Photo of Ryan A. Decker

Ryan A. Decker

Education

  • Ph.D., Economics, University of Maryland, 2015
  • M.A., Economics, University of Maryland, College Park, 2013
  • B.S., Economics/Political Science, Brigham Young University, 2010
Current Research Topics
  • Firm dynamics
  • Entrepreneurship
  • Principal Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2020 - present
  • Senior Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2018 - 2020
  • Adjunct Professor

    University of Maryland College Park

    2016 - 2018
  • Economist

    Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    2015 - 2018
  • Economist

    Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau

    2011 - 2015
  • Cajner, Tomaz, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, John Grigsby, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Erik Hurst, Christopher Kurz, and Ahu Yildirmaz (2020). "The US Labor Market during the Beginning of the Pandemic Recession," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Summer 2020, Special Edition, pp. 3-33.
  • Crane, Leland D., Ryan A. Decker, Aaron Flaaen, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz (2021). "Business Exit During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-Traditional Measures in Historical Context," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-089r1. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Cajner, Tomaz, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz (forthcoming). "Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data, in Katharine G. Abraham, Ron S. Jarmin, Brian Moyer, and Matthew D. Shapiro (eds.), Big Data for 21st Century Economic Statistics, NBER Book Series Studies in Income and Wealth. The University of Chicago Press.
  • Decker, Ryan A., Robert J. Kurtzman, Byron F. Lutz, and Christopher J. Nekarda (2020). "Across the Universe: Policy Support for Employment and Revenue in the Pandemic Recession," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-099. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Decker, Ryan A., John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda (2020). "Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness," American Economic Review, vol. 110, no. 12, pp. 3952-3990.
  • Decker, Ryan A., Meagan McCollum, and Gregory B. Upton Jr. (2020). "Boom Town Business Dynamics," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-081. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Cajner, Tomaz, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz (2020). "Tracking Labor Market Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Preliminary Assessment," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-030. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Cajner, Tomaz, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz (2019). "Improving the Accuracy of Economic Measurement with Multiple Data Sources: The Case of Payroll Employment Data," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-065. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Cajner, Tomaz, Leland D. Crane, Ryan A. Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, and Christopher Kurz (2019). "Tracking the Labor Market with "Big Data"," FEDS Notes 2019-09-20. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Crane, Leland D., and Ryan A. Decker (2019). "Business Dynamics in the National Establishment Time Series (NETS)," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-034. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Cajner, Tomaz, Leland Crane, Ryan Decker, Adrian Hamins-Puertolas, Christopher Kurz, and Tyler Radler (2018). "Using Payroll Processor Microdata to Measure Aggregate Labor Market Activity," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-005. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Curtis, E. Mark, and Ryan A. Decker (2018). "Entrepreneurship and State Taxation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-003. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Barnatchez, Keith, Leland D. Crane, and Ryan A. Decker (2017). "An Assessment of the National Establishment Time Series (NETS) Database," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-110. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Bayard, Kimberly, Ryan Decker, and Charles Gilbert (2017). "Natural Disasters and the Measurement of Industrial Production: Hurricane Harvey, a Case Study," FEDS Notes 2017-10-11. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Decker, Ryan A., John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda (2017). "Declining Dynamism, Allocative Efficiency, and the Productivity Slowdown," American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, vol. 107, no. 5, pp. 322-326.
  • Decker, Ryan A., Aaron Flaaen, and Maria D. Tito (2016). "Unraveling the Oil Conundrum: Productivity Improvements and Cost Declines in the U.S. Shale Oil Industry," FEDS Notes 2016-03-22. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  • Decker, Ryan A., John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda (2016). "Declining Business Dynamism: What We Know and the Way Forward," American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, vol. 106, no. 5, pp. 203-07.
  • Decker, Ryan A., John Haltiwanger, Ron S. Jarmin, and Javier Miranda (2016). "Where Has All the Skewness Gone? The Decline in High-Growth (Young) Firms in the U.S.," European Economic Review, vol. 86, pp. 4-23.
  • Decker, Ryan, Pablo D'Erasmo, and Herman J. Moscoso Boedo (2016). "Market Exposure and Endogenous Firm Volatility Over the Business Cycle," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 148-198.
  • Decker, Ryan, John Haltiwanger, Ron Jarmin, and Javier Miranda (2014). "The Role of Entrepreneurship in US Job Creation and Economic Dynamism," Journal of Economic Perspectives, vol. 28, no. 3, pp. 3-24.
  • conference

    January 2021

    ASSA 2021

    Across the Universe: Policy Support for Employment and Revenue in the Pandemic Recession

  • conference

    November 2020

    Banca d'Italia & FRB joint conference on nontraditional data

    Business Exit during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-traditional Measures in Historical Context

  • discussion

    November 2020

    Federal Reserve System Macro conference

    COVID-19 and SME Failures

  • seminar

    October 2020

    CAED Seminar Series

    Business Exit during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Non-traditional Measures in Historical Context

  • seminar

    August 2020

    ITAM Business School

    Tracking the Labor Market with Big Data in the COVID-19 Pandemic

  • conference

    July 2020

    NBER Summer Institute (Entrepreneurship group)

    Research with Private Sector Business Microdata: The Case of NETS/D&B

  • discussion

    June 2020

    Workshop on Entrepreneurial Finance and Innovation

    Value without Employment

  • seminar

    June 2020

    New York Fed

    Tracking Labor Market Developments during the COVID-19 Pandemic

  • seminar

    March 2020

    Southern Methodist University O'Neil Center

    Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness

  • conference

    January 2020

    Kenan Institute Frontiers of Entrepreneurship

    High-Growth Firms: A Macro Perspective

  • conference

    January 2020

    ASSA

    Boom Town Business Dynamics

  • discussion

    January 2020

    ASSA

    Diverging Trends in National and Local Concentration

  • discussion

    October 2019

    Federal Reserve System Energy Conference

    Non-Renewable Resources, Extraction Technology and Endogenous Growth

  • discussion

    August 2019

    JPMCC New Directions in Commodities Research Symposium

    The Propogation of Regional Shocks in Housing Markets: Evidence from Oil Price Shocks in Canada

  • conference

    May 2019

    Comparative Analysis of Enterprise Data (CAED) Conference

    Business Dynamics in the National Establishment Time Series (NETS) Database

  • discussion

    April 2019

    Duke/UNC Innovation and Entrepreneurship Research Conference

    Entrepreneurship over the Lifecycle: Where Are the Young Entrepreneurs?

  • seminar

    March 2019

    Resources for the Future

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    March 2019

    York University

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • conference

    January 2019

    Kenan Institute Frontiers of Entrepreneurship Conference

    The Critical Role of New Firms

  • seminar

    December 2018

    Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    November 2018

    Oberlin College

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    November 2018

    Oberlin College

    Entrepreneurship and the U.S. Economy

  • seminar

    October 2018

    University of Hong Kong

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    October 2018

    Singapore Management University

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • discussion

    September 2018

    Economic History Association annual meeting

    The Impact of Business Cycle Conditions on Firm Dynamics and Composition: Enterprise Entry and Exit in Egypt, 1911-48.

  • conference

    August 2018

    JPMCC New Directions in Commodities Research Symposium

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • conference

    July 2018

    NBER Summer Institute (Entrepreneurship group)

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • conference

    June 2018

    OECD/Bank of Canada Global Forum on Productivity

    Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness

  • conference

    June 2018

    IFN Stockholm Entrepreneurship and Innovation Workshop

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    May 2018

    Union College

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    May 2018

    Union College

    Entrepreneurship and the U.S. Economy

  • seminar

    March 2018

    National Association of Realtors

    Entrepreneurship and State Taxation

  • seminar

    February 2018

    George Mason University applied micro group

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • conference

    January 2018

    Kenan Institute Frontiers of Entrepreneurship Conference

    Young Firms in the U.S.

  • discussion

    January 2018

    ASSA

    High Growth Entrepreneurship

  • conference

    January 2018

    ASSA

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    October 2017

    Brigham Young University

    Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness

  • conference

    September 2017

    Federal Reserve System Energy Meeting

    Firm Dynamics and Local Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • conference

    May 2017

    UNC IDEA workshop

    Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness

  • conference

    May 2017

    Midwest Macroeconomics Group Spring Conference

    Changing Business Dynamism and Productivity: Shocks vs. Responsiveness

  • conference

    May 2017

    NBER State Business Taxation workshop

    Entrepreneurship and State Policy

  • conference

    November 2016

    Southern Economic Association meetings

    Entrepreneurship and State Policy

  • conference

    October 2016

    NBER Entrepreneurship & Economic Growth conference

    Entrepreneurship and State Policy

  • discussion

    June 2016

    AREUEA National Conference

    Discussion: Local Labor Market Shocks and Residential Mortgage Payments: Evidence from Shale Oil and Gas Boom

  • seminar

    April 2016

    Drexel University

    Changing Business Dynamism: Volatility of Shocks vs. Responsiveness to Shocks?

  • conference

    February 2016

    NBER Entrepreneurship & Economic Growth pre-conference

    Entrepreneurship and State Policy

  • seminar

    March 2015

    George Mason University

    Where Has All the Skewness Gone? The Decline in High-Growth (Young) Firms in the U.S.

  • seminar

    October 2014

    University of Mississippi

    Collateral Damage: Housing, Entrepreneurship, and Job Creation

  • seminar

    June 2014

    The Heritage Foundation Center for Data Analysis

    The Secular Decline in Business Dynamism in the U.S.

  • conference

    November 2013

    Midwest Macroeconomics Group Fall Conference

    Market Exposure and Endogenous Firm Volatility over the Business Cycle

  • conference

    November 2012

    APPAM Fall Research Conference

    The Secular Decline in Business Dynamism in the U.S.

Conference Organization
  • 2019-2020 | Raleigh-Durham, NC

    Kenan Institute Entrepreneurship Trends Report - Ecosystems

    Advisory Committee

  • January 2019 | Atlanta, GA

    Society of Government Economists (SGE) ASSA meeting

    Program Committee

  • May 2017 | Baton Rouge, LA

    Mid-West Macroeconomics Meeting

    Program Committee

Referee
  • AEJ: Economic Policy
  • AEJ: Macroeconomics
  • American Economic Review
  • AER: Insights
  • BE Journal of Macroeconomics
  • Canadian Journal of Economics
  • Congressional Budget Office draft review
  • Economic Inquiry
  • Economic Journal
  • Economics Letters
  • Energy Economics
  • Energy Journal
  • European Economic Review
  • International Economic Review
  • Journal of Applied Econometrics
  • Journal of Econometrics
  • Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
  • Journal of Economic Growth
  • Journal of the European Economic Association
  • Journal of Macroeconomics
  • Journal of Monetary Economics
  • Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
  • Journal of Political Economy
  • Journal of Public Economics
  • Labour Economics
  • Management Science
  • National Science Foundation
  • National Tax Journal
  • NBER grant proposals
  • Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
  • Oxford Economic Papers
  • Quarterly Journal of Economics
  • Rand Journal of Economics
  • Regional Science and Urban Economics
  • Research Policy
  • Review of Economic Dynamics
  • Review of Financial Economics
  • Review of Financial Studies
  • Small Business Administration draft study review
  • Small Business Economics
  • Sustainability
  • U.S. Census Bureau/FSRDC proposals
Professional Affiliation
  • Conference on Research in Income and Wealth (CRIW)
  • Special Sworn Status Researcher, U.S. Census Bureau
Last update: May 3, 2021