Accessibility Tables

Overview of financial system vulnerabilities

Asset valuations

  • Demand for a broad range of higher-risk assets bounced back after the market declines in April 2025; prices for these assets remained elevated relative to their historical relationships with cash flows.
  • Liquidity in Treasury and equity markets recovered from the April declines.
  • Transaction-based prices for commercial properties showed signs of stabilization. Vacancy rates and rent growth in the office sector also appeared to be stabilizing

Borrowing by businesses and households

  • Total business and household debt relative to GDP was stable at 20-year lows.
  • Gross leverage of publicly traded firms remained high and credit to privately held firms continued to grow. The ability of most publicly traded firms to service their debt was robust, although capacity for some small businesses and risky privately held firms continued to decline.
  • Household debt was mostly owed by borrowers with strong credit scores. Mortgage delinquency rates remained subdued due to large home equity cushions and strong underwriting standards.
  • Auto and credit card loan delinquencies were little changed and remained some-what above their average levels over the past decade.

Leverage in the financial sector

  • Hedge fund leverage remained high, having increased across a range of trading strategies. This increased leverage has supported significant positions in key markets.
  • Leverage at life insurers was in the top quartile of its historical distribution.
  • The banking system remained sound and resilient, with historically high regulatory capital ratios, though fair value losses on fixed-rate assets were still sizable for some banks.
  • Dealer leverage remained low, while their intermediation activity increased to high levels

Funding risks

  • Assets in cash-management vehicles continued to grow, primarily driven by government money market funds, which historically have been the least fragile category.
  • As a share of general account assets, life insurers' use of nontraditional liabilities remained small.
  • Most domestic banks maintained high levels of liquid assets and stable funding, and their reliance on uninsured deposits remained well below recent peaks.
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Survey of salient risks to the financial system

Survey respondents cited several risks to the U.S. financial system and the broader glob-al economy. For more information, see the box "Survey of Salient Risks to Financial Stability."

  Policy uncertainty Geopolitical risks Higher longterm rates Persistent inflation Artificial intelligence Asset price declines
Fall 2025 61% of contacts surveyed 48% of contacts surveyed 43% of contacts surveyed 43% of contacts surveyed 30% of contacts surveyed 30% of contacts surveyed
Spring 2025 50% of contacts surveyed 23% of contacts surveyed 9% of contacts surveyed 41% of contacts surveyed 9% of contacts surveyed 36% of contacts surveyed
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Figure 1.1. Nominal Treasury yields declined and remained above their average levels over the past 15 years

Percent, annual rate

Date 2-year 10-year
1997-01-01 6.01 6.58
1997-02-01 5.9 6.42
1997-03-01 6.22 6.69
1997-04-01 6.45 6.89
1997-05-01 6.28 6.71
1997-06-01 6.09 6.49
1997-07-01 5.89 6.22
1997-08-01 5.94 6.3
1997-09-01 5.88 6.21
1997-10-01 5.77 6.03
1997-11-01 5.71 5.88
1997-12-01 5.72 5.81
1998-01-01 5.36 5.54
1998-02-01 5.42 5.57
1998-03-01 5.56 5.65
1998-04-01 5.56 5.64
1998-05-01 5.59 5.65
1998-06-01 5.52 5.5
1998-07-01 5.46 5.46
1998-08-01 5.27 5.34
1998-09-01 4.67 4.81
1998-10-01 4.09 4.53
1998-11-01 4.54 4.83
1998-12-01 4.51 4.65
1999-01-01 4.62 4.72
1999-02-01 4.88 5
1999-03-01 5.05 5.23
1999-04-01 4.98 5.18
1999-05-01 5.25 5.54
1999-06-01 5.62 5.9
1999-07-01 5.55 5.79
1999-08-01 5.68 5.94
1999-09-01 5.66 5.92
1999-10-01 5.86 6.11
1999-11-01 5.86 6.03
1999-12-01 6.1 6.28
2000-01-01 6.44 6.66
2000-02-01 6.61 6.52
2000-03-01 6.53 6.26
2000-04-01 6.4 5.99
2000-05-01 6.81 6.44
2000-06-01 6.48 6.1
2000-07-01 6.34 6.05
2000-08-01 6.23 5.83
2000-09-01 6.08 5.8
2000-10-01 5.91 5.74
2000-11-01 5.88 5.72
2000-12-01 5.35 5.24
2001-01-01 4.76 5.16
2001-02-01 4.66 5.1
2001-03-01 4.34 4.89
2001-04-01 4.23 5.14
2001-05-01 4.26 5.39
2001-06-01 4.08 5.28
2001-07-01 4.04 5.24
2001-08-01 3.76 4.97
2001-09-01 3.12 4.73
2001-10-01 2.73 4.57
2001-11-01 2.78 4.65
2001-12-01 3.11 5.09
2002-01-01 3.03 5.04
2002-02-01 3.02 4.91
2002-03-01 3.56 5.28
2002-04-01 3.42 5.21
2002-05-01 3.26 5.16
2002-06-01 2.99 4.93
2002-07-01 2.56 4.65
2002-08-01 2.13 4.26
2002-09-01 2 3.87
2002-10-01 1.91 3.94
2002-11-01 1.92 4.05
2002-12-01 1.84 4.03
2003-01-01 1.74 4.05
2003-02-01 1.63 3.9
2003-03-01 1.57 3.81
2003-04-01 1.62 3.96
2003-05-01 1.42 3.57
2003-06-01 1.23 3.33
2003-07-01 1.47 3.98
2003-08-01 1.86 4.45
2003-09-01 1.71 4.27
2003-10-01 1.75 4.29
2003-11-01 1.93 4.3
2003-12-01 1.91 4.27
2004-01-01 1.76 4.15
2004-02-01 1.74 4.08
2004-03-01 1.58 3.83
2004-04-01 2.07 4.35
2004-05-01 2.53 4.72
2004-06-01 2.76 4.73
2004-07-01 2.64 4.5
2004-08-01 2.51 4.28
2004-09-01 2.53 4.13
2004-10-01 2.58 4.1
2004-11-01 2.85 4.19
2004-12-01 3.01 4.23
2005-01-01 3.22 4.22
2005-02-01 3.38 4.17
2005-03-01 3.73 4.5
2005-04-01 3.65 4.34
2005-05-01 3.64 4.14
2005-06-01 3.64 4
2005-07-01 3.87 4.18
2005-08-01 4.04 4.26
2005-09-01 3.95 4.2
2005-10-01 4.27 4.46
2005-11-01 4.42 4.54
2005-12-01 4.4 4.47
2006-01-01 4.4 4.42
2006-02-01 4.67 4.57
2006-03-01 4.73 4.72
2006-04-01 4.89 4.99
2006-05-01 4.97 5.11
2006-06-01 5.12 5.11
2006-07-01 5.12 5.09
2006-08-01 4.9 4.88
2006-09-01 4.77 4.72
2006-10-01 4.8 4.73
2006-11-01 4.74 4.6
2006-12-01 4.67 4.56
2007-01-01 4.88 4.76
2007-02-01 4.85 4.72
2007-03-01 4.57 4.56
2007-04-01 4.67 4.69
2007-05-01 4.77 4.75
2007-06-01 4.98 5.1
2007-07-01 4.82 5
2007-08-01 4.31 4.67
2007-09-01 4.01 4.52
2007-10-01 3.97 4.53
2007-11-01 3.34 4.15
2007-12-01 3.12 4.1
2008-01-01 2.48 3.74
2008-02-01 1.97 3.74
2008-03-01 1.62 3.51
2008-04-01 2.05 3.68
2008-05-01 2.45 3.88
2008-06-01 2.77 4.1
2008-07-01 2.57 4.01
2008-08-01 2.42 3.89
2008-09-01 2.08 3.69
2008-10-01 1.61 3.81
2008-11-01 1.21 3.53
2008-12-01 0.82 2.42
2009-01-01 0.81 2.52
2009-02-01 0.98 2.87
2009-03-01 0.93 2.82
2009-04-01 0.93 2.93
2009-05-01 0.93 3.29
2009-06-01 1.18 3.72
2009-07-01 1.02 3.56
2009-08-01 1.12 3.59
2009-09-01 0.96 3.4
2009-10-01 0.95 3.39
2009-11-01 0.8 3.4
2009-12-01 0.87 3.59
2010-01-01 0.93 3.73
2010-02-01 0.86 3.69
2010-03-01 0.96 3.73
2010-04-01 1.06 3.85
2010-05-01 0.83 3.42
2010-06-01 0.72 3.2
2010-07-01 0.62 3.01
2010-08-01 0.52 2.7
2010-09-01 0.48 2.65
2010-10-01 0.38 2.54
2010-11-01 0.45 2.76
2010-12-01 0.62 3.29
2011-01-01 0.61 3.39
2011-02-01 0.77 3.58
2011-03-01 0.7 3.41
2011-04-01 0.73 3.46
2011-05-01 0.56 3.17
2011-06-01 0.41 3
2011-07-01 0.41 3
2011-08-01 0.23 2.3
2011-09-01 0.21 1.98
2011-10-01 0.28 2.15
2011-11-01 0.25 2.01
2011-12-01 0.26 1.98
2012-01-01 0.24 1.97
2012-02-01 0.28 1.97
2012-03-01 0.34 2.17
2012-04-01 0.29 2.05
2012-05-01 0.29 1.8
2012-06-01 0.29 1.62
2012-07-01 0.25 1.53
2012-08-01 0.27 1.68
2012-09-01 0.26 1.72
2012-10-01 0.28 1.75
2012-11-01 0.27 1.65
2012-12-01 0.26 1.72
2013-01-01 0.27 1.91
2013-02-01 0.27 1.98
2013-03-01 0.26 1.96
2013-04-01 0.23 1.76
2013-05-01 0.25 1.93
2013-06-01 0.33 2.3
2013-07-01 0.34 2.58
2013-08-01 0.36 2.74
2013-09-01 0.4 2.81
2013-10-01 0.34 2.62
2013-11-01 0.3 2.72
2013-12-01 0.34 2.9
2014-01-01 0.39 2.86
2014-02-01 0.33 2.71
2014-03-01 0.4 2.72
2014-04-01 0.42 2.71
2014-05-01 0.39 2.56
2014-06-01 0.45 2.6
2014-07-01 0.51 2.54
2014-08-01 0.47 2.42
2014-09-01 0.57 2.53
2014-10-01 0.45 2.3
2014-11-01 0.53 2.33
2014-12-01 0.64 2.21
2015-01-01 0.55 1.88
2015-02-01 0.62 1.98
2015-03-01 0.64 2.04
2015-04-01 0.54 1.94
2015-05-01 0.61 2.2
2015-06-01 0.69 2.36
2015-07-01 0.67 2.32
2015-08-01 0.7 2.17
2015-09-01 0.71 2.17
2015-10-01 0.64 2.07
2015-11-01 0.88 2.26
2015-12-01 0.98 2.24
2016-01-01 0.9 2.09
2016-02-01 0.73 1.78
2016-03-01 0.88 1.89
2016-04-01 0.77 1.81
2016-05-01 0.82 1.81
2016-06-01 0.73 1.64
2016-07-01 0.67 1.5
2016-08-01 0.74 1.56
2016-09-01 0.77 1.63
2016-10-01 0.84 1.76
2016-11-01 0.98 2.14
2016-12-01 1.2 2.49
2017-01-01 1.21 2.43
2017-02-01 1.2 2.42
2017-03-01 1.31 2.48
2017-04-01 1.24 2.3
2017-05-01 1.3 2.3
2017-06-01 1.34 2.19
2017-07-01 1.37 2.32
2017-08-01 1.34 2.21
2017-09-01 1.38 2.2
2017-10-01 1.55 2.36
2017-11-01 1.7 2.35
2017-12-01 1.84 2.4
2018-01-01 2.03 2.58
2018-02-01 2.18 2.86
2018-03-01 2.28 2.84
2018-04-01 2.38 2.87
2018-05-01 2.51 2.98
2018-06-01 2.53 2.91
2018-07-01 2.61 2.89
2018-08-01 2.64 2.89
2018-09-01 2.77 3
2018-10-01 2.86 3.15
2018-11-01 2.86 3.12
2018-12-01 2.68 2.83
2019-01-01 2.54 2.71
2019-02-01 2.5 2.68
2019-03-01 2.41 2.57
2019-04-01 2.34 2.53
2019-05-01 2.21 2.4
2019-06-01 1.81 2.07
2019-07-01 1.84 2.06
2019-08-01 1.57 1.63
2019-09-01 1.65 1.7
2019-10-01 1.55 1.71
2019-11-01 1.61 1.81
2019-12-01 1.61 1.86
2020-01-01 1.52 1.76
2020-02-01 1.33 1.5
2020-03-01 0.45 0.87
2020-04-01 0.22 0.66
2020-05-01 0.17 0.67
2020-06-01 0.19 0.73
2020-07-01 0.15 0.62
2020-08-01 0.14 0.65
2020-09-01 0.13 0.68
2020-10-01 0.15 0.79
2020-11-01 0.17 0.87
2020-12-01 0.14 0.93
2021-01-01 0.13 1.08
2021-02-01 0.12 1.26
2021-03-01 0.15 1.61
2021-04-01 0.16 1.64
2021-05-01 0.16 1.62
2021-06-01 0.2 1.52
2021-07-01 0.22 1.32
2021-08-01 0.22 1.28
2021-09-01 0.24 1.37
2021-10-01 0.39 1.58
2021-11-01 0.51 1.56
2021-12-01 0.68 1.47
2022-01-01 0.98 1.76
2022-02-01 1.44 1.93
2022-03-01 1.91 2.13
2022-04-01 2.54 2.75
2022-05-01 2.62 2.9
2022-06-01 3 3.14
2022-07-01 3.04 2.9
2022-08-01 3.25 2.9
2022-09-01 3.86 3.52
2022-10-01 4.38 3.98
2022-11-01 4.5 3.89
2022-12-01 4.29 3.62
2023-01-01 4.21 3.53
2023-02-01 4.53 3.75
2023-03-01 4.3 3.66
2023-04-01 4.02 3.46
2023-05-01 4.13 3.57
2023-06-01 4.64 3.75
2023-07-01 4.83 3.9
2023-08-01 4.9 4.17
2023-09-01 5.02 4.38
2023-10-01 5.07 4.8
2023-11-01 4.88 4.5
2023-12-01 4.46 4.02
2024-01-01 4.32 4.06
2024-02-01 4.54 4.21
2024-03-01 4.59 4.21
2024-04-01 4.87 4.54
2024-05-01 4.86 4.48
2024-06-01 4.74 4.31
2024-07-01 4.5 4.25
2024-08-01 3.97 3.87
2024-09-01 3.62 3.72
2024-10-01 3.97 4.1
2024-11-01 4.26 4.36
2024-12-01 4.23 4.39
2025-01-01 4.27 4.63
2025-02-01 4.21 4.45
2025-03-01 3.97 4.28
2025-04-01 3.78 4.28
2025-05-01 3.92 4.42
2025-06-01 3.89 4.38
2025-07-01 3.88 4.39
2025-08-01 3.7 4.26
2025-09-01 3.57 4.12
2025-10-01 3.52 4.06

Note: Treasury rates are the 2-year and 10-year constant-maturity yields based on the most actively traded securities. Values are averaged within a calendar month, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is averaged through the data close date.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release H.15, "Selected Interest Rates."

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Figure 1.2. An estimate of the nominal Treasury term premium remained near its historical median

Percentage points

Date Term Premium
1997-01-01 1.58630953516279
1997-02-01 1.52144999636544
1997-03-01 1.65370500087738
1997-04-01 1.74750909480182
1997-05-01 1.660628591265
1997-06-01 1.58726190953028
1997-07-01 1.43041817708449
1997-08-01 1.45473808901651
1997-09-01 1.44976190158299
1997-10-01 1.35715907812119
1997-11-01 1.23558333847258
1997-12-01 1.17779090187766
1998-01-01 1.06544999480247
1998-02-01 1.09375262887854
1998-03-01 1.15116818384691
1998-04-01 1.15319999626705
1998-05-01 1.15678500533104
1998-06-01 1.08297273245725
1998-07-01 1.06239090724425
1998-08-01 0.99751904748735
1998-09-01 0.786171430633182
1998-10-01 0.792138093993777
1998-11-01 0.869978954917506
1998-12-01 0.794740909879858
1999-01-01 0.880536841718774
1999-02-01 1.01041052529686
1999-03-01 1.14155653248663
1999-04-01 1.12121903896332
1999-05-01 1.2646000008834
1999-06-01 1.43654091791673
1999-07-01 1.40236842632294
1999-08-01 1.45977726307782
1999-09-01 1.45405238582974
1999-10-01 1.54058499336243
1999-11-01 1.40476500988007
1999-12-01 1.48002272844315
2000-01-01 1.6245500087738
2000-02-01 1.53682498931885
2000-03-01 1.39729130268097
2000-04-01 1.25809474367844
2000-05-01 1.43725909970023
2000-06-01 1.27365908839486
2000-07-01 1.18855500817299
2000-08-01 1.06649565696716
2000-09-01 1.06348999142647
2000-10-01 0.980847619828724
2000-11-01 0.940657144501096
2000-12-01 0.776215001940727
2001-01-01 0.873066666580382
2001-02-01 0.931452631950378
2001-03-01 0.92219999703494
2001-04-01 1.14089499115944
2001-05-01 1.32817727327347
2001-06-01 1.32009048688979
2001-07-01 1.28493333430517
2001-08-01 1.19854346565578
2001-09-01 1.20015882744509
2001-10-01 1.22200909527865
2001-11-01 1.33718499541283
2001-12-01 1.65292502045631
2002-01-01 1.62604762258984
2002-02-01 1.55143684462497
2002-03-01 1.73442001342773
2002-04-01 1.69332726977088
2002-05-01 1.63785454359922
2002-06-01 1.49875000715256
2002-07-01 1.34673635526137
2002-08-01 1.12780000946739
2002-09-01 0.905194997787476
2002-10-01 0.942090904170817
2002-11-01 1.07082104996631
2002-12-01 1.07724285125732
2003-01-01 1.07329524131048
2003-02-01 0.991473693596689
2003-03-01 0.930804766359783
2003-04-01 1.00974286737896
2003-05-01 0.782438085192726
2003-06-01 0.66131428593681
2003-07-01 1.01561818339608
2003-08-01 1.31591429596856
2003-09-01 1.20959046341124
2003-10-01 1.20333182269877
2003-11-01 1.22338889042536
2003-12-01 1.21045908602801
2004-01-01 1.13532500267029
2004-02-01 1.09653684967443
2004-03-01 0.94003043744875
2004-04-01 1.24345713570004
2004-05-01 1.45199499130249
2004-06-01 1.40440475940704
2004-07-01 1.24482380776178
2004-08-01 1.10065453702753
2004-09-01 0.966123802321298
2004-10-01 0.922989997267723
2004-11-01 0.915705007314682
2004-12-01 0.899377270178361
2005-01-01 0.872179999947548
2005-02-01 0.806794731240523
2005-03-01 0.956709086894989
2005-04-01 0.853780950818743
2005-05-01 0.734280952385494
2005-06-01 0.637763635678725
2005-07-01 0.67902999818325
2005-08-01 0.684691304745881
2005-09-01 0.63957142829895
2005-10-01 0.73503500521183
2005-11-01 0.75422999560833
2005-12-01 0.704609527474358
2006-01-01 0.612595000863075
2006-02-01 0.66861052889573
2006-03-01 0.726243477800618
2006-04-01 0.82967367925142
2006-05-01 0.866559088230133
2006-06-01 0.844818182966926
2006-07-01 0.798874998092651
2006-08-01 0.689243479915287
2006-09-01 0.634500002861023
2006-10-01 0.623928572450365
2006-11-01 0.544100005002249
2006-12-01 0.539290001988411
2007-01-01 0.633109521298182
2007-02-01 0.610594740039424
2007-03-01 0.526145455512134
2007-04-01 0.60405714455105
2007-05-01 0.654254544865001
2007-06-01 0.877728572913579
2007-07-01 0.792104757967449
2007-08-01 0.727860878343168
2007-09-01 0.695768425339147
2007-10-01 0.7072409120473
2007-11-01 0.627580001950264
2007-12-01 0.652430000901222
2008-01-01 0.502809517440342
2008-02-01 0.659764996170998
2008-03-01 0.676039996743202
2008-04-01 0.791763638908213
2008-05-01 0.862304764134543
2008-06-01 0.953609528995696
2008-07-01 0.9156999994408
2008-08-01 0.829009524413518
2008-09-01 0.803495239643824
2008-10-01 1.02918636527928
2008-11-01 0.997972226805157
2008-12-01 0.495986368168484
2009-01-01 0.533605000376701
2009-02-01 0.695789478327099
2009-03-01 0.644163638353348
2009-04-01 0.653561904316857
2009-05-01 0.852880001068115
2009-06-01 1.13857725533572
2009-07-01 1.02739999511025
2009-08-01 1.05857618933632
2009-09-01 0.952300000758398
2009-10-01 0.930171430110931
2009-11-01 0.919457893622549
2009-12-01 0.981240903789347
2010-01-01 1.06806315873799
2010-02-01 1.02073684805318
2010-03-01 1.02444781686949
2010-04-01 1.08615455302325
2010-05-01 0.867124995589256
2010-06-01 0.755922723900188
2010-07-01 0.614666666303362
2010-08-01 0.422504544258118
2010-09-01 0.393890475942975
2010-10-01 0.298595001548529
2010-11-01 0.397194999456406
2010-12-01 0.731363635171543
2011-01-01 0.780679997801781
2011-02-01 0.906605265642467
2011-03-01 0.824865221977234
2011-04-01 0.865829998254776
2011-05-01 0.691185712814331
2011-06-01 0.559290913018313
2011-07-01 0.562285003066063
2011-08-01 0.18979565280935
2011-09-01 0.0428476195250239
2011-10-01 0.137049999623559
2011-11-01 0.054134999983944
2011-12-01 0.0322904759308412
2012-01-01 0.00909999991999939
2012-02-01 -0.0134849997702986
2012-03-01 0.105518182157539
2012-04-01 0.03772857219294
2012-05-01 -0.0900090905753049
2012-06-01 -0.171185714857919
2012-07-01 -0.227761905108179
2012-08-01 -0.14846521810345
2012-09-01 -0.149436842061971
2012-10-01 -0.138014286756516
2012-11-01 -0.175314998626709
2012-12-01 -0.14552999958396
2013-01-01 -0.0486761906095559
2013-02-01 -0.0109789472251003
2013-03-01 -0.026494999951683
2013-04-01 -0.12271363762292
2013-05-01 -0.0329909090968696
2013-06-01 0.195124999061227
2013-07-01 0.358877270059152
2013-08-01 0.448931818658655
2013-09-01 0.501565003395081
2013-10-01 0.369068183682182
2013-11-01 0.401110528331054
2013-12-01 0.515038101446061
2014-01-01 0.52883810088748
2014-02-01 0.440584209404494
2014-03-01 0.471128573020299
2014-04-01 0.489000005381448
2014-05-01 0.407899998483204
2014-06-01 0.437390476465225
2014-07-01 0.424050000580874
2014-08-01 0.374171427318028
2014-09-01 0.446385717108136
2014-10-01 0.318909089673649
2014-11-01 0.340266666478581
2014-12-01 0.288990912112323
2015-01-01 0.121139999385923
2015-02-01 0.175105261077222
2015-03-01 0.20422727343711
2015-04-01 0.124940909783949
2015-05-01 0.268689998984337
2015-06-01 0.356704546646638
2015-07-01 0.323763636025515
2015-08-01 0.23001904856591
2015-09-01 0.232133332462538
2015-10-01 0.176319047808647
2015-11-01 0.280394736873476
2015-12-01 0.243222724307667
2016-01-01 0.149057893768737
2016-02-01 -0.0309400000085589
2016-03-01 0.0374590908918022
2016-04-01 -0.0104428570983665
2016-05-01 -0.0063523809852389
2016-06-01 -0.0943636361149732
2016-07-01 -0.174139998108149
2016-08-01 -0.144082610049973
2016-09-01 -0.107480952427501
2016-10-01 -0.0476350001408719
2016-11-01 0.141539998538792
2016-12-01 0.342542856931686
2017-01-01 0.30672500282526
2017-02-01 0.29608946803369
2017-03-01 0.286726086036019
2017-04-01 0.159421052979796
2017-05-01 0.14255000075156
2017-06-01 0.0561999998648058
2017-07-01 0.111135000362992
2017-08-01 0.0598086959317974
2017-09-01 0.048810000458252
2017-10-01 0.126352380428995
2017-11-01 0.106809522779215
2017-12-01 0.126464999839664
2018-01-01 0.20057142774264
2018-02-01 0.321000000363902
2018-03-01 0.288261904602959
2018-04-01 0.28833333509309
2018-05-01 0.334427273408933
2018-06-01 0.291300000179382
2018-07-01 0.267171426897957
2018-08-01 0.247139129301776
2018-09-01 0.285684213042259
2018-10-01 0.336277274922891
2018-11-01 0.296625002473593
2018-12-01 0.131231577772843
2019-01-01 0.0547476185574418
2019-02-01 0.03477368454792
2019-03-01 -0.0232285712790188
2019-04-01 -0.0412238094113058
2019-05-01 -0.106136363507672
2019-06-01 -0.248920001089573
2019-07-01 -0.239750002595511
2019-08-01 -0.421831817789511
2019-09-01 -0.37432000041008
2019-10-01 -0.327504544772885
2019-11-01 -0.236826317090737
2019-12-01 -0.207642855388778
2020-01-01 -0.2653523818368
2020-02-01 -0.403673680205094
2020-03-01 -0.472945454445752
2020-04-01 -0.559052382196699
2020-05-01 -0.573474997282028
2020-06-01 -0.566581819545139
2020-07-01 -0.614431822841818
2020-08-01 -0.607804758208139
2020-09-01 -0.597861908731006
2020-10-01 -0.546838099048251
2020-11-01 -0.49895263345618
2020-12-01 -0.478481818329204
2021-01-01 -0.414852630150946
2021-02-01 -0.32094736710975
2021-03-01 -0.109191304477661
2021-04-01 -0.084340909157287
2021-05-01 -0.0983200002461672
2021-06-01 -0.1325318176638
2021-07-01 -0.226966668452535
2021-08-01 -0.243818181482228
2021-09-01 -0.192747619180452
2021-10-01 -0.059549999749288
2021-11-01 -0.0406099995831028
2021-12-01 -0.0761090904812921
2022-01-01 0.0668149997647561
2022-02-01 0.125415790237879
2022-03-01 0.209773913552256
2022-04-01 0.480945000052452
2022-05-01 0.511123813333966
2022-06-01 0.532090478000187
2022-07-01 0.227425000816584
2022-08-01 0.142060869818796
2022-09-01 0.378104763371604
2022-10-01 0.515035004913807
2022-11-01 0.366604999452829
2022-12-01 0.152128572620097
2023-01-01 0.0486500000581145
2023-02-01 0.146194737502619
2023-03-01 0.119052173893737
2023-04-01 -0.0472100000097271
2023-05-01 -0.0506954544054514
2023-06-01 0.0467190474515692
2023-07-01 0.113849999848753
2023-08-01 0.237073913216591
2023-09-01 0.351450002938509
2023-10-01 0.576500001407805
2023-11-01 0.438385716506413
2023-12-01 0.179819999262691
2024-01-01 0.19098095347484
2024-02-01 0.279920000582933
2024-03-01 0.274129997193813
2024-04-01 0.447454543276267
2024-05-01 0.416045453060757
2024-06-01 0.316757893876026
2024-07-01 0.289236362684857
2024-08-01 0.119927272539247
2024-09-01 0.10067500025034
2024-10-01 0.360750002617186
2024-11-01 0.535778949135228
2024-12-01 0.575852384169897
2025-01-01 0.722966668151674
2025-02-01 0.621594739587683
2025-03-01 0.525414283786501
2025-04-01 0.508771433716729
2025-05-01 0.56826190721421
2025-06-01 0.537999999523163
2025-07-01 0.532790904695338
2025-08-01 0.48902857587451
2025-09-01 0.461523809603282
2025-10-01 0.462356254458427

Note: Term premiums are estimated from a 3-factor term structure model using Treasury yields and Blue Chip interest rate forecasts. Values are averaged within a calendar month, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is averaged through the data close date. The median value is 0.54 percentage points.

Source: Department of the Treasury; Wolters Kluwer, Blue Chip Financial Forecasts; Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Federal Reserve Board staff estimates.

Figure 1.3. Interest rate volatility returned to its median since 2005

Basis points

Date Interest Rate Volatility
2005-04-01 93.1407611818182
2005-05-01 87.2053020454545
2005-06-01 87.5994123636364
2005-07-01 89.342594
2005-08-01 84.2202744347826
2005-09-01 83.8325441363636
2005-10-01 86.0325223333333
2005-11-01 87.1229912727273
2005-12-01 77.7070317272727
2006-01-01 75.8552282272727
2006-02-01 72.57082995
2006-03-01 72.1180623913044
2006-04-01 76.56824595
2006-05-01 74.3080899130435
2006-06-01 70.7608532727273
2006-07-01 69.4930483333333
2006-08-01 62.8133045217391
2006-09-01 62.7310715238095
2006-10-01 64.0431154545455
2006-11-01 67.6373596363636
2006-12-01 66.234062
2007-01-01 66.4426889130435
2007-02-01 66.7878776
2007-03-01 70.8117155454546
2007-04-01 62.8650858095238
2007-05-01 58.1989928695652
2007-06-01 79.0500360952381
2007-07-01 82.6708996818182
2007-08-01 84.3294735217391
2007-09-01 97.0252322
2007-10-01 91.0426627826087
2007-11-01 97.0015865454545
2007-12-01 117.976205190476
2008-01-01 133.406423652174
2008-02-01 150.923306095238
2008-03-01 163.97233552381
2008-04-01 139.643575363636
2008-05-01 126.353198590909
2008-06-01 140.475449761905
2008-07-01 127.802219956522
2008-08-01 111.567181571429
2008-09-01 141.1032905
2008-10-01 188.875971130435
2008-11-01 205.83388575
2008-12-01 232.030661695652
2009-01-01 169.826971590909
2009-02-01 187.7330855
2009-03-01 157.275367409091
2009-04-01 129.736551454545
2009-05-01 153.281603190476
2009-06-01 223.655879409091
2009-07-01 197.755332409091
2009-08-01 180.745684190476
2009-09-01 147.807639681818
2009-10-01 134.645040636364
2009-11-01 112.442800571429
2009-12-01 110.1041495
2010-01-01 109.909501
2010-02-01 100.7843527
2010-03-01 90.5415333043478
2010-04-01 95.7845809090909
2010-05-01 108.376839047619
2010-06-01 108.348928954545
2010-07-01 91.2602745454546
2010-08-01 100.908488681818
2010-09-01 110.990158909091
2010-10-01 102.931406714286
2010-11-01 109.178534727273
2010-12-01 125.347307227273
2011-01-01 113.23575147619
2011-02-01 111.22755815
2011-03-01 110.334852782609
2011-04-01 92.08106005
2011-05-01 89.4274393636364
2011-06-01 94.3602630909091
2011-07-01 101.407765333333
2011-08-01 117.109677521739
2011-09-01 121.005849181818
2011-10-01 124.639285238095
2011-11-01 125.236508363636
2011-12-01 105.109209590909
2012-01-01 86.8961869090909
2012-02-01 87.928798047619
2012-03-01 92.8956355454546
2012-04-01 86.3847064761905
2012-05-01 78.4844144782609
2012-06-01 89.6806648095238
2012-07-01 72.8232575909091
2012-08-01 78.5166424347826
2012-09-01 75.8383667
2012-10-01 75.6908457391304
2012-11-01 67.6227298181818
2012-12-01 61.8341229047619
2013-01-01 67.3589163478261
2013-02-01 68.8840089
2013-03-01 64.7794116190476
2013-04-01 60.4505235
2013-05-01 69.0075274782609
2013-06-01 100.3947363
2013-07-01 104.775979478261
2013-08-01 100.2640195
2013-09-01 101.211893142857
2013-10-01 81.617062173913
2013-11-01 74.5137228571429
2013-12-01 75.8982773636364
2014-01-01 70.363670826087
2014-02-01 69.2855606
2014-03-01 65.5307374285714
2014-04-01 62.8501716666667
2014-05-01 61.4742948181818
2014-06-01 61.9679537142857
2014-07-01 59.6560042608696
2014-08-01 62.2641432380952
2014-09-01 65.4064466363636
2014-10-01 76.7030626956522
2014-11-01 67.40892365
2014-12-01 70.2256455652174
2015-01-01 87.0186313636364
2015-02-01 91.13263945
2015-03-01 84.3177593181818
2015-04-01 77.4148326818182
2015-05-01 86.7601392380952
2015-06-01 88.911496
2015-07-01 82.9971814347826
2015-08-01 80.31959485
2015-09-01 79.7947395
2015-10-01 75.1609395454545
2015-11-01 72.1120120952381
2015-12-01 70.300521826087
2016-01-01 76.2914845238095
2016-02-01 89.1231934761905
2016-03-01 78.9347058181818
2016-04-01 72.0117337619048
2016-05-01 69.0779673636364
2016-06-01 77.249059
2016-07-01 76.8601374285714
2016-08-01 68.1436731739131
2016-09-01 67.2750649090909
2016-10-01 65.2515483809524
2016-11-01 83.5448066818182
2016-12-01 81.1593321363636
2017-01-01 81.1271510909091
2017-02-01 75.6451058
2017-03-01 69.9332405652174
2017-04-01 75.8273615
2017-05-01 62.2952567826087
2017-06-01 58.9056952272727
2017-07-01 59.5746184761905
2017-08-01 57.3938232608696
2017-09-01 58.1155528095238
2017-10-01 59.6366519545455
2017-11-01 52.3190709090909
2017-12-01 50.8717691904762
2018-01-01 55.5877003043478
2018-02-01 72.027128
2018-03-01 63.4433651363636
2018-04-01 58.5823622857143
2018-05-01 58.537723
2018-06-01 57.8168248095238
2018-07-01 53.9075479545455
2018-08-01 52.7038092608696
2018-09-01 51.701349
2018-10-01 58.2089809130435
2018-11-01 57.7368546363636
2018-12-01 59.4768278095238
2019-01-01 56.8872852608696
2019-02-01 50.92862395
2019-03-01 52.1450475238095
2019-04-01 51.7224289090909
2019-05-01 57.229373826087
2019-06-01 68.6766383
2019-07-01 62.13732
2019-08-01 81.9997485454546
2019-09-01 82.103384952381
2019-10-01 78.1486783478261
2019-11-01 66.9196303809524
2019-12-01 64.9177692272727
2020-01-01 63.7826934782609
2020-02-01 76.3504349
2020-03-01 128.198282909091
2020-04-01 79.1194908181818
2020-05-01 62.0802865714286
2020-06-01 68.1176147272727
2020-07-01 56.0211723913044
2020-08-01 54.0961076666667
2020-09-01 49.9714252727273
2020-10-01 68.7694889545455
2020-11-01 57.2393500952381
2020-12-01 58.7475827391304
2021-01-01 58.6661465714286
2021-02-01 68.86160195
2021-03-01 82.8590066956522
2021-04-01 76.9544033181818
2021-05-01 69.6327573333333
2021-06-01 66.3641393636364
2021-07-01 73.0951925454546
2021-08-01 75.2578712727273
2021-09-01 69.091108
2021-10-01 73.5020376666667
2021-11-01 79.6158680454546
2021-12-01 80.1248898695652
2022-01-01 81.8231407142857
2022-02-01 88.68905865
2022-03-01 108.610251478261
2022-04-01 119.366245
2022-05-01 114.930118181818
2022-06-01 119.709321590909
2022-07-01 122.756632952381
2022-08-01 111.678260869565
2022-09-01 127.081818181818
2022-10-01 138.352380952381
2022-11-01 126.554545454545
2022-12-01 125.859090909091
2023-01-01 111.909090909091
2023-02-01 105.985
2023-03-01 120.695652173913
2023-04-01 112.905
2023-05-01 115.917391304348
2023-06-01 106.777272727273
2023-07-01 108.009523809524
2023-08-01 115.373913043478
2023-09-01 112.357142857143
2023-10-01 129.386363636364
2023-11-01 117.290909090909
2023-12-01 112.585714285714
2024-01-01 107.986956521739
2024-02-01 108.147619047619
2024-03-01 101.319047619048
2024-04-01 104.718181818182
2024-05-01 100.313043478261
2024-06-01 102.67
2024-07-01 101.736363636364
2024-08-01 104.177272727273
2024-09-01 99.41
2024-10-01 103.582608695652
2024-11-01 103.719047619048
2024-12-01 100.045454545455
2025-01-01 99.0739130434783
2025-02-01 95.595
2025-03-01 99.5857142857143
2025-04-01 107.045454545455
2025-05-01 102.645454545455
2025-06-01 97.0571428571429
2025-07-01 90.4608695652174
2025-08-01 83.2619047619048
2025-09-01 80.1681818181818
2025-10-01 79.6294117647059

Note: The data begin in April 2005. Implied volatility on the 10-year swap rate, 1 month ahead, is derived from swaptions. Values are averaged within a calendar month, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is averaged through the data close date. The median value is 82.67 basis points.

Source: For data through July 13, 2022, Barclays and S&P Global; for data from July 14, 2022, onward, ICAP, Swaptions and Interest Rate Caps and Floors Data.

Figure 1.4. The price-to-earnings ratio of S&P 500 firms was once again close to the upper end of its historical range

Ratio

Date Forward Price-to-Earnings Ratio
1989-01-01 10.0640941011284
1989-02-01 10.1354222336392
1989-03-01 10.1118907676801
1989-04-01 10.4208476097257
1989-05-01 10.7228503441428
1989-06-01 10.8503272103165
1989-07-01 11.2392063298721
1989-08-01 11.5545359809383
1989-09-01 11.5054563747898
1989-10-01 11.4766892080099
1989-11-01 11.5116631062292
1989-12-01 11.8814382283568
1990-01-01 11.5254884187311
1990-02-01 11.2996928233987
1990-03-01 11.4926769918817
1990-04-01 11.6484928030107
1990-05-01 12.0715274574721
1990-06-01 12.3791013414859
1990-07-01 12.389249111871
1990-08-01 11.509989759019
1990-09-01 10.7870881438221
1990-10-01 10.3022802927542
1990-11-01 11.1826199492623
1990-12-01 11.6622101219957
1991-01-01 11.2520640152176
1991-02-01 13.4296807576325
1991-03-01 13.7676714785148
1991-04-01 14.4449010371573
1991-05-01 13.6411800430074
1991-06-01 13.9019769848646
1991-07-01 14.1588209595465
1991-08-01 14.3984180392904
1991-09-01 14.2098373095794
1991-10-01 14.3178216858527
1991-11-01 14.4580045344949
1991-12-01 14.0149520598111
1992-01-01 15.3733323031005
1992-02-01 15.0168594068823
1992-03-01 14.8698088616637
1992-04-01 14.8084755977545
1992-05-01 14.7011620229824
1992-06-01 14.0118362993815
1992-07-01 14.4287621550403
1992-08-01 14.4493247427932
1992-09-01 14.406782642525
1992-10-01 14.0007167848967
1992-11-01 14.5131123587035
1992-12-01 14.7028605626593
1993-01-01 14.6080223169136
1993-02-01 14.6585882859443
1993-03-01 15.0088198818986
1993-04-01 15.0293661117014
1993-05-01 14.7210963371291
1993-06-01 14.6368211915481
1993-07-01 14.6338007948815
1993-08-01 14.7629996493623
1993-09-01 14.8018829276572
1993-10-01 14.6402233136227
1993-11-01 14.6646019184229
1993-12-01 14.4752788075255
1994-01-01 14.7450808686928
1994-02-01 14.6017375805503
1994-03-01 14.3343066705941
1994-04-01 13.4598086943879
1994-05-01 13.420290223906
1994-06-01 13.4712919557443
1994-07-01 13.0052748568204
1994-08-01 13.2082100738755
1994-09-01 13.1110098551345
1994-10-01 12.9187967009269
1994-11-01 12.5574339767481
1994-12-01 12.0891290185103
1995-01-01 12.3127780410304
1995-02-01 12.4846044330741
1995-03-01 12.5093094620331
1995-04-01 12.6617877916398
1995-05-01 12.907691513295
1995-06-01 13.0562047699593
1995-07-01 13.3014131875827
1995-08-01 13.3509669574286
1995-09-01 13.671903647231
1995-10-01 13.7722548220036
1995-11-01 13.8051953598625
1995-12-01 14.3199616613568
1996-01-01 14.0113131873934
1996-02-01 15.2297360373532
1996-03-01 14.8044601014578
1996-04-01 14.7866414968644
1996-05-01 15.1905129694677
1996-06-01 14.7283326336309
1996-07-01 14.4049772797285
1996-08-01 14.9199060636573
1996-09-01 15.2446963291274
1996-10-01 15.6119067148718
1996-11-01 16.0707805387267
1996-12-01 15.8459941830671
1997-01-01 16.4577977464327
1997-02-01 17.359108102395
1997-03-01 16.6476818115338
1997-04-01 16.0273920536681
1997-05-01 17.3854796032137
1997-06-01 18.3932815173287
1997-07-01 19.2279938617655
1997-08-01 18.6788179818782
1997-09-01 18.9185269933056
1997-10-01 19.1994287342379
1997-11-01 18.6019317479458
1997-12-01 18.8728643545491
1998-01-01 18.6649144021135
1998-02-01 20.3668930107506
1998-03-01 21.4253805054854
1998-04-01 21.9019780344658
1998-05-01 21.688562074184
1998-06-01 21.4202647628118
1998-07-01 22.7744925080659
1998-08-01 21.1678312119126
1998-09-01 20.0165290015142
1998-10-01 19.2755099200633
1998-11-01 22.0212200543763
1998-12-01 22.3009038772995
1999-01-01 23.7010191646146
1999-02-01 23.5295180649785
1999-03-01 24.7255986087439
1999-04-01 24.9501630056113
1999-05-01 24.7376932285266
1999-06-01 24.296054314319
1999-07-01 25.4370331909452
1999-08-01 23.9050159604711
1999-09-01 23.4638873432567
1999-10-01 22.5467915776888
1999-11-01 24.4968301649516
1999-12-01 24.421628094412
2000-01-01 24.8525624429575
2000-02-01 24.0257269935271
2000-03-01 23.7295580458911
2000-04-01 23.9131341172008
2000-05-01 23.8835970941565
2000-06-01 24.0994884227305
2000-07-01 24.0958652932764
2000-08-01 23.8546318164319
2000-09-01 23.8565753685768
2000-10-01 21.441161258522
2000-11-01 22.2487459178264
2000-12-01 22.1004192616768
2001-01-01 21.980041095514
2001-02-01 22.1014061609402
2001-03-01 19.721581151207
2001-04-01 21.4100868169347
2001-05-01 22.2361740413079
2001-06-01 21.6729885388608
2001-07-01 21.6057563344248
2001-08-01 21.1658220386153
2001-09-01 18.4180719212926
2001-10-01 20.3744301491753
2001-11-01 21.5017656825104
2001-12-01 21.5724069634556
2002-01-01 21.0024095304587
2002-02-01 20.4701090311302
2002-03-01 20.7532071754425
2002-04-01 20.1717102761437
2002-05-01 19.4014146772699
2002-06-01 18.1097251755498
2002-07-01 16.1454241212522
2002-08-01 16.5988767056409
2002-09-01 15.7165692568981
2002-10-01 15.7735548249759
2002-11-01 16.0242939089624
2002-12-01 16.1194368234872
2003-01-01 16.4802321137909
2003-02-01 15.349024328644
2003-03-01 15.7129018533177
2003-04-01 15.6828023772104
2003-05-01 16.5651766572087
2003-06-01 17.6914210433573
2003-07-01 17.274792080051
2003-08-01 16.9382064572688
2003-09-01 17.4154393976148
2003-10-01 17.5043714331946
2003-11-01 17.1008170529711
2003-12-01 17.4275257771095
2004-01-01 18.0940757308309
2004-02-01 18.090261659837
2004-03-01 17.3956291499146
2004-04-01 17.1038752791712
2004-05-01 15.9745279072608
2004-06-01 16.4098846677644
2004-07-01 15.9267204599172
2004-08-01 15.5172629518374
2004-09-01 15.771878274983
2004-10-01 15.4860450200725
2004-11-01 16.1670460056993
2004-12-01 16.3193680911473
2005-01-01 15.9499112028002
2005-02-01 16.1652287316635
2005-03-01 15.6438472904537
2005-04-01 15.3028997054595
2005-05-01 15.2783923866975
2005-06-01 15.4154590085281
2005-07-01 15.4085583701055
2005-08-01 15.1390956950401
2005-09-01 14.9554545333446
2005-10-01 14.3366143748808
2005-11-01 14.6094537207917
2005-12-01 14.9776413679045
2006-01-01 14.9025922006816
2006-02-01 14.9313101753656
2006-03-01 15.0627631393822
2006-04-01 14.993025732677
2006-05-01 14.2964640846227
2006-06-01 13.6930243996225
2006-07-01 13.902581440556
2006-08-01 14.1262340888069
2006-09-01 14.2640607594556
2006-10-01 14.6570800379406
2006-11-01 14.8065253905685
2006-12-01 14.8241477692641
2007-01-01 15.0133961274988
2007-02-01 15.3888478698841
2007-03-01 14.5557281950038
2007-04-01 15.314950096389
2007-05-01 15.5088830092269
2007-06-01 15.2980973218847
2007-07-01 15.4087784531208
2007-08-01 13.8715279778555
2007-09-01 15.0078767611285
2007-10-01 15.0157731654605
2007-11-01 14.323053262996
2007-12-01 14.1983145191767
2008-01-01 13.4931634833754
2008-02-01 13.6780353849857
2008-03-01 13.0898493271686
2008-04-01 13.8049982775038
2008-05-01 14.3033323695899
2008-06-01 13.5073016757743
2008-07-01 12.5960896553764
2008-08-01 13.2888685897984
2008-09-01 12.0103624199678
2008-10-01 9.9325889490953
2008-11-01 9.73580829321532
2008-12-01 11.8748628496165
2009-01-01 11.4796347445491
2009-02-01 12.456593514295
2009-03-01 12.4217594937355
2009-04-01 13.5094611432551
2009-05-01 14.6552944461432
2009-06-01 14.7260473530566
2009-07-01 14.7964354332825
2009-08-01 15.2044033980508
2009-09-01 15.9086317220195
2009-10-01 15.8514559952166
2009-11-01 15.1210818248579
2009-12-01 14.8883723932621
2010-01-01 14.8021858979115
2010-02-01 13.8100162721459
2010-03-01 14.4376874567232
2010-04-01 14.8238694393868
2010-05-01 12.9868046206479
2010-06-01 12.8169259577741
2010-07-01 12.494740666591
2010-08-01 12.1001494875071
2010-09-01 12.3534579793448
2010-10-01 12.8359404255162
2010-11-01 12.566718077933
2010-12-01 13.0312300091993
2011-01-01 13.2128590154588
2011-02-01 13.7043203044408
2011-03-01 12.6064242849044
2011-04-01 12.9692280894902
2011-05-01 12.8946221298909
2011-06-01 12.0662125631212
2011-07-01 12.6372044779576
2011-08-01 11.2823399595578
2011-09-01 11.2422786752374
2011-10-01 11.4983553943846
2011-11-01 11.6732992571895
2011-12-01 11.4039192818433
2012-01-01 12.3276549810059
2012-02-01 12.6340848907105
2012-03-01 12.9629204927146
2012-04-01 12.6562068658989
2012-05-01 12.0118895340249
2012-06-01 11.8910362694461
2012-07-01 12.5922225153625
2012-08-01 12.91687788002
2012-09-01 13.3359031476449
2012-10-01 13.2070859613
2012-11-01 12.1878320918131
2012-12-01 12.8570159287143
2013-01-01 13.1206523476412
2013-02-01 13.5310758570876
2013-03-01 13.7166140703025
2013-04-01 13.590348422872
2013-05-01 14.4773283542031
2013-06-01 14.1014679377357
2013-07-01 14.5078715170613
2013-08-01 14.5798735330497
2013-09-01 14.8363291079724
2013-10-01 14.7112561067492
2013-11-01 15.0308714991093
2013-12-01 15.1982263775597
2014-01-01 15.4240737959752
2014-02-01 15.4338968089323
2014-03-01 15.6026762554356
2014-04-01 15.4570425908123
2014-05-01 15.4500100920741
2014-06-01 15.8286254381696
2014-07-01 15.9652769778401
2014-08-01 15.5462620928704
2014-09-01 15.89115302334
2014-10-01 14.7594138438068
2014-11-01 16.1895541157784
2014-12-01 16.1128561285691
2015-01-01 16.2278271596201
2015-02-01 17.3507870810259
2015-03-01 17.272279491017
2015-04-01 17.2861093971962
2015-05-01 17.0888178755121
2015-06-01 16.9584460197072
2015-07-01 16.9767220847153
2015-08-01 16.7531476478566
2015-09-01 16.0928574565467
2015-10-01 16.1398370795467
2015-11-01 16.7975518682972
2015-12-01 16.6881510983605
2016-01-01 15.2976409204018
2016-02-01 15.9099045924511
2016-03-01 16.7100140204611
2016-04-01 17.0919753167393
2016-05-01 16.6752113576265
2016-06-01 16.7466517240286
2016-07-01 17.3994731907877
2016-08-01 17.5192980217507
2016-09-01 16.9189732452738
2016-10-01 16.8912556873116
2016-11-01 16.9462246793713
2016-12-01 17.3268007850499
2017-01-01 17.2742534927384
2017-02-01 17.9106207217594
2017-03-01 18.0369011693166
2017-04-01 17.5413726856198
2017-05-01 17.4939543077595
2017-06-01 17.908859372387
2017-07-01 18.2279638392192
2017-08-01 18.0943206312751
2017-09-01 18.1817886962462
2017-10-01 18.4439240844363
2017-11-01 18.1445992471306
2017-12-01 18.6367214080882
2018-01-01 18.7257928794017
2018-02-01 17.2794105335288
2018-03-01 17.37502017161
2018-04-01 16.9215678760332
2018-05-01 16.6822612915103
2018-06-01 16.8404274128722
2018-07-01 17.0288008880825
2018-08-01 16.8202796269577
2018-09-01 17.2101784339609
2018-10-01 16.497798705722
2018-11-01 15.7189546116963
2018-12-01 14.6490487100989
2019-01-01 15.4539992401916
2019-02-01 16.3434543058742
2019-03-01 16.6024199603359
2019-04-01 17.0790766155828
2019-05-01 16.6616509673887
2019-06-01 17.0282461026783
2019-07-01 17.4491433050568
2019-08-01 16.5418268134027
2019-09-01 17.4022580935589
2019-10-01 17.3126475867878
2019-11-01 17.8324856862116
2019-12-01 18.2518042223546
2020-01-01 18.7320016486693
2020-02-01 19.2699985739467
2020-03-01 14.1265696351382
2020-04-01 18.9302036360127
2020-05-01 20.5198117229554
2020-06-01 22.3996558726174
2020-07-01 23.0960214088746
2020-08-01 23.0985961803756
2020-09-01 22.6385160870123
2020-10-01 22.8097813351941
2020-11-01 22.2429163593726
2020-12-01 22.5585527325128
2021-01-01 23.0475109366269
2021-02-01 22.7585496800294
2021-03-01 22.4540292881523
2021-04-01 22.6451353807302
2021-05-01 21.3312064325286
2021-06-01 21.5963866318768
2021-07-01 22.1789181787186
2021-08-01 21.4360807951286
2021-09-01 21.6314140196302
2021-10-01 20.8059337910645
2021-11-01 21.840420756887
2021-12-01 21.6016402501138
2022-01-01 20.5505967512926
2022-02-01 20.087418402802
2022-03-01 19.2575011480599
2022-04-01 19.4572139366858
2022-05-01 16.926025075027
2022-06-01 16.2258680225142
2022-07-01 16.4039048810083
2022-08-01 18.6076230487548
2022-09-01 17.1123194717566
2022-10-01 16.1641560898656
2022-11-01 17.5809714343034
2022-12-01 17.6434690695091
2023-01-01 17.4923399283287
2023-02-01 18.6614986191172
2023-03-01 17.4153404136924
2023-04-01 18.5735610054966
2023-05-01 18.4150725228179
2023-06-01 19.1929523148674
2023-07-01 20.1609859038876
2023-08-01 19.1068833711011
2023-09-01 19.1319199708306
2023-10-01 18.308359147996
2023-11-01 18.8827424761501
2023-12-01 19.4745783054105
2024-01-01 19.5767245424956
2024-02-01 20.4708700932905
2024-03-01 20.809719230442
2024-04-01 20.0990469840203
2024-05-01 20.9227675270277
2024-06-01 21.349252259472
2024-07-01 21.7644507292985
2024-08-01 21.0952380282276
2024-09-01 21.5206283716273
2024-10-01 22.1789381338228
2024-11-01 22.4326755548781
2024-12-01 21.7274639745538
2025-01-01 21.7816618081339
2025-02-01 22.5286124890168
2025-03-01 20.5342680389555
2025-04-01 19.1708293790372
2025-05-01 21.3760066359306
2025-06-01 21.5071925427801
2025-07-01 22.2821778144141
2025-08-01 22.6307098353129
2025-09-01 22.8473366246406
2025-10-01 22.6884771360997

Note: The figure shows the aggregate forward price-to-earnings ratio of Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 firms, based on expected earnings for 12 months ahead. Values are reported as of month-end, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is reported as of the data close date. The median ratio value is 15.87.

Source: LSEG, Institutional Brokers' Estimate System, North American Summary & Detail Estimates, Level 2, Current & History Data, Adjusted and Unadjusted, https://www.lseg.com/en/data-analytics/financial-data/company-data/ibes-estimates.

Figure 1.5. As of October, an estimate of the equity premium was near a 20-year low

Percentage points

Date Equity premium
1991-10-01 3.31267603562933
1991-11-01 3.29698194563821
1991-12-01 3.80522559451709
1992-01-01 2.88087210549424
1992-02-01 2.79489805269168
1992-03-01 2.73275094491514
1992-04-01 3.00402267735771
1992-05-01 3.1427787727378
1992-06-01 3.59386471700855
1992-07-01 3.57447670892668
1992-08-01 3.78320030459405
1992-09-01 3.92843222153843
1992-10-01 3.83839467424281
1992-11-01 3.38413967642048
1992-12-01 3.38594617164295
1993-01-01 3.48980371608156
1993-02-01 3.80610691493826
1993-03-01 3.87430660963222
1993-04-01 4.09325310440521
1993-05-01 4.22507255007965
1993-06-01 4.40839797526495
1993-07-01 4.33088729572072
1993-08-01 4.35460606320371
1993-09-01 4.64891268173862
1993-10-01 4.76791315867311
1993-11-01 4.38568682549905
1993-12-01 4.44614258965064
1994-01-01 4.35771370210068
1994-02-01 4.18045295459611
1994-03-01 3.79525102429644
1994-04-01 3.82654669631632
1994-05-01 3.6764559484889
1994-06-01 3.73633080227627
1994-07-01 3.79914501786774
1994-08-01 3.75038984676865
1994-09-01 3.58191422457891
1994-10-01 3.43764093985621
1994-11-01 3.46548056978495
1994-12-01 3.88641356101905
1995-01-01 3.5419640081
1995-02-01 3.7607653134
1995-03-01 3.98370460927977
1995-04-01 4.09007754365385
1995-05-01 4.3815485624795
1995-06-01 4.72177236313636
1995-07-01 4.32247877287545
1995-08-01 4.08465178299548
1995-09-01 4.1805113479478
1995-10-01 4.11660850923124
1995-11-01 4.21785555845324
1995-12-01 4.1581803525457
1996-01-01 4.36911905769476
1996-02-01 3.64645871803885
1996-03-01 3.34515471391229
1996-04-01 3.09549660416768
1996-05-01 2.74438796291186
1996-06-01 2.80554060869495
1996-07-01 3.03370019790268
1996-08-01 3.03042568918195
1996-09-01 2.6548527530005
1996-10-01 2.80363152694796
1996-11-01 2.94403710214958
1996-12-01 2.95245385652662
1997-01-01 2.4560685256599
1997-02-01 2.28071960149389
1997-03-01 2.2210551947253
1997-04-01 2.11240566298368
1997-05-01 1.81472111327943
1997-06-01 1.69467544489229
1997-07-01 1.87930688099582
1997-08-01 1.93189480918009
1997-09-01 1.93815122119938
1997-10-01 1.68115174237904
1997-11-01 2.02955058607511
1997-12-01 2.04435299792786
1998-01-01 2.2940112721839
1998-02-01 1.77879278763
1998-03-01 1.46024056812118
1998-04-01 1.26822470676067
1998-05-01 1.28896289191285
1998-06-01 1.50267759612118
1998-07-01 1.27851633870859
1998-08-01 1.75731299187876
1998-09-01 2.48073468994038
1998-10-01 2.8590873989259
1998-11-01 1.96118659575216
1998-12-01 2.04262173899159
1999-01-01 1.44202973797905
1999-02-01 1.20165434519689
1999-03-01 0.757377980476652
1999-04-01 1.00754151795467
1999-05-01 0.71484404306079
1999-06-01 0.430594380475135
1999-07-01 0.329301936012053
1999-08-01 0.396721315447228
1999-09-01 0.456573928769048
1999-10-01 0.426755924612698
1999-11-01 0.243956826960101
1999-12-01 0.0263722291567294
2000-01-01 -0.3036784920661
2000-02-01 -0.0429185204237985
2000-03-01 0.210415905757346
2000-04-01 0.41997131503579
2000-05-01 0.0155040757449552
2000-06-01 0.319059464547865
2000-07-01 0.41284489509425
2000-08-01 0.634466958622303
2000-09-01 0.63178292796575
2000-10-01 1.2119100474059
2000-11-01 1.10181749810762
2000-12-01 1.56968589069645
2001-01-01 1.66628746334638
2001-02-01 1.67363954695751
2001-03-01 2.39236979265568
2001-04-01 1.7758186219528
2001-05-01 1.3994129539465
2001-06-01 1.606918078675
2001-07-01 1.68450956392391
2001-08-01 1.98410514843557
2001-09-01 2.8810499678
2001-10-01 2.6013127309
2001-11-01 2.2600758464
2001-12-01 1.7822163397
2002-01-01 1.93730606484762
2002-02-01 2.14822972493684
2002-03-01 1.7190423432
2002-04-01 1.96831057617273
2002-05-01 2.25507240950909
2002-06-01 2.8631449504
2002-07-01 3.79219172863636
2002-08-01 3.98948132642727
2002-09-01 4.6986067576
2002-10-01 4.53730682688182
2002-11-01 4.36540878952632
2002-12-01 4.34441449022381
2003-01-01 4.26731855874286
2003-02-01 4.87718261551579
2003-03-01 4.82627300997619
2003-04-01 4.71275902784762
2003-05-01 4.79325072749048
2003-06-01 4.64599051893333
2003-07-01 4.1532316847
2003-08-01 3.76095565174286
2003-09-01 3.79622188389048
2003-10-01 3.76704957309091
2003-11-01 3.89580714273333
2003-12-01 3.82640372575454
2004-01-01 3.7465408003
2004-02-01 3.80877812446316
2004-03-01 4.28676611997391
2004-04-01 3.85003298900476
2004-05-01 3.884605902
2004-06-01 3.70994042615238
2004-07-01 4.13800414344762
2004-08-01 4.51091730338182
2004-09-01 4.5764989212
2004-10-01 4.7201566619
2004-11-01 4.3635618739
2004-12-01 4.28602460753636
2005-01-01 4.4044723809
2005-02-01 4.38979091521053
2005-03-01 4.25537581413636
2005-04-01 4.61209494748571
2005-05-01 4.82323885834762
2005-06-01 4.91621282431818
2005-07-01 4.7444148075
2005-08-01 4.76996217938696
2005-09-01 4.9057617162381
2005-10-01 4.9183725059
2005-11-01 4.6848379033
2005-12-01 4.6050567659381
2006-01-01 4.7076619937
2006-02-01 4.53818329042105
2006-03-01 4.31557077779565
2006-04-01 4.09650988816316
2006-05-01 4.30824565010909
2006-06-01 4.62141579312727
2006-07-01 4.5432487722
2006-08-01 4.63587970321304
2006-09-01 4.7125613347
2006-10-01 4.52324608890476
2006-11-01 4.59244088816191
2006-12-01 4.6117903498
2007-01-01 4.18104671612857
2007-02-01 4.04917542469474
2007-03-01 4.57084297724546
2007-04-01 4.155167473
2007-05-01 4.03230398223636
2007-06-01 3.76214632548571
2007-07-01 3.80658806488095
2007-08-01 4.81129811662174
2007-09-01 4.43419930024737
2007-10-01 4.42738646207273
2007-11-01 5.0818415975
2007-12-01 5.1698345065
2008-01-01 5.99133667357619
2008-02-01 5.8645164681
2008-03-01 6.4061423389
2008-04-01 5.85850317606573
2008-05-01 5.40155393482908
2008-06-01 5.59621265763047
2008-07-01 6.25108534370653
2008-08-01 5.96307604248711
2008-09-01 6.93164343399366
2008-10-01 8.31053672269268
2008-11-01 8.73793304022563
2008-12-01 7.98664988016921
2009-01-01 8.05063854742808
2009-02-01 7.04057170694376
2009-03-01 7.20455295659335
2009-04-01 6.64812450713963
2009-05-01 5.70179759072508
2009-06-01 5.23595213964012
2009-07-01 5.38602541601467
2009-08-01 5.1964610472808
2009-09-01 5.10593379691545
2009-10-01 4.9372116066199
2009-11-01 5.2361887146491
2009-12-01 5.19826910828101
2010-01-01 5.25144843491086
2010-02-01 5.78176843571631
2010-03-01 5.46109960037852
2010-04-01 5.20944520853204
2010-05-01 6.54451854810297
2010-06-01 6.84796470014505
2010-07-01 7.15983882656431
2010-08-01 7.77098340729029
2010-09-01 7.63625657845532
2010-10-01 7.35466509584428
2010-11-01 7.32848210526603
2010-12-01 6.48284542800822
2011-01-01 6.39826469796077
2011-02-01 5.95847950910971
2011-03-01 6.74392869838824
2011-04-01 6.57688413466917
2011-05-01 6.91104247472141
2011-06-01 7.61460924741775
2011-07-01 7.23255251383923
2011-08-01 8.8958313257292
2011-09-01 9.25276053658387
2011-10-01 8.9786459034627
2011-11-01 9.01165841998091
2011-12-01 9.25626748914572
2012-01-01 8.41977787424733
2012-02-01 8.23235141526021
2012-03-01 7.81343373384052
2012-04-01 8.31442342494018
2012-05-01 9.00765761545453
2012-06-01 9.27443407495411
2012-07-01 8.77453841562172
2012-08-01 8.40142628333512
2012-09-01 8.1353442317344
2012-10-01 8.14282155618375
2012-11-01 8.86920963479727
2012-12-01 8.37701456010164
2013-01-01 8.01773416171252
2013-02-01 7.7088374655598
2013-03-01 7.63493392721444
2013-04-01 7.92049034395572
2013-05-01 7.28378361709307
2013-06-01 7.06447031178767
2013-07-01 6.48586443088104
2013-08-01 6.27894277362149
2013-09-01 6.10439676188176
2013-10-01 6.44607971166323
2013-11-01 6.19170574085419
2013-12-01 5.93081036291541
2014-01-01 5.88755241907488
2014-02-01 6.02880823672136
2014-03-01 5.95025688178786
2014-04-01 5.97827623107208
2014-05-01 6.13966863974832
2014-06-01 5.93628702977505
2014-07-01 5.89192501058481
2014-08-01 6.17509535762176
2014-09-01 5.9187524561901
2014-10-01 6.62748685100448
2014-11-01 6.00246123767366
2014-12-01 6.16310160647464
2015-01-01 6.33932443988748
2015-02-01 5.82573256696909
2015-03-01 5.79421922110289
2015-04-01 5.93137809262074
2015-05-01 5.72121482524613
2015-06-01 5.60487581521566
2015-07-01 5.68080953286695
2015-08-01 5.91616089060709
2015-09-01 6.14818923426009
2015-10-01 6.23914939543793
2015-11-01 5.77864320823824
2015-12-01 5.83970285637105
2016-01-01 6.5184767085464
2016-02-01 6.56633280567415
2016-03-01 6.15583544483602
2016-04-01 6.21057977536073
2016-05-01 6.34791595661512
2016-06-01 6.49487018421596
2016-07-01 6.37307544177276
2016-08-01 6.27257386036429
2016-09-01 6.39641462717359
2016-10-01 6.34808297414142
2016-11-01 5.92861936272045
2016-12-01 5.43347254201085
2017-01-01 5.6136671040665
2017-02-01 5.41899520910846
2017-03-01 5.32068090247305
2017-04-01 5.66895024695205
2017-05-01 5.67336505731075
2017-06-01 5.67352851249448
2017-07-01 5.39402627319457
2017-08-01 5.54224381432142
2017-09-01 5.53033890978696
2017-10-01 5.25434925895882
2017-11-01 5.34345801697218
2017-12-01 5.1442606359006
2018-01-01 4.99732306602924
2018-02-01 5.15498182446546
2018-03-01 5.15169854776192
2018-04-01 5.34323216572825
2018-05-01 5.30722755270116
2018-06-01 5.31210108736694
2018-07-01 5.172227906482
2018-08-01 5.25020870473996
2018-09-01 5.00392025756363
2018-10-01 5.11386016325841
2018-11-01 5.44673622496154
2018-12-01 6.20386605470553
2019-01-01 5.96530742016428
2019-02-01 5.64503646771343
2019-03-01 5.64792785208041
2019-04-01 5.51532702931168
2019-05-01 5.7922153007743
2019-06-01 5.98602042018227
2019-07-01 5.87024038818618
2019-08-01 6.60874515829441
2019-09-01 6.23064569702807
2019-10-01 6.26246949386094
2019-11-01 5.97663264668493
2019-12-01 5.78976754195025
2020-01-01 5.76305778627919
2020-02-01 5.87223503074315
2020-03-01 8.33886391995579
2020-04-01 6.69402049940881
2020-05-01 6.29893906430407
2020-06-01 5.84822703298432
2020-07-01 5.73121369937897
2020-08-01 5.71110551670923
2020-09-01 5.77394589507924
2020-10-01 5.72090791898723
2020-11-01 5.74862386231579
2020-12-01 5.62532212946364
2021-01-01 5.46222122253684
2021-02-01 5.32167941938947
2021-03-01 4.98231758294348
2021-04-01 5.02735492304545
2021-05-01 5.3110773832
2021-06-01 5.35597241121818
2021-07-01 5.59187190458571
2021-08-01 5.78880913912727
2021-09-01 5.66034438833809
2021-10-01 5.738671168
2021-11-01 5.5244513688
2021-12-01 5.65469173016364
2022-01-01 5.5283737438
2022-02-01 5.47363524514211
2022-03-01 5.5078817234
2022-04-01 5.128316959
2022-05-01 5.72998071931905
2022-06-01 5.72340324440476
2022-07-01 5.9064794767
2022-08-01 5.21484588852609
2022-09-01 5.03562412028095
2022-10-01 5.0389927373
2022-11-01 4.6383428335
2022-12-01 4.95569580157619
2023-01-01 4.5214780575
2023-02-01 3.93131065532631
2023-03-01 4.3612988264087
2023-04-01 4.2164071759
2023-05-01 4.1428343023
2023-06-01 3.75196012801429
2023-07-01 3.398579893
2023-08-01 3.40958984974348
2023-09-01 3.1652469403
2023-10-01 2.94550973582381
2023-11-01 3.08596947622857
2023-12-01 3.4351093766
2024-01-01 3.23237347906667
2024-02-01 2.8523552102
2024-03-01 2.7937068632
2024-04-01 2.73862846031818
2024-05-01 2.59800062221818
2024-06-01 2.68454163930526
2024-07-01 2.61417573152727
2024-08-01 3.14714724469091
2024-09-01 3.2126144676
2024-10-01 2.61375486087273
2024-11-01 2.29421459084737
2024-12-01 2.40516518659524
2025-01-01 2.22137507715714
2025-02-01 2.26029450974211
2025-03-01 2.85089389948571
2025-04-01 3.24004412558571
2025-05-01 2.55330892696667
2025-06-01 2.5782323256
2025-07-01 2.37443256999091
2025-08-01 2.4367362484619
2025-09-01 2.53812063694286
2025-10-01 2.61791003303636

Note: The data begin in October 1991. The figure shows the difference between the aggregate forward earnings-to-price ratio of Standard & Poor's 500 firms and the expected real Treasury yields, based on expected earnings for 12 months ahead. Expected real Treasury yields are calculated from the 10-year consumer price index inflation forecast, and the smoothed nominal yield curve is estimated from off-the-run securities. Values are reported as of month-end, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is reported as of the data close date. The median value is 4.61 percentage points.

Source: LSEG, Institutional Brokers' Estimate System, North American Summary & Detail Estimates, Level 2, Current & History Data, Adjusted and Unadjusted, https://www.lseg.com/en/data-analytics/financial-data/company-data/ibes-estimates.

Figure 1.6. Volatility in equity markets declined to below the historical median

Percent

Date Option-implied volatility Realized volatility
1996-01-01 13.4736363636364 11.6660018513493
1996-02-01 15.033 11.4970177930269
1996-03-01 17.762380952381 14.5805907640094
1996-04-01 16.2122222222222 12.2587182318935
1996-05-01 16.1463636363636 11.3230015860369
1996-06-01 16.5035294117647 11.1200706792797
1996-07-01 17.9786363636364 15.0477932686113
1996-08-01 15.7604545454545 13.4439415329048
1996-09-01 16.578 11.1911432244134
1996-10-01 16.2863636363636 9.86899365405941
1996-11-01 15.997 10.2710935958922
1996-12-01 19.2609523809524 13.4367863208599
1997-01-01 19.6166666666667 14.6080893650533
1997-02-01 20.1394736842105 14.8378769476574
1997-03-01 20.17 14.6446247279778
1997-04-01 19.6955 17.1838047108861
1997-05-01 19.9247619047619 16.3828053708239
1997-06-01 20.1942857142857 15.0103630818753
1997-07-01 20.5085714285714 16.1774773289902
1997-08-01 23.0847619047619 18.1337328530063
1997-09-01 23.7994736842105 18.7870723544085
1997-10-01 23.8708695652174 18.8362786738684
1997-11-01 31.9842105263158 24.033945848159
1997-12-01 26.2763636363636 18.5413461909981
1998-01-01 23.8665 17.924402479576
1998-02-01 19.9989473684211 15.3815855762189
1998-03-01 20.032380952381 12.6866233446476
1998-04-01 22.1621052631579 13.0204402916086
1998-05-01 20.874 13.9589925450784
1998-06-01 21.6627272727273 15.6123975831408
1998-07-01 20.2326315789474 14.6306289462462
1998-08-01 31.5880952380952 22.8293830954751
1998-09-01 38.132 34.2696711225428
1998-10-01 36.6081818181818 33.0719601255087
1998-11-01 26.223 23.1770410085721
1998-12-01 25.4790909090909 18.9695977002574
1999-01-01 27.9688888888889 19.5357417643135
1999-02-01 28.8226315789474 21.7522062116626
1999-03-01 25.3095652173913 20.6749018456292
1999-04-01 23.4785714285714 19.8800143841424
1999-05-01 26.2045 20.97784039635
1999-06-01 23.5457142857143 19.2812556407201
1999-07-01 21.0490476190476 16.5649810420935
1999-08-01 24.3236363636364 17.762679094952
1999-09-01 24.5414285714286 18.9882489266078
1999-10-01 24.0214285714286 20.9307821221906
1999-11-01 21.8180952380952 19.2757135954161
1999-12-01 22.1590909090909 16.9114886060611
2000-01-01 23.202 19.2710326373478
2000-02-01 23.5955 21.8826310192913
2000-03-01 22.7340909090909 24.4147116307444
2000-04-01 27.1642105263158 32.6954903380592
2000-05-01 26.3731818181818 28.6875024535145
2000-06-01 21.54 22.9152407920973
2000-07-01 19.893 17.9982052240518
2000-08-01 18.0886956521739 16.2278141320473
2000-09-01 19.6875 15.2249067060949
2000-10-01 25.2 23.3825513712009
2000-11-01 26.3828571428572 24.8372258626025
2000-12-01 26.5305 25.2660989330881
2001-01-01 24.9185714285714 27.3869318519594
2001-02-01 23.4115789473684 21.5711027301767
2001-03-01 28.5355 26.8366882401105
2001-04-01 28.134 28.2767983494084
2001-05-01 22.9440909090909 21.9305446712184
2001-06-01 20.9404761904762 18.0864345219187
2001-07-01 22.3161904761905 17.4233963640704
2001-08-01 21.8617391304348 16.9881197625749
2001-09-01 35.0653333333333 25.3628914843376
2001-10-01 32.6122727272727 27.4432056617389
2001-11-01 26.6309523809524 23.703721758666
2001-12-01 23.72 18.8116218912228
2002-01-01 22.2528571428571 16.0860845405702
2002-02-01 22.8757894736842 19.0247390260532
2002-03-01 18.985 18.1627812579874
2002-04-01 19.9004545454546 16.3585371713588
2002-05-01 20.0877272727273 17.4751955466266
2002-06-01 25.271 21.1503388492177
2002-07-01 34.0495454545455 33.8122326027991
2002-08-01 33.7427272727273 38.0059301842527
2002-09-01 37.6475 31.1573758988689
2002-10-01 35.4295454545455 35.1153285176829
2002-11-01 28.175 29.8374660548669
2002-12-01 28.2104761904762 23.9856020363076
2003-01-01 27.5063157894737 21.4678587823309
2003-02-01 32.2184210526316 23.2648173841275
2003-03-01 30.6342857142857 24.027437353179
2003-04-01 23.9919047619048 22.7518490234217
2003-05-01 20.2395238095238 19.4116583671963
2003-06-01 20.362380952381 17.8910811690359
2003-07-01 19.1613636363636 17.963097743773
2003-08-01 19.2742857142857 17.4525668387734
2003-09-01 19.532380952381 14.6382952860313
2003-10-01 18.0234782608696 14.4087450993752
2003-11-01 17.401052631579 13.1580061633954
2003-12-01 16.8263636363636 11.9097717003726
2004-01-01 15.9533333333333 11.1404090658144
2004-02-01 15.9984210526316 12.4250812687099
2004-03-01 17.6873913043478 13.1177813008279
2004-04-01 15.6985714285714 13.2305068982146
2004-05-01 17.705 15.3052622502986
2004-06-01 15.3571428571429 12.4769725676189
2004-07-01 15.502380952381 11.566069816115
2004-08-01 16.6840909090909 12.5183668392198
2004-09-01 14.0809523809524 10.5218499250594
2004-10-01 14.97 10.5483752052858
2004-11-01 13.5771428571429 11.2199404981956
2004-12-01 12.4595454545455 10.5411204977441
2005-01-01 13.438 10.6898734722831
2005-02-01 11.7089473684211 9.97698435516755
2005-03-01 13.1263636363636 10.4591759779596
2005-04-01 14.4590476190476 11.9595266932822
2005-05-01 13.967619047619 13.1345339970155
2005-06-01 11.8686363636364 10.8843586969325
2005-07-01 11.049 10.299606344397
2005-08-01 12.9513043478261 9.67215702576131
2005-09-01 12.6280952380952 10.3355805952466
2005-10-01 14.937619047619 12.9420546336044
2005-11-01 12.147619047619 11.9929109427738
2005-12-01 11.26 9.86724261264328
2006-01-01 12.036 9.75019324478231
2006-02-01 12.4710526315789 10.3962672209438
2006-03-01 11.6939130434783 9.67595989440699
2006-04-01 11.8473684210526 10.1812599154474
2006-05-01 14.4545454545455 11.8833938571069
2006-06-01 16.9186363636364 15.1905744976374
2006-07-01 15.326 13.8213302386538
2006-08-01 13.3517391304348 12.2659513282135
2006-09-01 12.1845 9.58295311853103
2006-10-01 11.3063636363636 8.87528795782983
2006-11-01 10.817619047619 9.05331030169611
2006-12-01 10.9645 9.48124214544733
2007-01-01 11.0425 9.45456586244998
2007-02-01 11.1552631578947 9.09570432829821
2007-03-01 15.1627272727273 14.3394509187373
2007-04-01 12.933 11.413406046384
2007-05-01 13.2977272727273 9.91899172246013
2007-06-01 14.947619047619 11.4188181273469
2007-07-01 17.2733333333333 13.5253202331799
2007-08-01 25.0260869565217 23.4469407255895
2007-09-01 22.1989473684211 19.7540279531751
2007-10-01 19.115652173913 15.503973886391
2007-11-01 25.582380952381 21.5238960816543
2007-12-01 21.651 21.0074184374913
2008-01-01 25.8161904761905 25.1587232165068
2008-02-01 25.456 27.9642103670686
2008-03-01 27.1035 26.7458928047716
2008-04-01 21.5627272727273 21.3897746578923
2008-05-01 18.3033333333333 16.8191833191823
2008-06-01 22.1104761904762 17.3996418683865
2008-07-01 24.3213636363636 23.0727688134488
2008-08-01 20.6957142857143 20.3860588132352
2008-09-01 30.2385714285714 30.1319934225997
2008-10-01 61.1773913043478 66.4353621768754
2008-11-01 62.6689473684211 72.3891218062637
2008-12-01 52.405 61.6627153509543
2009-01-01 44.683 43.4505836909818
2009-02-01 45.5705263157895 40.5172207095495
2009-03-01 44.7954545454545 42.7570704603437
2009-04-01 38.0638095238095 35.232601521657
2009-05-01 31.978 29.416218475469
2009-06-01 29.1404545454546 25.1074975009529
2009-07-01 26.1627272727273 21.5406491765854
2009-08-01 25.3371428571429 19.3423952151884
2009-09-01 24.9266666666667 17.502808288546
2009-10-01 24.2522727272727 17.5873477075319
2009-11-01 23.789 19.5035356985187
2009-12-01 21.2395454545455 15.2812610957244
2010-01-01 20.6431578947368 12.8524000650447
2010-02-01 22.54 17.9371556222399
2010-03-01 17.7673913043478 14.1440600564914
2010-04-01 17.4242857142857 12.4989303948697
2010-05-01 31.9295 27.6228327009185
2010-06-01 29.9163636363636 27.0096242755143
2010-07-01 25.5652380952381 23.0423137526689
2010-08-01 24.7459090909091 18.9105393940132
2010-09-01 22.517619047619 16.8520178292642
2010-10-01 20.3733333333333 14.90349027817
2010-11-01 20.0957142857143 13.9516001487045
2010-12-01 17.5695454545455 11.8531772911036
2011-01-01 17.3155 9.74617616636289
2011-02-01 17.43 10.6384523100946
2011-03-01 20.7234782608696 14.3168156705695
2011-04-01 16.244 12.42331218882
2011-05-01 16.9114285714286 12.3713454019479
2011-06-01 19.1531818181818 13.5712044448475
2011-07-01 19.2275 13.7904966429266
2011-08-01 35.0291304347826 31.7485662857251
2011-09-01 36.53 30.9745051459046
2011-10-01 32.8290476190476 30.1864490354367
2011-11-01 31.9419047619048 25.0372956968918
2011-12-01 25.047619047619 20.6368736442632
2012-01-01 20.228 15.4845726167681
2012-02-01 18.4205 12.421246971912
2012-03-01 16.1672727272727 10.9113197739009
2012-04-01 17.823 11.5073208243215
2012-05-01 21.0018181818182 13.7334877771125
2012-06-01 21.1309523809524 15.5813568566647
2012-07-01 17.5652380952381 14.8143709282043
2012-08-01 15.6895652173913 13.1454438868502
2012-09-01 15.2847368421053 10.9866765105557
2012-10-01 16.2761904761905 11.2779878228646
2012-11-01 16.7019047619048 13.8232949505489
2012-12-01 17.307 12.8915044105184
2013-01-01 13.5052380952381 11.7578898776852
2013-02-01 14.0726315789474 9.65176390798361
2013-03-01 13.0315 10.1414648479869
2013-04-01 13.9672727272727 11.4592468301256
2013-05-01 13.4936363636364 11.6191411128199
2013-06-01 17.2715 14.5133707690104
2013-07-01 13.9745454545455 13.4946396779183
2013-08-01 14.21 10.4078596512416
2013-09-01 14.692 10.7016031837471
2013-10-01 15.4078260869565 11.2177111239613
2013-11-01 12.924 9.89646404288908
2013-12-01 14.192380952381 9.50606134974873
2014-01-01 14.2409523809524 9.34175977035223
2014-02-01 15.47 11.7776026040637
2014-03-01 14.8366666666667 11.647014789633
2014-04-01 14.1980952380952 12.2108841753431
2014-05-01 12.4752380952381 10.9907555990207
2014-06-01 11.5414285714286 8.26129611907456
2014-07-01 12.2963636363636 7.9864496457405
2014-08-01 13.4919047619048 9.82749188082103
2014-09-01 13.4666666666667 8.81824623242042
2014-10-01 18.0586956521739 15.8202322281244
2014-11-01 13.4131578947368 13.3964123228112
2014-12-01 16.2922727272727 12.6770634282534
2015-01-01 19.1195 15.7587200382062
2015-02-01 15.9042105263158 15.0597895788658
2015-03-01 14.8127272727273 11.9075089930258
2015-04-01 13.4947619047619 11.3643328935683
2015-05-01 13.3385 10.8716267765847
2015-06-01 14.3395454545455 10.1847870746689
2015-07-01 14.3527272727273 11.2003203255496
2015-08-01 19.4280952380952 17.1570349673083
2015-09-01 24.3771428571429 26.9287461526888
2015-10-01 16.7895454545455 19.5579302255784
2015-11-01 16.21 14.1239705080274
2015-12-01 18.0254545454546 14.7639242321232
2016-01-01 23.7178947368421 20.9784607025239
2016-02-01 22.517 23.7908222699251
2016-03-01 15.8490909090909 17.4419724589589
2016-04-01 14.3004761904762 12.5684333133419
2016-05-01 14.8528571428571 11.4567433667519
2016-06-01 17.7745454545455 11.1225130173366
2016-07-01 13.1585 11.5383606082848
2016-08-01 12.3995652173913 8.42541576628004
2016-09-01 14.2195238095238 9.50174469282875
2016-10-01 14.5852380952381 9.86500051103436
2016-11-01 15.2361904761905 10.7470474506003
2016-12-01 12.472380952381 9.01017059819605
2017-01-01 11.6085 8.06856088051899
2017-02-01 11.5305263157895 7.16847376051743
2017-03-01 11.8978260869565 7.20593777318537
2017-04-01 13.1363157894737 8.49318049506291
2017-05-01 10.8622727272727 7.24723264353916
2017-06-01 10.5136363636364 7.01299042041285
2017-07-01 10.2645 7.11998952279564
2017-08-01 11.975652173913 6.90761183683039
2017-09-01 10.438 6.54092719020006
2017-10-01 10.1254545454545 5.27363656788226
2017-11-01 10.5404761904762 5.84450121209254
2017-12-01 10.2645 7.23463170268301
2018-01-01 11.062380952381 6.77507792233557
2018-02-01 22.4647368421053 20.5714789991763
2018-03-01 19.0238095238095 19.2609354118264
2018-04-01 18.267619047619 19.5799093630063
2018-05-01 14.1245454545455 14.8098912645535
2018-06-01 13.6780952380952 11.0449231257198
2018-07-01 13.147619047619 10.0281890085389
2018-08-01 12.5469565217391 8.27055890832679
2018-09-01 12.9105263157895 8.19822574181444
2018-10-01 19.3521739130435 14.6770289942449
2018-11-01 19.3890476190476 20.3399848752283
2018-12-01 24.9531578947368 24.2309546283222
2019-01-01 19.572380952381 24.8121863458224
2019-02-01 15.2347368421053 16.1598081905892
2019-03-01 14.4852380952381 12.5400589489175
2019-04-01 12.9490476190476 10.4204691819463
2019-05-01 16.7218181818182 11.9604126787495
2019-06-01 15.836 12.3019853401814
2019-07-01 13.3059090909091 9.34255621204519
2019-08-01 18.9790909090909 15.5071590629558
2019-09-01 15.559 13.7212538426588
2019-10-01 15.4665217391304 12.9380927126397
2019-11-01 12.5235 9.15374956355869
2019-12-01 13.7566666666667 8.39900058907158
2020-01-01 13.9409523809524 7.98329326685344
2020-02-01 19.6289473684211 12.235953038929
2020-03-01 57.7368181818182 56.5558030233333
2020-04-01 41.4538095238095 53.4076100300183
2020-05-01 30.897 32.7546342252363
2020-06-01 31.1195454545455 25.6234551575192
2020-07-01 26.8404545454546 21.5020837795014
2020-08-01 22.8895238095238 15.368331382197
2020-09-01 27.6476190476191 20.5408351690096
2020-10-01 29.4386363636364 19.5867799105507
2020-11-01 24.9955 20.0366554840429
2020-12-01 22.3740909090909 14.5485618778202
2021-01-01 24.91 13.9555081234351
2021-02-01 23.1405263157895 15.0586278087166
2021-03-01 21.8430434782609 18.3760103267373
2021-04-01 17.4161904761905 13.2306958629409
2021-05-01 19.7605 12.8245860611425
2021-06-01 16.9568181818182 10.602697366478
2021-07-01 17.6033333333333 9.52597644490086
2021-08-01 17.4727272727273 8.99489544165869
2021-09-01 19.8247619047619 9.90545524418322
2021-10-01 17.8714285714286 13.1449650614757
2021-11-01 18.5004761904762 10.756543304989
2021-12-01 21.3545454545455 15.7948073193997
2022-01-01 23.181 17.9273366291005
2022-02-01 25.7484210526316 24.0620499786463
2022-03-01 26.9686956521739 24.4138433224992
2022-04-01 24.3735 19.5803485996259
2022-05-01 29.4457142857143 27.6656298104452
2022-06-01 28.1 26.573656578325
2022-07-01 24.8685 24.1769036943302
2022-08-01 22.1695652173913 18.5843573274448
2022-09-01 27.4061904761905 21.3706162293307
2022-10-01 30.0057142857143 24.7810143622359
2022-11-01 23.4361904761905 23.4653181472918
2022-12-01 21.7842857142857 20.0746524846665
2023-01-01 20.203 18.8723515230073
2023-02-01 20.0621052631579 18.0181175689868
2023-03-01 21.644347826087 18.4040290782642
2023-04-01 17.8178947368421 14.9680435783067
2023-05-01 17.6440909090909 12.850355981898
2023-06-01 13.9942857142857 11.6555373800474
2023-07-01 13.944 9.79782161139102
2023-08-01 15.8539130434783 10.9964358071381
2023-09-01 15.241 11.2281740691361
2023-10-01 18.8877272727273 14.0324378052262
2023-11-01 14.0771428571429 12.8550828990171
2023-12-01 12.7185 10.5915264091161
2024-01-01 13.3952380952381 10.1504734554845
2024-02-01 13.944 10.2366676192287
2024-03-01 13.7875 10.2078456995787
2024-04-01 16.1377272727273 12.0371117567447
2024-05-01 13.0904545454545 11.768735812728
2024-06-01 12.6768421052632 10.5631319705768
2024-07-01 14.47 10.8111861318915
2024-08-01 19.3122727272727 16.4259717957522
2024-09-01 17.8115789473684 14.7220460555283
2024-10-01 19.9608695652174 12.1711818287166
2024-11-01 16.121 11.0339098105754
2024-12-01 15.8661904761905 10.8279101591786
2025-01-01 16.746 14.3306924135045
2025-02-01 17.0521052631579 13.6987761822595
2025-03-01 21.8414285714286 19.5747609778019
2025-04-01 31.9661904761905 38.0674575935194
2025-05-01 20.4571428571429 27.2406110614847
2025-06-01 18.215 17.1695144564178
2025-07-01 16.3290476190476 11.5897825781257
2025-08-01 15.75 10.3452248239624
2025-09-01 15.7733333333333 9.62935681206288
2025-10-01 18.5964705882353 11.0217626671137

Note: Realized volatility is computed from an exponentially weighted moving average of 5-minute daily realized variances with 75 percent of the weight distributed over the past 20 business days. Values are averaged within a calendar month, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is averaged through the data close date. The option-implied volatility median value is 18.74 percent.

Source: Cboe Volatility Index® (VIX®) accessed via Bloomberg Finance L.P.; Federal Reserve Board staff estimates.

Figure 1.7. Corporate bond yields fell slightly but remained near their median for the past 30 years

This is a line chart showing monthly corporate bond yield data from 1997 through Octo-ber 2025. The y-axis shows percent values ranging from 0 to 24. The chart displays two series: Triple-B (thick blue line) and High-yield (thin black line). The high-yield series shows consistently higher yields and greater volatility throughout the period, with peaks reaching around 22 percent in 2008-2009. The triple-B series follows similar patterns but at lower yield levels, with its peak reaching about 10 percent during this same peri-od. Both series show a general downward trend over the decades punctuated by cyclical fluctuations. In the most recent period, both series show a slight decline, with the high-yield bonds at approximately 6-7 percent and triple-B bonds at approximately 5-6 per-cent in October 2025.

Note: The triple-B series reflects the effective yield of the ICE Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) triple-B U.S. Corporate Index (COA4), and the high-yield series re-flects the effective yield of the ICE BofAML U.S. High Yield Index (H0A0). Values are reported as of month-end, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is reported as of the data close date.

Source: ICE Data Indices, LLC, used with permission.

Figure 1.8. Corporate bond spreads fell and remained at tight levels

This is a line chart showing monthly corporate bond spread data from 1997 through Oc-tober 2025. The chart uses dual y-axes: the left axis shows percentage points from 0 to 11 for Triple-B spreads (thick blue line), while the right axis shows percentage points from 0 to 22 for High-yield spreads (thin black line). Both series follow similar patterns throughout the period, with spikes every few years. The most dramatic spike occurs dur-ing 2008-2009, when high-yield spreads reached approximately 20 percentage points and triple-B spreads approached 8 percentage points. Other notable increases appear around 2001-2002 and 2020. In the most recent period, both series show a decline, with high-yield spreads at approximately 3-4 percentage points and triple-B spreads at about 1 percentage point in October 2025.

Note: The triple-B series reflects the option-adjusted spread of the ICE Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) triple-B U.S. Corporate Index (COA4), and the high-yield se-ries reflects the option-adjusted spread of the ICE BofAML U.S. High Yield Index (H0A0). Values are reported as of month-end, except for the value of the last month of the series, which is reported as of the data close date.

Source: ICE Data Indices, LLC, used with permission.

Figure 1.9. The excess bond premium was below its long-run average

Percentage points

Date Excess Bond Premium
1997-01-01 -0.322582468963044
1997-02-01 -0.43711063325239
1997-03-01 -0.46598847296639
1997-04-01 -0.417372163956033
1997-05-01 -0.416432532897956
1997-06-01 -0.515031470853677
1997-07-01 -0.491339794332543
1997-08-01 -0.493333423808052
1997-09-01 -0.543469020916635
1997-10-01 -0.418716863939941
1997-11-01 -0.313568359512026
1997-12-01 -0.378550584205968
1998-01-01 -0.334024559425512
1998-02-01 -0.30991612206484
1998-03-01 -0.360096088318095
1998-04-01 -0.392053929582443
1998-05-01 -0.349092460986917
1998-06-01 -0.310140110741528
1998-07-01 -0.271943647898022
1998-08-01 0.128983279104682
1998-09-01 0.112878667944232
1998-10-01 0.231052279634036
1998-11-01 0.207122283512128
1998-12-01 0.0742829536364738
1999-01-01 0.0649228048611708
1999-02-01 -0.152612136327662
1999-03-01 -0.147424054256031
1999-04-01 -0.187379932775758
1999-05-01 -0.182556623117037
1999-06-01 -0.120503197870737
1999-07-01 -0.0711064701691953
1999-08-01 -0.0117027281958799
1999-09-01 0.11897392996656
1999-10-01 0.134393186852079
1999-11-01 0.0990016105763942
1999-12-01 -0.12650651179007
2000-01-01 0.0550805908619743
2000-02-01 0.145747579842424
2000-03-01 0.412166446690459
2000-04-01 0.569183461827625
2000-05-01 0.749968552157642
2000-06-01 0.7895317766322
2000-07-01 0.868723084923854
2000-08-01 1.01899171719826
2000-09-01 1.12551878502038
2000-10-01 1.51710948928513
2000-11-01 1.60017242566752
2000-12-01 1.59866405372726
2001-01-01 1.1449242305533
2001-02-01 1.17167341079492
2001-03-01 1.10372284547424
2001-04-01 0.922100346195253
2001-05-01 0.779888431881346
2001-06-01 1.01699453259832
2001-07-01 0.786421193133351
2001-08-01 0.764102010779212
2001-09-01 1.22775851313956
2001-10-01 1.04614429066629
2001-11-01 -0.0555785771381241
2001-12-01 0.419166567756717
2002-01-01 0.57585197396661
2002-02-01 0.785097002702549
2002-03-01 0.296273375138512
2002-04-01 0.424594562829965
2002-05-01 0.519319008246162
2002-06-01 0.972128217528409
2002-07-01 1.59374147403249
2002-08-01 1.48830671324332
2002-09-01 1.66959652072077
2002-10-01 1.47570083817631
2002-11-01 1.05757793361066
2002-12-01 0.913544053233711
2003-01-01 0.858356160639295
2003-02-01 0.655431865310102
2003-03-01 0.150849660607439
2003-04-01 0.0484894992129226
2003-05-01 -0.473610670134665
2003-06-01 -0.382159225965782
2003-07-01 -1.04286843479139
2003-08-01 -0.20478060766477
2003-09-01 -0.542051789516836
2003-10-01 -0.525547041739634
2003-11-01 -0.550117980702229
2003-12-01 -0.521404022086418
2004-01-01 -0.709331603034185
2004-02-01 -0.353463813103236
2004-03-01 -0.531261303635432
2004-04-01 -0.755168387087313
2004-05-01 -0.382181632941986
2004-06-01 -0.392868913955654
2004-07-01 -0.331088804552472
2004-08-01 -0.43480428738834
2004-09-01 -0.553624709365192
2004-10-01 -0.540177159329713
2004-11-01 -0.67800806823411
2004-12-01 -0.722014209341873
2005-01-01 -0.707642487371121
2005-02-01 -0.92806513166591
2005-03-01 -0.638810270627913
2005-04-01 -0.385043374800976
2005-05-01 -0.309901002321396
2005-06-01 -0.453903288826871
2005-07-01 -0.557165866447431
2005-08-01 -0.55496287023917
2005-09-01 -0.465106686495394
2005-10-01 -0.349218946537684
2005-11-01 -0.319394832328237
2005-12-01 -0.289157997477712
2006-01-01 -0.364693796207051
2006-02-01 -0.323425171860704
2006-03-01 -0.407274024384632
2006-04-01 -0.44715267943514
2006-05-01 -0.352189487625683
2006-06-01 -0.356114706203376
2006-07-01 -0.260520446586998
2006-08-01 -0.288738255971617
2006-09-01 -0.345348268065217
2006-10-01 -0.378610790384299
2006-11-01 -0.348272771391756
2006-12-01 -0.477662072684482
2007-01-01 -0.539165468847921
2007-02-01 -0.537471081953611
2007-03-01 -0.353312407771545
2007-04-01 -0.355662794180385
2007-05-01 -0.573195678010633
2007-06-01 -0.364602687976642
2007-07-01 0.0403617665276918
2007-08-01 0.147353494692841
2007-09-01 0.0816446250271166
2007-10-01 0.000503626045874839
2007-11-01 0.348761997331672
2007-12-01 0.500740021217155
2008-01-01 0.724647890828815
2008-02-01 0.92948098910058
2008-03-01 1.15717315258174
2008-04-01 0.675852162223685
2008-05-01 0.680992080123559
2008-06-01 0.823393172268254
2008-07-01 1.07616074582355
2008-08-01 1.22270409130995
2008-09-01 1.79395966143202
2008-10-01 3.46242272382695
2008-11-01 3.25251219164027
2008-12-01 3.41307513624443
2009-01-01 2.84383117399859
2009-02-01 3.19294429203116
2009-03-01 2.78442877823389
2009-04-01 2.26157283573058
2009-05-01 1.38259751182023
2009-06-01 0.936902203694466
2009-07-01 0.333020471976585
2009-08-01 0.069413195327062
2009-09-01 0.0557232116501929
2009-10-01 -0.142998885007172
2009-11-01 -0.00926297711017687
2009-12-01 -0.467279749900794
2010-01-01 -0.200376100782431
2010-02-01 -0.00725713207586542
2010-03-01 -0.160047473580051
2010-04-01 -0.27250936221628
2010-05-01 -0.119177593463013
2010-06-01 0.0531349964019063
2010-07-01 0.173105357912659
2010-08-01 -0.263506490576347
2010-09-01 0.00433486221780299
2010-10-01 -0.00123409867076107
2010-11-01 -0.122918768452686
2010-12-01 -0.392507839186762
2011-01-01 -0.019513364750011
2011-02-01 -0.262194695350741
2011-03-01 -0.303164712853745
2011-04-01 -0.255271542251797
2011-05-01 -0.131582268401362
2011-06-01 -0.013665164421242
2011-07-01 -0.0537838168464195
2011-08-01 -0.0756410925873334
2011-09-01 0.455897168259618
2011-10-01 -0.0649520813517781
2011-11-01 0.512914553839767
2011-12-01 0.298746824162698
2012-01-01 0.199125474313298
2012-02-01 0.0705923396750077
2012-03-01 -0.318191314365127
2012-04-01 -0.143611651774042
2012-05-01 -0.0518796086494682
2012-06-01 0.181804992278286
2012-07-01 0.0136732425861528
2012-08-01 -0.183630829468403
2012-09-01 -0.134060160549101
2012-10-01 -0.166887778365316
2012-11-01 -0.0389596551154177
2012-12-01 -0.152514054496654
2013-01-01 -0.0860009218750992
2013-02-01 -0.0240648564920818
2013-03-01 -0.0864206057287764
2013-04-01 -0.113405855330231
2013-05-01 -0.477277741848432
2013-06-01 -0.336532662081839
2013-07-01 -0.0108230931210334
2013-08-01 -0.119626507485614
2013-09-01 -0.12846621521693
2013-10-01 -0.0390393476350559
2013-11-01 -0.00138828415044311
2013-12-01 -0.155283309305418
2014-01-01 -0.303204935390283
2014-02-01 -0.210408235965242
2014-03-01 -0.277079967662715
2014-04-01 -0.357966738858732
2014-05-01 -0.372693140453297
2014-06-01 -0.310759450919256
2014-07-01 -0.319506192924584
2014-08-01 -0.312545338787738
2014-09-01 -0.213666368139106
2014-10-01 -0.210361458765615
2014-11-01 0.0607029181477796
2014-12-01 0.087859446943976
2015-01-01 -0.0302034331003824
2015-02-01 -0.277596048551038
2015-03-01 -0.122313976540545
2015-04-01 0.00500996676146625
2015-05-01 0.0497230702898301
2015-06-01 0.145819593531288
2015-07-01 0.21050187026343
2015-08-01 0.395886575013829
2015-09-01 0.533941978824988
2015-10-01 0.419083391961406
2015-11-01 0.504980280555865
2015-12-01 0.677248219583863
2016-01-01 0.915778627543744
2016-02-01 0.945548361254238
2016-03-01 0.576408269219503
2016-04-01 0.234030577956345
2016-05-01 0.245524999242587
2016-06-01 0.0659748357705472
2016-07-01 0.0110358437348572
2016-08-01 -0.0227416680995307
2016-09-01 -0.0723328805575498
2016-10-01 -0.0766039004345267
2016-11-01 -0.717385940396009
2016-12-01 -0.243886601654517
2017-01-01 -0.198012117280368
2017-02-01 -0.183554370732931
2017-03-01 -0.17060288655772
2017-04-01 -0.121863424454349
2017-05-01 -0.168332075902823
2017-06-01 -0.127652117273696
2017-07-01 -0.153222780949327
2017-08-01 -0.0825202213705685
2017-09-01 -0.256188795531894
2017-10-01 -0.216255816825351
2017-11-01 -0.13288358037404
2017-12-01 -0.194484487464504
2018-01-01 -0.393868154027814
2018-02-01 -0.245109191776628
2018-03-01 -0.104763901373353
2018-04-01 -0.279196693708415
2018-05-01 -0.192417238626553
2018-06-01 0.0251978416850964
2018-07-01 -0.126186094653155
2018-08-01 -0.0960830937716417
2018-09-01 -0.175796776741759
2018-10-01 -0.00265415449779715
2018-11-01 0.143440497036455
2018-12-01 0.340377357518727
2019-01-01 0.176120744485469
2019-02-01 0.0649721071617646
2019-03-01 -0.116877365717539
2019-04-01 -0.00606614116092152
2019-05-01 -0.0145199098661719
2019-06-01 0.00703033175724709
2019-07-01 -0.0470748023642191
2019-08-01 -0.152296901688222
2019-09-01 -0.22893368579601
2019-10-01 -0.224113949716756
2019-11-01 -0.17095232735637
2019-12-01 -0.283998248261177
2020-01-01 -0.239741172649534
2020-02-01 -0.14584690142653
2020-03-01 1.20751322153902
2020-04-01 0.647999521877522
2020-05-01 0.394849680559541
2020-06-01 0.0468443621327554
2020-07-01 -0.168754620151096
2020-08-01 -0.292299398198395
2020-09-01 -0.0132269320352032
2020-10-01 -0.21788940032115
2020-11-01 -0.474632198172539
2020-12-01 -0.510990786867397
2021-01-01 -0.66107347798942
2021-02-01 -0.942464236637337
2021-03-01 -0.74808104230627
2021-04-01 -0.492104744432511
2021-05-01 -0.429531551599403
2021-06-01 -0.587883259909856
2021-07-01 -0.556096592016192
2021-08-01 -0.481522729288102
2021-09-01 -0.643960551076078
2021-10-01 -0.524515509869051
2021-11-01 -0.445421828573621
2021-12-01 -0.44417335865998
2022-01-01 -0.345893192682949
2022-02-01 -0.209617161129881
2022-03-01 -0.810680693708789
2022-04-01 -0.295946300128215
2022-05-01 -0.11886667698913
2022-06-01 0.0803502128519435
2022-07-01 0.00530446253841598
2022-08-01 -0.0312104564139992
2022-09-01 0.0347374180050581
2022-10-01 0.0964251354310108
2022-11-01 -0.221510322596622
2022-12-01 -0.013751982445146
2023-01-01 -0.0324132963379131
2023-02-01 -0.147066405770329
2023-03-01 -0.18284582875408
2023-04-01 0.186791047202189
2023-05-01 0.139407626692292
2023-06-01 0.178234258470511
2023-07-01 0.0203858384886491
2023-08-01 0.0744726723514553
2023-09-01 -0.00575441715623692
2023-10-01 0.226906055010379
2023-11-01 -0.080256545607718
2023-12-01 -0.226177283592185
2024-01-01 -0.0718167356772235
2024-02-01 -0.130783819069435
2024-03-01 -0.0912887483128404
2024-04-01 -0.199887758863658
2024-05-01 -0.132769011232153
2024-06-01 -0.0274098609940523
2024-07-01 -0.0922674114654776
2024-08-01 -0.0432706049690041
2024-09-01 -0.101235567722402
2024-10-01 -0.356190229889323
2024-11-01 -0.226043521166123
2024-12-01 -0.454540645415363
2025-01-01 -0.302402900428323
2025-02-01 -0.258533606907797
2025-03-01 -0.042624007602406
2025-04-01 -0.0875396414525373
2025-05-01 -0.201840189520321
2025-06-01 -0.226616850272232
2025-07-01 -0.246012625179071
2025-08-01 -0.190453600075066
2025-09-01 -0.321658374742446

Note: The excess bond premium (EBP) is a measure of bond market investors' risk sentiment. It is derived as the residual of a regression that models corporate bond spreads after controlling for expected default losses. By construction, its historical mean is 0. Positive (negative) EBP values indicate that investors' risk appetite is below (above) its historical mean.

Source: Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on Lehman Brothers Fixed Income Database (Warga); Intercontinental Exchange, Inc., ICE Data Services; Center for Research in Security Prices, CRSP/Compustat Merged Database, Wharton Research Data Services; S&P Global, Compustat.

Figure 1.10. Spreads on leveraged loans decreased moderately to the low end of their distribution since 2009

Percentage points

Date B (monthly) B (weekly) BB (monthly) BB (weekly)
1997-01-31     2.09188813027478  
1997-02-28     2.08178410192779  
1997-03-31     2.0821313539782  
1997-04-30     2.13128050966926  
1997-05-31     2.15663678327004  
1997-06-30     2.16723470638971  
1997-07-31 2.27865930277876   1.91211795426737  
1997-08-31 2.25519091192546   1.84799350267688  
1997-09-30 2.28226436624624   1.89031225692967  
1997-10-31 2.54870194148935   1.95239138987806  
1997-11-30 2.55227719847765   1.91123857847702  
1997-12-31 2.57766307859505   1.8853121084073  
1998-01-31 2.58328670414448   2.03962118865891  
1998-02-28 2.57724045434183   2.07686434704832  
1998-03-31 2.61434693144427   2.0142442090996  
1998-04-30 2.60471125675774   2.01964906051112  
1998-05-31 2.64727726013339   2.1742561357748  
1998-06-30 2.63838491070021   2.2804004021624  
1998-07-31 2.65298114421288   2.25461214228082  
1998-08-31 2.75105860252154   2.33040625069404  
1998-09-30 2.94176293011435   2.50368333817936  
1998-10-31 3.06324577222541   2.63021214384542  
1998-11-30 3.34669581632647   2.68688948779824  
1998-12-31 3.23167824969875   2.5574278061721  
1999-01-31 3.20045350392008   2.62222216268432  
1999-02-28 3.21252047029818   2.54969107864208  
1999-03-31 3.57072031339457   2.48431663439138  
1999-04-30 3.9333620829635   2.65158887562905  
1999-05-31 3.79734775882652   2.84294180372083  
1999-06-30 3.85661993243559   2.84376703464754  
1999-07-31 4.09639914591775   2.94888708534177  
1999-08-31 4.45692369680667   2.99404771578472  
1999-09-30 4.74567730353751   3.96252458533367  
1999-10-31 4.96156505726983   4.08542737863742  
1999-11-30 4.74194866264647   3.90885983736204  
1999-12-31 6.07594580603178   4.01508894466472  
2000-01-31 6.24211266836964   4.07331847721963  
2000-02-29 6.0743165320234   4.11406244684139  
2000-03-31 6.05480803120477   3.43483075505671  
2000-04-30 5.4393059506722   3.51119269263113  
2000-05-31 5.2455597903178   3.25902829785642  
2000-06-30 5.67158559945934   3.11633077776893  
2000-07-31 6.03340100401027   3.00189608969078  
2000-08-31 5.72920206373075   3.02041146177765  
2000-09-30 6.65220806624019   3.19167801986832  
2000-10-31 6.90970681334637   3.25572404050639  
2000-11-30 7.30996411733616   3.0709693072654  
2000-12-31 6.68883659623133   3.04620716632122  
2001-01-31 6.26216559265882   2.95059470390094  
2001-02-28 5.95037410707916   2.91025142523614  
2001-03-31 6.8348554997985   2.94681492043774  
2001-04-30 6.70873676752182   2.95507753634301  
2001-05-31 6.49519380030705   2.94735515085341  
2001-06-30 6.62316783543957   2.98929677062879  
2001-07-31 6.71076176682289   3.03049463891544  
2001-08-31 6.50998425898807   2.99783463202895  
2001-09-30 7.41861800862683   3.34538512033514  
2001-10-31 8.70615523076835   3.50811202527628  
2001-11-30 6.81765816329182   3.1143087844617  
2001-12-31 6.21014368310919   3.08920974701227  
2002-01-31 5.89286230863572   3.05192671026051  
2002-02-28 5.50244168261337   3.09142866939944  
2002-03-31 5.2230700434849   3.06572116988246  
2002-04-30 4.91982091590623   2.93946018349618  
2002-05-31 5.62215768952538   2.95233394415463  
2002-06-30 5.90371031672073   2.99329172692435  
2002-07-31 6.63147354763437   3.37911052029842  
2002-08-31 6.52683651010467   3.71526740579213  
2002-09-30 6.63805299967334   3.75018611807546  
2002-10-31 7.37496079911215   4.63927393752635  
2002-11-30 6.71848802934704   4.13735824720685  
2002-12-31 6.58138167838912   3.51504977973325  
2003-01-31 6.1042887123579   3.6008317889486  
2003-02-28 6.29662598070628   3.55664378996593  
2003-03-31 6.03170446252915   3.56692318005584  
2003-04-30 5.10701592299812   3.58065733646884  
2003-05-31 4.65926353155153   3.35162084074896  
2003-06-30 4.47566585183824   3.24248905217641  
2003-07-31 4.51259015396569   3.03234954878876  
2003-08-31 4.72497007493186   3.00626932126184  
2003-09-30 4.97967971238535   2.98081491715672  
2003-10-31 4.82321686517537   2.93755889404213  
2003-11-30 4.77608795632832   2.85310817323464  
2003-12-31 4.51467928453276   2.6096842608013  
2004-01-31 4.03029588240263   2.50584845765378  
2004-02-29 4.20273622017769   2.45050495529649  
2004-03-31 3.91740711424247   2.38195219076694  
2004-04-30 3.91963700739703   2.33385804691638  
2004-05-28 4.06261763945341   2.40125276014603  
2004-06-25 3.770043862382   2.34405188017961  
2004-07-30 3.84362793338027   2.25514115056385  
2004-08-31 3.69002375710118   2.20174843523389  
2004-09-30 3.6132191586509   2.13629916371444  
2004-10-29 3.42314267259918   2.10181111511617  
2004-11-30 3.25822348403558   2.07276369311587  
2004-12-31 3.20597759869138   2.01421096639184  
2005-01-31 3.25257792381212   1.98007779319212  
2005-02-25 3.14236991707397   1.93754573405074  
2005-03-31 3.04703913863471   1.85071831549634  
2005-04-29 3.29521581578657   1.82632886600368  
2005-05-31 3.12460567509078   1.86077029367427  
2005-06-30 3.0989292840778   1.84082502050528  
2005-07-29 3.03893426657107   1.76522563810955  
2005-08-30 2.97701212387517   1.68452592457589  
2005-09-30 2.95968475602158   1.72581908938116  
2005-10-28 3.00461148758371   1.77175634695531  
2005-11-30 2.89325453111939   1.78389317184715  
2005-12-30 2.8126312452552   1.80844276129604  
2006-01-31 2.82383799143358   1.74509262913098  
2006-02-28 2.78175102015367   1.68153963246369  
2006-03-31 2.73977196409467   1.68006845983146  
2006-04-28 2.7374360091284   1.66051441311656  
2006-05-31 2.67311713249498   1.72787218226183  
2006-06-30 2.67443850599523   1.8352632973603  
2006-07-28 2.69880906374307   1.87550444857827  
2006-08-31 2.74011534139188   1.86821573022612  
2006-09-29 2.73862697147573   1.86028664985925  
2006-10-31 2.69793073232383   1.82781796313336  
2006-11-30 2.70284182597395   1.96649848866957  
2006-12-29 2.72599794125974   1.94127586989883  
2007-01-31 2.6009438606843   1.91399043749182  
2007-02-28 2.5272169246271   1.74093261911432  
2007-03-30 2.4927885532305   1.77072853120909  
2007-04-27 2.46445680735925   1.79786483048767  
2007-05-31 2.41101261501855   1.7854775964612  
2007-06-29 2.69801407467645   2.01031142193302  
2007-07-31 3.47862536221395   2.82408782626828  
2007-08-31 3.5937015877151   2.99739196770473  
2007-09-28 3.34114476544724   2.71172116173131  
2007-10-26 3.28502814719285   2.63790557145956  
2007-11-30 3.85693642989592   3.06270059562676  
2007-12-28 4.15882970451708   2.92911429296445  
2008-01-31 4.97580601761539   3.74354717570948  
2008-02-29 6.07321224924927   4.37609661511741  
2008-03-28 7.20862322105508   4.32482406795875  
2008-04-30 6.34801131263565   3.68216495273447  
2008-05-30 6.37950640066329   3.58771647847705  
2008-06-27 6.39477656025946   3.86289048424729  
2008-07-31 7.17316958878979   4.17916907289259  
2008-08-29 7.65469664955774   4.23328471212778  
2008-09-30 10.607979887877   5.941421105947  
2008-10-31 17.0496957424426   9.27448359334444  
2008-11-28 20.8910378938561   11.0334418958842  
2008-12-31 24.7612246563106   11.4703036462376  
2009-01-30 20.6985407092928   8.74457510422384  
2009-02-27 20.7549427316504   7.85357321044109  
2009-03-31 20.3194044491426   7.79174615240187  
2009-04-30 15.786038192821   5.7679907102825  
2009-05-29 12.3996603533352   5.56070162593438  
2009-06-30 10.2336164578227   4.85609147918706  
2009-07-31 8.49779936832999   4.18603261946884  
2009-08-31 7.80796562290773   4.13370667387195  
2009-09-30 6.96202796956235   4.00687340822193  
2009-10-30 6.36999188965138   4.19524810650038  
2009-11-30 6.70409102583303   4.52667154088844  
2009-12-31 6.02043666937183   3.88209813583743  
2010-01-29 5.67379035809451   3.69984828297773  
2010-02-26 5.7822661128449   3.81346069657269  
2010-03-31 5.27419835045083   3.49925432468838  
2010-04-30 5.0460927826293   3.42850473957399  
2010-05-28 6.10543623024698   3.98869269820655  
2010-06-30 6.42705157683265   4.16663178231691  
2010-07-30 5.98086462113477   4.01401196700854  
2010-08-31 5.98119702611061   4.00699099853277  
2010-09-30 5.61969456662555   3.88035423998445  
2010-10-29 5.22023899583472   3.65819695629145  
2010-11-30 5.61476070096215   3.70954513195812  
2010-12-31 5.28999708060695   3.68691684025719  
2011-01-31 4.80097016558672   3.50604518273776  
2011-02-28 4.81988837128684   3.52192607285771  
2011-03-31 4.85444457487651   3.43637521065588  
2011-04-29 4.89480425026024   3.41062736021962  
2011-05-31 5.04115512498801   3.57179875459206  
2011-06-30 5.3503277520567   3.81206875808854  
2011-07-29 5.42496965934118   3.82019930449133  
2011-08-31 6.75122837180944   5.11095175061018  
2011-09-30 6.84634418450028   4.68831852521755  
2011-10-31 6.05515839539509   4.01878680390856  
2011-11-30 6.53995760069879   4.24431121818214  
2011-12-30 6.33434552748561   4.15559112077351  
2012-01-31 5.70928828158087   3.85459973600913  
2012-02-29 5.33490847175098   3.80114370520161  
2012-03-30 5.37403609249873   3.75743553343684  
2012-04-30 5.38119550782858   3.91407037181226  
2012-05-31 5.86109397101384   4.26256828632616  
2012-06-29 5.79267347095032   4.24860079202893  
2012-07-31 5.87794053904916   4.10026247259039  
2012-08-31 5.69416190819523   4.16761212907391  
2012-09-28 5.5476911767617   3.96244043750308  
2012-10-31 5.49088784138084   3.8331065872443  
2012-11-30 5.60407425671063   3.83601469037822  
2012-12-31 5.49233823127293   3.84047115766707  
2013-01-31 5.28405064001766   3.71937944101957  
2013-02-28 5.32035062291634   3.861849518314  
2013-03-28 5.13598413524542   3.72611153995014  
2013-04-30 5.0383598162799   3.78662384641244  
2013-05-31 4.86938408394411   3.62152863963582  
2013-06-28 4.9769299524155   3.58700717220769  
2013-07-31 4.82136502220599   3.33340038812367  
2013-08-30 4.92173338649918   3.40972662819095  
2013-09-30 4.9932912216694   3.4562389124408  
2013-10-31 4.90185285194628   3.43042130481635  
2013-11-22   4.91637778364698   3.49995576462803
2013-11-29   4.91489145822393   3.51823397177957
2013-12-06   4.89817100430771   3.52459276910555
2013-12-13   4.87633132064758   3.51926546943906
2013-12-20   4.86250334679012   3.46052304917047
2013-12-27   4.83980360603194   3.39837080463852
2014-01-03   4.83926207860685   3.36962879124066
2014-01-10   4.77494501917518   3.34135203327447
2014-01-17   4.73975072568043   3.3524914539517
2014-01-24   4.73646798787304   3.33811266672592
2014-01-31   4.77016827236739   3.37325313687265
2014-02-07   4.76437119002641   3.36645353532583
2014-02-14   4.73872926184662   3.42315964086771
2014-02-21   4.71526742302429   3.43704694172964
2014-02-28   4.70979052611215   3.32352411407987
2014-03-07   4.70453342901222   3.31890602292125
2014-03-14   4.68132546123847   3.32047207715588
2014-03-21   4.64860397499193   3.30609210897079
2014-03-28   4.65233932128799   3.3187880657679
2014-04-04   4.71830446491942   3.37557489583033
2014-04-11   4.69698195730859   3.40917412257506
2014-04-17   4.71840205394015   3.40264500562951
2014-04-25   4.75595087556828   3.45350745879057
2014-05-02   4.73882504563956   3.40738497428832
2014-05-09   4.73296931694963   3.37252531166816
2014-05-16   4.69847111631524   3.38038639083675
2014-05-23   4.706252086923   3.38948227715568
2014-05-30   4.71765350547339   3.38995151133101
2014-06-06   4.6995774433724   3.40024991588999
2014-06-13   4.68582056857851   3.40250785908654
2014-06-20   4.6901188430303   3.38909477375372
2014-06-27   4.68084523433063   3.37139239803294
2014-07-03   4.66633452261199   3.38307288607895
2014-07-11   4.65857597067141   3.41784123114314
2014-07-18   4.6659170994457   3.41566751268603
2014-07-25   4.67109311730194   3.42556658674084
2014-08-01   4.74805780968992   3.49879613949364
2014-08-08   4.76257888201742   3.5583365069534
2014-08-15   4.80261064709441   3.63192707714925
2014-08-22   4.79454545842564   3.60877405954633
2014-08-29   4.75837697480166   3.57570601648156
2014-09-05   4.76726830882043   3.57521551140782
2014-09-12   4.81951602406893   3.62895900793567
2014-09-19   4.82183648754252   3.63256938129911
2014-09-26   4.90198628546893   3.71275918533139
2014-10-03   4.9731622277328   3.75530829164795
2014-10-10   4.98611463225786   3.78239737586072
2014-10-17   5.14012253202681   3.92146477437829
2014-10-24   5.08514834895335   3.8370866843996
2014-10-31   4.99933234616711   3.73780065651997
2014-11-07   5.01100684904652   3.70667733646381
2014-11-14   4.99526248182246   3.69454860804504
2014-11-21   5.00529508118267   3.6769910383602
2014-11-28   5.03232370180273   3.66995726094642
2014-12-05   5.1397457541618   3.69046140810833
2014-12-12   5.40528299362656   3.91427253842378
2014-12-19   5.51980796490439   3.94950852225728
2014-12-26   5.44830160805005   3.89882720993366
2015-01-02   5.44314434282006   3.88988542000737
2015-01-09   5.44088050559043   3.91557037578101
2015-01-16   5.45126002574333   3.89341142942705
2015-01-23   5.44320950277286   3.87960284354776
2015-01-30   5.4717472745429   3.92504357694723
2015-02-06   5.41379114714461   3.85642696588578
2015-02-13   5.33495035928777   3.79452283581625
2015-02-20   5.27347491984475   3.74824947188234
2015-02-27   5.22462583955283   3.72837399567687
2015-03-06   5.18878600162185   3.67783499969861
2015-03-13   5.16095196059059   3.68595865959697
2015-03-20   5.21212271838608   3.7039294958199
2015-03-27   5.21040576976154   3.6691098112641
2015-04-02   5.17689192920751   3.66188919704314
2015-04-10   5.12256794459723   3.58180059569194
2015-04-17   5.13622103857814   3.56328005594519
2015-04-24   5.11367740105739   3.56036280375722
2015-05-01   5.11800049041236   3.54895259745194
2015-05-08   5.09496299151701   3.56703795884056
2015-05-15   5.11173556438909   3.59520708059008
2015-05-22   5.12971847695507   3.56732242752164
2015-05-29   5.1385489287563   3.56770722014389
2015-06-05   5.22301671682687   3.58179778740348
2015-06-12   5.27686504688179   3.60793647410906
2015-06-19   5.30869653296769   3.6407188188135
2015-06-26   5.30953444734911   3.62499974273843
2015-07-02   5.35425665665574   3.62705513977472
2015-07-10   5.34092405702112   3.59355667538143
2015-07-17   5.29604279216756   3.54833725048025
2015-07-24   5.31247385220175   3.55294625765034
2015-07-31   5.36280463313124   3.58223070627914
2015-08-07   5.38387359994463   3.62467401701779
2015-08-14   5.41219695306286   3.68227449478734
2015-08-21   5.48304764794247   3.7089818819675
2015-08-28   5.56034620713565   3.73547202340285
2015-09-04   5.41201615980203   3.71974308819793
2015-09-11   5.42393013716328   3.69412111882769
2015-09-18   5.44558999930486   3.67578138345503
2015-09-25   5.52181476700323   3.7020468467027
2015-10-02   5.74736441251477   3.7814524235744
2015-10-09   5.75407152664045   3.7708172595384
2015-10-16   5.78555008004803   3.78068402704747
2015-10-23   5.76314916952293   3.7813489849771
2015-10-30   5.76807599065604   3.84873772418925
2015-11-06   5.77125800121641   3.81105380168687
2015-11-13   5.89956008310185   3.89986672118246
2015-11-20   6.07562302612588   3.94775121742508
2015-11-27   6.11454532437702   3.91666031917897
2015-12-04   6.20790434894555   3.87448434390473
2015-12-11   6.66078696304955   3.95863275027327
2015-12-18   7.00450487581199   4.02301498263567
2015-12-24   7.07631577811547   4.04999667361663
2015-12-31   7.07805136792277   4.03275706474643
2016-01-08   7.11676407939582   4.00644001367358
2016-01-15   7.2210975604736   4.03359478177958
2016-01-22   7.46337768524091   4.14091382690796
2016-01-29   7.42678670089386   4.14373685793356
2016-02-05   7.45999483429677   4.11214555773313
2016-02-12   7.71024442831311   4.26279275637569
2016-02-19   7.5240639280762   4.26707335543469
2016-02-26   7.50770241798086   4.24014746092948
2016-03-04   7.24520009893011   4.11303023510059
2016-03-11   6.95079647832345   3.97372927972425
2016-03-18   6.56339300174208   3.76342887181848
2016-03-24   6.50421022315242   3.78112959129545
2016-04-01   6.28089057388705   3.80515300854348
2016-04-08   6.20216637155657   3.73085005738116
2016-04-15   5.80787741744995   3.690519534833
2016-04-22   5.59908323159387   3.61692564314733
2016-04-29   5.52139347464069   3.60326241722237
2016-05-06   5.49952765042342   3.64283150155244
2016-05-13   5.46322213305495   3.65015830375734
2016-05-20   5.41681587934615   3.62108273361469
2016-05-27   5.33203362292375   3.57969950310109
2016-06-03   5.33630456818927   3.57047494826849
2016-06-10   5.2893665721734   3.60896516723463
2016-06-17   5.29490836136151   3.64507632982754
2016-06-24   5.34496110020322   3.64104107937441
2016-07-01   5.37963599435492   3.6516620150831
2016-07-08   5.33862198970846   3.62224721849152
2016-07-15   5.23473772354749   3.54090099024028
2016-07-22   5.14703681266651   3.48375055175672
2016-07-29   5.12163925234107   3.4487599093137
2016-08-05   5.09830271884235   3.46955660840227
2016-08-12   5.07211100901761   3.43932826921559
2016-08-19   5.13233801903715   3.44403937587897
2016-08-26   5.09757265285631   3.45441185579766
2016-09-02   5.04271659750334   3.42611597088864
2016-09-09   5.00157512777542   3.38567964898607
2016-09-16   5.00055027680326   3.36698596480488
2016-09-23   4.88504562421038   3.34908471542541
2016-09-30   4.88306837659863   3.34111843067678
2016-10-07   4.84030645117753   3.27493098141671
2016-10-14   4.86098316510816   3.27357158959381
2016-10-21   4.80530747023467   3.20248959643703
2016-10-28   4.77981780318977   3.19305339427132
2016-11-04   4.79701673867684   3.24851839970379
2016-11-10   4.79987437775647   3.27209881737001
2016-11-18   4.76775100252788   3.21853842737824
2016-11-25   4.74923311008474   3.20983696957339
2016-12-02   4.68170235078925   3.20028216033608
2016-12-09   4.59316229521329   3.09443007766811
2016-12-16   4.54333726114963   3.06594440963085
2016-12-23   4.59501723022806   3.07159749764825
2016-12-30   4.64336752809592   3.03577630657698
2017-01-06   4.56763913172123   3.01991974131742
2017-01-13   4.53657423317396   3.03011585809734
2017-01-20   4.55613459131796   3.05640018164289
2017-01-27   4.53502088905104   3.08667360182461
2017-02-03   4.50386572010133   3.06061959213651
2017-02-10   4.50864842346537   3.00743841833436
2017-02-17   4.44817748548348   2.95155920637098
2017-02-24   4.38856087782047   2.93218927897703
2017-03-03   4.34229959348746   2.88409623161945
2017-03-10   4.34439197323899   2.86958767103107
2017-03-17   4.32180828144712   2.85235146975824
2017-03-24   4.31639611186715   2.93696817826241
2017-03-31   4.25067399712789   2.90972981608549
2017-04-07   4.1548281469157   2.87888211801366
2017-04-13   4.11561365233479   2.85045098102648
2017-04-21   4.12901079481905   2.8327897612187
2017-04-28   4.12658447576905   2.81799604975454
2017-05-05   4.15789586631832   2.88118683586918
2017-05-12   4.13028738552222   2.88242432899756
2017-05-19   4.11115061258223   2.88877368930913
2017-05-26   4.03856830223847   2.88590368291577
2017-06-02   4.05462319439513   2.8659693763501
2017-06-09   4.03421705795138   2.86923816833126
2017-06-16   4.03666158594686   2.88012744812461
2017-06-23   4.07046880118707   2.8640374354623
2017-06-30   4.07836583024533   2.83919819967175
2017-07-07   4.0692808983178   2.83318329855319
2017-07-14   4.09480046963445   2.83288055949895
2017-07-21   4.09006272411951   2.80431436364773
2017-07-28   4.03022575240947   2.78096381744228
2017-08-04   4.03237919747284   2.75204425907666
2017-08-11   4.05640957124301   2.79943796474621
2017-08-18   4.06605176579403   2.7788642606794
2017-08-25   4.07179922383678   2.82070245102456
2017-09-01   4.05934413260524   2.85221006787829
2017-09-08   4.02195779086437   2.87263476250438
2017-09-15   4.01712607300918   2.89065377092883
2017-09-22   4.02240181940972   2.82480844370843
2017-09-29   4.01261108997878   2.71581802737161
2017-10-06   3.9801376016454   2.66825916590503
2017-10-13   3.94523593474567   2.66621357451677
2017-10-20   3.92501865446377   2.65054248736078
2017-10-27   3.94470887194254   2.65176796405097
2017-11-03   3.9658747221224   2.62679979211548
2017-11-10   3.98252891261967   2.62230662993716
2017-11-17   3.96101265071187   2.6463455345622
2017-11-24   3.95486511783194   2.6371524972503
2017-12-01   3.94824207720089   2.62863821380309
2017-12-08   3.94398250686086   2.60784429609643
2017-12-15   3.99904960207814   2.62225817366873
2017-12-22   3.91151776618421   2.62741150957061
2017-12-29   3.88619959269827   2.5949562196173
2018-01-05   3.87332191330704   2.55285062697653
2018-01-12   3.80788949014598   2.54363231733713
2018-01-19   3.77164134032746   2.5240891062831
2018-01-26   3.73386001489898   2.49594761567828
2018-02-02   3.70233791053562   2.438156129872
2018-02-09   3.74160329369141   2.4811853576384
2018-02-16   3.73065385882746   2.48637425328456
2018-02-23   3.72776746538791   2.50238264142974
2018-03-02   3.72263611801141   2.51309855397887
2018-03-09   3.72171718220192   2.50958072842874
2018-03-16   3.70461834383821   2.49426911033018
2018-03-23   3.72231576950643   2.49018121201369
2018-03-30   3.7230251951681   2.49285152442253
2018-04-06   3.71612127233982   2.49498620311494
2018-04-13   3.68343738109994   2.48872275663687
2018-04-20   3.66087969758433   2.45645300543463
2018-04-27   3.66893774143854   2.43889424627615
2018-05-04   3.68427149296337   2.43984005471942
2018-05-11   3.67930851146035   2.44477163013841
2018-05-18   3.67525845981945   2.46968335228819
2018-05-25   3.69176526211537   2.49195051030461
2018-06-01   3.72332340675616   2.48448039124568
2018-06-08   3.71382500681671   2.48614320452861
2018-06-15   3.72550947235705   2.49076377997511
2018-06-22   3.74568864270355   2.51663685834703
2018-06-29   3.76364651933181   2.55210342907046
2018-07-06   3.75000831557254   2.53111125673911
2018-07-13   3.75643716619156   2.54117486170418
2018-07-20   3.74809617253688   2.53204466005412
2018-07-27   3.75741714589224   2.51411306037712
2018-08-03   3.7528377908275   2.49816219761235
2018-08-10   3.76716622391631   2.51615723593393
2018-08-17   3.77435918226536   2.53300423077876
2018-08-24   3.80714169508916   2.48288833624394
2018-08-31   3.82743274272498   2.49270627312086
2018-09-07   3.81910810361591   2.49455194580355
2018-09-14   3.80641608895297   2.49930274201197
2018-09-21   3.77814271293329   2.48123153109327
2018-09-28   3.73482378128511   2.48072328864636
2018-10-05   3.72656245199978   2.47629985708589
2018-10-12   3.74729595553431   2.48655197238986
2018-10-19   3.74860505844252   2.48924037858587
2018-10-26   3.78971638505862   2.53710607340934
2018-11-02   3.84271285629863   2.58085479276245
2018-11-09   3.85503672675878   2.61467685919488
2018-11-16   3.95101152350418   2.68142568527006
2018-11-23   4.07374660613147   2.75960544817044
2018-11-30   4.17985958317769   2.8844288545427
2018-12-07   4.33434796085598   3.00907876399125
2018-12-14   4.50954585344991   3.15063351363666
2018-12-21   4.83257332265705   3.37317030509131
2018-12-28   4.94122329206996   3.46286007388947
2019-01-04   4.73375437365023   3.18090595633502
2019-01-11   4.486701419743   2.91121215889692
2019-01-18   4.47568672444736   2.83841603241475
2019-01-25   4.52734440887592   2.88150270351691
2019-02-01   4.54293545312963   2.88767136943739
2019-02-08   4.49250267781263   2.86281477648882
2019-02-15   4.44073466160228   2.8307858305961
2019-02-22   4.33191831622411   2.76026964519274
2019-03-01   4.23652832588994   2.68540522830284
2019-03-08   4.32283200278578   2.74664667090451
2019-03-15   4.31454877947418   2.73489610017568
2019-03-22   4.39741989864395   2.78664899792143
2019-03-29   4.45584150984744   2.87707104056228
2019-04-05   4.3159451260146   2.79292197190798
2019-04-12   4.25748716810827   2.74187611393584
2019-04-18   4.21402891775767   2.72785890714153
2019-04-26   4.18071902345997   2.69829143982099
2019-05-03   4.12750529430217   2.68315197273811
2019-05-10   4.20079036003462   2.68093889112379
2019-05-17   4.16356959802504   2.6819717156539
2019-05-24   4.21900172474993   2.68168053966785
2019-05-31   4.29964475758305   2.67587446689644
2019-06-07   4.30494313300387   2.66533403033834
2019-06-14   4.31331840903089   2.65367033083029
2019-06-21   4.31387927868547   2.66336916643676
2019-06-28   4.36415151101045   2.69929692833618
2019-07-05   4.35510858855109   2.69134857200558
2019-07-12   4.31907074668464   2.67279730917817
2019-07-19   4.30248306660984   2.65404417360417
2019-07-26   4.30303544647292   2.64709207709244
2019-08-02   4.30448715064339   2.72991332569066
2019-08-09   4.40934930713279   2.77004863224085
2019-08-16   4.50301207882155   2.80149663781179
2019-08-23   4.50999689810473   2.78083811908707
2019-08-30   4.46482146949076   2.8023572997496
2019-09-06   4.41971703517452   2.7415976790562
2019-09-13   4.34678088478722   2.66964922942204
2019-09-20   4.34022412526567   2.68027481859003
2019-09-27   4.32556151233034   2.67485256251625
2019-10-04   4.43294388971371   2.70441032347559
2019-10-11   4.58654495197368   2.74495028993093
2019-10-18   4.61878118929424   2.72144214325561
2019-10-25   4.63462952825916   2.71363575461445
2019-11-01   4.68316808948193   2.74595379782876
2019-11-08   4.67717900387977   2.75194374316822
2019-11-15   4.6150340620581   2.74513217561298
2019-11-22   4.66984659554786   2.75398635634921
2019-11-29   4.65818411628064   2.74263674496092
2019-12-06   4.54771273848953   2.71077821761063
2019-12-13   4.3637871257466   2.65641442555315
2019-12-20   4.24240182668674   2.64070995018315
2019-12-27   4.24130141056805   2.63801445965637
2020-01-03   4.23049444983206   2.62167247877522
2020-01-10   4.14029626872452   2.57931937654344
2020-01-17   4.10710221026255   2.57207486014564
2020-01-24   4.11279807013901   2.60142240124387
2020-01-31   4.19191771317293   2.62787380461248
2020-02-07   4.21811346555717   2.67868462426466
2020-02-14   4.21048702983462   2.69448073971834
2020-02-21   4.18981138242357   2.71089339469687
2020-02-28   4.58138557621447   3.03880080837431
2020-03-06   4.85477584715005   3.24309169306511
2020-03-13   6.39315211391352   4.75030012561186
2020-03-20   9.68739260092734   7.8806042671714
2020-03-27   9.0306529225545   6.1461346295332
2020-04-03   8.15259801651325   5.04829592148126
2020-04-09   7.30657588339548   4.26438475790934
2020-04-17   6.7360976048753   3.94069489976242
2020-04-24   6.91374564901344   4.12101405085405
2020-05-01   6.8824849427713   4.13917110058719
2020-05-08   6.55861011568805   4.05176174730315
2020-05-15   6.51186157473642   4.03392645967781
2020-05-22   6.15929618127385   3.70510790351894
2020-05-29   5.77001377931713   3.4344889145417
2020-06-05   5.4198791219675   3.2112860264866
2020-06-12   5.37102316454119   3.26416713949091
2020-06-19   5.21608940404011   3.13867739157079
2020-06-26   5.50974931325779   3.38152909811216
2020-07-03   5.39806282191817   3.35794001914109
2020-07-10   5.37437731397208   3.30091358378154
2020-07-17   5.20023680148142   3.19192136564217
2020-07-24   5.06954330950156   3.09475137870875
2020-07-31   5.0927880932399   3.12994566527787
2020-08-07   4.96005290443384   3.04927895220595
2020-08-14   4.86108506468236   3.01750549807591
2020-08-21   4.88126190230468   3.08827145429687
2020-08-28   4.83104673379427   3.07060158005247
2020-09-04   4.65395937636892   2.90011528470132
2020-09-11   4.57862586580644   2.86677815659921
2020-09-18   4.55619295794674   2.8817746529005
2020-09-25   4.74111097556897   3.05841006383966
2020-10-02   4.74973729390598   3.09762905126333
2020-10-09   4.63216027105228   3.00536761563756
2020-10-16   4.66633821543806   3.0363007477585
2020-10-23   4.82556847697998   3.06605226056402
2020-10-30   5.00410486151849   3.21763676843888
2020-11-06   4.80846502420817   3.05705969400357
2020-11-13   4.67376752764658   2.98700829582721
2020-11-20   4.66943570140276   3.02083782874059
2020-11-27   4.60730508698756   2.98489617363073
2020-12-04   4.49988024170091   2.89999632245025
2020-12-11   4.46126169486212   2.86494857960463
2020-12-18   4.39362491852663   2.80638031001718
2020-12-24   4.40935014394781   2.8127459954473
2020-12-31   4.38956255330549   2.79512899510646
2021-01-08   4.23329543415278   2.63397220424553
2021-01-15   4.15506644344309   2.64628839458702
2021-01-22   4.1603840947008   2.63271411742065
2021-01-29   4.22316097660908   2.69317560654646
2021-02-05   4.20291096662308   2.68301508442682
2021-02-12   4.13003648628249   2.70447106184269
2021-02-19   4.11652962039695   2.70891755513389
2021-02-26   4.13347853454002   2.6927847519463
2021-03-05   4.14089666271652   2.75376587820022
2021-03-12   4.15029675974803   2.77049424618101
2021-03-19   4.20770166320041   2.81491065354549
2021-03-26   4.2337836523724   2.84058371573269
2021-04-02   4.24216976821223   2.84234060257599
2021-04-09   4.16670358393048   2.79128932080083
2021-04-16   4.1595164342912   2.80930099144069
2021-04-23   4.18816945363116   2.77143980588233
2021-04-30   4.18242223783981   2.80354637622791
2021-05-07   4.18601516663148   2.81382373298497
2021-05-14   4.1895074229372   2.83972037729225
2021-05-21   4.16266527942296   2.81553035069414
2021-05-28   4.15102393126615   2.78910792195324
2021-06-04   4.13752526970911   2.81805168365214
2021-06-11   4.11886966406813   2.80114725876029
2021-06-18   4.14724738665526   2.85726846868376
2021-06-25   4.1674497136781   2.8846361124996
2021-07-02   4.16808501027835   2.89567726643191
2021-07-09   4.16252811661521   2.91082062412683
2021-07-16   4.15242194078449   2.85811178156657
2021-07-23   4.16536742244913   2.89548215307277
2021-07-30   4.21450427640906   2.92057529762784
2021-08-06   4.22990260207722   2.92647601377693
2021-08-13   4.22826319962781   3.08834455886038
2021-08-20   4.25221264339828   3.14229208727937
2021-08-27   4.23584489415241   3.11721155795411
2021-09-03   4.21437164838956   3.09462511718466
2021-09-10   4.18491760590191   3.07190748879936
2021-09-17   4.17651346154114   3.06541969655385
2021-09-24   4.17854494895039   3.06011664701043
2021-10-01   4.16983172948045   3.04855196484254
2021-10-08   4.18336936583397   3.04671880550561
2021-10-15   4.19600015243809   3.0466996965445
2021-10-22   4.18919880905461   3.05453607711811
2021-10-29   4.19674264218586   3.05898863205879
2021-11-05   4.17919091492711   3.05336404260009
2021-11-12   4.16570406060587   3.00451614957152
2021-11-19   4.16870972284368   3.00843875709851
2021-11-26   4.21072794923365   3.03842165372046
2021-12-03   4.28560225289367   3.08382558058027
2021-12-10   4.23950778343897   3.03051359434843
2021-12-17   4.22675301254695   3.0710875292918
2021-12-24   4.2198034931944   3.06022985306994
2021-12-31   4.28037633229866   3.08079993720851
2022-01-07   4.20642763486986   3.02483210270173
2022-01-14   4.1758813764982   2.99231002690423
2022-01-21   4.15720830018707   2.98513963099083
2022-01-28   4.23665026444295   3.03127961199681
2022-02-04   4.24434976129994   3.02785863506354
2022-02-11   4.29586119250583   3.05931500352623
2022-02-18   4.38417918616559   3.15982979231888
2022-02-25   4.46171519927789   3.22983846236946
2022-03-04   4.4537746867728   3.24193603990983
2022-03-11   4.77329785913411   3.50053771599677
2022-03-18   4.72174089781076   3.45360981464082
2022-03-25   4.5823469600073   3.33856216149833
2022-04-01   4.4331048380424   3.17536127110806
2022-04-08   4.19868280571032   3.01087177887668
2022-04-15   4.19981310817067   3.04871794483991
2022-04-22   4.21455467588161   3.01962953336435
2022-04-29   4.32392627002777   3.10274658464665
2022-05-06   4.45370498776753   3.23516224867446
2022-05-13   4.94292401350464   3.63349524195021
2022-05-20   5.09464865352738   3.72478381912594
2022-05-27   5.16713692006923   3.71841676120812
2022-06-03   4.96190902249778   3.48545036412118
2022-06-10   4.99038255375087   3.50535567368182
2022-06-17   5.38973078105364   3.83324796891127
2022-06-24   5.49972919392619   3.88932235681221
2022-07-01   5.87024843598552   4.16697621333022
2022-07-08   5.91197235877488   4.1931917061723
2022-07-15   5.84341300636366   4.13883942268278
2022-07-22   5.4138681662434   3.720255810389
2022-07-29   5.3657848919672   3.68371104373575
2022-08-05   5.18497258754535   3.49514018477731
2022-08-12   4.89893499237146   3.29749471391827
2022-08-19   4.98887241789133   3.33027462506864
2022-08-26   5.07694673634835   3.41590090858603
2022-09-02   5.23012890770867   3.47741643573316
2022-09-09   5.20813916105857   3.45706476697873
2022-09-16   5.29260414352571   3.4951882831456
2022-09-23   5.58069895713423   3.59514583215458
2022-09-30   5.95424627704004   3.8044689405769
2022-10-07   5.74787332032119   3.64247625709545
2022-10-14   5.91973992825147   3.6632204178041
2022-10-21   5.91555830600449   3.57145685899135
2022-10-28   5.9393160349981   3.55280821962995
2022-11-04   5.77744999132781   3.4684290570924
2022-11-11   5.65463490200775   3.43584534830288
2022-11-18   5.51877624984427   3.40342637810754
2022-11-25   5.53338512141118   3.41009529146504
2022-12-02   5.48187975284611   3.39905781322169
2022-12-09   5.49547200452299   3.39380985857368
2022-12-16   5.50482737446216   3.36601559915847
2022-12-23   5.45820522247659   3.37067928051912
2022-12-30   5.47131763392736   3.38462776604
2023-01-06   5.32532752746079   3.24028168773051
2023-01-13   5.0935681262709   3.10548972862594
2023-01-20   5.03228265237015   3.11398051722137
2023-01-27   4.91538780153413   3.08770211990513
2023-02-03   4.88783981636924   3.07568037144501
2023-02-10   4.80035578601994   3.08251777170337
2023-02-17   4.87803879409925   3.2642159953622
2023-02-24   5.0024355210421   3.32613083005194
2023-03-03   4.98220101336694   3.31908353110109
2023-03-10   5.02067218864067   3.41226325980725
2023-03-17   5.4284592280188   3.69312459188341
2023-03-24   5.46015865454741   3.41076956816121
2023-03-31   5.16159891946793   3.29848853008191
2023-04-07   5.10177038801146   3.2840999216597
2023-04-14   5.05150348255803   3.25970723977671
2023-04-21   4.97136536961754   3.27240854456264
2023-04-28   4.9648964189216   3.26087304478011
2023-05-05   5.0727824278723   3.31235367463578
2023-05-12   5.12192944492827   3.37095675952783
2023-05-19   5.14241091334059   3.39199445765739
2023-05-26   5.2714715506019   3.44621535151174
2023-06-02   5.25038727865748   3.44261557540231
2023-06-09   5.08601839192266   3.35070698269619
2023-06-16   4.96360494202584   3.29029499365745
2023-06-23   4.97692064563626   3.30342416330775
2023-06-30   4.81836912018537   3.209455621531
2023-07-07   4.72801127303233   3.16413316959267
2023-07-14   4.5892874041397   3.10757318770804
2023-07-21   4.65031936637405   3.12319738642292
2023-07-28   4.65130846202699   3.11844380406022
2023-08-04   4.72433331333539   3.13965908365023
2023-08-11   4.72097852024232   3.13169296626439
2023-08-18   4.7814995714259   3.13032972809667
2023-08-25   4.77112294713473   3.12093251651773
2023-09-01   4.69536558497596   3.1151301188841
2023-09-08   4.62774780915257   3.11556673686872
2023-09-15   4.49944612308881   3.07473169331102
2023-09-22   4.4967756645971   3.08696070338685
2023-09-29   4.60099862594902   3.13128052544342
2023-10-06   4.73394830616631   3.22947469018209
2023-10-13   4.67568454991729   3.19381949405343
2023-10-20   4.74705725397444   3.20905057758238
2023-10-27   4.84919564590059   3.24798127953383
2023-11-03   4.84012543959042   3.19086442921904
2023-11-10   4.76369295147738   3.22054538305418
2023-11-17   4.72722606361623   3.18016603287138
2023-11-24   4.74204387278806   3.19989109637263
2023-12-01   4.74406733966552   3.1995421987107
2023-12-08   4.67626386939788   3.17545726284641
2023-12-15   4.55542998749156   3.10902273128329
2023-12-22   4.52372242713245   3.08300588570076
2023-12-29   4.46379606304717   3.04439116184219
2024-01-05   4.44416393781167   3.03849446510619
2024-01-12   4.42998849305406   3.03175535872249
2024-01-19   4.46649593961854   3.02229752126663
2024-01-26   4.47676959603577   3.03487327327727
2024-02-02   4.44661255026788   3.0877437451045
2024-02-09   4.42857341517991   3.09455673046814
2024-02-16   4.40104041488779   3.07316340802546
2024-02-23   4.38169992657429   3.05854411401054
2024-03-01   4.36360045800961   3.01175741777971
2024-03-08   4.3141197585875   3.02985455018771
2024-03-15   4.25289487855915   3.00819667535299
2024-03-22   4.26749124644629   3.02781447638552
2024-03-29   4.27157503265625   2.96854851157396
2024-04-05   4.25975421987518   2.94220870584076
2024-04-12   4.33952504897737   2.94106228848252
2024-04-19   4.36381603173792   2.94803820354432
2024-04-26   4.30378908436083   2.92353809018166
2024-05-03   4.28359194153597   2.90295964206167
2024-05-10   4.21385733162228   2.89975419762436
2024-05-17   4.202134004268   2.89884121041725
2024-05-24   4.20374688373111   2.87768734509637
2024-05-31   4.2014676745876   2.86866968575059
2024-06-07   4.18833704485273   2.87085759198522
2024-06-14   4.22743258223545   2.90796587831294
2024-06-21   4.25467681544396   2.84321508081804
2024-06-28   4.23592779225434   2.81915312820015
2024-07-05   4.22286030618708   2.81326997732665
2024-07-12   4.2069198722959   2.80832055676732
2024-07-19   4.17674094806602   2.79052867527271
2024-07-26   4.1827477531041   2.78396456822947
2024-08-02   4.2396981103713   2.80798921870207
2024-08-09   4.24467641104815   2.79602373708319
2024-08-16   4.17782099737817   2.78553728885875
2024-08-23   4.11230286931712   2.69557353911778
2024-08-30   4.12325499090734   2.67816594309273
2024-09-06   4.14164499740827   2.68989930353821
2024-09-13   4.15218482459485   2.69963017265512
2024-09-20   4.13097668955865   2.69536930835065
2024-09-27   4.13593101687655   2.7163125482196
2024-10-04   4.10375104135303   2.70260586703339
2024-10-11   4.05404990643135   2.69069439589513
2024-10-18   4.00724888648943   2.69169124302654
2024-10-25   4.01146501243722   2.68954904037111
2024-11-01   4.03315331499767   2.70684771571673
2024-11-08   3.98731019977159   2.67493040566281
2024-11-15   3.91870933942233   2.65088199404798
2024-11-22   3.88537377176416   2.5881559089506
2024-11-29   3.86873984259593   2.57766968556317
2024-12-06   3.85233899165915   2.58208721431771
2024-12-13   3.8388008719629   2.55527206439055
2024-12-20   3.88629460234016   2.61474894462608
2024-12-27   3.86974965613866   2.58955104982756
2025-01-03   3.84603074574195   2.5547603266432
2025-01-10   3.86217179617611   2.5470767475489
2025-01-17   3.88355928451076   2.52729558357672
2025-01-24   3.86760435720279   2.53036601892401
2025-01-31   3.87116541656956   2.47806543076873
2025-02-07   3.81913867893667   2.48913614322055
2025-02-14   3.81995753909982   2.47439149610879
2025-02-21   3.80818117937534   2.46748832636148
2025-02-28   3.85366764019206   2.47149164743871
2025-03-07   3.92218177711249   2.56162094190912
2025-03-14   4.02112992798041   2.6055623019941
2025-03-21   4.04005269905427   2.60225771711133
2025-03-28   4.01241391290956   2.57599591729042
2025-04-04   4.44003489329235   2.84840210850713
2025-04-11   4.49456995911895   2.91976184848826
2025-04-18   4.4069086964613   2.86740404441381
2025-04-25   4.19464462576726   2.76728714338179
2025-05-02   4.14491908034956   2.75395434622603
2025-05-09   4.08445506853632   2.71035115648258
2025-05-16   3.95657976483579   2.59583220253553
2025-05-23   3.99288291599949   2.5777813017595
2025-05-30   3.96622782304022   2.56644820179043
2025-06-06   3.96896004616704   2.55342646096036
2025-06-13   3.99237606381003   2.56732486905654
2025-06-20   3.9840021964037   2.57757236121635
2025-06-27   3.90810280634967   2.39637425578523
2025-07-04   3.83394645169307   2.38137852323914
2025-07-11   3.79568395394525   2.35822496791222
2025-07-18   3.73082820879254   2.34450193396479
2025-07-25   3.74365903559204   2.373383806744
2025-08-01   3.7597305244027   2.4364372609829
2025-08-08   3.70420056075288   2.42716456687066
2025-08-15   3.70786680274946   2.39582682531158
2025-08-22   3.6599242730762   2.35239009897182
2025-08-29   3.64037685215986   2.31359635735986
2025-09-05   3.62160072610737   2.29717030311954
2025-09-12   3.60463191795389   2.29440591770478
2025-09-19   3.60682744599197   2.28904255568929
2025-09-26   3.61418898989969   2.29210596641817
2025-10-03   3.63739019421403   2.29576833032156
2025-10-10   3.73921831408034   2.32326446174562
2025-10-17   3.74668086836262   2.31560357004238

Note: The data show secondary-market discounted spreads to maturity. Spreads are the constant spread used to equate discounted loan cash flows to the current market price. B-rated spreads begin in July 1997. The black dashed line represents the data transitioning from monthly to weekly in November 2013.

Source: PitchBook Data, Leveraged Commentary & Data.

Figure 1.11. Treasury market depth recovered from April's low levels

This is a line chart showing a 5-day moving average of Treasury market depth from Jan-uary 2019 through October 2025. The chart uses dual y-axes, both measured in millions of dollars: the left scale ranges from 0 to 35 for the 30-year Treasury (blue line), and the right scale ranges from 0 to 350 for both the 5-year Treasury (thin black line) and 10-year Treasury (thick burgundy line). All three series show significant volatility through-out the period. Market depth was generally higher in early 2019, with the 5-year Treas-ury reaching around 250-300 million dollars and the 30-year around 25-30 million dol-lars. A sharp decline occurred across all maturities in early 2020, with depths dropping to approximately 50 million dollars for 5-year and 10-year Treasuries, and about 5 mil-lion dollars for 30-year Treasuries. After recovering somewhat, market depths declined again in 2022-2023 before beginning to recover. The chart shows a notable drop in April 2025 across all maturities, followed by a recovery throughout the rest of the year. The last data through October 23, 2025, show the 5-year at approximately 75 million dollars, the 10-year at about 150 million dollars, and the 30-year at around 15 million dollars.

Note: Market depth is defined as the average top 3 bid and ask quote sizes for on-the-run Treasury securities.

Source: Inter Dealer Broker Community.

Figure 1.12. While 2-year on-the-run Treasury market depth remained close to historical lows, 10-year market depth rose to levels last seen in 2021

This is a line chart showing 5-day moving average market depth for two Treasury matur-ities from September 2019 through October 2025. The chart uses dual y-axes, both measured in millions of dollars: the left scale ranges from 0 to 60 for 10-year OTR mar-ket depth (thick blue line) and the right scale ranges from 0 to 300 for 2-year OTR mar-ket depth (thin black line). Both series show significant volatility with a sharp decline in early 2020, when 10-year market depth fell to around 5 million dollars and 2-year depth fell to around 20 million dollars. Both series recover throughout 2020, with volatility present in the trend upwards. There is a notable divergence in recovery patterns after a drop in late-2021: while 2-year Treasury market depth remained persistently low (gener-ally below 50 million dollars), the 10-year Treasury market depth recovered substantial-ly to nearly 200 million dollars in early 2025. After experiencing a significant drop to about 10 million dollars in April 2025, the 10-year market depth rebounded strongly to approximately 50 million dollars by the final data point on October 23, 2025. Mean-while, the 2-year market depth remained near historical lows at about 40-50 million dol-lars in October 2025.

Note: The data show the time-weighted average market depth at the best quoted prices to buy and sell, for 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes. OTR is on-the-run.

Source: BrokerTec; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.

Figure 1.13. A measure of liquidity in equity markets stayed below average

Market depth (number of contracts)

Date Close Depth
2019-01-02 28.0259259259259
2019-01-03 29.6592592592593
2019-01-04 34.6641975308642
2019-01-07 42.0740740740741
2019-01-08 49.9469135802469
2019-01-09 55.7481481481482
2019-01-10 63.9061728395062
2019-01-11 70.9197530864198
2019-01-14 77.4358024691358
2019-01-15 80.7851851851852
2019-01-16 87.4679012345679
2019-01-17 94.0444444444444
2019-01-18 95.3716049382716
2019-01-22 92.7074074074074
2019-01-23 90.8148148148148
2019-01-24 84.9666666666667
2019-01-25 82.8197530864198
2019-01-28 83.2925925925926
2019-01-29 87.4259259259259
2019-01-30 91.6876543209877
2019-01-31 100.62962962963
2019-02-01 101.575308641975
2019-02-04 107.238271604938
2019-02-05 112.927160493827
2019-02-06 116.696296296296
2019-02-07 113.676543209877
2019-02-08 113.453086419753
2019-02-11 110.040740740741
2019-02-12 115.088888888889
2019-02-13 117.918518518519
2019-02-14 116.955555555556
2019-02-15 120.154320987654
2019-02-19 130.606172839506
2019-02-20 124.932098765432
2019-02-21 122.804938271605
2019-02-22 131.672839506173
2019-02-25 138.524691358025
2019-02-26 134.449382716049
2019-02-27 137.77037037037
2019-02-28 139.243209876543
2019-03-01 145.174074074074
2019-03-04 139.423456790123
2019-03-05 138.443209876543
2019-03-06 135.295061728395
2019-03-07 127.244444444444
2019-03-08 106.09012345679
2019-03-11 116.882716049383
2019-03-12 117.260493827161
2019-03-13 123.002469135802
2019-03-14 131.22962962963
2019-03-15 146.745679012346
2019-03-18 146.406172839506
2019-03-19 149.267901234568
2019-03-20 139.781481481481
2019-03-21 145.992592592593
2019-03-22 135.262962962963
2019-03-25 118.696296296296
2019-03-26 113.066666666667
2019-03-27 110.855555555556
2019-03-28 98.9172839506173
2019-03-29 105.874074074074
2019-04-01 117.065432098765
2019-04-02 123.37037037037
2019-04-03 134.138271604938
2019-04-04 141.159259259259
2019-04-05 152.27037037037
2019-04-08 155.586419753086
2019-04-09 160.920987654321
2019-04-10 163.104938271605
2019-04-11 167.087654320988
2019-04-12 170.686419753086
2019-04-15 183.998765432099
2019-04-16 189.643209876543
2019-04-17 191.772839506173
2019-04-18 199.637037037037
2019-04-22 197.238271604938
2019-04-23 201.460493827161
2019-04-24 203.306172839506
2019-04-25 212.171604938272
2019-04-26 206.453086419753
2019-04-29 212.28024691358
2019-04-30 201.583950617284
2019-05-01 191.983950617284
2019-05-02 175.50987654321
2019-05-03 175.897530864198
2019-05-06 166.364197530864
2019-05-07 147.193827160494
2019-05-08 131.88024691358
2019-05-09 121.824691358025
2019-05-10 104.675308641975
2019-05-13 86.6975308641975
2019-05-14 90.1506172839506
2019-05-15 88.0901234567901
2019-05-16 96.9037037037037
2019-05-17 96.6172839506173
2019-05-20 98.2395061728395
2019-05-21 100.818518518519
2019-05-22 106.551851851852
2019-05-23 99.0271604938272
2019-05-24 102.355555555556
2019-05-28 106.774074074074
2019-05-29 104.330864197531
2019-05-30 107.141975308642
2019-05-31 117.075308641975
2019-06-03 114.301234567901
2019-06-04 119.040740740741
2019-06-05 114.83950617284
2019-06-06 112.376543209877
2019-06-07 112.038271604938
2019-06-10 123.404938271605
2019-06-11 120.279012345679
2019-06-12 127.492592592593
2019-06-13 129.633333333333
2019-06-14 120.750617283951
2019-06-17 121.91975308642
2019-06-18 122.835802469136
2019-06-19 119.850617283951
2019-06-20 121.469135802469
2019-06-21 127.259259259259
2019-06-24 127.771604938272
2019-06-25 130.764197530864
2019-06-26 134.223456790123
2019-06-27 134.127160493827
2019-06-28 141.317283950617
2019-07-01 141.97037037037
2019-07-02 144.33950617284
2019-07-03 149.125281803543
2019-07-05 151.267257112185
2019-07-08 154.47219538379
2019-07-09 159.919108964037
2019-07-10 164.145034889962
2019-07-11 164.91975308642
2019-07-12 179.664197530864
2019-07-15 186.417283950617
2019-07-16 185.374074074074
2019-07-17 188.240740740741
2019-07-18 191.341975308642
2019-07-19 178.230864197531
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2023-12-01 83.4950617283951
2023-12-04 87.1074074074074
2023-12-05 86.262962962963
2023-12-06 89.2358024691358
2023-12-07 92.3320987654321
2023-12-08 92.7259259259259
2023-12-11 91.3185185185185
2023-12-12 93.5888888888889
2023-12-13 94.4753086419753
2023-12-14 89.6592592592593
2023-12-15 86.6160493827161
2023-12-18 88.9382716049383
2023-12-19 91.8851851851852
2023-12-20 89.7135802469136
2023-12-21 84.8666666666667
2023-12-22 86.5098765432099
2023-12-26 80.2987654320988
2023-12-27 73.5358024691358
2023-12-28 70.3172839506173
2023-12-29 71.4358024691358
2024-01-02 71.1555555555556
2024-01-03 67.4925925925926
2024-01-04 63.2506172839506
2024-01-05 58.7123456790124
2024-01-08 62.158024691358
2024-01-09 63.7259259259259
2024-01-10 67.9024691358025
2024-01-11 66.2567901234568
2024-01-12 66.7345679012346
2024-01-16 62.3493827160494
2024-01-17 60.0320987654321
2024-01-18 56.7444444444445
2024-01-19 60.5074074074074
2024-01-22 60.0493827160494
2024-01-23 62.6358024691358
2024-01-24 62.258024691358
2024-01-25 60.9864197530864
2024-01-26 59.5641975308642
2024-01-29 63.1641975308642
2024-01-30 62.6716049382716
2024-01-31 61.8728395061728
2024-02-01 61.5604938271605
2024-02-02 60.6172839506173
2024-02-05 58.4740740740741
2024-02-06 56.7679012345679
2024-02-07 58.0938271604938
2024-02-08 62.9012345679012
2024-02-09 67.9518518518519
2024-02-12 71.4135802469136
2024-02-13 72.8666666666667
2024-02-14 72.1592592592593
2024-02-15 70.079012345679
2024-02-16 66.0469135802469
2024-02-20 60.2111111111111
2024-02-21 58.2691358024691
2024-02-22 57.9481481481482
2024-02-23 55.6493827160494
2024-02-26 55.8938271604938
2024-02-27 58.0691358024691
2024-02-28 60.4876543209877
2024-02-29 62.5765432098765
2024-03-01 69.8148148148148
2024-03-04 77.5975308641975
2024-03-05 78.1172839506173
2024-03-06 76.5493827160494
2024-03-07 78.620987654321
2024-03-08 68.4827160493827
2024-03-11 55.2086419753087
2024-03-12 51.9074074074074
2024-03-13 53.4716049382716
2024-03-14 47.7469135802469
2024-03-15 49.6271604938272
2024-03-18 53.5728395061728
2024-03-19 55.1024691358025
2024-03-20 52.7716049382716
2024-03-21 54.9802469135803
2024-03-22 58.1234567901235
2024-03-25 60.7358024691358
2024-03-26 66.2308641975309
2024-03-27 70.1148148148148
2024-03-28 74.3938271604938
2024-04-01 73.420987654321
2024-04-02 74.0506172839506
2024-04-03 69.5074074074074
2024-04-04 69.3049382716049
2024-04-05 61.2456790123457
2024-04-08 58.9543209876543
2024-04-09 54.1
2024-04-10 49.5049382716049
2024-04-11 43.8962962962963
2024-04-12 44.2382716049383
2024-04-15 41.8012345679012
2024-04-16 38.8246913580247
2024-04-17 37.8864197530864
2024-04-18 35.6098765432099
2024-04-19 32.9925925925926
2024-04-22 34.7061728395062
2024-04-23 36.520987654321
2024-04-24 38.9802469135802
2024-04-25 40.6135802469136
2024-04-26 45.8358024691358
2024-04-29 49.162962962963
2024-04-30 50.4148148148148
2024-05-01 49.1827160493827
2024-05-02 48.9160493827161
2024-05-03 46.7913580246914
2024-05-06 48.6
2024-05-07 53.1543209876543
2024-05-08 60.2617283950617
2024-05-09 68.6728395061728
2024-05-10 73.0962962962963
2024-05-13 76.0567901234568
2024-05-14 77.8333333333334
2024-05-15 80.5456790123457
2024-05-16 80.5395061728395
2024-05-17 85.0814814814815
2024-05-20 87.4148148148148
2024-05-21 93.437037037037
2024-05-22 92.9358024691358
2024-05-23 88.1925925925926
2024-05-24 84.2
2024-05-28 76.9074074074074
2024-05-29 69.2308641975309
2024-05-30 63.9901234567901
2024-05-31 65.620987654321
2024-06-03 61.2160493827161
2024-06-04 58.9518518518519
2024-06-05 57.7234567901235
2024-06-06 57.9049382716049
2024-06-07 53.8123456790124
2024-06-10 57.3135802469136
2024-06-11 60.0012345679012
2024-06-12 58.5246913580247
2024-06-13 57.5728395061729
2024-06-14 57.3851851851852
2024-06-17 55.2975308641975
2024-06-18 55.1185185185185
2024-06-20 55.2283950617284
2024-06-21 54.3493827160494
2024-06-24 55.0123456790124
2024-06-25 55.2
2024-06-26 51.937037037037
2024-06-27 51.9148148148148
2024-06-28 51.9530864197531
2024-07-01 53.5358024691358
2024-07-02 55.3271604938272
2024-07-03 58.8256307031669
2024-07-05 60.5280998389694
2024-07-08 63.9429146537842
2024-07-09 67.2564949006978
2024-07-10 72.7169887278583
2024-07-11 70.7271604938272
2024-07-12 70.7160493827161
2024-07-15 68.5160493827161
2024-07-16 64.8703703703704
2024-07-17 58.0432098765432
2024-07-18 55.8222222222222
2024-07-19 50.3185185185185
2024-07-22 48.3148148148148
2024-07-23 46.4271604938272
2024-07-24 44.7283950617284
2024-07-25 42.4320987654321
2024-07-26 41.5851851851852
2024-07-29 40.1123456790123
2024-07-30 38.5777777777778
2024-07-31 35.341975308642
2024-08-01 34.3765432098765
2024-08-02 32.637037037037
2024-08-05 26.9592592592593
2024-08-06 22.5407407407407
2024-08-07 19.0938271604938
2024-08-08 17.7530864197531
2024-08-09 17.4407407407407
2024-08-12 19.937037037037
2024-08-13 24.2987654320988
2024-08-14 26.7234567901235
2024-08-15 32.0827160493827
2024-08-16 36.4827160493827
2024-08-19 41.8691358024691
2024-08-20 43.0888888888889
2024-08-21 43.3617283950617
2024-08-22 40.7679012345679
2024-08-23 37.4888888888889
2024-08-26 35.3333333333333
2024-08-27 35.1987654320988
2024-08-28 35.8654320987654
2024-08-29 35.0691358024691
2024-08-30 36.8740740740741
2024-09-03 35.6543209876543
2024-09-04 33.2555555555556
2024-09-05 32.9061728395062
2024-09-06 31.6296296296296
2024-09-09 32.5111111111111
2024-09-10 34.0753086419753
2024-09-11 34.1061728395062
2024-09-12 34.7320987654321
2024-09-13 36.6740740740741
2024-09-16 34.1308641975309
2024-09-17 31.6530864197531
2024-09-18 31.279012345679
2024-09-19 30.7185185185185
2024-09-20 31.9518518518519
2024-09-23 33.6604938271605
2024-09-24 36.5641975308642
2024-09-25 39.1654320987654
2024-09-26 40.8320987654321
2024-09-27 42.4555555555556
2024-09-30 42.5135802469136
2024-10-01 38.3679012345679
2024-10-02 37.2283950617284
2024-10-03 34.1913580246914
2024-10-04 30.7456790123457
2024-10-07 30.7901234567901
2024-10-08 34.1074074074074
2024-10-09 35.9814814814815
2024-10-10 38.2987654320988
2024-10-11 42.4012345679012
2024-10-14 45.6382716049383
2024-10-15 47.7679012345679
2024-10-16 50.2197530864198
2024-10-17 51.6160493827161
2024-10-18 52.7061728395062
2024-10-21 51.2604938271605
2024-10-22 50.1
2024-10-23 47.7271604938272
2024-10-24 46.3506172839506
2024-10-25 42.9802469135803
2024-10-28 40.8876543209877
2024-10-29 39.2506172839506
2024-10-30 37.0395061728395
2024-10-31 35.9012345679012
2024-11-01 34.6777777777778
2024-11-04 33.879012345679
2024-11-05 33.6703703703704
2024-11-06 33.0567901234568
2024-11-07 34.1765432098765
2024-11-08 37.679012345679
2024-11-11 41.062962962963
2024-11-12 44.9123456790124
2024-11-13 46.3641975308642
2024-11-14 46.4493827160494
2024-11-15 43.0740740740741
2024-11-18 42.9296296296296
2024-11-19 40.9740740740741
2024-11-20 38.9222222222222
2024-11-21 36.2901234567901
2024-11-22 36.437037037037
2024-11-25 34.8864197530864
2024-11-26 35.1604938271605
2024-11-27 39.3024691358025
2024-11-29 45.4763821792807
2024-12-02 49.1492216854536
2024-12-03 53.4171229200215
2024-12-04 58.4418142780462
2024-12-05 65.7294685990338
2024-12-06 69.8827160493827
2024-12-09 75.1851851851852
2024-12-10 81.9469135802469
2024-12-11 89.637037037037
2024-12-12 89.9271604938272
2024-12-13 87.5913580246914
2024-12-16 86.7283950617284
2024-12-17 81.4901234567901
2024-12-18 71.3901234567901
2024-12-19 60.183950617284
2024-12-20 52.079012345679
2024-12-23 43.6444444444444
2024-12-24 39.3163446054751
2024-12-26 35.0904186795491
2024-12-27 34.9854804079442
2024-12-30 34.4077026301664
2024-12-31 31.9435050993022
2025-01-02 24.8469135802469
2025-01-03 23.1259259259259
2025-01-06 23.0024691358025
2025-01-07 23.6641975308642
2025-01-08 24.4185185185185
2025-01-10 25.6864197530864
2025-01-13 25.4864197530864
2025-01-14 24.4604938271605
2025-01-15 27.4555555555556
2025-01-16 28.9765432098766
2025-01-17 33.7222222222222
2025-01-21 37.5543209876543
2025-01-22 46.941975308642
2025-01-23 51.3851851851852
2025-01-24 56.1160493827161
2025-01-27 53.0086419753086
2025-01-28 53.7024691358025
2025-01-29 44.8320987654321
2025-01-30 39.1592592592593
2025-01-31 34.4728395061728
2025-02-03 32.1296296296296
2025-02-04 29.4172839506173
2025-02-05 33.4567901234568
2025-02-06 35.2518518518519
2025-02-07 33.0160493827161
2025-02-10 39.6864197530864
2025-02-11 41.7074074074074
2025-02-12 38.9716049382716
2025-02-13 39.0716049382716
2025-02-14 45.2382716049383
2025-02-20 45.0530864197531
2025-02-21 43.2691358024691
2025-02-24 42.5469135802469
2025-02-25 39.141975308642
2025-02-26 33.841975308642
2025-02-27 28.1024691358025
2025-02-28 24.3382716049383
2025-03-03 21.3691358024691
2025-03-04 19.220987654321
2025-03-05 16.7024691358025
2025-03-06 15.8691358024691
2025-03-07 14.683950617284
2025-03-10 14.4185185185185
2025-03-11 13.6543209876543
2025-03-12 14.020987654321
2025-03-13 14.2864197530864
2025-03-14 16.2864197530864
2025-03-17 16.3358024691358
2025-03-18 17.4666666666667
2025-03-19 18.4962962962963
2025-03-20 19.5592592592593
2025-03-21 19.5074074074074
2025-03-24 25.3358024691358
2025-03-25 29.7518518518519
2025-03-26 32.2234567901235
2025-03-27 33.6888888888889
2025-03-28 36.1172839506173
2025-03-31 32.383950617284
2025-04-01 29.3259259259259
2025-04-02 28.4740740740741
2025-04-03 25.9728395061728
2025-04-04 20.6543209876543
2025-04-07 16.6358024691358
2025-04-08 12.937037037037
2025-04-09 8.20617283950617
2025-04-10 6.14320987654321
2025-04-11 5.76666666666667
2025-04-14 6.65185185185185
2025-04-15 8.07037037037037
2025-04-16 9.68518518518519
2025-04-17 10.4876543209877
2025-04-21 12.7444444444444
2025-04-22 14.3592592592593
2025-04-23 13.7345679012346
2025-04-24 15.2506172839506
2025-04-25 16.3555555555556
2025-04-28 16.1222222222222
2025-04-29 16.2777777777778
2025-04-30 17.2333333333333
2025-05-01 17.1185185185185
2025-05-02 18.3283950617284
2025-05-05 21.0456790123457
2025-05-06 22.0703703703704
2025-05-07 22.5530864197531
2025-05-08 22.358024691358
2025-05-09 22.1296296296296
2025-05-12 22.5049382716049
2025-05-13 24.262962962963
2025-05-14 25.8481481481482
2025-05-15 28.1962962962963
2025-05-16 31.6543209876543
2025-05-19 31.9382716049383
2025-05-20 31.7530864197531
2025-05-21 31.3123456790123
2025-05-22 30.4197530864198
2025-05-23 27.3913580246914
2025-05-27 29.5148148148148
2025-05-28 31.0777777777778
2025-05-29 31.1740740740741
2025-05-30 30.5950617283951
2025-06-02 32.2098765432099
2025-06-03 32.358024691358
2025-06-04 32.0740740740741
2025-06-05 32.2679012345679
2025-06-06 33.8197530864198
2025-06-09 35.7074074074074
2025-06-10 33.4234567901235
2025-06-11 32.0592592592593
2025-06-12 34.4271604938272
2025-06-13 31.6259259259259
2025-06-16 28.5444444444445
2025-06-17 27.3185185185185
2025-06-18 26.0740740740741
2025-06-20 23.5185185185185
2025-06-23 25.1061728395062
2025-06-24 28.8555555555556
2025-06-25 31.8604938271605
2025-06-26 37.0691358024691
2025-06-27 40.5518518518519
2025-06-30 43.8827160493827
2025-07-01 43.2296296296296
2025-07-02 45.5716049382716
2025-07-03 45.2349168008588
2025-07-07 43.7287439613527
2025-07-08 43.4213365539453
2025-07-09 44.2793612453033
2025-07-10 44.899114331723
2025-07-11 44.5320987654321
2025-07-14 48.358024691358
2025-07-15 48.2666666666667
2025-07-16 46.537037037037
2025-07-17 46.6567901234568
2025-07-18 47.3222222222222
2025-07-21 49.158024691358
2025-07-22 51.0086419753086
2025-07-23 52.7753086419753
2025-07-24 52.9234567901235
2025-07-25 54.9222222222222
2025-07-28 54.562962962963
2025-07-29 54.7148148148148
2025-07-30 53.4135802469136
2025-07-31 47.2567901234568
2025-08-01 40.1197530864197
2025-08-04 37.358024691358
2025-08-05 34.058024691358
2025-08-06 33.9962962962963
2025-08-07 34.1938271604938
2025-08-08 39.0567901234568
2025-08-11 39.6395061728395
2025-08-12 44.2962962962963
2025-08-13 47.1024691358025
2025-08-14 50.7148148148148
2025-08-15 50.158024691358
2025-08-18 50.8753086419753
2025-08-19 48.7975308641975
2025-08-20 44.8320987654321
2025-08-21 42.0086419753086
2025-08-22 40.6098765432099
2025-08-25 41.7185185185185
2025-08-26 44.0592592592593
2025-08-27 50.8543209876543
2025-08-28 56.8407407407408
2025-08-29 59.1493827160494
2025-09-02 56.0679012345679
2025-09-03 54.5777777777778
2025-09-04 53.4246913580247
2025-09-05 46.9333333333333
2025-09-08 47.383950617284
2025-09-09 50.6728395061728
2025-09-10 51.5086419753086
2025-09-11 51.979012345679
2025-09-12 60.9506172839506
2025-09-15 59.9950617283951
2025-09-16 60.3172839506173
2025-09-17 57.483950617284
2025-09-18 54.7703703703704
2025-09-19 51.9172839506173
2025-09-22 56.7765432098766
2025-09-23 54.7950617283951
2025-09-24 56.662962962963
2025-09-25 55.7185185185185
2025-09-26 51.7407407407407
2025-09-29 47.1111111111111
2025-09-30 47.2061728395062
2025-10-01 50.5135802469136
2025-10-02 53.8962962962963
2025-10-03 57.1234567901235
2025-10-06 61.3197530864198
2025-10-07 60.7827160493827
2025-10-08 61.4444444444445
2025-10-09 59.6061728395062
2025-10-10 52.158024691358
2025-10-13 45.1271604938272
2025-10-14 42.1333333333333
2025-10-15 34.5493827160494
2025-10-16 28.0703703703704
2025-10-17 28.1518518518519
2025-10-20 32.5246913580247
2025-10-21 36.5283950617284
2025-10-22 35.3592592592593

Note: The data show the depth at the best quoted prices to buy and sell, defined as the ask size plus the bid size divided by 2, for E-mini Standard & Poor's 500 futures. The average value is 68.21 market depth (number of contracts).

Source: LSEG, Tick History; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.

Figure 1.14. Inflation-adjusted commercial real estate prices were little changed

Jan. 2001 = 100

Date Commercial Real Estate Prices
2001-01-01 100
2001-02-01 100.275984052273
2001-03-01 100.57134283581
2001-04-01 100.495149736503
2001-05-01 100.186755375665
2001-06-01 99.9658485674814
2001-07-01 100.067217153957
2001-08-01 99.8127804295737
2001-09-01 99.1130824939957
2001-10-01 99.2061515051141
2001-11-01 99.1101544618018
2001-12-01 99.2149858695998
2002-01-01 98.6841390053129
2002-02-01 98.0224407557996
2002-03-01 97.277840952708
2002-04-01 96.7038104747208
2002-05-01 96.8831800538051
2002-06-01 97.2819167477667
2002-07-01 97.8654399984296
2002-08-01 98.4239536066775
2002-09-01 99.2494454058278
2002-10-01 100.037692670963
2002-11-01 100.9503540913
2002-12-01 102.04025007669
2003-01-01 102.458546265731
2003-02-01 102.452182771016
2003-03-01 102.449746622928
2003-04-01 103.140342303246
2003-05-01 103.725063836155
2003-06-01 104.035330650663
2003-07-01 104.412282055483
2003-08-01 104.573075559449
2003-09-01 104.809933371959
2003-10-01 105.431546103325
2003-11-01 106.088680322615
2003-12-01 106.474140539789
2004-01-01 106.254456866108
2004-02-01 106.17994217671
2004-03-01 106.292917588579
2004-04-01 106.998029083367
2004-05-01 107.525337192439
2004-06-01 108.406543337793
2004-07-01 109.895878283182
2004-08-01 111.243866638421
2004-09-01 112.436362539941
2004-10-01 113.154190679036
2004-11-01 114.311820199227
2004-12-01 115.904443133017
2005-01-01 116.866067133136
2005-02-01 117.359138643918
2005-03-01 117.569884596508
2005-04-01 117.970358587328
2005-05-01 119.425864892859
2005-06-01 120.846075907045
2005-07-01 121.886187889509
2005-08-01 122.990303786014
2005-09-01 123.239192119097
2005-10-01 124.577992270366
2005-11-01 126.830565808174
2005-12-01 128.316391649119
2006-01-01 128.138178112554
2006-02-01 128.666100453263
2006-03-01 128.686292702033
2006-04-01 128.134594757909
2006-05-01 127.88222595093
2006-06-01 127.927951448157
2006-07-01 127.870075003713
2006-08-01 127.941699732224
2006-09-01 128.884565022909
2006-10-01 129.919847568187
2006-11-01 130.552592267906
2006-12-01 130.944430359138
2007-01-01 131.350714049872
2007-02-01 131.676704131545
2007-03-01 131.66376222094
2007-04-01 132.037932597703
2007-05-01 132.396975295711
2007-06-01 133.17163005033
2007-07-01 133.833769470068
2007-08-01 134.044882634506
2007-09-01 132.828375186654
2007-10-01 131.263009308586
2007-11-01 129.108539635862
2007-12-01 128.01250534638
2008-01-01 126.381790944948
2008-02-01 125.18066814816
2008-03-01 123.323747230082
2008-04-01 121.741596076935
2008-05-01 119.674951876152
2008-06-01 117.20463743957
2008-07-01 115.163625926999
2008-08-01 114.127071861257
2008-09-01 112.683360091008
2008-10-01 112.005728012621
2008-11-01 112.104387460669
2008-12-01 111.014185279668
2009-01-01 108.223751172433
2009-02-01 105.334432507417
2009-03-01 102.694145794369
2009-04-01 99.9928498932403
2009-05-01 97.2537747581028
2009-06-01 94.068535900283
2009-07-01 92.0479113208903
2009-08-01 89.9565051100941
2009-09-01 88.3398928027862
2009-10-01 86.9954351380406
2009-11-01 85.9293949871604
2009-12-01 85.2534208000862
2010-01-01 84.3029429974332
2010-02-01 83.7779907454811
2010-03-01 83.0794733157984
2010-04-01 82.6888512883318
2010-05-01 82.506513910478
2010-06-01 82.6067851613633
2010-07-01 82.7591579475802
2010-08-01 82.95940774942
2010-09-01 83.3485477272917
2010-10-01 83.7418156089177
2010-11-01 84.1589457428815
2010-12-01 84.3552819296147
2011-01-01 84.1545860931477
2011-02-01 83.8168845642757
2011-03-01 83.0427453267878
2011-04-01 82.5990114694737
2011-05-01 82.4455652783718
2011-06-01 82.8880815854345
2011-07-01 83.3267632320096
2011-08-01 83.7004118329459
2011-09-01 84.2166306216278
2011-10-01 84.9452519342427
2011-11-01 85.4294276317056
2011-12-01 85.9475886582211
2012-01-01 85.8428660338162
2012-02-01 85.7436553325156
2012-03-01 85.3681678169966
2012-04-01 85.3569193786424
2012-05-01 85.6838697559448
2012-06-01 86.0645172708055
2012-07-01 86.5016640817401
2012-08-01 86.414577054035
2012-09-01 86.5510590208484
2012-10-01 87.2426658167625
2012-11-01 88.3751430216196
2012-12-01 89.2971853619642
2013-01-01 89.6384672353417
2013-02-01 89.4649441926191
2013-03-01 89.7829302399475
2013-04-01 90.4943148380582
2013-05-01 91.0558706118411
2013-06-01 91.6516545986894
2013-07-01 92.4601925336674
2013-08-01 93.2171650757173
2013-09-01 93.9845858307002
2013-10-01 95.0972237843327
2013-11-01 96.0988915244604
2013-12-01 96.8575574418997
2014-01-01 97.2353871278645
2014-02-01 97.6095537178213
2014-03-01 97.7138764819957
2014-04-01 98.1512053275121
2014-05-01 98.6292331755479
2014-06-01 99.3107515957328
2014-07-01 100.190507620962
2014-08-01 101.170998028738
2014-09-01 101.902716991119
2014-10-01 103.033506597587
2014-11-01 104.556460143791
2014-12-01 106.203495508279
2015-01-01 107.745527559796
2015-02-01 108.188506599003
2015-03-01 108.290372328919
2015-04-01 108.709558016308
2015-05-01 108.732028127969
2015-06-01 108.894488407403
2015-07-01 109.407064683327
2015-08-01 110.089573768956
2015-09-01 110.771572856513
2015-10-01 111.327142604865
2015-11-01 112.03230230152
2015-12-01 112.830715232164
2016-01-01 112.953210885485
2016-02-01 113.159277237056
2016-03-01 113.0486904944
2016-04-01 113.055312172324
2016-05-01 113.319375530732
2016-06-01 113.795313574405
2016-07-01 114.860980046022
2016-08-01 115.552377985746
2016-09-01 115.945178220087
2016-10-01 116.301943784272
2016-11-01 116.833741280182
2016-12-01 116.991772536369
2017-01-01 116.452875579707
2017-02-01 116.261390552936
2017-03-01 116.494974432503
2017-04-01 116.711186492305
2017-05-01 117.335472413845
2017-06-01 118.02120733218
2017-07-01 118.875690946695
2017-08-01 119.256914885572
2017-09-01 119.292492241392
2017-10-01 119.897471572717
2017-11-01 120.301440952081
2017-12-01 120.734454368067
2018-01-01 120.487685284544
2018-02-01 120.438781530771
2018-03-01 120.7585713942
2018-04-01 120.930865657775
2018-05-01 121.127278254466
2018-06-01 121.676824819838
2018-07-01 122.495452423789
2018-08-01 123.260369941867
2018-09-01 123.798529527187
2018-10-01 123.941900263728
2018-11-01 124.480201840125
2018-12-01 124.911831875455
2019-01-01 124.830852008075
2019-02-01 124.699643156822
2019-03-01 124.651611168902
2019-04-01 124.840528635933
2019-05-01 125.474486667938
2019-06-01 126.35895316709
2019-07-01 127.016832494762
2019-08-01 127.782986234975
2019-09-01 128.264568258191
2019-10-01 128.344855219919
2019-11-01 128.644386059033
2019-12-01 129.039818360308
2020-01-01 128.925985003288
2020-02-01 128.968421101916
2020-03-01 129.359460539892
2020-04-01 129.904270507403
2020-05-01 129.315357113493
2020-06-01 128.070144954283
2020-07-01 127.394290437239
2020-08-01 127.698583632561
2020-09-01 128.915147935091
2020-10-01 130.506276720782
2020-11-01 132.142310200493
2020-12-01 133.326509680441
2021-01-01 133.942044636485
2021-02-01 134.220247308574
2021-03-01 134.341624166673
2021-04-01 134.39887500314
2021-05-01 134.732991803618
2021-06-01 135.292803123948
2021-07-01 136.977962598451
2021-08-01 139.448040634969
2021-09-01 141.84000218749
2021-10-01 143.243744816714
2021-11-01 144.8729130005
2021-12-01 146.306410983424
2022-01-01 146.141882558924
2022-02-01 145.137167630592
2022-03-01 143.37229049971
2022-04-01 143.234319700001
2022-05-01 142.876057514263
2022-06-01 142.119309155538
2022-07-01 142.57056070324
2022-08-01 142.136296941621
2022-09-01 140.59137056795
2022-10-01 138.327952581107
2022-11-01 136.336998742369
2022-12-01 134.383070618308
2023-01-01 131.043580365823
2023-02-01 128.468929647293
2023-03-01 126.737319169941
2023-04-01 125.197475698141
2023-05-01 124.29819925944
2023-06-01 123.592102776128
2023-07-01 123.365155093571
2023-08-01 122.962087974789
2023-09-01 122.772235793414
2023-10-01 122.778084932553
2023-11-01 122.832196408372
2023-12-01 122.603504273995
2024-01-01 121.520344454009
2024-02-01 120.404178510373
2024-03-01 119.415713745563
2024-04-01 118.921498259849
2024-05-01 118.762901065638
2024-06-01 118.790088612897
2024-07-01 118.643748014102
2024-08-01 118.514972264398
2024-09-01 118.229729769239
2024-10-01 118.034823183057
2024-11-01 118.134169038026
2024-12-01 118.205125863063
2025-01-01 117.515999189382
2025-02-01 116.908919071334
2025-03-01 116.43896665922
2025-04-01 115.943329510747
2025-05-01 115.885759756618
2025-06-01 116.029152474507
2025-07-01 116.698181614327
2025-08-01 117.243175030966

Note: The data are deflated using the consumer price index. The dashed line at 100 indicates the index to January 2001 values.

Source: MSCI—Real Capital Analytics; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 1.15. Income of commercial properties relative to prices leveled off but remained below the historical average

Percent

Date Income of Properties Relative to Prices
2001-01-01 8.57960367528621
2001-02-01 8.57131220225177
2001-03-01 8.55949650921419
2001-04-01 8.56645662758812
2001-05-01 8.59016909622759
2001-06-01 8.59321142461956
2001-07-01 8.60810138686412
2001-08-01 8.63952328470535
2001-09-01 8.6539424788855
2001-10-01 8.67836122348643
2001-11-01 8.7245835880486
2001-12-01 8.7891023466927
2002-01-01 8.81665781746223
2002-02-01 8.85720270943629
2002-03-01 8.88363168943262
2002-04-01 8.90630520873901
2002-05-01 8.90050949871427
2002-06-01 8.89214597315609
2002-07-01 8.84808094719048
2002-08-01 8.79041859841123
2002-09-01 8.72968434904153
2002-10-01 8.66966085131128
2002-11-01 8.61422183639833
2002-12-01 8.54237869326566
2003-01-01 8.49486964117537
2003-02-01 8.4641547881987
2003-03-01 8.4546709938394
2003-04-01 8.43406827114777
2003-05-01 8.39539008606796
2003-06-01 8.35298169745137
2003-07-01 8.32282140076931
2003-08-01 8.27191156753371
2003-09-01 8.25600637286481
2003-10-01 8.22761485091377
2003-11-01 8.19847614724598
2003-12-01 8.14820535923049
2004-01-01 8.11373770993423
2004-02-01 8.05202725744165
2004-03-01 7.98940857282224
2004-04-01 7.94335048313841
2004-05-01 7.91260988358629
2004-06-01 7.87597711758485
2004-07-01 7.84543592830385
2004-08-01 7.81836299268203
2004-09-01 7.76001950415468
2004-10-01 7.71397241393611
2004-11-01 7.65689615171753
2004-12-01 7.57411902670196
2005-01-01 7.52693656841142
2005-02-01 7.50084239414003
2005-03-01 7.46185608043247
2005-04-01 7.41211999065065
2005-05-01 7.35137691486378
2005-06-01 7.29401502144464
2005-07-01 7.23678694634517
2005-08-01 7.18590836101599
2005-09-01 7.1331815191786
2005-10-01 7.08331247985151
2005-11-01 7.05230732651792
2005-12-01 7.02138184277365
2006-01-01 6.97439298803587
2006-02-01 6.94307958420591
2006-03-01 6.90509243121996
2006-04-01 6.87107285868769
2006-05-01 6.84524055440573
2006-06-01 6.8139207170681
2006-07-01 6.77686711592982
2006-08-01 6.76318076580835
2006-09-01 6.74284929063706
2006-10-01 6.73499768257731
2006-11-01 6.72514827688239
2006-12-01 6.71090902090643
2007-01-01 6.69406313192738
2007-02-01 6.68263239317305
2007-03-01 6.66851677453373
2007-04-01 6.64955285610794
2007-05-01 6.62735984306582
2007-06-01 6.61644031095525
2007-07-01 6.61620135290774
2007-08-01 6.60624851267926
2007-09-01 6.60244861261301
2007-10-01 6.59532104668397
2007-11-01 6.58645841857428
2007-12-01 6.58431715956376
2008-01-01 6.5892017795698
2008-02-01 6.60001521070095
2008-03-01 6.61710617845935
2008-04-01 6.64349467984945
2008-05-01 6.68400161094925
2008-06-01 6.72941869625186
2008-07-01 6.77131898323305
2008-08-01 6.82502386445652
2008-09-01 6.86939288664602
2008-10-01 6.89013900464116
2008-11-01 6.93561488028564
2008-12-01 6.98664184521707
2009-01-01 7.04385494655912
2009-02-01 7.05047586628127
2009-03-01 7.07930860362124
2009-04-01 7.08642279133295
2009-05-01 7.12259258452558
2009-06-01 7.17744594307186
2009-07-01 7.26233256625413
2009-08-01 7.3398975822908
2009-09-01 7.42030246186735
2009-10-01 7.5181360803501
2009-11-01 7.56113544374452
2009-12-01 7.63283073505772
2010-01-01 7.64201548555978
2010-02-01 7.67246698933808
2010-03-01 7.73304860995521
2010-04-01 7.81176665991611
2010-05-01 7.82584058480536
2010-06-01 7.80508048907551
2010-07-01 7.77520153513719
2010-08-01 7.79180285217396
2010-09-01 7.75902219784935
2010-10-01 7.72902647979515
2010-11-01 7.7041548355098
2010-12-01 7.64684219041306
2011-01-01 7.63928112062773
2011-02-01 7.61248122141839
2011-03-01 7.56422708784928
2011-04-01 7.54380628308515
2011-05-01 7.5096755034245
2011-06-01 7.46485621270015
2011-07-01 7.43379406241739
2011-08-01 7.3835154652228
2011-09-01 7.35027777570606
2011-10-01 7.34598712721012
2011-11-01 7.32058934967487
2011-12-01 7.28827683718751
2012-01-01 7.25215022237708
2012-02-01 7.2527046065382
2012-03-01 7.23084552906257
2012-04-01 7.19448374801159
2012-05-01 7.16474486477839
2012-06-01 7.14544358936044
2012-07-01 7.13177919100269
2012-08-01 7.12165267286016
2012-09-01 7.10827134676195
2012-10-01 7.07266309928081
2012-11-01 7.04811459589823
2012-12-01 7.01327561809736
2013-01-01 7.01709589571306
2013-02-01 7.00050223670126
2013-03-01 6.99097521581129
2013-04-01 6.97418616962163
2013-05-01 6.97858712366858
2013-06-01 6.96087554440979
2013-07-01 6.95514954836365
2013-08-01 6.92735244802201
2013-09-01 6.92415273143908
2013-10-01 6.93115817984656
2013-11-01 6.94094596681736
2013-12-01 6.92508808931645
2014-01-01 6.89876614438952
2014-02-01 6.88242740675103
2014-03-01 6.86385089391472
2014-04-01 6.86378831218889
2014-05-01 6.84405231569567
2014-06-01 6.82219732314314
2014-07-01 6.79675086989123
2014-08-01 6.78165314393052
2014-09-01 6.74277380354434
2014-10-01 6.70727077210795
2014-11-01 6.68518052264506
2014-12-01 6.64427369498343
2015-01-01 6.62823961059481
2015-02-01 6.61765823711291
2015-03-01 6.59856634163973
2015-04-01 6.5620851924608
2015-05-01 6.53550585017458
2015-06-01 6.52693731308073
2015-07-01 6.50770040752635
2015-08-01 6.48636479555575
2015-09-01 6.47844290053005
2015-10-01 6.45908316888778
2015-11-01 6.43401404906663
2015-12-01 6.41588332549688
2016-01-01 6.41989415499493
2016-02-01 6.40548096737934
2016-03-01 6.39190148985795
2016-04-01 6.38590770151727
2016-05-01 6.37445313579236
2016-06-01 6.35756997358926
2016-07-01 6.33540438947089
2016-08-01 6.32970301990968
2016-09-01 6.31086211027978
2016-10-01 6.29858548092831
2016-11-01 6.3045136393652
2016-12-01 6.31579752151311
2017-01-01 6.2963073104538
2017-02-01 6.29736702676816
2017-03-01 6.30586868643066
2017-04-01 6.31100307681867
2017-05-01 6.30106990945937
2017-06-01 6.28722631070015
2017-07-01 6.2820020172911
2017-08-01 6.27795379654038
2017-09-01 6.27024607100614
2017-10-01 6.26920190724194
2017-11-01 6.26218890448259
2017-12-01 6.24368573371083
2018-01-01 6.23931312140026
2018-02-01 6.22936034231363
2018-03-01 6.21571310386313
2018-04-01 6.20650422335746
2018-05-01 6.20052445852982
2018-06-01 6.20157475900977
2018-07-01 6.20376897758808
2018-08-01 6.19468461630137
2018-09-01 6.202794515201
2018-10-01 6.20151773716369
2018-11-01 6.19210351464562
2018-12-01 6.17656043444727
2019-01-01 6.18320786058075
2019-02-01 6.17720926021561
2019-03-01 6.1804113849938
2019-04-01 6.17827624504744
2019-05-01 6.19976285605391
2019-06-01 6.18716420400848
2019-07-01 6.18438577642641
2019-08-01 6.1679487469655
2019-09-01 6.14958254936749
2019-10-01 6.13547317495714
2019-11-01 6.1189678871115
2019-12-01 6.11274563040654
2020-01-01 6.10956643213049
2020-02-01 6.106630258299
2020-03-01 6.08252937246202
2020-04-01 6.07374673600193
2020-05-01 6.03225178763369
2020-06-01 6.0265178037908
2020-07-01 5.99932381936354
2020-08-01 5.99142499026899
2020-09-01 5.989098656149
2020-10-01 5.96802672294869
2020-11-01 5.95819991919365
2020-12-01 5.93668160606554
2021-01-01 5.9122975928306
2021-02-01 5.90471324636132
2021-03-01 5.89552997347177
2021-04-01 5.89279386663674
2021-05-01 5.88753110572476
2021-06-01 5.87525589266029
2021-07-01 5.86178560954538
2021-08-01 5.84514639115326
2021-09-01 5.80106477017502
2021-10-01 5.76946406002613
2021-11-01 5.74672412945751
2021-12-01 5.69432060405628
2022-01-01 5.67226860065893
2022-02-01 5.65111744139714
2022-03-01 5.62365446858894
2022-04-01 5.59220527352996
2022-05-01 5.56664831864602
2022-06-01 5.53502947332147
2022-07-01 5.51666232770535
2022-08-01 5.50362037612694
2022-09-01 5.50999381318263
2022-10-01 5.52102059043269
2022-11-01 5.5287040970371
2022-12-01 5.55535967439678
2023-01-01 5.57726025559108
2023-02-01 5.58578562607196
2023-03-01 5.63088298036047
2023-04-01 5.6709440845539
2023-05-01 5.73015496372141
2023-06-01 5.80824387073896
2023-07-01 5.86459867656206
2023-08-01 5.91663629163091
2023-09-01 5.97272722149983
2023-10-01 6.02370334540245
2023-11-01 6.07016080875581
2023-12-01 6.11360953832976
2024-01-01 6.13551402167725
2024-02-01 6.16948337297182
2024-03-01 6.21557116297012
2024-04-01 6.24585115349048
2024-05-01 6.28089394535796
2024-06-01 6.29726659476931
2024-07-01 6.31389885278587
2024-08-01 6.34240591058223
2024-09-01 6.36084693018124
2024-10-01 6.37035315297923
2024-11-01 6.37520300427816
2024-12-01 6.37184881311943
2025-01-01 6.37960894228398
2025-02-01 6.38878880670737
2025-03-01 6.39500600126446
2025-04-01 6.40007495661696
2025-05-01 6.40483587377681
2025-06-01 6.41363488516833
2025-07-01 6.41333888094348
2025-08-01 6.41783759545894

Note: The data are a 12-month moving average of weighted capitalization rates in the industrial, retail, office, and multifamily sectors, based on national square footage in 2009. The average value is 6.88 percent.

Source: MSCI—Real Capital Analytics; Andrew C. Florance, Norm G. Miller, Ruijue Peng, and Jay Spivey (2010), "Slicing, Dicing, and Scoping the Size of the U.S. Commercial Real Estate Market," Journal of Real Estate Portfolio Management, vol. 16 (May-August), pp. 101-18.

Figure 1.16. Banks reported that lending standards for commercial real estate loans were little changed in the first half of 2025

This is a line chart showing quarterly data from 1997 to 2025:Q2 on bank lending stand-ards for commercial real estate loans. The y-axis shows the net percentage of banks re-porting. The y-axis has labels specifying tightening (positive values, upper half) or eas-ing (negative values, lower half) of lending standards, ranging from -100 to 100 percent. The chart displays a single black line that fluctuates between periods of net tightening and easing. The line shows sharp upward movements, indicating significant tightening of lending standards, with peaks reaching 80-90 percent net tightening in 2001, 2008-2009, and early 2020. Following the 2020 spike, lending standards initially tightened significantly, then eased, and then tightened again reaching around 60 percent in 2022-2023. In the most recent period leading up to 2025:Q2, the line has returned to near zero, at around -5 percent.

Note: Banks' responses are weighted by their commercial real estate loan market shares. Survey respondents to the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Prac-tices are asked about the changes over the quarter. The shaded bars with top caps indi-cate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Re-search: March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.

Figure 1.17. House prices continued to increase in recent months but at a lower rate

12-month percent change

Date Zillow Cotality Case-Shiller
2003-01-01 7.263325344 9.664571241 9.62727585
2003-02-01 7.348212249 9.617874204 9.758809442
2003-03-01 7.42269462 9.584669337 9.64979225
2003-04-01 7.503365548 9.496610273 9.462293432
2003-05-01 7.58896016 9.252794666 9.148108287
2003-06-01 7.650222201 8.996127928 8.910324532
2003-07-01 7.686484722 8.81966538 8.860861832
2003-08-01 7.720708153 8.960975783 9.011464764
2003-09-01 7.78877467 9.365526397 9.227091633
2003-10-01 7.864245207 9.861855393 9.386396068
2003-11-01 7.917256402 10.29641768 9.57833228
2003-12-01 7.943818691 10.8664847 9.815178923
2004-01-01 8.001816067 11.34685792 10.23110067
2004-02-01 8.129492042 11.7548157 10.67560196
2004-03-01 8.327783303 12.30543395 11.42216379
2004-04-01 8.56356039 12.97520767 12.02390988
2004-05-01 8.841710231 13.4783903 12.5151699
2004-06-01 9.175491721 14.12378062 12.97755761
2004-07-01 9.547996937 14.4801677 13.13776457
2004-08-01 9.885963511 14.55178617 13.12789586
2004-09-01 10.16034558 14.70273237 13.15290341
2004-10-01 10.37821778 14.96825098 13.27728656
2004-11-01 10.58686272 15.1883016 13.49715356
2004-12-01 10.82348894 15.45797032 13.6360381
2005-01-01 11.05863811 15.56309934 13.80143558
2005-02-01 11.26332901 15.80502845 14.01112441
2005-03-01 11.42054722 16.20569151 14.22820655
2005-04-01 11.60176697 16.35979065 14.24271446
2005-05-01 11.73581344 16.21219921 14.29823379
2005-06-01 11.83335718 15.99666579 14.2838161
2005-07-01 11.85643244 15.87427489 14.28383878
2005-08-01 11.87608526 16.01087993 14.37394357
2005-09-01 11.89063024 16.23497275 14.50583457
2005-10-01 11.89193234 15.95601822 14.36980166
2005-11-01 11.86637773 15.5896825 14.08253968
2005-12-01 11.76464289 15.18033479 13.51232117
2006-01-01 11.57384325 14.66849723 12.92699682
2006-02-01 11.31665325 13.81499757 12.08546903
2006-03-01 11.03966654 12.50930287 11.0402236
2006-04-01 10.69886656 10.94769402 9.97005988
2006-05-01 10.29101116 9.316015263 8.746682395
2006-06-01 9.75908602 7.47472588 7.28403674
2006-07-01 9.100213215 5.897207072 6.036760482
2006-08-01 8.335084794 4.521095862 4.814414824
2006-09-01 7.481758771 3.338672494 3.710376668
2006-10-01 6.633941826 2.426856486 2.959275006
2006-11-01 5.811384239 1.45336167 2.198352627
2006-12-01 5.055055526 0.370996483 1.732274721
2007-01-01 4.392143898 -0.540508633 1.045180556
2007-02-01 3.786648183 -1.392829494 0.534435262
2007-03-01 3.178519306 -2.696307318 -0.306429549
2007-04-01 2.532389019 -3.554340396 -0.827661312
2007-05-01 1.843834993 -4.197258 -1.355895433
2007-06-01 1.154644726 -4.51658459 -1.63099431
2007-07-01 0.482553639 -4.853690667 -1.960890526
2007-08-01 -0.128110868 -5.422923769 -2.255965293
2007-09-01 -0.67639621 -6.301190887 -2.757871878
2007-10-01 -1.184629886 -7.428399338 -3.542515621
2007-11-01 -1.691996544 -8.563250971 -4.612536078
2007-12-01 -2.19139619 -9.64931156 -5.397587731
2008-01-01 -2.727560432 -10.82826802 -6.370402802
2008-02-01 -3.317288652 -11.93032954 -7.277908697
2008-03-01 -3.972761625 -12.60009907 -7.843460124
2008-04-01 -4.679349976 -13.19019393 -8.131554384
2008-05-01 -5.358610667 -13.30368487 -8.170222124
2008-06-01 -5.998077059 -13.32492016 -8.26815027
2008-07-01 -6.586098694 -13.64379695 -8.442455384
2008-08-01 -7.225578102 -14.05488177 -8.854860186
2008-09-01 -7.829036688 -14.88550277 -9.608083966
2008-10-01 -8.39175235 -15.68037346 -10.34754689
2008-11-01 -8.872924735 -16.17648822 -10.89860699
2008-12-01 -9.328513319 -16.95918903 -11.99953848
2009-01-01 -9.705025777 -17.4502811 -12.69581482
2009-02-01 -9.909142227 -17.05723519 -12.74898044
2009-03-01 -9.987654922 -16.28703026 -12.73972603
2009-04-01 -9.97954847 -14.99774252 -12.18025341
2009-05-01 -9.952173446 -13.29196 -11.28607352
2009-06-01 -9.850003934 -11.57690609 -10.04623792
2009-07-01 -9.639454539 -10.04710105 -9.027819685
2009-08-01 -9.295522257 -8.678087679 -8.284635987
2009-09-01 -8.890489138 -7.468022766 -7.584460503
2009-10-01 -8.4077657 -5.850296543 -6.647398844
2009-11-01 -7.755346502 -3.876898726 -5.209201
2009-12-01 -6.968555147 -2.233532859 -3.848170972
2010-01-01 -6.117010041 -1.414102495 -2.919121585
2010-02-01 -5.386467599 -1.427241633 -3.089012329
2010-03-01 -4.672445547 -0.289311577 -1.986212545
2010-04-01 -3.930030098 0.780582075 -1.048046822
2010-05-01 -3.193602265 0.993240318 -0.769386515
2010-06-01 -2.602275061 0.672876447 -1.401869159
2010-07-01 -2.292499751 -0.172514523 -2.116086235
2010-08-01 -2.1725608 -1.208340521 -2.820734055
2010-09-01 -2.207888805 -2.084786057 -3.354942191
2010-10-01 -2.36049412 -2.771239291 -3.674787993
2010-11-01 -2.713319845 -3.574700485 -4.143571718
2010-12-01 -3.161467984 -3.71447863 -4.124906252
2011-01-01 -3.643022289 -3.615530366 -4.117241379
2011-02-01 -4.083452443 -3.542319703 -3.732699567
2011-03-01 -4.538044299 -4.344737413 -4.052924791
2011-04-01 -5.072604078 -4.544840866 -4.298486933
2011-05-01 -5.608134646 -4.418954682 -4.312045161
2011-06-01 -6.023028203 -3.928847597 -3.899796886
2011-07-01 -6.145359192 -3.101994139 -3.53754405
2011-08-01 -6.060689261 -2.337340794 -3.168965988
2011-09-01 -5.819621183 -1.6830503 -3.077242238
2011-10-01 -5.552168992 -1.436160322 -3.297931805
2011-11-01 -5.227448928 -1.393257899 -3.638671462
2011-12-01 -4.90563433 -1.041129238 -3.882804722
2012-01-01 -4.532842669 -0.442800826 -3.502841113
2012-02-01 -4.066911966 0.489203073 -2.708393843
2012-03-01 -3.480020152 1.879957763 -1.393525911
2012-04-01 -2.775056739 2.658952892 -0.495867769
2012-05-01 -1.986871318 3.334895613 0.2487739
2012-06-01 -1.1473099 3.729669757 0.859518106
2012-07-01 -0.351399448 4.117561568 1.355908388
2012-08-01 0.328961082 4.647980752 2.059528848
2012-09-01 1.004400221 5.270253411 2.989440639
2012-10-01 1.707342291 5.9512307 4.01734104
2012-11-01 2.440298606 6.92998994 5.342114892
2012-12-01 3.161607612 7.79986981 6.436815626
2013-01-01 3.861087743 8.692290925 7.558139535
2013-02-01 4.46483753 9.36096253 8.328979775
2013-03-01 4.942749777 9.899348363 8.89886648
2013-04-01 5.375025507 9.932497944 9.027878088
2013-05-01 5.864492628 9.766886922 9.082529779
2013-06-01 6.37972585 9.436652185 9.262363789
2013-07-01 6.779287684 9.476395464 9.710958619
2013-08-01 7.210934543 9.629156991 10.14512785
2013-09-01 7.527473281 9.937514945 10.60616557
2013-10-01 7.886539762 10.15668478 10.82939705
2013-11-01 8.026396007 10.06894331 10.70510594
2013-12-01 8.09049519 9.919762184 10.71875434
2014-01-01 8.008719438 9.858649643 10.44352044
2014-02-01 7.918312796 9.811044399 10.14123321
2014-03-01 7.807305378 8.944936912 8.942210206
2014-04-01 7.644076162 7.97403668 7.949125596
2014-05-01 7.442070679 7.01297505 7.032824179
2014-06-01 7.08958752 6.312770591 6.252397392
2014-07-01 6.813824271 5.723389478 5.585039171
2014-08-01 6.443613302 5.335169501 5.057096248
2014-09-01 6.119436582 5.041316602 4.741325316
2014-10-01 5.60451726 5.069518486 4.606706362
2014-11-01 5.302323354 5.026936916 4.574548193
2014-12-01 5.122058429 4.967974248 4.501506781
2015-01-01 5.098792388 4.983852049 4.304448767
2015-02-01 5.041746877 5.066829886 4.215925439
2015-03-01 4.987706333 5.177483104 4.274723911
2015-04-01 4.974617441 5.199536213 4.295532646
2015-05-01 4.94061589 5.186218125 4.354162871
2015-06-01 4.950761862 5.192825063 4.356197353
2015-07-01 4.987062762 5.087381512 4.404021063
2015-08-01 5.165451266 5.091153932 4.467271859
2015-09-01 5.425328305 5.299586047 4.658255098
2015-10-01 5.836244988 5.342431952 4.871180348
2015-11-01 6.10778884 5.422322266 5.082508251
2015-12-01 6.306440272 5.52089268 5.190747972
2016-01-01 6.461470271 5.626758343 5.281838417
2016-02-01 6.614430555 5.63439939 5.1917652
2016-03-01 6.603438447 5.607307992 5.063366454
2016-04-01 6.511016019 5.587380631 5.012944222
2016-05-01 6.36988144 5.427653883 4.940642458
2016-06-01 6.341075475 5.202492031 4.877767528
2016-07-01 6.176713943 5.186250582 4.883081155
2016-08-01 5.965353829 5.153539708 4.985136062
2016-09-01 5.731099491 5.166847737 5.09084676
2016-10-01 5.567741328 5.312829664 5.124835742
2016-11-01 5.522778879 5.423396377 5.190726359
2016-12-01 5.51066939 5.455824952 5.305842709
2017-01-01 5.45546327 5.505648506 5.496828753
2017-02-01 5.429424461 5.63221335 5.557457492
2017-03-01 5.574294053 5.681826512 5.623513422
2017-04-01 5.807173005 5.651578914 5.625280143
2017-05-01 5.966078848 5.672889854 5.6507514
2017-06-01 5.999278935 5.76294753 5.684442001
2017-07-01 6.072647459 5.793124547 5.732240437
2017-08-01 6.179090021 5.857367215 5.815726421
2017-09-01 6.269541227 5.922279923 5.90442016
2017-10-01 6.326198273 5.982398887 6.010869565
2017-11-01 6.372457905 6.066278372 6.085445958
2017-12-01 6.41531456 6.037827549 6.204577503
2018-01-01 6.450566535 5.99631584 6.207008612
2018-02-01 6.442340189 6.18841666 6.421621622
2018-03-01 6.506582401 6.358764585 6.45541794
2018-04-01 6.459995113 6.290292808 6.397199236
2018-05-01 6.467467836 6.170364475 6.246063405
2018-06-01 6.352810905 5.903591992 6.122555139
2018-07-01 6.427965243 5.732843215 5.90728203
2018-08-01 6.469837797 5.517622311 5.650473446
2018-09-01 6.498460824 5.372217919 5.421222855
2018-10-01 6.30242026 5.20358218 5.27017328
2018-11-01 6.068344079 4.890877171 4.943199263
2018-12-01 5.833732121 4.608469924 4.519456644
2019-01-01 5.683572576 4.432489644 4.120556887
2019-02-01 5.622545365 4.154989304 3.819585534
2019-03-01 5.502120272 3.853501811 3.621254092
2019-04-01 5.383849533 3.755484243 3.529763685
2019-05-01 5.163668246 3.715346225 3.408754076
2019-06-01 5.0590208 3.671459711 3.21062693
2019-07-01 4.821643317 3.635388698 3.113410111
2019-08-01 4.635536323 3.718480026 3.097905504
2019-09-01 4.408712717 3.807076103 3.160457755
2019-10-01 4.444080771 3.914050764 3.214181358
2019-11-01 4.612568187 4.141541888 3.413302126
2019-12-01 4.845810617 4.407934604 3.683979088
2020-01-01 5.062528433 4.656338324 4.016260959
2020-02-01 5.192411091 4.92850146 4.300391389
2020-03-01 5.317935853 5.275418048 4.578594342
2020-04-01 5.405446885 5.262693445 4.598863527
2020-05-01 5.36796971 4.974758605 4.366520161
2020-06-01 5.236061178 5.183614003 4.378799392
2020-07-01 5.235779638 5.777594694 4.846190251
2020-08-01 5.601313334 6.357151583 5.839554002
2020-09-01 6.48546233 7.114283617 7.047771903
2020-10-01 7.511693532 7.944224181 8.417476644
2020-11-01 8.57408195 8.6851716 9.524707657
2020-12-01 9.492837683 9.414004506 10.42363696
2021-01-01 10.27967191 9.896701302 11.31515751
2021-02-01 11.10481834 10.40744694 12.19100333
2021-03-01 11.95788792 11.39563462 13.48763711
2021-04-01 13.04546797 12.84622366 14.99930942
2021-05-01 14.57005883 14.51740287 16.91385151
2021-06-01 16.37730542 15.85770297 18.81426881
2021-07-01 17.85469313 16.46949569 19.82486233
2021-08-01 18.3645152 16.70877599 19.95803946
2021-09-01 17.8408008 16.7376294 19.67191427
2021-10-01 17.03454594 16.64000473 19.06606319
2021-11-01 16.31123491 16.64607708 18.8005855
2021-12-01 15.8769685 16.81826743 18.86228823
2022-01-01 15.96008831 17.0491578 19.24703892
2022-02-01 16.3243824 17.65576244 20.0434819
2022-03-01 16.94438087 18.30941647 20.77975264
2022-04-01 17.39627596 18.38793658 20.71740262
2022-05-01 17.41643394 17.85498979 19.92482675
2022-06-01 16.98325436 16.25464628 17.98720944
2022-07-01 16.02631719 14.23458541 15.62193928
2022-08-01 14.91074191 12.24391074 12.9423585
2022-09-01 13.74774313 10.66813617 10.67506817
2022-10-01 12.63009623 9.592624998 9.130450674
2022-11-01 11.34942184 8.318503876 7.537597391
2022-12-01 9.905183489 6.901157207 5.640325997
2023-01-01 7.985210382 5.861610858 3.845335225
2023-02-01 5.929141254 4.937409899 2.235998885
2023-03-01 3.891838665 3.771834135 0.861250509
2023-04-01 2.240508963 2.746057232 0.009948929
2023-05-01 1.042398534 2.197407128 -0.280770486
2023-06-01 0.239676893 2.226965426 0.097370983
2023-07-01 0.038033458 2.960716121 1.104486365
2023-08-01 0.400293362 3.955971485 2.691838819
2023-09-01 1.126230604 4.720509523 4.055268853
2023-10-01 1.753104705 4.914303286 4.796195197
2023-11-01 2.240924078 5.224361695 5.179443976
2023-12-01 2.639846153 5.523934668 5.675638934
2024-01-01 3.12584698 5.738999495 6.172712988
2024-02-01 3.622688591 5.716678455 6.537439531
2024-03-01 4.092835015 5.474536804 6.542056075
2024-04-01 4.339244548 5.304435454 6.393208874
2024-05-01 4.258881941 5.007144272 6.007726558
2024-06-01 3.832665614 4.765451899 5.492866407
2024-07-01 3.349220852 4.357006215 4.943284352
2024-08-01 2.935292588 4.014114207 4.308906571
2024-09-01 2.701173465 3.664977563 3.906824945
2024-10-01 2.598529453 3.534434236 3.569944709
2024-11-01 2.547742003 3.448412161 3.732538767
2024-12-01 2.625489902 3.4222265 3.997555799
2025-01-01 2.678085364 3.308228577 4.14401081
2025-02-01 2.577929361 2.942068157 3.968279346
2025-03-01 2.055790483 2.469030158 3.417266187
2025-04-01 1.378136662 2.13633779 2.823749416
2025-05-01 0.782194466 1.868437505 2.365730875
2025-06-01 0.453135681 1.64434086 1.945656851
2025-07-01 0.293238095 1.475905696 1.679665909
2025-08-01 0.162191471 1.304758252  
2025-09-01 0.103888676    

Note: The data extend through September 2025 for Zillow, August 2025 for Cotality, and July 2025 for Case-Shiller.

Source: Zillow, Inc., Real Estate Data; Cotality Real Estate Data; S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Home Price Indices.

Figure 1.18. Model-based measures of house price valuations cooled from near historically high levels

Percent

Date Owners' equivalent rent Market-based rents
1979 Q1 -2.510834  
1979 Q2 -1.829816  
1979 Q3 -1.642454  
1979 Q4 0.1883604  
1980 Q1 -2.160395  
1980 Q2 -3.114655  
1980 Q3 -3.378481  
1980 Q4 0.8312452  
1981 Q1 4.767551  
1981 Q2 -0.0821654  
1981 Q3 -1.418297  
1981 Q4 0.9740638  
1982 Q1 -0.8356783  
1982 Q2 1.863956  
1982 Q3 5.26948  
1982 Q4 2.963755  
1983 Q1 5.884727  
1983 Q2 5.123798  
1983 Q3 3.93307  
1983 Q4 -4.145272  
1984 Q1 -3.103736  
1984 Q2 -3.848114  
1984 Q3 -1.343465  
1984 Q4 0.0605384  
1985 Q1 2.162723  
1985 Q2 6.772135  
1985 Q3 8.641353  
1985 Q4 6.624139  
1986 Q1 7.696804  
1986 Q2 5.411463  
1986 Q3 4.645278  
1986 Q4 2.832626  
1987 Q1 0.5541722  
1987 Q2 -3.209648  
1987 Q3 -2.852428  
1987 Q4 -3.704166  
1988 Q1 -5.278338  
1988 Q2 -0.5266175  
1988 Q3 -0.6827768  
1988 Q4 1.985736  
1989 Q1 -0.4113205  
1989 Q2 2.219558  
1989 Q3 2.587783  
1989 Q4 2.391232  
1990 Q1 2.772372  
1990 Q2 -0.1010949  
1990 Q3 -1.948563  
1990 Q4 -1.975214  
1991 Q1 -0.0796072  
1991 Q2 0.2115646  
1991 Q3 -1.139733  
1991 Q4 -2.639107  
1992 Q1 -3.754298  
1992 Q2 -4.422538  
1992 Q3 -3.538119  
1992 Q4 -5.592796  
1993 Q1 -4.819726  
1993 Q2 -4.873951  
1993 Q3 -5.872593  
1993 Q4 -5.089716  
1994 Q1 -6.175135  
1994 Q2 -8.450593  
1994 Q3 -9.817714  
1994 Q4 -8.967833  
1995 Q1 -7.953188  
1995 Q2 -3.896057  
1995 Q3 -2.192641  
1995 Q4 -1.213016  
1996 Q1 -1.500252  
1996 Q2 -5.261756  
1996 Q3 -6.107995  
1996 Q4 -6.988378  
1997 Q1 -6.28133  
1997 Q2 -3.80558  
1997 Q3 -3.356907  
1997 Q4 -4.641151  
1998 Q1 -3.668031  
1998 Q2 -1.56474  
1998 Q3 -3.813683  
1998 Q4 -2.679331  
1999 Q1 -3.061997  
1999 Q2 -2.107031  
1999 Q3 -2.744067  
1999 Q4 -3.503662  
2000 Q1 -1.106171  
2000 Q2 0.7697595  
2000 Q3 4.072916  
2000 Q4 5.780178  
2001 Q1 7.309896  
2001 Q2 7.236839  
2001 Q3 6.145494  
2001 Q4 5.19444  
2002 Q1 3.909288  
2002 Q2 4.999355  
2002 Q3 5.486243  
2002 Q4 6.687156  
2003 Q1 8.456581  
2003 Q2 10.01291  
2003 Q3 8.741447  
2003 Q4 8.263412  
2004 Q1 9.650089 9.643148
2004 Q2 10.17774 9.379105
2004 Q3 14.41459 13.24976
2004 Q4 17.57846 16.92488
2005 Q1 18.10682 17.622
2005 Q2 22.83132 20.99035
2005 Q3 24.62398 22.49913
2005 Q4 25.32946 22.87092
2006 Q1 26.7775 23.59653
2006 Q2 26.63041 24.32996
2006 Q3 26.60482 24.99846
2006 Q4 27.57409 26.42625
2007 Q1 26.91407 25.56282
2007 Q2 27.75855 25.19833
2007 Q3 25.93678 24.21588
2007 Q4 22.62813 21.69656
2008 Q1 20.49941 19.61982
2008 Q2 17.81856 17.00555
2008 Q3 14.34505 14.73626
2008 Q4 9.488129 11.83346
2009 Q1 4.10497 9.405902
2009 Q2 2.809909 9.241756
2009 Q3 -0.0605386 6.606609
2009 Q4 -2.616991 3.65225
2010 Q1 -4.786801 1.26847
2010 Q2 -2.749929 2.692307
2010 Q3 -4.418887 0.132294
2010 Q4 -6.498946 -2.798962
2011 Q1 -7.469729 -5.046952
2011 Q2 -11.03059 -8.456069
2011 Q3 -14.69415 -11.61465
2011 Q4 -16.64688 -14.05004
2012 Q1 -13.68042 -12.10034
2012 Q2 -15.43626 -13.42692
2012 Q3 -17.93499 -15.09446
2012 Q4 -17.52772 -14.67825
2013 Q1 -17.60184 -14.75983
2013 Q2 -16.3554 -13.52588
2013 Q3 -16.15157 -13.44444
2013 Q4 -14.59851 -12.23347
2014 Q1 -12.4534 -10.70455
2014 Q2 -11.47226 -10.46906
2014 Q3 -7.383062 -7.839441
2014 Q4 -7.345253 -7.975657
2015 Q1 -6.550734 -7.671385
2015 Q2 -6.551398 -7.748742
2015 Q3 -6.239429 -7.865096
2015 Q4 -5.925515 -7.660542
2016 Q1 -5.711432 -7.131736
2016 Q2 -5.193985 -6.386886
2016 Q3 -4.983728 -5.879999
2016 Q4 -4.771779 -5.36571
2017 Q1 -4.652215 -5.110373
2017 Q2 -4.406626 -4.423037
2017 Q3 -4.230412 -3.909307
2017 Q4 -1.194442 -1.482012
2018 Q1 0.5240785 -0.0151731
2018 Q2 0.4989767 -0.3651716
2018 Q3 1.251555 0.2000127
2018 Q4 1.857445 0.3843609
2019 Q1 4.094636 2.326157
2019 Q2 4.84346 2.548074
2019 Q3 4.757936 2.169869
2019 Q4 6.299633 3.518782
2020 Q1 5.348069 3.233518
2020 Q2 4.975007 4.277884
2020 Q3 4.318067 2.577042
2020 Q4 7.911649 3.74341
2021 Q1 9.907799 5.134894
2021 Q2 11.02058 5.310392
2021 Q3 13.73185 5.883434
2021 Q4 15.41679 5.198354
2022 Q1 21.40219 9.899309
2022 Q2 24.78303 12.69005
2022 Q3 22.72372 12.25433
2022 Q4 21.17512 12.33083
2023 Q1 20.39756 12.5479
2023 Q2 24.65418 16.17767
2023 Q3 25.35333 17.56493
2023 Q4 26.72479 18.39654
2024 Q1 25.66895 18.29692
2024 Q2 25.87649 19.20762
2024 Q3 26.75877 20.17345
2024 Q4 27.7519 21.09073
2025 Q1 25.51753 19.01283
2025 Q2 25.11378 19.24133

Note: The owners' equivalent rent value for 2025:Q2 is based on monthly data through August 2025. The data for the market-based rents model begin in 2004:Q1. Valuation is measured as the deviation from the long-run relationship between the price-to-rent ratio and the real 10-year Treasury yield.

Source: For house prices, Zillow, Inc., Real Estate Data; for rent data, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 1.19. House price-to-rent ratios dropped slightly yet remained elevated across geographic areas

Jan. 2010 = 100

Date Median Bottom Line Middle 80% Top Line Middle 80%
1996-01-01 81.9680927035815 72.6547899859857 104.969631145104
1996-02-01 81.6689469478816 72.6255085451062 104.797602425417
1996-03-01 81.5252649010734 72.3215966820543 104.561305512574
1996-04-01 81.7334956719298 72.2239270630158 105.018792058161
1996-05-01 81.8119489435191 72.098385260079 104.590773740269
1996-06-01 81.8859463315634 71.9923825084308 104.457294991799
1996-07-01 81.9094936161737 71.9351592600869 104.370979742358
1996-08-01 81.9694036013624 71.7649480903564 104.381536466208
1996-09-01 81.9964299041651 71.6385404020384 104.191741569126
1996-10-01 82.0232982975281 71.4165590044909 104.220643203818
1996-11-01 82.1049226038207 71.3794560713948 103.995635016155
1996-12-01 82.1660637080807 71.4568684031952 103.987119200164
1997-01-01 82.2822772090465 71.505263772706 103.530708583639
1997-02-01 82.3792703324983 71.5085310871314 103.597138450162
1997-03-01 82.6113802395829 71.6238241010163 103.3557119852
1997-04-01 82.9667735016861 71.7573279717474 103.025175838617
1997-05-01 83.1407187249852 71.9871853034094 103.080496268817
1997-06-01 83.308396930036 71.9711128886703 102.780928414474
1997-07-01 85.6573082112224 72.0397834123069 102.11686042639
1997-08-01 85.7499987896474 72.1564662673693 102.08668430979
1997-09-01 85.8527568437368 72.1800573553013 102.400795106823
1997-10-01 85.9312182392185 72.2090940472669 102.477046444555
1997-11-01 85.9384705107047 72.3935303623305 102.755301367339
1997-12-01 86.1312128578873 72.4849389221733 102.976024818424
1998-01-01 84.160068665193 73.1525687031387 102.556198205991
1998-02-01 84.2319069954077 73.6454532858684 102.797725971226
1998-03-01 84.313840905528 74.0570352064503 103.237360641806
1998-04-01 84.2593217234758 74.405199536993 102.501485301362
1998-05-01 84.2259700188096 74.547238802921 102.727897663556
1998-06-01 84.1818437768294 74.4264382232201 102.454785623592
1998-07-01 84.2675114910027 74.311324543261 102.782357318876
1998-08-01 84.5248503869398 74.3209322186725 103.115408416531
1998-09-01 84.880555983589 74.1214168420642 103.360258520524
1998-10-01 85.1754536130368 74.1168896076167 103.578440718756
1998-11-01 85.4191004079316 74.0721852351038 103.369012431241
1998-12-01 85.6285910053708 74.0376329950503 103.768133861788
1999-01-01 85.9582221617196 74.1053305066584 104.08914546147
1999-02-01 86.4578136178949 74.1012966822697 104.756829378479
1999-03-01 87.0953107207723 74.4916191624814 105.274725101592
1999-04-01 87.9150443706175 74.8671409237742 105.796522588384
1999-05-01 88.6794419974506 75.2957983791462 106.556280767613
1999-06-01 89.2330207621532 75.8326712085129 107.210589968348
1999-07-01 89.7766607247872 76.3923506340513 107.663319261406
1999-08-01 90.1639773066799 76.7373377135624 107.869785682126
1999-09-01 90.4144207360024 77.2166813621861 107.820345528774
1999-10-01 90.7623282395111 77.7199288709616 107.915443235278
1999-11-01 90.8346733000504 78.0872185662818 108.03128561916
1999-12-01 91.3795833835618 78.5542344902016 108.490593016346
2000-01-01 91.7117416407967 78.8072433015155 108.573393997652
2000-02-01 91.7328313844486 79.181631815121 108.539404018983
2000-03-01 91.5453591563547 79.5476107085205 108.293803305028
2000-04-01 92.1432457132076 80.0205998232408 108.351037885141
2000-05-01 92.5343418208383 80.8398628953596 108.450340628957
2000-06-01 92.9722110723941 81.3568063391857 108.57520974319
2000-07-01 93.6438113455621 82.0624694295434 108.72725894638
2000-08-01 94.1964253602194 82.6913126686217 108.790148753908
2000-09-01 95.05276647103 83.1002395282122 108.847975741236
2000-10-01 95.5531778456617 83.7565819761714 108.877250662312
2000-11-01 95.6651656637638 84.2284185490088 108.929194010469
2000-12-01 96.3252394534252 84.6220833441478 108.941238855125
2001-01-01 97.0607320906387 84.7278361221766 108.80660947142
2001-02-01 98.0688247627367 85.1096076967279 108.585392044967
2001-03-01 98.5469281021617 85.6072771194845 108.491031515137
2001-04-01 99.0491920016406 86.1562110268988 108.606112845871
2001-05-01 99.123420222346 86.523066220318 109.390568134744
2001-06-01 98.7866652317543 87.0105164367734 110.054690798129
2001-07-01 99.022028693176 87.6221852340619 110.884666752782
2001-08-01 98.8653515356844 88.035330769362 111.843800405569
2001-09-01 98.8907530235889 88.2407773827207 112.691021355832
2001-10-01 98.8857389112278 88.8350926224854 113.738953246937
2001-11-01 98.7155049646896 89.0298212280739 114.589823892951
2001-12-01 98.7599650849189 88.7180186656712 114.567940859184
2002-01-01 98.7381851175937 88.580702225265 114.800889558404
2002-02-01 98.9815951769714 88.5022120306945 115.005747549488
2002-03-01 99.2288466103159 88.5681922284899 115.355167406188
2002-04-01 99.8459504770428 88.775605891342 114.656805931691
2002-05-01 100.397645514334 89.222381678245 114.905782318738
2002-06-01 101.174773589416 89.9592433791652 115.123657202769
2002-07-01 101.982886224529 90.6556465961029 114.859401831771
2002-08-01 102.051192780051 90.7588964926219 115.140169919394
2002-09-01 102.089455209589 90.9000554214972 115.679766016139
2002-10-01 102.398279418291 91.1375616439605 116.640343277205
2002-11-01 102.691125478497 91.3300253297989 116.404231623355
2002-12-01 103.384333500159 91.5059289444137 116.437567529361
2003-01-01 103.764459544611 91.7273348626408 116.597717349149
2003-02-01 104.5868286734 91.8735294767807 116.830745413957
2003-03-01 105.006496114948 92.140997487429 118.640244717354
2003-04-01 105.508816004735 92.4082505913733 120.422719425213
2003-05-01 106.005745478129 92.7492275081264 122.0736645981
2003-06-01 106.907549655076 93.0218063706423 123.464061527612
2003-07-01 107.388202125638 93.3795074492978 125.139386532985
2003-08-01 107.937651329938 93.4974425473 126.743027552013
2003-09-01 108.492230870992 94.0408856530505 129.296327440783
2003-10-01 109.154475094682 95.0390751679711 130.657106480066
2003-11-01 109.854271452638 96.1705978721825 132.412894292914
2003-12-01 110.621064622579 97.172099653267 133.631562662407
2004-01-01 111.160381204963 98.0031498030607 135.108527171102
2004-02-01 111.837804648939 98.9429580920442 137.710064580839
2004-03-01 112.460169094302 99.9548143299864 140.143390671003
2004-04-01 113.167477266115 101.088285762472 142.778136282534
2004-05-01 114.310897252467 102.752558223321 145.048325288
2004-06-01 115.665401131447 103.646992128313 149.227632737113
2004-07-01 116.819843353466 104.605483968409 152.65611337835
2004-08-01 118.015918444759 105.704814778083 155.018256978228
2004-09-01 119.288364757579 106.261177595113 157.38979200741
2004-10-01 120.231667046204 106.437677958202 159.884849966537
2004-11-01 121.584730713909 106.554000006718 160.883971148007
2004-12-01 122.453195898047 106.358169344753 162.913917699937
2005-01-01 122.961090764278 107.010385975575 164.16250370476
2005-02-01 123.590608743 107.106765047307 166.044515281654
2005-03-01 124.06783925205 106.87198407009 168.101028526309
2005-04-01 124.896293468145 107.618350339617 169.966742566296
2005-05-01 125.404134312412 107.931378350642 172.904176115189
2005-06-01 125.68175349711 108.63906513427 174.664693132906
2005-07-01 126.450650048679 108.332516505007 174.653061644336
2005-08-01 127.351172697242 108.708928307444 174.271873378671
2005-09-01 128.0651881235 109.521138014796 173.399982983507
2005-10-01 127.978627431906 110.936667349117 173.824475800872
2005-11-01 128.436340257495 112.483587090077 173.61688320506
2005-12-01 128.859021760504 112.869793059817 174.139328085298
2006-01-01 129.369298354635 112.922122305131 174.607780985074
2006-02-01 129.884122754779 112.90818485678 174.524107178945
2006-03-01 130.852164447333 112.623429492932 173.776154192761
2006-04-01 131.236032789923 112.2895967599 174.250403324644
2006-05-01 130.952651924246 111.979320305479 173.846058629438
2006-06-01 130.878349665852 111.702919672092 172.333498806579
2006-07-01 130.804091582163 111.349126220396 171.604948173182
2006-08-01 130.566150974734 111.19382910661 170.803264208698
2006-09-01 130.405058924176 110.915184202543 170.169189687063
2006-10-01 129.931628954552 111.044717616731 169.304631501859
2006-11-01 129.619663889532 111.507391565521 168.21064837325
2006-12-01 129.343248124602 112.548089051392 167.262839105506
2007-01-01 129.473494816635 112.766653252814 165.381405733732
2007-02-01 129.472611647422 112.921065106133 164.323907961696
2007-03-01 130.221394775794 112.644399934892 163.521986876624
2007-04-01 130.610687370033 112.169340763366 162.577028459738
2007-05-01 130.55104768877 112.783449210078 161.677881926199
2007-06-01 130.754966601739 112.819284957016 161.030625134165
2007-07-01 129.856232091815 112.473156474497 159.048806385149
2007-08-01 128.841521718662 112.098824062949 156.619995432967
2007-09-01 128.529724946874 111.701244631981 154.153309520483
2007-10-01 128.021381705777 111.21698467204 151.783967991661
2007-11-01 127.281985895394 110.731623756094 149.58010353943
2007-12-01 126.367420464005 110.162772182085 147.239004890445
2008-01-01 125.40889581797 109.424414287939 144.71886850587
2008-02-01 124.239191060829 109.128694035682 142.026646056911
2008-03-01 123.255646011548 108.557980034401 139.291506710333
2008-04-01 122.253668461728 107.972895555196 136.480669188112
2008-05-01 121.042040388274 107.307824252997 133.72918666776
2008-06-01 119.418723155205 106.624949889035 131.156950118987
2008-07-01 117.542977655627 106.147884364996 128.691383803632
2008-08-01 115.66274117419 105.641385449919 126.617294718006
2008-09-01 112.771654912599 105.098060475095 124.508242482254
2008-10-01 111.343062297079 104.457788965839 122.425817927395
2008-11-01 109.781939628627 103.831207116786 120.139149599275
2008-12-01 108.39558467877 102.814075801627 117.797391350811
2009-01-01 107.236316094867 101.207479361771 115.45568446748
2009-02-01 106.06593726675 100.000599831919 113.402086677202
2009-03-01 104.804443285457 99.8393992462802 111.349398794648
2009-04-01 103.921664141259 99.6065619216778 109.233650469549
2009-05-01 103.006744273881 99.3626872655693 107.338438526879
2009-06-01 101.929246541921 99.2185321891574 105.627557896672
2009-07-01 101.259448898211 98.8057198877527 104.265240056542
2009-08-01 100.445774717294 98.1933609387193 103.026594336235
2009-09-01 100.389973127086 97.9841698448082 102.067589299028
2009-10-01 100.148747995371 98.2125830450466 101.293570155577
2009-11-01 100.161723740861 98.6725402338895 100.968289700503
2009-12-01 100.057532525398 99.5216649494021 100.602265759153
2010-01-01 100 100 100
2010-02-01 99.9389227561522 99.5548140800421 100.553591649268
2010-03-01 100.104157768882 99.4243810342851 100.815059365559
2010-04-01 99.9376930015416 98.967411766026 101.129623195263
2010-05-01 99.8750433889784 98.7707640192862 101.515872305412
2010-06-01 99.6413801047054 98.7144254862609 101.699771343594
2010-07-01 99.3277018748005 98.0342788279045 101.607695875038
2010-08-01 98.8739595532959 97.167193739992 100.503696483451
2010-09-01 98.303734497788 96.0806077612343 100.016951387395
2010-10-01 97.7178020669365 94.887211195959 99.7048879833831
2010-11-01 97.052343493072 93.8511751176712 99.1945415442436
2010-12-01 96.4097575859789 93.0055985473498 98.7719459659704
2011-01-01 95.7788468943158 92.3446778447041 98.3289030971478
2011-02-01 95.1852745710748 90.9382423002749 97.8962907176496
2011-03-01 94.6005093751776 90.4006859298356 97.1977156324162
2011-04-01 94.1226770914163 89.4056906377459 96.8714659008523
2011-05-01 93.3604119569499 88.5492166225518 96.2545391279158
2011-06-01 92.5165803811196 86.9775311453848 95.8192640324493
2011-07-01 91.8571556226539 85.935286543905 94.9828994980293
2011-08-01 91.1214479005488 85.1841548562007 94.5384898456682
2011-09-01 90.4339985806447 84.9017304003649 94.0914504788069
2011-10-01 89.8610306106893 84.5209746744536 93.6252019070139
2011-11-01 89.332121851851 84.103178906594 93.3382349773964
2011-12-01 88.8943445349075 83.3318876276874 93.1731190385947
2012-01-01 88.5406185722506 82.6751986288938 92.8691458319034
2012-02-01 88.177137661049 81.9968086121441 92.6962585338787
2012-03-01 88.0648010956202 81.9896749109648 92.7563098102406
2012-04-01 87.5680245581119 82.1198113781444 92.7892911323034
2012-05-01 87.4529180599753 82.2217072438133 92.9074355040752
2012-06-01 87.8453795781731 82.7021044907915 92.991678613266
2012-07-01 88.4239867280683 83.3974970887262 93.0858210509814
2012-08-01 89.3386410681466 83.5645188441501 93.4131231629368
2012-09-01 90.1970893576576 83.787294921064 93.3349690691398
2012-10-01 90.7086481859591 83.976163916762 94.0561733179739
2012-11-01 90.9199335228631 84.3268599796026 94.9705173140977
2012-12-01 90.8792926258021 84.9157012328645 96.0786196579697
2013-01-01 91.2851730236023 85.2410707241732 96.9192456446288
2013-02-01 91.4461615552129 85.5637010766226 98.1668573592479
2013-03-01 91.8607840202141 85.5464890623793 98.9415187220279
2013-04-01 92.2883808275946 85.5470994571785 100.024968173328
2013-05-01 92.7659444857527 85.508725652023 101.60671580767
2013-06-01 93.3794565321963 85.4696951519664 103.069404729217
2013-07-01 94.0573203278508 85.4609281972266 104.834608937311
2013-08-01 94.7823049779998 85.6148443268304 106.460928884786
2013-09-01 95.453015147823 85.7908215204628 107.744126875683
2013-10-01 96.3026927095835 86.1007264909916 108.85800933383
2013-11-01 96.898681661479 86.3136211300424 109.349080563585
2013-12-01 97.7182195463285 86.8366286200657 109.811653989317
2014-01-01 98.4797442838054 87.2772719912502 110.135770093196
2014-02-01 99.2105614578385 87.4622327596568 110.466120885118
2014-03-01 99.8008039196385 87.5839955885523 110.74547097786
2014-04-01 100.114440648501 87.9518729501753 111.021278336993
2014-05-01 100.551772713849 88.1883223539757 111.583450979696
2014-06-01 100.71936200829 88.4178885910792 112.02316375187
2014-07-01 101.027372253792 88.7793028167263 112.446583506421
2014-08-01 101.067765550182 88.9158465637976 113.428213211367
2014-09-01 101.297502200342 89.0092735801807 114.195118870579
2014-10-01 101.826415171037 88.9160206952272 114.89119630524
2014-11-01 102.238832237804 89.0665825396597 115.18197365024
2014-12-01 102.428393210023 89.2803690536095 115.933382499986
2015-01-01 102.377733596562 89.290720610727 116.643290114726
2015-02-01 102.708666204123 88.7416296881147 117.127746180854
2015-03-01 102.628747850641 88.680373361493 117.449936350062
2015-04-01 102.806001398708 88.5546875608388 118.065156902441
2015-05-01 103.026648155389 88.5486710653732 119.078081591567
2015-06-01 103.13439602958 88.3633671323463 119.586533109128
2015-07-01 103.643167145299 88.5206135071292 120.251348265756
2015-08-01 104.266873873034 88.9717551098496 120.887035028802
2015-09-01 104.840732306658 89.2589704084607 121.536498797131
2015-10-01 105.259403294182 89.7361830159599 122.323417487442
2015-11-01 105.664785677491 89.6607232820099 122.985054924704
2015-12-01 106.085051434587 89.5824020668521 123.336481430287
2016-01-01 106.497802674872 89.8332181575299 123.796829493878
2016-02-01 106.883644435986 89.6875172761795 124.259667864119
2016-03-01 107.220371654103 89.6227472699953 124.609798451985
2016-04-01 107.559396756174 89.6174714618545 124.608306923331
2016-05-01 107.756800080962 89.3500437676301 125.393919148137
2016-06-01 108.164274202215 89.7550572159966 126.082238838283
2016-07-01 108.239414059498 90.0125414815499 126.543581815758
2016-08-01 108.180195466724 90.0486590784765 126.746318903525
2016-09-01 108.021649300224 90.3001763550927 127.082880860656
2016-10-01 108.102320644994 90.5711136121562 127.415188225154
2016-11-01 108.421981565288 90.7812605093025 127.077997993542
2016-12-01 109.11997960769 90.9666055735988 127.017410007069
2017-01-01 109.705967801968 91.306154848749 127.112848998446
2017-02-01 110.270077861826 90.7153981444238 127.590725191737
2017-03-01 110.778811500925 90.619676999408 127.991984292506
2017-04-01 111.413948797767 90.4844661504534 128.2410167655
2017-05-01 111.898996097488 90.741959398805 128.493730365522
2017-06-01 112.028292997145 91.1903095483316 129.135316393654
2017-07-01 112.487922520948 91.4361419694856 129.642579332254
2017-08-01 113.07936902802 91.6415701188687 130.141397511522
2017-09-01 113.60704952606 91.8990053337603 130.607524878659
2017-10-01 114.017559224065 92.1548024452136 131.049149554708
2017-11-01 114.208075739066 92.4442293456426 131.624552570414
2017-12-01 114.303212476621 92.8068636074785 132.178986238487
2018-01-01 114.537830105593 93.0471594609891 132.761939466076
2018-02-01 114.926471290916 93.201327930594 133.098415070414
2018-03-01 115.477564152945 93.4528176352744 133.537537439752
2018-04-01 115.957206075738 93.4411404117756 133.834842979852
2018-05-01 116.442284713673 93.513408802772 134.335885922175
2018-06-01 116.357501147597 93.3302796089381 133.947016335929
2018-07-01 116.786330946962 93.4640704013208 134.614346255503
2018-08-01 116.965478180899 93.7157850066213 135.278547594062
2018-09-01 116.937957539674 93.8981808906799 135.622144337898
2018-10-01 116.768137086578 94.0248238103263 135.507012407717
2018-11-01 116.466953156416 94.0892802981493 135.36101401384
2018-12-01 115.961808399506 93.9067241939868 135.468201129185
2019-01-01 115.872604864401 93.9939222754407 135.326008072096
2019-02-01 115.496227314899 94.0559164293295 134.766190648422
2019-03-01 115.002374391272 94.0547945589649 134.370660706065
2019-04-01 114.605730833972 94.0678644332223 133.955575367082
2019-05-01 114.265246104178 94.2353567045941 133.5694714725
2019-06-01 114.113533253217 94.441104434 133.026470570173
2019-07-01 113.940471397793 94.5401327220855 132.897595884478
2019-08-01 113.844935449651 94.602008919237 133.420777626578
2019-09-01 113.646005760901 94.720066327049 133.602050793963
2019-10-01 113.957412563873 94.8990203185067 134.305898824382
2019-11-01 113.888285940093 94.782033741382 135.185778377499
2019-12-01 114.064317747044 94.9332534790597 135.706981764912
2020-01-01 114.050594408234 94.9645973688486 135.754574687802
2020-02-01 114.246854777903 94.9174390989065 135.711394440312
2020-03-01 114.560303010633 94.8347537435472 135.947972853448
2020-04-01 114.488288454107 94.9309659543491 136.869787804001
2020-05-01 114.270381736702 94.5237512132864 135.924300843447
2020-06-01 114.175450885762 94.2484746593041 135.27259830291
2020-07-01 114.498294788429 94.1521040411854 134.927278863903
2020-08-01 115.284411891993 94.2007450410506 135.389658218195
2020-09-01 116.613455232236 95.0659919000615 136.777589193097
2020-10-01 118.543269259953 95.9976718302206 138.287810522845
2020-11-01 120.69967367923 97.1693475559561 140.36130593727
2020-12-01 122.308091279164 98.2754526401327 141.505641636182
2021-01-01 124.122711338104 99.1933042268359 142.875455293286
2021-02-01 125.727371855057 100.051499461825 144.374348315845
2021-03-01 126.870192289049 100.845390571408 145.695764901938
2021-04-01 128.123999908174 101.352661907034 147.262947204648
2021-05-01 129.798589624351 102.138864976139 149.263892594521
2021-06-01 131.868240985196 102.896715732589 151.354361042017
2021-07-01 133.369704376286 103.496705226883 153.991655443485
2021-08-01 134.684211058288 104.303782114776 156.073647774317
2021-09-01 134.849739742748 104.158140412614 156.753818350802
2021-10-01 135.148668384038 104.525483457161 157.67421305111
2021-11-01 136.169408499057 104.154215698525 159.196978558946
2021-12-01 137.072231219881 104.639455315084 160.535812332962
2022-01-01 138.26289542703 105.428468904732 161.80851483786
2022-02-01 141.137809620908 106.002737104774 164.363730756982
2022-03-01 143.576873612055 107.032053034407 167.80197873703
2022-04-01 145.634518116754 107.890228338861 170.645653676766
2022-05-01 147.081319762657 108.364059768888 171.942824472588
2022-06-01 147.378147430145 108.459540405098 172.858057901204
2022-07-01 147.145692083744 108.014530498106 170.996570047712
2022-08-01 145.727170291815 107.432781246298 167.827579134157
2022-09-01 143.7890948356 106.618978948893 164.088527212852
2022-10-01 142.093097784051 105.313072718192 161.414996114928
2022-11-01 140.07853136717 104.660791560116 158.68567731238
2022-12-01 138.156519679283 103.890818799101 156.109353075717
2023-01-01 135.535640172892 103.427280051525 153.465772880203
2023-02-01 133.954359917404 102.684016129802 151.834877568165
2023-03-01 132.707475997314 101.994982124316 149.399044054721
2023-04-01 132.050196903368 101.900898893584 147.763266013881
2023-05-01 131.678929472058 102.008366734604 146.809568499166
2023-06-01 131.696658398431 102.36655810986 146.445714678852
2023-07-01 132.534632172646 102.987065959829 147.665866541962
2023-08-01 133.54864321513 103.573186448916 149.436276524543
2023-09-01 134.277593897949 103.998305732189 150.848734307628
2023-10-01 135.143565213064 103.926550360744 151.677393004291
2023-11-01 134.909375082151 103.697116958966 151.324033530202
2023-12-01 134.742593766581 103.700653815387 150.745258364839
2024-01-01 134.260263964771 103.486325294046 149.931951863401
2024-02-01 134.101353223489 103.453122160283 149.742087244698
2024-03-01 134.232900151661 103.585427742781 149.68495754144
2024-04-01 134.533713825556 103.618940230261 149.978556521296
2024-05-01 133.913197336297 103.505150515251 150.848057854474
2024-06-01 134.02079663843 103.018771614113 151.302469453227
2024-07-01 133.988208546642 102.731406530504 151.304721826389
2024-08-01 133.604498554043 102.50824097217 150.398985954412
2024-09-01 133.463203054414 102.63607640856 150.122194124177
2024-10-01 133.369286855968 102.841420410034 150.068659454541
2024-11-01 133.817373285949 102.921718400272 149.866287709644
2024-12-01 133.02662225191 102.888390814261 149.544671872766
2025-01-01 133.037744888028 102.841676454166 149.607922055585
2025-02-01 132.510683019291 102.722369795441 149.430157470682
2025-03-01 131.653359514705 102.296808487224 148.652331436911
2025-04-01 130.449502136932 101.848792037808 147.114022952686
2025-05-01 129.456707220962 101.517066869126 145.276473551654
2025-06-01 127.90603273031 101.566550219067 143.438304879842
2025-07-01 127.124639366127 101.424750583213 142.177671236989
2025-08-01 126.619405500872 101.345477982365 141.502892816555

Note: The data are seasonally adjusted. Percentiles are based on 19 large metropolitan statistical areas.

Source: For house prices, Zillow, Inc., Real Estate Data; for rent data, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Figure 1.20. Inflation-adjusted farmland prices rose further in 2025 from already elevated levels

2024 dollars per acre

Date Midwest index United States
1967 3114.711338  
1968 3266.997176  
1969 3203.711225  
1970 3064.406983  
1971 2864.259695  
1972 2868.765719  
1973 3085.283318  
1974 3724.982131  
1975 4149.766328  
1976 4875.091088  
1977 5850.606435  
1978 6109.652364  
1979 6199.759303  
1980 6204.544669  
1981 5902.393678  
1982 5378.790729  
1983 4566.453569  
1984 4013.682787  
1985 2862.170505  
1986 2273.220326  
1987 1933.950558  
1988 2118.440786  
1989 2317.932066  
1990 2327.056723  
1991 2276.444084  
1992 2283.314212  
1993 2285.736631  
1994 2771.834812  
1995 2674.715818  
1996 2856.322463  
1997 2628.557873 2481.833037
1998 2778.156485 2578.733787
1999 2804.892124 2636.37999
2000 2767.706749 2659.819987
2001 2747.991449 2675.549419
2002 2789.430113 2773.05164
2003 2826.082784 2830.100018
2004 2953.567246 2906.019013
2005 3412.699901 3309.410396
2006 3680.735246 3719.706396
2007 4078.754375 3827.720505
2008 4551.311337 4022.248202
2009 4325.375031 3903.593392
2010 4555.807633 3883.891408
2011 5287.410567 4156.175862
2012 6191.886882 4577.314646
2013 7089.817827 5130.627888
2014 7627.326957 5420.121827
2015 7324.072836 5426.800083
2016 6979.714743 5280.461017
2017 6764.497843 5157.462104
2018 6601.079119 5059.652548
2019 6406.341094 5006.353323
2020 6205.137709 4920.165781
2021 6396.438301 5035.967327
2022 6858.983649 5295.737173
2023 7090.037445 5477.025443
2024 7174.933792 5570
2025 7318.91222 5677.35701

Note: The data for the U.S. begin in 1997. Midwest index is a weighted average of Corn Belt and Great Plains states derived from staff calculations. Values are given in real terms. The value for 2025 is based on monthly data through July 2025. The Midwest median value is $3,735 2024 dollars per acre.

Source: Department of Agriculture; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis staff calculations.

Figure 1.21. Farmland prices relative to rents increased to historical highs in 2025

Ratio

Date Midwest index United States
1967 14.13418315  
1968 14.19879016  
1969 14.19528763  
1970 13.99434936  
1971 13.50686423  
1972 13.4008375  
1973 14.17058401  
1974 14.52808886  
1975 14.60469881  
1976 16.1613832  
1977 18.02016694  
1978 19.56115904  
1979 20.57529648  
1980 21.54630274  
1981 21.24967971  
1982 19.55679439  
1983 17.41888327  
1984 15.94691892  
1985 12.99502491  
1986 11.89889043  
1987 11.72150084  
1988 12.5228119  
1989 13.29508303  
1990 13.40922896  
1991 13.50559036  
1992 13.73775651  
1993 13.88773898  
1994 17.97416274  
1995 17.34956535  
1996 18.36206647  
1997 16.6669417  
1998 17.46987848 20.15037594
1999 18.1991863 20.74074074
2000 17.83993333 20.85714286
2001 17.9534721 21.26760563
2002 18.17789453 22.20670391
2003 18.63356997 22.73972603
2004 19.44520488 22.87581699
2005 22.49879125 26.41025641
2006 24.60507286 30.06289308
2007 25.78446123 32.64516129
2008 26.32248824 32.28070175
2009 24.43030238 26.96969697
2010 25.43891798 26.47058824
2011 27.83627176 26.84684685
2012 28.47719386 26.8
2013 30.44885464 28.01470588
2014 32.18539376 29.0070922
2015 31.64414073 28.47222222
2016 32.1020429 29.70588235
2017 32.28286079 29.63235294
2018 31.88732337 29.34782609
2019 31.69066141 29.14285714
2020 31.22402639 29.20863309
2021 32.63138601 30.85106383
2022 35.18499877 33.37837838
2023 35.8479229 34.32258065
2024 36.3370819 34.8125
2025 38.45096107 36.21118012

Note: The data for the U.S. begin in 1998. Midwest index is a weighted average of Corn Belt and Great Plains states derived from staff calculations. The value for 2025 is based on monthly data through July 2025. The Midwest median ratio value is 18.20.

Source: Department of Agriculture; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis staff calculations.

Figure 2.1. The total debt of businesses and households relative to GDP remained at its lowest level in over 20 years

Ratio

Date Private Nonfinancial-Sector Credit-to-GDP Ratio
1980 Q1 0.97690406840244
1980 Q2 0.986460409701747
1980 Q3 0.985762211782811
1980 Q4 0.970645008619832
1981 Q1 0.945661073565572
1981 Q2 0.962580931987408
1981 Q3 0.956740596618607
1981 Q4 0.971714066430994
1982 Q1 0.992005624404835
1982 Q2 0.994518561380468
1982 Q3 0.998200706884249
1982 Q4 1.00177513349504
1983 Q1 0.998792254189179
1983 Q2 0.992476070512075
1983 Q3 0.989277018003193
1983 Q4 0.990527592914971
1984 Q1 0.994903601639077
1984 Q2 1.00582127747873
1984 Q3 1.0173845871335
1984 Q4 1.03731977743554
1985 Q1 1.05476165485626
1985 Q2 1.0692320892261
1985 Q3 1.07819825644044
1985 Q4 1.10435602847285
1986 Q1 1.11505106375616
1986 Q2 1.13359858668438
1986 Q3 1.15175135193088
1986 Q4 1.17386020821332
1987 Q1 1.17852862124843
1987 Q2 1.18574100737387
1987 Q3 1.19426088968186
1987 Q4 1.18912562594923
1988 Q1 1.20281067503034
1988 Q2 1.20499337576849
1988 Q3 1.2096593968958
1988 Q4 1.2114270019737
1989 Q1 1.21102515163067
1989 Q2 1.21535839078137
1989 Q3 1.21740292325426
1989 Q4 1.22944938585272
1990 Q1 1.22831760036821
1990 Q2 1.22658450597883
1990 Q3 1.2283274337519
1990 Q4 1.24203307624169
1991 Q1 1.24132245975181
1991 Q2 1.23189717672766
1991 Q3 1.21616639034525
1991 Q4 1.21021144409645
1992 Q1 1.20013792015278
1992 Q2 1.1847809910516
1992 Q3 1.17579794601228
1992 Q4 1.16360952418444
1993 Q1 1.16403829787803
1993 Q2 1.16434689751223
1993 Q3 1.16769610081112
1993 Q4 1.16216217372249
1994 Q1 1.16464380214209
1994 Q2 1.16126095308483
1994 Q3 1.16525625505127
1994 Q4 1.16684841685526
1995 Q1 1.17558086375038
1995 Q2 1.18723790551559
1995 Q3 1.18994523712682
1995 Q4 1.19393596931575
1996 Q1 1.2009556371075
1996 Q2 1.19730979329851
1996 Q3 1.19961204750764
1996 Q4 1.19584126484863
1997 Q1 1.20118514993145
1997 Q2 1.2004551097129
1997 Q3 1.20671229228624
1997 Q4 1.21409809618103
1998 Q1 1.23042526459204
1998 Q2 1.24994562247852
1998 Q3 1.25534636897294
1998 Q4 1.26176773788569
1999 Q1 1.27890763840087
1999 Q2 1.28949855189
1999 Q3 1.30366971946682
1999 Q4 1.30309644209104
2000 Q1 1.32308959877643
2000 Q2 1.32043547247583
2000 Q3 1.33713397682631
2000 Q4 1.34298666199554
2001 Q1 1.35453487129367
2001 Q2 1.36723162562506
2001 Q3 1.39691178163468
2001 Q4 1.40366850789342
2002 Q1 1.41058951175407
2002 Q2 1.41433906531
2002 Q3 1.4234105119792
2002 Q4 1.43876150585553
2003 Q1 1.44592451008933
2003 Q2 1.4616710007084
2003 Q3 1.45508183903248
2003 Q4 1.45309293036479
2004 Q1 1.46673709372801
2004 Q2 1.47415344822818
2004 Q3 1.48195741886001
2004 Q4 1.4945497857704
2005 Q1 1.49668324184169
2005 Q2 1.51572672057509
2005 Q3 1.52405102413959
2005 Q4 1.53978511586884
2006 Q1 1.55413363766586
2006 Q2 1.57813821489107
2006 Q3 1.59606077437451
2006 Q4 1.61247866742263
2007 Q1 1.62428361529134
2007 Q2 1.64631946964335
2007 Q3 1.6639778436276
2007 Q4 1.67799535686506
2008 Q1 1.70478660579397
2008 Q2 1.69708707312222
2008 Q3 1.71013804350212
2008 Q4 1.72559100160738
2009 Q1 1.73832349495548
2009 Q2 1.73586011661306
2009 Q3 1.71490001786989
2009 Q4 1.67492682705754
2010 Q1 1.65668148362876
2010 Q2 1.62450577238891
2010 Q3 1.60329640044151
2010 Q4 1.57917698544052
2011 Q1 1.57685281544777
2011 Q2 1.55835109910379
2011 Q3 1.55112208327369
2011 Q4 1.53662448013254
2012 Q1 1.52022829326761
2012 Q2 1.51223311490046
2012 Q3 1.5104039384441
2012 Q4 1.51139693816583
2013 Q1 1.49667498368742
2013 Q2 1.50008778333888
2013 Q3 1.49235246909874
2013 Q4 1.48867931102217
2014 Q1 1.50313692416991
2014 Q2 1.48914593640052
2014 Q3 1.47315014164051
2014 Q4 1.48061204955606
2015 Q1 1.48337387450702
2015 Q2 1.48714946522344
2015 Q3 1.49142956171373
2015 Q4 1.49636078104546
2016 Q1 1.50983402563315
2016 Q2 1.50874634493431
2016 Q3 1.51020685887239
2016 Q4 1.50197342721311
2017 Q1 1.50871858234643
2017 Q2 1.51619683534494
2017 Q3 1.51235984896861
2017 Q4 1.50874183913351
2018 Q1 1.50195589425376
2018 Q2 1.51049909741609
2018 Q3 1.50992685611093
2018 Q4 1.5151922038705
2019 Q1 1.51781409272627
2019 Q2 1.51281801078216
2019 Q3 1.50808832329036
2019 Q4 1.50392853907386
2020 Q1 1.56020687190311
2020 Q2 1.73327611066499
2020 Q3 1.60457891628334
2020 Q4 1.58990101036077
2021 Q1 1.56880078576082
2021 Q2 1.5618946713276
2021 Q3 1.54770888242572
2021 Q4 1.52388355579199
2022 Q1 1.52693117445079
2022 Q2 1.51763720853544
2022 Q3 1.50909227809643
2022 Q4 1.49409234353887
2023 Q1 1.48213637012475
2023 Q2 1.47344852743665
2023 Q3 1.45245302503173
2023 Q4 1.43940837838273
2024 Q1 1.43771936488722
2024 Q2 1.42810080500788
2024 Q3 1.42134194805146
2024 Q4 1.40007249578561
2025 Q1 1.39899307348987
2025 Q2 1.38954161142087

Note: The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: January 1980-July 1980, July 1981-November 1982, July 1990-March 1991, March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020. GDP is gross domestic product.

Source: Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on Bureau of Economic Analysis, national income and product accounts, and Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States."

Figure 2.2. Both business and household debt-to-GDP ratios continued to fall

Ratio

Date Nonfinancial business credit-to-GDP Household credit-to-GDP
1980 Q1 0.497089082464168 0.479814985938272
1980 Q2 0.503135465254283 0.483324944447463
1980 Q3 0.502212335938985 0.483549875843826
1980 Q4 0.494959232062895 0.475685776556937
1981 Q1 0.483995613605505 0.461665459960067
1981 Q2 0.496222963119425 0.466357968867983
1981 Q3 0.497047944111054 0.459692652507553
1981 Q4 0.506418521234643 0.46529554519635
1982 Q1 0.520148110956167 0.471857513448668
1982 Q2 0.524987604937857 0.469530956442611
1982 Q3 0.532621656514142 0.465579050370107
1982 Q4 0.532162097902139 0.469613035592896
1983 Q1 0.535836654034519 0.462955600154661
1983 Q2 0.530769677840467 0.461706392671608
1983 Q3 0.528241107303278 0.461035910699915
1983 Q4 0.526836334619863 0.463691258295109
1984 Q1 0.53095428057033 0.463949321068747
1984 Q2 0.539386587343728 0.466434690135004
1984 Q3 0.548403011568832 0.468981575564669
1984 Q4 0.560616465845545 0.476703311589998
1985 Q1 0.563395354510743 0.491366300345518
1985 Q2 0.570321174922646 0.49891091430345
1985 Q3 0.571316774312234 0.506881482128207
1985 Q4 0.580125892926657 0.524230135546188
1986 Q1 0.586240492788872 0.528810570967285
1986 Q2 0.597604359629863 0.535994227054522
1986 Q3 0.606116672009209 0.54563467992167
1986 Q4 0.617304906554346 0.556555301658978
1987 Q1 0.622311079938909 0.556217541309521
1987 Q2 0.622555220799973 0.563185786573897
1987 Q3 0.626249064653791 0.568011825028073
1987 Q4 0.626274112948218 0.562851513001014
1988 Q1 0.632230398244008 0.570580276786327
1988 Q2 0.633170752572815 0.571822623195677
1988 Q3 0.634549063145073 0.575110333750723
1988 Q4 0.636912911896248 0.57451409007745
1989 Q1 0.636353838228802 0.574671313401871
1989 Q2 0.637711464645736 0.577646926135638
1989 Q3 0.635508874321488 0.581894048932773
1989 Q4 0.640293414035301 0.589155971817414
1990 Q1 0.635767255986641 0.592550344381572
1990 Q2 0.632316492472854 0.594268013505977
1990 Q3 0.630873951558042 0.59745348219386
1990 Q4 0.634807742492464 0.607225333749228
1991 Q1 0.627908240651726 0.613414219100083
1991 Q2 0.618510421811361 0.613386754916301
1991 Q3 0.605622809255073 0.610543581090172
1991 Q4 0.59480648219981 0.615404961896644
1992 Q1 0.586127017923019 0.614010902229762
1992 Q2 0.575229690841714 0.609551300209883
1992 Q3 0.567154653345599 0.608643292666677
1992 Q4 0.556485500320845 0.607124023863598
1993 Q1 0.555042686195131 0.608995611682901
1993 Q2 0.553508850644719 0.610838046867508
1993 Q3 0.553012903913894 0.614683196897225
1993 Q4 0.5482899418256 0.613872231896886
1994 Q1 0.549388868370741 0.615254933771354
1994 Q2 0.546313467038668 0.614947486046162
1994 Q3 0.547564852357942 0.61769140269333
1994 Q4 0.545779049716121 0.621069367139137
1995 Q1 0.550259635065869 0.625321228684514
1995 Q2 0.555906564796161 0.631331340719433
1995 Q3 0.55480862279346 0.63513661433336
1995 Q4 0.556647041280727 0.637288928035019
1996 Q1 0.55591037543776 0.645045261669743
1996 Q2 0.554180090727563 0.643129702570946
1996 Q3 0.555589388701194 0.644022658806445
1996 Q4 0.552173540888724 0.643667723959902
1997 Q1 0.555859951175793 0.645325198755658
1997 Q2 0.55730502739521 0.643150082317691
1997 Q3 0.562987608081107 0.643724684205137
1997 Q4 0.568830356060132 0.645267740120903
1998 Q1 0.580175672871309 0.650249591720728
1998 Q2 0.593431284594946 0.656514337883579
1998 Q3 0.599833879630926 0.655512489342017
1998 Q4 0.604269253112038 0.657498484773656
1999 Q1 0.614626269778346 0.664281368622527
1999 Q2 0.618294368904318 0.671204182985678
1999 Q3 0.629408733236939 0.67426098622988
1999 Q4 0.62826634575632 0.674830096334719
2000 Q1 0.638691129202947 0.68439846957348
2000 Q2 0.639929857568318 0.680505614907511
2000 Q3 0.645111994235409 0.692021982590897
2000 Q4 0.648424395998982 0.69456226599656
2001 Q1 0.650597489205348 0.703937382088323
2001 Q2 0.654668931031229 0.71256269459383
2001 Q3 0.661481389920004 0.735430391714679
2001 Q4 0.663366466659756 0.740302041233661
2002 Q1 0.660939676357398 0.749649835396671
2002 Q2 0.658076080187665 0.756262985122333
2002 Q3 0.655404295687197 0.768006216292002
2002 Q4 0.655105898123688 0.783655607731837
2003 Q1 0.650015495614916 0.795909014474417
2003 Q2 0.643842628761171 0.817828371947232
2003 Q3 0.634707797033009 0.820374041999473
2003 Q4 0.624916222358475 0.828176708006314
2004 Q1 0.629125788876321 0.837611304851693
2004 Q2 0.625341177917767 0.848812270310411
2004 Q3 0.625890764041889 0.85606665481812
2004 Q4 0.625979647190509 0.868570138579895
2005 Q1 0.625753821133168 0.87092942070852
2005 Q2 0.630467142358351 0.885259578216738
2005 Q3 0.629492684956343 0.894558339183248
2005 Q4 0.635135652381185 0.90464946348765
2006 Q1 0.638556719679745 0.915576917986111
2006 Q2 0.64695816838047 0.9311800465106
2006 Q3 0.652133626451206 0.943927147923301
2006 Q4 0.661775369028659 0.950703298393967
2007 Q1 0.671102083189859 0.953181532101484
2007 Q2 0.684142126117599 0.962177343525749
2007 Q3 0.698608230076702 0.965369613550894
2007 Q4 0.710050820051134 0.967944536813922
2008 Q1 0.72483231607602 0.979954289717947
2008 Q2 0.730930885802156 0.96615618732006
2008 Q3 0.738854133757577 0.971283909744541
2008 Q4 0.756039634975102 0.969551366632282
2009 Q1 0.76059729322533 0.977726201730148
2009 Q2 0.756518980705136 0.979341135907929
2009 Q3 0.743500154544829 0.971399863325066
2009 Q4 0.719176160339641 0.955750666717902
2010 Q1 0.711792319607494 0.944889164021264
2010 Q2 0.697107306961933 0.927398465426981
2010 Q3 0.69245846890624 0.910837931535272
2010 Q4 0.679701144533117 0.899475840907402
2011 Q1 0.678482446737272 0.898370368710496
2011 Q2 0.6751315230513 0.883219576052485
2011 Q3 0.676320579152948 0.874801504120739
2011 Q4 0.674238250996907 0.86238622913563
2012 Q1 0.670202918014127 0.85002537525348
2012 Q2 0.671557214223506 0.840675900676956
2012 Q3 0.677752946605545 0.832650991838557
2012 Q4 0.685998146575919 0.82539879158991
2013 Q1 0.680699624445638 0.815975359241777
2013 Q2 0.68721310883514 0.812874674503743
2013 Q3 0.689724297235824 0.802628171862914
2013 Q4 0.687958930245482 0.800720380776685
2014 Q1 0.699027860524448 0.804109063645463
2014 Q2 0.69670967413435 0.79243626226617
2014 Q3 0.696717936885553 0.77643220475496
2014 Q4 0.706487616540771 0.774124433015285
2015 Q1 0.71293599384705 0.770437880659975
2015 Q2 0.719857411881891 0.767292053341549
2015 Q3 0.725326066294359 0.766103495419372
2015 Q4 0.73274275097603 0.763618030069427
2016 Q1 0.744692750427198 0.765141275205951
2016 Q2 0.745213984275722 0.763532360658587
2016 Q3 0.747557871613383 0.762648987259006
2016 Q4 0.743079279844567 0.758894147368545
2017 Q1 0.75022323554192 0.758495346804506
2017 Q2 0.756856021276794 0.759340814068143
2017 Q3 0.757513572995332 0.754846275973278
2017 Q4 0.758506425684211 0.7502354134493
2018 Q1 0.75604982804236 0.745906066211402
2018 Q2 0.768558555616972 0.74194054179912
2018 Q3 0.769738056121696 0.74018879998923
2018 Q4 0.774246102626047 0.740946101244453
2019 Q1 0.778798148884973 0.739015943841301
2019 Q2 0.7756503453744 0.73716766540776
2019 Q3 0.774610007905726 0.733478315384633
2019 Q4 0.770793541138995 0.733134997934867
2020 Q1 0.816042700649959 0.744164171253149
2020 Q2 0.923321039862581 0.809955070802405
2020 Q3 0.849621992037849 0.75495692424549
2020 Q4 0.837623080559022 0.752277929801749
2021 Q1 0.82536759348579 0.743433192275033
2021 Q2 0.812711565954108 0.749183105373495
2021 Q3 0.802924472171839 0.744784410253879
2021 Q4 0.790412596318148 0.733470959473837
2022 Q1 0.791372134410668 0.735559040040123
2022 Q2 0.786281172649843 0.731356035885601
2022 Q3 0.779955114430635 0.72913716366579
2022 Q4 0.770814785252162 0.723277558286703
2023 Q1 0.76653809856504 0.715598271559713
2023 Q2 0.760708796259216 0.712739731177435
2023 Q3 0.748246383969479 0.704206641062252
2023 Q4 0.740139798025114 0.69926858035762
2024 Q1 0.74009860819716 0.697620756690058
2024 Q2 0.736161992962305 0.691938812045571
2024 Q3 0.733012038900958 0.688329909150497
2024 Q4 0.722769705143794 0.677302790641814
2025 Q1 0.72377195971535 0.675221113774521
2025 Q2 0.718706152639486 0.670835458781386

Note: The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: January 1980-July 1980, July 1981-November 1982, July 1990-March 1991, March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020. GDP is gross domestic product.

Source: Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on Bureau of Economic Analysis, national income and product accounts, and Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States."

Figure 2.3. Business debt adjusted for inflation turned slightly positive

Percent change, annual rate

Data Growth of agg debt
1997 Q1 5.52456779452303
1997 Q2 6.44216909942136
1997 Q3 10.1060539485426
1997 Q4 7.69096427536645
1998 Q1 11.4857624449358
1998 Q2 12.6789920929069
1998 Q3 9.71653611804857
1998 Q4 9.32593040469587
1999 Q1 10.895636424269
1999 Q2 5.89520925056234
1999 Q3 10.3402928377138
1999 Q4 6.19014417362738
2000 Q1 8.73097715931734
2000 Q2 9.22244674077443
2000 Q3 4.07778231720152
2000 Q4 4.65804975695008
2001 Q1 1.10059426984592
2001 Q2 5.90661491692362
2001 Q3 3.09608783753054
2001 Q4 1.5714653866927
2002 Q1 1.90650020054845
2002 Q2 -0.0960769840191249
2002 Q3 -0.218624967423898
2002 Q4 1.21146060740148
2003 Q1 -0.25446293626309
2003 Q2 -0.619419916125721
2003 Q3 1.34411080478388
2003 Q4 -1.7312911899151
2004 Q1 4.36225987725782
2004 Q2 1.61763912703716
2004 Q3 5.28334508471924
2004 Q4 5.10101358471634
2005 Q1 4.6734773511042
2005 Q2 5.93588698273248
2005 Q3 4.62373815694491
2005 Q4 6.48737586940555
2006 Q1 8.0377633906001
2006 Q2 6.67187796996092
2006 Q3 4.4699296446199
2006 Q4 9.14611113375224
2007 Q1 7.69444537175214
2007 Q2 11.4689009252832
2007 Q3 11.1067038810052
2007 Q4 8.0274747192925
2008 Q1 6.00807669676147
2008 Q2 6.11169952658457
2008 Q3 3.45294629242697
2008 Q4 1.71300716361679
2009 Q1 -2.72900906921535
2009 Q2 -4.97330415952638
2009 Q3 -6.3345821790313
2009 Q4 -6.55087551289945
2010 Q1 -4.00046449855629
2010 Q2 -3.52253390171227
2010 Q3 1.09074071254598
2010 Q4 -0.634754218807967
2011 Q1 -1.27241018040656
2011 Q2 1.09911015186304
2011 Q3 1.26873146425858
2011 Q4 2.36617962498225
2012 Q1 1.04995740917977
2012 Q2 2.67034690761557
2012 Q3 5.40381297657224
2012 Q4 6.54619908409621
2013 Q1 0.908364775789684
2013 Q2 4.69736487026702
2013 Q3 5.3323587529976
2013 Q4 3.27547051319596
2014 Q1 5.34046163853564
2014 Q2 4.38517396324906
2014 Q3 5.03671186885043
2014 Q4 7.00354750587963
2015 Q1 6.85228207145445
2015 Q2 6.95848444978425
2015 Q3 4.45247111455724
2015 Q4 4.56341764085781
2016 Q1 6.86911801008977
2016 Q2 2.11365501150121
2016 Q3 3.41322599904324
2016 Q4 0.510178973756922
2017 Q1 4.20674880613192
2017 Q2 5.52858494028905
2017 Q3 4.37872190727741
2017 Q4 3.80522383802792
2018 Q1 1.96489745843478
2018 Q2 1.03074687192958
2018 Q3 3.58541605102482
2018 Q4 2.7896288415726
2019 Q1 4.83377669756504
2019 Q2 2.41073105397218
2019 Q3 4.24030260062751
2019 Q4 0.888608373937589
2020 Q1 18.1674550718838
2020 Q2 16.0344238550585
2020 Q3 -2.69847280676837
2020 Q4 -0.487734202080895
2021 Q1 1.32271410148781
2021 Q2 -3.07693685030864
2021 Q3 -0.0610092958173905
2021 Q4 1.8588891479217
2022 Q1 1.53890274509702
2022 Q2 1.97615732490334
2022 Q3 -0.976753345050049
2022 Q4 -1.33324836178064
2023 Q1 -0.231605087119886
2023 Q2 -2.37454538148554
2023 Q3 -1.1133811864485
2023 Q4 -1.48267802107081
2024 Q1 0.0305734621202913
2024 Q2 1.12913400096372
2024 Q3 0.939965323099101
2024 Q4 -1.84531059000002
2025 Q1 1.91854008306061
2025 Q2 1.03026882985513

Note: Nominal debt growth is seasonally adjusted and is translated into real terms after subtracting the growth rate of the price deflator for the core personal consumption expenditures price index.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States."

Figure 2.4. Net issuance of risky debt fell in the middle of 2025

Billions of dollars

Date Institutional leveraged loans High-yield and unrated bonds
2004 Q2 17.2438049316406 -12.7997829915
2004 Q3 5.23060607910156 -4.7444686799
2004 Q4 21.0927886962891 -13.2517237499027
2005 Q1 10.4766082763672 2.97369487239999
2005 Q2 14.6851043701172 -6.410706469
2005 Q3 9.51528930664062 -12.991040792
2005 Q4 20.6117095947266 2.72848883801281
2006 Q1 27.1632843017578 -13.66462260049
2006 Q2 40.140625 12.5665759
2006 Q3 17.8547973632813 -5.58880446140401
2006 Q4 66.3043823242188 30.5087983381185
2007 Q1 40.6788024902344 0.19438353519999
2007 Q2 54.3095092773438 23.3461726256
2007 Q3 25.7214050292969 -7.04300563787999
2007 Q4 36.057373046875 -10.4225800406
2008 Q1 2.209228515625 -20.137899142
2008 Q2 26.2244873046875 3.03224333508
2008 Q3 6.596923828125 -0.386358803119998
2008 Q4 4.79547119140625 -23.475024039
2009 Q1 -11.8175048828125 -25.4492457618
2009 Q2 -15.52490234375 2.31024644920001
2009 Q3 -13.2594604492188 -9.1909206677
2009 Q4 -24.9891357421875 -9.211476421
2010 Q1 -17.8472900390625 3.29614121840999
2010 Q2 -9.70620727539062 13.21006038522
2010 Q3 11.7539978027344 14.20725090757
2010 Q4 -15.3392028808594 25.00720073417
2011 Q1 -4.48370361328125 0.525360469560003
2011 Q2 25.4903869628906 16.39558409807
2011 Q3 -5.516845703125 -7.89381352476999
2011 Q4 3.91107177734375 3.67994934657
2012 Q1 -6.46658325195313 23.27321088568
2012 Q2 18.4444885253906 -13.41272508643
2012 Q3 -4.3779296875 38.551299447
2012 Q4 25.9595336914063 21.514433235054
2013 Q1 11.3007202148438 23.0538808032
2013 Q2 31.3078002929688 19.65314829777
2013 Q3 45.1636962890625 25.86382232293
2013 Q4 43.5355834960938 24.45471547174
2014 Q1 29.44970703125 16.13022019701
2014 Q2 45.6138916015625 15.23672500528
2014 Q3 48.42529296875 32.9089474055
2014 Q4 26.1719970703125 3.99923349074401
2015 Q1 6.462890625 32.918267314
2015 Q2 -3.11236572265625 4.34897208896001
2015 Q3 8.57940673828125 -0.680115462000011
2015 Q4 28.799560546875 -13.22171942204
2016 Q1 9.0941162109375 -0.651168015490006
2016 Q2 4.985595703125 2.29172081972001
2016 Q3 -12.8767700195313 -3.45296512689999
2016 Q4 7.194580078125 -44.46958316503
2017 Q1 -4.2435302734375 9.0480177782
2017 Q2 49.00634765625 -9.45783064710999
2017 Q3 13.031982421875 -2.19109402510999
2017 Q4 16.81396484375 -3.25290545473999
2018 Q1 34.333251953125 16.272991855113
2018 Q2 54.8770141601563 -8.73682443242
2018 Q3 45.0819091796875 10.28165573089
2018 Q4 57.5950927734375 -20.52812190214
2019 Q1 33.6610107421875 13.72413095774
2019 Q2 16.1658935546875 19.040025168757
2019 Q3 -16.1549072265625 11.01588355029
2019 Q4 12.594970703125 9.70150317656999
2020 Q1 3.09814453125 4.84085537497
2020 Q2 -11.4285888671875 89.88120892529
2020 Q3 14.3199462890625 7.30188958297999
2020 Q4 -6.167724609375 -9.65000869120002
2021 Q1 13.6552734375 21.49987596717
2021 Q2 51.3404541015625 31.08767438325
2021 Q3 41.23828125 14.70553534896
2021 Q4 41.805908203125 3.55487644673
2022 Q1 49.3033447265625 -11.89424530992
2022 Q2 24.0108642578125 -10.92350721956
2022 Q3 16.0382080078125 -20.62520499021
2022 Q4 -17.26318359375 -16.02160788531
2023 Q1 -14.5274658203125 1.49928029038
2023 Q2 -4.7691650390625 -1.71521450415
2023 Q3 14.095458984375 -1.01690539198
2023 Q4 -10.7762451171875 -3.761433551
2024 Q1 -9.39404296875 -2.44551003096001
2024 Q2 4.4625244140625 15.303700208
2024 Q3 -9.58837890625 3.98859679808
2024 Q4 35.608154296875 -11.292474544
2025 Q1 50.62158203125 3.67200249715599
2025 Q2 24.6611328125 -33.491991
2025 Q3 15.6845703125 -12.14031953269000

Note: The data begin in 2004:Q2. Institutional leveraged loans generally exclude loan commitments held by banks. The key identifies bars in order from top to bottom (except for some bars with at least one negative value). For 2025:Q3, the value corresponds to preliminary data.

Source: Mergent, Inc., Fixed Income Securities Database; Pitchbook Data, Leveraged Commentary & Data.

Figure 2.5. Gross leverage of publicly traded nonfinancial firms leveled off but was still high by historical standards

Percent

Date 75th percentile All firms
2000 Q1 48.2251895902531 30.353647915117
2000 Q2 47.8512910274851 29.6075721575872
2000 Q3 47.4916752996759 29.0123541564402
2000 Q4 46.987233134119 29.1772815074783
2001 Q1 47.5400360645084 29.1864721869718
2001 Q2 47.3882550047634 29.3710193889682
2001 Q3 47.3327987583499 29.3620996700029
2001 Q4 47.1142569981297 29.9860993880835
2002 Q1 46.1168958488835 30.6177204555483
2002 Q2 44.4789996122333 29.6690622875951
2002 Q3 44.1056157641294 29.4465549911019
2002 Q4 44.4271931755248 29.1692778011146
2003 Q1 42.8304982552851 28.9536525692187
2003 Q2 42.1814051044141 28.1303680744767
2003 Q3 41.778402174698 27.7762082105169
2003 Q4 41.5117350218286 26.702265868605
2004 Q1 39.4611769102911 26.3007921054443
2004 Q2 38.9295298728731 25.6946531455101
2004 Q3 38.6766403958058 25.3778098522455
2004 Q4 39.1666128317714 25.1301958429444
2005 Q1 37.810521162171 24.9207459688196
2005 Q2 37.7659268377245 24.8017282935116
2005 Q3 37.485804088461 24.1238893948255
2005 Q4 38.3413203621397 24.1803857139311
2006 Q1 37.4170605366039 24.4491252459796
2006 Q2 37.7494310791866 24.3445721547837
2006 Q3 37.6936147426923 24.3509253971227
2006 Q4 38.6352135323604 24.7005968297155
2007 Q1 38.0266028958417 24.9149561767604
2007 Q2 38.6841608823054 25.161304057527
2007 Q3 38.705516034687 25.5555444911018
2007 Q4 39.0061888842238 25.8386395430852
2008 Q1 39.1308169197629 26.0467705657103
2008 Q2 39.0172229300131 26.1722081966904
2008 Q3 40.0301570510571 27.1587474191012
2008 Q4 42.7177944360296 28.7489032918948
2009 Q1 41.5360940103296 28.6788318949749
2009 Q2 39.94144824529 27.9262199507271
2009 Q3 38.4762831126504 26.9590698030143
2009 Q4 38.7391984971353 26.7362330446729
2010 Q1 37.0575735578563 26.3286617769851
2010 Q2 36.7418921459583 26.198273077096
2010 Q3 36.3269348842672 26.2076647816732
2010 Q4 36.9740855507758 25.9655589141843
2011 Q1 36.0956578872633 25.7815002116415
2011 Q2 35.6462669369208 25.8317920725729
2011 Q3 36.4053497443518 26.1748010198179
2011 Q4 37.8409500468593 26.0781856438764
2012 Q1 36.9853261490212 26.0272705133389
2012 Q2 37.4025180722038 26.5892457027262
2012 Q3 37.5253477970378 26.7075730044889
2012 Q4 38.8133589928573 27.0873027823163
2013 Q1 38.0899954960403 26.938360826861
2013 Q2 38.258899928804 27.3640555306252
2013 Q3 38.5466075494801 27.6880161734813
2013 Q4 40.128197881951 27.9097119754128
2014 Q1 39.2639983162186 28.5197807960216
2014 Q2 40.2767093780862 28.4439062854475
2014 Q3 40.8845778464677 28.6072533525238
2014 Q4 42.1595170425966 29.18689324885
2015 Q1 42.4315723792986 30.0410429787241
2015 Q2 42.0960321653487 30.5644228997855
2015 Q3 42.6018177682271 31.104456557462
2015 Q4 43.9208282144074 32.0439209607682
2016 Q1 43.9304898845711 32.6547094198282
2016 Q2 43.7035750518978 32.8831561000056
2016 Q3 43.0770913582066 32.9727421456053
2016 Q4 43.2138354478844 32.8301719686644
2017 Q1 42.7150362522209 33.1061389022627
2017 Q2 42.2296500534535 33.4693648743879
2017 Q3 42.1156387298057 33.2935053470685
2017 Q4 42.0005926127123 32.9372652473484
2018 Q1 42.0217236382725 33.2469334462123
2018 Q2 42.2094144732426 33.0307205966827
2018 Q3 41.6837616562222 32.7665240445449
2018 Q4 42.5060072473548 33.0687383687671
2019 Q1 46.2944096370316 35.2379473895022
2019 Q2 46.5865645080149 35.5586828555893
2019 Q3 47.4212382436022 35.4869279820856
2019 Q4 47.9092436188546 35.462349059054
2020 Q1 49.8701121726862 37.4772128750244
2020 Q2 49.1623882718523 37.681677929662
2020 Q3 47.3955119360872 36.816681197909
2020 Q4 46.7516247531421 36.1150568249883
2021 Q1 45.9982026611294 35.7029882789897
2021 Q2 45.05478498194 35.1627109872669
2021 Q3 44.3580387906554 34.6131762418582
2021 Q4 44.5938927968921 34.2142738167692
2022 Q1 44.8367454948726 34.1098857461604
2022 Q2 45.6414045860988 34.0487145553399
2022 Q3 45.351082995805 34.104214527511
2022 Q4 45.6992468849638 34.1794912140961
2023 Q1 45.8372898728713 34.3023507670941
2023 Q2 45.2335804517462 34.2227312045035
2023 Q3 45.507959697949 34.0126267886455
2023 Q4 45.7146098035949 33.862428235988
2024 Q1 45.6112842256446 33.7841376722017
2024 Q2 45.3368974313336 33.7743788583591
2024 Q3 44.7870853156654 33.679056627041
2024 Q4 45.4009881085403 33.2924852418753
2025 Q1 45.2112028778834 33.2564959125092
2025 Q2 45.2705693941409 33.3188556432169

Note: Gross leverage is an asset-weighted average of the ratio of firms' book value of total debt to book value of total assets. The 75th percentile is calculated from a sample of the 2,500 largest firms by assets. The dashed sections of the lines in 2019:Q1 reflect the structural break in the series due to the 2019 compliance deadline for Financial Accounting Standards Board rule Accounting Standards Update 2016-02. The accounting standard requires operating leases, previously considered off-balance-sheet activities, to be included in measures of debt and assets.

Source: Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on S&P Global, Compustat.

Figure 2.6. Interest coverage ratios, which indicate firms' ability to service their debt, were largely unchanged

Ratio

Date Median for all public firms Median for all non-investment-grade public firms
2000 Q1 2.36029256294827 1.59928356891477
2000 Q2 2.32273712851903 1.55559872621746
2000 Q3 2.26505465547531 1.52231011053646
2000 Q4 2.20765965258479 1.44808903206912
2001 Q1 2.12852564194417 1.3789697908598
2001 Q2 2.08123088685015 1.35633589873218
2001 Q3 1.896224914523 1.25894826406771
2001 Q4 1.77747775089474 1.28658273731876
2002 Q1 1.78467217190372 1.28704650575077
2002 Q2 1.74492865173253 1.30217754130334
2002 Q3 1.84877540712327 1.416139451252
2002 Q4 2.00625539257981 1.52943760984183
2003 Q1 2.10804682668076 1.606
2003 Q2 2.11539531273139 1.5224403750221
2003 Q3 2.17306528304208 1.67048762736536
2003 Q4 2.29775528169014 1.68100158433704
2004 Q1 2.54787883585708 1.93608184764992
2004 Q2 2.87736149100871 2.06761298259179
2004 Q3 3.0231520815633 2.24999874887232
2004 Q4 3.00197628458498 2.35421028146081
2005 Q1 3.01381933289238 2.28494187206838
2005 Q2 3.01785390620464 2.25026505513147
2005 Q3 3.07137653808409 2.27264202624993
2005 Q4 3.04438933809703 2.29
2006 Q1 3.07139762042991 2.32827850550759
2006 Q2 3.0093085106383 2.2736716190865
2006 Q3 2.98084486148963 2.31801012784327
2006 Q4 2.92316415960407 2.29212567198378
2007 Q1 2.92478651193344 2.23212958456842
2007 Q2 2.83868501529052 2.20939061527057
2007 Q3 2.7005929690809 2.11311083715318
2007 Q4 2.72832073779941 2.10076728143038
2008 Q1 2.79427083333333 2.16773870783305
2008 Q2 3.00362844702467 2.26061650800765
2008 Q3 2.9739572535063 2.25947307971942
2008 Q4 2.63538781163435 1.94064258486114
2009 Q1 2.70840360584273 1.97538621306058
2009 Q2 2.47436941929724 1.74652849207982
2009 Q3 2.33367768595041 1.59968891402715
2009 Q4 2.28353658536585 1.68476189057986
2010 Q1 2.62818000103837 1.97138132134381
2010 Q2 2.76175952888743 2.10916619003866
2010 Q3 2.94068210550511 2.19573643410853
2010 Q4 3.03974502024961 2.29516934709153
2011 Q1 3.18913905228684 2.47194513715711
2011 Q2 3.37037037037037 2.56529516994633
2011 Q3 3.520922854775 2.62713120830245
2011 Q4 3.46009157838032 2.58290035378932
2012 Q1 3.39713735448039 2.51354228341928
2012 Q2 3.41453925590098 2.58557535666683
2012 Q3 3.28194642251611 2.39564609698715
2012 Q4 3.07853626208843 2.37340249586528
2013 Q1 3.18264331210191 2.32300753370341
2013 Q2 3.24567253753722 2.27175915824181
2013 Q3 3.25531856261023 2.23245614035088
2013 Q4 3.15883738347201 2.19311053813154
2014 Q1 3.2120085995086 2.21402660217654
2014 Q2 3.42731199858944 2.3953626165271
2014 Q3 3.47111111111111 2.4304628249915
2014 Q4 3.38328654718203 2.32258560910387
2015 Q1 3.34991749174918 2.18376022131281
2015 Q2 3.30377839399575 2.19087560957469
2015 Q3 3.3109228004651 2.20499549954996
2015 Q4 3.11877066305471 2.12860617983445
2016 Q1 2.94227994227994 2.04246323529412
2016 Q2 2.925 1.99430854928554
2016 Q3 2.95733076214598 2.11275455683038
2016 Q4 2.98452157598499 2.01833170456869
2017 Q1 3.03707444516268 2.12024411714854
2017 Q2 3.10698950381679 2.21255713282392
2017 Q3 3.05206549409859 2.28951149425287
2017 Q4 3.08142857142857 2.29316432999557
2018 Q1 3.05836598075387 2.2398590465999
2018 Q2 3.08823529411765 2.34994688385269
2018 Q3 3.18419994861363 2.38650114563941
2018 Q4 3.07109353136895 2.33799740522682
2019 Q1 2.96420704845815 2.21342472161373
2019 Q2 2.90384615384615 2.04756771464781
2019 Q3 2.79642505825563 2.06484904140312
2019 Q4 2.66181220914317 2.01321640178641
2020 Q1 2.47939744672396 1.78997892635315
2020 Q2 2.1328125 1.36201298701299
2020 Q3 2.18448130765008 1.25837382766413
2020 Q4 2.06548341197155 1.25569803120137
2021 Q1 2.50149957155099 1.5146619065599
2021 Q2 3.02448365467471 1.91576304396369
2021 Q3 3.29896313364055 2.24786036036036
2021 Q4 3.19492369848046 2.1888296214794
2022 Q1 3.428087375301 2.22267759562842
2022 Q2 3.40676043557169 2.08064516129032
2022 Q3 3.08546194235816 1.86390092022131
2022 Q4 2.58269230769231 1.65814541213064
2023 Q1 2.46864406779661 1.56659501853794
2023 Q2 2.3685355606682 1.49556451612903
2023 Q3 2.42690982194141 1.44558035057694
2023 Q4 2.26745501788109 1.39214186193929
2024 Q1 2.34611036017009 1.51490888301637
2024 Q2 2.34916971001346 1.47665662650602
2024 Q3 2.37720022712022 1.51297805302043
2024 Q4 2.50270143158668 1.64695874869131
2025 Q1 2.57733988417935 1.64369736360308
2025 Q2 2.56514447809492 1.58814102564103

Note: The interest coverage ratio is earnings before interest and taxes divided by interest payments. Firms with leverage less than 5 percent and interest payments less than $500,000 are excluded.

Source: Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on S&P Global, Compustat.

Figure 2.7. Firms with commercial and industrial bank loans increased their leverage slightly

This is a line chart showing quarterly data from 2013 through 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows debt as percentage of assets ranging from 24 percent to 36 percent. Two lines are displayed: Privately held firms (thick blue line) and Publicly traded firms (thin black line). The thick blue line for privately held firms shows higher values throughout the pe-riod, starting near 30 percent in 2013, rising to peaks of about 34 percent around 2017-2019, then dropping to about 31 percent in 2020-2021, before gradually increasing to around 32 percent by 2025:Q2. The thin black line for publicly traded firms shows lower overall values, starting at about 25 percent in 2013, rising steadily to about 31 percent by 2019, then declining to about 29 percent by 2022, and remaining relatively flat through 2025:Q2.

Note: The figure shows the weighted median leverage of nonfinancial firms that borrow using commercial and industrial loans from the 23 banks that have filed in every quarter since 2013:Q1. Leverage is measured as the ratio of the book value of total debt to the book value of total assets of the borrower, as reported by the lender, and the median is weighted by committed amounts.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-14Q (Schedule H.1), Capital Assessments and Stress Testing.

Figure 2.8. Newly issued leveraged loans with debt multiples greater than 4 increased moderately to above the historical median

Percent

Date Debt multiples ≥ 6x Debt multiples 5x-5.99x Debt multiples 4x­4.99x Debt multiples < 4x
2001 2.70000007003546 10.1000003516674 26.1999994516373 61.1000001430512
2002 5.90000003576279 12.2000001370907 27.3000001907349 54.6000003814697
2003 6.69999998062849 11.5000002086163 29.3000012636185 52.6000022888184
2004 8.79999976605177 17.5999999046326 28.600001335144 44.9999988079071
2005 8.00000037997961 25.0999987125397 25.0999987125397 41.8000012636185
2006 16.2999995052814 21.0999995470047 26.3000011444092 36.3999992609024
2007 27.6999995112419 17.4999997019768 23.7000003457069 31.2000006437302
2008 10.700000077486 12.0999999344349 14.2000004649162 63.0999982357025
2009 17.7000001072884 11.5000002086163 17.7000001072884 53.1000018119812
2010 5.8000001590699 17.9000005125999 22.5999996066093 53.7000000476837
2011 14.4000001251698 19.200000166893 22.5999996066093 43.7999993562698
2012 15.8000003546476 21.7999994754791 26.6000002622604 35.8999997377396
2013 16.4000004529953 23.1000006198883 28.999999165535 31.4999997615814
2014 27.1999999880791 21.5000003576279 22.5999996066093 28.7000000476837
2015 18.7000006437302 26.1999994516373 24.8999997973442 30.3000003099442
2016 21.000000089407 24.4000002741814 32.600000500679 21.8999996781349
2017 22.0000006258488 27.5999993085861 27.5999993085861 22.6999998092651
2018 29.6000003814697 26.8999993801117 24.1999998688698 19.3000003695488
2019 32.8999996185303 23.2999995350838 23.4999999403954 20.2999994158745
2020 28.1000003218651 23.8999992609024 25.6999999284744 22.3000004887581
2021 35.0999996066093 20.3999996185303 23.1000006198883 21.4000001549721
2022 36.5000009536743 20.8000004291534 19.3000003695488 23.3999997377396
2023 16.9999994337559 18.7999993562698 26.3999998569489 37.7999991178513
2024 18.8000004738569 25.0999987125397 20.6000000238419 35.4999989271164
2025 Q1 14.4999999552965 30.5000007152557 23.4999999403954 31.4999997615814
2025 Q2 15.9999996423721 21.2999999523163 31.9999992847443 30.7000011205673
2025 Q3 17.200000397861 26.1999994516373 30.799999833107 25.7999986410141

Note: Volumes are for large corporations with earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization greater than $50 million and exclude existing tranches of add-ons and amendments as well as restatements with no new money. The key identifies bars in order from top to bottom.

Source: Mergent, Inc., Fixed Income Securities Database; PitchBook Data, Leveraged Commentary & Data.

Figure 2.9. The realized default rate on leveraged loans remained well below its previous peaks

Percent

Date Realized default rate Realized default rate including distressed exchanges
1999-01-01 1.40374443874576  
1999-02-01 0.620130074272045  
1999-03-01 0.961558060168107  
1999-04-01 0.910025850082999  
1999-05-01 1.08432506922787  
1999-06-01 1.51147782227669  
1999-07-01 1.46856132869432  
1999-08-01 2.58669462674692  
1999-09-01 2.83564148416579  
1999-10-01 2.79553858940607  
1999-11-01 4.23476547428082  
1999-12-01 4.17363270874809  
2000-01-01 5.31955188860257  
2000-02-01 5.63665801395398  
2000-03-01 5.79387818120708  
2000-04-01 7.38707363523978  
2000-05-01 7.1272474346274  
2000-06-01 7.50275817381135  
2000-07-01 7.38638660941154  
2000-08-01 6.65602334926934  
2000-09-01 6.59817681681766  
2000-10-01 6.74029479357337  
2000-11-01 5.7997136872917  
2000-12-01 6.57473346350473  
2001-01-01 5.890289821496  
2001-02-01 5.65193404131812  
2001-03-01 5.48432983996405  
2001-04-01 4.78452184278759  
2001-05-01 6.42183107838333  
2001-06-01 6.27790427404653  
2001-07-01 6.81737551468091  
2001-08-01 6.79872690180133  
2001-09-01 6.50470952417523  
2001-10-01 6.72167813766106  
2001-11-01 6.50463564435449  
2001-12-01 6.30391411142361  
2002-01-01 7.2499241459131  
2002-02-01 7.24500509942625  
2002-03-01 6.8484910901823  
2002-04-01 6.95151266913317  
2002-05-01 5.6949044894794  
2002-06-01 7.41236450994404  
2002-07-01 6.8397177567764  
2002-08-01 6.78220535455937  
2002-09-01 6.41446937703412  
2002-10-01 6.5850341177601  
2002-11-01 6.52532834017819  
2002-12-01 6.01237682581557  
2003-01-01 5.12912891130075  
2003-02-01 5.00880429946855  
2003-03-01 5.47066888423004  
2003-04-01 5.25912875791241  
2003-05-01 5.34793308939678  
2003-06-01 2.62312005668266  
2003-07-01 2.64426832515177  
2003-08-01 2.67290377148024  
2003-09-01 2.90810705065732  
2003-10-01 2.29547070641196  
2003-11-01 2.28463596938286  
2003-12-01 2.24950731862114  
2004-01-01 1.89471401030441  
2004-02-01 1.61166556876154  
2004-03-01 1.11407293913559  
2004-04-01 0.936565901600417  
2004-05-01 0.682252697548041  
2004-06-01 0.94402709654127  
2004-07-01 0.905279421260321  
2004-08-01 0.881211884544273  
2004-09-01 1.00572085360985  
2004-10-01 1.02263104092439  
2004-11-01 1.02447519808232  
2004-12-01 1.01410900355372  
2005-01-01 1.02507496733947  
2005-02-01 1.36950502993963  
2005-03-01 1.26380537907338  
2005-04-01 1.48474248266849  
2005-05-01 1.54252866376508  
2005-06-01 1.29059194154891  
2005-07-01 1.46391596172856  
2005-08-01 1.4322396132521  
2005-09-01 1.65136354081861  
2005-10-01 2.56111587402713  
2005-11-01 2.2919216557973  
2005-12-01 3.02200238489307  
2006-01-01 2.95905018676368  
2006-02-01 2.89026629376766  
2006-03-01 2.7918405529996  
2006-04-01 2.47410163943416  
2006-05-01 2.29884766993254  
2006-06-01 2.27578550094482  
2006-07-01 2.07746169564351  
2006-08-01 2.08233574928927  
2006-09-01 1.56164341405421  
2006-10-01 0.98750704786384  
2006-11-01 1.07120897621029  
2006-12-01 0.478307708235541  
2007-01-01 0.453190511692308  
2007-02-01 0.240578570601142  
2007-03-01 0.232230305288034  
2007-04-01 0.220155865782788  
2007-05-01 0.155571457234322  
2007-06-01 0.154081525205981  
2007-07-01 0.211963491765366  
2007-08-01 0.208792752420673  
2007-09-01 0.424045769819244  
2007-10-01 0.332881677165982  
2007-11-01 0.24513291103573  
2007-12-01 0.238273169122302  
2008-01-01 0.724542626185178  
2008-02-01 0.93826164729208  
2008-03-01 1.07242724769546  
2008-04-01 1.29580863520729  
2008-05-01 1.72659213469707  
2008-06-01 1.69506702223233  
2008-07-01 1.89629559136655  
2008-08-01 2.02854442101493  
2008-09-01 1.90991348704673  
2008-10-01 1.97448896039073  
2008-11-01 1.94408034196998  
2008-12-01 3.74683731955835  
2009-01-01 4.95210475046503  
2009-02-01 5.24589550168725  
2009-03-01 8.01858997184042  
2009-04-01 8.02940634177849  
2009-05-01 8.66045922589369  
2009-06-01 9.14772247672355  
2009-07-01 9.56640311201017  
2009-08-01 9.67577785129606  
2009-09-01 9.75397713835357  
2009-10-01 10.7142905891958  
2009-11-01 10.8148014359355  
2009-12-01 9.60939472782257  
2010-01-01 8.81735742948314  
2010-02-01 8.58590330909801  
2010-03-01 5.81971055173797  
2010-04-01 5.6523123165647  
2010-05-01 4.63584120724762  
2010-06-01 4.0150779158563  
2010-07-01 3.47413584963326  
2010-08-01 3.56979895935773  
2010-09-01 3.54724033716263  
2010-10-01 2.28336283885162  
2010-11-01 2.24556081786527  
2010-12-01 1.87434612836046  
2011-01-01 1.45790184243984  
2011-02-01 1.27066793633522  
2011-03-01 1.11092771671646  
2011-04-01 0.951718684531915  
2011-05-01 0.90789822723715  
2011-06-01 0.911510139282644  
2011-07-01 0.769791093336481  
2011-08-01 0.330341668123339  
2011-09-01 0.323653519645651  
2011-10-01 0.32491801437386  
2011-11-01 0.171682141698186  
2011-12-01 0.172134731379882  
2012-01-01 0.206351211364502  
2012-02-01 0.209284419443092  
2012-03-01 0.205923907398422  
2012-04-01 0.562049004964377  
2012-05-01 1.05330711277078  
2012-06-01 1.04401311129966  
2012-07-01 1.04461234780007  
2012-08-01 1.07437230697445  
2012-09-01 1.00191158921518  
2012-10-01 1.05735938242461  
2012-11-01 1.28076985146929  
2012-12-01 1.27489300372553  
2013-01-01 1.42344671639966  
2013-02-01 1.39987557153018  
2013-03-01 2.20969888342682  
2013-04-01 1.91198073910403  
2013-05-01 1.40383413394867  
2013-06-01 1.37283037838653  
2013-07-01 2.01910441311328  
2013-08-01 2.16113230294211  
2013-09-01 2.41440222521611  
2013-10-01 2.3136263698661  
2013-11-01 2.08240841560821  
2013-12-01 2.10967077730426  
2014-01-01 1.88463049707386  
2014-02-01 1.86266929830805  
2014-03-01 1.20983167850648  
2014-04-01 4.64389225577737  
2014-05-01 4.59783274787342  
2014-06-01 4.40734919905502  
2014-07-01 3.89045923073964  
2014-08-01 3.61034454301361  
2014-09-01 3.34388232555217  
2014-10-01 3.2771207617817  
2014-11-01 3.32944794624261  
2014-12-01 3.23801901087078  
2015-01-01 3.98617346086901  
2015-02-01 3.9172865660013  
2015-03-01 3.78858339595791  
2015-04-01 1.26444788092332  
2015-05-01 1.25911328441314  
2015-06-01 1.24189383465312  
2015-07-01 1.11360934731807  
2015-08-01 1.30380291553553  
2015-09-01 1.27305108622241  
2015-10-01 1.27128002658071  
2015-11-01 1.42234630306705  
2015-12-01 1.50003763151348  
2016-01-01 1.28616060792401  
2016-02-01 1.40506036175156  
2016-03-01 1.75298806932166  
2016-04-01 1.69282639571508  
2016-05-01 1.96225266084013  
2016-06-01 1.97031331590513  
2016-07-01 2.17007772656444  
2016-08-01 1.97993452219405  
2016-09-01 1.94857405847251  
2016-10-01 1.95438623582106  
2016-11-01 1.65983788107019  
2016-12-01 1.57893204311283 2.78063851699279
2017-01-01 1.55738865024389 2.3883696780893
2017-02-01 1.41493389880201 1.98329853862213
2017-03-01 1.48994068287674 1.67364016736402
2017-04-01 1.4276198736791 1.68243953732913
2017-05-01 1.4158488101288 1.59574468085106
2017-06-01 1.54172212922484 1.70575692963753
2017-07-01 1.35740861038153 1.39484978540773
2017-08-01 1.36405619635642 1.4145810663765
2017-09-01 1.53152795658299 1.52008686210641
2017-10-01 1.50896376047973 1.51351351351351
2017-11-01 1.95310325638077 1.93756727664155
2017-12-01 2.05146470457765 1.93965517241379
2018-01-01 1.94674870761357 2.04962243797195
2018-02-01 2.0027603845897 2.15285252960172
2018-03-01 2.42044442206168 2.14822771213749
2018-04-01 2.37383214519444 2.16450216450216
2018-05-01 2.11746878882325 1.93965517241379
2018-06-01 1.97933515015578 2.12314225053079
2018-07-01 1.99335529853962 2.22222222222222
2018-08-01 1.98634287306826 2.23880597014925
2018-09-01 1.81132768106833 2.11640211640212
2018-10-01 1.9233126289033 2.3109243697479
2018-11-01 1.60714425010705 1.97710718002081
2018-12-01 1.63131243102624 1.97505197505198
2019-01-01 1.41925631607619 1.85185185185185
2019-02-01 1.62021388594893 2.03045685279188
2019-03-01 0.929780031781983 1.90380761523046
2019-04-01 1.0079159880045 2.08333333333333
2019-05-01 0.996525775845705 2.04479065238559
2019-06-01 1.3449855651353 1.92307692307692
2019-07-01 1.32180455849828 1.80608365019011
2019-08-01 1.28952293334503 1.77736202057998
2019-09-01 1.29 1.76744186046512
2019-10-01 1.42549737860565 1.81818181818182
2019-11-01 1.47964949822113 1.80995475113122
2019-12-01 1.38718983497751 1.8018018018018
2020-01-01 1.83062399780694 2
2020-02-01 1.82512022533114 2.20338983050847
2020-03-01 1.84279394057552 2.35492010092515
2020-04-01 2.32146330717243 3.13293818797629
2020-05-01 3.14227482325744 3.80067567567568
2020-06-01 3.22706252199177 4.28571428571429
2020-07-01 3.9028203843141 4.81012658227848
2020-08-01 4.07652502814295 4.98732037193576
2020-09-01 4.168453142376 5.31197301854975
2020-10-01 4.11020376469708 5.58375634517767
2020-11-01 3.88708128460096 5.44388609715243
2020-12-01 3.83392559010348 5.39629005059022
2021-01-01 3.38084746263764 5.21885521885522
2021-02-01 3.24729715651773 5.1063829787234
2021-03-01 3.15475286063798 4.91942324003393
2021-04-01 2.60576038054329 4.0447504302926
2021-05-01 1.72590353221716 3.29575021682567
2021-06-01 1.24884205578877 2.44755244755245
2021-07-01 0.57991220877348 1.9315188762072
2021-08-01 0.468600070043025 1.83727034120735
2021-09-01 0.35102429817878 1.50044130626655
2021-10-01 0.198783710061825 0.886524822695036
2021-11-01 0.289490809747674 0.975177304964539
2021-12-01 0.285998310700827 0.96830985915493
2022-01-01 0.287849196318449 0.886524822695036
2022-02-01 0.190219886359247 0.711111111111111
2022-03-01 0.186644990097818 0.706713780918728
2022-04-01 0.184315458505975 0.616197183098592
2022-05-01 0.214841496509942 0.781928757602085
2022-06-01 0.279774757967324 0.865800865800866
2022-07-01 0.27902902726492 0.779220779220779
2022-08-01 0.59964312985254 1.20274914089347
2022-09-01 0.897724368474116 1.36518771331058
2022-10-01 0.830836678820539 1.3828867761452
2022-11-01 0.733432645666677 1.2853470437018
2022-12-01 0.719024140904362 1.45175064047822
2023-01-01 0.829103923452556 1.61839863713799
2023-02-01 1.01517924704664 1.85341196293176
2023-03-01 1.3242211073603 2.18855218855219
2023-04-01 1.31182575776585 2.42881072026801
2023-05-01 1.57621105317956 2.69360269360269
2023-06-01 1.71020415242221 2.96359017781541
2023-07-01 1.7475847971049 3.38409475465313
2023-08-01 1.55079562558493 3.12236286919831
2023-09-01 1.33824550109395 3.17195325542571
2023-10-01 1.43096276917203 3.27731092436975
2023-11-01 1.47821214388951 3.61952861952862
2023-12-01 1.52747128025964 3.83959044368601
2024-01-01 1.47059834804695 4.0274207369323
2024-02-01 1.4112986923983 4.31778929188256
2024-03-01 1.14071335290429 4.22413793103448
2024-04-01 1.30675884493121 4.32900432900433
2024-05-01 1.0772968541297 4.35161009573542
2024-06-01 0.919380265571573 4.31034482758621
2024-07-01 0.916442656691202 4.01709401709402
2024-08-01 0.784237585873954 4.17021276595745
2024-09-01 0.796299426537434 4.20875420875421
2024-10-01 0.733110677721762 4.3956043956044
2024-11-01 0.941801118156484 4.56466610312764
2024-12-01 0.910200545572983 4.7008547008547
2025-01-01 0.943893713438043 4.58477508650519
2025-02-01 0.809353476622968 4.1848299912816
2025-03-01 0.820176535198467 4.31338028169014
2025-04-01 0.725649872858271 4.37828371278459
2025-05-01 0.735273967076573 4.35555555555556
2025-06-01 1.10941752500666 4.45632798573975
2025-07-01 1.10792201240364 4.56171735241503
2025-08-01 1.15477014158249 4.36760691537762
2025-09-01 1.46637408550408 4.31588613406795

Note: The data begin in December 1998 for the realized default rate and in December 2016 for the default rate including distressed exchanges. The default rate is calculated as the amount in default over the past 12 months divided by the total outstanding volume of loans that are not in default at the beginning of the 12-month period. The default rate including distressed exchanges is calculated as the number of issuers in default or distressed exchange over the past 12 months divided by the total number of issuers that are not in default at the beginning of the 12-month period. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: March 2001-November 2001, December 2007- June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: PitchBook Data, Leveraged Commentary & Data.

Figure 2.10. Inflation-adjusted household debt was largely unchanged

This is a line chart showing quarterly inflation-adjusted household debt by borrower credit quality from 1999 through 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows trillions of dollars (real) ranging from 0 to 14. Three lines represent different borrower categories: Prime (thin black line), Near prime (blue line), and Subprime (thick burgundy line). Prime borrow-ers show the highest debt level, increasing from about 5 trillion dollars in 2000 to a peak of about 11 trillion around 2007, dipping to about 9 trillion around 2012, then steadily rising to about 13 trillion by 2025:Q2. Near prime borrowers show a more moderate trend, increasing from about 3 trillion in 2000 to a peak of about 5 trillion in 2008, then gradually decreasing to about 3 trillion by 2025:Q2. Subprime borrowers show the low-est overall debt level, rising from about 1.5 trillion in 2000 to a peak of about 3.5 trillion in 2008, then declining to about 1.5 trillion by 2020, with a slight increase to about 2 trillion by 2025:Q2.

Note: Subprime are borrowers with an Equifax Risk Score less than 620; near prime are from 620 to 719; prime are greater than 719. Scores are measured contemporaneously. Student loan balances before 2004 are estimated using average growth from 2004 to 2007, by risk score. The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 2.11. Measures of housing leverage stayed significantly below their peak levels

This is a line chart showing quarterly housing leverage measures from 1999 through 2025:Q2, with an index of 1999:Q1 = 100. The y-axis ranges from 60 to 180. Two lines are displayed: Relative to model-implied values (thin black line) and Relative to market value (thick blue line). A horizontal dashed line at 100 represents the baseline index value. The model-implied line shows higher volatility, rising to peaks of about 135 in 2006-2007, then falling to near 110 by 2012 and finishing at approximately 115 in 2025:Q2. The blue line is below 100 in 2000, rises to a peak of about 130 in 2010-2011, then steadily declines to about 80 by 2025, demonstrating that housing leverage relative to market value has decreased significantly and remained well below peak levels in re-cent years.

Note: Housing leverage is estimated as the ratio of the average outstanding mortgage loan balance for owner-occupied homes with a mortgage to (1) current home values us-ing the Zillow national house price index and (2) model-implied house prices estimated by a staff model based on rents, interest rates, and a time trend.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax; Zillow, Inc., Real Estate Data; Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 2.12. Mortgage delinquency rates edged down and remained close to the low end of their historical distribution

This is a line chart showing quarterly mortgage delinquency rates from 2001 through 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows percent of mortgages ranging from 0 to 10 percent. Two lines are displayed: Mortgages in loss mitigation (thick blue line) and All mortgages (thin black line). The mortgages in loss mitigation series shows higher values through-out, starting around 5 percent in 2001, remaining relatively stable until 2007, then rising sharply to peaks of approximately 9 percent during 2010-2012. After that, it gradually declines to about 6 percent by 2019, spikes briefly to 8 percent in 2020, then returns to a downward trend, reaching about 4 percent by 2025:Q2. The black line for all mortgages shows lower overall delinquency rates, starting at about 3 percent in 2001, rising to peaks of about 7 percent during 2009-2011, then steadily declining to about 1 percent by 2021, before rising slightly to about 2 percent by 2025:Q2.

Note: Loss mitigation includes tradelines that have a narrative code of forbearance, nat-ural disaster, payment deferral (including partial), loan modification (including federal government plans), or loans with no scheduled payment and a nonzero balance. Delin-quent loans in both series are loans reported to the credit bureau as at least 30 days past due.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.

Figure 2.13. Very few homeowners had negative equity in their homes

Percent of mortgages

Date Negative equity
2011-01-01 25.2801477
2011-02-01 25.14403759
2011-03-01 24.99349439
2011-04-01 24.93152259
2011-05-01 24.86778766
2011-06-01 24.80639321
2011-07-01 24.65477237
2011-08-01 24.50348051
2011-09-01 24.35737809
2011-10-01 24.65101748
2011-11-01 24.93398222
2011-12-01 25.22515278
2012-01-01 24.69410388
2012-02-01 24.19767741
2012-03-01 23.66744432
2012-04-01 23.20889984
2012-05-01 22.73714373
2012-06-01 22.28260234
2012-07-01 22.1736435
2012-08-01 22.06436208
2012-09-01 21.95828597
2012-10-01 21.83856143
2012-11-01 21.72327356
2012-12-01 21.60469997
2013-01-01 21.11141237
2013-02-01 20.66698986
2013-03-01 20.17616238
2013-04-01 18.42961703
2013-05-01 16.62284533
2013-06-01 14.87236255
2013-07-01 14.35028271
2013-08-01 13.83093694
2013-09-01 13.33092231
2013-10-01 13.37002764
2013-11-01 13.40778486
2013-12-01 13.44668947
2014-01-01 13.24991987
2014-02-01 13.07252344
2014-03-01 12.87645744
2014-04-01 12.22984772
2014-05-01 11.56325433
2014-06-01 10.91967054
2014-07-01 10.73988151
2014-08-01 10.56068372
2014-09-01 10.3878061
2014-10-01 10.48872349
2014-11-01 10.58615501
2014-12-01 10.68659407
2015-01-01 10.5436008
2015-02-01 10.41465931
2015-03-01 10.27218916
2015-04-01 9.81089448
2015-05-01 9.33545318
2015-06-01 8.87653133
2015-07-01 8.70285064
2015-08-01 8.52963032
2015-09-01 8.36244321
2015-10-01 8.36120879
2015-11-01 8.36002953
2015-12-01 8.35879671
2016-01-01 8.27798383
2016-02-01 8.20246359
2016-03-01 8.12183901
2016-04-01 7.77224037
2016-05-01 7.41173511
2016-06-01 7.06350915
2016-07-01 6.82049908
2016-08-01 6.57826395
2016-09-01 6.34457424
2016-10-01 6.31636698
2016-11-01 6.2891235
2016-12-01 6.26101007
2017-01-01 6.18906946
2017-02-01 6.12413954
2017-03-01 6.05234088
2017-04-01 5.85246608
2017-05-01 5.64655486
2017-06-01 5.44790211
2017-07-01 5.28244106
2017-08-01 5.11751836
2017-09-01 4.9584182
2017-10-01 4.94112558
2017-11-01 4.92446662
2017-12-01 4.907297
2018-01-01 4.83929693
2018-02-01 4.77808298
2018-03-01 4.71050232
2018-04-01 4.57110609
2018-05-01 4.42716126
2018-06-01 4.28796195
2018-07-01 4.23688035
2018-08-01 4.18590957
2018-09-01 4.13664704
2018-10-01 4.14557884
2018-11-01 4.15418155
2018-12-01 4.16299557
2019-01-01 4.14798702
2019-02-01 4.13446997
2019-03-01 4.11951412
2019-04-01 4.02813579
2019-05-01 3.93386692
2019-06-01 3.84281944
2019-07-01 3.80144488
2019-08-01 3.76017961
2019-09-01 3.72032491
2019-10-01 3.66656557
2019-11-01 3.61460181
2019-12-01 3.56094814
2020-01-01 3.51876695
2020-02-01 3.47933706
2020-03-01 3.43725928
2020-04-01 3.3802395
2020-05-01 3.32143928
2020-06-01 3.26465063
2020-07-01 3.18478851
2020-08-01 3.10515953
2020-09-01 3.02830438
2020-10-01 2.95595441
2020-11-01 2.88609009
2020-12-01 2.81408016
2021-01-01 2.74729514
2021-02-01 2.68697497
2021-03-01 2.62021964
2021-04-01 2.5176659
2021-05-01 2.4120494
2021-06-01 2.3102107
2021-07-01 2.27230463
2021-08-01 2.23455257
2021-09-01 2.19814935
2021-10-01 2.18375723
2021-11-01 2.16986283
2021-12-01 2.15556587
2022-01-01 2.11821552
2022-02-01 2.08459919
2022-03-01 2.047522
2022-04-01 2.00213866
2022-05-01 1.95535125
2022-06-01 1.91017149
2022-07-01 1.94119825
2022-08-01 1.9721538
2022-09-01 2.00201522
2022-10-01 2.04337861
2022-11-01 2.0833178
2022-12-01 2.12448952
2023-01-01 2.12159234
2023-02-01 2.11899279
2023-03-01 2.11610031
2023-04-01 2.0777164
2023-05-01 2.03809772
2023-06-01 1.99979052
2023-07-01 1.94511246
2023-08-01 1.89008702
2023-09-01 1.8364708
2023-10-01 1.83643494
2023-11-01 1.83640614
2023-12-01 1.83637047
2024-01-01 1.82479464
2024-02-01 1.81396876
2024-03-01 1.8023996
2024-04-01 1.7826809
2024-05-01 1.76231317
2024-06-01 1.7426016
2024-07-01 1.76539263
2024-08-01 1.78815108
2024-09-01 1.81014783
2024-10-01 1.86758502
2024-11-01 1.9231725
2024-12-01 1.9805901
2025-01-01 2.01616211
2025-02-01 2.04791305
2025-03-01 2.08265308
2025-04-01 2.0594383
2025-05-01 2.0354734
2025-06-01 2.01229525

Source: Cotality Real Estate Data.

Figure 2.14. New mortgage extensions increased for subprime borrowers

This is a bar chart showing annual new mortgage extensions by borrower credit quality from 2000 through 2025. The y-axis shows billions of dollars (real) ranging from 0 to 1800. Each year displays three bars representing different borrower categories: Sub-prime (terracotta, left bars), Near prime (beige, middle bars), and Prime (blue, right bars). Prime borrowers consistently show the highest mortgage extensions, with peaks of approximately 1600 billion dollars in 2004-2006 and 2021. Near prime borrowers show moderate extensions, typically ranging from 300 to 1000 billion dollars, with peaks around 2004-2008. Subprime borrowers show the lowest extensions, generally below 400 billion dollars, with higher values around 2005-2008 (approximately 400 billion) and hovering around 100-150 billion from 2012-2025. The final bars for 2025 show about 100 billion for subprime, about 300 billion for near prime, and about 1100 for prime.

Note: The figure plots the year-over-year change in balances for the second quarter of each year among those households whose balance increased over this window. Subprime are those with an Equifax Risk Score less than 620; near prime are from 620 to 719; prime are greater than 719. Scores were measured 1 year ago. The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index. The key identifies bars in order from left to right.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 2.15. Consumer debt balances were largely unchanged for student and auto loans and for credit cards

This is a line chart showing quarterly consumer debt balances from 1999 through 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows billions of dollars (real) ranging from 200 to 2000. Three lines represent different debt categories: Student loans (thin black line), Auto loans (blue line), and Credit cards (thick burgundy line). Student loans show the most dramatic in-crease over the period, rising from about 600 billion dollars in 2005 to a peak of about 1800 billion around 2020, before stabilizing at approximately 1600 billion through 2025:Q2. Auto loans show a steady increase from about 700 billion in 2000 to about 1600 billion by 2022, leveling off around that value through 2025:Q2. Credit card debt starts at about 900 billion in 2000, rises to about 1200 billion by 2008, drops to about 900 billion during 2010-2015, then increases to about 1200 billion by 2025:Q2.

Note: The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index. Student loan data begin in 2005:Q1.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 2.16. The average maturity of loans at origination for used cars remained elevated for nonprime borrowers

Months

Date Prime Near prime Subprime
2015-01-01 62.2712450800844 63.7921878297675 63.0392646029049
2015-02-01 62.3311350829791 63.4441966331327 62.1575728130603
2015-03-01 62.4345409062575 63.4901275102188 62.2813655751391
2015-04-01 62.4675102161277 63.7276357833536 63.0180636392179
2015-05-01 62.5289046148641 63.9853808093393 63.2147946260765
2015-06-01 62.56726443792 64.0245202328851 63.3490242747683
2015-07-01 62.678007140726 64.2199737088928 63.5020930445352
2015-08-01 62.670644163841 64.0749028844745 63.3887496674707
2015-09-01 62.8645571950592 64.1397890701736 63.4109300292927
2015-10-01 62.9749112869363 64.2718864341101 63.4955984636472
2015-11-01 63.0527507269054 64.3593793773472 63.6072799740114
2015-12-01 63.1481713657921 64.5137452046964 63.75053637665
2016-01-01 63.1999707976725 64.7436918323099 64.1537997127606
2016-02-01 63.1696711889017 64.4643028070318 63.4648675337535
2016-03-01 63.1470468035177 64.4421826508085 63.3582131112335
2016-04-01 63.3020493311094 64.7230470654712 63.8935786783414
2016-05-01 63.3595818442502 64.845336085604 64.1416342821933
2016-06-01 63.3460493544401 64.8413224845367 64.2236566487613
2016-07-01 63.4913102304997 64.8946335817682 64.2991684433393
2016-08-01 63.4350738138219 64.8306210337505 64.2370453035637
2016-09-01 63.522685513856 64.9788217581042 64.2562757026617
2016-10-01 63.6930786971312 65.0674624884233 64.2040317031444
2016-11-01 63.6213698554351 65.1324552021578 64.2445918605194
2016-12-01 63.7335837031305 65.2763901820774 64.4418331440811
2017-01-01 63.7533868140937 65.3278091849325 64.5453765568727
2017-02-01 63.6788674662936 65.0294614321489 64.1927733846033
2017-03-01 63.6201563821751 64.8403287241818 63.6083552107934
2017-04-01 63.7272763223418 65.1752103060559 64.3373712052973
2017-05-01 63.6245582298734 65.1696311267336 64.4303381186764
2017-06-01 63.637758404019 65.1592800820749 64.388571693934
2017-07-01 63.6132979057947 65.0402250194849 64.5034913742742
2017-08-01 63.4986028494014 64.9013064091368 64.1177701164032
2017-09-01 63.5680941304253 64.8839038722432 64.1018889599657
2017-10-01 63.6985181701779 65.0860648583033 64.1889345067257
2017-11-01 63.8379306984622 65.2851800787941 64.392616272839
2017-12-01 63.8469913261394 65.4519972551888 64.674253689603
2018-01-01 63.9011736894378 65.5765840887172 64.6766531084462
2018-02-01 63.932547363881 65.2985477374276 64.4417481235598
2018-03-01 63.8049760213143 65.0832260496314 63.7696666116104
2018-04-01 63.9795187751396 65.3336670107419 64.3266927840415
2018-05-01 63.8599903590572 65.4527291421197 64.587984324744
2018-06-01 63.8282033831968 65.4950917196252 64.7133242971651
2018-07-01 64.0053211709499 65.5397333856537 64.7567008496758
2018-08-01 63.8323387462529 65.4099651546341 64.5389614928983
2018-09-01 63.9974823947787 65.582123057008 64.5653291821204
2018-10-01 63.948206433994 65.6327908467785 64.6039965781433
2018-11-01 64.1034282312783 65.6994706049867 64.6991675656007
2018-12-01 64.1804932165622 65.9828217094395 65.0798838433128
2019-01-01 64.165519182164 66.0237004854473 65.2380499014158
2019-02-01 64.1991518448244 66.0006586350524 65.1325774409287
2019-03-01 64.1525535990178 65.7250182207249 64.565984504617
2019-04-01 64.3037584866513 65.9851565885696 65.1661830622642
2019-05-01 64.0816367305902 65.9479476019967 65.2502969726503
2019-06-01 64.1590472093743 66.1283722292327 65.5412381306664
2019-07-01 64.2751546988289 66.1694351087881 65.5835645905273
2019-08-01 64.1864985871126 66.0506915800099 65.3898799023866
2019-09-01 64.1962009602915 66.1620664869295 65.4575559176533
2019-10-01 64.281391009307 66.2058267533142 65.5353170977597
2019-11-01 64.4278922803351 66.3501149469063 65.7015130718909
2019-12-01 64.4311320994505 66.4524274139313 65.7924418140562
2020-01-01 64.2578888533433 66.3437888745875 65.7280097721011
2020-02-01 64.2512243448576 66.2272167995238 65.4315641759074
2020-03-01 64.427603825207 66.1613794250706 65.1218817613481
2020-04-01 65.8197680749682 67.1664079309158 66.0054544814801
2020-05-01 65.4941604105495 66.9682653186075 65.8764897183769
2020-06-01 65.037604529322 66.7071413803397 65.7777907110211
2020-07-01 64.682461310685 66.4988727146703 65.9187411110774
2020-08-01 64.6915591626505 66.6891904298516 66.1379738142649
2020-09-01 64.9588066543334 66.9514125760982 66.3726082690867
2020-10-01 65.1438814507027 67.1412537927076 66.6607383055831
2020-11-01 65.2628748991468 67.3004551114159 66.7645600450468
2020-12-01 65.2631604833186 67.3302103420457 66.8527999071819
2021-01-01 65.3156305851648 67.3336512020283 66.8010329088523
2021-02-01 65.3813039727903 67.3263656820884 66.7358602518152
2021-03-01 65.2903647697834 67.1658226186733 66.2771687098444
2021-04-01 65.405047591109 67.1039317579131 66.3402643588893
2021-05-01 65.6645452345868 67.5410518313529 66.9097437262937
2021-06-01 65.9435938063539 67.8907177334917 67.1698396231184
2021-07-01 66.2707740603246 68.2315541458234 67.4973653267581
2021-08-01 66.5063343739444 68.3759349497838 67.7392157837235
2021-09-01 66.7604087912444 68.6920180418099 68.0061397883231
2021-10-01 66.9275744091965 68.8299369231903 68.0320944132043
2021-11-01 66.9264570599047 68.8552988968561 67.9711770931672
2021-12-01 67.1387199636337 69.0049735679036 68.1833271124492
2022-01-01 67.3232786074061 69.0350884788712 68.2109716202225
2022-02-01 67.5552711713059 69.1950605874076 68.2817820726522
2022-03-01 67.7225039561351 69.1714468740479 67.9921211290097
2022-04-01 67.9158352568633 69.4605884260249 68.48196638183
2022-05-01 68.1240554199075 69.6417917498044 68.7258599748727
2022-06-01 68.1477459128411 69.7145753128863 68.6963520620499
2022-07-01 68.1326137508706 69.72441444335 68.7564325818168
2022-08-01 67.9981306574845 69.535914656496 68.6992325451248
2022-09-01 67.9737352761298 69.5786536225661 68.6278318131467
2022-10-01 67.9936854269759 69.6179438255321 68.7305134034534
2022-11-01 67.8574927013209 69.5049685501134 68.5858878610119
2022-12-01 67.6767938917241 69.4596188058474 68.6815072883791
2023-01-01 67.4485781388606 69.2629758090446 68.4744077994139
2023-02-01 67.3261009926428 69.0960975117401 68.1186876997365
2023-03-01 67.1449919395708 68.7597985361521 67.7709251437601
2023-04-01 67.2326579665362 68.9843819897545 68.2759819893259
2023-05-01 67.1330018687817 69.0653559284557 68.4764713830649
2023-06-01 67.2776868811883 69.1510252897049 68.5175236946551
2023-07-01 67.541583902116 69.3596434652198 68.749782518116
2023-08-01 67.3748205357035 69.249276383685 68.6075317967559
2023-09-01 67.3181072180904 69.2968509927715 68.5688975316562
2023-10-01 67.1537726490301 69.174085607836 68.5453921996106
2023-11-01 67.2280371582716 69.1385873982116 68.5891316466455
2023-12-01 67.0472513043637 69.2109940174624 68.7555032315907
2024-01-01 66.9738073040691 69.175463130829 68.8998131118071
2024-02-01 66.7950189366186 69.1170108345121 68.5223953988061
2024-03-01 66.8840050812384 68.8425034050441 68.2273944556747
2024-04-01 66.871326848354 68.9971097174368 68.4368908538979
2024-05-01 66.8271102463513 69.0378199611063 68.5692434729983
2024-06-01 66.6253074220125 68.919799397961 68.5707280445266
2024-07-01 66.6000375354325 68.8618359599888 68.4993570085009
2024-08-01 66.5055112775506 68.8117158131607 68.514010625548
2024-09-01 66.5425063418372 68.8124129686369 68.4389783322726
2024-10-01 66.4669388902567 68.7452734407168 68.4335646175567
2024-11-01 66.5742573117222 68.7820815850137 68.6066279231852
2024-12-01 66.5971975490004 68.9157727966391 68.6110363587274
2025-01-01 66.5717696820287 68.9844308775121 68.7027448867089
2025-02-01 66.625210548557 68.9026304908707 68.5898582266885
2025-03-01 66.5217823485258 68.5818126812465 68.1327390863959
2025-04-01 66.3897767885289 68.7304679045889 68.3831579235123
2025-05-01 66.5522917622877 68.8298400248356 68.4796137518954
2025-06-01 66.6588289659293 68.9241270193276 68.7083503964034
2025-07-01 66.6874594054464 68.9607143514104 68.720497052784

Note: The data are seasonally adjusted. Loans are for used auto vehicles only. Subprime are those with a VantageScore less than 601; near prime are from 601 to 660; prime are greater than 660.

Source: Experian Velocity.

Figure 2.17. Auto loan delinquencies remained above the historical median

This is a line chart showing quarterly auto loan delinquency rates from 2000 through 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows percent ranging from 1 to 5 percent. A single black line rep-resents the delinquency rate, and a horizontal red line marks the median of 3.09 percent. The delinquency rate fluctuates between approximately 2.5 percent and 4.5 percent over the period. It begins around 3 percent in 2000, rises to above 3 percent by 2002, drops to below 3 percent in 2005, then increases sharply to a peak of about 4.5 percent during the 2008-2009 period. It then declines to about 2.5 percent by 2013, remains relatively sta-ble until 2020 when it drops to a low of about 2.2 percent, and then increases sharply to about 4 percent by 2025:Q2.

Note: Delinquent includes loans reported to the credit bureau as at least 30 days past due. The data for auto loans are reported semiannually by the Risk Assessment, Data Analysis, and Research Data Warehouse until 2017, after which they are reported quar-terly. The data are seasonally adjusted.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.

Figure 2.18. Inflation-adjusted credit card balances for subprime borrowers were up slightly

This is a line chart showing quarterly inflation-adjusted credit card balances by borrower credit quality from 1999 through 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows billions of dollars (real) ranging from 0 to 700. Three lines represent different borrower categories: Prime (thin black line), Near prime (blue line), and Subprime (thick burgundy line). Prime borrow-ers show the highest balances through most of the series, starting around 250 billion dol-lars in 1999, rising to peaks of about 550 billion dollars around 2008, dropping to about 450 billion dollars during 2010-2015, then rising to about 600 billion by 2025:Q2. Near prime borrowers' balances start at about 450 billion dollars in 1999, declining to about 300 billion dollars by 2015, then stabilizing between 300-400 billion dollars with a final value of about 350 billion dollars in 2025:Q2. Subprime borrowers show the lowest bal-ances, starting at about 250 billion dollars in 1999, declining to about 150 billion dollars by 2015, and then rising to about 250 billion dollars by 2025:Q2.

Note: Subprime are borrowers with an Equifax Risk Score less than 620; near prime are from 620 to 719; prime are greater than 719. Scores are measured contemporaneously. The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 2.19. Credit card delinquencies remained slightly above their long-term median

This is a line chart showing quarterly credit card delinquency rates from 2000 through 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows percent ranging from 0 to 8 percent. A single black line rep-resents the delinquency rate, and a horizontal red line marks the median of 3.93 percent. The delinquency rate shows significant fluctuation, starting at about 4 percent in 2000, rising to about 6 percent by 2004, declining to about 4 percent by 2006, then spiking dramatically to a peak of about 7 percent during the 2009-2010 period. It then drops sharply to about 3 percent by 2014, and hovers there until 2020 when it drops to a low of about 2 percent through 2021. By 2025:Q2, it increases to about 4 percent.

Note: Delinquency measures the fraction of balances that are at least 30 days past due, excluding severe derogatory loans, which are delinquent and have been charged off, foreclosed, or repossessed by the lender. The data are seasonally adjusted.

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel/Equifax.

Figure 3.1. Banks' average risk-based capital ratios remained near previous peaks

This is a line chart displaying quarterly data from 2001 to 2025:Q2, with the y-axis showing percent of risk-weighted assets ranging from 0 to 14 percent. The chart features three lines representing different bank categories: G-SIBs (thick burgundy line), Large non-G-SIBs (blue line), and Other BHCs (thin black line). The series generally display similar trends. All three categories show capital ratios around 7-8 percent at the begin-ning of the series, followed by a dip during 2008-2009 to approximately 5-6 percent for G-SIBs and large non-G-SIBs and about 8 percent for other BHCs. After 2010, ratios in-creased significantly to the 10-13 percent range by about 2013, and remained relatively stable through 2025, finishing at approximately 13 percent for all series in 2025:Q2.

Note: The sample consists of domestic bank holding companies (BHCs) and intermedi-ate holding companies (IHCs) with a substantial U.S. commercial banking presence. G-SIBs are global systemically important banks. Large non-G-SIBs are BHCs and IHCs with greater than $100 billion in total assets that are not G-SIBs. Before 2014:Q1 (ad-vanced-approaches BHCs, for additional information see https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/basel/advanced-approaches-capital-framework-implementation.htm) or before 2015:Q1 (non-advanced-approaches BHCs), the numerator of the common equity Tier 1 ratio is Tier 1 common capital. Afterward, the numerator is common equity Tier 1 capital. The denominator is risk-weighted assets. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020. The data are seasonally adjusted by Federal Reserve Board staff.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-9C, Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies.

Figure 3.2. Returns on equity for banks were at typical levels

This is a line chart showing quarterly returns on equity from 2016 to 2025:Q2, with the y-axis displaying percent values from -5 to 20 percent. Three bank categories are repre-sented: G-SIBs (thick burgundy line), Large non-G-SIBs (blue line), and Regional banks (thin black line). Throughout most of the period, returns fluctuated between 5 percent and 15 percent. Notable features include a sharp drop into slightly negative territory for G-SIBs in late 2017 to early 2018 and a significant decline across all categories in 2020, with the regional line crossing slightly into the negatives. After 2020, returns recovered to approximately 10-13 percent range for all bank types, with some fluctuation but gen-erally stable performance through 2025:Q2, when values were approximately 12 percent for G-SIBs, 7 percent for large non-G-SIBs, and 10 percent for regional banks.

Note: Return on equity is equal to net income divided by average equity. The net in-come of banks that acquired failed banks was adjusted for the one-off gains from the ac-quisitions. Calculations for 2023:Q4 exclude Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation special assessment costs. G-SIBs are global systemically important banks. Large non-G-SIBs are bank holding companies and intermediate holding companies with greater than $100 billion in total assets that are not G-SIBs. The shaded bar with top cap indicates a period of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031; Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-9C, Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies.

Figure 3.3. The fair value losses of banks' securities portfolios decreased but remained sizable

This is a stacked bar chart showing quarterly data from 2017 through 2025:Q2, with the y-axis measuring billions of dollars ranging from -800 to 200. The chart displays two variables: Available-for-sale securities (blue bars) and Held-to-maturity securities (beige bars). From 2017 through early 2021, fair value losses showed modest positive values, excluding 2018 and early 2019 when values were slightly negative. Beginning in 2022, there was a dramatic shift to substantial negative values for both security types. The losses for held-to-maturity securities were generally slightly larger than for available-for-sale. From 2022 through 2024, combined losses generally ranged between -600 to -400 billion dollars, with the largest losses occurring in mid-2022 and mid-2023 (approx-imately -700 billion for both periods). By 2025:Q2, the losses had decreased to approxi-mately -400 billion dollars, with available-for-sale securities representing the smaller portion of these losses.

Note: The figure plots the difference between the fair and amortized cost values of the securities. The sample consists of all bank holding companies and commercial banks.

Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031; Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-9C, Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies.

Figure 3.4. The ratio of tangible common equity to tangible assets remained below its median over the past decade

Percent of tangible assets

Date G-SIBs Large non-G-SIBs Other BHCs
1985 Q1 4.7237088709188 4.85356459815094 6.32025466527365
1985 Q2 4.59125345770151 4.63487729060401 6.33585993975441
1985 Q3 4.79523451561782 4.54620817720596 6.35339546789569
1985 Q4 4.95967608741877 4.49022283599042 6.41295712552145
1986 Q1 4.93146188226754 4.52353680905428 6.39143142489885
1986 Q2 5.07004072298375 4.38760472393257 6.35587126480956
1986 Q3 5.27967283408765 4.56389327029598 6.37530422267378
1986 Q4 4.99029187639708 5.20979454423269 6.23079765837585
1987 Q1 5.05441602182307 6.09113626922849 6.26468307505054
1987 Q2 4.48201560368126 4.6476211196171 5.91756028537584
1987 Q3 4.30531450516138 4.84928262897134 6.00771477983529
1987 Q4 4.49699357783084 4.92219401832028 6.05220702918966
1988 Q1 4.54001116017465 5.13030960337157 5.93758133678728
1988 Q2 4.75340541154763 5.10607130712286 6.01168068361825
1988 Q3 4.4821089551021 5.10490783979604 6.11697311917902
1988 Q4 5.09656228088211 5.4233790440687 6.27483577073328
1989 Q1 5.08673220561322 5.32766057257529 6.27549572450488
1989 Q2 5.23945230260606 5.34174745841489 6.30841720564293
1989 Q3 4.95927441855786 5.17161980582769 6.19865530016507
1989 Q4 4.84010345687516 4.70075444207095 6.24203828539756
1990 Q1 4.93437274031224 4.65452408225931 6.25492030477989
1990 Q2 4.96534860846624 4.80802026994104 6.25719171455661
1990 Q3 4.82584433686173 4.87344967488032 6.24370333899051
1990 Q4 4.90428514134216 5.21465782769067 6.33388849895617
1991 Q1 5.06667765113433 5.27185599703929 6.39739112376006
1991 Q2 4.85324956274166 5.26829451399185 6.46947053860211
1991 Q3 4.81141178199701 4.81735287016918 6.50345153078794
1991 Q4 5.01136917248809 4.87615956328495 6.70496984712072
1992 Q1 5.47309079030955 4.77193195995496 6.76471627998737
1992 Q2 5.60634551117032 4.78766952621649 7.11124450019201
1992 Q3 5.68863165211333 5.03767882851918 7.22639813547627
1992 Q4 5.79370335704894 5.88616221274403 7.42433747331005
1993 Q1 6.00090930612608 6.13830378340153 7.55047995068441
1993 Q2 6.16893919764784 6.07781687933323 7.71552689697537
1993 Q3 6.3330020582721 6.21131442537914 7.72897306198612
1993 Q4 6.45876883455897 6.54754075981692 7.88991855620864
1994 Q1 5.95721574173736 5.74091577991539 7.77084436653867
1994 Q2 6.05870973027227 5.82678191073681 7.69594746901234
1994 Q3 5.85485701124102 6.10681640419658 7.72040960010914
1994 Q4 5.49608753971058 6.29087505686156 7.65142413253754
1995 Q1 5.30748211905843 5.87608238296238 7.72568564837858
1995 Q2 5.52538727362049 6.2276759968217 7.80423817219309
1995 Q3 5.57403951758764 6.25718493363703 7.86156414057213
1995 Q4 5.654076616403 6.31448352397093 7.97512396867877
1996 Q1 5.92437356439526 6.30998522197982 7.93601690573824
1996 Q2 5.7787559270633 6.26928685513284 7.81092494337485
1996 Q3 5.97686384003032 6.18268743530105 7.75217551365786
1996 Q4 5.77551540290233 6.12091214513455 7.80720185267358
1997 Q1 5.40807590724954 6.03904704100707 7.80266643759938
1997 Q2 5.32094108278849 5.89211085667613 7.72140109800508
1997 Q3 5.40306157004381 5.81657378668225 7.75685223872038
1997 Q4 5.32783199792995 5.80034422094241 7.85568761153747
1998 Q1 5.414585831434 5.62375485441717 7.82001259304473
1998 Q2 5.772072433707 5.629634790111 7.86057055503455
1998 Q3 5.93929326706571 5.5029053716923 7.81771478358542
1998 Q4 5.68564645120293 5.51154270673543 7.80810654380867
1999 Q1 5.77052812667777 5.67466924670892 7.70053698632773
1999 Q2 5.70790929095797 5.5847674783547 7.61064747050538
1999 Q3 5.77067681364251 5.54299963215503 7.51610883097639
1999 Q4 5.62390841378944 5.33253270666682 7.40581214252085
2000 Q1 5.67913101697044 5.23986163350551 7.29548622152096
2000 Q2 5.42713665351368 5.10771775738573 7.36860792227565
2000 Q3 5.52325537138311 5.4058902268505 7.48458614719033
2000 Q4 5.53887301599062 5.87843486575849 7.7540852386279
2001 Q1 4.88606502141708 5.70420503946666 7.54601237086015
2001 Q2 4.82321492352177 5.09857700157903 7.71192053521764
2001 Q3 4.46318349150256 5.02428879195926 7.89869632014771
2001 Q4 4.62513244786752 4.78132104503 7.80075252654406
2002 Q1 4.55824754501541 4.90613702593394 7.79030312099228
2002 Q2 4.67825847202571 5.08919875822492 7.93719802278129
2002 Q3 4.84366476483573 5.33635441580815 7.95258635819328
2002 Q4 4.79803714164231 5.41476639716279 8.00715909347432
2003 Q1 4.72398322621056 5.40882348480732 7.92001959360584
2003 Q2 4.77270374460117 5.32563068451466 7.7595830469474
2003 Q3 4.71501303165754 5.25642160494888 7.71208673173954
2003 Q4 4.53825717358464 5.27541673527332 7.78420153482103
2004 Q1 4.50529041304721 5.35914860500104 7.95894922471406
2004 Q2 4.03764036048786 4.75019587691012 7.5798550556173
2004 Q3 4.30482244014643 4.42903803329308 7.96486624525028
2004 Q4 4.41532320152134 4.23409230990107 8.19086517950293
2005 Q1 4.21817029153203 3.86778883199594 7.95730249520148
2005 Q2 4.33169902692178 4.35190685404607 8.13302818244438
2005 Q3 4.29552238784801 3.99745610782647 8.06018683763461
2005 Q4 4.22919132410551 4.13105373303937 7.97888225669064
2006 Q1 4.03655438363319 3.74809905746012 7.83742068578144
2006 Q2 3.88060024868593 3.68248620240664 7.81300616164903
2006 Q3 4.06897402742052 3.89681098418779 8.03484789496432
2006 Q4 4.01169620829711 4.29165240079981 8.05055993591638
2007 Q1 3.80455376694069 4.20752197006904 7.97014627693319
2007 Q2 3.51144348458793 4.13516392672993 7.90586262527491
2007 Q3 3.38824027580952 4.22821486977363 7.90589803064049
2007 Q4 3.13549709320522 3.96069612506007 7.94881451701274
2008 Q1 2.91411268982261 3.6757284917324 7.92519074354252
2008 Q2 2.8592787678037 3.70473663561832 7.78826166960384
2008 Q3 2.24332602842351 3.49648874384641 7.59255145257896
2008 Q4 2.27310315928882 3.64065359524167 7.5323738126194
2009 Q1 2.67933520981887 4.01481192915341 7.52524929671461
2009 Q2 3.36188539437184 4.62884990355618 7.59831632888386
2009 Q3 4.30843170047897 4.80684165900717 7.88099209332242
2009 Q4 4.69336593690793 4.78017658119808 8.06560503224289
2010 Q1 4.7639103444209 4.79979428442565 8.30565117889645
2010 Q2 5.21045490067188 5.39744794575463 8.63480163292879
2010 Q3 5.46843083972949 5.63320853238453 8.79275898284351
2010 Q4 5.59684825937364 6.40684078977532 8.77309784752629
2011 Q1 5.69597338582748 6.65662051736126 8.92613130174975
2011 Q2 5.84811398071342 6.93273953195532 9.17591129673187
2011 Q3 6.05388503905373 7.23154201008738 9.26498373203096
2011 Q4 6.28922545175536 7.19133569790062 9.44635282153684
2012 Q1 6.35208307079801 7.29941392337569 9.47857987673347
2012 Q2 6.57100876096896 7.41626213083261 9.66543471391377
2012 Q3 6.71459239860791 7.57191211033028 9.66769173908536
2012 Q4 6.70852374349484 7.55931027232255 9.58093859017328
2013 Q1 6.78531698956402 7.82698460552213 9.71254230310938
2013 Q2 6.77324143681927 7.78545897164622 9.59299835846072
2013 Q3 6.80179682275397 7.91253678830174 9.55838669801777
2013 Q4 6.92711934007666 8.01943043040757 9.71103599275815
2014 Q1 6.98870974686852 8.15069939469183 9.73251231502669
2014 Q2 7.08530749919026 8.31072836796416 9.90447573432391
2014 Q3 7.18419700408077 8.33369389531421 9.64623459974695
2014 Q4 7.2120544016271 8.28820456866128 9.72038841683425
2015 Q1 7.29572249496211 8.42378973767747 9.72793828289253
2015 Q2 7.45608697217242 8.33178074867189 9.75423107965117
2015 Q3 7.63917574930302 8.55437915169276 9.68973264943186
2015 Q4 7.7727819949132 8.38162059958729 9.7565035561741
2016 Q1 7.74309580695799 8.48853677318935 9.79207557732006
2016 Q2 7.76489425051964 8.55478643339289 9.83154837536311
2016 Q3 7.77272553923029 8.34657077792927 9.71763166231232
2016 Q4 7.71780747261041 8.2230555351772 9.59660551998308
2017 Q1 7.64431962433969 8.2808009426581 9.71404168613599
2017 Q2 7.7169206519714 8.26112738467232 9.82465633526313
2017 Q3 7.68603656324499 8.39021184694146 9.71739510214336
2017 Q4 7.36272223162835 8.24158405568752 9.70789159703066
2018 Q1 7.17475347761294 8.19198399651527 9.61323925127304
2018 Q2 7.29377177392645 8.274877673441 9.6630454126994
2018 Q3 7.19967062894261 8.25712162813239 9.58788654138933
2018 Q4 7.22233261862194 8.2835994704377 9.79811400798519
2019 Q1 7.20822327126357 8.4378038716314 10.0179731142602
2019 Q2 7.21289142527361 8.6277090899251 10.1549736136517
2019 Q3 7.04144574252191 8.63417532030175 9.99342559400281
2019 Q4 7.00196194538865 8.45966605569489 10.1233099756786
2020 Q1 6.31113217781476 7.87080503343904 9.73803360952817
2020 Q2 6.24589317866425 7.90828274752286 9.19545905624457
2020 Q3 6.43160724786446 8.12256619044583 9.13973325460035
2020 Q4 6.37096620745956 8.18117854835424 9.34797905836426
2021 Q1 6.07564066257491 7.94843141198312 9.02706192506575
2021 Q2 6.15804651088797 7.9722611260037 9.20463804514972
2021 Q3 6.02088844643775 7.84187908703725 9.09854519262225
2021 Q4 6.04408015409337 7.52077963390508 9.08381428912221
2022 Q1 5.62199716508929 6.86218596332381 8.36145534374357
2022 Q2 5.76385837997458 6.49158516876716 8.02856997053438
2022 Q3 5.83206151947804 5.99471878773856 7.52486520666898
2022 Q4 6.05620689941618 5.91885077874207 7.854612413268
2023 Q1 6.06433581894906 6.0588246181226 8.02588539471917
2023 Q2 6.12169493495145 6.10824367631513 8.07077106534931
2023 Q3 6.19175491801793 6.09159960900203 7.83845289446853
2023 Q4 6.25054338919766 6.52372182500453 8.53552999786032
2024 Q1 6.0893214587128 6.48011743430936 8.5835689472702
2024 Q2 6.21066830704279 6.87349468549257 8.71015738278838
2024 Q3 6.2663293807258 7.27886218779168 8.91007058278648
2024 Q4 6.41528153500577 7.23793109287638 8.98572387431257
2025 Q1 6.17392524440058 7.47287645478336 9.13028378662964
2025 Q2 6.06636991598508 7.52964759472052 9.28596435090382

Note: The sample consists of domestic bank holding companies (BHCs), intermediate holding companies (IHCs) with a substantial U.S. commercial banking presence, and commercial banks. G-SIBs are global systemically important banks. Large non-G-SIBs are BHCs and IHCs with greater than $100 billion in total assets that are not G-SIBs. Bank equity is total equity capital net of preferred equity and intangible assets. Bank assets are total assets net of intangible assets. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: July 1990-March 1991, March 2001-November 2001, December 2007- June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020. The data are seasonally adjusted by Federal Reserve Board staff.

Source: For data through 1996, Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031. For data from 1997 onward, Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-9C, Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies; Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031.

Figure 3.5. Bank lending standards showed some signs of easing

This is a line chart showing quarterly data on bank lending standards from 1997 to 2025:Q2. The y-axis shows the net percentage of banks reporting. The y-axis has labels specifying tightening (positive values, upper half) or easing (negative values, lower half) of lending standards, ranging from -100 to 100 percent. The chart reveals cyclical pat-terns with sharp spikes upward in 2001, 2008-2009, and 2020. During the 2008-2009 spike, tightening reached approximately 80-90 percent. After the 2020 peak at approxi-mately 80 percent, standards gradually eased, moving into negative territory by late 2021. By 2025:Q2, the value was approximately -5 percent.

Note: Banks' responses are weighted by their loans. Survey respondents to the Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices are asked about the changes over the quarter. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.

Figure 3.6. Delinquencies on bank loans declined

This is a line chart displaying quarterly data from 2007 to 2025:Q2, with the y-axis showing percent of loans ranging from 0 to 14 percent. Four variables are plotted: Total (black dashed line), C&I (blue solid line), Multifamily (thick burgundy solid line), and NFNR (thin black solid line). All categories show elevated delinquency rates during 2008-2009, with total delinquencies peaking at approximately 10 percent, NFNR ap-proximately 12 percent, C&I approximately 5 percent, and multifamily around 6 per-cent. From 2010 through 2019, delinquencies gradually declined across all categories. A small uptick appeared in 2020, but the increase was modest compared to the 2007-2009 period. From 2021 to 2025:Q2, delinquency rates remained relatively low and stable, with total delinquencies around 2 percent, though the chart shows a very slight increase in most categories in 2025:Q2.

Note: The figure shows banks with total assets greater than or equal to $10 billion. C&I is commercial and industrial; NFNR is nonfarm nonresidential. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Eco-nomic Research: December 2007-June 2009 and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-9C, Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies; Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031.

Figure 3.7. Leverage at broker-dealers remained low

Ratio of assets to equity

Date Leverage at broker-dealers
1995 Q1 30.5982069909687
1995 Q2 30.715053408215
1995 Q3 31.3075187485227
1995 Q4 31.8437861119866
1996 Q1 33.1163299730913
1996 Q2 33.1013331739105
1996 Q3 33.3441693368288
1996 Q4 33.8799653746273
1997 Q1 35.2828507392546
1997 Q2 35.2869330076762
1997 Q3 35.498408212325
1997 Q4 32.9736871252037
1998 Q1 35.5055261963666
1998 Q2 35.0070818698421
1998 Q3 35.0660341830823
1998 Q4 30.4295790511052
1999 Q1 30.9114567834438
1999 Q2 29.3661582531347
1999 Q3 28.4326362993834
1999 Q4 28.557997841401
2000 Q1 29.859810788878
2000 Q2 28.8894217207334
2000 Q3 28.5148996842856
2000 Q4 28.2648060796646
2001 Q1 28.5606100861009
2001 Q2 30.0320462611084
2001 Q3 31.4661945806851
2001 Q4 31.338968071904
2002 Q1 31.6577101403855
2002 Q2 31.2606840770697
2002 Q3 31.7889909984558
2002 Q4 30.6285497486484
2003 Q1 32.0302453053945
2003 Q2 34.7881475653154
2003 Q3 32.9734923391743
2003 Q4 33.6675097743329
2004 Q1 35.5833439029959
2004 Q2 37.7700967206065
2004 Q3 38.5887403329401
2004 Q4 39.2777396924885
2005 Q1 41.0738134100422
2005 Q2 41.4384392576605
2005 Q3 41.9749561634572
2005 Q4 39.880072868668
2006 Q1 40.503497005644
2006 Q2 40.6512138000326
2006 Q3 42.2873796143481
2006 Q4 43.0107629130303
2007 Q1 45.2778193125806
2007 Q2 46.8994959572924
2007 Q3 46.0204176455575
2007 Q4 46.2983034482759
2008 Q1 47.89183041899
2008 Q2 41.8661248648791
2008 Q3 43.2122746457033
2008 Q4 30.7079615940182
2009 Q1 28.3215972520395
2009 Q2 24.8998563124937
2009 Q3 24.9618375682385
2009 Q4 23.5052722711834
2010 Q1 24.5069614762614
2010 Q2 24.0433659395688
2010 Q3 24.3100066525033
2010 Q4 23.5247459227071
2011 Q1 24.2946419130198
2011 Q2 24.4403180767268
2011 Q3 24.5657173756309
2011 Q4 24.6372270220987
2012 Q1 24.5318749709241
2012 Q2 24.4307914783732
2012 Q3 23.8525335546291
2012 Q4 23.4598855351307
2013 Q1 22.8428439449133
2013 Q2 22.1486328871893
2013 Q3 21.8371631014628
2013 Q4 21.097681616223
2014 Q1 21.1278101117537
2014 Q2 21.3475737106516
2014 Q3 20.7180067422846
2014 Q4 19.8169499480063
2015 Q1 19.7323521032268
2015 Q2 19.3348381307379
2015 Q3 18.8286350148368
2015 Q4 18.1493925866296
2016 Q1 18.1237621509448
2016 Q2 18.3046870769175
2016 Q3 18.035854625629
2016 Q4 17.6136082150251
2017 Q1 17.7695777550781
2017 Q2 18.3075496605482
2017 Q3 17.4100389829624
2017 Q4 17.1500899174335
2018 Q1 17.2055763771559
2018 Q2 18.0641742412777
2018 Q3 17.9034846949206
2018 Q4 18.1021874008148
2019 Q1 17.9231761630234
2019 Q2 17.8550150674329
2019 Q3 17.7701250731129
2019 Q4 16.8485077888428
2020 Q1 17.2645564252128
2020 Q2 16.256437803408
2020 Q3 16.5385133231621
2020 Q4 16.6196028088193
2021 Q1 16.582882045479
2021 Q2 16.2138888615413
2021 Q3 16.2545560469413
2021 Q4 15.7850315685682
2022 Q1 17.6559734587943
2022 Q2 17.2151009687427
2022 Q3 16.9552319201328
2022 Q4 15.9521612582599
2023 Q1 16.9887092251612
2023 Q2 16.9454259925785
2023 Q3 16.6431064813536
2023 Q4 17.081807501296
2024 Q1 17.6268789319503
2024 Q2 17.6032710002968
2024 Q3 17.9807580977055
2024 Q4 16.5456570897438
2025 Q1 17.2371274645873
2025 Q2 17.7738084725072

Note: Leverage is calculated by dividing total assets by equity.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States."

Figure 3.8. Broker-dealers' trading profits were within their seasonally adjusted range of the past 5 years

This is a line chart showing monthly broker-dealer trading profits from 2018 through June 2025. The y-axis displays millions of dollars, ranging from 0 to 1000. The single black line shows considerable volatility throughout the period, with profits fluctuating between 300 and 700 million dollars in a generally seasonal pattern. Notable peaks oc-curred in early 2020 and early 2021, when profits briefly reached approximately 900 million dollars. Between 2023 and 2025, trading profits generally remained within a nar-rower range of approximately 400-600 million dollars and maintained the same seasonal pattern within each year. The most recent data point for June 2025 shows profits at ap-proximately 600 million dollars.

Note: The sample includes all trading desks of bank holding companies subject to the Volcker Rule reporting requirement.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Reporting, Recordkeeping, and Disclosure Require-ments Associated with Regulation VV (Proprietary Trading and Certain Interests in and Relationships with Covered Funds, 12 C.F.R. pt. 248).

Figure 3.9. The distribution of the sources of broker-dealers' trading profits was in line with recent averages

This is a stacked area chart showing monthly data from 2018 through June 2025. The y-axis displays percent from 0 to 100. There are three categories in the chart: Equities (burgundy, top portion), Fixed income, rates, and credit (blue, middle portion), and Oth-er business lines (beige, bottom portion). Throughout the period, the distribution remains relatively stable. Fixed income, rates, and credit consistently account for approximately 30-40 percent of trading profits, while equities and other business lines each contribute roughly 20-30 percent. There are minor fluctuations in the relative proportions, but no dramatic shifts in the overall distribution pattern are visible. As of June 2025, the distri-bution closely resembles the patterns observed throughout the previous years.

Note: The sample includes all trading desks of bank holding companies subject to the Volcker Rule reporting requirement. The "other business lines" category comprises desks trading in municipal securities, foreign exchange, and commodities, as well as any unclassified desks. The key identifies series in order from top to bottom.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Reporting, Recordkeeping, and Disclosure Require-ments Associated with Regulation VV (Proprietary Trading and Certain Interests in and Relationships with Covered Funds, 12 C.F.R. pt. 248).

Figure 3.10. Leverage at life insurance companies was in the upper quartile of its historical distribution

Ratio of assets to equity

Date Life Property and casualty
2001 Q1 8.360315929 5.403669991
2001 Q2 8.825850206 5.504125512
2001 Q3 9.446489745 6.221822248
2001 Q4 10.02576131 6.373944981
2002 Q1 9.632679759 6.240769413
2002 Q2 9.832560139 6.322692244
2002 Q3 10.14213546 6.41022916
2002 Q4 10.79484944 6.68349138
2003 Q1 11.04440361 6.783390209
2003 Q2 11.15630355 6.700379951
2003 Q3 11.00039848 6.717200484
2003 Q4 10.93049098 6.703703289
2004 Q1 11.28632142 7.061007766
2004 Q2 11.37445196 6.757486319
2004 Q3 11.47501192 6.816018286
2004 Q4 11.68091636 6.822148806
2005 Q1 11.30446287 6.807496064
2005 Q2 10.67035344 6.600465712
2005 Q3 10.78435755 6.658785004
2005 Q4 10.86652045 6.484946821
2006 Q1 10.19546025 6.497220748
2006 Q2 10.05285582 6.394967111
2006 Q3 9.990700936 6.370420878
2006 Q4 9.942870311 6.298563083
2007 Q1 10.03147799 6.336802042
2007 Q2 9.863830346 6.328847255
2007 Q3 9.956568986 6.329295342
2007 Q4 9.735306652 6.087904989
2008 Q1 10.85573631 6.513339782
2008 Q2 10.73182068 6.424232439
2008 Q3 10.68725491 6.445780501
2008 Q4 10.89029983 5.962321235
2009 Q1 10.90932682 5.939189565
2009 Q2 10.04657884 5.604261304
2009 Q3 10.00248807 5.574954212
2009 Q4 8.944481462 5.201320434
2010 Q1 9.244863211 5.169366996
2010 Q2 9.450056325 5.10355913
2010 Q3 9.733333631 5.181248479
2010 Q4 8.836558828 4.477889087
2011 Q1 9.736770121 4.623750035
2011 Q2 9.398895189 4.575627304
2011 Q3 9.479201809 4.413557952
2011 Q4 8.891800774 4.156316693
2012 Q1 8.854567244 4.146309553
2012 Q2 8.857692011 4.117559347
2012 Q3 9.199881714 4.165875528
2012 Q4 9.442618935 4.178579258
2013 Q1 9.274268451 4.100953384
2013 Q2 8.893093469 3.97245337
2013 Q3 8.670253358 3.923258204
2013 Q4 8.798132172 3.900565463
2014 Q1 8.547166563 3.87545479
2014 Q2 8.41872559 3.694263721
2014 Q3 8.363200493 3.647497267
2014 Q4 8.59546272 3.594395745
2015 Q1 8.428684782 3.551287551
2015 Q2 8.157295502 3.527149965
2015 Q3 8.374381367 3.473736099
2015 Q4 9.038878674 3.469640162
2016 Q1 9.522137033 3.564389235
2016 Q2 9.953703221 3.578756345
2016 Q3 10.07453984 3.563390508
2016 Q4 9.90261698 3.806888836
2017 Q1 10.22183128 3.596155467
2017 Q2 10.1183826 3.604357705
2017 Q3 9.838616996 3.653211818
2017 Q4 10.04515385 3.740926135
2018 Q1 9.970165092 3.302703286
2018 Q2 9.81671602 2.969346997
2018 Q3 9.846612352 2.934720943
2018 Q4 9.936873206 3.038347807
2019 Q1 10.20370771 3.020145479
2019 Q2 10.34069428 3.014511147
2019 Q3 10.54718356 2.986135067
2019 Q4 10.54096472 2.898598585
2020 Q1 10.34685813 3.042360791
2020 Q2 11.53667848 3.139493199
2020 Q3 11.69084219 3.118807437
2020 Q4 11.80069899 3.036641665
2021 Q1 11.12686467 3.012444066
2021 Q2 11.18981547 2.986456596
2021 Q3 11.55590725 3.001931086
2021 Q4 11.32713361 2.847918268
2022 Q1 10.82153347 2.817607057
2022 Q2 9.853146018 2.884219907
2022 Q3 9.906630233 2.886733385
2022 Q4 10.07603079 2.855469911
2023 Q1 10.50902812 2.843667603
2023 Q2 10.39107173 2.787514932
2023 Q3 9.91784836 2.79258154
2023 Q4 10.91318339 2.76413361
2024 Q1 10.8805607 2.747099225
2024 Q2 10.81238043 2.084404184
2024 Q3 11.53215366 2.091655559
2024 Q4 11.073414 2.028209402
2025 Q1 11.44009663 2.047775255
2025 Q2 11.54302656 2.033796463

Note: Ratio is calculated as (total assets - separate account assets)/(total capital - accumulated other comprehensive income) using generally accepted accounting principles. The largest 10 publicly traded life and property and casualty insurers are represented.

Source: Generally accepted accounting principles data from 10-Q and 10-K filings accessed via S&P Global, Capital IQ Pro.

Figure 3.11. As of the first quarter of 2025, hedge funds' leverage was at its highest level since data became available

This is a line chart displaying quarterly data from 2013 to 2025:Q1, with the y-axis showing the ratio of leverage ranging from 0 to 10. Two metrics of hedge fund leverage are shown: Mean gross leverage (thin black line) and Mean balance sheet leverage (thick blue line). Mean gross leverage shows significant growth over the period, starting at ap-proximately 6 in 2013, fluctuating between 6-8 through 2021, then rising more steeply from 2022 to reach about 9.5 by 2025:Q1 - its highest level in the series. In contrast, mean balance sheet leverage shows a much flatter trend, rising from approximately 2 in 2013 to about 2.5 by 2025:Q1.

Note: Means are weighted by net asset value (NAV). On-balance-sheet leverage is the ratio of gross asset value to NAV. Gross leverage is the ratio of gross notional exposure to NAV. Gross notional exposure includes both on-balance-sheet exposures and off-balance-sheet derivative notional exposures. Options are delta adjusted, and interest rate derivatives are reported at 10-year bond equivalent values. The data are reported on a 2-quarter lag beginning in 2013:Q1.

Source: Securities and Exchange Commission, Form PF, Reporting Form for Investment Advisers to Private Funds and Certain Commodity Pool Operators and Commodity Trad-ing Advisors.

Figure 3.12. Balance sheet leverage at the 15 largest hedge funds increased further through the first quarter of 2025

This is a line chart displaying quarterly data from 2013 to 2025:Q1, showing leverage ratios on the y-axis, ranging from 0 to 14. The chart displays three hedge fund catego-ries: Top 15, by GAV (thin black line), 16-50, by GAV (blue line), and 51+, by GAV (thick burgundy line). The top 15 line consistently maintains the highest leverage, start-ing around 4-6 in 2013-2014, generally fluctuating between 6-8 from 2015-2021, then climbing more steeply to reach approximately 12 by 2025:Q1. The 16-50 line maintains moderate leverage between 2-3 throughout most of the period, with a slight increase to about 3.5 by 2025:Q1. The 51+ line is relatively flat, remaining consistently just below 2 throughout the entire period.

Note: Leverage is measured by gross asset value (GAV) divided by net asset value (NAV). Funds are sorted into cohorts based on GAV. Average leverage is computed as the NAV-weighted mean. The data are reported on a 2-quarter lag beginning in 2013:Q1.

Source: Securities and Exchange Commission, Form PF, Reporting Form for Investment Advisers to Private Funds and Certain Commodity Pool Operators and Commodity Trad-ing Advisors.

Figure 3.13. Dealers indicated that the use of leverage by hedge funds declined around April

This is a line chart showing quarterly data from 2012 to 2025:Q3, displaying net per-centages for four categories of financial institutions: Hedge funds (thin black line), Trad-ing REITs (blue line), Insurance companies (thick burgundy line), and Mutual funds (black dashed line). The y-axis measures net percentage and is scaled from -80 to 40 percent. The chart shows considerable volatility across all categories. Trading REITs exhibit the most dramatic fluctuations, with significant drops around 2014 to approxi-mately -40 percent and 2020 to approximately -70 percent. All categories generally fluc-tuate between -20 percent and +20 percent throughout most of the period. In the most recent quarters, the data shows mixed trends with insurance companies at approximately +10 percent, mutual funds at approximately 0 percent, and a notable decline for hedge funds around 2025:Q2, followed by a partial recovery by 2025:Q3 to end at approxi-mately 0 percent.

Note: Net percentage equals the percentage of institutions that reported increased use of financial leverage over the past 3 months minus the percentage of institutions that re-ported decreased use of financial leverage over the past 3 months. REIT is real estate investment trust.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Senior Credit Officer Opinion Survey on Dealer Financ-ing Terms.

Figure 3.14. The pace of issuance of securitized products remained robust through June

This is a stacked bar chart displaying annual data from 2001 to 2025, with a y-axis in billions of dollars (real) that ranges from 0 to 3200 billion dollars. Five categories are tracked: Other (light gray), Private-label RMBS (dark gray), Non-agency CMBS (terra-cotta), Auto loan/lease ABS (blue), and CDOs (including CLOs and ABS CDOs) (beige). The chart reveals a peak in issuance during 2005-2007, reaching approximately 3000 billion dollars, followed by a sharp collapse to around 400-500 billion during 2008-2011. From 2012 onward, issuance gradually increased but remained well below pre-2008 lev-els, stabilizing between 800-900 billion dollars annually from 2020 through 2025. The composition of issuance has also shifted, with CDOs and auto loan/lease ABS represent-ing larger proportions of the total in recent years compared to private-label RMBS, which dominated before 2008. In 2025:Q2, CDOs and the other category were about equivalent at about 200 billion dollars, non-agency CMBS was slightly smaller at about 100 billion dollars, and private-label RMBS and auto loan/lease ABS took up around 150 billion dollars each.

Note: The data from the first and second quarters of 2025 are annualized to create the 2025 bar. RMBS is residential mortgage-backed securities; CMBS is commercial mort-gage-backed securities; CDO is collateralized debt obligation; CLO is collateralized loan obligation. The "other" category consists of other asset-backed securities (ABS) backed by credit card debt, student loans, equipment, floor plans, and miscellaneous re-ceivables; resecuritized real estate mortgage investment conduit (Re-REMIC) RMBS; and Re-REMIC CMBS. The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the con-sumer price index. The key identifies bars in order from top to bottom.

Source: Green Street, Commercial Mortgage Alert's CMBS Database and Asset-Backed Alert's ABS Database; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Ana-lytics.

Figure 3.15. Bank credit commitments to other financial entities continued to grow

This is a stacked area chart showing quarterly data on bank credit commitments to other financial entities from 2018 to 2025:Q2. The y-axis measures billions of dollars and ranges from 0 to 2750 billion dollars. Ten categories are tracked: 1) Financial transac-tions processing; 2) Private equity, BDCs, and private credit; 3) Broker-dealers; 4) In-surance companies; 5) REITs; 6) Open-end investment funds; 7) Special purpose enti-ties, CLOs, and ABS; 8) Other financial vehicles; 9) Real estate lenders and lessors; and 10) Consumer lenders, other lenders, and lessors. The chart shows steady and consistent growth in overall commitments from approximately 1250 billion dollars in 2018 to about 2500 billion dollars by 2025:Q2, with all categories expanding over the period while maintaining relatively stable proportions of the total. The categories representing the largest portion of the total, especially in recent quarters, are: Special purpose enti-ties, CLOs, and ABS; other financial vehicles; private equity, BDCs, and private credit; and real estate lenders and lessors.

Note: Committed amounts on credit lines and term loans extended to nonbank financial institutions. Nonbank financial institutions are identified based on reported North Amer-ican Industry Classification System (NAICS) codes. In addition to NAICS codes, a name-matching algorithm is applied to identify specific entities such as real estate in-vestment trusts (REITs), special purpose entities, collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), asset-backed securities (ABS), private equity, business development companies (BDCs), and private credit. REITs incorporate both mortgage (trading) REITs and equity REITs. Broker-dealers also include commodity contracts dealers and brokerages and other secu-rities and commodity exchanges. Other financial vehicles include closed-end investment and mutual funds.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-14Q (Schedule H.1), Capital Assessments and Stress Testing.

Figure 3.16. Bank credit growth was strongest for special purpose entities, collateralized loan obligations, and asset-backed securities between 2024:Q2 and 2025:Q2

This is a bar chart displaying the year-over-year percentage growth in bank credit from 2024:Q2 to 2025:Q2 across different categories of financial entities, with the y-axis scaled from -10 percent to 40 percent. The x-axis categories displayed in the chart from left to right are: REITs; Financial transactions processing; Consumer, leasing, & other lenders; Insurance companies; PE, BDCs, & private credit; Broker-dealers; Open-end investment funds; SPEs, CLOs, & ABS; Real estate lenders & lessors; Other financial vehicles; Total. For each entity type, two bars are shown: Committed amounts (burgun-dy) and Utilized amounts (gray). SPEs, CLOs, and ABS show high growth rates at ap-proximately 30-32 percent for both committed and utilized amounts. Financial transac-tions processing shows the largest committed amount growth at approximately 35 per-cent and its utilized amount grew less at about 20 percent. Other categories with sub-stantial growth include PE, BDCs, and private credit (10-12 percent), broker-dealers (12-15 percent committed, but only about 2 percent utilized), and other financial vehicles (13-20 percent). REITs and real estate lenders & lessors show very small values. Insur-ance companies show modest negative growth in both measures. The overall total (rightmost bars) indicates growth of approximately 12-14 percent in both the committed and utilized amounts for all categories combined.

Note: The figure shows 2025:Q2-over-2024:Q2 growth rates as of the end of the second quarter of 2025. REIT is real estate investment trust; PE is private equity; BDC is busi-ness development company; SPE is special purpose entity; CLO is collateralized loan obligation; ABS is asset-backed securities. The key identifies bars in order from left to right.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-14Q (Schedule H.1), Capital Assessments and Stress Testing.

Figure 4.1. The ratio of runnable money-like liabilities to GDP was around 80 percent

Percent of GDP

Date Other Securities lending Commercial paper Domestic money market funds Repurchase agreements Uninsured deposits
2002 Q1 74.394513575 69.123087624 65.08403161 52.03677376 30.51530052 11.2213538
2002 Q2 75.116284552 69.707609408 65.35040109 53.00936838 32.34707434 11.4801712
2002 Q3 74.621726632 69.046775393 66.02052456 53.85792367 33.63261579 12.38150759
2002 Q4 75.849854747 70.037927787 67.1063302 54.71830625 33.60607727 12.88164942
2003 Q1 76.15917002 70.266331927 66.69815596 54.58003051 34.24171148 13.19553592
2003 Q2 77.744411215 71.794086738 67.73060483 56.02989476 36.42313354 14.02211935
2003 Q3 75.971323655 70.045875338 65.08168709 53.9173236 35.19903048 13.50692573
2003 Q4 76.076309342 68.987460103 63.88414833 52.93829859 35.25116274 13.53385069
2004 Q1 77.595632285 70.310489578 65.35741869 54.24517059 37.27559768 14.03742657
2004 Q2 78.213097539 70.818259649 64.87307455 54.14072216 37.93704854 14.41923144
2004 Q3 79.016336693 71.530569805 66.2609368 55.64786597 40.02987252 14.66919895
2004 Q4 79.6577831 72.093469158 66.11885113 54.98282314 39.39903899 15.14410661
2005 Q1 80.75680244 73.161508827 66.54405447 55.30011413 40.45719383 15.04202804
2005 Q2 83.111140467 75.47117301 68.1665633 56.5987713 41.92179647 15.15643072
2005 Q3 83.887544109 76.323388166 69.58969467 57.74361426 42.94164373 15.2811488
2005 Q4 83.946244853 76.3026726 70.13673203 57.82756145 42.38847774 15.77717409
2006 Q1 85.24653006 77.540032543 71.36971116 58.88651378 43.74014451 15.49262021
2006 Q2 87.988456386 79.999296135 72.55606352 59.72851563 44.28240505 15.76425978
2006 Q3 91.745618881 83.389471652 75.64733699 62.20380656 46.18668422 15.46617993
2006 Q4 93.850702512 85.172287392 76.93972837 62.99687678 45.98105874 16.26198807
2007 Q1 96.369513407 87.616694076 78.83427856 64.74156503 47.71136374 15.39487663
2007 Q2 99.13878156 90.41058926 79.93351724 65.28707869 47.70689836 15.24456781
2007 Q3 99.123397649 90.54543734 79.80547595 67.05295555 47.45097105 15.21393567
2007 Q4 99.292125509 90.63016269 80.11582978 67.96438572 46.58562546 16.05890309
2008 Q1 104.166738816 94.889389276 84.98714565 72.85519494 48.93455619 16.0681219
2008 Q2 100.171511411 90.63467711 80.54090892 68.7819946 45.4300514 15.50576409
2008 Q3 98.140766447 88.952182223 79.99969533 69.56390042 46.39092824 16.37606903
2008 Q4 86.177313816 77.031799368 71.235886 60.2879392 34.00776352 12.19275204
2009 Q1 85.241559489 76.188678298 70.865949352 60.99881151 34.24705324 12.12707385
2009 Q2 83.305737063 74.343428095 68.834998661 59.94286345 34.10752468 12.12732653
2009 Q3 76.734429356 67.93450644 62.544336634 54.451745523 30.668584453 8.176508483
2009 Q4 73.283277997 64.788511273 59.335869891 51.572886521 29.022017251 8.666235841
2010 Q1 75.940034291 67.697740566 62.430572941 55.10916027 34.86670893 12.21509893
2010 Q2 74.082051108 66.217996527 60.783871076 53.92116897 35.10066404 12.2369495
2010 Q3 74.550156713 66.749267792 61.918773719 54.9804676 36.41274249 13.66544011
2010 Q4 69.648720314 62.060517923 57.208648719 50.301474597 31.899954307 9.532292697
2011 Q1 70.72075037 63.02455245 58.02539899 50.656615499 32.812422689 9.612796729
2011 Q2 70.078225418 62.753710886 57.627992294 50.67574861 33.40218752 10.09778002
2011 Q3 69.166056968 62.162100153 57.562565922 51.1434931 34.30577635 10.37504822
2011 Q4 68.096974508 61.407535887 57.198104912 51.08008857 34.05027659 10.46072154
2012 Q1 67.005398922 60.63006045 56.518772606 50.4234284 34.19942152 10.53836931
2012 Q2 66.601646437 60.243625858 56.088762492 50.24720472 34.58211598 10.59933138
2012 Q3 66.244139339 59.929271326 56.011846656 50.25437457 34.46074374 10.47648555
2012 Q4 67.633141623 61.501075308 57.949700433 52.23769044 35.98832402 11.90148784
2013 Q1 74.528473076 68.317244503 64.68659508 58.73484879 42.94095653 20.06200904
2013 Q2 73.128804329 67.203702949 63.339701743 57.48009671 41.95319397 20.05432462
2013 Q3 72.92708369 67.217389038 63.450280407 57.74904049 41.85459196 20.80509274
2013 Q4 72.363445735 65.289282421 61.569408546 56.09410062 40.41646589 21.39200764
2014 Q1 73.066308364 65.784486674 61.787938303 56.0786062 40.71095727 21.46042131
2014 Q2 72.108780824 64.859184294 60.654123684 54.97326304 40.3779673 21.89376062
2014 Q3 71.180408289 64.040390602 60.10847213 54.57166945 40.01752574 22.08448011
2014 Q4 71.034764329 64.166699838 60.372924663 55.23633495 40.01556099 22.62418513
2015 Q1 70.901536679 64.044297656 60.361257718 55.14423733 40.30023848 22.70171547
2015 Q2 69.028109401 62.485482885 58.901177693 53.60321044 39.37123683 22.49692158
2015 Q3 69.24310777 62.714059821 59.417150757 54.08639366 39.58596873 22.42652743
2015 Q4 69.075461571 62.557407753 58.963792061 53.91269846 38.94934302 22.83849643
2016 Q1 69.923962589 63.208800116 59.693110677 54.23687282 39.30916015 22.96580891
2016 Q2 70.587818708 63.73156029 60.093407465 54.71933718 40.19320249 23.13879362
2016 Q3 69.806791867 62.94213249 59.616291286 54.84722745 40.65963328 23.68933233
2016 Q4 69.021891491 62.055259538 58.786562327 54.20520335 39.90804391 23.88738582
2017 Q1 68.625450386 61.646074662 58.436301697 53.62907692 39.86512223 23.67068793
2017 Q2 68.663480738 61.74446725 58.352707168 53.64387032 40.15541353 23.51067034
2017 Q3 68.807925484 61.758013572 58.492165424 53.55608143 39.63974892 23.5406365
2017 Q4 69.114087248 62.223179307 58.779312318 54.01007625 39.79915908 23.66958612
2018 Q1 68.085688194 61.324475675 57.899869947 52.79296904 38.87553982 23.2270787
2018 Q2 67.463660669 60.739927628 57.153156023 52.09406994 38.36753527 22.68542655
2018 Q3 67.278872122 60.57414188 57.171650243 52.19426445 38.33064848 22.75686621
2018 Q4 69.644948654 63.025680933 59.780785364 55.06876577 40.54086947 23.19115156
2019 Q1 70.031928402 63.479513129 60.25848941 55.27490686 40.58408277 22.48864553
2019 Q2 70.80151247 64.227040608 60.920950747 55.91443556 40.99571325 22.56196103
2019 Q3 72.947389148 66.376246562 63.161807042 58.30026205 42.44788821 22.96222021
2019 Q4 72.868800206 66.271377921 63.14581416 58.41084525 41.9773595 23.47938816
2020 Q1 80.37375532 73.499758317 70.380461582 65.4048917 45.99609331 26.823462
2020 Q2 90.505195304 82.397864459 78.660117181 73.64909688 50.18500867 31.02645461
2020 Q3 82.953635552 75.543270617 72.291816931 67.91288292 47.62242823 29.7999039
2020 Q4 83.295949705 76.065210342 72.713353072 68.52322171 49.0776657 30.9881039
2021 Q1 83.327821696 76.045882791 72.496469397 67.60339114 47.77657198 31.50107929
2021 Q2 81.998390726 74.607052289 70.643235645 65.99032798 46.64578124 31.45545702
2021 Q3 81.674729647 74.399383515 70.617890324 66.13132955 47.16761019 32.16659591
2021 Q4 81.470973612 74.2290866 70.401193534 66.16257034 47.20056905 32.45583052
2022 Q1 80.091272068 73.065313439 69.020681861 64.5074607 46.32586882 32.11964871
2022 Q2 77.025998598 70.067272512 66.218318085 61.71784686 44.19740333 30.51171659
2022 Q3 74.819604826 67.963505119 64.287873053 59.86078999 42.43173856 28.79299333
2022 Q4 74.095363736 67.232187243 63.757169351 59.26085295 41.57364705 27.98420175
2023 Q1 74.818576883 67.856709053 64.482935394 60.22460935 41.12567881 25.25995521
2023 Q2 74.985198971 68.039297128 64.559712879 60.32038257 40.5932223 24.16579424
2023 Q3 74.55199305 67.527952004 64.210717959 59.9127676 39.80970781 23.46498116
2023 Q4 75.943622996 68.725790634 65.47018951 61.17977996 40.47088078 23.6784916
2024 Q1 76.994529269 69.785119329 66.423434117 62.12626218 41.08227729 23.80347539
2024 Q2 76.584087275 69.311889344 65.898558405 61.72152065 40.78146921 23.06444357
2024 Q3 78.245917393 70.805626688 67.379313457 63.17030995 41.39026044 23.3978859
2024 Q4 78.317693879 70.654937239 67.152258127 63.09080777 40.2720703 23.69409885
2025 Q1 81.868704721 73.891450645 70.245541632 65.85554734 42.5077119 23.74010867
2025 Q2 82.428885192 74.475428548 70.656561055 66.09801481 43.06007167 23.99196038

Note: The black striped area denotes the period from 2008:Q4 to 2012:Q4, when insured deposits increased because of the Transaction Account Guarantee program. The "other" category consists of variable-rate demand obligations (VRDOs), federal funds, funding-agreement-backed securities, private liquidity funds, offshore money market funds, short-term investment funds, local government investment pools, and stablecoins. Securities lending includes only lending collateralized by cash. GDP is gross domestic product. Values for VRDOs come from Bloomberg beginning in 2019:Q1. See Jack Bao, Josh David, and Song Han (2015), "The Runnables," FEDS Notes (Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, September 3), https://www. federalreserve.gov/econresdata/notes/feds-notes/2015/the-runnables-20150903.html.

Source: Securities and Exchange Commission, Private Fund Statistics; iMoneyNet, Inc., Offshore Money Fund Analyzer; Bloomberg Finance L.P.; Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association: U.S. Municipal Variable-Rate Demand Obligation Update; DTCC Solutions LLC, an affiliate of the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation: commercial paper data; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on Risk Management Association, Securities Lending Report; S&P Securities Finance; Investment Company Institute; Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States"; Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031; gross domestic product, Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics; Llama Corp, DeFiLlama.

Figure A. Runnable vehicles and instruments, by historical run propensity

This is a line chart showing quarterly data from 1985 to 2025, with the y-axis measuring percent from 0 to 120 percent of nominal GDP. This chart includes three lines that dis-play aggregate amounts of runnable liabilities as a share of nominal GDP categorized by historical run propensity. Three lines denote following categories: Total runnables (thin black line), Experienced runs or notable stress (blue line), and Experienced industry-wide runs or market freezes (thick burgundy line). All three lines show an upward trend from 1985 to around 2008, followed by a sharp decline. The total runnables series peaks at about 100 percent around 2008, then stabilizes between 70 to 85 percent through 2025. Vehicles and instruments that experienced runs or notable stress follow a similar pattern but at lower values, reaching about 66 percent in 2025:Q2. Vehicles and instru-ments that experienced industry-wide runs or market freezes remained the lowest, peak-ing around 58 percent in 2008 before declining to approximately 30 percent by 2025:Q2.

In the recent decade, total runnables increased upward from about 74 percent to 85 per-cent, while the experienced runs or notable stress category changed little on net. The category that experienced industry-wide runs or market freezes decreased somewhat, suggesting that historically more stable runnable categories account for much of the re-cent growth in the aggregate measure.

Note: The "experienced industry-wide runs or market freezes" category includes domes-tic prime institutional money market funds (MMFs), offshore prime MMFs, commercial paper, negotiable certificates of deposit, variable-rate demand obligations, and repur-chase agreements. The "experienced runs or notable stress" category includes all com-ponents in "experienced industry-wide runs or market freezes" plus domestic prime re-tail MMFs, local government investment pools, short-term investment funds, ultrashort bond funds, private liquidity funds, stablecoins, uninsured deposits, securities lending, federal funds, and funding-agreement-backed securities. The "total runnables" category includes all components in "experienced runs or notable stress" plus domestic and off-shore government MMFs. GDP is gross domestic product. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: July 1990-March 1991, March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Securities and Exchange Commission, Private Fund Statistics; iMoneyNet, Inc., Offshore Money Fund Analyzer; Bloomberg Finance L.P.; Investment Company Insti-tute; DTCC Solutions LLC, an affiliate of the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation: commercial paper and negotiable certificates of deposit data; Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association; J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.; Llama Corp, DeFiLlama; Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Con-solidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031; Securities and Exchange Commission, Form N-PORT, Monthly Portfolio Investments Report; Morningstar, Inc., Morningstar Direct; Risk Management Association, Securities Lend-ing Report; Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States"; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.

Figure B. Runnable vehicles, by risk category, as a percentage of nominal GDP

This is a stacked area chart displaying quarterly data from 2000 to 2025:Q2, showing runnable vehicles as a percentage of nominal GDP on the y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 35 percent. Three stacked areas represent three risk categories: No notable stress (beige, top layer), Notable stress incidents (orange, middle layer), and Experienced industry-wide runs (dark red, bottom layer). The total runnable vehicles relative to GDP peaked around 30 percent in 2007-09 financial crisis, declined to about 20 percent in 2015 to 2019, then increased again to above 30 percent by 2025:Q2. The proportion of vehicles that experienced notable stress incidents has been stable over the sample time, which represents roughly 9 percent during the 2007 to 2009 financial crisis and in 2025:Q2. The proportion has gradually increased since 2022. On the other hand, the proportion of vehicles that experienced industry-wide runs was highest during 2007-09 financial crisis at about 10 percent of GDP, but has diminished significantly since, representing only about 2.6 percent in 2025:Q2. The no notable stress category accounts for about 60 per-cent of the total assets of runnable vehicles and for much of their growth over the past decade.

Note: The "no notable stress" category includes domestic government money market funds (MMFs) and offshore government MMFs. The "notable stress incidents" category includes domestic prime retail MMFs, local government investment pools, short-term investment funds, ultrashort bond funds, private liquidity funds, and stablecoins. The "experienced industry-wide runs" category includes domestic prime institutional MMFs and offshore prime MMFs. GDP is gross domestic product. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Eco-nomic Research: March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and Febru-ary 2020-April 2020.

Source: iMoneyNet, Inc., Offshore Money Fund Analyzer; Investment Company Insti-tute; Bloomberg Finance L.P.; Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Con-solidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031; Securities and Exchange Commission, Private Fund Statistics; Securities and Exchange Commis-sion, Form N-PORT, Monthly Portfolio Investments Report; Morningstar, Inc., Morn-ingstar Direct; Llama Corp, DeFiLlama; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.

Figure C. Runnable instruments, by risk category, as a percentage of nominal GDP

This is a stacked area chart displaying quarterly data from 2000 to 2025:Q2, showing runnable instruments as a percentage of nominal GDP on the y-axis, which ranges from 0 to 90 percent. Two stacked areas represent two risk categories: Notable stress incidents (orange, top layer) and Experienced market freeze (dark red, bottom layer). The total percentage of runnable instruments relative to GDP peaked at about 75 percent in 2007 to 2009 financial crisis, declined after 2010 to around 50-60 percent, and stands at ap-proximately 55 percent in 2025:Q2. The proportion of instruments that experienced market freezes was highest around 2007 to 2009 financial crisis at about 50 percent of GDP, then gradually declined to roughly 27 percent by 2025:Q2. The notable stress inci-dents category represents about 28 percent of GDP in 2025:Q2.

Note: The "notable stress incidents" category includes uninsured deposits, securities lending, federal funds, and funding-agreement-backed securities. The "experienced market freeze" category includes commercial paper, negotiable certificates of deposit, variable-rate demand obligations, and repurchase agreements. None of the runnable in-struments are classified as having experienced "no notable stress." GDP is gross domes-tic product. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business recession as de-fined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: March 2001-November 2001, De-cember 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031; DTCC Solutions LLC, an affili-ate of the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation: commercial paper and negotiable certificates of deposit data; Risk Management Association, Securities Lending Report; Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Bloomberg Finance L.P.; Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association; J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.; Federal Reserve Board, Sta-tistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States"; Federal Reserve Board staff calculations.

Figure 4.2. The share of high-quality liquid assets to short-term debt ticked down in the first half of 2025 but remained at the higher end of the historical distribution

This is a line chart showing quarterly data from 1997 to 2025:Q2, with the y-axis meas-uring percent of short-term debt ranging from 0 to 35 percent. The chart displays three variables: G-SIBs (thick burgundy line), Large non-G-SIBs (blue line), and Regional (thin black line). From 1997 to 2009, all three bank types showed a general downward trend from 15-20 percent in 1997 to approximately 5-7 percent by 2009. After 2009, all three categories began a steady upward trend, with G-SIBs rising more rapidly to around 25 percent by 2017. In 2020, all three categories spiked significantly, with G-SIBs reaching about 34 percent, large non-G-SIBs reaching about 25 percent, and regionals reaching about 20 percent. By 2025:Q2, G-SIBs and large non-G-SIBs converged at ap-proximately 25 percent, while regional banks were at about 15 percent.

Note: The figure shows banks with total assets greater than or equal to $10 billion. The sample consists of domestic bank holding companies (BHCs), intermediate holding companies (IHCs) with a substantial U.S. commercial banking presence, and commer-cial banks. G-SIBs are global systemically important banks. Large non-G-SIBs are BHCs and IHCs with greater than $100 billion in total assets that are not G-SIBs. Short-term debt is total liabilities minus long-term debt. The shaded bars with top caps indi-cate periods of business recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Re-search: March 2001-November 2001, December 2007-June 2009, and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-9C, Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies; Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031.

Figure 4.3. Banks' reliance on uninsured deposits and short-term wholesale funding stabilized to levels more typical of the longer history

This is a line chart showing quarterly data from 2002 to 2025:Q2, with the y-axis meas-uring percent of total assets ranging from 5 to 35 percent. The chart displays two varia-bles: Uninsured deposits (thin black line) and Short-term wholesale funding (thick blue line). Short-term wholesale funding started around 22 percent in 2002, rose to a peak of about 33 percent before the 2007-2009 period, then declined steadily to about 15 percent by 2015 where it remained relatively stable until 2020. After a brief decline to about 12 percent in 2022, it gradually increased to approximately 17 percent by 2025:Q2. Unin-sured deposits remained between 15-18 percent until 2009, dropped to around 10 percent from 2010-2012, then jumped significantly in 2013 to about 20 percent. The series grad-ually increased to about 30 percent by 2020, then declined to above 25 percent by 2025:Q2.

Note: Short-term wholesale funding is defined as the sum of large time deposits with maturity less than 1 year, federal funds purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchase, deposits in foreign offices with maturity less than 1 year, trading liabili-ties (excluding revaluation losses on derivatives), and other borrowed money with ma-turity less than 1 year. The shaded bars with top caps indicate periods of business reces-sion as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research: December 2007-June 2009 and February 2020-April 2020.

Source: Federal Reserve Board, Form FR Y-9C, Consolidated Financial Statements for Holding Companies; Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council, Consolidated Reports of Condition and Income (Call Report) Form FFIEC 031.

Figure 4.4. Assets under management at money market funds remained high

This is a stacked area chart showing monthly data from January 2000 to July 2025, with the y-axis measuring trillions of dollars (real) ranging from 0 to 8 trillion. The chart dis-plays four categories of money market funds: 1) Government (beige area), 2) Tax ex-empt (terracotta area), 3) Retail prime (light blue area), and 4) Institutional prime (dark blue area). The cumulative series fluctuated between 3-4 trillion dollars from 2000 to 2007, rose to nearly 6 trillion around 2008-2009, then generally declined to about 4 tril-lion by 2015. In 2016, there was a compositional shift, with government funds becoming the dominant category (expanding from about 1 trillion to over 3 trillion), while the oth-er funds sharply decreased. From 2020 onward, total assets increased steadily, reaching approximately 7 trillion dollars by July 2025, with government funds constituting about 6 trillion of the total. The other three categories remained relatively small, with retail prime being the second largest category at roughly 1 trillion dollars.

Note: The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index.

Source: Federal Reserve Board staff calculations based on Investment Company Insti-tute data; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 4.5. Market capitalization of major stablecoins experienced accelerated growth

Billions of dollars

Date Other TerraUSD Dai Binance USD USD Coin Tether
12/31/2020 27.380387019 26.296363425 26.116087752 24.944224457 23.957292312 20.038555161
1/1/2021 28.278913093 27.154369163 26.970955811 25.759700566 24.684372763 20.578435105
1/2/2021 29.260028232 28.112053552 27.928832538 26.73794559 25.592075317 21.40409582
1/3/2021 29.429037629 28.253995176 28.074574536 26.827611588 25.656401869 21.35290024
1/4/2021 29.287676011 28.13670509 27.95517638 26.638978711 25.605998755 21.331241407
1/5/2021 30.093360821 28.855862268 28.668760518 27.347644091 26.276388528 21.997778179
1/6/2021 31.136693213 29.886269361 29.694007396 28.372170375 27.264139464 22.813088146
1/7/2021 31.218221971 29.904358726 29.71861401 28.35436303 27.256681067 22.661234598
1/8/2021 32.070047245 30.747589773 30.557748834 29.168602034 28.063852186 23.39591239
1/9/2021 32.35847098 31.012191587 30.82805289 29.404838704 28.249008999 23.457818739
1/10/2021 32.28144782 30.915920634 30.728986505 29.298445677 28.131349938 23.383510524
1/11/2021 32.292871046 30.955803255 30.765408556 29.37821583 28.315093267 23.534073202
1/12/2021 32.58417192 31.193165012 30.996159659 29.623441644 28.558063949 23.790483755
1/13/2021 32.656134741 31.252239603 31.062075249 29.691271873 28.615784236 23.82117995
1/14/2021 32.660777337 31.229461782 31.029529453 29.619105464 28.532701501 23.684887309
1/15/2021 32.805947585 31.385397543 31.188330513 29.897394186 28.743208344 23.747681509
1/16/2021 33.034733549 31.573254437 31.376009232 30.004275009 28.865941427 23.786111246
1/17/2021 33.01390566 31.493717064 31.30810665 29.925478354 28.763209269 23.692150174
1/18/2021 33.57338501 32.026862248 31.827814411 30.42194338 29.272343606 24.138909734
1/19/2021 33.620279825 32.01180961 31.816830729 30.414150701 29.270029205 24.073943182
1/20/2021 33.799435627 32.17939157 31.975165358 30.569116864 29.442194869 24.081140462
1/21/2021 33.850862816 32.289915094 32.082648945 30.668932998 29.563976953 24.144231477
1/22/2021 34.104837834 32.504186733 32.287793686 30.842948945 29.656952513 24.124439289
1/23/2021 34.157309327 32.543843894 32.317455849 30.857006089 29.671632563 24.08030626
1/24/2021 34.319062712 32.679424239 32.45564257 30.921461406 29.699047359 24.104528683
1/25/2021 34.267540375 32.627288067 32.379839902 30.801791556 29.603269872 24.13488147
1/26/2021 34.777386775 33.116494062 32.860524056 31.263331882 30.043084037 24.592964257
1/27/2021 35.45700211 33.780668347 33.523353099 31.917172342 30.548162039 24.966178561
1/28/2021 36.082044024 34.381853311 34.115587527 32.504277842 31.108066356 25.385528547
1/29/2021 36.59275183 34.892175026 34.620535093 33.003079519 31.518489171 25.684420702
1/30/2021 36.670021983 34.951291345 34.674730842 33.033647156 31.561176221 25.722233732
1/31/2021 37.2069177 35.478367252 35.19659303 33.550604399 32.079703172 26.185621002
2/1/2021 37.123935426 35.397146835 35.121705679 33.468288121 32.058521013 26.09581051
2/2/2021 35.703640974 33.971775522 33.695249849 31.987778384 30.579867505 24.585179846
2/3/2021 38.285847306 36.534234423 36.267859301 34.533381314 33.105988014 26.960178989
2/4/2021 38.807035667 37.07004227 36.81198135 35.040574655 33.587586415 27.350486446
2/5/2021 40.023493286 38.240087959 37.972045691 36.150776133 34.633088911 28.269914561
2/6/2021 40.122100972 38.311966511 38.050987688 36.226659 34.672642563 28.194791606
2/7/2021 41.537112122 39.714624163 39.442815299 37.64025597 36.099868805 29.574850772
2/8/2021 41.873831743 39.964299988 39.684466468 37.793611593 36.232921308 29.700248415
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2/10/2021 43.453109192 41.397356262 41.089144542 39.122998112 37.45925377 30.651509418
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2/15/2021 45.82055935 43.736143869 43.30284937 41.179834032 39.556353738 32.118114789
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2/17/2021 46.905061712 44.814060352 44.328780706 42.071800071 40.422724374 33.134666195
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2/27/2021 50.90648864 48.52001211 47.844693636 45.507160473 43.128029746 34.106342827
2/28/2021 52.256085584 49.875858544 49.186613432 46.818636359 44.466617485 35.460506885
3/1/2021 52.658836619 50.053590306 49.343905603 46.868202202 44.313838645 35.351065635
3/2/2021 54.171141859 51.579242195 50.846031738 48.302651123 45.438035029 36.517749084
3/3/2021 53.592771799 51.014862016 50.291207684 47.76021342 44.956223269 36.184316387
3/4/2021 54.033128547 51.493838188 50.745657119 48.168628993 45.194618935 36.331967829
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3/31/2021 64.037569306 61.151333607 59.531276986 56.522218772 53.040273183 42.22262828
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4/3/2021 66.903678237 61.822542241 60.14933547 57.089885819 53.134207465 42.237379191
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4/5/2021 68.452647564 63.232695376 61.545946781 58.49290266 54.409706549 43.381315891
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6/5/2021 107.754353108 101.333611431 99.405520439 94.845103798 85.272915634 62.973937179
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10/1/2021 127.500306636 121.17829391 118.491898916 112.256292598 99.108616312 70.015122208
10/2/2021 127.582435281 121.239476169 118.552776189 112.336977238 99.246950526 70.062366514
10/3/2021 127.962848045 121.511152979 118.818174072 112.522891774 99.394701085 70.007067954
10/4/2021 127.925608471 121.41578793 118.713810166 112.403220008 99.337100927 69.988876615
10/5/2021 128.165628148 121.553431071 118.849785371 112.524746324 99.49267772 70.016488356
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10/7/2021 128.788422352 122.155840167 119.44689374 112.992930287 99.92166046 69.993136119
10/8/2021 129.002892079 122.292687662 119.567339989 113.062188768 99.919115895 69.990607181
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10/11/2021 129.912805465 123.082253285 120.330900557 113.728283606 100.459230058 70.109599654
10/12/2021 129.452017659 122.53172214 119.792750621 113.171601302 99.999405767 69.974500398
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10/18/2021 129.773711556 122.61358318 119.867337375 112.819732082 99.679239959 69.881185596
10/19/2021 129.721684767 122.379719909 119.621545707 112.656979819 99.518892703 70.122191304
10/20/2021 130.297328036 122.75824842 120.006960802 112.852762673 99.531199106 69.849206114
10/21/2021 129.989305281 122.437787714 119.693336123 112.31140599 99.331658361 69.709955828
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10/23/2021 130.820140564 123.149838413 120.378319223 112.94282707 99.927250167 70.186160865
10/24/2021 130.747396661 123.105783636 120.324657265 112.949345977 99.982702155 70.160358178
10/25/2021 130.801977396 123.062135852 120.266666016 112.90688003 99.941950159 70.113875757
10/26/2021 130.277792478 122.440134992 119.640344269 112.3008258 99.488606698 69.861220417
10/27/2021 130.959984383 122.94115296 120.183142798 112.57911614 99.770280138 69.934140365
10/28/2021 131.44890064 123.328221248 120.551038152 112.929055818 99.881979623 70.00082176
10/29/2021 131.916556408 123.838301783 121.053178007 113.366014779 100.116078548 69.962407729
10/30/2021 132.29433014 124.444777388 121.629914931 113.804982898 100.347380569 69.993404783
10/31/2021 132.078979011 124.195628596 121.396511017 113.603181615 99.979067853 69.826936783
11/1/2021 133.595346443 125.695020075 122.871810009 115.039122374 101.295250165 70.930221493
11/2/2021 134.71588987 126.691941692 123.853829837 116.009156253 101.734756783 71.145351347
11/3/2021 134.684998779 126.596276155 123.749707549 115.902614341 101.674090786 70.977945105
11/4/2021 136.05508411 127.796711431 124.928231663 117.08473921 102.958685613 72.140622479
11/5/2021 137.507674549 129.172353549 126.279123804 118.094413446 104.161970708 73.137648749
11/6/2021 137.35035445 128.984676906 126.096287702 117.92611038 104.356510927 73.097571514
11/7/2021 138.639275919 130.0618126 127.155095462 119.038104996 105.3386923 74.224624799
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11/11/2021 140.006244621 131.224360239 127.481492681 118.916163934 106.016655511 74.87882388
11/12/2021 141.121428663 132.133080972 127.926253517 119.275045939 106.518588521 75.238622435
11/13/2021 141.528231364 132.367631055 127.720720993 119.16104267 106.346724314 75.138988476
11/14/2021 142.768958552 133.429351553 128.309287565 119.744353655 106.858689723 75.38024061
11/15/2021 142.593306537 133.347487105 127.81878026 119.302515182 106.423945234 74.967718528
11/16/2021 143.591219659 134.082824391 128.205224882 119.696904729 106.734482956 75.009964844
11/17/2021 144.942404481 135.348444221 129.097706403 120.541184598 107.208857251 75.341792409
11/18/2021 144.614705397 135.161021251 128.570180843 120.051987272 106.950919428 75.015941748
11/19/2021 146.569532859 136.866502297 129.882784382 121.194394733 107.988647693 75.439302058
11/20/2021 147.213426897 137.392047212 130.131724557 121.398049946 108.04725719 75.25619454
11/21/2021 147.096286948 137.282208456 130.050742426 121.3108566 107.972851995 75.054979306
11/22/2021 146.694221547 136.925362513 129.744485447 121.112268021 107.866112911 74.847084671
11/23/2021 147.151051439 137.293739435 130.066989357 121.331714069 108.396674397 74.93942079
11/24/2021 147.565390187 137.485634399 130.243858699 121.482897934 108.500373019 74.873684383
11/25/2021 148.382188926 138.326160345 131.051269698 122.279537488 109.400672959 75.681352562
11/26/2021 149.042853404 138.854661755 131.505335373 122.839181616 110.056882227 75.843057112
11/27/2021 149.408321922 139.250872719 131.855744102 123.193934235 110.250180883 75.905328676
11/28/2021 149.571990282 139.329701461 131.841535929 123.109067554 110.162092547 75.755462921
11/29/2021 149.005093475 138.665146817 131.129542656 122.395420518 109.275105092 74.800689026
11/30/2021 149.695654405 139.213708392 131.510260206 122.690032556 109.331019769 74.712745205
12/1/2021 150.41466906 139.842028773 132.140292741 123.227570217 109.682911076 74.843243888
12/2/2021 150.288962076 139.763554767 131.984244974 123.110436345 109.526639062 74.656497733
12/3/2021 152.04887027 141.675072441 133.787011437 124.87114713 111.11887909 75.864516437
12/4/2021 153.254353989 143.018150267 134.999982752 126.083499063 112.452516354 76.882559866
12/5/2021 154.076774293 143.707120795 135.53649504 126.534268946 112.999751378 76.92980881
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12/8/2021 153.723419597 143.151113248 134.667643612 125.691505322 112.014445245 75.81484618
12/9/2021 156.052402441 145.094212637 136.543620663 127.621373454 113.886672205 77.678568398
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12/12/2021 156.936006122 145.974081843 137.333965597 128.42630569 114.579455223 77.778710158
12/13/2021 156.80649076 145.86455891 137.175284296 128.32554117 114.466463407 77.631518009
12/14/2021 158.713737749 147.770126641 138.971859426 130.133392106 116.033075098 78.994476494
12/15/2021 158.774494681 147.765342997 138.963544545 130.102016505 115.905706343 78.846468586
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12/20/2021 160.976507732 149.670958166 140.43695874 131.391507135 116.721450982 79.072092746
12/21/2021 161.371959103 149.825306704 140.452352595 131.450003336 116.836734128 79.008436978
12/22/2021 159.988975559 148.400544706 138.880665642 129.854172142 115.160500271 77.431794733
12/23/2021 160.614393627 148.922876717 139.257819386 130.215976315 115.528740644 77.558039056
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12/26/2021 162.099605338 150.169598419 140.185291368 131.123166293 116.219935534 78.473589769
12/27/2021 162.054182944 150.314352599 140.271387235 131.248278135 116.201363513 78.371305928
12/28/2021 162.088229276 150.296761077 140.213047399 131.202505315 116.118752043 78.36264525
12/29/2021 161.970597918 150.201647469 140.108478856 131.152419201 116.36793356 78.504742204
12/30/2021 163.249855029 151.393749812 141.238217351 132.267187349 117.522794875 79.432557845
12/31/2021 162.611970589 150.757685809 140.629767358 131.690094104 117.250144333 79.214085647
1/1/2022 167.708417109 155.784718206 145.561632442 136.531003475 121.982314201 79.221440895
1/2/2022 166.810518156 154.855501496 144.683245858 135.647823581 121.174597599 78.519284091
1/3/2022 167.069940019 154.993181584 144.71371524 135.632436439 121.187022796 78.463706371
1/4/2022 167.083670758 155.013484044 144.67500911 135.580970864 121.176129822 78.39902067
1/5/2022 168.021666224 156.004681095 145.559277787 136.476977669 122.037924122 79.010451803
1/6/2022 167.845518247 155.86804989 145.404122407 136.423526854 121.98289942 78.731693917
1/7/2022 167.655314002 155.697001985 145.215062999 136.174131173 121.983695483 78.66291712
1/8/2022 167.082299132 155.265019646 144.835828653 135.852707512 121.672624237 78.115986493
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1/13/2022 169.600602678 157.419586738 146.799814147 137.656800998 123.36017438 78.314622138
1/14/2022 169.88722916 157.762974346 147.123786369 138.005573013 123.710385848 78.534580154
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1/17/2022 171.003540503 158.842281825 148.047899276 138.699961673 124.35724324 78.610157322
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1/19/2022 171.094991342 158.766699803 147.973131803 138.606161633 124.301665173 78.299194807
1/20/2022 171.809312132 159.291963527 148.419778635 139.001885953 124.726173518 78.288450521
1/21/2022 170.991539967 158.987279616 148.066941153 138.878040356 124.650151547 78.087291157
1/22/2022 173.154052535 161.405900646 150.326947557 141.168389142 126.801725199 78.645401451
1/23/2022 172.523235022 160.854517619 149.789649241 140.615663196 126.513623452 78.308599642
1/24/2022 173.700868424 162.161624508 150.910716622 141.580556952 127.356105659 79.08111216
1/25/2022 173.56993634 162.106004403 150.880183205 141.617983663 127.266638244 78.381038515
1/26/2022 174.7073504 163.367205419 152.093018382 142.7199322 128.084512599 78.881207485
1/27/2022 174.989238997 164.454515668 153.159940182 143.955753019 128.994725358 79.272790832
1/28/2022 173.576602388 163.31988917 152.103356025 143.01246328 128.040028366 78.392905111
1/29/2022 174.405477333 164.05021901 152.734742651 143.58051618 128.592186269 78.614214636
1/30/2022 173.964843247 163.611386697 152.317607956 143.176797018 128.174649874 78.344633253
1/31/2022 174.439924085 163.967202473 152.693424693 143.524939325 128.162290075 78.189041987
2/1/2022 174.988078945 164.414553598 153.120711979 143.910640923 128.417540022 78.129638659
2/2/2022 175.614717441 165.095986559 153.76368483 144.581201821 128.764928659 78.189170812
2/3/2022 176.564357276 165.957800167 154.624006104 145.4130582 129.158079338 78.173472467
2/4/2022 178.071677301 167.445510737 156.102590169 146.833504455 130.180360441 78.49485629
2/5/2022 176.968091417 166.330181501 155.035232153 145.713409439 129.146528042 78.098419342
2/6/2022 177.463292356 166.792487704 155.454039766 146.086798338 129.445003722 78.19101228
2/7/2022 177.682451443 167.091742254 155.836171229 146.361318638 129.529661036 78.19802261
2/8/2022 178.453277731 167.8835199 156.601524119 146.914413913 129.82225001 78.153756696
2/9/2022 179.012161966 168.429372648 157.143725428 147.381933627 130.073997603 78.104522393
2/10/2022 179.982294648 169.396488429 158.122496046 148.303404846 130.801538723 78.645367858
2/11/2022 180.574745378 169.968598887 158.580806786 148.743666731 130.938478952 78.671184184
2/12/2022 180.560765086 169.952822549 158.52397428 148.685311517 131.070351872 78.688251091
2/13/2022 180.763969774 170.179260773 158.66250813 148.825867908 131.211800097 78.727491533
2/14/2022 180.578538715 170.067412085 158.505320823 148.694507518 131.155095505 78.649751658
2/15/2022 181.190843676 170.617273549 158.953497146 149.009291384 131.134619045 78.588216526
2/16/2022 181.129973239 170.700483015 158.973036713 149.086682545 131.3230186 78.792364015
2/17/2022 181.430428788 170.994673296 159.151559672 149.378580088 131.3906512 78.856527589
2/18/2022 181.841759862 171.374451918 159.351087315 149.582685589 131.353570028 78.760444315
2/19/2022 182.844445644 172.352442337 160.225617624 150.4079523 132.137872791 79.323933939
2/20/2022 182.414780452 171.988518526 159.852347631 150.088620638 132.013747178 79.24588832
2/21/2022 182.730197953 172.353995303 160.118417792 150.404265536 132.338821463 79.543397991
2/22/2022 183.036641917 172.674818605 160.341950137 150.634742512 132.15530708 79.340029396
2/23/2022 183.409542532 173.067155249 160.62146909 150.964564113 132.68255599 79.785993458
2/24/2022 183.916842066 173.586675366 161.005881529 151.609352581 133.016693751 79.723619291
2/25/2022 183.376070792 172.894627743 160.206416441 150.999492206 132.900212876 79.671989976
2/26/2022 184.125703086 173.634071311 160.804567639 151.551995519 133.368051023 79.876330282
2/27/2022 184.843051462 174.289795829 161.273003113 152.013427024 133.757371994 80.056936322
2/28/2022 184.215559983 173.665889967 160.644244754 151.396370529 133.031479364 79.546229975
3/1/2022 184.326263311 173.804271782 160.672912325 151.399315438 132.939891755 79.37716975
3/2/2022 184.550832209 174.070630016 160.744045254 151.557628903 133.394891889 79.952581892
3/3/2022 184.332747846 173.916487777 160.447200633 151.250896587 133.059039106 79.681343752
3/4/2022 184.281446883 173.796073361 160.146696123 150.849299721 132.820858768 79.967015588
3/5/2022 184.511042737 174.019307197 160.297229151 150.998433023 132.996674626 79.992861379
3/6/2022 184.696322232 174.232732044 160.388906301 150.979854224 132.970824125 80.167859615
3/7/2022 183.677079149 173.16958568 159.370913926 149.93646338 132.01012802 79.901321802
3/8/2022 184.269472388 173.739011493 159.668296952 150.336339505 132.480954329 80.0839404
3/9/2022 184.621457348 174.043067391 159.859256246 150.484085676 132.440970872 80.059723281
3/10/2022 185.06615301 174.491920111 160.06260623 150.692610109 132.675260367 80.121412741
3/11/2022 185.028785444 174.468107582 159.867647885 150.48551546 132.517121353 80.098386875
3/12/2022 185.280724562 174.672357703 159.967649359 150.555921065 132.553416465 80.113754857
3/13/2022 185.506791483 174.880871907 160.132256384 150.709896772 132.673936171 80.18638118
3/14/2022 185.295829773 174.648276337 159.868590634 150.488795502 132.529082007 80.048684548
3/15/2022 185.212740355 174.657625678 159.669980522 150.331673493 132.380921998 80.08407024
3/16/2022 185.431329173 174.7707409 159.68712153 150.297101428 132.46712399 80.154613074
3/17/2022 186.150938768 175.513487422 160.251378037 150.840809375 133.087532808 80.253502143
3/18/2022 186.746230705 176.072898846 160.728236734 151.265557271 133.47884011 80.638895127
3/19/2022 186.948730383 176.288144442 160.86734333 151.39857074 133.619232232 80.759114699
3/20/2022 187.201814884 176.57036638 161.079334657 151.550909102 133.765819193 80.803658691
3/21/2022 187.16646853 176.536792304 160.937822997 151.415126812 133.724422729 80.742375395
3/22/2022 186.924415737 176.321035452 160.591078665 151.103460153 133.438890182 80.81389028
3/23/2022 186.287694664 175.746250309 159.953691566 150.508908562 132.871759229 80.617717555
3/24/2022 186.551538087 176.10321198 160.288881689 151.001599218 133.410458638 80.896455674
3/25/2022 186.124587389 175.880372712 159.91983586 150.657955293 133.098872549 81.269316709
3/26/2022 186.354615875 176.098964893 159.991350665 150.762601848 133.196130565 81.265468997
3/27/2022 186.257405135 175.997826586 159.875240421 150.656949076 133.115100366 81.0975129
3/28/2022 186.089298723 175.951065772 159.79753044 150.609091995 133.160757885 81.163679752
3/29/2022 186.947925516 176.669852595 160.418510689 151.233852974 133.6970061 81.643742495
3/30/2022 187.757020478 177.466935719 161.0911103 151.877061031 134.423040723 81.880807976
3/31/2022 187.283380699 177.073823305 160.736307108 151.516656228 134.211007966 82.111240613
4/1/2022 188.040903766 177.827304869 161.350875994 152.144659346 134.369534787 82.128838509
4/2/2022 187.705914673 177.551046374 161.029564077 151.936203429 134.265851355 82.243436567
4/3/2022 187.660846218 177.531976583 160.964613767 151.883825063 134.12738016 82.445457405
4/4/2022 187.444740252 177.480545909 160.866731834 151.788584576 134.130693506 82.498155772
4/5/2022 187.529370798 177.353011989 160.635486123 151.58122617 133.680138287 82.48476106
4/6/2022 186.649164368 176.58600002 159.859809026 150.882245939 133.225775621 82.403860025
4/7/2022 186.747058777 176.607243622 159.855941286 150.89427133 133.269223903 82.527394584
4/8/2022 187.049589458 176.919187446 160.087678036 151.030566114 133.413023832 82.652739236
4/9/2022 187.449606886 177.33326411 160.573233564 151.538209021 133.558498431 82.660624852
4/10/2022 187.451417653 177.361278604 160.564892668 151.525457464 133.614275358 82.791093566
4/11/2022 186.65507252 176.616263717 159.795067021 150.980977703 133.231291484 82.713451635
4/12/2022 186.943762421 176.8982066 159.91177181 151.12541043 133.438992705 83.007878594
4/13/2022 186.457877344 176.468202729 159.433217285 150.686991516 133.221939888 82.866510722
4/14/2022 186.524548762 176.512128271 159.328117052 150.509178861 133.096641103 82.897672411
4/15/2022 186.498221933 176.474444739 159.144109103 150.350412606 132.941782111 82.80917008
4/16/2022 186.495929582 176.473689114 159.022985864 150.229814507 132.822591876 82.877296154
4/17/2022 186.63298236 176.631558274 159.076665937 150.306255847 132.926141221 82.885160812
4/18/2022 186.422412903 176.428166489 158.744505954 150.009041348 132.676462165 82.857636762
4/19/2022 186.608299739 176.669275143 158.840518848 150.146139928 132.748369908 82.759364479
4/20/2022 186.7488422 176.76606977 158.800169216 150.078543217 132.825272422 83.021462214
4/21/2022 187.151664776 177.153996103 159.108470067 150.402470397 133.000665538 83.171627191
4/22/2022 187.482067634 177.496349523 159.358590318 150.654433942 133.053234254 83.194560472
4/23/2022 187.713528995 177.72417032 159.520398426 150.803688506 133.239122844 83.28288623
4/24/2022 187.555311219 177.580886588 159.341873122 150.637420214 133.112226982 83.239619633
4/25/2022 187.600323259 177.653772157 159.34581867 150.681822015 132.981005519 83.153178313
4/26/2022 187.113475799 177.174806591 158.727508498 150.079788302 132.516758039 83.256289983
4/27/2022 187.035535144 176.902247492 158.431923834 149.831791073 132.413875178 83.141483801
4/28/2022 186.936508022 176.793118566 158.330245047 149.755068264 132.421324684 83.110772708
4/29/2022 187.372369127 177.186680881 158.703979073 150.186103276 132.488080662 83.330923492
4/30/2022 187.637761543 177.510402564 158.925490899 150.456827345 132.776990269 83.697405339
5/1/2022 187.438180137 177.320672641 158.732804345 150.289069279 132.581076205 83.382381193
5/2/2022 187.16824629 177.055996922 158.411542924 150.069069534 132.251140004 83.19093132
5/3/2022 187.233875609 177.161686206 158.462790276 150.162933847 132.284262993 83.331768886
5/4/2022 186.794853448 176.711801061 157.988203713 149.789753021 131.932843584 83.158740796
5/5/2022 187.001855731 176.931850127 158.242122325 150.019663571 132.104117762 83.302209355
5/6/2022 186.218989285 176.077475139 157.307003237 149.141526759 131.651802739 83.348085462
5/7/2022 186.002222945 175.94521757 157.336554872 149.353517003 131.863205056 83.491763869
5/8/2022 180.555499207 170.612206641 156.561201511 149.004284865 131.748352818 83.2463187
5/9/2022 177.523702564 167.825637581 156.001163029 148.837825633 131.586937066 83.173635948
5/10/2022 176.562128967 167.008057282 155.232496133 148.250063193 131.142816673 82.690895711
5/11/2022 160.605315278 152.147246127 152.147246127 145.970489839 129.182458101 79.485744715
5/12/2022 160.355990913 152.313486062 152.313486062 146.305679609 129.182458101 79.485744715
5/13/2022 159.06185905 151.154367359 151.154367359 145.128994165 127.516648806 76.73459314
5/14/2022 158.507169573 150.57308587 150.57308587 144.564794719 126.806321074 75.698673625
5/15/2022 158.576229259 150.661032408 150.661032408 144.612339249 126.864647142 75.711756793
5/16/2022 159.92481653 151.808357134 151.808357134 145.783973445 127.773442111 75.711756793
5/17/2022 158.771624171 150.75331093 150.75331093 144.625852616 126.417496736 74.158117512
5/18/2022 159.001959367 151.081906277 151.081906277 144.97816834 126.54405157 74.167175832
5/19/2022 159.658120093 151.6821214 151.6821214 145.471477037 126.91576396 74.18120462
5/20/2022 158.922215443 150.93208805 150.93208805 144.789723349 126.220350592 73.255957132
5/21/2022 158.98578226 150.981721415 150.981721415 144.856100297 126.273104144 73.221020878
5/22/2022 159.082735724 150.990633559 150.990633559 144.853913539 126.337453506 73.235565369
5/23/2022 159.172075624 151.059659803 151.059659803 144.890674891 126.54668335 73.228235215
5/24/2022 159.330216378 151.147393328 151.147393328 144.971656258 126.635255265 73.228235215
5/25/2022 159.475954983 151.309841696 151.309841696 145.136193482 126.655338497 73.227243445
5/26/2022 159.101095502 150.900895758 150.900895758 144.703143578 126.433187368 73.23259434
5/27/2022 158.653218011 150.449634404 150.449634404 144.235325167 126.074033818 72.499738788
5/28/2022 158.829767425 150.609285591 150.609285591 144.372032849 126.202101315 72.504086805
5/29/2022 158.720426605 150.468215239 150.468215239 144.227079304 126.254061435 72.535836322
5/30/2022 159.245690374 150.552099364 150.552099364 144.257214995 126.284937318 72.524933627
5/31/2022 159.808625965 151.08438597 151.08438597 144.713405476 126.511297867 72.526132987
6/1/2022 160.766074123 151.950599208 151.950599208 145.554930703 127.412469109 72.600188405
6/2/2022 159.886216888 151.169629799 151.169629799 144.761539063 126.684607882 72.528608901
6/3/2022 159.87566694 151.129552579 151.129552579 144.698097612 126.641393883 72.530075149
6/4/2022 159.815671578 151.078231369 151.078231369 144.660235686 126.596189784 72.519092421
6/5/2022 159.826376621 151.090796672 151.090796672 144.655037723 126.599952673 72.522497401
6/6/2022 159.721998594 150.876932092 150.876932092 144.416206354 126.171920136 72.41095766
6/7/2022 159.603555848 150.761900229 150.761900229 144.256074 126.23878558 72.41095766
6/8/2022 159.573144405 150.757208311 150.757208311 144.176883505 126.227208401 72.425196492
6/9/2022 159.643932147 150.838569582 150.838569582 144.255729886 126.335617368 72.492367357
6/10/2022 159.194170037 150.367857945 150.367857945 143.702455292 125.670673433 72.49935497
6/11/2022 158.906941387 150.107812638 150.107812638 143.481558223 125.56555678 72.466892931
6/12/2022 158.623423487 149.919163562 149.919163562 143.31481146 125.55452903 72.291494924
6/13/2022 157.344136937 148.928913953 148.928913953 142.463992837 124.860234655 71.503808611
6/14/2022 156.406692826 147.961232598 147.961232598 141.59700256 124.162321723 70.822047451
6/15/2022 155.60942389 147.405532445 147.405532445 141.119818172 123.478146011 69.96716646
6/16/2022 155.107141149 146.892346081 146.892346081 140.64546864 123.06370782 69.174473605
6/17/2022 154.554823401 146.548795895 146.548795895 140.175698252 122.570322325 68.176552326
6/18/2022 154.634928609 146.682139385 146.682139385 140.396262705 122.794782825 68.13009145
6/19/2022 154.402525105 146.540326456 146.540326456 140.250622401 123.054984092 67.863629322
6/20/2022 153.74738696 145.874316534 145.874316534 139.588041233 122.39810274 67.447252726
6/21/2022 153.865245612 145.886231106 145.886231106 139.561485008 122.034000765 66.939363765
6/22/2022 153.833557242 145.956714747 145.956714747 139.625033666 122.084514538 66.962042573
6/23/2022 153.439626475 145.540732804 145.540732804 139.21182133 121.811980629 66.948998007
6/24/2022 153.441781396 145.556718197 145.556718197 139.229814048 121.783078826 66.841870663
6/25/2022 153.651227962 145.766447897 145.766447897 139.418394075 121.964162128 66.847066311
6/26/2022 153.645479838 145.799824801 145.799824801 139.470676492 122.016962875 66.856688413
6/27/2022 153.408414349 145.371930847 145.371930847 139.036083397 121.536755939 66.824445663
6/28/2022 153.340747689 145.354358592 145.354358592 139.103763018 121.626708337 66.791194933
6/29/2022 153.232636064 145.288585641 145.288585641 138.962789789 121.328308682 66.463748713
6/30/2022 153.106243072 145.205649423 145.205649423 138.884683828 121.269625817 66.279904942
7/1/2022 153.815878209 145.884041778 145.884041778 139.482511854 121.598100819 66.63356359
7/2/2022 153.780119126 145.930667301 145.930667301 139.517297563 121.645180226 66.637843079
7/3/2022 153.656014459 145.805699818 145.805699818 139.374866501 121.496365416 66.494818098
7/4/2022 153.692641211 145.838752963 145.838752963 139.395034048 121.586053433 66.451169903
7/5/2022 153.5963991 145.866266071 145.866266071 139.434053203 121.5470726 66.45165594
7/6/2022 153.348143748 145.622771092 145.622771092 139.196207108 121.298687566 66.446520644
7/7/2022 153.103741385 145.42757289 145.42757289 138.972972583 121.063727549 66.405902703
7/8/2022 153.253510616 145.588118921 145.588118921 139.124077379 121.175280645 66.471001674
7/9/2022 153.273739585 145.492703399 145.492703399 139.006207879 121.057183312 66.432311434
7/10/2022 153.152856952 145.556591609 145.556591609 139.12468215 121.1589182 66.46538477
7/11/2022 153.320636452 145.73380865 145.73380865 139.273028767 121.18716877 66.46538477
7/12/2022 153.016345552 145.43185772 145.43185772 139.024133464 121.049292874 66.426423702
7/13/2022 153.021656096 145.437681024 145.437681024 138.969382674 120.935390953 66.355380035
7/14/2022 153.095446789 145.491347743 145.491347743 138.993112776 120.852892721 66.317932148
7/15/2022 152.543665233 144.936728908 144.936728908 138.395403371 120.400793824 66.317932148
7/16/2022 152.60535862 145.006758718 145.006758718 138.415991975 120.42268617 66.349450274
7/17/2022 152.701024701 145.099108712 145.099108712 138.386189286 120.394747191 66.356009511
7/18/2022 152.953392512 145.348114959 145.348114959 138.57823212 120.3888715 66.333085532
7/19/2022 152.864429344 145.197876579 145.197876579 138.386168509 120.293300294 66.320333624
7/20/2022 153.062284587 145.350330099 145.350330099 138.510969118 120.496868497 66.3236516
7/21/2022 153.010024704 145.303517867 145.303517867 138.49648323 120.532751233 66.286857515
7/22/2022 153.141520769 145.458498001 145.458498001 138.590003182 120.559715658 66.292926498
7/23/2022 153.246882563 145.578425156 145.578425156 138.658417677 120.677014555 66.292365071
7/24/2022 153.231282965 145.559887207 145.559887207 138.647443627 120.670537341 66.296026642
7/25/2022 153.206612462 145.517514636 145.517514636 138.640246407 120.598234392 66.29200156
7/26/2022 153.127644335 145.43510584 145.43510584 138.551334142 120.692187599 66.310813115
7/27/2022 153.203247375 145.428160077 145.428160077 138.501828116 120.630012592 66.285540449
7/28/2022 153.009686895 145.194558754 145.194558754 138.206612666 120.278592746 66.382124061
7/29/2022 153.126440457 145.322038302 145.322038302 138.304764118 120.356699415 66.507130316
7/30/2022 153.13349682 145.280949157 145.280949157 138.280633385 120.334238078 66.651173201
7/31/2022 153.13254243 145.301887649 145.301887649 138.326967785 120.378941318 66.651613631
8/1/2022 153.466118006 145.550937794 145.550937794 138.56161136 120.5497759 66.759079429
8/2/2022 153.398224035 145.51077609 145.51077609 138.523931736 120.506259376 66.871041771
8/3/2022 153.365825239 145.528248709 145.528248709 138.583962793 120.561087275 66.870806792
8/4/2022 153.286414303 145.448561607 145.448561607 138.42903209 120.416595414 66.936675543
8/5/2022 153.449971058 145.605105325 145.605105325 138.566814665 120.550519687 66.929805958
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8/31/2022 152.801687437 145.052839139 145.052839139 138.541153359 119.142130392 67.55158289
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9/2/2022 152.547312247 144.802200545 144.802200545 138.259439383 118.703946045 67.55012517
9/3/2022 152.568416935 144.816981504 144.816981504 138.282865209 118.727204281 67.552573842
9/4/2022 152.425669093 144.65808104 144.65808104 138.209988204 118.771969065 67.549551675
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9/30/2022 148.650611365 141.869169692 141.869169692 135.459224895 114.567876366 67.948542706
10/1/2022 148.659139253 141.861364554 141.861364554 135.45530088 114.562920561 67.949182064
10/2/2022 148.688342912 141.890610545 141.890610545 135.516073728 114.624886266 67.944572025
10/3/2022 148.468347585 141.670705068 141.670705068 135.343061559 114.458332305 67.947697335
10/4/2022 148.434513775 141.612367922 141.612367922 135.266011291 114.077570678 68.074624852
10/5/2022 148.50467271 141.68314809 141.68314809 135.346099713 113.953767999 68.218492035
10/6/2022 148.546357673 141.722862638 141.722862638 135.394096771 113.76599616 68.226676713
10/7/2022 148.710398727 141.846370145 141.846370145 135.533599393 113.755350274 68.328206686
10/8/2022 148.720981814 141.860571521 141.860571521 135.547495005 113.768198722 68.376959555
10/9/2022 148.704718543 141.753911044 141.753911044 135.448332046 113.763996766 68.37529892
10/10/2022 148.507125496 141.557562915 141.557562915 135.278114794 113.738285437 68.420214759
10/11/2022 148.39963009 141.449814755 141.449814755 135.204055892 113.668743881 68.415641082
10/12/2022 147.889083101 140.925920379 140.925920379 134.724641352 113.506974423 68.415978378
10/13/2022 147.464873676 140.530379349 140.530379349 134.494800166 113.124956443 68.414880928
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10/15/2022 147.032603098 140.166582888 140.166582888 134.149595475 112.769396961 68.432883242
10/16/2022 146.960036708 140.07835429 140.07835429 134.057080069 112.766862906 68.432359085
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10/18/2022 146.667793287 139.817822072 139.817822072 133.905861292 112.336643069 68.451542494
10/19/2022 146.577673488 139.730303231 139.730303231 133.8541408 112.139282067 68.453576637
10/20/2022 146.172050658 139.379588179 139.379588179 133.583957079 111.700419445 68.447806562
10/21/2022 145.971639325 139.167143513 139.167143513 133.418085199 111.647581301 68.448256112
10/22/2022 146.032131404 139.234206099 139.234206099 133.479570392 111.707368214 68.452258966
10/23/2022 146.065224959 139.262702132 139.262702132 133.477053873 111.710036651 68.448613412
10/24/2022 145.740151758 139.166080361 139.166080361 133.382761302 111.602847821 68.478655756
10/25/2022 145.621510855 139.016073721 139.016073721 133.22607447 111.649955751 68.511756739
10/26/2022 145.812378623 139.184522557 139.184522557 133.391281281 111.90543994 68.727004424
10/27/2022 145.733682028 139.111220538 139.111220538 133.314973924 112.084078864 68.892878369
10/28/2022 145.842030241 139.222230614 139.222230614 133.453425785 112.052721353 68.977692179
10/29/2022 145.946762849 139.321469212 139.321469212 133.539571446 112.143024173 69.116157095
10/30/2022 146.041378529 139.45631881 139.45631881 133.683912502 112.287480997 69.271293754
10/31/2022 145.619529471 138.994489052 138.994489052 133.311104147 112.163763473 69.415082044
11/1/2022 145.638941256 138.989233152 138.989233152 133.328118651 111.666360192 69.33854702
11/2/2022 145.504664442 138.825051379 138.825051379 133.157161811 111.185590811 69.340998807
11/3/2022 145.63767861 138.890390912 138.890390912 133.232107864 110.747791614 69.352564431
11/4/2022 145.815901696 139.011365227 139.011365227 133.319622417 110.771443963 69.354720562
11/5/2022 145.863437596 139.044681127 139.044681127 133.326894641 110.778697021 69.437661896
11/6/2022 146.224878452 139.44822552 139.44822552 133.675685497 111.119868491 69.421840658
11/7/2022 147.208964768 140.383725545 140.383725545 134.596170647 112.010813407 69.518116385
11/8/2022 147.501668886 140.727781583 140.727781583 134.973291552 112.010815087 69.877980214
11/9/2022 145.740771473 138.976599206 138.976599206 133.542745735 110.478550168 68.208873249
11/10/2022 146.160222574 139.477118108 139.477118108 134.072673953 110.980164445 68.152740757
11/11/2022 145.996839912 139.427432411 139.427432411 134.033073342 110.656543128 67.271876433
11/12/2022 145.284851315 138.660588872 138.660588872 133.2148852 109.840982348 66.345381026
11/13/2022 145.11613969 138.562815963 138.562815963 133.125010274 109.756293624 66.291749922
11/14/2022 144.924770116 138.39447507 138.39447507 132.920401191 109.457531469 65.956265903
11/15/2022 144.971200188 138.367007333 138.367007333 132.925483405 109.707994132 65.894873297
11/16/2022 144.549413593 138.123999247 138.123999247 132.694358471 109.637337794 65.875492621
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11/18/2022 144.374358607 137.970768511 137.970768511 132.544804874 109.661063634 65.869148638
11/19/2022 144.376292387 138.015675815 138.015675815 132.583914239 109.689428893 65.841850776
11/20/2022 144.437912842 138.036479535 138.036479535 132.6112256 109.718444473 65.796033621
11/21/2022 143.553340405 137.122735496 137.122735496 131.765757481 108.962474195 65.431303413
11/22/2022 143.552682493 137.136485887 137.136485887 131.766115933 108.990636084 65.45773574
11/23/2022 142.914616201 136.610559561 136.610559561 131.367653174 108.505015986 65.274275864
11/24/2022 143.164726498 136.86301496 136.86301496 131.600155553 108.733176987 65.302197652
11/25/2022 142.86430715 136.497309019 136.497309019 131.239478144 108.72753288 65.335566807
11/26/2022 143.041191986 136.653718841 136.653718841 131.387893318 108.885903885 65.321148012
11/27/2022 143.035673834 136.64401679 136.64401679 131.455456537 109.03176785 65.316885047
11/28/2022 141.99092202 136.093317803 136.093317803 130.897518297 108.512095628 65.326687971
11/29/2022 141.357779559 135.620001713 135.620001713 130.444157076 108.068794202 65.256715971
11/30/2022 141.207905297 135.556876979 135.556876979 130.366212943 108.092252346 65.352829103
12/1/2022 141.042572992 135.31957323 135.31957323 130.120426078 107.951113448 65.359364386
12/2/2022 141.306488228 135.565215825 135.565215825 130.342300782 108.176897685 65.443085957
12/3/2022 141.476954247 135.738199747 135.738199747 130.513814193 108.344496947 65.495531803
12/4/2022 141.582002274 135.841373347 135.841373347 130.620091787 108.467079849 65.492257484
12/5/2022 141.332335479 135.585715236 135.585715236 130.366513173 108.2552272 65.572109061
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12/7/2022 141.027867638 135.286352195 135.286352195 130.112832116 108.003641184 65.672735697
12/8/2022 140.965313395 135.237791278 135.237791278 130.064415364 107.991885537 65.697842712
12/9/2022 140.886192178 135.231877527 135.231877527 130.057820672 107.942264669 65.698342212
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12/11/2022 141.045993204 135.302297444 135.302297444 130.126008276 108.002091574 65.698342212
12/12/2022 140.740214484 135.042070377 135.042070377 129.881610924 107.869712649 65.795364654
12/13/2022 140.35586193 134.542217433 134.542217433 129.379236731 110.604134254 65.977518212
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12/15/2022 140.17175855 134.426715208 134.426715208 129.301658632 110.609047968 66.030168212
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12/17/2022 139.882294792 134.162560895 134.162560895 129.015291692 110.556755645 66.160482663
12/18/2022 139.904135485 134.189270937 134.189270937 129.040383447 110.580541599 66.155190882
12/19/2022 139.540074998 133.761971125 133.761971125 128.611117993 110.254078434 66.20334124
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12/21/2022 139.053692666 133.247984355 133.247984355 128.073967588 110.042670865 66.237845405
12/22/2022 138.911400565 133.131506431 133.131506431 127.967229314 109.975127991 66.23458849
12/23/2022 138.411229499 132.654590276 132.654590276 127.499122743 109.934921058 66.237795405
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12/25/2022 138.465781925 132.7428736 132.7428736 127.595491987 110.186995218 66.237795405
12/26/2022 138.449896799 132.731479254 132.731479254 127.594015198 110.275106398 66.240744514
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12/31/2022 137.680168291 132.017417341 132.017417341 126.961366615 110.375864504 66.237201876
1/1/2023 137.777992527 132.071484655 132.071484655 127.017904858 110.43563876 66.229859346
1/2/2023 137.772739793 132.033164642 132.033164642 126.974819541 110.52905268 66.233172164
1/3/2023 137.440214578 131.670766136 131.670766136 126.612146284 109.988737946 66.23284022
1/4/2023 137.390684627 131.636328969 131.636328969 126.602410241 109.94809178 66.236484982
1/5/2023 137.097953127 131.349702846 131.349702846 126.33286002 109.536080153 66.238632792
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1/7/2023 136.923210498 131.141445093 131.141445093 126.091412724 109.641397407 66.247923826
1/8/2023 136.90152157 131.19889249 131.19889249 126.133027254 109.80392031 66.275348317
1/9/2023 136.652832671 130.87838893 130.87838893 125.806553542 109.44305252 66.265138847
1/10/2023 136.833228083 131.042757028 131.042757028 125.970670171 109.51252892 66.26359973
1/11/2023 136.899603381 131.086330012 131.086330012 126.026081083 109.642071381 66.265897676
1/12/2023 136.99999341 131.193927942 131.193927942 126.134787016 109.767638161 66.270292018
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1/15/2023 137.114785234 131.330029175 131.330029175 126.225969407 109.845990874 66.37403344
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1/21/2023 136.888830019 130.996148856 130.996148856 125.862104021 109.632183832 66.703495301
1/22/2023 136.989043298 131.080632194 131.080632194 125.937733568 109.834762881 66.765654159
1/23/2023 136.826651125 130.88767693 130.88767693 125.742203624 109.903777278 66.847055676
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1/25/2023 137.136869096 131.142854687 131.142854687 125.985281595 110.317655861 67.187728354
1/26/2023 137.348657669 131.293334451 131.293334451 126.15165584 110.218201121 67.335036407
1/27/2023 137.176681674 131.111645482 131.111645482 125.980310969 110.166443667 67.517343369
1/28/2023 137.333728113 131.260148687 131.260148687 126.124604059 110.327770031 67.639905326
1/29/2023 137.287564043 131.216945815 131.216945815 126.077964788 110.353662844 67.778453765
1/30/2023 136.956041333 130.833118178 130.833118178 125.708893365 109.95920819 67.806044005
1/31/2023 137.034222495 130.905995758 130.905995758 125.794466321 109.682498943 67.798826675
2/1/2023 136.982974782 130.901264805 130.901264805 125.800725386 109.679116575 67.815863019
2/2/2023 137.253944068 131.164520322 131.164520322 126.053491235 109.951948786 68.036211442
2/3/2023 136.973369963 130.87912449 130.87912449 125.783729996 109.491081672 68.028048893
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2/5/2023 137.04093892 130.954436622 130.954436622 125.843621489 109.569626602 68.073000195
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2/8/2023 136.605358923 130.485368839 130.485368839 125.385905848 109.192474796 68.178436345
2/9/2023 136.467893515 130.437334937 130.437334937 125.347792769 109.16990792 68.187940008
2/10/2023 136.475085619 130.427899611 130.427899611 125.339060888 109.17165034 68.318922892
2/11/2023 136.469254939 130.424308483 130.424308483 125.33942832 109.169829971 68.38818851
2/12/2023 136.413765844 130.371115596 130.371115596 125.28701141 109.121574296 68.412500195
2/13/2023 136.525811965 130.526241983 130.526241983 125.430705922 109.609693654 69.157627122
2/14/2023 136.381139741 130.473099519 130.473099519 125.384996312 110.03680478 69.51270964
2/15/2023 135.994309236 130.087797706 130.087797706 125.000844209 110.767191194 69.794648104
2/16/2023 136.123715351 130.123328357 130.123328357 125.030888799 111.308235728 70.153203879
2/17/2023 136.060747847 130.088057722 130.088057722 125.01642534 111.685743696 70.286590658
2/18/2023 136.07868469 130.113817337 130.113817337 125.03136024 111.775058259 70.4159051
2/19/2023 136.128446552 130.165808006 130.165808006 125.081021021 111.825160874 70.415867086
2/20/2023 135.793777336 129.816561468 129.816561468 124.72866986 111.909172467 70.436679657
2/21/2023 135.562832751 129.563924064 129.563924064 124.538746366 112.088465405 70.461120891
2/22/2023 135.302113439 129.28086563 129.28086563 124.246915137 112.243290653 70.591325939
2/23/2023 135.16454659 129.155323128 129.155323128 124.131934446 112.480606332 70.688492884
2/24/2023 135.155945518 129.001409244 129.001409244 123.977326892 112.831362877 70.791940347
2/25/2023 135.276092473 129.129044413 129.129044413 124.105636166 112.958844386 70.846363789
2/26/2023 135.197119476 129.046665078 129.046665078 124.019280369 113.03623931 70.876378483
2/27/2023 134.900974353 128.731963545 128.731963545 123.701928125 113.047983696 70.919778481
2/28/2023 134.760507508 128.530067732 128.530067732 123.506174896 112.960382721 70.968174583
3/1/2023 134.592565341 128.339015395 128.339015395 123.32669765 113.145128303 71.063250396
3/2/2023 134.767195995 128.515496085 128.515496085 123.494097804 113.80054167 71.109533437
3/3/2023 134.791746806 128.531060597 128.531060597 123.523133727 114.334638362 71.356058935
3/4/2023 134.882910891 128.611481795 128.611481795 123.595713866 114.662271815 71.438255243
3/5/2023 134.951263199 128.675884035 128.675884035 123.674331278 114.968293956 71.479265039
3/6/2023 134.747120874 128.330727484 128.330727484 123.326912124 114.869871579 71.581963508
3/7/2023 134.768654729 128.36843779 128.36843779 123.377320448 114.949498431 71.722058691
3/8/2023 134.665813268 128.324029345 128.324029345 123.34605539 114.921598944 71.725958692
3/9/2023 134.673279669 128.300959744 128.300959744 123.387528815 114.968320924 71.792276224
3/10/2023 134.317282418 127.888568042 127.888568042 122.801385384 114.388630951 72.291373373
3/11/2023 131.52676048 125.167350383 125.167350383 119.555696955 111.198317983 72.120358309
3/12/2023 135.067397558 128.218646653 128.218646653 121.893749396 113.424784579 73.283028734
3/13/2023 133.730465828 126.936150677 126.936150677 120.662292852 112.243688581 73.183773107
3/14/2023 132.604406746 125.831371576 125.831371576 119.830308191 111.475662245 73.473760305
3/15/2023 132.963033952 126.157889471 126.157889471 120.350783397 111.968287126 74.692029566
3/16/2023 133.058759966 126.25873701 126.25873701 120.68712852 112.386634825 75.614823945
3/17/2023 133.041147869 126.270017498 126.270017498 120.805490268 112.563066269 76.554536232
3/18/2023 133.424124103 126.626345531 126.626345531 121.190657336 112.898778793 76.823190941
3/19/2023 133.150683864 126.355613525 126.355613525 120.935301002 112.643422459 76.63531727
3/20/2023 133.460562991 126.705565693 126.705565693 121.29004598 113.033024218 77.694409633
3/21/2023 133.282570136 126.535985692 126.535985692 121.143671237 112.982076937 77.893564136
3/22/2023 133.115201806 126.373674361 126.373674361 121.07315933 112.943148661 78.243089847
3/23/2023 133.300821798 126.55579918 126.55579918 121.272092689 113.166326584 78.871146827
3/24/2023 133.606724911 126.832694054 126.832694054 121.568320092 113.470178326 79.568045897
3/25/2023 133.849402688 126.957064885 126.957064885 121.699518283 113.601376517 79.711413324
3/26/2023 132.990636954 126.143620266 126.143620266 120.914511549 112.864620876 79.176880832
3/27/2023 132.576078704 125.74560707 125.74560707 120.598443736 112.743207422 79.528056028
3/28/2023 132.205988532 125.386855334 125.386855334 120.268039132 112.527372036 79.593057824
3/29/2023 132.153546305 125.315963379 125.315963379 120.215221951 112.525365928 79.6335479
3/30/2023 132.13715797 125.282268598 125.282268598 120.180407661 112.533124809 79.904009619
3/31/2023 131.623842038 124.741567456 124.741567456 119.644347719 112.062085501 79.766196973
4/1/2023 131.550772688 124.656572976 124.656572976 119.557917019 111.983229489 79.766196973
4/2/2023 131.775263905 124.881654978 124.881654978 119.77236849 112.19768096 79.955101474
4/3/2023 132.329089105 124.982499013 124.982499013 119.892086367 112.463558914 80.061128106
4/4/2023 131.696061599 124.808143572 124.808143572 119.715662108 112.408699923 80.077211664
4/5/2023 131.630729001 124.726151219 124.726151219 119.642296431 112.473116428 80.180533983
4/6/2023 131.841930041 124.881115032 124.881115032 119.796046077 112.708242462 80.268223491
4/7/2023 131.854129695 124.849723778 124.849723778 119.76929228 112.674204916 80.273380845
4/8/2023 132.04536287 125.019619877 125.019619877 119.936864645 112.834689282 80.363594033
4/9/2023 131.732279284 124.715447328 124.715447328 119.646514361 112.551426997 80.203187657
4/10/2023 131.837844912 124.785356939 124.785356939 119.7292121 112.747998463 80.503925004
4/11/2023 131.777418183 124.656502677 124.656502677 119.614430607 112.701196445 80.523709558
4/12/2023 131.705241636 124.527003423 124.527003423 119.506076415 112.679516384 80.731588297
4/13/2023 131.822754428 124.572970603 124.572970603 119.562730997 112.80949519 80.999225951
4/14/2023 131.771785447 124.478659126 124.478659126 119.460411748 112.748394494 81.058254514
4/15/2023 131.661432438 124.379222608 124.379222608 119.352548944 112.64723031 80.994375051
4/16/2023 131.580636943 124.31573342 124.31573342 119.305701614 112.62751909 80.923461589
4/17/2023 131.464863158 124.203472609 124.203472609 119.321123031 112.647598314 81.133975239
4/18/2023 131.199211582 123.902660025 123.902660025 119.0423479 112.39306394 81.164195713
4/19/2023 131.236325798 123.874463327 123.874463327 119.016878935 112.380651281 81.3726897
4/20/2023 131.065510293 123.691884611 123.691884611 118.841326614 112.241024465 81.397398449
4/21/2023 129.853344876 122.511304911 122.511304911 117.712766236 111.243705996 80.620559312
4/22/2023 130.729140486 123.382419897 123.382419897 118.602441003 112.13984336 81.512950158
4/23/2023 130.76351319 123.425306666 123.425306666 118.650475589 112.187877946 81.522960158
4/24/2023 130.695889678 123.356178644 123.356178644 118.569620624 112.135196506 81.609928404
4/25/2023 130.527981416 123.258484568 123.258484568 118.473683592 112.114447827 81.566488286
4/26/2023 130.691900111 123.446406915 123.446406915 118.650123677 112.289244668 81.825900442
4/27/2023 130.49589165 123.261898307 123.261898307 118.479715768 112.174965074 81.768396221
4/28/2023 130.378764194 123.175454932 123.175454932 118.443233784 112.222438702 81.851142869
4/29/2023 130.319178788 123.116070932 123.116070932 118.383605424 112.162810342 81.779465088
4/30/2023 130.353835995 123.115839113 123.115839113 118.379562569 112.158767487 81.789475092
5/1/2023 130.686894463 122.982516078 122.982516078 118.254596088 112.081135782 81.872638699
5/2/2023 130.712118374 122.958304402 122.958304402 118.249054356 112.14059625 82.018490828
5/3/2023 130.306512627 122.78276218 122.78276218 118.097685861 112.088356629 82.057450732
5/4/2023 130.174271815 122.680764921 122.680764921 118.002065373 112.002947463 82.052222893
5/5/2023 130.672705572 123.172895297 123.172895297 118.500213433 112.511115565 82.232217802
5/6/2023 130.594296748 123.111660085 123.111660085 118.432845297 112.449730544 82.237227797
5/7/2023 130.427430996 122.939176746 122.939176746 118.254445622 112.265347754 82.058136655
5/8/2023 130.515357973 123.044715559 123.044715559 118.357873117 112.475682185 82.407679458
5/9/2023 130.642191116 123.209895778 123.209895778 118.514069847 112.690210519 82.630992515
5/10/2023 130.493095341 123.071073635 123.071073635 118.376831558 112.596925999 82.681713715
5/11/2023 130.415083087 123.011910783 123.011910783 118.33271873 112.60306063 82.795872918
5/12/2023 130.456668072 123.069189974 123.069189974 118.400202126 112.774451828 82.949452973
5/13/2023 130.42773213 123.038836019 123.038836019 118.36556128 112.727995184 82.866669088
5/14/2023 130.422950923 123.043091235 123.043091235 118.375571546 112.73800545 82.887081554
5/15/2023 130.334754405 122.880429436 122.880429436 118.212264262 112.629753165 82.892086547
5/16/2023 130.156483846 122.700515715 122.700515715 118.031849013 112.45984484 82.914914794
5/17/2023 129.888967707 122.441926406 122.441926406 117.77420747 112.211856917 82.840018135
5/18/2023 130.014488084 122.589005608 122.589005608 117.915733044 112.353627235 82.843573932
5/19/2023 129.888137636 122.494565616 122.494565616 117.83000142 112.312782573 82.8957283
5/20/2023 130.014069193 122.606918608 122.606918608 117.95885222 112.436033312 82.983629023
5/21/2023 129.90863082 122.500071614 122.500071614 117.836633456 112.313814548 82.905728289
5/22/2023 129.790639617 122.385010636 122.385010636 117.725175573 112.246816032 82.949208885
5/23/2023 129.719936612 122.308569313 122.308569313 117.672677515 112.255829837 83.096587524
5/24/2023 129.321978988 121.935788625 121.935788625 117.312207163 111.974330186 83.049248
5/25/2023 129.297376497 121.89241954 121.89241954 117.27026438 111.949428275 83.047999631
5/26/2023 129.28874589 121.880742699 121.880742699 117.262857598 111.970203769 83.098239535
5/27/2023 129.321217255 121.900484595 121.900484595 117.278186 111.986495615 83.08503992
5/28/2023 129.369739683 121.949865352 121.949865352 117.326001285 112.021764952 83.186342769
5/29/2023 129.354977491 121.885384366 121.885384366 117.263677364 111.970705916 83.078793317
5/30/2023 129.310938096 121.842446787 121.842446787 117.217975208 111.949170358 83.135276538
5/31/2023 129.260413743 121.781193287 121.781193287 117.156710785 111.943572852 83.281686114
6/1/2023 129.187859982 121.71292006 121.71292006 117.111479513 111.931811293 83.222845215
6/2/2023 129.222455797 121.739158099 121.739158099 117.147975249 111.98154046 83.211773718
6/3/2023 129.137754992 121.657089393 121.657089393 117.067590607 111.900556442 83.133645068
6/4/2023 129.179677354 121.703983893 121.703983893 117.110095324 111.937894125 83.13864506
6/5/2023 129.045472899 121.581706267 121.581706267 116.998862774 111.886112235 83.195143057
6/6/2023 128.900502129 121.412146159 121.412146159 116.842674342 111.830457196 83.264482931
6/7/2023 128.773491087 121.265077302 121.265077302 116.697020986 111.777946166 83.360868858
6/8/2023 128.694511479 121.168693004 121.168693004 116.616499606 111.738966236 83.464345326
6/9/2023 128.204565524 120.790533368 120.790533368 116.248396087 111.450316874 83.329997419
6/10/2023 128.340356513 120.943416575 120.943416575 116.399465965 111.602149646 83.427007721
6/11/2023 128.398226517 121.012675597 121.012675597 116.466083015 111.663205723 83.432012721
6/12/2023 128.11237169 120.738149538 120.738149538 116.221942801 111.573605271 83.462067412
6/13/2023 127.974783596 120.619654091 120.619654091 116.123295227 111.520124299 83.505217924
6/14/2023 127.752033848 120.431055063 120.431055063 115.951136829 111.427804462 83.539459054
6/15/2023 128.553325092 120.149387641 120.149387641 115.761883957 111.408105348 83.411982191
6/16/2023 128.742006312 120.338888504 120.338888504 115.940780258 111.627410307 83.491500891
6/17/2023 128.404402654 119.99834182 119.99834182 115.583240006 111.272910981 83.138397964
6/18/2023 128.401615354 119.993977071 119.993977071 115.568211663 111.254841712 83.124427752
6/19/2023 128.51549117 120.036075569 120.036075569 115.619559641 111.30618969 83.123427433
6/20/2023 129.064895949 120.574019407 120.574019407 116.123668284 111.819990367 83.41643593
6/21/2023 128.58420151 120.083348081 120.083348081 115.65867298 111.372033792 83.13915298
6/22/2023 128.570807816 119.994737621 119.994737621 115.550790459 111.285366531 83.120533427
6/23/2023 128.622985322 120.049637366 120.049637366 115.59728926 111.330922417 83.126689056
6/24/2023 128.906087047 120.323545706 120.323545706 115.869071433 111.606966695 83.355547655
6/25/2023 128.682141749 120.107455665 120.107455665 115.663311899 111.392682952 83.168628702
6/26/2023 128.616841543 120.035213558 120.035213558 115.600711398 111.370012218 83.214509943
6/27/2023 128.6727838 120.084880609 120.084880609 115.670385961 111.451733574 83.472308355
6/28/2023 128.180338136 119.69653797 119.69653797 115.300778666 111.113175237 83.218925627
6/29/2023 128.113405447 119.587642682 119.587642682 115.20877621 111.05589185 83.343774906
6/30/2023 127.507773923 118.97239444 118.97239444 114.631365313 110.480917345 83.320859006
7/1/2023 127.48339522 118.943043548 118.943043548 114.601628925 110.451977843 83.30377823
7/2/2023 127.527249951 118.979517699 118.979517699 114.641107303 110.491921071 83.307610989
7/3/2023 127.714530092 119.234017668 119.234017668 114.904281524 110.756267351 83.331873579
7/4/2023 127.835903524 119.307642742 119.307642742 114.973673846 110.829940291 83.333734068
7/5/2023 127.66797852 119.149754729 119.149754729 114.832496949 110.711345753 83.295588022
7/6/2023 127.21033632 118.922125799 118.922125799 114.616184625 110.533552428 83.286152715
7/7/2023 127.207966702 119.001613506 119.001613506 114.694571425 110.627303434 83.421106762
7/8/2023 127.230152067 118.903548164 118.903548164 114.604176531 110.542060683 83.337768983
7/9/2023 127.123474362 118.804327167 118.804327167 114.513317429 110.463582166 83.266954932
7/10/2023 127.03216478 118.746660374 118.746660374 114.461322735 110.413214779 83.307041104
7/11/2023 126.880427348 118.691650008 118.691650008 114.399907601 110.386418895 83.352634014
7/12/2023 126.750039925 118.63367557 118.63367557 114.350703919 110.340845564 83.357216574
7/13/2023 127.022546974 118.928867597 118.928867597 114.642252751 110.652454369 83.496653252
7/14/2023 127.037353731 118.958984169 118.958984169 114.67855831 110.691991909 83.676595996
7/15/2023 127.086119853 118.993898534 118.993898534 114.711563219 110.724996818 83.701143467
7/16/2023 127.00474918 118.918846947 118.918846947 114.638253797 110.64770083 83.62852593
7/17/2023 126.842963229 118.75903229 118.75903229 114.491317211 110.545873445 83.729629319
7/18/2023 126.784930401 118.738709106 118.738709106 114.472080827 110.557931418 83.784430445
7/19/2023 126.50779744 118.517529275 118.517529275 114.259999301 110.362594831 83.730306939
7/20/2023 126.464887421 118.504087644 118.504087644 114.252983289 110.380716345 83.798446907
7/21/2023 126.312606612 118.408602237 118.408602237 114.174264517 110.305230355 83.775338994
7/22/2023 126.311195677 118.48992354 118.48992354 114.258804091 110.391085401 83.864119328
7/23/2023 126.212192144 118.403433136 118.403433136 114.170999187 110.298095991 83.780338989
7/24/2023 126.012480571 118.213194928 118.213194928 114.012659122 110.174927214 83.776962706
7/25/2023 125.92548206 118.116144541 118.116144541 113.922896434 110.111177187 83.789146039
7/26/2023 125.904427076 118.07931364 118.07931364 113.89356914 110.112030953 83.878723305
7/27/2023 125.730655379 117.970601093 117.970601093 113.795165525 110.048128245 83.79615553
7/28/2023 125.569259951 117.897383598 117.897383598 113.743849228 110.028019366 83.803836403
7/29/2023 125.810970004 117.885515995 117.885515995 113.737273773 110.02621027 83.774337453
7/30/2023 125.686145922 117.928077056 117.928077056 113.774477788 110.058647926 83.797285742
7/31/2023 125.620917729 117.908930618 117.908930618 113.737087281 110.062087754 83.866668319
8/1/2023 125.407571518 117.624773214 117.624773214 113.509550926 109.872163107 83.857171498
8/2/2023 125.234497902 117.374601582 117.374601582 113.294215108 109.746062123 83.855454636
8/3/2023 124.9833152 117.160770417 117.160770417 113.107326017 109.600376184 83.835156582
8/4/2023 124.732462535 116.895926201 116.895926201 112.862031292 109.430984115 83.742625107
8/5/2023 124.765712801 116.926224025 116.926224025 112.893352014 109.468832113 83.792031429
8/6/2023 124.719632984 116.860970967 116.860970967 112.830206383 109.408789118 83.734320818
8/7/2023 124.580499446 116.683217423 116.683217423 112.659529152 109.259057264 83.452899346
8/8/2023 124.802609754 116.88710968 116.88710968 112.84009694 109.4340608 83.47765237
8/9/2023 124.719954357 116.780335808 116.780335808 112.733790556 109.334552891 83.389373846
8/10/2023 124.465394293 116.557285652 116.557285652 112.552757729 109.166703676 83.359474018
8/11/2023 124.364940161 116.450991012 116.450991012 112.483104117 109.10430195 83.321948337
8/12/2023 124.475642681 116.551842325 116.551842325 112.544700087 109.165813444 83.342878723
8/13/2023 124.508990186 116.593465548 116.593465548 112.600320693 109.222359899 83.343295663
8/14/2023 124.06123405 116.314050061 116.314050061 112.349839481 108.986066281 83.328343478
8/15/2023 123.763992357 116.048004024 116.048004024 112.120691234 108.776166439 83.082121071
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11/4/2023 124.997809819 116.65404889 116.65404889 111.309653685 109.407832209 85.425224028
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11/12/2023 125.898100191 117.478479945 117.478479945 112.217727678 110.337495336 86.754712796
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11/15/2023 126.24073607 117.849331075 117.849331075 112.636902641 110.791305265 87.364348945
11/16/2023 126.56445686 118.175665998 118.175665998 112.9630927 111.120113143 87.589526057
11/17/2023 126.749293837 118.401175852 118.401175852 113.207027161 111.39912029 87.650408687
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11/22/2023 127.481072393 119.153562485 119.153562485 113.929060944 112.177872015 88.43882771
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12/12/2023 128.547577067 120.480402146 120.480402146 115.262676856 113.793878976 90.528056603
12/13/2023 129.014013982 120.586703633 120.586703633 115.39629124 114.131167958 90.565337799
12/14/2023 129.198500189 120.874291162 120.874291162 115.68474027 114.424850279 90.750575813
12/15/2023 129.455792575 120.83951815 120.83951815 115.663173207 114.478397895 90.757848534
12/16/2023 129.612536301 120.980979337 120.980979337 115.770541393 114.577518163 90.814015237
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4/30/2024 159.586289848 148.387462696 148.387462696 143.216793117 143.146437695 110.376575387
5/1/2024 159.218700884 148.035441813 148.035441813 142.90586833 142.835501697 110.209255303
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5/31/2024 160.457559756 148.996061298 148.996061298 143.775722017 143.705140042 111.670666791
6/1/2024 160.511506408 149.026974937 149.026974937 143.797002127 143.726835605 111.74241188
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6/3/2024 160.605101752 149.423671428 149.423671428 144.261057265 144.19047529 112.253386803
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6/24/2024 161.391791297 150.163083956 150.163083956 145.065260502 144.994827729 112.837386516
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10/23/2024 171.800423357 159.173246359 159.173246359 154.220425432 154.152869775 120.108145288
10/24/2024 171.151775198 158.729713091 158.729713091 153.794191858 153.726411268 119.682255894
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11/5/2024 174.25697159 161.950184077 161.950184077 157.185940743 157.114510742 121.629599057
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11/12/2024 179.882586447 167.849423364 167.849423364 163.23075026 163.162654136 126.732726773
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11/16/2024 183.717553926 171.02276342 171.02276342 166.365423732 166.297403268 129.262789163
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11/19/2024 184.935517767 172.20105383 172.20105383 167.499488476 167.431531051 130.072324581
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11/27/2024 192.431385614 179.490107764 179.490107764 174.764205044 174.69882326 135.137486676
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12/1/2024 192.353918791 179.406621011 179.406621011 174.707856211 174.640832765 134.611017547
12/2/2024 193.110987147 179.993389039 179.993389039 175.28752089 175.2243314 135.282385653
12/3/2024 193.477279239 180.352527937 180.352527937 175.657768285 175.591869163 135.473574254
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12/11/2024 200.008118425 186.195928422 186.195928422 181.673589013 181.603796376 140.00580045
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12/13/2024 201.222739283 187.02153669 187.02153669 182.498581649 182.431552541 140.448004125
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12/15/2024 201.525837488 187.234058588 187.234058588 182.732551566 182.664513159 140.568004125
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12/27/2024 202.600505424 187.319593573 187.319593573 182.870854666 182.80274367 139.272991974
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1/1/2025 200.179769269 185.464138342 185.464138342 181.169826934 181.10196937 137.416189761
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1/17/2025 206.808446583 190.67932976 190.67932976 185.960147988 185.899755677 138.480973594
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2/1/2025 214.840953511 197.9454548 197.9454548 193.303938937 193.24408239 139.940662041
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3/1/2025 221.425408904 203.589827073 203.589827073 199.23133995 199.170728421 142.739869168
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3/3/2025 221.514440063 203.518812063 203.518812063 199.125247522 199.064812202 142.848550247
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9/7/2025 274.419521942 246.022121764 246.022121764 241.010963181 240.956013372 168.825084004
9/8/2025 274.602510608 246.069545189 246.069545189 241.103826417 241.048875343 168.877363164
9/9/2025 274.961965183 246.341408814 246.341408814 241.370524744 241.315517763 169.048563162
9/10/2025 275.08217055 246.332438722 246.332438722 241.366510872 241.311780178 169.411163153
9/11/2025 275.827693474 246.728345099 246.728345099 241.749864544 241.694890524 169.682874987
9/12/2025 277.107254185 247.942935122 247.942935122 242.905573915 242.850722383 170.27255742
9/13/2025 277.744007105 248.462191927 248.462191927 243.360617984 243.306203085 170.535236555
9/14/2025 277.761430102 248.120153362 248.120153362 243.014251655 242.959360724 170.178989121
9/15/2025 277.991274698 248.517746153 248.517746153 243.423130113 243.368178819 170.624947838
9/16/2025 278.737033304 249.247293366 249.247293366 244.143356039 244.088410137 170.903775343
9/17/2025 278.926448118 249.524186569 249.524186569 244.430908944 244.376390486 171.220679162
9/18/2025 279.971036032 250.52518281 250.52518281 245.433083522 245.378207724 171.395619409
9/19/2025 280.746044287 250.91946957 250.91946957 245.809182014 245.754194127 172.019220193
9/20/2025 280.92522482 251.033089132 251.033089132 245.8876125 245.831925945 172.279220193
9/21/2025 280.902961738 251.021243725 251.021243725 245.820174689 245.764653213 172.143434396
9/22/2025 281.603354264 251.668618485 251.668618485 246.479509991 246.422722911 172.687580334
9/23/2025 282.44927009 251.833109947 251.833109947 246.664840541 246.60909896 173.008506231
9/24/2025 283.199544555 252.279316336 252.279316336 247.099476459 247.044230114 173.336087144
9/25/2025 283.413817869 252.683682296 252.683682296 247.318360721 247.263004323 173.57743787
9/26/2025 284.501682589 252.805936648 252.805936648 247.709488294 247.654479882 174.168318428
9/27/2025 284.753809556 252.912626895 252.912626895 247.839354831 247.784273565 174.376743851
9/28/2025 284.921653358 252.807745496 252.807745496 247.716457526 247.661458084 174.33561785
9/29/2025 285.373939412 252.917086716 252.917086716 247.840090915 247.785064675 174.592531943
9/30/2025 286.924534825 253.6266935 253.6266935 248.556505283 248.497792285 174.875230173
10/1/2025 287.960530929 254.454371193 254.454371193 249.383956897 249.328974238 175.565454174
10/2/2025 289.211784015 255.40287439 255.40287439 250.386762401 250.331781354 176.246763815
10/3/2025 290.732414555 256.942167556 256.942167556 251.895802014 251.84087566 176.679508043
10/4/2025 291.268742664 257.206092986 257.206092986 252.16508841 252.110230632 177.019405309
10/5/2025 290.801974949 256.899478276 256.899478276 251.874342275 251.819610809 176.929008734
10/6/2025 291.464388387 257.657588001 257.657588001 252.645638078 252.590520579 177.46371523
10/7/2025 292.42926833 258.294952903 258.294952903 253.284076848 253.228977657 177.909580029
10/8/2025 292.334618787 258.512912963 258.512912963 253.492224593 253.4371979 178.140779842
10/9/2025 292.562974748 258.498031579 258.498031579 253.414623695 253.359867747 178.036230155
10/10/2025 292.926830036 259.244818104 259.244818104 254.153699914 254.0986567 179.331179688
10/11/2025 292.382286921 260.360399828 260.360399828 255.24767343 255.192615789 180.06408455
10/12/2025 292.485487332 260.577776509 260.577776509 255.519219805 255.464221671 180.185446251
10/13/2025 292.832900458 260.643915935 260.643915935 255.644751955 255.589782162 180.246122371
10/14/2025 293.984257911 261.636417005 261.636417005 256.624031693 256.569181545 180.716279786
10/15/2025 294.637314019 262.150739182 262.150739182 257.11692125 257.062193396 181.396775161
10/16/2025 294.636800533 262.338051348 262.338051348 257.278095212 257.223210464 181.55546943
10/17/2025 295.034218487 262.544775961 262.544775961 257.505287789 257.450345955 181.734385615
10/18/2025 295.04050908 262.700576164 262.700576164 257.629764696 257.574880946 181.94105756
10/19/2025 295.365987144 262.676481546 262.676481546 257.580409451 257.525669357 181.923069831

Note: The key identifies series in order from top to bottom. USD is U.S. dollar.

Source: Llama Corp, DeFiLlama.

Figure 4.6. Corporate bond holdings of mutual funds were stable in the first half of 2025

Billions of dollars (real)

Date Corporate bonds
2000 Q1 410.8234410357
2000 Q2 406.875847826087
2000 Q3 390.672125153091
2000 Q4 356.862856311052
2001 Q1 365.491372536521
2001 Q2 368.898989350357
2001 Q3 364.657229776861
2001 Q4 450.193173553968
2002 Q1 461.78301400787
2002 Q2 513.173509575533
2002 Q3 495.422171369509
2002 Q4 496.236400691812
2003 Q1 501.560313588342
2003 Q2 552.123021705989
2003 Q3 557.499114841972
2003 Q4 547.915353903936
2004 Q1 594.383071410165
2004 Q2 512.189654594213
2004 Q3 513.670833558369
2004 Q4 526.040076980077
2005 Q1 498.64124037513
2005 Q2 502.164028435304
2005 Q3 465.598475990518
2005 Q4 465.208350566038
2006 Q1 478.063153351206
2006 Q2 461.62520710496
2006 Q3 462.684084732099
2006 Q4 487.412055554454
2007 Q1 493.05758935457
2007 Q2 482.766375619395
2007 Q3 468.921188757592
2007 Q4 456.278387726914
2008 Q1 444.386940595724
2008 Q2 468.961459750565
2008 Q3 431.812128464215
2008 Q4 398.182302021507
2009 Q1 420.279559163267
2009 Q2 491.662460235007
2009 Q3 553.18466083807
2009 Q4 631.771923609312
2010 Q1 728.545207534187
2010 Q2 735.611247954604
2010 Q3 824.180702777498
2010 Q4 945.4748135156
2011 Q1 990.294529333127
2011 Q2 993.186857308393
2011 Q3 901.636138908025
2011 Q4 939.898020760021
2012 Q1 1041.14598605277
2012 Q2 1062.96324932911
2012 Q3 1163.88193297341
2012 Q4 1232.5663566258
2013 Q1 1264.38227751543
2013 Q2 1275.64239320152
2013 Q3 1304.71314717041
2013 Q4 1352.78833087882
2014 Q1 1397.02026207464
2014 Q2 1433.81284749655
2014 Q3 1415.5260042149
2014 Q4 1448.39908372153
2015 Q1 1505.88801237673
2015 Q2 1493.45558368792
2015 Q3 1476.03768960506
2015 Q4 1397.8568374102
2016 Q1 1456.07321466133
2016 Q2 1490.17608258618
2016 Q3 1529.73638138345
2016 Q4 1495.2655214392
2017 Q1 1537.99991649903
2017 Q2 1539.94260131951
2017 Q3 1547.23687646583
2017 Q4 1508.48428107091
2018 Q1 1484.22767340289
2018 Q2 1474.05392346872
2018 Q3 1527.47220185278
2018 Q4 1432.58303222086
2019 Q1 1564.21918696701
2019 Q2 1585.27648448585
2019 Q3 1613.95734419552
2019 Q4 1611.55195474954
2020 Q1 1507.00053423236
2020 Q2 1855.52702832672
2020 Q3 1911.37437316357
2020 Q4 1931.62665615146
2021 Q1 1927.3141511464
2021 Q2 1961.61473670609
2021 Q3 1887.09756996394
2021 Q4 1831.62699799241
2022 Q1 1626.9120095921
2022 Q2 1369.114175902
2022 Q3 1274.90570518468
2022 Q4 1288.53461666293
2023 Q1 1317.56147159493
2023 Q2 1292.97672287609
2023 Q3 1224.83337720775
2023 Q4 1307.13232499447
2024 Q1 1389.34587241629
2024 Q2 1381.00789319085
2024 Q3 1504.53367574634
2024 Q4 1435.08999066714
2025 Q1 1480.03136677567
2025 Q2 1480.50054213994

Note: The data show holdings of all U.S. corporate bonds by all U.S.-domiciled mutual funds (holdings of foreign bonds are excluded). The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index.

Source: Federal Reserve Board staff estimates based on Federal Reserve Board, Statistical Release Z.1, "Financial Accounts of the United States"; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 4.7. Bank loan and high-yield mutual fund assets remained steady at levels far below their 2021 peaks

This is a stacked area chart showing monthly data from January 2000 to August 2025, with the y-axis measuring billions of dollars (real) ranging from 0 to 600 billion. The chart displays two variables: Bank loan mutual funds (burgundy area on top) and High-yield bond mutual funds (beige area on bottom). Combined assets started around 225 billion dollars in 2000, remained relatively stable until a decline in 2009 to about 150 billion, then grew substantially to peak at approximately 550-600 billion around 2014-2015. After a brief decline in 2016, assets rose again to nearly 500 billion by 2018. Fol-lowing a sharp drop to about 375 billion dollars and recovery back to about 450 billion during 2020, assets declined in 2021 to approximately 350-375 billion by August 2025. Throughout the entire period, high-yield bond mutual funds consistently constituted the majority of the combined assets, typically representing about two-thirds to three-quarters of the total.

Note: The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index. The key identifies series in order from top to bottom.

Source: Investment Company Institute; consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics.

Figure 4.8. April's outflows stabilized

This is a stacked bar chart showing monthly data from January 2017 to August 2025, with the y-axis measuring billions of dollars ranging from -125 to 50 billion. The chart displays three categories of mutual fund flows: Investment-grade bond mutual funds (blue bars), Bank loan mutual funds (terracotta bars), and High-yield bond mutual funds (beige bars with black dot). The chart shows significant volatility in flows, particularly for investment-grade bond funds. Major outflows occurred in March 2020 (exceeding -100 billion dollars, with a break in the y-axis indicated by wavy lines), early 2022 (about -50 billion), and April 2025 (about -40 billion). Between these extreme events, the flows typically ranged between -40 billion and +40 billion. Following the April 2025 outflow, flows stabilized in subsequent months, with modest inflows evident by August 2025. Bank loan mutual funds and high-yield bond mutual funds generally experienced much smaller flows throughout the period compared to investment-grade bond funds.

Note: Mutual fund assets under management as of August 2025 included $2,450 billion in investment-grade bond mutual funds, $280 billion in high-yield bond mutual funds, and $82 billion in bank loan mutual funds. Bank loan mutual funds, also known as float-ing-rate bond funds, are excluded from high-yield bond mutual funds. Curved line seg-ments on the y-axis and bar indicate a scale break to accommodate high values observed in March 2020.

Source: Investment Company Institute.

Figure 4.9. Life insurers' use of nontraditional liabilities increased further

Billions of dollars (real)

Date Repurchase Agreements Securities Lending Cash Collateral FHLB Advances Funding-Agreement Backed Securities
2006 4.92522518636317 218.033504755418 14.2067483704284 255.552320957082
2007 4.21582259139046 221.670057535657 25.6322957251392 263.396990953143
2008 12.3141297845552 74.2362430671828 51.1312502032224 249.41707333267
2009 15.1336029333969 56.7247467357632 67.4961541716682 176.850422116109
2010 15.0780840545652 62.0374475006849 62.5410806879829 138.387676881347
2011 Q1 8.74825651755716 66.6771345184082 62.5912493312051 122.736509999995
2011 Q2 9.63120613787792 65.7252712865562 61.4830174725519 116.030212259344
2011 Q3 9.69454992986504 62.9215359810736 61.4856190093679 108.01800759481
2011 Q4 10.0607008833766 60.1667360168793 62.0376995953362 107.758449706959
2012 Q1 11.4648794733227 59.1519692480905 63.2096598107034 103.912161507535
2012 Q2 14.7773477361079 67.8362180912592 67.4461844731297 105.644330350241
2012 Q3 15.7065307573401 76.6831903431461 66.9780825759747 106.958173696908
2012 Q4 15.6538691875752 74.8714179552318 65.144804495819 102.606739287749
2013 Q1 18.4513602205515 74.6563946547892 66.0083203954703 101.57709576589
2013 Q2 18.389501297189 75.9072154067309 67.2437382946849 90.8985646890067
2013 Q3 17.7087726868934 70.0572894215629 65.8299863937949 85.9689515171212
2013 Q4 15.8285878300592 76.9601660632925 66.9144436048038 83.6801323700508
2014 Q1 18.6293137115489 78.5112324835278 66.6814195068718 77.8464956512443
2014 Q2 18.6694513251055 80.8726764760978 66.9473836869267 81.9836603042309
2014 Q3 20.5631099197409 84.8805936507488 67.4021190807412 88.3374942523871
2014 Q4 15.7095737471873 73.4334716669476 67.7542276875008 93.3260458079555
2015 Q1 15.0834293386302 73.894409096611 71.0054693832118 94.6245353275666
2015 Q2 14.6038964666991 68.4052427430989 72.3498028459035 91.448408548567
2015 Q3 14.6304249447127 67.8907003185295 73.9603139495233 87.0941470065344
2015 Q4 11.6166830604283 66.9574232964981 75.1654096884434 93.4071155400944
2016 Q1 14.1544286589773 69.6797853926149 79.0006646664518 91.3077864123651
2016 Q2 15.9507510410904 72.0372160253967 83.1216024636645 92.6210066483528
2016 Q3 16.9818224622316 73.3943077936683 86.4450379377599 93.7099664107207
2016 Q4 12.8730931177409 63.0788735771866 87.1646836301133 98.764792391012
2017 Q1 16.9736362370688 66.4396489979705 90.0822910514108 100.469594455145
2017 Q2 17.2113395315111 66.5613359530009 89.8049386908469 105.135467200159
2017 Q3 18.8269324985262 67.3371869855167 89.6912948910045 113.321059993224
2017 Q4 21.6491973726262 63.8966888875664 91.9210242514609 111.332070760934
2018 Q1 21.3342012278851 67.1540316267249 97.8735790767707 112.516473569556
2018 Q2 23.7179977172821 58.5664763900086 97.1587804786237 113.279176047108
2018 Q3 23.1039146108743 59.4679885539955 95.2870715353164 114.564893154961
2018 Q4 22.9399374755545 53.1045528833678 98.3783401150662 111.630402229352
2019 Q1 22.1281944533667 57.5384803435198 100.708826050434 115.454301754933
2019 Q2 20.8316028855544 57.0333102376524 99.611921663623 113.657997580635
2019 Q3 19.8139733938613 57.0501499111199 103.172460221966 114.852351146617
2019 Q4 21.2912893334147 56.0748693491827 106.488641339108 117.830505545577
2020 Q1 23.2237822406863 53.1107662003334 125.519640483911 124.547321376983
2020 Q2 25.9305533221593 59.7612838296846 128.288495612954 131.880582137506
2020 Q3 25.5982041603655 58.8007748486731 123.789027498334 139.304449214702
2020 Q4 25.5466161488383 59.4938187543093 124.516474230593 144.218822014872
2021 Q1 31.6407985224497 63.6727932030882 133.574722927429 155.791079499174
2021 Q2 24.1748850412826 64.0974779829048 126.458876884944 170.405332410532
2021 Q3 21.4812499813412 69.258113110374 122.280500651294 182.207770051337
2021 Q4 25.3150179585338 62.8216632596228 124.043529832965 183.956132073541
2022 Q1 23.8195642383498 63.0894548967023 133.925400736806 196.072039614058
2022 Q2 24.0964117036057 52.9311321947745 137.166146649736 193.039141213644
2022 Q3 25.2222203131815 47.7772192375227 139.00817262026 190.207337499814
2022 Q4 26.7579199391086 44.3518838022853 139.562615332333 193.089391986975
2023 Q1 26.6522120838147 46.2110267028198 143.557445559265 193.361846146701
2023 Q2 24.6285772721803 38.7533154009436 142.321546484196 194.404309257347
2023 Q3 22.5931126588536 41.4973216852232 141.721463405677 198.261017363634
2023 Q4 25.3348006398 41.9343564343917 141.224736227905 200.009982639571
2024 Q1 27.6347788147941 43.5014444620294 144.699886508518 213.098635555847
2024 Q2 26.1453617250646 41.3003473952133 149.666846584748 210.321174260682
2024 Q3 27.6172249290247 42.0715968437087 152.190493331224 222.445171710415
2024 Q4 28.1441693780618 47.4256012401666 155.713534946353 228.596750898583
2025 Q1 25.7484388634997 51.9152278968321 158.371571361065 242.383613382324
2025 Q2 27.04311434 50.273001978 164.06780073085 260.868690140636

Note: The data are converted to constant 2025 dollars using the consumer price index. FHLB is Federal Home Loan Bank. The data are annual from 2006 to 2010 and quarterly thereafter. The key identifies bars in order from top to bottom.

Source: Consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics; Moody's Analytics, Inc., CreditView, Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Program Index; Securities and Exchange Commission, Forms 10-Q and 10-K; National Association of Insurance Commissioners, quarterly and annual statutory filings accessed via S&P Global, Capital IQ Pro; Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Figure 4.10. Life insurers continued to hold a significant share of illiquid assets on their balance sheets

Billions of dollars (real)

Date Other ABS CRE loans CRE loans, securitized Alternative investments Illiquid corporate debt Illiquid corporate debt, securitized Share of life insurer assets (Percent share) Share of P&C insurer assets (Percent share)
2006 385.441964638541 425.814100713569 291.751581392102 213.534091059583 491.166648771871 15.7516903988327 33.017550167266 10.0714597798726
2007 406.594200343572 442.710649461274 328.264329837827 277.8302061042 493.411540470727 21.3773074850575 35.1179357066853 12.3575453416683
2008 384.822081177265 443.013302070744 323.063481777734 244.640367286123 501.449430533829 22.2481607052594 35.0582425248613 11.9269143017615
2009 343.208014331511 430.498173983662 325.580488677446 250.346408707382 509.114087226654 26.0116629456434 33.7874269197647 10.9609375555312
2010 299.324255396023 412.295275894002 272.948043653424 323.081093747966 525.26293833594 30.4134721839485 31.534410178134 12.8969284466183
2011 296.184590664479 420.809417453603 255.632568216457 330.969461321458 526.222059877618 36.0573835889935 30.7440493467803 13.442390540412
2012 269.222210679136 429.130207801554 230.814798383526 347.186048379166 535.683544086435 44.479030017515 30.5913460331569 13.4162491707547
2013 258.814787682152 446.547073623878 222.123700624738 370.938055370188 564.404938967577 59.4301790816984 30.5486157379207 14.9484620369499
2014 259.22883015512 462.600583256874 221.918412187056 397.80997808006 562.03047760129 86.4528895270136 31.0683436911849 14.8703323930687
2015 243.764300615299 497.202282969112 214.998555438235 386.648724126075 583.795869757895 101.671714978655 31.1328154772642 15.0162954483463
2016 247.166167306671 532.553887954074 206.729483013608 400.430049367097 610.902338653502 107.616884181423 31.1565106056618 15.0970940037344
2017 231.328600434858 566.665788764106 200.465006637227 427.488766961629 613.097379324183 116.685821080736 31.3030984933833 14.672524263019
2018 225.858488044579 604.131713981503 211.357044527979 428.241941778266 590.610150305755 147.159825951737 32.5700544104485 14.7923294662719
2019 222.689351104789 655.466528227333 227.507676979621 467.886603917571 660.783311145324 173.772956781064 33.3841345614106 15.0518921708826
2020 217.508167483618 673.585189416288 238.037914326301 524.810845777971 760.282379743917 210.344599157978 34.2245808060366 16.0842379846981
2021 214.557220168637 669.047445446178 230.153220931573 572.455495138608 772.597567597091 236.474175548593 34.8481588131624 15.5802587398348
2022 205.769769665181 657.845371046362 215.933158268261 541.453151483295 785.46886742835 254.576970299043 36.7376433175391 15.0663028307971
2023 234.67035906042 660.634576192176 198.418051448092 521.994009359622 777.064673925066 265.936569782868 37.2342630879434 13.7061018543732
2024 266.975137045 652.996189284 189.169850339 544.749537479 811.895216533 265.365219548 37.3883526779811 13.753838071501

Note: The data are converted to constant 2024 dollars using the consumer price index. Securitized products include collateralized loan obligations for corporate debt, private-label commercial mortgage-backed securities for commercial real estate (CRE), and private-label residential mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed securities (ABS) backed by autos, credit cards, consumer loans, and student loans for other ABS. Illiquid corporate debt includes private placements, bank and syndicated loans, and high-yield bonds. Alternative investments include assets filed under Schedule BA. P&C is property and casualty. The key identifies bars in order from top to bottom.

Source: Consumer price index, Bureau of Labor Statistics via Haver Analytics; Federal Reserve Board staff estimates based on data from Bloomberg Finance L.P. and National Association of Insurance Commissioners Annual Statutory Filings.

Figure A. Fall 2025: Most cited potential shocks over the next 12 to 18 months

Figure A is a horizontal bar chart showing the percentage of respondents in Fall 2025 citing various potential shocks that could negatively affect the U.S. financial system over the next 12 to 18 months. The x-axis measures percentage of respondents and rang-es from 0 to 70 percent. Policy uncertainty ranks highest at approximately 61 percent, followed by geopolitical risks at about 48 percent. Persistent inflation and higher long-term rates both register around 43 percent. Three responses—artificial intelligence, asset price declines, and fiscal debt sustainability—each show about 30 percent. U.S. dollar depreciation, private credit, and foreign divestment from U.S. assets each measure ap-proximately 22 percent. The least-cited concerns are money market stress and cyberat-tacks, both at about 18 percent.

Note: Responses are to the following question: "Over the next 12-18 months, which shocks, if realized, do you think would have the greatest negative impact on the func-tioning of the U.S. financial system?"

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey of 23 market contacts from Septem-ber through October.

Figure B. Spring 2025: Most cited potential shocks over the next 12 to 18 months

Figure B is a horizontal bar chart showing the percentage of respondents in Spring 2025 citing various potential shocks that could negatively affect the U.S. financial system over the next 12 to 18 months. The x-axis measures percentage of respondents and rang-es from 0 to 80 percent. Risks to global trade ranks highest at approximately 75 percent, followed by policy uncertainty and U.S. fiscal debt sustainability, both at about 50 per-cent. Persistent inflation; monetary tightening registers around 43 percent, and asset price declines at approximately 36 percent. Treasury market functioning measures about 28 percent, while U.S. recession, banking-sector stress, geopolitical risks, and foreign divestment from U.S. assets all appear at approximately 23 percent. Private credit stress is around 18 percent. Nonbank financial institution stress, value of U.S. dollar, and cor-porate credit stress are all about 13 percent.

Note: Responses are to the following question: "Over the next 12-18 months, which shocks, if realized, do you think would have the greatest negative impact on the func-tioning of the U.S. financial system?"

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey of 22 market contacts from February through April.

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Last Update: November 17, 2025