What Happened to U.S. Business Dynamism?

Ufuk Akcigit and Sina T. Ates

The U.S. economy has witnessed a number of striking trends that indicate a rising market concentration and a slowdown in business dynamism in recent decades. We attempt to understand potential common forces behind these empirical regularities through the lens of a micro-founded general equilibrium model of endogenous firm dynamics.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2497

What Happened to Foreign Direct Investment in the United States?

This note demonstrates that the slowdown in FDIUS can be explained by two special factors: 1) a handful of corporate restructurings that are purely tax- and regulation-driven and affect the equity portion of direct investment flows, and 2) a reversal in intercompany debt flows that are often the result of corporate tax planning.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2499

How Global Value Chains Change the Trade-Currency Relationship

François de Soyres, Erik Frohm, Vanessa Gunnella

This note summarizes the main results of the de Soyres et al. (2018) paper, drawing out the most policy-relevant implications.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2504

How Do U.S. Global Systemically Important Banks Lower Their Capital Surcharges?

Jared Berry, Akber Khan, and Marcelo Rezende

In this note, we examine whether and how U.S. G-SIBs adjust their systemic importance indicators to lower their surcharges.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2480

Goods-Market Frictions and International Trade

Pawel M. Krolikowski and Andrew H. McCallum

The difficulty of locating and building connections with overseas buyers is a prevalent firm-level barrier to exporting. Producers and retailers must spend time and resources to find one another before they can transact.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2501

Why Has Wage Growth Been Subdued in the Advanced Foreign Economies?

Stephen Lin, Kaede Johnson, and Tyler Powell1

This note argues that certain factors, especially slower productivity growth and lower natural rates of unemployment, can explain much of the weakness of wage growth and the apparent breakdown of the simple wage Phillips curve.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2410

Monetary Policy Space in a Recession: Some Simple Interest Rate Arithmetic

As an alternative, two recession scenarios are presented in which interest rates change from October 2019 levels by the same amount as seen, on average, around the 1990 and 2001 recessions.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2484

Raising the Inflation Target: Lessons from Japan

In January 2013, the Bank of Japan increased its inflation target from 1 percent to 2 percent in an effort to end chronic deflation that had lasted for more than a decade. In this note, the author reviews this Japanese experience and highlights possible lessons for other central banks that may be interested in examining the possibility of raising their inflation target at some point in the future.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.2493

Disclaimer: FEDS Notes are articles in which Board economists offer their own views and present analysis on a range of topics in economics and finance. These articles are shorter and less technically oriented than FEDS Working Papers.

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Last Update: February 14, 2020