.740932619 | ||
2007-03-30 | 2.492788553 | 1.770728531 | ||
2007-04-27 | 2.464456807 | 1.79786483 | ||
2007-05-31 | 2.411012615 | 1.785477596 | ||
2007-06-29 | 2.698014075 | 2.010311422 | ||
2007-07-31 | 3.478625362 | 2.824087826 | ||
2007-08-31 | 3.593701588 | 2.997391968 | ||
2007-09-28 | 3.341144765 | 2.711721162 | ||
2007-10-26 | 3.285028147 | 2.637905571 | ||
2007-11-30 | 3.85693643 | 3.062700596 | ||
2007-12-28 | 4.158829705 | 2.929114293 | ||
2008-01-31 | 4.975806018 | 3.743547176 | ||
2008-02-29 | 6.073212249 | 4.376096615 | ||
2008-03-28 | 7.208623221 | 4.324824068 | ||
2008-04-30 | 6.348011313 | 3.682164953 | ||
2008-05-30 | 6.379506401 | 3.587716478 | ||
2008-06-27 | 6.39477656 | 3.862890484 | ||
2008-07-31 | 7.173169589 | 4.179169073 | ||
2008-08-29 | 7.65469665 | 4.233284712 | ||
2008-09-30 | 10.60797989 | 5.941421106 | ||
2008-10-31 | 17.04969574 | 9.274483593 | ||
2008-11-28 | 20.89103789 | 11.0334419 | ||
2008-12-31 | 24.76122466 | 11.47030365 | ||
2009-01-30 | 20.69854071 | 8.744575104 | ||
2009-02-27 | 20.75494273 | 7.85357321 | ||
2009-03-31 | 20.31940445 | 7.791746152 | ||
2009-04-30 | 15.78603819 | 5.76799071 | ||
2009-05-29 | 12.39966035 | 5.560701626 | ||
2009-06-30 | 10.23361646 | 4.856091479 | ||
2009-07-31 | 8.497799368 | 4.186032619 | ||
2009-08-31 | 7.807965623 | 4.133706674 | ||
2009-09-30 | 6.96202797 | 4.006873408 | ||
2009-10-30 | 6.36999189 | 4.195248107 | ||
2009-11-30 | 6.704091026 | 4.526671541 | ||
2009-12-31 | 6.020436669 | 3.882098136 | ||
2010-01-29 | 5.673790358 | 3.699848283 | ||
2010-02-26 | 5.782266113 | 3.813460697 | ||
2010-03-31 | 5.27419835 | 3.499254325 | ||
2010-04-30 | 5.046092783 | 3.42850474 | ||
2010-05-28 | 6.10543623 | 3.988692698 | ||
2010-06-30 | 6.427051577 | 4.166631782 | ||
2010-07-30 | 5.980864621 | 4.014011967 | ||
2010-08-31 | 5.981197026 | 4.006990999 | ||
2010-09-30 | 5.619694567 | 3.88035424 | ||
2010-10-29 | 5.220238996 | 3.658196956 | ||
2010-11-30 | 5.614760701 | 3.709545132 | ||
2010-12-31 | 5.289997081 | 3.68691684 | ||
2011-01-31 | 4.800970166 | 3.506045183 | ||
2011-02-28 | 4.819888371 | 3.521926073 | ||
2011-03-31 | 4.854444575 | 3.436375211 | ||
2011-04-29 | 4.89480425 | 3.41062736 | ||
2011-05-31 | 5.041155125 | 3.571798755 | ||
2011-06-30 | 5.350327752 | 3.812068758 | ||
2011-07-29 | 5.424969659 | 3.820199304 | ||
2011-08-31 | 6.751228372 | 5.110951751 | ||
2011-09-30 | 6.846344185 | 4.688318525 | ||
2011-10-31 | 6.055158395 | 4.018786804 | ||
2011-11-30 | 6.539957601 | 4.244311218 | ||
2011-12-30 | 6.334345527 | 4.155591121 | ||
2012-01-31 | 5.709288282 | 3.854599736 | ||
2012-02-29 | 5.334908472 | 3.801143705 | ||
2012-03-30 | 5.374036092 | 3.757435533 | ||
2012-04-30 | 5.381195508 | 3.914070372 | ||
2012-05-31 | 5.861093971 | 4.262568286 | ||
2012-06-29 | 5.792673471 | 4.248600792 | ||
2012-07-31 | 5.877940539 | 4.100262473 | ||
2012-08-31 | 5.694161908 | 4.167612129 | ||
2012-09-28 | 5.547691177 | 3.962440438 | ||
2012-10-31 | 5.490887841 | 3.833106587 | ||
2012-11-30 | 5.604074257 | 3.83601469 | ||
2012-12-31 | 5.492338231 | 3.840471158 | ||
2013-01-31 | 5.28405064 | 3.719379441 | ||
2013-02-28 | 5.320350623 | 3.861849518 | ||
2013-03-28 | 5.135984135 | 3.72611154 | ||
2013-04-30 | 5.038359816 | 3.786623846 | ||
2013-05-31 | 4.869384084 | 3.62152864 | ||
2013-06-28 | 4.976929952 | 3.587007172 | ||
2013-07-31 | 4.821365022 | 3.333400388 | ||
2013-08-30 | 4.921733386 | 3.409726628 | ||
2013-09-30 | 4.993291222 | 3.456238912 | ||
2013-10-31 | 4.901852852 | 3.430421305 | ||
2013-11-22 | 4.916377784 | 3.499955765 | ||
2013-11-29 | 4.914891458 | 3.518233972 | ||
2013-12-06 | 4.898171004 | 3.524592769 | ||
2013-12-13 | 4.876331321 | 3.519265469 | ||
2013-12-20 | 4.862503347 | 3.460523049 | ||
2013-12-27 | 4.839803606 | 3.398370805 | ||
2014-01-03 | 4.839262079 | 3.369628791 | ||
2014-01-10 | 4.774945019 | 3.341352033 | ||
2014-01-17 | 4.739750726 | 3.352491454 | ||
2014-01-24 | 4.736467988 | 3.338112667 | ||
2014-01-31 | 4.770168272 | 3.373253137 | ||
2014-02-07 | 4.76437119 | 3.366453535 | ||
2014-02-14 | 4.738729262 | 3.423159641 | ||
2014-02-21 | 4.715267423 | 3.437046942 | ||
2014-02-28 | 4.709790526 | 3.323524114 | ||
2014-03-07 | 4.704533429 | 3.318906023 | ||
2014-03-14 | 4.681325461 | 3.320472077 | ||
2014-03-21 | 4.648603975 | 3.306092109 | ||
2014-03-28 | 4.652339321 | 3.318788066 | ||
2014-04-04 | 4.718304465 | 3.375574896 | ||
2014-04-11 | 4.696981957 | 3.409174123 | ||
2014-04-17 | 4.718402054 | 3.402645006 | ||
2014-04-25 | 4.755950876 | 3.453507459 | ||
2014-05-02 | 4.738825046 | 3.407384974 | ||
2014-05-09 | 4.732969317 | 3.372525312 | ||
2014-05-16 | 4.698471116 | 3.380386391 | ||
2014-05-23 | 4.706252087 | 3.389482277 | ||
2014-05-30 | 4.717653505 | 3.389951511 | ||
2014-06-06 | 4.699577443 | 3.400249916 | ||
2014-06-13 | 4.685820569 | 3.402507859 | ||
2014-06-20 | 4.690118843 | 3.389094774 | ||
2014-06-27 | 4.680845234 | 3.371392398 | ||
2014-07-03 | 4.666334523 | 3.383072886 | ||
2014-07-11 | 4.658575971 | 3.417841231 | ||
2014-07-18 | 4.665917099 | 3.415667513 | ||
2014-07-25 | 4.671093117 | 3.425566587 | ||
2014-08-01 | 4.74805781 | 3.498796139 | ||
2014-08-08 | 4.762578882 | 3.558336507 | ||
2014-08-15 | 4.802610647 | 3.631927077 | ||
2014-08-22 | 4.794545458 | 3.60877406 | ||
2014-08-29 | 4.758376975 | 3.575706016 | ||
2014-09-05 | 4.767268309 | 3.575215511 | ||
2014-09-12 | 4.819516024 | 3.628959008 | ||
2014-09-19 | 4.821836488 | 3.632569381 | ||
2014-09-26 | 4.901986285 | 3.712759185 | ||
2014-10-03 | 4.973162228 | 3.755308292 | ||
2014-10-10 | 4.986114632 | 3.782397376 | ||
2014-10-17 | 5.140122532 | 3.921464774 | ||
2014-10-24 | 5.085148349 | 3.837086684 | ||
2014-10-31 | 4.999332346 | 3.737800657 | ||
2014-11-07 | 5.011006849 | 3.706677336 | ||
2014-11-14 | 4.995262482 | 3.694548608 | ||
2014-11-21 | 5.005295081 | 3.676991038 | ||
2014-11-28 | 5.032323702 | 3.669957261 | ||
2014-12-05 | 5.139745754 | 3.690461408 | ||
2014-12-12 | 5.405282994 | 3.914272538 | ||
2014-12-19 | 5.519807965 | 3.949508522 | ||
2014-12-26 | 5.448301608 | 3.89882721 | ||
2015-01-02 | 5.443144343 | 3.88988542 | ||
2015-01-09 | 5.440880506 | 3.915570376 | ||
2015-01-16 | 5.451260026 | 3.893411429 | ||
2015-01-23 | 5.443209503 | 3.879602844 | ||
2015-01-30 | 5.471747275 | 3.925043577 | ||
2015-02-06 | 5.413791147 | 3.856426966 | ||
2015-02-13 | 5.334950359 | 3.794522836 | ||
2015-02-20 | 5.27347492 | 3.748249472 | ||
2015-02-27 | 5.22462584 | 3.728373996 | ||
2015-03-06 | 5.188786002 | 3.677835 | ||
2015-03-13 | 5.160951961 | 3.68595866 | ||
2015-03-20 | 5.212122718 | 3.703929496 | ||
2015-03-27 | 5.21040577 | 3.669109811 | ||
2015-04-02 | 5.176891929 | 3.661889197 | ||
2015-04-10 | 5.122567945 | 3.581800596 | ||
2015-04-17 | 5.136221039 | 3.563280056 | ||
2015-04-24 | 5.113677401 | 3.560362804 | ||
2015-05-01 | 5.11800049 | 3.548952597 | ||
2015-05-08 | 5.094962992 | 3.567037959 | ||
2015-05-15 | 5.111735564 | 3.595207081 | ||
2015-05-22 | 5.129718477 | 3.567322428 | ||
2015-05-29 | 5.138548929 | 3.56770722 | ||
2015-06-05 | 5.223016717 | 3.581797787 | ||
2015-06-12 | 5.276865047 | 3.607936474 | ||
2015-06-19 | 5.308696533 | 3.640718819 | ||
2015-06-26 | 5.309534447 | 3.624999743 | ||
2015-07-02 | 5.354256657 | 3.62705514 | ||
2015-07-10 | 5.340924057 | 3.593556675 | ||
2015-07-17 | 5.296042792 | 3.54833725 | ||
2015-07-24 | 5.312473852 | 3.552946258 | ||
2015-07-31 | 5.362804633 | 3.582230706 | ||
2015-08-07 | 5.3838736 | 3.624674017 | ||
2015-08-14 | 5.412196953 | 3.682274495 | ||
2015-08-21 | 5.483047648 | 3.708981882 | ||
2015-08-28 | 5.560346207 | 3.735472023 | ||
2015-09-04 | 5.41201616 | 3.719743088 | ||
2015-09-11 | 5.423930137 | 3.694121119 | ||
2015-09-18 | 5.445589999 | 3.675781383 | ||
2015-09-25 | 5.521814767 | 3.702046847 | ||
2015-10-02 | 5.747364413 | 3.781452424 | ||
2015-10-09 | 5.754071527 | 3.77081726 | ||
2015-10-16 | 5.78555008 | 3.780684027 | ||
2015-10-23 | 5.76314917 | 3.781348985 | ||
2015-10-30 | 5.768075991 | 3.848737724 | ||
2015-11-06 | 5.771258001 | 3.811053802 | ||
2015-11-13 | 5.899560083 | 3.899866721 | ||
2015-11-20 | 6.075623026 | 3.947751217 | ||
2015-11-27 | 6.114545324 | 3.916660319 | ||
2015-12-04 | 6.207904349 | 3.874484344 | ||
2015-12-11 | 6.660786963 | 3.95863275 | ||
2015-12-18 | 7.004504876 | 4.023014983 | ||
2015-12-24 | 7.076315778 | 4.049996674 | ||
2015-12-31 | 7.078051368 | 4.032757065 | ||
2016-01-08 | 7.116764079 | 4.006440014 | ||
2016-01-15 | 7.22109756 | 4.033594782 | ||
2016-01-22 | 7.463377685 | 4.140913827 | ||
2016-01-29 | 7.426786701 | 4.143736858 | ||
2016-02-05 | 7.459994834 | 4.112145558 | ||
2016-02-12 | 7.710244428 | 4.262792756 | ||
2016-02-19 | 7.524063928 | 4.267073355 | ||
2016-02-26 | 7.507702418 | 4.240147461 | ||
2016-03-04 | 7.245200099 | 4.113030235 | ||
2016-03-11 | 6.950796478 | 3.97372928 | ||
2016-03-18 | 6.563393002 | 3.763428872 | ||
2016-03-24 | 6.504210223 | 3.781129591 | ||
2016-04-01 | 6.280890574 | 3.805153009 | ||
2016-04-08 | 6.202166372 | 3.730850057 | ||
2016-04-15 | 5.807877417 | 3.690519535 | ||
2016-04-22 | 5.599083232 | 3.616925643 | ||
2016-04-29 | 5.521393475 | 3.603262417 | ||
2016-05-06 | 5.49952765 | 3.642831502 | ||
2016-05-13 | 5.463222133 | 3.650158304 | ||
2016-05-20 | 5.416815879 | 3.621082734 | ||
2016-05-27 | 5.332033623 | 3.579699503 | ||
2016-06-03 | 5.336304568 | 3.570474948 | ||
2016-06-10 | 5.289366572 | 3.608965167 | ||
2016-06-17 | 5.294908361 | 3.64507633 | ||
2016-06-24 | 5.3449611 | 3.641041079 | ||
2016-07-01 | 5.379635994 | 3.651662015 | ||
2016-07-08 | 5.33862199 | 3.622247218 | ||
2016-07-15 | 5.234737724 | 3.54090099 | ||
2016-07-22 | 5.147036813 | 3.483750552 | ||
2016-07-29 | 5.121639252 | 3.448759909 | ||
2016-08-05 | 5.098302719 | 3.469556608 | ||
2016-08-12 | 5.072111009 | 3.439328269 | ||
2016-08-19 | 5.132338019 | 3.444039376 | ||
2016-08-26 | 5.097572653 | 3.454411856 | ||
2016-09-02 | 5.042716598 | 3.426115971 | ||
2016-09-09 | 5.001575128 | 3.385679649 | ||
2016-09-16 | 5.000550277 | 3.366985965 | ||
2016-09-23 | 4.885045624 | 3.349084715 | ||
2016-09-30 | 4.883068377 | 3.341118431 | ||
2016-10-07 | 4.840306451 | 3.274930981 | ||
2016-10-14 | 4.860983165 | 3.27357159 | ||
2016-10-21 | 4.80530747 | 3.202489596 | ||
2016-10-28 | 4.779817803 | 3.193053394 | ||
2016-11-04 | 4.797016739 | 3.2485184 | ||
2016-11-10 | 4.799874378 | 3.272098817 | ||
2016-11-18 | 4.767751003 | 3.218538427 | ||
2016-11-25 | 4.74923311 | 3.20983697 | ||
2016-12-02 | 4.681702351 | 3.20028216 | ||
2016-12-09 | 4.593162295 | 3.094430078 | ||
2016-12-16 | 4.543337261 | 3.06594441 | ||
2016-12-23 | 4.59501723 | 3.071597498 | ||
2016-12-30 | 4.643367528 | 3.035776307 | ||
2017-01-06 | 4.567639132 | 3.019919741 | ||
2017-01-13 | 4.536574233 | 3.030115858 | ||
2017-01-20 | 4.556134591 | 3.056400182 | ||
2017-01-27 | 4.535020889 | 3.086673602 | ||
2017-02-03 | 4.50386572 | 3.060619592 | ||
2017-02-10 | 4.508648423 | 3.007438418 | ||
2017-02-17 | 4.448177485 | 2.951559206 | ||
2017-02-24 | 4.388560878 | 2.932189279 | ||
2017-03-03 | 4.342299593 | 2.884096232 | ||
2017-03-10 | 4.344391973 | 2.869587671 | ||
2017-03-17 | 4.321808281 | 2.85235147 | ||
2017-03-24 | 4.316396112 | 2.936968178 | ||
2017-03-31 | 4.250673997 | 2.909729816 | ||
2017-04-07 | 4.154828147 | 2.878882118 | ||
2017-04-13 | 4.115613652 | 2.850450981 | ||
2017-04-21 | 4.129010795 | 2.832789761 | ||
2017-04-28 | 4.126584476 | 2.81799605 | ||
2017-05-05 | 4.157895866 | 2.881186836 | ||
2017-05-12 | 4.130287386 | 2.882424329 | ||
2017-05-19 | 4.111150613 | 2.888773689 | ||
2017-05-26 | 4.038568302 | 2.885903683 | ||
2017-06-02 | 4.054623194 | 2.865969376 | ||
2017-06-09 | 4.034217058 | 2.869238168 | ||
2017-06-16 | 4.036661586 | 2.880127448 | ||
2017-06-23 | 4.070468801 | 2.864037435 | ||
2017-06-30 | 4.07836583 | 2.8391982 | ||
2017-07-07 | 4.069280898 | 2.833183299 | ||
2017-07-14 | 4.09480047 | 2.832880559 | ||
2017-07-21 | 4.090062724 | 2.804314364 | ||
2017-07-28 | 4.030225752 | 2.780963817 | ||
2017-08-04 | 4.032379197 | 2.752044259 | ||
2017-08-11 | 4.056409571 | 2.799437965 | ||
2017-08-18 | 4.066051766 | 2.778864261 | ||
2017-08-25 | 4.071799224 | 2.820702451 | ||
2017-09-01 | 4.059344133 | 2.852210068 | ||
2017-09-08 | 4.021957791 | 2.872634763 | ||
2017-09-15 | 4.017126073 | 2.890653771 | ||
2017-09-22 | 4.022401819 | 2.824808444 | ||
2017-09-29 | 4.01261109 | 2.715818027 | ||
2017-10-06 | 3.980137602 | 2.668259166 | ||
2017-10-13 | 3.945235935 | 2.666213575 | ||
2017-10-20 | 3.925018654 | 2.650542487 | ||
2017-10-27 | 3.944708872 | 2.651767964 | ||
2017-11-03 | 3.965874722 | 2.626799792 | ||
2017-11-10 | 3.982528913 | 2.62230663 | ||
2017-11-17 | 3.961012651 | 2.646345535 | ||
2017-11-24 | 3.954865118 | 2.637152497 | ||
2017-12-01 | 3.948242077 | 2.628638214 | ||
2017-12-08 | 3.943982507 | 2.607844296 | ||
2017-12-15 | 3.999049602 | 2.622258174 | ||
2017-12-22 | 3.911517766 | 2.62741151 | ||
2017-12-29 | 3.886199593 | 2.59495622 | ||
2018-01-05 | 3.873321913 | 2.552850627 | ||
2018-01-12 | 3.80788949 | 2.543632317 | ||
2018-01-19 | 3.77164134 | 2.524089106 | ||
2018-01-26 | 3.733860015 | 2.495947616 | ||
2018-02-02 | 3.702337911 | 2.43815613 | ||
2018-02-09 | 3.741603294 | 2.481185358 | ||
2018-02-16 | 3.730653859 | 2.486374253 | ||
2018-02-23 | 3.727767465 | 2.502382641 | ||
2018-03-02 | 3.722636118 | 2.513098554 | ||
2018-03-09 | 3.721717182 | 2.509580728 | ||
2018-03-16 | 3.704618344 | 2.49426911 | ||
2018-03-23 | 3.72231577 | 2.490181212 | ||
2018-03-30 | 3.723025195 | 2.492851524 | ||
2018-04-06 | 3.716121272 | 2.494986203 | ||
2018-04-13 | 3.683437381 | 2.488722757 | ||
2018-04-20 | 3.660879698 | 2.456453005 | ||
2018-04-27 | 3.668937741 | 2.438894246 | ||
2018-05-04 | 3.684271493 | 2.439840055 | ||
2018-05-11 | 3.679308511 | 2.44477163 | ||
2018-05-18 | 3.67525846 | 2.469683352 | ||
2018-05-25 | 3.691765262 | 2.49195051 | ||
2018-06-01 | 3.723323407 | 2.484480391 | ||
2018-06-08 | 3.713825007 | 2.486143205 | ||
2018-06-15 | 3.725509472 | 2.49076378 | ||
2018-06-22 | 3.745688643 | 2.516636858 | ||
2018-06-29 | 3.763646519 | 2.552103429 | ||
2018-07-06 | 3.750008316 | 2.531111257 | ||
2018-07-13 | 3.756437166 | 2.541174862 | ||
2018-07-20 | 3.748096173 | 2.53204466 | ||
2018-07-27 | 3.757417146 | 2.51411306 | ||
2018-08-03 | 3.752837791 | 2.498162198 | ||
2018-08-10 | 3.767166224 | 2.516157236 | ||
2018-08-17 | 3.774359182 | 2.533004231 | ||
2018-08-24 | 3.807141695 | 2.482888336 | ||
2018-08-31 | 3.827432743 | 2.492706273 | ||
2018-09-07 | 3.819108104 | 2.494551946 | ||
2018-09-14 | 3.806416089 | 2.499302742 | ||
2018-09-21 | 3.778142713 | 2.481231531 | ||
2018-09-28 | 3.734823781 | 2.480723289 | ||
2018-10-05 | 3.726562452 | 2.476299857 | ||
2018-10-12 | 3.747295956 | 2.486551972 | ||
2018-10-19 | 3.748605058 | 2.489240379 | ||
2018-10-26 | 3.789716385 | 2.537106073 | ||
2018-11-02 | 3.842712856 | 2.580854793 | ||
2018-11-09 | 3.855036727 | 2.614676859 | ||
2018-11-16 | 3.951011524 | 2.681425685 | ||
2018-11-23 | 4.073746606 | 2.759605448 | ||
2018-11-30 | 4.179859583 | 2.884428855 | ||
2018-12-07 | 4.334347961 | 3.009078764 | ||
2018-12-14 | 4.509545853 | 3.150633514 | ||
2018-12-21 | 4.832573323 | 3.373170305 | ||
2018-12-28 | 4.941223292 | 3.462860074 | ||
2019-01-04 | 4.733754374 | 3.180905956 | ||
2019-01-11 | 4.48670142 | 2.911212159 | ||
2019-01-18 | 4.475686724 | 2.838416032 | ||
2019-01-25 | 4.527344409 | 2.881502704 | ||
2019-02-01 | 4.542935453 | 2.887671369 | ||
2019-02-08 | 4.492502678 | 2.862814776 | ||
2019-02-15 | 4.440734662 | 2.830785831 | ||
2019-02-22 | 4.331918316 | 2.760269645 | ||
2019-03-01 | 4.236528326 | 2.685405228 | ||
2019-03-08 | 4.322832003 | 2.746646671 | ||
2019-03-15 | 4.314548779 | 2.7348961 | ||
2019-03-22 | 4.397419899 | 2.786648998 | ||
2019-03-29 | 4.45584151 | 2.877071041 | ||
2019-04-05 | 4.315945126 | 2.792921972 | ||
2019-04-12 | 4.257487168 | 2.741876114 | ||
2019-04-18 | 4.214028918 | 2.727858907 | ||
2019-04-26 | 4.180719023 | 2.69829144 | ||
2019-05-03 | 4.127505294 | 2.683151973 | ||
2019-05-10 | 4.20079036 | 2.680938891 | ||
2019-05-17 | 4.163569598 | 2.681971716 | ||
2019-05-24 | 4.219001725 | 2.68168054 | ||
2019-05-31 | 4.299644758 | 2.675874467 | ||
2019-06-07 | 4.304943133 | 2.66533403 | ||
2019-06-14 | 4.313318409 | 2.653670331 | ||
2019-06-21 | 4.313879279 | 2.663369166 | ||
2019-06-28 | 4.364151511 | 2.699296928 | ||
2019-07-05 | 4.355108589 | 2.691348572 | ||
2019-07-12 | 4.319070747 | 2.672797309 | ||
2019-07-19 | 4.302483067 | 2.654044174 | ||
2019-07-26 | 4.303035446 | 2.647092077 | ||
2019-08-02 | 4.304487151 | 2.729913326 | ||
2019-08-09 | 4.409349307 | 2.770048632 | ||
2019-08-16 | 4.503012079 | 2.801496638 | ||
2019-08-23 | 4.509996898 | 2.780838119 | ||
2019-08-30 | 4.464821469 | 2.8023573 | ||
2019-09-06 | 4.419717035 | 2.741597679 | ||
2019-09-13 | 4.346780885 | 2.669649229 | ||
2019-09-20 | 4.340224125 | 2.680274819 | ||
2019-09-27 | 4.325561512 | 2.674852563 | ||
2019-10-04 | 4.43294389 | 2.704410323 | ||
2019-10-11 | 4.586544952 | 2.74495029 | ||
2019-10-18 | 4.618781189 | 2.721442143 | ||
2019-10-25 | 4.634629528 | 2.713635755 | ||
2019-11-01 | 4.683168089 | 2.745953798 | ||
2019-11-08 | 4.677179004 | 2.751943743 | ||
2019-11-15 | 4.615034062 | 2.745132176 | ||
2019-11-22 | 4.669846596 | 2.753986356 | ||
2019-11-29 | 4.658184116 | 2.742636745 | ||
2019-12-06 | 4.547712738 | 2.710778218 | ||
2019-12-13 | 4.363787126 | 2.656414426 | ||
2019-12-20 | 4.242401827 | 2.64070995 | ||
2019-12-27 | 4.241301411 | 2.63801446 | ||
2020-01-03 | 4.23049445 | 2.621672479 | ||
2020-01-10 | 4.140296269 | 2.579319377 | ||
2020-01-17 | 4.10710221 | 2.57207486 | ||
2020-01-24 | 4.11279807 | 2.601422401 | ||
2020-01-31 | 4.191917713 | 2.627873805 | ||
2020-02-07 | 4.218113466 | 2.678684624 | ||
2020-02-14 | 4.21048703 | 2.69448074 | ||
2020-02-21 | 4.189811382 | 2.710893395 | ||
2020-02-28 | 4.581385576 | 3.038800808 | ||
2020-03-06 | 4.854775847 | 3.243091693 | ||
2020-03-13 | 6.393152114 | 4.750300126 | ||
2020-03-20 | 9.687392601 | 7.880604267 | ||
2020-03-27 | 9.030652923 | 6.14613463 | ||
2020-04-03 | 8.152598017 | 5.048295921 | ||
2020-04-09 | 7.306575883 | 4.264384758 | ||
2020-04-17 | 6.736097605 | 3.9406949 | ||
2020-04-24 | 6.913745649 | 4.121014051 | ||
2020-05-01 | 6.882484943 | 4.139171101 | ||
2020-05-08 | 6.558610116 | 4.051761747 | ||
2020-05-15 | 6.511861575 | 4.03392646 | ||
2020-05-22 | 6.159296181 | 3.705107904 | ||
2020-05-29 | 5.770013779 | 3.434488915 | ||
2020-06-05 | 5.419879122 | 3.211286026 | ||
2020-06-12 | 5.371023165 | 3.264167139 | ||
2020-06-19 | 5.216089404 | 3.138677392 | ||
2020-06-26 | 5.509749313 | 3.381529098 | ||
2020-07-03 | 5.398062822 | 3.357940019 | ||
2020-07-10 | 5.374377314 | 3.300913584 | ||
2020-07-17 | 5.200236801 | 3.191921366 | ||
2020-07-24 | 5.06954331 | 3.094751379 | ||
2020-07-31 | 5.092788093 | 3.129945665 | ||
2020-08-07 | 4.960052904 | 3.049278952 | ||
2020-08-14 | 4.861085065 | 3.017505498 | ||
2020-08-21 | 4.881261902 | 3.088271454 | ||
2020-08-28 | 4.831046734 | 3.07060158 | ||
2020-09-04 | 4.653959376 | 2.900115285 | ||
2020-09-11 | 4.578625866 | 2.866778157 | ||
2020-09-18 | 4.556192958 | 2.881774653 | ||
2020-09-25 | 4.741110976 | 3.058410064 | ||
2020-10-02 | 4.749737294 | 3.097629051 | ||
2020-10-09 | 4.632160271 | 3.005367616 | ||
2020-10-16 | 4.666338215 | 3.036300748 | ||
2020-10-23 | 4.825568477 | 3.066052261 | ||
2020-10-30 | 5.004104862 | 3.217636768 | ||
2020-11-06 | 4.808465024 | 3.057059694 | ||
2020-11-13 | 4.673767528 | 2.987008296 | ||
2020-11-20 | 4.669435701 | 3.020837829 | ||
2020-11-27 | 4.607305087 | 2.984896174 | ||
2020-12-04 | 4.499880242 | 2.899996322 | ||
2020-12-11 | 4.461261695 | 2.86494858 | ||
2020-12-18 | 4.393624919 | 2.80638031 | ||
2020-12-24 | 4.409350144 | 2.812745995 | ||
2020-12-31 | 4.389562553 | 2.795128995 | ||
2021-01-08 | 4.233295434 | 2.633972204 | ||
2021-01-15 | 4.155066443 | 2.646288395 | ||
2021-01-22 | 4.160384095 | 2.632714117 | ||
2021-01-29 | 4.223160977 | 2.693175607 | ||
2021-02-05 | 4.202910967 | 2.683015084 | ||
2021-02-12 | 4.130036486 | 2.704471062 | ||
2021-02-19 | 4.11652962 | 2.708917555 | ||
2021-02-26 | 4.133478535 | 2.692784752 | ||
2021-03-05 | 4.140896663 | 2.753765878 | ||
2021-03-12 | 4.15029676 | 2.770494246 | ||
2021-03-19 | 4.207701663 | 2.814910654 | ||
2021-03-26 | 4.233783652 | 2.840583716 | ||
2021-04-02 | 4.242169768 | 2.842340603 | ||
2021-04-09 | 4.166703584 | 2.791289321 | ||
2021-04-16 | 4.159516434 | 2.809300991 | ||
2021-04-23 | 4.188169454 | 2.771439806 | ||
2021-04-30 | 4.182422238 | 2.803546376 | ||
2021-05-07 | 4.186015167 | 2.813823733 | ||
2021-05-14 | 4.189507423 | 2.839720377 | ||
2021-05-21 | 4.162665279 | 2.815530351 | ||
2021-05-28 | 4.151023931 | 2.789107922 | ||
2021-06-04 | 4.13752527 | 2.818051684 | ||
2021-06-11 | 4.118869664 | 2.801147259 | ||
2021-06-18 | 4.147247387 | 2.857268469 | ||
2021-06-25 | 4.167449714 | 2.884636112 | ||
2021-07-02 | 4.16808501 | 2.895677266 | ||
2021-07-09 | 4.162528117 | 2.910820624 | ||
2021-07-16 | 4.152421941 | 2.858111782 | ||
2021-07-23 | 4.165367422 | 2.895482153 | ||
2021-07-30 | 4.214504276 | 2.920575298 | ||
2021-08-06 | 4.229902602 | 2.926476014 | ||
2021-08-13 | 4.2282632 | 3.088344559 | ||
2021-08-20 | 4.252212643 | 3.142292087 | ||
2021-08-27 | 4.235844894 | 3.117211558 | ||
2021-09-03 | 4.214371648 | 3.094625117 | ||
2021-09-10 | 4.184917606 | 3.071907489 | ||
2021-09-17 | 4.176513462 | 3.065419697 | ||
2021-09-24 | 4.178544949 | 3.060116647 | ||
2021-10-01 | 4.169831729 | 3.048551965 | ||
2021-10-08 | 4.183369366 | 3.046718806 | ||
2021-10-15 | 4.196000152 | 3.046699697 | ||
2021-10-22 | 4.189198809 | 3.054536077 | ||
2021-10-29 | 4.196742642 | 3.058988632 | ||
2021-11-05 | 4.179190915 | 3.053364043 | ||
2021-11-12 | 4.165704061 | 3.00451615 | ||
2021-11-19 | 4.168709723 | 3.008438757 | ||
2021-11-26 | 4.210727949 | 3.038421654 | ||
2021-12-03 | 4.285602253 | 3.083825581 | ||
2021-12-10 | 4.239507783 | 3.030513594 | ||
2021-12-17 | 4.226753013 | 3.071087529 | ||
2021-12-24 | 4.219803493 | 3.060229853 | ||
2021-12-31 | 4.280376332 | 3.080799937 | ||
2022-01-07 | 4.206427635 | 3.024832103 | ||
2022-01-14 | 4.175881376 | 2.992310027 | ||
2022-01-21 | 4.1572083 | 2.985139631 | ||
2022-01-28 | 4.236650264 | 3.031279612 | ||
2022-02-04 | 4.244349761 | 3.027858635 | ||
2022-02-11 | 4.295861193 | 3.059315004 | ||
2022-02-18 | 4.384179186 | 3.159829792 | ||
2022-02-25 | 4.461715199 | 3.229838462 | ||
2022-03-04 | 4.453774687 | 3.24193604 | ||
2022-03-11 | 4.773297859 | 3.500537716 | ||
2022-03-18 | 4.721740898 | 3.453609815 | ||
2022-03-25 | 4.58234696 | 3.338562161 | ||
2022-04-01 | 4.433104838 | 3.175361271 | ||
2022-04-08 | 4.198682806 | 3.010871779 | ||
2022-04-15 | 4.199813108 | 3.048717945 | ||
2022-04-22 | 4.214554676 | 3.019629533 | ||
2022-04-29 | 4.32392627 | 3.102746585 | ||
2022-05-06 | 4.453704988 | 3.235162249 | ||
2022-05-13 | 4.942924014 | 3.633495242 | ||
2022-05-20 | 5.094648654 | 3.724783819 | ||
2022-05-27 | 5.16713692 | 3.718416761 | ||
2022-06-03 | 4.961909022 | 3.485450364 | ||
2022-06-10 | 4.990382554 | 3.505355674 | ||
2022-06-17 | 5.389730781 | 3.833247969 | ||
2022-06-24 | 5.499729194 | 3.889322357 | ||
2022-07-01 | 5.870248436 | 4.166976213 | ||
2022-07-08 | 5.911972359 | 4.193191706 | ||
2022-07-15 | 5.843413006 | 4.138839423 | ||
2022-07-22 | 5.413868166 | 3.72025581 | ||
2022-07-29 | 5.365784892 | 3.683711044 | ||
2022-08-05 | 5.184972588 | 3.495140185 | ||
2022-08-12 | 4.898934992 | 3.297494714 | ||
2022-08-19 | 4.988872418 | 3.330274625 | ||
2022-08-26 | 5.076946736 | 3.415900909 | ||
2022-09-02 | 5.230128908 | 3.477416436 | ||
2022-09-09 | 5.208139161 | 3.457064767 | ||
2022-09-16 | 5.292604144 | 3.495188283 | ||
2022-09-23 | 5.580698957 | 3.595145832 | ||
2022-09-30 | 5.954246277 | 3.804468941 | ||
2022-10-07 | 5.74787332 | 3.642476257 | ||
2022-10-14 | 5.919739928 | 3.663220418 | ||
2022-10-21 | 5.915558306 | 3.571456859 | ||
2022-10-28 | 5.939316035 | 3.55280822 | ||
2022-11-04 | 5.777449991 | 3.468429057 | ||
2022-11-11 | 5.654634902 | 3.435845348 | ||
2022-11-18 | 5.51877625 | 3.403426378 | ||
2022-11-25 | 5.533385121 | 3.410095291 | ||
2022-12-02 | 5.481879753 | 3.399057813 | ||
2022-12-09 | 5.495472005 | 3.393809859 | ||
2022-12-16 | 5.504827374 | 3.366015599 | ||
2022-12-23 | 5.458205222 | 3.370679281 | ||
2022-12-30 | 5.471317634 | 3.384627766 | ||
2023-01-06 | 5.325327527 | 3.240281688 | ||
2023-01-13 | 5.093568126 | 3.105489729 | ||
2023-01-20 | 5.032282652 | 3.113980517 | ||
2023-01-27 | 4.915387802 | 3.08770212 | ||
2023-02-03 | 4.887839816 | 3.075680371 | ||
2023-02-10 | 4.800355786 | 3.082517772 | ||
2023-02-17 | 4.878038794 | 3.264215995 | ||
2023-02-24 | 5.002435521 | 3.32613083 | ||
2023-03-03 | 4.982201013 | 3.319083531 | ||
2023-03-10 | 5.020672189 | 3.41226326 | ||
2023-03-17 | 5.428459228 | 3.693124592 | ||
2023-03-24 | 5.460158655 | 3.410769568 | ||
2023-03-31 | 5.161598919 | 3.29848853 | ||
2023-04-07 | 5.101770388 | 3.284099922 | ||
2023-04-14 | 5.051503483 | 3.25970724 | ||
2023-04-21 | 4.97136537 | 3.272408545 | ||
2023-04-28 | 4.964896419 | 3.260873045 | ||
2023-05-05 | 5.072782428 | 3.312353675 | ||
2023-05-12 | 5.121929445 | 3.37095676 | ||
2023-05-19 | 5.142410913 | 3.391994458 | ||
2023-05-26 | 5.271471551 | 3.446215352 | ||
2023-06-02 | 5.250387279 | 3.442615575 | ||
2023-06-09 | 5.086018392 | 3.350706983 | ||
2023-06-16 | 4.963604942 | 3.290294994 | ||
2023-06-23 | 4.976920646 | 3.303424163 | ||
2023-06-30 | 4.81836912 | 3.209455622 | ||
2023-07-07 | 4.728011273 | 3.16413317 | ||
2023-07-14 | 4.589287404 | 3.107573188 | ||
2023-07-21 | 4.650319366 | 3.123197386 | ||
2023-07-28 | 4.651308462 | 3.118443804 | ||
2023-08-04 | 4.724333313 | 3.139659084 | ||
2023-08-11 | 4.72097852 | 3.131692966 | ||
2023-08-18 | 4.781499571 | 3.130329728 | ||
2023-08-25 | 4.771122947 | 3.120932517 | ||
2023-09-01 | 4.695365585 | 3.115130119 | ||
2023-09-08 | 4.627747809 | 3.115566737 | ||
2023-09-15 | 4.499446123 | 3.074731693 | ||
2023-09-22 | 4.496775665 | 3.086960703 | ||
2023-09-29 | 4.600998626 | 3.131280525 | ||
2023-10-06 | 4.733948306 | 3.22947469 | ||
2023-10-13 | 4.67568455 | 3.193819494 | ||
2023-10-20 | 4.747057254 | 3.209050578 | ||
2023-10-27 | 4.849195646 | 3.24798128 | ||
2023-11-03 | 4.84012544 | 3.190864429 | ||
2023-11-10 | 4.763692951 | 3.220545383 | ||
2023-11-17 | 4.727226064 | 3.180166033 | ||
2023-11-24 | 4.742043873 | 3.199891096 | ||
2023-12-01 | 4.74406734 | 3.199542199 | ||
2023-12-08 | 4.676263869 | 3.175457263 | ||
2023-12-15 | 4.555429987 | 3.109022731 | ||
2023-12-22 | 4.523722427 | 3.083005886 | ||
2023-12-29 | 4.463796063 | 3.044391162 | ||
2024-01-05 | 4.444163938 | 3.038494465 | ||
2024-01-12 | 4.429988493 | 3.031755359 | ||
2024-01-19 | 4.46649594 | 3.022297521 | ||
2024-01-26 | 4.476769596 | 3.034873273 | ||
2024-02-02 | 4.44661255 | 3.087743745 | ||
2024-02-09 | 4.428573415 | 3.09455673 | ||
2024-02-16 | 4.401040415 | 3.073163408 | ||
2024-02-23 | 4.381699927 | 3.058544114 | ||
2024-03-01 | 4.363600458 | 3.011757418 | ||
2024-03-08 | 4.314119759 | 3.02985455 | ||
2024-03-15 | 4.252894879 | 3.008196675 | ||
2024-03-22 | 4.267491246 | 3.027814476 | ||
2024-03-29 | 4.271575033 | 2.968548512 |
Note: The data show secondary-market discounted spreads to maturity. Spreads are the constant spread used to equate discounted loan cash flows to the current market price. B-rated spreads begin in July 1997. The black dashed line represents the data transitioning from monthly to weekly in November 2013.
Source: PitchBook Data, Leveraged Commentary & Data.
Figure 1.11. Treasury market depth increased but remained below historical norms
This is a line chart titled "Treasury market depth increased but remained below historical norms." The x-axis measures time and ranges from January 2019 to March 2024. The data are 5-day moving average, and there are three variables plotted on the chart. The first line is labeled "5-year" and is designated by a black line. This line corresponds to the values on the right y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 350 in millions of dollars. It begins at around 160 million in 2019 and rises steadily, with local peaks in February of 2019 and October 2020. The peaks are between 260 and 285 million. In March of 2020, the series reaches its lowest value at 15 million. By the end of 2020, the value has risen again to about 260 million but declines to 40 million in March 2022, with much volatility in that decline. Since the beginning of 2023, there has been a slight uptick in the series, reaching about 80 million in December and climbing to 90 million by March 2024. The second line is labeled "10-year" and is designated by a red line. This line corresponds to the values on the right y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 350 in millions of dollars. It begins at just over 100 million dollars in 2019, climbs to 240 million in April 2019, then declines to around 75 million by August of 2019. It then upticks to 140 million in early 2020. There is a sharp decrease down to around 12 million in March of 2020. Following this sharp decline is an overall increase until June 2021 at a value of around 175 million. From this point there is a decreasing trend in the series with fluctuations between about 60 and 80 million throughout 2022 and 2023. In 2024, the series increases slightly to end at about 90 million by the end of March. The third series is labeled "30-year" and is designated by a blue line. The line corresponds to values on the left y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 35 in millions of dollars. The line starts around 15 million in January 2019 before a quick increase to around 28 million in the middle of 2019. There is a sharp decline to about 7 million in October of 2019 before a rise back to about 15 million and then an even sharper decline to under 5 million in March 2020. From there, the series rises to over 20 million in June 2021, before gradually declining to around 7 million in March 2022. The series hovers between 7 and 11 million until the end of 2022, when it declines again to about 5 million. It rises again to about 15 million by end the of 2023, drops to 10 million in the beginning of 2024, then ends at around 16 million in March 2024.
Note: Market depth is defined as the average top 3 bid and ask quote sizes for on-the-run Treasury securities.
Source: Inter Dealer Broker Community.
Figure 1.12. On-the-run market depth improved in recent months but remained below historical norms
This is a line chart titled "On-the-run market depth improved in recent months but remained below historical norms." The x-axis measures time and ranges from September 2019 to March 2024. The data are 5-day moving average, and there are two variables plotted on the chart. The first line is labeled "2-year OTR market depth" and is designated by a black line. This line corresponds to the values on the right y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 300 in millions of dollars. It begins at around 50 million in October 2019 and rises steadily before there is a sharp decrease in March 2020 to a low of about 9 million. Then, there is a quick rebound back to around 285 million in February of 2021, a sharp drop down to about 110 million in March 2021, and an increase back to about 275 million in July 2021.The series has two quick decreases to around 50 million in January of 2022. Since then, there is a gradual decrease to around 10 million in early 2023 The series remains between 5 and 12 million for most of 2023, ending with a slight increase toward the end of the series to a final value of almost 29 million in March 2024. The second line is labeled "10-year OTR market depth" and is designated by a blue line. This line corresponds to the values on the left y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 60 in millions of dollars. It begins at about 35 million dollars in 2019, rises to around 50 million by February of 2020 before steeply dropping to 5 million in March 2020. The series increases back up to 55 million in late 2020. The series wavers between 30 and 50 million in 2021 and then declines throughout 2022 from about 30 million dollars to about 10 million dollars. March 2023 shows a further decline to about 8 million dollars before the series takes on an increasing trend reaches about 31 million in March 2024.
Note: The data show the time-weighted average market depth at the best quoted prices to buy and sell, for 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes. OTR is on-the-run.
Source: BrokerTec; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.
Figure 1.13. A measure of liquidity in equity markets remained below average
Market depth (number of contracts)
Date | Market Depth (number of contracts) |
---|---|
2019-09-03 | 90.27037037 |
2019-09-04 | 101.6765432 |
2019-09-05 | 109.5950617 |
2019-09-06 | 112.1271605 |
2019-09-09 | 123.9246914 |
2019-09-10 | 132.4024691 |
2019-09-11 | 141.145679 |
2019-09-12 | 134.882716 |
2019-09-13 | 129.5617284 |
2019-09-16 | 115.0283951 |
2019-09-17 | 112.6395062 |
2019-09-18 | 102.1580247 |
2019-09-19 | 110.8839506 |
2019-09-20 | 117.5469136 |
2019-09-23 | 124.9444444 |
2019-09-24 | 120.3098765 |
2019-09-25 | 115.1790123 |
2019-09-26 | 107.7901235 |
2019-09-27 | 100.8987654 |
2019-09-30 | 101.4419753 |
2019-10-01 | 102.645679 |
2019-10-02 | 100.8592593 |
2019-10-03 | 94.48888889 |
2019-10-04 | 99.45925926 |
2019-10-07 | 91.3654321 |
2019-10-08 | 87.61234568 |
2019-10-09 | 86.09876543 |
2019-10-10 | 86.31728395 |
2019-10-11 | 76.01728395 |
2019-10-14 | 76.39506173 |
2019-10-15 | 88.46419753 |
2019-10-16 | 96.76049383 |
2019-10-17 | 105.0753086 |
2019-10-18 | 115.9728395 |
2019-10-21 | 129.0740741 |
2019-10-22 | 129.4271605 |
2019-10-23 | 133.4802469 |
2019-10-24 | 135.8925926 |
2019-10-25 | 145.4530864 |
2019-10-28 | 148.3654321 |
2019-10-29 | 153.345679 |
2019-10-30 | 149.0925926 |
2019-10-31 | 150.1864198 |
2019-11-01 | 150.5432099 |
2019-11-04 | 155.6962963 |
2019-11-05 | 157.0518519 |
2019-11-06 | 159.5530864 |
2019-11-07 | 165.6864198 |
2019-11-08 | 165.9481481 |
2019-11-11 | 166.3864198 |
2019-11-12 | 166.3518519 |
2019-11-13 | 172.2925926 |
2019-11-14 | 175.8469136 |
2019-11-15 | 191.1296296 |
2019-11-18 | 192.0395062 |
2019-11-19 | 192.8074074 |
2019-11-20 | 187.6666667 |
2019-11-21 | 182.4604938 |
2019-11-22 | 165.2283951 |
2019-11-25 | 174.9802469 |
2019-11-26 | 181.5641975 |
2019-11-27 | 195.0925926 |
2019-11-29 | 201.571927 |
2019-12-02 | 199.4608159 |
2019-12-03 | 178.4163714 |
2019-12-04 | 174.5583468 |
2019-12-05 | 164.9645196 |
2019-12-06 | 177.8802469 |
2019-12-09 | 193.5925926 |
2019-12-10 | 202.9012346 |
2019-12-11 | 202.9864198 |
2019-12-12 | 194.0938272 |
2019-12-13 | 161.1222222 |
2019-12-16 | 161.4246914 |
2019-12-17 | 166.1407407 |
2019-12-18 | 169.7296296 |
2019-12-19 | 195.3938272 |
2019-12-20 | 222.8160494 |
2019-12-23 | 219.7691358 |
2019-12-24 | 208.2800322 |
2019-12-26 | 207.8133655 |
2019-12-27 | 193.4170692 |
2019-12-30 | 181.3343532 |
2019-12-31 | 171.0504026 |
2020-01-02 | 178.8950617 |
2020-01-03 | 165.2345679 |
2020-01-06 | 163.4271605 |
2020-01-07 | 160.9987654 |
2020-01-08 | 156.9160494 |
2020-01-09 | 151.5432099 |
2020-01-10 | 159.7555556 |
2020-01-13 | 160.4160494 |
2020-01-14 | 162.7716049 |
2020-01-15 | 166.5333333 |
2020-01-16 | 177.1444444 |
2020-01-17 | 183.6617284 |
2020-01-21 | 188.0024691 |
2020-01-22 | 196.2604938 |
2020-01-23 | 199.6679012 |
2020-01-24 | 183.4074074 |
2020-01-27 | 165.3160494 |
2020-01-28 | 158.837037 |
2020-01-29 | 147.2740741 |
2020-01-30 | 131.8975309 |
2020-01-31 | 128.9111111 |
2020-02-03 | 130.4197531 |
2020-02-04 | 130.4975309 |
2020-02-05 | 126.5148148 |
2020-02-06 | 134.9333333 |
2020-02-07 | 134.6 |
2020-02-10 | 141.9246914 |
2020-02-11 | 142.5481481 |
2020-02-12 | 152.1567901 |
2020-02-13 | 152.7679012 |
2020-02-14 | 160.2049383 |
2020-02-18 | 162.3444444 |
2020-02-19 | 170.1864198 |
2020-02-20 | 161.2753086 |
2020-02-21 | 153 |
2020-02-24 | 135.2580247 |
2020-02-25 | 108.7382716 |
2020-02-26 | 75.7037037 |
2020-02-27 | 54.20617284 |
2020-02-28 | 35.28148148 |
2020-03-02 | 24.81111111 |
2020-03-03 | 19.4037037 |
2020-03-04 | 18.3691358 |
2020-03-05 | 18.40740741 |
2020-03-06 | 18.72592593 |
2020-03-09 | 22.00384615 |
2020-03-10 | 21.68409307 |
2020-03-11 | 18.92730294 |
2020-03-12 | 16.25731244 |
2020-03-13 | 14.76595442 |
2020-03-16 | 9.218518519 |
2020-03-17 | 8.313580247 |
2020-03-18 | 7.483075481 |
2020-03-19 | 7.265411663 |
2020-03-20 | 7.114794379 |
2020-03-23 | 7.49542116 |
2020-03-24 | 8.605297703 |
2020-03-25 | 11.31358025 |
2020-03-26 | 11.56419753 |
2020-03-27 | 12.32469136 |
2020-03-30 | 12.99382716 |
2020-03-31 | 13.9037037 |
2020-04-01 | 13.52716049 |
2020-04-02 | 14.64691358 |
2020-04-03 | 16.58641975 |
2020-04-06 | 20.1345679 |
2020-04-07 | 20.22345679 |
2020-04-08 | 20.82962963 |
2020-04-09 | 22.36419753 |
2020-04-13 | 22.71975309 |
2020-04-14 | 23.2382716 |
2020-04-15 | 26.09135802 |
2020-04-16 | 27.19753086 |
2020-04-17 | 30.25555556 |
2020-04-20 | 32.41851852 |
2020-04-21 | 31.2 |
2020-04-22 | 32.10617284 |
2020-04-23 | 32.80864198 |
2020-04-24 | 33.00123457 |
2020-04-27 | 37.20617284 |
2020-04-28 | 39.86419753 |
2020-04-29 | 41.49876543 |
2020-04-30 | 42.43333333 |
2020-05-01 | 43.78518519 |
2020-05-04 | 42.18888889 |
2020-05-05 | 46.53580247 |
2020-05-06 | 46.49135802 |
2020-05-07 | 50.27283951 |
2020-05-08 | 55.87777778 |
2020-05-11 | 60.78888889 |
2020-05-12 | 60.9 |
2020-05-13 | 60.74074074 |
2020-05-14 | 57.74567901 |
2020-05-15 | 50.36049383 |
2020-05-18 | 50.50246914 |
2020-05-19 | 47.77160494 |
2020-05-20 | 52.17530864 |
2020-05-21 | 55.4345679 |
2020-05-22 | 60.95802469 |
2020-05-26 | 62.49012346 |
2020-05-27 | 63.76419753 |
2020-05-28 | 63.0617284 |
2020-05-29 | 59.52839506 |
2020-06-01 | 61.59012346 |
2020-06-02 | 62.48518519 |
2020-06-03 | 71.10493827 |
2020-06-04 | 74.23703704 |
2020-06-05 | 82.03950617 |
2020-06-08 | 84.05679012 |
2020-06-09 | 82.11975309 |
2020-06-10 | 71.65308642 |
2020-06-11 | 63.08518519 |
2020-06-12 | 51.02222222 |
2020-06-15 | 39.18641975 |
2020-06-16 | 28.31234568 |
2020-06-17 | 26.95061728 |
2020-06-18 | 28.0382716 |
2020-06-19 | 32.67654321 |
2020-06-22 | 39.03333333 |
2020-06-23 | 46.53950617 |
2020-06-24 | 46.53703704 |
2020-06-25 | 46.31975309 |
2020-06-26 | 44.93209877 |
2020-06-29 | 42.5962963 |
2020-06-30 | 41.8617284 |
2020-07-01 | 43.96419753 |
2020-07-02 | 47.56296296 |
2020-07-06 | 53.05802469 |
2020-07-07 | 57.79259259 |
2020-07-08 | 59.42098765 |
2020-07-09 | 59.43580247 |
2020-07-10 | 57.9345679 |
2020-07-13 | 59.05925926 |
2020-07-14 | 51.35308642 |
2020-07-15 | 47.65925926 |
2020-07-16 | 48.4382716 |
2020-07-17 | 54.64691358 |
2020-07-20 | 59.9037037 |
2020-07-21 | 67.26419753 |
2020-07-22 | 74.46666667 |
2020-07-23 | 74.17037037 |
2020-07-24 | 70.9654321 |
2020-07-27 | 73.34320988 |
2020-07-28 | 75.99012346 |
2020-07-29 | 81.31728395 |
2020-07-30 | 84.27407407 |
2020-07-31 | 87.77407407 |
2020-08-03 | 83.08641975 |
2020-08-04 | 82.98765432 |
2020-08-05 | 82.12222222 |
2020-08-06 | 89.70123457 |
2020-08-07 | 89.3037037 |
2020-08-10 | 89.56049383 |
2020-08-11 | 91.67654321 |
2020-08-12 | 89.47654321 |
2020-08-13 | 86.58765432 |
2020-08-14 | 85.69382716 |
2020-08-17 | 90.74320988 |
2020-08-18 | 93.61604938 |
2020-08-19 | 99.82098765 |
2020-08-20 | 102.037037 |
2020-08-21 | 104.1987654 |
2020-08-24 | 102.4641975 |
2020-08-25 | 98.71481481 |
2020-08-26 | 102.7308642 |
2020-08-27 | 96.01234568 |
2020-08-28 | 98.38765432 |
2020-08-31 | 96.54938272 |
2020-09-01 | 98.44074074 |
2020-09-02 | 86.74814815 |
2020-09-03 | 79.72716049 |
2020-09-04 | 65.24567901 |
2020-09-08 | 51.50493827 |
2020-09-09 | 41.96049383 |
2020-09-10 | 31.49259259 |
2020-09-11 | 28.84444444 |
2020-09-14 | 34.85185185 |
2020-09-15 | 46.95679012 |
2020-09-16 | 49.55185185 |
2020-09-17 | 54.25925926 |
2020-09-18 | 63.69012346 |
2020-09-21 | 65.45185185 |
2020-09-22 | 59.07777778 |
2020-09-23 | 58.75679012 |
2020-09-24 | 55.47777778 |
2020-09-25 | 51.33209877 |
2020-09-28 | 53.6037037 |
2020-09-29 | 57.47654321 |
2020-09-30 | 57.21851852 |
2020-10-01 | 57.79382716 |
2020-10-02 | 56.0617284 |
2020-10-05 | 55.84074074 |
2020-10-06 | 52.05555556 |
2020-10-07 | 53.98765432 |
2020-10-08 | 58.34444444 |
2020-10-09 | 64.36790123 |
2020-10-12 | 63.92345679 |
2020-10-13 | 64.58395062 |
2020-10-14 | 62.75802469 |
2020-10-15 | 60.0691358 |
2020-10-16 | 59.2037037 |
2020-10-19 | 55.90617284 |
2020-10-20 | 56.46296296 |
2020-10-21 | 55.19506173 |
2020-10-22 | 56.78395062 |
2020-10-23 | 56.82469136 |
2020-10-26 | 55.98271605 |
2020-10-27 | 55.72592593 |
2020-10-28 | 56.16296296 |
2020-10-29 | 53.40987654 |
2020-10-30 | 45.9037037 |
2020-11-02 | 42.62098765 |
2020-11-03 | 41.71234568 |
2020-11-04 | 36.38271605 |
2020-11-05 | 33.98024691 |
2020-11-06 | 36.74197531 |
2020-11-09 | 35.10493827 |
2020-11-10 | 32.67777778 |
2020-11-11 | 39.13580247 |
2020-11-12 | 41.63580247 |
2020-11-13 | 48.37530864 |
2020-11-16 | 56.82345679 |
2020-11-17 | 64.27777778 |
2020-11-18 | 68.69135802 |
2020-11-19 | 72.38888889 |
2020-11-20 | 69.30864198 |
2020-11-23 | 65.74320988 |
2020-11-24 | 66.07407407 |
2020-11-25 | 63.27777778 |
2020-11-27 | 65.98639291 |
2020-11-30 | 68.35429415 |
2020-12-01 | 70.65305958 |
2020-12-02 | 69.79256575 |
2020-12-03 | 71.8407139 |
2020-12-04 | 76.11111111 |
2020-12-07 | 80.01234568 |
2020-12-08 | 87.0654321 |
2020-12-09 | 86.95185185 |
2020-12-10 | 84.75185185 |
2020-12-11 | 77.13950617 |
2020-12-14 | 74.11604938 |
2020-12-15 | 74.29382716 |
2020-12-16 | 77.97530864 |
2020-12-17 | 87.9691358 |
2020-12-18 | 90.75802469 |
2020-12-21 | 84.84444444 |
2020-12-22 | 76.27037037 |
2020-12-23 | 76.02222222 |
2020-12-24 | 66.36596887 |
2020-12-28 | 75.15115405 |
2020-12-29 | 80.32769726 |
2020-12-30 | 86.10424047 |
2020-12-31 | 86.05362319 |
2021-01-04 | 82.4962963 |
2021-01-05 | 71.04938272 |
2021-01-06 | 66.68765432 |
2021-01-07 | 62.79135802 |
2021-01-08 | 55.98518519 |
2021-01-11 | 56.02839506 |
2021-01-12 | 54.00987654 |
2021-01-13 | 57.24814815 |
2021-01-14 | 61.64814815 |
2021-01-15 | 62.86049383 |
2021-01-19 | 69.09506173 |
2021-01-20 | 78.51234568 |
2021-01-21 | 85.20246914 |
2021-01-22 | 85.87777778 |
2021-01-25 | 82.78395062 |
2021-01-26 | 79.5345679 |
2021-01-27 | 66.88024691 |
2021-01-28 | 54.19012346 |
2021-01-29 | 41.30987654 |
2021-02-01 | 40.83703704 |
2021-02-02 | 43.68271605 |
2021-02-03 | 49.55925926 |
2021-02-04 | 62.85802469 |
2021-02-05 | 76.23950617 |
2021-02-08 | 87.45925926 |
2021-02-09 | 93.11234568 |
2021-02-10 | 92.56296296 |
2021-02-11 | 86.8617284 |
2021-02-12 | 86.59506173 |
2021-02-16 | 80.03703704 |
2021-02-17 | 70.47901235 |
2021-02-18 | 71.87037037 |
2021-02-19 | 71.70123457 |
2021-02-22 | 66.88765432 |
2021-02-23 | 61.86296296 |
2021-02-24 | 61.79876543 |
2021-02-25 | 55.88148148 |
2021-02-26 | 47.47037037 |
2021-03-01 | 48.29876543 |
2021-03-02 | 49.20617284 |
2021-03-03 | 43.62345679 |
2021-03-04 | 41.69135802 |
2021-03-05 | 40.65555556 |
2021-03-08 | 32.63950617 |
2021-03-09 | 34.83950617 |
2021-03-10 | 35.59382716 |
2021-03-11 | 41.84814815 |
2021-03-12 | 44.24197531 |
2021-03-15 | 53.18641975 |
2021-03-16 | 57.85802469 |
2021-03-17 | 62.09876543 |
2021-03-18 | 63.7962963 |
2021-03-19 | 67.37407407 |
2021-03-22 | 70.32098765 |
2021-03-23 | 69.86666667 |
2021-03-24 | 73.79876543 |
2021-03-25 | 72.22839506 |
2021-03-26 | 78.95925926 |
2021-03-29 | 75.25925926 |
2021-03-30 | 73.13580247 |
2021-03-31 | 80.34444444 |
2021-04-01 | 89.00246914 |
2021-04-05 | 93.1962963 |
2021-04-06 | 102.2259259 |
2021-04-07 | 108.0839506 |
2021-04-08 | 107.5111111 |
2021-04-09 | 111.1024691 |
2021-04-12 | 111.4802469 |
2021-04-13 | 109 |
2021-04-14 | 109.3691358 |
2021-04-15 | 112.5901235 |
2021-04-16 | 111.7061728 |
2021-04-19 | 108.5580247 |
2021-04-20 | 103.3209877 |
2021-04-21 | 106.1135802 |
2021-04-22 | 99.05308642 |
2021-04-23 | 99.73209877 |
2021-04-26 | 102.2111111 |
2021-04-27 | 102.3123457 |
2021-04-28 | 100.2444444 |
2021-04-29 | 98.3 |
2021-04-30 | 91.65308642 |
2021-05-03 | 87.71111111 |
2021-05-04 | 85.33580247 |
2021-05-05 | 81.55185185 |
2021-05-06 | 81.96666667 |
2021-05-07 | 85.5382716 |
2021-05-10 | 87.74444444 |
2021-05-11 | 84.52222222 |
2021-05-12 | 76.95802469 |
2021-05-13 | 74.08395062 |
2021-05-14 | 68.38641975 |
2021-05-17 | 62.22716049 |
2021-05-18 | 67.58395062 |
2021-05-19 | 68.4 |
2021-05-20 | 72.34197531 |
2021-05-21 | 73.87407407 |
2021-05-24 | 83.22716049 |
2021-05-25 | 85.72839506 |
2021-05-26 | 98.95555556 |
2021-05-27 | 100.5802469 |
2021-05-28 | 106.9308642 |
2021-06-01 | 102.3814815 |
2021-06-02 | 104.2666667 |
2021-06-03 | 97.5962963 |
2021-06-04 | 99.8691358 |
2021-06-07 | 98.97530864 |
2021-06-08 | 103.6209877 |
2021-06-09 | 103.6617284 |
2021-06-10 | 104.0987654 |
2021-06-11 | 100.8111111 |
2021-06-14 | 102.7358025 |
2021-06-15 | 101.454321 |
2021-06-16 | 100.4679012 |
2021-06-17 | 99.09135802 |
2021-06-18 | 94.28518519 |
2021-06-21 | 88.24691358 |
2021-06-22 | 88.07654321 |
2021-06-23 | 91.65555556 |
2021-06-24 | 96.16049383 |
2021-06-25 | 109.7777778 |
2021-06-28 | 116.3666667 |
2021-06-29 | 119.7469136 |
2021-06-30 | 120.945679 |
2021-07-01 | 128.0888889 |
2021-07-02 | 129.291358 |
2021-07-06 | 132.491358 |
2021-07-07 | 126.9358025 |
2021-07-08 | 116.2432099 |
2021-07-09 | 119.6679012 |
2021-07-12 | 123.1938272 |
2021-07-13 | 114.7432099 |
2021-07-14 | 117.0728395 |
2021-07-15 | 122.9395062 |
2021-07-16 | 111.1728395 |
2021-07-19 | 90.58024691 |
2021-07-20 | 91.23209877 |
2021-07-21 | 90.38024691 |
2021-07-22 | 92.42469136 |
2021-07-23 | 101.3802469 |
2021-07-26 | 111.8679012 |
2021-07-27 | 107.7530864 |
2021-07-28 | 102.1345679 |
2021-07-29 | 104.3444444 |
2021-07-30 | 94.93209877 |
2021-08-02 | 89.39382716 |
2021-08-03 | 91.80987654 |
2021-08-04 | 95.53209877 |
2021-08-05 | 100.2493827 |
2021-08-06 | 107.9530864 |
2021-08-09 | 116.4728395 |
2021-08-10 | 123.1481481 |
2021-08-11 | 131.737037 |
2021-08-12 | 137.5703704 |
2021-08-13 | 144.6209877 |
2021-08-16 | 147.2641975 |
2021-08-17 | 140.1135802 |
2021-08-18 | 130.1691358 |
2021-08-19 | 107.7246914 |
2021-08-20 | 92.57901235 |
2021-08-23 | 94.55185185 |
2021-08-24 | 106.554321 |
2021-08-25 | 118.4703704 |
2021-08-26 | 127.4098765 |
2021-08-27 | 137.2358025 |
2021-08-30 | 140.3123457 |
2021-08-31 | 136.1283951 |
2021-09-01 | 132.4209877 |
2021-09-02 | 140.0716049 |
2021-09-03 | 136.4654321 |
2021-09-07 | 131.4135802 |
2021-09-08 | 124.5864198 |
2021-09-09 | 120.5012346 |
2021-09-10 | 107.182716 |
2021-09-13 | 93.45679012 |
2021-09-14 | 83.05061728 |
2021-09-15 | 83.07037037 |
2021-09-16 | 76.43209877 |
2021-09-17 | 76.48888889 |
2021-09-20 | 76.52469136 |
2021-09-21 | 68.6382716 |
2021-09-22 | 61.79506173 |
2021-09-23 | 61.20740741 |
2021-09-24 | 63.14320988 |
2021-09-27 | 68.36296296 |
2021-09-28 | 67.78641975 |
2021-09-29 | 66.78641975 |
2021-09-30 | 60.19135802 |
2021-10-01 | 53.19506173 |
2021-10-04 | 44.65061728 |
2021-10-05 | 48.27530864 |
2021-10-06 | 45.10617284 |
2021-10-07 | 52.7382716 |
2021-10-08 | 55.49259259 |
2021-10-11 | 59.20864198 |
2021-10-12 | 54.02716049 |
2021-10-13 | 56.1 |
2021-10-14 | 57.13333333 |
2021-10-15 | 64.30493827 |
2021-10-18 | 70.21604938 |
2021-10-19 | 84.77654321 |
2021-10-20 | 91.8037037 |
2021-10-21 | 98.16666667 |
2021-10-22 | 90.93950617 |
2021-10-25 | 92.91481481 |
2021-10-26 | 86.71481481 |
2021-10-27 | 84.58888889 |
2021-10-28 | 76.08518519 |
2021-10-29 | 80.30246914 |
2021-11-01 | 76.00493827 |
2021-11-02 | 81.2 |
2021-11-03 | 83.68888889 |
2021-11-04 | 88.71234568 |
2021-11-05 | 89.65925926 |
2021-11-08 | 88.73950617 |
2021-11-09 | 78.80493827 |
2021-11-10 | 75.44691358 |
2021-11-11 | 73.56419753 |
2021-11-12 | 78.51234568 |
2021-11-15 | 77.4691358 |
2021-11-16 | 85.27160494 |
2021-11-17 | 89.74074074 |
2021-11-18 | 87.09135802 |
2021-11-19 | 79.95061728 |
2021-11-22 | 81.07037037 |
2021-11-23 | 70.85802469 |
2021-11-24 | 64.0962963 |
2021-11-26 | 55.19197531 |
2021-11-29 | 51.31666667 |
2021-11-30 | 43.50308642 |
2021-12-01 | 42.89567901 |
2021-12-02 | 36.43148148 |
2021-12-03 | 35.45308642 |
2021-12-06 | 31.25925926 |
2021-12-07 | 39.36790123 |
2021-12-08 | 41.4962963 |
2021-12-09 | 45.8962963 |
2021-12-10 | 49.41604938 |
2021-12-13 | 51.07037037 |
2021-12-14 | 45.06296296 |
2021-12-15 | 43.01481481 |
2021-12-16 | 41.44814815 |
2021-12-17 | 39.22839506 |
2021-12-20 | 36.74567901 |
2021-12-21 | 39.2617284 |
2021-12-22 | 41.88765432 |
2021-12-23 | 49.74444444 |
2021-12-27 | 59.4 |
2021-12-28 | 63.38271605 |
2021-12-29 | 63.96296296 |
2021-12-30 | 65.00617284 |
2021-12-31 | 57.78888889 |
2022-01-03 | 52.6654321 |
2022-01-04 | 53.27530864 |
2022-01-05 | 50.99382716 |
2022-01-06 | 45.20123457 |
2022-01-07 | 44.00123457 |
2022-01-10 | 39.54567901 |
2022-01-11 | 35.76419753 |
2022-01-12 | 33.05308642 |
2022-01-13 | 34.28641975 |
2022-01-14 | 31.60864198 |
2022-01-18 | 30.18641975 |
2022-01-19 | 28.36419753 |
2022-01-20 | 27.08518519 |
2022-01-21 | 23.20987654 |
2022-01-24 | 20.82098765 |
2022-01-25 | 18.18765432 |
2022-01-26 | 15.31234568 |
2022-01-27 | 12.48888889 |
2022-01-28 | 12.69506173 |
2022-01-31 | 15.1382716 |
2022-02-01 | 16.82839506 |
2022-02-02 | 18.16666667 |
2022-02-03 | 19.9962963 |
2022-02-04 | 21.13950617 |
2022-02-07 | 20.96666667 |
2022-02-08 | 23.14814815 |
2022-02-09 | 26.89506173 |
2022-02-10 | 27.26666667 |
2022-02-11 | 27.00864198 |
2022-02-14 | 26.10246914 |
2022-02-15 | 26.62592593 |
2022-02-16 | 24.86790123 |
2022-02-17 | 26.30246914 |
2022-02-18 | 26.84197531 |
2022-02-22 | 27.13580247 |
2022-02-23 | 25.10617284 |
2022-02-24 | 21.88024691 |
2022-02-25 | 19.68765432 |
2022-02-28 | 18.37777778 |
2022-03-01 | 17.42345679 |
2022-03-02 | 16.24320988 |
2022-03-03 | 17.07530864 |
2022-03-04 | 16.5382716 |
2022-03-07 | 16.28395062 |
2022-03-08 | 15.81481481 |
2022-03-09 | 15.74814815 |
2022-03-10 | 16.2308642 |
2022-03-11 | 15.52098765 |
2022-03-14 | 15.25432099 |
2022-03-15 | 16.5962963 |
2022-03-16 | 16.7654321 |
2022-03-17 | 17.05555556 |
2022-03-18 | 19.64074074 |
2022-03-21 | 21.31234568 |
2022-03-22 | 23.8654321 |
2022-03-23 | 25.90740741 |
2022-03-24 | 28.19382716 |
2022-03-25 | 28.91481481 |
2022-03-28 | 31.42469136 |
2022-03-29 | 30.5037037 |
2022-03-30 | 31.98024691 |
2022-03-31 | 31.80493827 |
2022-04-01 | 32.49506173 |
2022-04-04 | 34.27530864 |
2022-04-05 | 35.42716049 |
2022-04-06 | 34.28024691 |
2022-04-07 | 33.1654321 |
2022-04-08 | 32.80987654 |
2022-04-11 | 30.54691358 |
2022-04-12 | 29.60123457 |
2022-04-13 | 31.28395062 |
2022-04-14 | 32.77160494 |
2022-04-18 | 33.18765432 |
2022-04-19 | 34.77654321 |
2022-04-20 | 34.69506173 |
2022-04-21 | 33.48888889 |
2022-04-22 | 32.33333333 |
2022-04-25 | 30.06790123 |
2022-04-26 | 26.78765432 |
2022-04-27 | 24.03209877 |
2022-04-28 | 22.72592593 |
2022-04-29 | 21.28148148 |
2022-05-02 | 20.05802469 |
2022-05-03 | 18.45432099 |
2022-05-04 | 19.1382716 |
2022-05-05 | 17 |
2022-05-06 | 15.06049383 |
2022-05-09 | 14.66296296 |
2022-05-10 | 13.93333333 |
2022-05-11 | 12.37901235 |
2022-05-12 | 11.97901235 |
2022-05-13 | 15.27283951 |
2022-05-16 | 16.16419753 |
2022-05-17 | 18.12716049 |
2022-05-18 | 20.89135802 |
2022-05-19 | 21.37654321 |
2022-05-20 | 19.65925926 |
2022-05-23 | 20.15802469 |
2022-05-24 | 19.97530864 |
2022-05-25 | 18.61728395 |
2022-05-26 | 21.64938272 |
2022-05-27 | 26.1 |
2022-05-31 | 26.51234568 |
2022-06-01 | 27.10123457 |
2022-06-02 | 29.05308642 |
2022-06-03 | 27.49135802 |
2022-06-06 | 24.31975309 |
2022-06-07 | 28.20123457 |
2022-06-08 | 30.6382716 |
2022-06-09 | 31.73950617 |
2022-06-10 | 30.6617284 |
2022-06-13 | 29.04814815 |
2022-06-14 | 25.50740741 |
2022-06-15 | 22.78641975 |
2022-06-16 | 20.42716049 |
2022-06-17 | 21.04938272 |
2022-06-21 | 24.02962963 |
2022-06-22 | 24.27037037 |
2022-06-23 | 23.97777778 |
2022-06-24 | 27.93950617 |
2022-06-27 | 29.10864198 |
2022-06-28 | 28.83950617 |
2022-06-29 | 29.08271605 |
2022-06-30 | 29.94074074 |
2022-07-01 | 26.19876543 |
2022-07-05 | 26.10864198 |
2022-07-06 | 24.09259259 |
2022-07-07 | 26.82098765 |
2022-07-08 | 27.27037037 |
2022-07-11 | 29.94938272 |
2022-07-12 | 32.2037037 |
2022-07-13 | 34.3654321 |
2022-07-14 | 32.04567901 |
2022-07-15 | 34.10864198 |
2022-07-18 | 35.45432099 |
2022-07-19 | 37.97530864 |
2022-07-20 | 39.11358025 |
2022-07-21 | 40.90617284 |
2022-07-22 | 40.87777778 |
2022-07-25 | 40.31234568 |
2022-07-26 | 40.82222222 |
2022-07-27 | 42.20246914 |
2022-07-28 | 43.46790123 |
2022-07-29 | 46.19259259 |
2022-08-01 | 46.27160494 |
2022-08-02 | 43.3308642 |
2022-08-03 | 46.09753086 |
2022-08-04 | 45.3037037 |
2022-08-05 | 45.22962963 |
2022-08-08 | 45.04691358 |
2022-08-09 | 46.61728395 |
2022-08-10 | 45.6382716 |
2022-08-11 | 48.53209877 |
2022-08-12 | 51.20246914 |
2022-08-15 | 57.68765432 |
2022-08-16 | 60.95802469 |
2022-08-17 | 59.82962963 |
2022-08-18 | 60.94938272 |
2022-08-19 | 60.83950617 |
2022-08-22 | 61.03580247 |
2022-08-23 | 58.82345679 |
2022-08-24 | 62.42962963 |
2022-08-25 | 63.67037037 |
2022-08-26 | 59.02345679 |
2022-08-29 | 52.44197531 |
2022-08-30 | 51.22962963 |
2022-08-31 | 46.14444444 |
2022-09-01 | 40.76419753 |
2022-09-02 | 39.11975309 |
2022-09-06 | 37.25555556 |
2022-09-07 | 36.61111111 |
2022-09-08 | 35.09753086 |
2022-09-09 | 33.95185185 |
2022-09-12 | 35.76296296 |
2022-09-13 | 38.55925926 |
2022-09-14 | 38.13580247 |
2022-09-15 | 39.81111111 |
2022-09-16 | 42.03333333 |
2022-09-19 | 43.09135802 |
2022-09-20 | 45.46790123 |
2022-09-21 | 44.94938272 |
2022-09-22 | 43.73580247 |
2022-09-23 | 42.6308642 |
2022-09-26 | 40.0037037 |
2022-09-27 | 36.07283951 |
2022-09-28 | 36.07654321 |
2022-09-29 | 36.69876543 |
2022-09-30 | 35.65432099 |
2022-10-03 | 36.85432099 |
2022-10-04 | 36.9382716 |
2022-10-05 | 37.0037037 |
2022-10-06 | 35.58271605 |
2022-10-07 | 35.70246914 |
2022-10-10 | 34.27037037 |
2022-10-11 | 32.87160494 |
2022-10-12 | 31.71234568 |
2022-10-13 | 30.26419753 |
2022-10-14 | 28.33580247 |
2022-10-17 | 29.83333333 |
2022-10-18 | 30.89753086 |
2022-10-19 | 31.37407407 |
2022-10-20 | 34.29876543 |
2022-10-21 | 35.27037037 |
2022-10-24 | 33.27901235 |
2022-10-25 | 35.66049383 |
2022-10-26 | 35.49135802 |
2022-10-27 | 34.28148148 |
2022-10-28 | 38.51481481 |
2022-10-31 | 39.71358025 |
2022-11-01 | 37.18271605 |
2022-11-02 | 37.50987654 |
2022-11-03 | 36.89012346 |
2022-11-04 | 31.47037037 |
2022-11-07 | 31.80493827 |
2022-11-08 | 32.92839506 |
2022-11-09 | 32.72469136 |
2022-11-10 | 34.17777778 |
2022-11-11 | 36.39012346 |
2022-11-14 | 36.51604938 |
2022-11-15 | 33.54567901 |
2022-11-16 | 32.92962963 |
2022-11-17 | 33.04197531 |
2022-11-18 | 32.6617284 |
2022-11-21 | 33.59012346 |
2022-11-22 | 38.24567901 |
2022-11-23 | 41.1654321 |
2022-11-25 | 42.62734836 |
2022-11-28 | 47.4680891 |
2022-11-29 | 49.60512614 |
2022-11-30 | 49.20759528 |
2022-12-01 | 46.86932367 |
2022-12-02 | 47.71234568 |
2022-12-05 | 45.73580247 |
2022-12-06 | 44.58641975 |
2022-12-07 | 42.2691358 |
2022-12-08 | 46.49382716 |
2022-12-09 | 42.66790123 |
2022-12-12 | 43.67407407 |
2022-12-13 | 38.27407407 |
2022-12-14 | 36.64320988 |
2022-12-15 | 33.01728395 |
2022-12-16 | 34.85679012 |
2022-12-19 | 33.8037037 |
2022-12-20 | 38.18518519 |
2022-12-21 | 44.0308642 |
2022-12-22 | 46.28271605 |
2022-12-23 | 45.07654321 |
2022-12-27 | 42.39135802 |
2022-12-28 | 41.3691358 |
2022-12-29 | 40.86790123 |
2022-12-30 | 38.77777778 |
2023-01-03 | 37.9654321 |
2023-01-04 | 38.88518519 |
2023-01-05 | 38.98024691 |
2023-01-06 | 38.5691358 |
2023-01-09 | 42.74691358 |
2023-01-10 | 45.30246914 |
2023-01-11 | 50.92839506 |
2023-01-12 | 50.79506173 |
2023-01-13 | 51.74814815 |
2023-01-17 | 50.52469136 |
2023-01-18 | 53.35802469 |
2023-01-19 | 50.99012346 |
2023-01-20 | 55.79382716 |
2023-01-23 | 56.20493827 |
2023-01-24 | 55.57283951 |
2023-01-25 | 53.14320988 |
2023-01-26 | 52.05061728 |
2023-01-27 | 52.51111111 |
2023-01-30 | 51.9691358 |
2023-01-31 | 55.75802469 |
2023-02-01 | 55.05308642 |
2023-02-02 | 54.75925926 |
2023-02-03 | 49.05061728 |
2023-02-06 | 46.98148148 |
2023-02-07 | 41.43580247 |
2023-02-08 | 43.08518519 |
2023-02-09 | 44.2691358 |
2023-02-10 | 46.69753086 |
2023-02-13 | 50.29506173 |
2023-02-14 | 49.58271605 |
2023-02-15 | 49.95185185 |
2023-02-16 | 49.90740741 |
2023-02-17 | 53.35925926 |
2023-02-21 | 54.74567901 |
2023-02-22 | 58.32345679 |
2023-02-23 | 61.22345679 |
2023-02-24 | 63.39506173 |
2023-02-27 | 63.80864198 |
2023-02-28 | 64.19135802 |
2023-03-01 | 67.16790123 |
2023-03-02 | 69.02839506 |
2023-03-03 | 72.08271605 |
2023-03-06 | 73.00493827 |
2023-03-07 | 70.89259259 |
2023-03-08 | 69.30493827 |
2023-03-09 | 67.79259259 |
2023-03-10 | 56.98148148 |
2023-03-13 | 45.10123457 |
2023-03-14 | 40.45432099 |
2023-03-15 | 32.05185185 |
2023-03-16 | 25.61481481 |
2023-03-17 | 27.34320988 |
2023-03-20 | 31.14814815 |
2023-03-21 | 34.5962963 |
2023-03-22 | 39.14197531 |
2023-03-23 | 41.35061728 |
2023-03-24 | 42.25185185 |
2023-03-27 | 43.66296296 |
2023-03-28 | 44.74814815 |
2023-03-29 | 49.52962963 |
2023-03-30 | 53.31975309 |
2023-03-31 | 64.37530864 |
2023-04-03 | 72.07283951 |
2023-04-04 | 73.39382716 |
2023-04-05 | 76.01851852 |
2023-04-06 | 78.7617284 |
2023-04-10 | 74.62345679 |
2023-04-11 | 76.41604938 |
2023-04-12 | 74.25925926 |
2023-04-13 | 74.8617284 |
2023-04-14 | 73.04938272 |
2023-04-17 | 71.4962963 |
2023-04-18 | 67.99382716 |
2023-04-19 | 72.54074074 |
2023-04-20 | 71.5 |
2023-04-21 | 72.71851852 |
2023-04-24 | 76.96790123 |
2023-04-25 | 78.27901235 |
2023-04-26 | 77.3308642 |
2023-04-27 | 81.41975309 |
2023-04-28 | 78.43580247 |
2023-05-01 | 75.56296296 |
2023-05-02 | 73.54938272 |
2023-05-03 | 69.0962963 |
2023-05-04 | 59.2691358 |
2023-05-05 | 61.60864198 |
2023-05-08 | 60.74938272 |
2023-05-09 | 61.42469136 |
2023-05-10 | 61.23950617 |
2023-05-11 | 62.59506173 |
2023-05-12 | 61.03950617 |
2023-05-15 | 62.30246914 |
2023-05-16 | 61.94320988 |
2023-05-17 | 66.61481481 |
2023-05-18 | 67.17530864 |
2023-05-19 | 65.62592593 |
2023-05-22 | 62.7691358 |
2023-05-23 | 62.86419753 |
2023-05-24 | 59.92716049 |
2023-05-25 | 58.4382716 |
2023-05-26 | 60.14938272 |
2023-05-30 | 60.10987654 |
2023-05-31 | 60.34074074 |
2023-06-01 | 62.73580247 |
2023-06-02 | 67.34320988 |
2023-06-05 | 67.20246914 |
2023-06-06 | 69.09135802 |
2023-06-07 | 68.45555556 |
2023-06-08 | 70.91481481 |
2023-06-09 | 68.28024691 |
2023-06-12 | 68.65555556 |
2023-06-13 | 67.32592593 |
2023-06-14 | 65.50987654 |
2023-06-15 | 59.94814815 |
2023-06-16 | 58.04320988 |
2023-06-20 | 56.17777778 |
2023-06-21 | 53.85185185 |
2023-06-22 | 53.0382716 |
2023-06-23 | 53.82222222 |
2023-06-26 | 56.26666667 |
2023-06-27 | 61.42592593 |
2023-06-28 | 64.8 |
2023-06-29 | 69.70740741 |
2023-06-30 | 77.17037037 |
2023-07-03 | 81.41500268 |
2023-07-05 | 80.9298175 |
2023-07-06 | 87.45080515 |
2023-07-07 | 91.34957059 |
2023-07-10 | 86.72734836 |
2023-07-11 | 86.65308642 |
2023-07-12 | 86.93333333 |
2023-07-13 | 85.08518519 |
2023-07-14 | 80.32839506 |
2023-07-17 | 82.32345679 |
2023-07-18 | 83.91975309 |
2023-07-19 | 82.45061728 |
2023-07-20 | 78.62469136 |
2023-07-21 | 78.55061728 |
2023-07-24 | 76.80987654 |
2023-07-25 | 79.16666667 |
2023-07-26 | 77.85061728 |
2023-07-27 | 78.15061728 |
2023-07-28 | 78.10740741 |
2023-07-31 | 77.61975309 |
2023-08-01 | 72.59382716 |
2023-08-02 | 75.42592593 |
2023-08-03 | 76.27283951 |
2023-08-04 | 76.63209877 |
2023-08-07 | 78.7654321 |
2023-08-08 | 77.83580247 |
2023-08-09 | 77.22222222 |
2023-08-10 | 70.6 |
2023-08-11 | 66.4 |
2023-08-14 | 61.66790123 |
2023-08-15 | 57.38641975 |
2023-08-16 | 51.95925926 |
2023-08-17 | 55.12962963 |
2023-08-18 | 53.8691358 |
2023-08-21 | 53.8654321 |
2023-08-22 | 53.9345679 |
2023-08-23 | 55.60617284 |
2023-08-24 | 54.41111111 |
2023-08-25 | 52.25432099 |
2023-08-28 | 49.59382716 |
2023-08-29 | 51.15185185 |
2023-08-30 | 51.22469136 |
2023-08-31 | 53.80740741 |
2023-09-01 | 58.10740741 |
2023-09-05 | 64.29259259 |
2023-09-06 | 67.70246914 |
2023-09-07 | 70.81234568 |
2023-09-08 | 70.78641975 |
2023-09-11 | 72.04691358 |
2023-09-12 | 69.29506173 |
2023-09-13 | 68.68518519 |
2023-09-14 | 70.02962963 |
2023-09-15 | 70.28518519 |
2023-09-18 | 72.96049383 |
2023-09-19 | 76.21728395 |
2023-09-20 | 73.97037037 |
2023-09-21 | 70.92716049 |
2023-09-22 | 70.67654321 |
2023-09-25 | 67.20987654 |
2023-09-26 | 64.85061728 |
2023-09-27 | 63.45679012 |
2023-09-28 | 61.25555556 |
2023-09-29 | 57.1382716 |
2023-10-02 | 53.05185185 |
2023-10-03 | 47.85555556 |
2023-10-04 | 45.42222222 |
2023-10-05 | 43.00123457 |
2023-10-06 | 43.14074074 |
2023-10-09 | 45.49382716 |
2023-10-10 | 48.67407407 |
2023-10-11 | 51.00493827 |
2023-10-12 | 52.45308642 |
2023-10-13 | 53.24444444 |
2023-10-16 | 55.17160494 |
2023-10-17 | 53.89876543 |
2023-10-18 | 52.25061728 |
2023-10-19 | 49.92592593 |
2023-10-20 | 49.27283951 |
2023-10-23 | 46.45925926 |
2023-10-24 | 45.05802469 |
2023-10-25 | 44.5 |
2023-10-26 | 45.21604938 |
2023-10-27 | 44.22222222 |
2023-10-30 | 46.42592593 |
2023-10-31 | 47.72469136 |
2023-11-01 | 47.62592593 |
2023-11-02 | 52.88641975 |
2023-11-03 | 57.64074074 |
2023-11-06 | 60.89259259 |
2023-11-07 | 65.80740741 |
2023-11-08 | 70.31975309 |
2023-11-09 | 69.60123457 |
2023-11-10 | 71.19506173 |
2023-11-13 | 72.04197531 |
2023-11-14 | 72.41481481 |
2023-11-15 | 73.14197531 |
2023-11-16 | 75.53703704 |
2023-11-17 | 77.06296296 |
2023-11-20 | 79.34074074 |
2023-11-21 | 79.57901235 |
2023-11-22 | 80.98148148 |
2023-11-24 | 80.32962963 |
2023-11-27 | 80.6308642 |
2023-11-28 | 80.85185185 |
2023-11-29 | 81.98024691 |
2023-11-30 | 83.76049383 |
2023-12-01 | 83.49506173 |
2023-12-04 | 87.10740741 |
2023-12-05 | 86.26296296 |
2023-12-06 | 89.23580247 |
2023-12-07 | 92.33209877 |
2023-12-08 | 92.72592593 |
2023-12-11 | 91.31851852 |
2023-12-12 | 93.58888889 |
2023-12-13 | 94.47530864 |
2023-12-14 | 89.65925926 |
2023-12-15 | 86.61604938 |
2023-12-18 | 88.9382716 |
2023-12-19 | 91.88518519 |
2023-12-20 | 89.71358025 |
2023-12-21 | 84.86666667 |
2023-12-22 | 86.50987654 |
2023-12-26 | 80.29876543 |
2023-12-27 | 73.53580247 |
2023-12-28 | 70.31728395 |
2023-12-29 | 71.43580247 |
2024-01-02 | 71.15555556 |
2024-01-03 | 67.49259259 |
2024-01-04 | 63.25061728 |
2024-01-05 | 58.71234568 |
2024-01-08 | 62.15802469 |
2024-01-09 | 63.72592593 |
2024-01-10 | 67.90246914 |
2024-01-11 | 66.25679012 |
2024-01-12 | 66.7345679 |
2024-01-16 | 62.34938272 |
2024-01-17 | 60.03209877 |
2024-01-18 | 56.74444444 |
2024-01-19 | 60.50740741 |
2024-01-22 | 60.04938272 |
2024-01-23 | 62.63580247 |
2024-01-24 | 62.25802469 |
2024-01-25 | 60.98641975 |
2024-01-26 | 59.56419753 |
2024-01-29 | 63.16419753 |
2024-01-30 | 62.67160494 |
2024-01-31 | 61.87283951 |
2024-02-01 | 61.56049383 |
2024-02-02 | 60.61728395 |
2024-02-05 | 58.47407407 |
2024-02-06 | 56.76790123 |
2024-02-07 | 58.09382716 |
2024-02-08 | 62.90123457 |
2024-02-09 | 67.95185185 |
2024-02-12 | 71.41358025 |
2024-02-13 | 72.86666667 |
2024-02-14 | 72.15925926 |
2024-02-15 | 70.07901235 |
2024-02-16 | 66.04691358 |
2024-02-20 | 60.21111111 |
2024-02-21 | 58.2691358 |
2024-02-22 | 57.94814815 |
2024-02-23 | 55.64938272 |
2024-02-26 | 55.89382716 |
2024-02-27 | 58.0691358 |
2024-02-28 | 60.48765432 |
2024-02-29 | 62.57654321 |
2024-03-01 | 69.81481481 |
2024-03-04 | 77.59753086 |
2024-03-05 | 78.11728395 |
2024-03-06 | 76.54938272 |
2024-03-07 | 78.62098765 |
2024-03-08 | 68.48271605 |
2024-03-11 | 55.20864198 |
2024-03-12 | 51.90740741 |
2024-03-13 | 53.47160494 |
2024-03-14 | 47.74691358 |
2024-03-15 | 49.62716049 |
2024-03-18 | 53.57283951 |
2024-03-19 | 55.10246914 |
2024-03-20 | 52.77160494 |
2024-03-21 | 54.98024691 |
2024-03-22 | 58.12345679 |
2024-03-25 | 60.73580247 |
2024-03-26 | 66.2308642 |
2024-03-27 | 70.11481481 |
2024-03-28 | 74.39382716 |
Note: The data show the depth at the best quoted prices to buy and sell, defined as the ask size plus the bid size divided by 2, for E-mini Standard & Poor's 500 futures.
Source: Refinitiv, DataScope Tick History; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.
Figure 1.14. Commercial real estate prices, adjusted for inflation, continued to decline
Jan. 2001 = 100
Date | Jan. 2001 = 100 |
---|---|
2000-12-01 | 99.90788133 |
2001-01-01 | 100 |
2001-02-01 | 100.2192712 |
2001-03-01 | 100.4764044 |
2001-04-01 | 100.3952541 |
2001-05-01 | 100.0814704 |
2001-06-01 | 99.87430125 |
2001-07-01 | 99.99135966 |
2001-08-01 | 99.75524143 |
2001-09-01 | 99.05491309 |
2001-10-01 | 99.13889931 |
2001-11-01 | 99.04670349 |
2001-12-01 | 99.17154908 |
2002-01-01 | 98.69589148 |
2002-02-01 | 98.1207089 |
2002-03-01 | 97.47977099 |
2002-04-01 | 96.96367503 |
2002-05-01 | 97.14842568 |
2002-06-01 | 97.48864045 |
2002-07-01 | 97.98841224 |
2002-08-01 | 98.44870314 |
2002-09-01 | 99.17174387 |
2002-10-01 | 99.91686717 |
2002-11-01 | 100.8056523 |
2002-12-01 | 101.8922739 |
2003-01-01 | 102.2710745 |
2003-02-01 | 102.233401 |
2003-03-01 | 102.2432757 |
2003-04-01 | 102.9887833 |
2003-05-01 | 103.6279631 |
2003-06-01 | 103.9768497 |
2003-07-01 | 104.3492254 |
2003-08-01 | 104.4884913 |
2003-09-01 | 104.7011577 |
2003-10-01 | 105.3219055 |
2003-11-01 | 106.0095944 |
2003-12-01 | 106.4505435 |
2004-01-01 | 106.3026533 |
2004-02-01 | 106.2747086 |
2004-03-01 | 106.3848957 |
2004-04-01 | 107.0516632 |
2004-05-01 | 107.5594544 |
2004-06-01 | 108.4291346 |
2004-07-01 | 109.8820255 |
2004-08-01 | 111.1611244 |
2004-09-01 | 112.271208 |
2004-10-01 | 112.9477338 |
2004-11-01 | 114.0968252 |
2004-12-01 | 115.7067299 |
2005-01-01 | 116.6924392 |
2005-02-01 | 117.233275 |
2005-03-01 | 117.5132921 |
2005-04-01 | 117.9622958 |
2005-05-01 | 119.439766 |
2005-06-01 | 120.8593749 |
2005-07-01 | 121.8792266 |
2005-08-01 | 122.9210453 |
2005-09-01 | 123.0947111 |
2005-10-01 | 124.3700478 |
2005-11-01 | 126.6264339 |
2005-12-01 | 128.149762 |
2006-01-01 | 128.0394513 |
2006-02-01 | 128.5991155 |
2006-03-01 | 128.6012816 |
2006-04-01 | 128.0360286 |
2006-05-01 | 127.7724757 |
2006-06-01 | 127.8256976 |
2006-07-01 | 127.7165515 |
2006-08-01 | 127.7004076 |
2006-09-01 | 128.5790787 |
2006-10-01 | 129.6143857 |
2006-11-01 | 130.3013355 |
2006-12-01 | 130.7436314 |
2007-01-01 | 131.1913372 |
2007-02-01 | 131.52309 |
2007-03-01 | 131.5258552 |
2007-04-01 | 131.903688 |
2007-05-01 | 132.2730017 |
2007-06-01 | 133.0291382 |
2007-07-01 | 133.6777962 |
2007-08-01 | 133.9216915 |
2007-09-01 | 132.8253493 |
2007-10-01 | 131.3774707 |
2007-11-01 | 129.2764849 |
2007-12-01 | 128.1265358 |
2008-01-01 | 126.409009 |
2008-02-01 | 125.1220234 |
2008-03-01 | 123.2019261 |
2008-04-01 | 121.5879257 |
2008-05-01 | 119.546513 |
2008-06-01 | 117.1528136 |
2008-07-01 | 115.2007837 |
2008-08-01 | 114.2256272 |
2008-09-01 | 112.7970618 |
2008-10-01 | 112.1111939 |
2008-11-01 | 112.1809699 |
2008-12-01 | 111.0492694 |
2009-01-01 | 108.1816201 |
2009-02-01 | 105.2033557 |
2009-03-01 | 102.4709523 |
2009-04-01 | 99.71137274 |
2009-05-01 | 96.95573853 |
2009-06-01 | 93.78166174 |
2009-07-01 | 91.76863702 |
2009-08-01 | 89.67531174 |
2009-09-01 | 88.03341599 |
2009-10-01 | 86.65569516 |
2009-11-01 | 85.54826372 |
2009-12-01 | 84.85141826 |
2010-01-01 | 83.90196601 |
2010-02-01 | 83.3911701 |
2010-03-01 | 82.71737914 |
2010-04-01 | 82.36299761 |
2010-05-01 | 82.22165926 |
2010-06-01 | 82.36398851 |
2010-07-01 | 82.55902823 |
2010-08-01 | 82.78926703 |
2010-09-01 | 83.17975845 |
2010-10-01 | 83.54307347 |
2010-11-01 | 83.91773841 |
2010-12-01 | 84.07034092 |
2011-01-01 | 83.8391212 |
2011-02-01 | 83.49653791 |
2011-03-01 | 82.73461581 |
2011-04-01 | 82.30608878 |
2011-05-01 | 82.15283027 |
2011-06-01 | 82.60286717 |
2011-07-01 | 83.04421554 |
2011-08-01 | 83.42426673 |
2011-09-01 | 83.94286072 |
2011-10-01 | 84.6858317 |
2011-11-01 | 85.19352164 |
2011-12-01 | 85.72654803 |
2012-01-01 | 85.61225255 |
2012-02-01 | 85.47926572 |
2012-03-01 | 85.07167107 |
2012-04-01 | 85.04985335 |
2012-05-01 | 85.40270005 |
2012-06-01 | 85.82756728 |
2012-07-01 | 86.31659555 |
2012-08-01 | 86.26938582 |
2012-09-01 | 86.42536582 |
2012-10-01 | 87.10971264 |
2012-11-01 | 88.21568083 |
2012-12-01 | 89.1105982 |
2013-01-01 | 89.43896617 |
2013-02-01 | 89.25981685 |
2013-03-01 | 89.57098403 |
2013-04-01 | 90.26274761 |
2013-05-01 | 90.79867419 |
2013-06-01 | 91.37287861 |
2013-07-01 | 92.17854249 |
2013-08-01 | 92.93944566 |
2013-09-01 | 93.70706208 |
2013-10-01 | 94.81692024 |
2013-11-01 | 95.83414339 |
2013-12-01 | 96.62601295 |
2014-01-01 | 97.03444652 |
2014-02-01 | 97.43508923 |
2014-03-01 | 97.56457018 |
2014-04-01 | 98.01801949 |
2014-05-01 | 98.48817157 |
2014-06-01 | 99.13513912 |
2014-07-01 | 99.97862785 |
2014-08-01 | 100.9227726 |
2014-09-01 | 101.6311647 |
2014-10-01 | 102.7356942 |
2014-11-01 | 104.2307465 |
2014-12-01 | 105.8332877 |
2015-01-01 | 107.3395552 |
2015-02-01 | 107.7897175 |
2015-03-01 | 107.9421267 |
2015-04-01 | 108.4249517 |
2015-05-01 | 108.5085737 |
2015-06-01 | 108.7176028 |
2015-07-01 | 109.2687227 |
2015-08-01 | 109.996427 |
2015-09-01 | 110.7516569 |
2015-10-01 | 111.3932502 |
2015-11-01 | 112.1792266 |
2015-12-01 | 113.0483767 |
2016-01-01 | 113.2586358 |
2016-02-01 | 113.5521024 |
2016-03-01 | 113.5268248 |
2016-04-01 | 113.5832684 |
2016-05-01 | 113.8415211 |
2016-06-01 | 114.2464052 |
2016-07-01 | 115.2080919 |
2016-08-01 | 115.8205123 |
2016-09-01 | 116.1726142 |
2016-10-01 | 116.5433655 |
2016-11-01 | 117.1323775 |
2016-12-01 | 117.3997782 |
2017-01-01 | 116.9953312 |
2017-02-01 | 116.9270176 |
2017-03-01 | 117.2416719 |
2017-04-01 | 117.4788786 |
2017-05-01 | 118.1041972 |
2017-06-01 | 118.7816925 |
2017-07-01 | 119.6389983 |
2017-08-01 | 120.0346782 |
2017-09-01 | 120.1210013 |
2017-10-01 | 120.8121255 |
2017-11-01 | 121.2882067 |
2017-12-01 | 121.7610046 |
2018-01-01 | 121.5306845 |
2018-02-01 | 121.5303809 |
2018-03-01 | 121.9362962 |
2018-04-01 | 122.2178869 |
2018-05-01 | 122.5045473 |
2018-06-01 | 123.1181801 |
2018-07-01 | 123.9196772 |
2018-08-01 | 124.6071648 |
2018-09-01 | 125.0539144 |
2018-10-01 | 125.2073297 |
2018-11-01 | 125.8452805 |
2018-12-01 | 126.4052753 |
2019-01-01 | 126.4130105 |
2019-02-01 | 126.2911294 |
2019-03-01 | 126.2044445 |
2019-04-01 | 126.3341938 |
2019-05-01 | 126.9857121 |
2019-06-01 | 127.9451972 |
2019-07-01 | 128.6878962 |
2019-08-01 | 129.5264135 |
2019-09-01 | 130.0616601 |
2019-10-01 | 130.207241 |
2019-11-01 | 130.5908816 |
2019-12-01 | 131.0096957 |
2020-01-01 | 130.8340396 |
2020-02-01 | 130.7733132 |
2020-03-01 | 131.1500217 |
2020-04-01 | 131.8317104 |
2020-05-01 | 131.4751282 |
2020-06-01 | 130.5424068 |
2020-07-01 | 130.1378381 |
2020-08-01 | 130.6126776 |
2020-09-01 | 131.8584571 |
2020-10-01 | 133.4406075 |
2020-11-01 | 135.1013607 |
2020-12-01 | 136.35646 |
2021-01-01 | 137.0340036 |
2021-02-01 | 137.4058823 |
2021-03-01 | 137.615617 |
2021-04-01 | 137.8128089 |
2021-05-01 | 138.314667 |
2021-06-01 | 138.9964557 |
2021-07-01 | 140.7157271 |
2021-08-01 | 143.1578887 |
2021-09-01 | 145.5907414 |
2021-10-01 | 147.1126399 |
2021-11-01 | 148.8863346 |
2021-12-01 | 150.4424255 |
2022-01-01 | 150.3398755 |
2022-02-01 | 149.41771 |
2022-03-01 | 147.6920177 |
2022-04-01 | 147.5623662 |
2022-05-01 | 147.083209 |
2022-06-01 | 146.1700245 |
2022-07-01 | 146.6263521 |
2022-08-01 | 146.277511 |
2022-09-01 | 144.8185275 |
2022-10-01 | 142.5591334 |
2022-11-01 | 140.5218923 |
2022-12-01 | 138.4559787 |
2023-01-01 | 134.8977571 |
2023-02-01 | 132.099581 |
2023-03-01 | 130.1640688 |
2023-04-01 | 128.4637786 |
2023-05-01 | 127.4365758 |
2023-06-01 | 126.6210883 |
2023-07-01 | 126.230755 |
2023-08-01 | 125.6405676 |
2023-09-01 | 125.2827025 |
2023-10-01 | 125.2121657 |
2023-11-01 | 125.266913 |
2023-12-01 | 125.1009944 |
2024-01-01 | 124.0725072 |
2024-02-01 | 122.9684575 |
Note: The data are deflated using the consumer price index.
Source: Real Capital Analytics; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.
Figure 1.15. Income of commercial properties relative to prices continued to grow but remained well below historical norms
Percent
Date | Percent |
---|---|
2001-01-01 | 8.57989741 |
2001-02-01 | 8.574046489 |
2001-03-01 | 8.561989697 |
2001-04-01 | 8.568342304 |
2001-05-01 | 8.591625327 |
2001-06-01 | 8.594615923 |
2001-07-01 | 8.6101211 |
2001-08-01 | 8.641056719 |
2001-09-01 | 8.655288755 |
2001-10-01 | 8.679044561 |
2001-11-01 | 8.725277391 |
2001-12-01 | 8.792315534 |
2002-01-01 | 8.819822962 |
2002-02-01 | 8.860719401 |
2002-03-01 | 8.88724549 |
2002-04-01 | 8.910460908 |
2002-05-01 | 8.905000918 |
2002-06-01 | 8.896379856 |
2002-07-01 | 8.852049348 |
2002-08-01 | 8.79501265 |
2002-09-01 | 8.73416556 |
2002-10-01 | 8.674044525 |
2002-11-01 | 8.61899609 |
2002-12-01 | 8.544885816 |
2003-01-01 | 8.497136174 |
2003-02-01 | 8.4645379 |
2003-03-01 | 8.455077922 |
2003-04-01 | 8.434485708 |
2003-05-01 | 8.395839521 |
2003-06-01 | 8.353448802 |
2003-07-01 | 8.323366828 |
2003-08-01 | 8.272360713 |
2003-09-01 | 8.256441706 |
2003-10-01 | 8.228072575 |
2003-11-01 | 8.198637451 |
2003-12-01 | 8.147957011 |
2004-01-01 | 8.113645987 |
2004-02-01 | 8.051983518 |
2004-03-01 | 7.989427051 |
2004-04-01 | 7.94373754 |
2004-05-01 | 7.912444885 |
2004-06-01 | 7.87588976 |
2004-07-01 | 7.845330492 |
2004-08-01 | 7.818807848 |
2004-09-01 | 7.75991065 |
2004-10-01 | 7.714431776 |
2004-11-01 | 7.657350195 |
2004-12-01 | 7.574750757 |
2005-01-01 | 7.527501283 |
2005-02-01 | 7.500876348 |
2005-03-01 | 7.462826849 |
2005-04-01 | 7.412860429 |
2005-05-01 | 7.352633439 |
2005-06-01 | 7.295349367 |
2005-07-01 | 7.238369271 |
2005-08-01 | 7.188579989 |
2005-09-01 | 7.136240466 |
2005-10-01 | 7.085665012 |
2005-11-01 | 7.054713096 |
2005-12-01 | 7.023864306 |
2006-01-01 | 6.977383082 |
2006-02-01 | 6.946358117 |
2006-03-01 | 6.907713383 |
2006-04-01 | 6.873758933 |
2006-05-01 | 6.847685522 |
2006-06-01 | 6.816424251 |
2006-07-01 | 6.778093348 |
2006-08-01 | 6.763648492 |
2006-09-01 | 6.743515793 |
2006-10-01 | 6.735970104 |
2006-11-01 | 6.725970892 |
2006-12-01 | 6.711367583 |
2007-01-01 | 6.693994176 |
2007-02-01 | 6.682568883 |
2007-03-01 | 6.668560158 |
2007-04-01 | 6.649227381 |
2007-05-01 | 6.62707761 |
2007-06-01 | 6.616301495 |
2007-07-01 | 6.616757401 |
2007-08-01 | 6.606369579 |
2007-09-01 | 6.602583644 |
2007-10-01 | 6.594944779 |
2007-11-01 | 6.586401447 |
2007-12-01 | 6.584345714 |
2008-01-01 | 6.589050539 |
2008-02-01 | 6.599620601 |
2008-03-01 | 6.616996498 |
2008-04-01 | 6.643872334 |
2008-05-01 | 6.684524328 |
2008-06-01 | 6.729662154 |
2008-07-01 | 6.771604282 |
2008-08-01 | 6.825750378 |
2008-09-01 | 6.870187222 |
2008-10-01 | 6.890966074 |
2008-11-01 | 6.93548321 |
2008-12-01 | 6.986544317 |
2009-01-01 | 7.044987845 |
2009-02-01 | 7.053238677 |
2009-03-01 | 7.07978514 |
2009-04-01 | 7.086916744 |
2009-05-01 | 7.12275683 |
2009-06-01 | 7.176377444 |
2009-07-01 | 7.260869119 |
2009-08-01 | 7.338198263 |
2009-09-01 | 7.422877786 |
2009-10-01 | 7.525061257 |
2009-11-01 | 7.568013187 |
2009-12-01 | 7.638560078 |
2010-01-01 | 7.647795624 |
2010-02-01 | 7.678250457 |
2010-03-01 | 7.738547174 |
2010-04-01 | 7.816543281 |
2010-05-01 | 7.830351279 |
2010-06-01 | 7.813880179 |
2010-07-01 | 7.783874392 |
2010-08-01 | 7.799878998 |
2010-09-01 | 7.762599704 |
2010-10-01 | 7.731650039 |
2010-11-01 | 7.706613266 |
2010-12-01 | 7.64711485 |
2011-01-01 | 7.636477889 |
2011-02-01 | 7.609878881 |
2011-03-01 | 7.561883288 |
2011-04-01 | 7.541582654 |
2011-05-01 | 7.509583563 |
2011-06-01 | 7.464878233 |
2011-07-01 | 7.434328029 |
2011-08-01 | 7.384329621 |
2011-09-01 | 7.351283236 |
2011-10-01 | 7.345766949 |
2011-11-01 | 7.316647559 |
2011-12-01 | 7.286025663 |
2012-01-01 | 7.25146612 |
2012-02-01 | 7.252402367 |
2012-03-01 | 7.230503615 |
2012-04-01 | 7.194750424 |
2012-05-01 | 7.164376226 |
2012-06-01 | 7.145066967 |
2012-07-01 | 7.130808368 |
2012-08-01 | 7.121137806 |
2012-09-01 | 7.107983061 |
2012-10-01 | 7.072796337 |
2012-11-01 | 7.049808658 |
2012-12-01 | 7.014479061 |
2013-01-01 | 7.017863264 |
2013-02-01 | 7.000941914 |
2013-03-01 | 6.993063575 |
2013-04-01 | 6.976457977 |
2013-05-01 | 6.979811145 |
2013-06-01 | 6.960841242 |
2013-07-01 | 6.95503934 |
2013-08-01 | 6.927353892 |
2013-09-01 | 6.923190302 |
2013-10-01 | 6.930920981 |
2013-11-01 | 6.942241129 |
2013-12-01 | 6.926955252 |
2014-01-01 | 6.900869865 |
2014-02-01 | 6.884390976 |
2014-03-01 | 6.863904125 |
2014-04-01 | 6.865491059 |
2014-05-01 | 6.845328258 |
2014-06-01 | 6.824740107 |
2014-07-01 | 6.799563907 |
2014-08-01 | 6.784243493 |
2014-09-01 | 6.74564139 |
2014-10-01 | 6.709267841 |
2014-11-01 | 6.686019478 |
2014-12-01 | 6.644695563 |
2015-01-01 | 6.628753424 |
2015-02-01 | 6.617910657 |
2015-03-01 | 6.598499039 |
2015-04-01 | 6.560480938 |
2015-05-01 | 6.534458208 |
2015-06-01 | 6.525913443 |
2015-07-01 | 6.506781252 |
2015-08-01 | 6.485626139 |
2015-09-01 | 6.479076116 |
2015-10-01 | 6.459788132 |
2015-11-01 | 6.435124319 |
2015-12-01 | 6.419296509 |
2016-01-01 | 6.423306998 |
2016-02-01 | 6.409381038 |
2016-03-01 | 6.395765863 |
2016-04-01 | 6.389512309 |
2016-05-01 | 6.378130458 |
2016-06-01 | 6.361573153 |
2016-07-01 | 6.339554707 |
2016-08-01 | 6.333472896 |
2016-09-01 | 6.313272606 |
2016-10-01 | 6.301493684 |
2016-11-01 | 6.307440009 |
2016-12-01 | 6.316049636 |
2017-01-01 | 6.296047147 |
2017-02-01 | 6.297070032 |
2017-03-01 | 6.306535582 |
2017-04-01 | 6.311614154 |
2017-05-01 | 6.303677062 |
2017-06-01 | 6.288486122 |
2017-07-01 | 6.283363825 |
2017-08-01 | 6.278404148 |
2017-09-01 | 6.271011886 |
2017-10-01 | 6.270512705 |
2017-11-01 | 6.263424333 |
2017-12-01 | 6.244489961 |
2018-01-01 | 6.238659254 |
2018-02-01 | 6.228588066 |
2018-03-01 | 6.213383239 |
2018-04-01 | 6.204013508 |
2018-05-01 | 6.196302555 |
2018-06-01 | 6.199286231 |
2018-07-01 | 6.200976128 |
2018-08-01 | 6.192751412 |
2018-09-01 | 6.200896785 |
2018-10-01 | 6.198805679 |
2018-11-01 | 6.190004902 |
2018-12-01 | 6.174771812 |
2019-01-01 | 6.183340675 |
2019-02-01 | 6.177599578 |
2019-03-01 | 6.182445717 |
2019-04-01 | 6.180072692 |
2019-05-01 | 6.202124256 |
2019-06-01 | 6.189355221 |
2019-07-01 | 6.188487102 |
2019-08-01 | 6.172225442 |
2019-09-01 | 6.153661292 |
2019-10-01 | 6.139307989 |
2019-11-01 | 6.122354491 |
2019-12-01 | 6.116613587 |
2020-01-01 | 6.114246406 |
2020-02-01 | 6.11003229 |
2020-03-01 | 6.083398772 |
2020-04-01 | 6.074728126 |
2020-05-01 | 6.030314137 |
2020-06-01 | 6.023048395 |
2020-07-01 | 5.993409572 |
2020-08-01 | 5.98799345 |
2020-09-01 | 5.980213475 |
2020-10-01 | 5.960279226 |
2020-11-01 | 5.948080264 |
2020-12-01 | 5.929729593 |
2021-01-01 | 5.904052328 |
2021-02-01 | 5.896408409 |
2021-03-01 | 5.888596998 |
2021-04-01 | 5.886520222 |
2021-05-01 | 5.882474611 |
2021-06-01 | 5.871057546 |
2021-07-01 | 5.857865881 |
2021-08-01 | 5.841699834 |
2021-09-01 | 5.800525939 |
2021-10-01 | 5.767301303 |
2021-11-01 | 5.747738258 |
2021-12-01 | 5.692625421 |
2022-01-01 | 5.671666515 |
2022-02-01 | 5.651471103 |
2022-03-01 | 5.62099125 |
2022-04-01 | 5.589316031 |
2022-05-01 | 5.563067536 |
2022-06-01 | 5.534118007 |
2022-07-01 | 5.516636955 |
2022-08-01 | 5.502791309 |
2022-09-01 | 5.509439274 |
2022-10-01 | 5.522909242 |
2022-11-01 | 5.529124045 |
2022-12-01 | 5.551637797 |
2023-01-01 | 5.572600971 |
2023-02-01 | 5.580185819 |
2023-03-01 | 5.631420664 |
2023-04-01 | 5.670707145 |
2023-05-01 | 5.732459027 |
2023-06-01 | 5.795817966 |
2023-07-01 | 5.850909682 |
2023-08-01 | 5.902372674 |
2023-09-01 | 5.954338286 |
2023-10-01 | 6.005229137 |
2023-11-01 | 6.0535556 |
2023-12-01 | 6.096709272 |
2024-01-01 | 6.109000598 |
2024-02-01 | 6.139703177 |
Note: The data are a 12-month moving average of weighted capitalization rates in the industrial, retail, office, and multifamily sectors, based on national square footage in 2009.
Source: Real Capital Analytics; Andrew C. Florance, Norm G. Miller, Ruijue Peng, and Jay Spivey (2010), "Slicing, Dicing, and Scoping the Size of the U.S. Commercial Real Estate Market," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, vol. 16 (May–August), pp. 101–18.
Figure 1.16. Banks reported tightening lending standards for commercial real estate loans
This is a line chart titled "Banks reported tightening lending standards for commercial real estate loans." The x-axis measures time and ranges from 1997 to 2024. The data are quarterly. There is one line on the chart. The line shows "Net percentage of banks reporting." There is also a horizonal line marked at zero. Data points above zero to 100 are labeled "Tightening" and data points below zero to -100 are labeled "Easing." The series begins at about -7 in 1997 before a quick rise to around 40 in the middle of 1998. There is a dip and then an increase to 45 in 2000:Q1. There is a steady decrease and the series reaches its minimum of -25 in 2004:Q4. From there the series climbs to over 90 in 2008:Q4. From this peak, there is a decrease to below 0 starting in 2011 until 2015. The series has a small quick spike to around 27 in 2016, and remains roughly steady until another quick peak of 65 in 2020:Q2, before a dramatic decline to -17 in 2021:Q3. The series increased to 60 in mid-2023 before declining again to 20 in the final value for 2024:Q1.
Note: Banks' responses are weighted by their commercial real estate loan market shares. Survey respondents to the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices are asked about the changes over the quarter. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: March 2001–November 2001, December 2007–June 2009, and February 2020–April 2020.
Source: Federal Reserve Board, Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.
Figure 1.17. House prices continued to increase in recent months
12-month percent change
Date | Zillow | CoreLogic | Case-Shiller |
---|---|---|---|
2003-01-01 | 7.263325344 | 9.678970732 | 9.62727585 |
2003-02-01 | 7.348212249 | 9.623167733 | 9.758809442 |
2003-03-01 | 7.42269462 | 9.580487463 | 9.64979225 |
2003-04-01 | 7.503365548 | 9.496493054 | 9.462293432 |
2003-05-01 | 7.58896016 | 9.260170108 | 9.148108287 |
2003-06-01 | 7.650222201 | 9.001245789 | 8.910324532 |
2003-07-01 | 7.686484722 | 8.817260078 | 8.860861832 |
2003-08-01 | 7.720708153 | 8.961028176 | 9.011464764 |
2003-09-01 | 7.78877467 | 9.36735388 | 9.235795681 |
2003-10-01 | 7.864245207 | 9.868415397 | 9.386396068 |
2003-11-01 | 7.917256402 | 10.30474666 | 9.57833228 |
2003-12-01 | 7.943818691 | 10.86757998 | 9.815178923 |
2004-01-01 | 8.001816067 | 11.3589443 | 10.23110067 |
2004-02-01 | 8.129492042 | 11.76165048 | 10.67560196 |
2004-03-01 | 8.327783303 | 12.32588625 | 11.42216379 |
2004-04-01 | 8.56356039 | 12.99239681 | 12.02390988 |
2004-05-01 | 8.841710231 | 13.4892931 | 12.50758495 |
2004-06-01 | 9.175491721 | 14.13114973 | 12.97755761 |
2004-07-01 | 9.547996937 | 14.5069748 | 13.13776457 |
2004-08-01 | 9.885963511 | 14.57418145 | 13.1205413 |
2004-09-01 | 10.16034558 | 14.72051251 | 13.15290341 |
2004-10-01 | 10.37821778 | 14.97593235 | 13.27728656 |
2004-11-01 | 10.58686272 | 15.1937203 | 13.49715356 |
2004-12-01 | 10.82348894 | 15.46762967 | 13.6360381 |
2005-01-01 | 11.05863811 | 15.57258385 | 13.80143558 |
2005-02-01 | 11.26332901 | 15.82524358 | 14.00408364 |
2005-03-01 | 11.42054722 | 16.21193679 | 14.22820655 |
2005-04-01 | 11.60176697 | 16.36076032 | 14.24271446 |
2005-05-01 | 11.73581344 | 16.20894327 | 14.29919773 |
2005-06-01 | 11.83335718 | 16.00069832 | 14.2838161 |
2005-07-01 | 11.85643244 | 15.87198604 | 14.28383878 |
2005-08-01 | 11.87608526 | 16.020985 | 14.3748781 |
2005-09-01 | 11.89063024 | 16.24832377 | 14.50583457 |
2005-10-01 | 11.89193234 | 15.96984592 | 14.36340371 |
2005-11-01 | 11.86637773 | 15.59444552 | 14.07619048 |
2005-12-01 | 11.76464289 | 15.1687426 | 13.51232117 |
2006-01-01 | 11.57384325 | 14.65435426 | 12.92699682 |
2006-02-01 | 11.31665325 | 13.79734021 | 12.0923913 |
2006-03-01 | 11.03966654 | 12.50052516 | 11.0402236 |
2006-04-01 | 10.69886656 | 10.95554709 | 9.97005988 |
2006-05-01 | 10.29101116 | 9.330695625 | 8.753096614 |
2006-06-01 | 9.75908602 | 7.486807535 | 7.28403674 |
2006-07-01 | 9.100213215 | 5.897810058 | 6.036760482 |
2006-08-01 | 8.335084794 | 4.509524688 | 4.820372897 |
2006-09-01 | 7.481758771 | 3.318749684 | 3.710376668 |
2006-10-01 | 6.633941826 | 2.404379631 | 2.965034965 |
2006-11-01 | 5.811384239 | 1.443279212 | 2.204040741 |
2006-12-01 | 5.055055526 | 0.360397088 | 1.732274721 |
2007-01-01 | 4.392143898 | -0.536970654 | 1.045180556 |
2007-02-01 | 3.786648183 | -1.38672525 | 0.534435262 |
2007-03-01 | 3.178519306 | -2.688552684 | -0.306429549 |
2007-04-01 | 2.532389019 | -3.563242903 | -0.827661312 |
2007-05-01 | 1.843834993 | -4.210582545 | -1.355895433 |
2007-06-01 | 1.154644726 | -4.529195785 | -1.63099431 |
2007-07-01 | 0.482553639 | -4.866322665 | -1.960890526 |
2007-08-01 | -0.128110868 | -5.442150213 | -2.261388286 |
2007-09-01 | -0.67639621 | -6.341676488 | -2.757871878 |
2007-10-01 | -1.184629886 | -7.471845198 | -3.542515621 |
2007-11-01 | -1.691996544 | -8.618457275 | -4.612536078 |
2007-12-01 | -2.19139619 | -9.706142858 | -5.397587731 |
2008-01-01 | -2.727560432 | -10.8951061 | -6.370402802 |
2008-02-01 | -3.317288652 | -11.99905354 | -7.277908697 |
2008-03-01 | -3.972761625 | -12.66020806 | -7.843460124 |
2008-04-01 | -4.679349976 | -13.24888305 | -8.131554384 |
2008-05-01 | -5.358610667 | -13.37226804 | -8.170222124 |
2008-06-01 | -5.998077059 | -13.40659377 | -8.262641842 |
2008-07-01 | -6.586098694 | -13.71448919 | -8.442455384 |
2008-08-01 | -7.225578102 | -14.11288273 | -8.849803029 |
2008-09-01 | -7.829036688 | -14.92313703 | -9.608083966 |
2008-10-01 | -8.39175235 | -15.72309374 | -10.34754689 |
2008-11-01 | -8.872924735 | -16.22159071 | -10.89860699 |
2008-12-01 | -9.328513319 | -16.99799061 | -11.99953848 |
2009-01-01 | -9.705025777 | -17.48510489 | -12.69581482 |
2009-02-01 | -9.909142227 | -17.08440865 | -12.74898044 |
2009-03-01 | -9.987654922 | -16.30912183 | -12.73972603 |
2009-04-01 | -9.97954847 | -15.0396562 |